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Not Satisfied with Success: Unlocking Math as a Gatekeeper Karon Klipple, Managing Director Chris Thorn, Center for Networked Improvement Community College Pathways February 25, 2014

2015 Carnegie Pathways Spotlight

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Not Satisfied with Success:

Unlocking Math as a Gatekeeper

Karon Klipple, Managing Director

Chris Thorn, Center for Networked Improvement

Community College Pathways

February 25, 2014

60-70%Students assigned to developmental math

course.

80%Percent of these

students that neverget past this gate.

500,000 students

in every cohort will never complete college math

requirement.

2

The Problem

3

Statway

Quantway 1Quantway 2 or College Level

QR Course

Elem Alg Int AlgCollege Math

College Math

Credit

Semester

1

Semest

er 2

Semester

3 or more

College Math

Credit

College Math

Credit

A New Way: Coherent, Intensive, Accelerated

Learning

Traditional Math Sequence

Tra

ditio

na

l

Se

qu

en

ce

Sta

twa

y

Statway: Time to Complete a College Level Math

Course1 Year 2 Years

Triple the

success

rate in half

the time.

6%

51%

15%

Statway/QuantwayCurricula

Pathways Pedagogy

Learning Opportunities

Productive Struggle

Explicit Connections

Deliberate Practice

Language & Literacy Supports

Productive Persistence

Student Voices

6

7

3% College Ready

97% Not

College Ready

College Readiness: Math

Who Are Pathways Students?

55% College Ready

45%Not

College Ready

College Readiness:Reading

75%

2 Levels and Below

22%

1 Level

Below

64% English

36%

Home Language

Home Language Not

Primarily English

Who Are Pathways Students?

8

Maternal Education

69%Less than

College Degree

31% 2-Year, 4-Year,

or Graduate

Degree

Statway’s success exceeds the comparison

groups in half the time

48%52%

48%

16%14% 15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014

Pe

rce

nt

Co

rre

ct (

C o

r B

ette

r)

Statway Comparison

*

*Estimate – 11% success after one year, predicted 15% at two years

Statway colleges have maintained success

rate during period of expansion

48%52%

48%

16%14% 15%

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014

Enro

llme

nt

Pe

rce

nt

Co

rre

ct (

C o

r B

ette

r)

Statway Comparison Enrollment

*

*Estimate – 11% success after one year, predicted 15% at two years

College Math Success by Subgroup

11

7% 5%

15% 12%17%

8% 7%11%

6%

18%

36%43%

61%

48%51%

42%47%

55%

41%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Hispanic Black White Multi Other Hispanic Black White Multi Other

Female Male

Non-Statway Statway

Statway Student versus Comparison Student

Success Rates (C or better) AY 2013-1014

12

parity

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Stat

way

Stu

de

nt

Succ

ess

Rat

e

Comparison Student Success Rate

1 Semester

2 Quarters

1 Quarter

Focus improvement effort on

where we lose students

Statway Pareto Chart

14

190

150

110104

69

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

40

80

120

160

200

Failed SW1, DidNot Enroll in

SW2

Withdrew fromSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Failed

SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Withdrew

from SW2

Per

cen

t o

f Sy

stem

Fai

lure

s

Nu

mb

er o

f St

ud

ents

Failure Conditions

Mean Effects Don’t Tell the Story

15

College

SW1

successful

students

Successful -

Did not enroll

Percent not

enrolled

1 50 16 32%

2 11 3 27%

3 175 42 24%

4 31 7 23%

5 36 7 19%

6 50 8 16%

7 52 4 8%

8 81 6 7%

9 41 3 7%

10 55 4 7%

11 14 1 7%

12 83 5 6%

13 51 2 4%

14 32 1 3%

15 37 1 3%

16 20 0 0%

17 7 0 0%

18 13 0 0%

839 110

Statway Pareto Chart

16

190

150

110104

69

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

40

80

120

160

200

Failed SW1, DidNot Enroll in

SW2

Withdrew fromSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Failed

SW2

Succeeded inSW1, Withdrew

from SW2

Per

cen

t o

f Sy

stem

Fai

lure

s

Nu

mb

er o

f St

ud

ents

Failure Conditions

Engaging in Module 1 is very important

Productive Persistence Matters

19

28%

13%

45%

37%

55%

63%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Failed Mid-CourseAssessment

Failed End-of-CourseAssessment

Low Risk

ModerateRisk

High Risk

2014-15 Pathways Initiatives

20

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