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The World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2016-2022 energy business insight e: [email protected] t: +44 (0)203 4799 505 www.douglas-westwood.com Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore D & P Douglas-Westwood’s World Drilling and Pro- duction Market Forecast (DWD&P) provides unparalleled insight into global oil & gas drilling & production (D&P); the core driver of oilfield services and equipment markets worldwide. DWD&P provides a granular country-by-coun- try assessment of historic, current and future annual drilling & production activity for both the onshore and offshore sectors. The new quarterly issue of Douglas-West- wood’s (DW) World Drilling and Production Market Forecast (DWD&P) has been released. Major changes have been seen in the forecasts for China, UK and USA. Through to 2022 and utilising a proprietary methodology, DWD&P provides data analysis on 61 key countries, of- fering near-total historic and forecast volumes of hydrocarbon production and wells drilled, onshore and offshore. Based on detailed models, the report examines each country in turn and includes a summary of hydrocarbon potential and sensitised produc- tion outlook, with associated development drill- ing requirements segmented into oil & gas for the onshore sector and shallow vs. deep water depths for the offshore sector. Country-by- country exploration and appraisal (E&A) drilling forecasts for both the onshore and offshore sectors are also detailed. The World Drilling & Production Market Forecast contains: Drilling & production data – generated in-house through models exclusive to DW, we assess the prospects of 61 countries and determine historic, current and potential future production and associated develop- ment well-drilling requirements: oil & gas, onshore & offshore, exploration & appraisal (E&A) drilling and offshore; deep & shallow water. Detailed analysis – summary level overview analysis and market commentary provided at country-level alongside data and fore- casts. Identification of sensitised scenarios used to drive drilling forecasts. Full global coverage – the only product on the market able to provide such a level of granularity and confidence on the drilling and production market.

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The World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2016-2022energy business insight

e: [email protected] t: +44 (0)203 4799 505

www.douglas-westwood.com

Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore

D&PDouglas-Westwood’s World Drilling and Pro-duction Market Forecast (DWD&P) provides unparalleled insight into global oil & gas drilling & production (D&P); the core driver of oilfield services and equipment markets worldwide. DWD&P provides a granular country-by-coun-try assessment of historic, current and future annual drilling & production activity for both the onshore and offshore sectors.

The new quarterly issue of Douglas-West-wood’s (DW) World Drilling and Production Market Forecast (DWD&P) has been released. Major changes have been seen in the forecasts for China, UK and USA. Through to 2022 and utilising a proprietary methodology, DWD&P provides data analysis on 61 key countries, of-fering near-total historic and forecast volumes of hydrocarbon production and wells drilled, onshore and offshore.

Based on detailed models, the report examines each country in turn and includes a summary of hydrocarbon potential and sensitised produc-tion outlook, with associated development drill-ing requirements segmented into oil & gas for the onshore sector and shallow vs. deep water depths for the offshore sector. Country-by-

country exploration and appraisal (E&A) drilling forecasts for both the onshore and offshore sectors are also detailed.

The World Drilling & Production Market Forecast contains:

• Drilling & production data – generated in-house through models exclusive to DW, we assess the prospects of 61 countries and determine historic, current and potential future production and associated develop-ment well-drilling requirements: oil & gas, onshore & offshore, exploration & appraisal (E&A) drilling and offshore; deep & shallow water.

• Detailed analysis – summary level overview analysis and market commentary provided at country-level alongside data and fore-casts. Identification of sensitised scenarios used to drive drilling forecasts.

• Full global coverage – the only product on the market able to provide such a level of granularity and confidence on the drilling and production market.

The World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2016-2022energy business insight

e: [email protected] t: +44 (0)203 4799 505

www.douglas-westwood.com

Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore

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• Long-term outlook – a seven-year forecast from 2016 to 2022 provides a medium-term perspective on development drilling & produc-tion opportunities.

• Hindcast – annual data back to 2006 enables examination of each country’s long-term D&P trends.

• Comprehensive experience – gained from 25 years of research. This product has been developed through exposure to industry-lead-ing international M&A engagements including numerous diligence exercises conducted for oilfield services, equipment and drilling organisa-tions worldwide, including those in opaque or less-publicised markets such as China, the Middle East and Russia.

• Dynamic – an ongoing process, DWD&P research is updated continuously, allowing for regular updates and detailed knowledge of each country’s hydrocarbon activity and potential.

• Independent – through a refined methodology, this product does not rely on one source of external data, but uses a considered approach to derive historic, current and future views on each and every one of the 61 countries.

• Highly flexible – we believe that this product provides unrivalled segmentation of data / forecasts, but we are able to provide further detailed segmentation, grouping or analysis – including scenario comparison.

• Contact us for analyst support – through our network of global offices, we can pro-vide further insight through local analysts.

• Quarterly updates – for the highest level of accuracy, a subscription option is available for quarterly reports, but we also offer one-time purchase of the last released version.

ISBN 978-1-910045-30-5

D&PDrilling and Production

Driven by...

2016

World Drilling & Production Market Forecast

2016-2022Q1 March 2016

D&PDrilling and Production

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Contents

Table of Contents

1 Global Drilling and Production ..............................8Key Themes ................................................................................................................................... 9

Methodology ................................................................................................................................ 10

Global Production and Drilling ................................................................................................ 11

Global Production: Oil & Gas .................................................................................................. 12

Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................................ 13

Onshore Production and Drilling: Oil .................................................................................... 14

Onshore Production and Drilling: Gas ................................................................................... 15

Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................................ 16

Offshore Production and Drilling: Shallow Water ............................................................... 17

Offshore Production and Drilling: Deepwater ..................................................................... 18

2 Africa ......................................................................... 19Africa Overview .......................................................................................................................... 20

Algeria ........................................................................................................................................... 21

Angola ........................................................................................................................................... 22

Egypt .............................................................................................................................................. 23

Equatorial Guinea ........................................................................................................................ 24

Gabon ............................................................................................................................................ 25

Ghana ............................................................................................................................................ 26

Libya ............................................................................................................................................... 27

Mozambique ................................................................................................................................. 28

Nigeria ........................................................................................................................................... 29

Republic of Congo ...................................................................................................................... 30

Sudan and South Sudan .............................................................................................................. 31

Tanzania ......................................................................................................................................... 32

3 Asia-Pacific ............................................................... 33Asia-Pacific Overview................................................................................................................. 34

Australia ........................................................................................................................................ 35

Bangladesh .................................................................................................................................... 36

Brunei ............................................................................................................................................ 37

China ............................................................................................................................................. 38

India ............................................................................................................................................... 39

Indonesia ....................................................................................................................................... 40

Malaysia ......................................................................................................................................... 41

Myanmar ....................................................................................................................................... 42

Pakistan ......................................................................................................................................... 43

Thailand ......................................................................................................................................... 44

Vietnam ......................................................................................................................................... 45

4 Eastern Europe & FSU ........................................... 46Eastern Europe & FSU Overview............................................................................................. 47

Azerbaijan ..................................................................................................................................... 48

Kazakhstan.................................................................................................................................... 49

Poland ............................................................................................................................................ 50

Romania ........................................................................................................................................ 51

Russia ............................................................................................................................................. 52

Turkmenistan................................................................................................................................ 53

Ukraine.......................................................................................................................................... 54

Uzbekistan .................................................................................................................................... 55

5 Latin America .......................................................... 56Latin America Overview ............................................................................................................ 57

Argentina ...................................................................................................................................... 58

Bolivia ............................................................................................................................................ 59

Brazil .............................................................................................................................................. 60

Colombia ...................................................................................................................................... 61

Ecuador ......................................................................................................................................... 62

Mexico ........................................................................................................................................... 63

Peru ............................................................................................................................................... 64

Trinidad & Tobago ....................................................................................................................... 65

Venezuela ...................................................................................................................................... 66

6 Middle East ............................................................... 67Middle East Overview ................................................................................................................ 68

Bahrain .......................................................................................................................................... 69

Iran ................................................................................................................................................. 70

Iraq ................................................................................................................................................. 71

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Contents

Table of Contents

Israel .............................................................................................................................................. 72

Kuwait ........................................................................................................................................... 73

Oman ............................................................................................................................................. 74

Qatar ............................................................................................................................................. 75

Saudi Arabia ................................................................................................................................. 76

Syria ............................................................................................................................................... 77

Turkey ............................................................................................................................................ 78

UAE................................................................................................................................................ 79

Yemen ............................................................................................................................................ 80

7 North America ....................................................... 81North America Overview ......................................................................................................... 82

Canada .......................................................................................................................................... 83

USA ................................................................................................................................................ 84

8 Western Europe ..................................................... 85Western Europe Overview ....................................................................................................... 86

Albania ........................................................................................................................................... 87

Denmark ....................................................................................................................................... 88

Germany ....................................................................................................................................... 89

Italy ................................................................................................................................................ 90

Netherlands ................................................................................................................................. 91

Norway ......................................................................................................................................... 92

UK .................................................................................................................................................. 93

9 Appendix .................................................................. 94Barriers and Limitations ............................................................................................................ 95

Acronyms, Conventions & Coverage .................................................................................... 96

Appendix A: Production and Drilling in 2016 and 2022 ..................................................... 97

Appendix B: Global Market Proportions in 2016 and 2022 ............................................... 98

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Contents

Figures

Figure 1: Effect of Oil Supply and Demand Changes, on Oversupply .................................................9

Figure 2: Global Production 2006-2022 .......................................................................................................... 11

Figure 3: Global Wells Drilled 2006-2022 ...................................................................................................... 11

Figure 4: Global Oil Production 2006-2022 .................................................................................................. 12

Figure 5: Global Gas Production 2006-2022 ................................................................................................. 12

Figure 6: Global Onshore Production 2006-2022 ...................................................................................... 13

Figure 7: Global Onshore Wells Drilled 2006-2022 .................................................................................. 13

Figure 8: Global Onshore Oil Production 2006-2022 .............................................................................. 14

Figure 9: Global Onshore Oil Wells Drilled 2006-2022 ......................................................................... 14

Figure 10: Global Onshore Gas Production 2006-2022 ......................................................................... 15

Figure 11: Global Onshore Gas Wells Drilled 2006-2022 ..................................................................... 15

Figure 12: Global Offshore Production 2006-2022 ................................................................................... 16

Figure 13: Global Offshore Wells Drilled 2006-2022 ............................................................................... 16

Figure 14: Global Shallow Water Production 2006-2022....................................................................... 17

Figure 15: Global Shallow Water Wells Drilled 2006-2022 .................................................................. 17

Figure 16: Global Deepwater Production 2006-2022 .............................................................................. 18

Figure 17: Global Deepwater Wells Drilled 2006-2022 .......................................................................... 18

Figure 18: Africa Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................... 20

Figure 19: Africa Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................... 20

Figure 20: Algeria Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 21

Figure 21: Angola Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 22

Figure 22: Angola Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 22

Figure 23: Egypt Onshore Production and Drilling..................................................................................... 23

Figure 24: Egypt Offshore Production and Drilling..................................................................................... 23

Figure 25: Equitorial Guinea Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................... 24

Figure 26: Gabon Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 25

Figure 27: Gabon Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 25

Figure 28: Ghana Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 26

Figure 29: Libya Onshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 27

Figure 30: Libya Offshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 27

Figure 31: Mozambique Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................... 28

Figure 32: Mozambique Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................... 28

Figure 33: Nigeria Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 29

Figure 34: Nigeria Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 29

Figure 35: Republic of Congo Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................ 30

Figure 36: Republic of Congo Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................ 30

Figure 37: Sudan and South Sudan Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................. 31

Figure 38: Tanzania Onshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 32

Figure 39: Tanzania Offshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 32

Figure 40: Asia Onshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 34

Figure 41: Asia Offshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 34

Figure 42: Australia Onshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 35

Figure 43: Australia Offshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 35

Figure 44: Bangladesh Onshore Production and Drilling ......................................................................... 36

Figure 45: Bangladesh Offshore Production and Drilling ......................................................................... 36

Figure 46: Brunei Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 37

Figure 47: Brunei Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 37

Figure 48: China Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................... 38

Figure 49: China Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................... 38

Figure 50: India Onshore Production and Drilling ...................................................................................... 39

Figure 51: India Offshore Production and Drilling ...................................................................................... 39

Figure 52: Indonesia Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................ 40

Figure 53: Indonesia Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................ 40

Figure 54: Malaysia Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 41

Figure 55: Myanmar Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................ 42

Figure 56: Myanmar Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................ 42

Figure 57: Pakistan Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 43

Figure 58: Thailand Onshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 44

Figure 59: Thailand Offshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 44

Figure 60: Vietnam Offshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 45

Figure 61: Eastern Europe & FSU Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................ 47

Figure 62: Eastern Europe & FSU Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................ 47

Figure 63: Azerbaijan Onshore Production and Drilling .......................................................................... 48

Figure 64: Azerbaijan Offshore Production and Drilling .......................................................................... 48

Figure 65: Kazakhstan Onshore Production and Drilling ......................................................................... 49

Figure 66: Kazakhstan Offshore Production and Drilling ......................................................................... 49

Figure 67: Poland Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 50

Figure 68: Poland Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................................. 50

Figure 69: Romania Onshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 51

Figure 70: Romania Offshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 51

© 2016 Douglas-Westwood 5World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2016-2022 Q1By purchasing this document, your organisation agrees that it will not copy or allow to be copied in part or whole or otherwise circulated in any form any of the contents without the written permission of Douglas-Westwood

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Contents

Figures

Figure 71: Russia Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 52

Figure 72: Russia Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 52

Figure 73: Turkmenistan Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................... 53

Figure 74: Turkmenistan Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................... 53

Figure 75: Ukraine Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 54

Figure 76: Ukraine Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 54

Figure 77: Uzbekistan Onshore Production and Drilling ......................................................................... 55

Figure 78: Latin America Onshore Production and Drilling .................................................................. 57

Figure 79: Latin America Offshore Production and Drilling .................................................................. 57

Figure 80: Argentina Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 58

Figure 81: Argentina Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 58

Figure 82: Bolivia Onshore Production and Drilling................................................................................... 59

Figure 83: Brazil Onshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 60

Figure 84: Brazil Offshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 60

Figure 85: Colombia Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 61

Figure 86: Colombia Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 61

Figure 87: Ecuador Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 62

Figure 88: Mexico Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 63

Figure 89: Mexico Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 63

Figure 90: Peru Onshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 64

Figure 91: Peru Offshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 64

Figure 92: Trinidad & Tobago Onshore Production and Drilling ......................................................... 65

Figure 93: Trinidad & Tobago Offshore Production and Drilling ......................................................... 65

Figure 94: Venezuela Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 66

Figure 95: Venezuela Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................... 66

Figure 96: Middle East Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................ 68

Figure 97: Middle East Offshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................ 68

Figure 98: Bahrain Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 69

Figure 99: Iran Onshore Production and Drilling ........................................................................................ 70

Figure 100: Iran Offshore Production and Drilling...................................................................................... 70

Figure 101: Iraq Onshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 71

Figure 102: Israel Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 72

Figure 103: Israel Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 72

Figure 104: Kuwait Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 73

Figure 105: Kuwait Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 73

Figure 106: Oman Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 74

Figure 107: Oman Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................ 74

Figure 108: Qatar Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 75

Figure 109: Qatar Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................. 75

Figure 110: Saudi Arabia Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................... 76

Figure 111: Saudi Arabia Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................... 76

Figure 112: Syria Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 77

Figure 113: Turkey Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 78

Figure 114: Turkey Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 78

Figure 115: UAE Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 79

Figure 116: UAE Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................................... 79

Figure 117: Yemen Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................... 80

Figure 118: North America Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................. 82

Figure 119: North America Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................. 82

Figure 120: Canada Onshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................. 83

Figure 121: Canada Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................. 83

Figure 122: USA Onshore Production and Drilling.................................................................................... 84

Figure 123: USA Offshore Production and Drilling.................................................................................... 84

Figure 124: Western Europe Onshore Production and Drilling .......................................................... 86

Figure 125: Western Europe Offshore Production and Drilling .......................................................... 86

Figure 126: Albania Onshore Production and Drilling .............................................................................. 87

Figure 127: Denmark Offshore Production and Drilling.......................................................................... 88

Figure 128: Germany Onshore Production and Drilling .......................................................................... 89

Figure 129: Germany Offshore Production and Drilling .......................................................................... 89

Figure 130: Italy Onshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 90

Figure 131: Italy Offshore Production and Drilling ..................................................................................... 90

Figure 132: Netherlands Onshore Production and Drilling ................................................................... 91

Figure 133: Netherlands Offshore Production and Drilling ................................................................... 91

Figure 134: Norway Offshore Production and Drilling ............................................................................ 92

Figure 135: UK Onshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 93

Figure 136: UK Offshore Production and Drilling ....................................................................................... 93

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Notes & Acknowledgements

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Market Forecast

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