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Clusters for Competitiveness: Mobilizing the Power of Modern Cluster Policy
Christian Ketels
Opening Session: New Direction of Cluster Policy in a Creative Economy
2015 TCI Conference
Clusters for Competitiveness: Mobilizing the Power of Modern Cluster Policy
Dr Christian H. M. Ketels
Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business SchoolPresident, TCI Network
3 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
A Universal Ambition
PROSPERITY
INNOVATION
CREATIVITY
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
PRODUCTIVITY
4 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
…But Different Pathways
The “Western” Model
• Market-driven• Focus on framework
conditions
The “Asian” Model
• Government-led• Focus on targeting
specific industries
But in reality much more shades of gray...
5 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
How is this Reflected in Cluster Policies?A First Hypothesis
• Surprisingly little, because cluster programs are almost universally focused on enabling collaboration within a cluster– Key issue is whether an integrative cluster initiative exists
• Differences are more driven by a country’s stage of economic development– In more advanced economies cluster programs are the ‘lubricant’ for
existing assets and policies to work better– In emerging economies cluster programs help set priorities for necessary
investments in assets and infrastructure
• Differences in the role of government in the economy then effect how these programs are implemented, less so what they do– In western economies larger role of independent entities receiving public
funding– In Asia larger role of government agencies directly
6 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Back to the Common Principles: What are Clusters?
Collaboration
Related Variety
Critical Mass
Proximity
7 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Clusters in a New Economic Context
Rising Knowledge-Intensity
Lower Trade Barriers
Globalization of production sites
Falling Transportation/Communication Costs
Accelerated Technological Change
Clusters are a critical facet of modern economies
Clusters are becoming more specialized
Clusters are becoming more connected
Agglomeration Dispersion
Globalization of markets
8 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Research About Clusters
Case Studies Cross-sectoral quantitative Studies
• Show nature of clusters
• Establish types of linkages that exist within clusters
• Identify patterns of cluster dynamics and their drivers
• Develop hypotheses on the impact of clusters on firms and regions
• Systematic comparison of clusters across sectors and locations
• Measurement of the overall importance of clusters
• Tracking of cluster evolution
• Empirical tests of the impact of cluster presence on regional and firm-level economic performance
“Cluster Mapping”
9 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Research Findings:Clusters and the Nature of Competition
EMPLOYMENT
INCOME
PATENTS
36% 64%
51% 49%
91% 9%
Local Industries• Present everywhere at
similar levels• Serve exclusively the local
market• Little exposure to cross-
regional competition • Important for jobs, but
lower wages; growth potential limited by size of the local market
Traded Industries• ‘Spiky’ across space; 2/3s of all
traded industry employment is in strong clusters
• Serve national and global markets• Exposed to competition from other
regions and nations• Critical for prosperity through
higher wages, productivity, and innovation; growth potential set by the global market
Traded vs. Local Share of the U.S. Economy
10 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Research Findings: Clusters and Economic Performance
Prosperity Entrepreneurship Structural Change
• Wages• Productivity• Job growth• Resilience• Patenting
• New business formation
• Survival of new firms• Job growth in new
firms
• Path of structural change(emergence of new clusters)
Presence of Strong Clusters
11 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Putting Clusters into Context
(Creative) Skills
ComplexitySocial Capital
Innovation Systems
Entrepreneurial Ecosystems
Framework Conditions
Clusters
Urbanization
12
• Clusters emerge naturally • Clusters emerge and develop in a context deeply affected by policy choices
• Collaboration within clusters provides benefits but requires purposeful collective action
• Policies for upgrading business environment conditions can be more effective if they are cluster-specific but require information sharing and collective action
• Cluster-based policies enable informed decision making and collective action
What role for policy?
13 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Two Opposing Approaches to Cluster Policy
MORE (Agglomeration)
BETTER (Competitiveness)
FINISH
• High risk• Traditional
‘industrial policy’
• Long-term impact• New model of public-
private collaboration
14 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
The Case for Cluster PolicyLevers
Path dependency
Information asymmetries
Coordination failures
Local Externalities
Create Platforms for Joint Action within Clusters
Organize Public Policy around
Clusters
15 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Current Status of Cluster Policies and Programs
• Many countries and regions, especially within the OECD, have cluster-related policy programs
• Spending on cluster-related programs is meaningful, but only a modest percentage of total spending per policy area
• Funding is biased towards existing strengths, but many efforts exist without established critical mass
• Cluster programs are often run by a range of ministries or agencies; there is limited coordination between programs
• Funding for strengthening collaboration is always a part; other elements differ significantly
• Design principles differ widely across many dimensions
16 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Cluster Initiatives: The Track Record So Far
• Large number of initiatives, many have shown sustainability over time
• Visible strengthening of networks and local capacity for collective action
• Significant engagement of companies, including private sector investment
• Positive impact on firm performance for participants in collaborative projects initiatited through cluster iniatives
• Significant heterogeneity of impact
• Benefits for broader regional economic performance hard to quantify
• Government remains dominant funder of the majority of cluster initiatives
• Tendency to strengthen existing structures; less successful in enabling structural change
17 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Critical Success Factors of Cluster Efforts
Setting• Cluster with critical mass of existing
economic activities• Broader policy environment focused on
competitiveness upgrading
Organization
Activities
• Capabilities of the Cluster Initiative Manager and her/his staff
• Robust funding model• Governance structure that supports a private
sector logic driving the organization
• Strategic action agenda grounded in fact-driven analysis of the relevant market and the cluster’s competitive position
• Operational effectiveness in individual activities
ExternalInternal
18 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Broadening Tasks for Cluster Programs
Encouraging Collaboration
Strengthening Local Buzz
Strengthening Strengths
Building Global Pipelines
Supporting Related Diversification
Upgrading Competitiveness
19 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Implications for Cluster Program Authorities
• Leveraging cluster programs as an ‘organizational infrastructure’ to deliver a range of functional programs– Policy integration– Larger role for creating sufficient capacity in cluster initiatives!
• Differentiation of programs between existing vs emerging/potential strengths– Selection– Support – Exit
• Changing relationship between cluster initiatives and government agencies– ‘Two-way’ knowledge flows– From Principal-Agent to Stakeholder
20 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Implications for Cluster Initiatives
A broader set of responsibilities• Trend and partner scouting• Strategy vs execution• Partner vs project manager
A broader set of partnerships• Other fields• Other locations/countries• Different government, academia, private sector
A broader set of capabilities• Process• Technologies, markets• Policy
21 Copyright 2015 © Christian Ketels
Back to “Western” vs. “Asia”:Revisiting the Hypothesis
• Cluster-based economic development is about the way to organize collaboration
• Collaboration is a social process, not an administrative or technical one
• The most effective way to structure such a social process depends on a location’s context; it is unlikely to be the same everywhere
• Western and Asian approaches are more likely to differ in the way cluster efforts are implemented and structured than in their ambitions and fundamental economic logic