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Ebook from The Binary Optioner on the binary options world: what they are, how to use them, how to pick the broker, strategies to profitably trade binary options
Citation preview
What you should know about
Binary Options
This ebook does not explain what binary options are and how to use
them; for these purposes you can read one of the many ebooks
published by the brokers and available from their websites. The Binary
Optioner ebook focuses on the tricky things about binary options:
- Why to trade binary options ?
- How to pick binary brokers?
- Which are the regulated binary brokers?
- The statistics of the binary platforms and expected returns of the
trader: are binary options really statistically biased in favor of
binary brokers?
- Advanced tools for the professional trader: trading signals by
sms/email and trading systems.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 2
Important notice Please read carefully
By proceeding to read this ebook you accept to be bound by the Terms & Conditions and
the Privacy Policy of the website www.thebinaryoptioner.com. The Binary Optioner
strongly advises you to carefully read this notice, together with the Terms & Conditions of
the website www.thebinaryoptioner.com. If you disagree with the Terms & Conditions
and/or with this notice, please do not proceed to read this ebook “What you should know
about binary options”. You assume total responsibility and risk for the use of the content of
this ebook, of the website www.thebinaryoptioner.com and of any material downloaded.
No statement within the ebook should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a
security or to provide investment advice. Any opinion, news, research, price analysis, or
any other information given in this ebook or in the website www.thebinaryoptioner.com is
given as a general comment and for information purposes and does not represent
financial advice. Many of the matters discussed are subject to detailed rules, regulations,
and statutory provisions which should be referred to for additional detail and are subject
to changes that may not be reflected in the ebook information.
Past results are not indicative of futures results. Options and derivatives involve a high
amount of risk and are not suitable for all investors; in the trading of binary options you
may incur in the loss of the entire capital invested. Do no trade options, binary options
and/or derivatives without understanding the nature of this trading, these financial assets,
the risk involved in trading derivatives and without asserting your trading education,
experience, competence and risk adversion.
IN NO EVENT WILL THEBINARYOPTIONER.COM BE LIABLE FOR ANY INCIDENTAL,
CONSEQUENTIAL, OR INDIRECT DAMAGES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, DAMAGES
FOR LOSS OF PROFITS, BUSINESS INTERRUPTION, LOSS OF PROGRAMS OR INFORMATION,
AND THE LIKE) ARISING OUT OF THE USE OF OR INABILITY TO USE THE SERVICE, OR ANY
INFORMATION, OR TRANSACTIONS PROVIDED ON THE SERVICE, OR DOWNLOADED FROM
THE SERVICE, OR ANY DELAY OF SUCH INFORMATION OR SERVICE EVEN IF
THEBINARYOPTIONER.COM HAS BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, OR
ANY CLAIM ATTRIBUTABLE TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR OTHER INACCURACIES IN THE
SERVICE AND/OR MATERIALS OR INFORMATION DOWNLOADED THROUGH THE SERVICE.
The Binary Optioner makes no representations whatsoever about any other web site which
you may access through this ebook or which may link to the site
www.thebinaryoptioner.com. When you access a website through links contained in the
website www.thebinaryoptioner.com , please understand that it is independent from The
Binary Optioner, and that The Binary Optioner has no control over the content on that
external web site. In addition, a link to The Binary Optioner website does not mean that
The Binary Optioner endorses or accepts any responsibility for the content, or the use, of
such web site.
You agree to indemnify, defend and hold harmless The Binary Optioner, its officers,
directors, employees, agents, licensors, suppliers and any third party information providers
to the Service from and against all losses, expenses, damages and costs, including
reasonable attorneys’ fees, resulting from any violation of this Agreement (including
negligent or wrongful conduct) by you or any other person accessing the Service.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 3
Why to trade binary options?
The reason why to trade binary options is not because they are easier to trade
than other financial assets (maybe they are, maybe not) or because you can
make more or easier money than in Forex or in Stocks or in traditional Options.
You want to trade binary options to make money, exactly for the same
reason you want to trade Futures, Forex, Stocks or Options. It is just
another way of trying to make money. As simple as that.
Are these features really differentiating binary options from other assets?
Quick expiry times: from 60 seconds to many months.
This is not only for binary options; you go in and out in 60 seconds in almost
every assets, and even less.
Simplicity: the investment decision is Up or Down, Above or Below, In or Out
of the boundary, Touch or Not Touch.
Apart from some advanced strategies in traditional options, basically all the
financial assets trading is all about “Up or Down”.
Profitability: trading in binary options can make you even 85-90% per trade,
and several hundred percent in One Touch binary options.
Many derivatives have these kinds of return, not only binary options.
Limited risk: unlike Forex, where you can get margin calls, in binary options
you can lose not more than the amount invested.
This is true also for traditional options, not only binary options, or in stock
trading when you go long and not on margin.
Stop loss/profit target: no need to manage the exit, whether it be in the loss
or in the profit.
Also in this case, traditional options are like binary options
No need to calculate the number of shares or options or futures to buy/sell,
you just need to set the amount you want to risk.
True, but I don’t think this is a major factor.
So, our answer to the question “why to trade binary options” is to
“make money”, and to “why to trade binary options instead of forex or
stocks or futures or options” is because “we like binary options”, just
like you could like the other financial instruments better.
AS SIMPLE AS THAT!
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 4
How to pick the broker
How should you pick the broker?
Based on the assets portfolio on binary options?
Of course, the higher the number the bigger your choice and the better for you.
Based on the return of the binary options offered by the broker?
Of course, getting 85% is better than 70% when you are in-the-money, and getting
back 10% is better than losing 100% when you are out-of-the-money.
Based on bonuses?
Maybe, but you MUST know EXACTLY what a bonus legally means for your account
and your money.
Based on the kinds of binary options?
Also, for the same reason: more choice means better choice (maybe).
I only tell you a couple of important things about this point.
“One Touch” options
Do you ask yourself why they are only “Touch” but not “No Touch”? Why do you
think the returns are so high but only if the assets touches the target price? Maybe
because statistically the probability of “touching” is so low? Probably this is the
reason. Our suggestion is not to trade One Touch binary options, because they are
too biased in favor of the broker. In other words, only if the broker offers both the
“Touch” and the “No Touch” version, on the same asset and for the same expiry, is
the algorithm of the platform fair, in order to “protect” the broker profitability, and
only in this case are the upper and lower target prices statistically balanced; if
instead the broker offers only the “Touch” version (called “One Touch”), then there
is a high probability that the platform has set the target prices (upper or lower)
significantly far away from the market price (but not too far away in order not to
deter investors), making statistically very difficult for the trader to be in-the-money.
The extremely high return (300-400-500% !) is just a way to attract trades in
transactions that will hardly expire in-the-money.
Past closing prices
The second word concerns whether or not the broker has a page in its website
reporting the prices of the previous expiry times. If that is the case, the trader can
compare the broker closing prices with the prices of the most important data
providers (Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg, just to give two examples). All the serious
brokers should have this service as a way to be fully transparent.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 5
Let’s continue now with the way you should pick the broker.
Based on where the broker is legally located?
This is for sure an important factor: even if the binary industry is getting regulated
just recently after the ruling of the CySEC (May 2012), the majority of the brokers
are still incorporated in fiscal paradise, and knowing which jurisdiction will be in
case the one settling a dispute with the broker might be relevant for you.
Based on the Terms & Conditions of the Brokers? YES
Based on whether the broker is regulated or not ? YES
In few words, you shall pick the broker mainly among those who are
regulated and after having read the Terms & Conditions in full.
How to read the Terms & Conditions of the binary options broker
So let’s look at the way you should read the Terms & Conditions
This is one of the most important points, and at the same time one of the least
looked at.
We will see that the most delicate points in the Terms & Conditions are related to
the withdrawal process (quick or slow? fees? conditions limiting or even prohibiting
the withdraw?) and to strange clauses forcing the customer to trade a minimum
amount of money before having the possibility to get back his money, or even
part of it, even in the absence of a bonus.
For these reasons you MUST read the Terms & Conditions, or get the help of
professional website like www.thebinaryoptioner.com in order to be sure that the
T&C are ok.
What do you have to read in particular? Let’s look at some Terms & Conditions in
order to understand in practical terms.
In order to speed up and simplify the analysis, copy and paste the Terms in MS
Word, and look for the keywords “withdraw” and “bonus”, and you will find the
most delicate and important sections for you.
Withdrawal process
With “withdraw” you will get also “withdrawal”, “withdrawing” etc. In these
sections you will find the conditions of the withdrawal procedure: documents to be
submitted, data verification process by the broker for security purposes, number of
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 6
days the broker reserves for the whole process, the ways and the fees of the
money transfer from the broker to the credit card or the bank account of the
trader. It is important to know that the data and personal documents controls are
necessary for the anti-laundering laws, and that for the same reasons the broker
will transfer to the credit card, from which the first deposit originated, an amount
not higher that the deposits and will transfer the excess amount to the bank
account of the trader. All this means that the broker must accurately control the
trader identity and the bank account to be credited. Usually, from these sections
you can see brokers who want a fair number of days to perform the security
controls and brokers who take advantage of the need to control the data and
require up to 15 to 20 days before transferring the money. Also the withdrawal fees
differ a lot among brokers, and also this must be taken into consideration in
selecting the broker.
Bonuses
The sections concerning the “bonus” keyword are even more important, because
they list the conditions and the contractual limits binding the customers when they
accept the bonuses.
Let’s look directly at the following examples of Terms & Conditions.
Examples of Terms & Conditions
Case 1 to 6 are considered by The Binary Optioner to be fair and acceptable,
whilst cases 7 and 8 should be considered as not acceptable.
Case 1
“8 SPECIAL OFFERS, BENEFITS AND BONUSES
…….
8.2 Unless stated otherwise in the terms of the offer, a precondition for making
withdrawals after using the bonus/benefit is to buy options of 15 times the amount
of the bonus/benefit.
…….
8.4 The bonuses/benefits must be used within the period defined in the details of
the special offer. Should the bonus/benefit fail to be used within this time frame,
the bonus/benefit will be withdrawn from the client’s account.
8.5 Once receiving the bonuses/benefits, the client has 3 (three) calendar months
to complete the total amount of investments required as a precondition for
withdrawal. If the required total amount of investments is not reached during this
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 7
time period, the company will withdraw the bonuses/benefits funds from the
client’s account according to its discretion.”
Under these conditions, in the presence of a bonus, if the value of the transactions
do not reach 15 times the value of the bonus within 3 calendar month, only the
bonus value is at risk and can be canceled by the broker from the account, but
the investor is free to withdraw the available money on the account; clearly he will
not be able to withdraw the value of the bonus, or part of it.
Case 2
“Special Offers, Benefits & Bonuses
PLEASE READ ALL TERMS & CONDITIONS BELOW BEFORE ACCEPTING A BONUS. YOU
ARE NOT REQUIRED TO ACCEPT A BONUS. A TRADING BONUS IS OPTIONAL FOR ALL
ACCOUNT HOLDERS. EVERY BONUS REQUIRES A TRADING TURNOVER BEFORE ANY
WITHDRAWAL IS MADE BY THE ACCOUNT HOLDER. BY ACCEPTING A BONUS YOU
ARE AGREEING TO THE TERMS AND CONDITIONS BELOW. ALL BONUS INSERTIONS
ARE FINAL.
Special Offers, Trade Refunds, Benefits and Bonuses
Please read carefully before accepting a special offer, trade refund, benefit, or
bonus.
……..
2. Unless stated otherwise in writing from [broker name] and only [broker name],
the terms of the offer, a precondition for making withdrawals after using the
bonus/benefit is to buy options of 20 times the amount of the bonus/benefit plus
the deposit amount. Example: (deposit + bonus x 20 = required turnover for
withdrawal)
……..
4. The bonuses/benefits must be used within the period defined in the details of the
special offer. Should the bonus/benefit fail to be used within this time frame, the
bonus/benefit will be withdrawn from the client’s account.
5. ……..
By accepting a bonus into your account, you are agreeing to the terms and
conditions above. NOTE: If the required turnover is not met when making a
withdrawal request – the withdrawal request will be automatically canceled.
NOTE: [Broker name] DOES NOT RECOMMEND TAKING A BONUS UNLESS YOU KNOW
HOW MAKE IT WORK IN YOUR ADVANTAGE AS LEVERAGE. BY ACCEPTING A BONUS
YOU ARE AGREEING TO THE ABOVE TERMS.
Dormant Accounts Procedure
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 8
1. [broker name] client accounts in which there have been no transactions
(trading / withdrawals / deposits), for a set period of 12 months, will be considered
by [broker name] as being dormant accounts. 2. Dormant accounts will be
charged an annual maintenance fee of US$25 or the full amount of the free
balance in the account if the free balance is less than US$25. There will be no
charge if the free balance is zero. Consequently, all accounts with a zero free
balance will be closed.“
Before making a withdrawal in the presence of a bonus, there must be a number
of trades for a value of 20 times the value of the bonus plus the deposit, which
means:
Required transactions value = (deposit) + (bonus x 20).
The broker can also set deadline within which these transactions must be
performed, otherwise the bonus can be canceled.
There is no limitation in the absence of a bonus: this might be an obvious assertion
but there are certain brokers which impose a minimum value of trades also with no
bonus given to the trader before the he/she can withdraw, even partially, his/her
money (case 7).
The accounts inactive for 12 months are charged $25 or, if the balance is less than
$25, an amount equal to the balance, therefore in this last case set to zero and
then canceled.
Case 3
”Bonus conditions:
…….
Bonuses are only available for withdrawal after trading X times the volume of the
bonus value.
For example if a bonus of 100$ is granted, the trader must complete a total trading
volume of x times 100$ before the bonus is available for withdrawal (subject to
account balance).
…….
In the event that the entire or part of the deposit on which the bonus is given is
withdrawn before X times the bonus has been traded, then the following shall
apply:
1. The bonus shall be canceled.
2. In the case of trading losses, all the trading losses will be deducted from the
original deposit and the remaining balance may be withdrawn.
3. In the case of profits, the trading profits shall be canceled and the original
deposit may be withdrawn.”
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 9
If the trader receives a bonus, the minimum turnover in transactions required is
equal to “X” times the value of the bonus before the investor is able to make any
kind of withdrawal from his account, even out of the original deposit. The multiplier
is not specified in the general Terms & Conditions, but it is set for each specific
bonus. If the trader would like to withdraw even partially from the account after
having received the bonus and before reaching the minimum required value of
transactions, the bonus is canceled together with the profits generated while the
bonus present on the account; the losses instead remain and charged to the
account and the trader can only withdraw the original deposit less the losses
incurred; in the best scenario then, the trader will withdraw no more than the
original deposit.
We strongly suggest that before accepting a bonus you must know precisely the
Terms of the same bonus.
Case 4
”11. Withdrawal Procedure
….
For bank wire transfers, [broker name] covers the withdrawal fee for the first
withdrawal of a given month, any subsequent withdrawal using bank transfer will
accompany a processing fee of $30, which covers the transfer fee.
…..
Once a withdrawal request has been submitted, it can take [broker name] up to 3
business days to process the request. Once the request has been approved please
allow an additional 5-7 days for the funds to show in your account.
…..
12. Investment Reward and Bonus Policy
…….. Unless stated otherwise on specific promotions the default promotional terms
apply to all bonuses as shown below:
Withdrawal of funds which have received additional rewards, bonuses, or
promotions, require a trading volume fulfillment of 30 times the bonus or in the
even of a refund bonus 20 times the bonus amount. The trade volume
requirement begins upon receipt of the bonus in the traders account. Upon
receipt of the bonus, the trading requirement must be fulfilled prior to withdrawing
funds from the account……”
Apart from some redundant concepts, also in this case without any bonus there
are no limitations to withdraw.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 10
Case 5
”18.4. Withdrawal instructions.
…….
The maximum bonus amount is 4.000 EUR/USD/GBP
1. …….
2. Bonuses are only available for withdrawal after a trading volume of 20 times
the bonus value has been met. For example if a bonus of $50 is received, a
total trading volume of $1000 must be made by the trader before the bonus
can be withdrawn.
3. In case you decide to use the early closure feature, only 50% of the amount
you invested on an option will be counted in the trading volume.
4. ……….
5. ……….
6. Should the entire or part of the deposit on which the bonus is given be
withdrawn prior to the 20 times the bonus volume has been traded then the
following shall happen:
The Bonus shall be cancelled
All the trading losses will come from the original deposit and the remaining
balance may be withdrawn.
The trading profits may be cancelled and the original deposit will be
available for withdrawal. ”
The bonuses are available for withdrawal after transactions worth 20 times the
value of the bonus. For example, if you receive a bonus of 50$, it is necessary to
perform as many trades for a value of 1.000$ before the bonus can be withdrawn.
In case of withdraw, even partial, from the account on which the bonus has been
credited before the 20x condition is satisfied, then:
The bonus is canceled;
All the trading losses will come from the original deposit and the remaining
balance may be withdrawn.
The trading profits may be cancelled and the original deposit will be
available for withdrawal. ”
Like it happens with other brokers, if you want to withdraw before making the
minimum turnover required by the bonus’ conditions, you will be able to withdraw
the amount deposited less the losses incurred. Not only the bonus but also the
profits generated while the bonus is credited on the account will be cancelled.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 11
Case 6
”Special Offers and Bonuses
Benefits and Bonuses may be offered by the Company from time to time, and shall
be credited to the client’s account subject to the terms of the offer made to the
client, e.g. making minimum deposits and/or executing certain trade volume
within a specified time period.
Unless mentioned otherwise in the terms of the offer, if the client wishes to make a
withdrawal after receiving the bonus, he/she can do so only after executing a
trade volume (aggregated sum of investments) 20 times the amount of the
bonus/benefit AND at least 20 trades. ”
In brief, unless the conditions of bonus state otherwise, if a customer want to
withdraw he has to generate trading turnover for a value of 20 times the bonus
and 20 operations.
In the absence of the bonus there are no limitations to withdraw.
Now we will look two examples of Terms & Conditions extremely in favor of the
broker, and unfair for the investors.
Case 7
”7. Specific Conditions of Use
Withdrawals: …… §30active trading days are necessary in order to ask for a
withdrawal.§15 times the trading volume is required in order to make a withdrawal
and also withdraw the Bonus § Processing the withdrawal request takes a period of
3 to 5 business. if the conditions are fulfilled and the request is approved, the sum
will be paid within a period of 7 to 10 working days. § You will be charged a
penalty fee of 45€ for any withdrawal of sums less than or equal to 300 Euros. § A
fee of 15% will be charged for all withdrawals above 300 Euros.§ [broker’s name]
authorizes withdrawals up to a maximum value of 5000 USD or Euros per month. In
the event that a trader wishes to withdraw earnings of a value greater than 5000
USD or Euros, they will be forced to spread out the withdrawal over several months.
Bonus:
…….. There is never any obligation to accept these bonuses. ……..”
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 12
Three are the constraints quite burdensome:
the need to carry out trading activities for 30 days before you can withdraw,
the obligation to make operations for a value of 15 times the initial deposit
regardless of the presence of the bonus,
the excessive fee of 15% of the value of the withdrawal, with a minimum fee
of €45.
It does not matter that much if within the bonus section the broker underlines that
there is no obligation to accept the bonus: the constraint of the minimum turnover
in binary operations is valid even without the bonus.
And incredible is also the condition for those willing to withdraw more than €/$
5.000; apart from the fact that the wording of the article seems to refer only to
withdrawals of profits, therefore excluding the case of withdrawals of funds
deposited, limiting the withdrawal to $5,000 and divide the surplus in withdrawals
to be made in "several months" without even indicating how many months of
delay seems too unfair.
Not to mention the English style, quite approximate and superficial.
For all the above reasons, these Terms & Conditions seem unfair and unjust, and for
that not be accepted at all.
Case 8
”19. ……. Withdrawals shall be made according to the site procedures and will
take up to fourteen (14) banking days or as determined by the billing services
provider of the site, the longer between the two.
21. The Company, at its sole discretion, may decide (but not be obliged to do so)
to offer bonuses, promotional offers or any other kind of benefits to the Client, to
set its conditions, and/or change them without prior notice to the Client. The
Company shall not be subject to reason its decision nor to be forced to do the
same in future transactions of the Client. Once a bonus has been
awarded/accredited to a clients account, they will be subject to execute
transactions in an amount of at least ten (10) times the deposit amount and might
also subject to minimum deposit and/or minimum volume of trading and/or a
certain time limit. Furthermore, the Company may, at its sole discretion, credit the
Client with up to Thirty five Percent (35%) bonus for each deposit made by the
Client up to a maximum of one thousand five Hundred ($1500). ”
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 13
The important and unfair conditions are:
the delay of 14 days before transferring the money is quite long and
unjustified even for all possible controls for identity security and anti-
laundering purposes;
the broker reserves the right to credit on the customer’s account a bonus up
to 35% of the deposit, with no possibility for the customer to reject it, which
means that the broker has the right to artificially create the bonus and to
impose the subsequent bonus conditions of the minimum turnover of
transactions, which could mean that the broker can avoid any request of
withdrawal by simply crediting the bonus!
These conditions must be considered unfair and unjust and for that not
acceptable.
Broker’s legal head office
If you want to know where the legal office of the broker is located, not always the
address indicated in the “contacts” section is the legal address, because for
marketing purposes the address mentioned could be the one of the call center or,
even more frequently, only the phone numbers, email addresses, IM and online
chat tools are shown. In order to know without doubt the legal jurisdiction of the
broker (and of the disputes arising between the broker and the customers), you
have to look in the Terms & Conditions, and see if within the first clauses the
corporate name and the address of the broker are published; if in the Terms &
Conditions this information is not given, then it is necessary to look at the end of
Terms & Conditions and find at least the legal jurisdiction competent in case of
legal disputes arising between the broker and the customers: you won’t know the
precise address but at least the country where the broker is located.
Here are a couple of examples.
In the first, the Terms & Conditions of the broker indicate precisely corporate name
(that we have hidden) and legal address.
“1. This Agreement is entered into by [broker name] registered under the laws of
_The British Virgin Islands having its registered office at [broker’s address]
(hereinafter referred to as: the “Company”) and yourself (hereinafter referred to
as: “you” or “Customer”) (In this Agreement the Company and you may be
referred to collectively as the: “Parties”).”
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 14
In the second, only the jurisdiction competent for legal disputes is indicated
(Cyprus), which means that the broker is legally located in Cyprus.
“12 Law and Jurisdiction
The laws of the state of Cyprus shall govern the use of the Site and all its
consequences including the Terms of Use. The competent court in Larnaca, Cyprus
shall have sole jurisdiction over any matter involving use of the Site.”
To conclude, looking at the Terms & Conditions of the different brokers, it is clear
that there are brokers which are highly professional and serious, as well as brokers
which take advantage of the fact the potential customers do not read the
contract between them and the broker and chose the broker on the basis of
marketing campaigns, advertising, promotion activities in general.
It is therefore necessary to carefully read both the T&C regulating the trading
account and the relationship between broker and customer, and the specific
conditions of the trading bonuses that brokers offer constantly to attract new
customers.
One of the services rendered by The Binary Optioner is to highlight brokers with
clear, fair and just Terms & Conditions.
For any question you are welcome to write to us at [email protected]
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 15
The statistics behind binary options platforms
This article will show you how your success rate need to be in order to make money
under the different combinations of return/rebate.
We split our explanations under the two different scenarios: efficient market theory
and non-efficient market theory.
In the efficient market theory, a trader can call the market right 50% of the times,
and on the other side he is in the loss side in the other 50% of times; in the opposite
hypothesis that the efficient market theory is not valid, the probability of the trader
to be in the right position is not necessarily equal to 50%, but depends on his/her
ability to predict the market movement.
Some definitions:
Return: payout for the trader when the binary option expires in-the-money (ITM);
usually between 70% and 85%;
Rebate: payout for the trader when the binary option expires out-of-the-money
(OTM); usually between 0% and 15%.
Expected return: statistical return that the platform or the trader should expect
when trading indefinitely.
Assumption: efficient marker theory
Under this hypothesis, we can calculate the expected returns for the platform and
for the investor as follows.
Platform Expected Return = ((1-Probability of winning) x (1-Rebate) - (Probability of
losing x Return))
which in the case of the platform paying out 100% return and rebating 0% is:
Platform Expected Return = ((1 – 50%) x (1-0%)) – (50% x 100%) = 0%
So, with the Return set at 100% and Rebate at 0% the expected return is $0.
If the option return is 90% and the rebate is 0% we have :
Platform Expected Return = ((1 – 50%) x (1-0%) – (50% x 90%)) = (50% – 45%) = 5%
Investor Expected Return = ((50% x 90%) – (1 – 50%) x (1-0%)) = (45% – 50%) = -5%
This means that statistically the binary investor must expect to lose 5% if the
probability to be in-the-money and to be out-of-the-money is 50% (this being like
the case of the Head or Tail game), while under the same circumstances the
expected return of the binary platform is 5%.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 16
We can then calculate the platform and the investor expected returns for different
pairs of Return-Rebate
Return 70% - Rebate 10%:
Platform Expected Return = ((1 – 50%) x (1-10%) – (50% x 70%)) = (45% – 35%) = 10%
Investor Expected Return = ((50% x 70%) – (1 – 50%) x (1-10%)) = (35% – 45%) = -10%
This means that investing infinite times in binary options with return 70% and rebate
10%, the investor will lose 10% and the platform will make 10% under the
assumptions of the Efficient Market Theory (50% of probability to be in-the-money,
50% to be out-of-the-money)
Return 90% - Rebate 10%:
Platform Expected Return = ((1 – 50%) x (1-10%) – (50% x 90%)) = (45% – 45%) = 0%
Investor Expected Return = ((50% x 90%) – (1 – 50%) x (1-10%)) = (45% – 45%) = 0%
This case is equivalent to the case Return 100% - Rebate 0%; the closer the sum
Return+Rebate to 100%, the closer the expected returns to 0%.
Assumption: the efficient market theory is not valid
In this case, we assume that the trader can be more successful than 50%.
Hypothesis 1: Return of 85%, Rebate 0%, trader success rate 68% of the time:
Investor Expected Return = ((68% x 85%) – (1 – 68%) x (1-0%)) = (0.578 – 0.32) = 25.8%
Hypothesis 2: Return of 85%, Rebate 0%, trader success rate 60% of the time:
Investor Expected Return = ((60% x 85%) – (1 – 60%) x (1-0%)) = (51% – 40%) = 11%
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 17
Developing the different trio of Return-Rebate-Trader Success Rate, we can put
together the below table and summarize as follows:
EXPECTED RETURNS
Investor's success rate
50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Platform Return = 60% - 0% -20.0% -4.0% 12.0% 28.0% 44.0% 60.0%
Platform Return = 70%-0% -15.0% 2.0% 19.0% 36.0% 53.0% 70.0%
Platform Return = 80%-0% -10.0% 8.0% 26.0% 44.0% 62.0% 80.0%
Platform Return = 90%-0% -5.0% 14.0% 33.0% 52.0% 71.0% 90.0%
Platform Return = 100%-0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%
Platform Return = 60%-5% -17.5% -2.0% 13.5% 29.0% 44.5% 60.0%
Platform Return = 70%-5% -12.5% 4.0% 20.5% 37.0% 53.5% 70.0%
Platform Return = 80%-5% -7.5% 10.0% 27.5% 45.0% 62.5% 80.0%
Platform Return = 90%-5% -2.5% 16.0% 34.5% 53.0% 71.5% 90.0%
Platform Return = 100%-5% 2.5% 22.0% 41.5% 61.0% 80.5% 100.0%
Platform Return = 60%-10% -15.0% 0.0% 15.0% 30.0% 45.0% 60.0%
Platform Return = 70%-10% -10.0% 6.0% 22.0% 38.0% 54.0% 70.0%
Platform Return = 80%-10% -5.0% 12.0% 29.0% 46.0% 63.0% 80.0%
Platform Return = 90%-10% 0.0% 18.0% 36.0% 54.0% 72.0% 90.0%
Platform Return = 100%-
10% 5.0% 24.0% 43.0% 62.0% 81.0% 100.0%
Platform Return = 60%-15% -12.5% 2.0% 16.5% 31.0% 45.5% 60.0%
Platform Return = 70%-15% -7.5% 8.0% 23.5% 39.0% 54.5% 70.0%
Platform Return = 80%-15% -2.5% 14.0% 30.5% 47.0% 63.5% 80.0%
Platform Return = 90%-15% 2.5% 20.0% 37.5% 55.0% 72.5% 90.0%
Platform Return = 100%-
15% 7.5% 26.0% 44.5% 63.0% 81.5% 100.0%
The lines in bold are the most common combinations of return/rebate among
binary brokers, the lines in shadow are not realistic combinations of return/rebate
and are shown here only for comprehension purposes, but no broker will offer
them as the expected return would be negative for the broker.
As you can see, staying between 60% and 70% of success rate guarantees a quite
interesting return, while the break-even can be calculated as being 55%: this
means that in order to make money in binary options you need to get it right more
than 55 times for every 100 trades.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 18
On the basis of this simple statistical calculations, some say that the expected
return for the platform is not fair, and that the binary option industry is a way for
binary brokers to make money with this statistical advantage similar to the Casino.
We say that this is like in Stock, Forex and Bond trading: when you consider that
brokers charge you commissions, fees and that you as an investor “pay” the bid-
ask spread, the break-even success rate of the traditional markets is very similar (if
not higher) than in binary option trading.
The important thing is to have the account with Regulated Brokers, where your
money is safe and you can withdraw your earning with no hassles.
You need then tools to reach the success rate between 60% and 70% in order to
have interesting returns in binary options trading, with 55% being the break-even
point.
The Binary Optioner offers you a set of trading signals and trading systems with the
highest performance in the industry for your trading, under the motto:
“Trade No stress & Make Money”
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 19
Trading signals by SMS/Email
Trade No Stress!
3-hour expiry trading signals
End-of-hour trading signals
Live trading room signals
The trading signals are created by algorithms which monitor the underlying assets
continuously and which generate the signals as high probability trading
opportunities arise.
With this kind of professional service you will dedicate 15-30 minutes per day to
your trading, and even more importantly you will TRADE NO STRESS and increase
significantly the probability of MAKING MONEY.
All the services monitored and offered by The Binary Optioner have to generate a
minimum of 60% success rate, otherwise they will be delisted from the website The
Binary Optioner and no more offered.
For the signals given in real-time in the LIVE trading room you will follow a
professional trader as he trades real time and copy his trades into your brokerage
account.
3-hour expiry trading signals by sms/email
The signals are intended for options with expiry 3 hours from the time of the signal.
The SMS indicates precisely time of the signal and time of the option expiry. All the
times are GMT, as indicated anyway by the SMS.
It is therefore necessary to have a broker which offers the Option Builder tool, or
which offers the possibility of early closure (so you can close the option after 3
hours).
After subscription to this service (available in different format, 7 days, 1-month, 3-
month), you will receive once a day, at about 11:30 EST, the SMS and the email
with a list of up to 5 signals, the entry price and the direction to take.
Example:
signals for 24/06/13, expire time 18:32GMT(-Options)
,-A-,EUR/USD,Put,1.3099
,-B-,NasdaqC,Put,3312.6
,-C-,USD/CAD,Call,1.0528
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 20
,-D-,USD/CHF,Call,0.934
,-E-,USD/JPY,Call,97.575
What to do:
-A-, buy a put on EUR/USD at or above 1. 3099
-B-, buy a put on NasdaqC at or above 3312.6
-C-, buy a call on USD/CAD at or below 1.0528
-D-, buy a call on USD/CHF at or below 0.934
-E-, buy a call on USD/JPY at or below 97.575
Expiry: set the expiry time with the Option Builder (or similar tools), or buy options
which can be closed before expiry (early closure tool).
Recommended brokers: TopOption and Banc de Binary (offering the Option
Builder tool) and 24Option (early closure option). They are all regulated brokers!
The signals are sent by SMS and email.
Get access to the Member Area to see the performance of the signals
End-of-hour trading signals
During the day you will receive by sms and email up to 5 trading signals, and for
each of them you will then buy a binary option with end-of-hour expiry. The expiry
time is indicated in the sms/email in GMT time.
The signals are for the cross currencies eur/usd, gbp/usd, usd/cad, usd/chf,
aud/usd, both for the New York session and for the London session.
Customer satisfaction is guaranteed by a team of professional traders.
Example of signal:
"DOWN SIGNAL: PUT USD/CAD NOW AT 1.0131. EXPIRES 18:00 GMT 12-APR-2013"
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 21
The signal is sent by SMS and email
Get access to the Member Area to see the performance of the signals
LIVE trading room
Subscribe to the LIVE trading room and you will be side by side with a professional
trader as he trades; you will be able to see what he does and listening his
explanations about his trading strategies in binary options. You will also be able to
copy his trades and make money!
You will LEARN and MAKE MONEY.
The trading room will be opened from 9:30 to 11:30 EST; during this timeframe you
will then follow the screen and the explanations of the trader and copy the trades
into your account.
You will learn techniques that will change FOREVER your way of trading, and most
of all your performance in trading.
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 22
Trading systems
Learn how to trade forever
With the trading systems, The Binary Optioner offers you the possibility to learn how
to trade.
No more need to wait for sms and emails telling you what to do: you will learn how
to trade successfully FOREVER!
Trading systems Light
Trade part-time
Forex Binary Options Trading System
Trade 2 hours per day or less in two sessions: New York and Euro session
Easy-to-use, must-have system for binary options trading
Trade one hour or less per session for 1-5 trades per day
Choose between Euro and New York session, or trade both
Earn an average of $1.750 per month with $500 trades in the Euro session
Earn an average of $3.200 per month with $500 trades in the New York
session
Earn an average of $4.950 per month with $500 trades in the two sessions
combined
Trading system for binary options on the index S&P500
Trade one hour or less per day
With Banker11 you trade on binary options S&P500, once a day starting from
12:00 EST with expiry at 13.00 EST.
1-2 trades per day
Earn $600-800 per month with $100 trades
Earn $3.000-4.000 per month with $500 trades
Introductory system to Banker11 PRO
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 23
Trading system for binary options on GOOG and AAPL
Trade less than one hour per day
Clear and simple entry signals
Trade for 90 minutes per day (9:30-11:00 EST) for 1-2 trade per day
Accuracy up to 90%
Focus on Google & Apple
Earn up to $800 per month with $100 trades
Earn up to $4.000 per month with $500 trades
Earn up to $8.000 per month with $1.000 trades
Get ready for STRIKER9 PRO
Trading system PRO
Trade full time
Trading system for Gold binary options
Binary Option System BB12 is a powerful and unique trading system for Gold
binary options
Entry signals clear and simple
Two sessions, EURO and New York, for 5-15 trades per day per session
Earn an average of $15.000 per month with $500 trades in the Euro session
Earn an average of $23.000 per month with $500 trades in the New York
session
Earn an average of $38.000 per month with $500 trades in the two sessions
combined
Trading system PRO for FOREX binary options
Euro and New York session
Trade full time in the two sessions Euro and New York
Focus on GBP/USD and EUR/USD
Earn an average of $38,000 per month with $500 trades in the Euro session
Earn an average of $38,000 per month with $500 trades in the New York
session
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 24
Earn an average of $76,000 per month with $500 trades in the two sessions
combined
Trading system Pro for binary options on the index S&P500
Trade 4 hours per day
Trade full time as a PRO on binary options S&P 500 for 4 hours per day
5-10 trades per day
Accuracy up to 80%
Earn $25.000 per month with $500 trades
Trading system PRO for stock binary options Apple & Google
Pro system: trade full time from 9:30 to 16:00 EST, for 5-30 trades per day
Accuracy up to 90%
Focus on Google & Apple
Earn up to $5-6.000 per month with $100 trades
Earn up to $25-30.000 per month with $500 trades
Earn up to $50-60.000 per month with $1.000 trades
“What you should know about binary options” – www.thebinaryoptioner.com Pag. 25
Trading systems ULTRA
Only for those who already master the Pro systems
Trading system Forex Binary Options
For the “Dead Zone Trader”
Trade 9-10 hours per day for 40-50 trades in the Forex Deadzone session:
17:00-02:00 EST
Make an average profit of $7.000 per day with $500 trades
Not purchasable by all: only those mastering a Pro trading system can buy
this system
Trading System for Binary Options on AAPL e GOOG
Quick to learn, super-easy to use for incredible results
Suitable for AAPL binary options with 30-minute expiry
Usable for similar stock, like GOOG
Not a software, not a plugin, not an EA: QWARG is a course which will teach
you how to trade ULTRA
Learning time: 2 – 3 hours to understand the system, some days of trading for
hands-on experience, and the full life to use it
15-40 trades per day
Earn in the range of $30-60.000 with $500 trades
Have a Good Trading
&
“TRADE NO STRESS”