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The Tides of Global Investment:
Destination Americas? Preserving and Channeling Regional Growth
Thomas Trépanier
Director de Estrategia de Infraestructura de Mercado de Valores en Estados
Unidos, America Latina y el Caribe, SWIFT
Horario: 10:00 - 11:00am
Siguiente Sesión
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 1
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 2
SWIFT in figures
6.11+billion FIN messages per year (2014)
10,800+ SWIFT users
200+ Countries and territories
27.5 million FIN messages peak day (2014)
8.4% Increase in FIN traffic (2013)
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 3
While firms are trying to recover and grow, they face pressure from
regulation, costs and need to improve STP
Voice of the Customer
Regulation
Growth Costs
Regulatory Overload
Competitive Differentiation
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 4
SWIFT FIN Traffic – Global Distribution by Market
48% 46%
5%
1%
Payments
Securities
Treasury
Trade
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
North America
Axis
Tit
le
Chart Title
Payments
Securities
Trade Finance
Treasury
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Asia-Pacific
Payments
Securities
Trade Finance
Treasury
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Central & Latin America
Payments
Securities
Trade Finance
Treasury
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Europe M-E
Payments
Securities
Trade Finance
Treasury
SWIFT FIN Traffic - by Region
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 5
Strong growth from Securities versus Payments Traffic
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
7,000,000,000
Afr
ica
AP
AC
Ce
ntr
al Lata
m
EM
E
No
rth
Am
Tota
l
Afr
ica
AP
AC
Ce
ntr
al Lata
m
EM
E
No
rth
Am
Tota
l
Payments Securities
2012
2,013
2014
2015
Securities Traffic Growth
• Impacted by clearance &
settlement, statements, trade
status and asset servicing
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 6
Regulatory impact for financial institutions
Risk, transparency and operations
Operations • Collateral account segregation
• Stringent risk controls
• Efficiency middle/back office
• Ensure business continuity
• Automation (STP)-limited human intervention
• Scalability to cope with volume growth
• Interoperability framework (inter-MI)
• Data archival for dispute resolution
Challenges Needs Collateral and
Liquidity • High quality collateral demand and
fragmentation
• Avoid concentration
• Very conservative haircuts
• Timely process of payments
• Optimise collateral monitoring & mobility
• Cross-product margining
• Settlement netting for all products
Transparency • Account segregation
• Reporting arrangements unclear
• Trading in different jurisdictions
• Level of detail and relevance
• Change account structure and granularity(cost)
• Clear procedures for TR
• Clear TR guidelines
• Reduce the number of TRs
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 7
Changes happening in correspondent banking
More risk averse banking
The number of net new RMA relationships is going down worldwide – banks are closing down relationships in order to drive
risks down and comply with regulatory requirements
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 8
Declining trust between Eurozone & PIIGS countries?
Average value of an export trade finance transaction is going down
European banks seem to take less risk over the past year in financing export to the ‘more
risky’ EU countries
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
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110000
120000
130000
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20
15
01
20
15
02
20
15
03
Growth 2015 vs 2014: -29%
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 9
Key Takeaways
Transparency
Gravitation Towards
Safe Havens De-risking
• Transparency is becoming
a key area of focus driven
by regulatory requirements
• Current trend is showing
volumes gravitating towards
securities traffic
• Greater emphasis in
standardizing and
automating securities
transactions
• Emphasis on de-risking as
banks re-shuffle portfolios
to accommodate lower risk
appetites
• Consolidation of business
with trusted correspondent
parties across all markets
The Tides of Global Investment:
Destination Americas? Update on Argentina
Alejandro Berney
Director Ejecutivo & CEO, Caja de Valores
Horario: 10:00 – 11:00am
Siguiente Sesión: 11:30am
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 10
Year Quantity Var.
2013 3.039.438
2014 3.892.584 28%
2015 3.283.961 -16%
Period Quantity Var.
01 to 04 2013 825.305
01 to 04 2014 1.136.263 38%
01 to 04 2015 976.091 -14%
01 to 04 2016 1.326.189 36%
-
100.000
200.000
300.000
400.000
500.000
Nu
mb
er
of i
nst
ruct
ion
s
Publics Bonds T-Bills Equity Others
Ballotage
Region sets the tone but local flavour has influence
Macri elected
president
Hold outs
agreement
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016
Year Average Var.
2013 285.483.493.780
2014 400.571.846.850 40%
2015 531.828.987.716 33%
Period Average Var.
01 to 04 2013 273.454.491.791
01 to 04 2014 354.504.134.858 30%
01 to 04 2015 503.462.851.048 42%
-
100.000
200.000
300.000
400.000
500.000
600.000
700.000
800.000
AR
S $
Mil
lio
ns
Publics bonds T-Bills Equity Corporate Bonds Trust Securities Others
Change in instrument type is related to change in macroeconomic and monetary policies
Deficit financing
– electoral year
Recognition of debts
& beginning of anti-
inflationary policy
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016
Year Average Var.
2013 182.794.865.332
2014 283.421.828.162 55%
2015 413.822.370.066 46%
Period Average Var.
01 to 04 2013 175.010.874.746
01 to 04 2014 243.812.775.464 39%
01 to 04 2015 382.658.023.616 57%
Year Average Var.
2013 102.688.628.448
2014 117.150.018.687 14%
2015 118.006.617.649 1%
Period Average Var.
01 to 04 2013 98.443.617.045
01 to 04 2014 110.691.359.394 12%
01 to 04 2015 120.804.827.431 9%
Local Investors and Intermediaries
Foreign Investors and Intermediaries
Local Investors and Intermediaries
Foreign Investors and Intermediaries
-
100.000
200.000
300.000
400.000
500.000
600.000
700.000
800.000
AR
S $
Mil
lon
s
Local Investors and Intermediaries
Foreign Investors and Intermediaries
Local Investors lead increase in investments, with foreigners following
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016
• Implementation of Capital
Markets Law
• Integration between
markets / DMA
• New B&MA
• New regulators reducing red
tape and inconsistencies
• New economic & monetary
policies
• Tax amnesty bill
• Frontier to Emerging Market
• Old and inefficient
infrastructure was enough for
a small market.
67
%
31% 14
%
53%
10
9%
34
%
BR
Z
MEX
AR
G
CO
L
CH
L
PERSo
urc
e: W
orl
d B
ank
Private Debt-to-GDP (2014)
35%
37%
11%
39%
90%
38%
BR
Z
MEX
AR
G
CO
L
CH
L
PER
Sou
rce:
Wo
rld
Ban
k
Market Cap-to-GDP (2014)
Pro-growth environment
Regulatory Improvements
Strong need for automation
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 14
Regulation
Growth Costs
Current environment signals strong growth of the Argentine Capital Markets
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 15
Summary
Argentine market is strongly influenced by regional outlook and flows, but
has its own dynamics based on macro changes and expectations
Argentina’s relative importance is too low to make a difference in overall
regional trends
Strong underlying currents in Argentina – changes to macroeconomic
policies, reestablishment of investments and repatriation of savings –
forecast strong growth in capital markets
There is a strong need of automation to bring the infrastructure up to this
task
Steven Kelly
Sales Manager, Bloomberg STP Solutions
Horario: 10:00 – 11:00 am
Siguiente Sesión: 11:30 am
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 16
Standardizing and Automating
Securities Transactions Changing the Game in Post-Trade STP
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 17
Industry Challenges in Post-Trade Processing
Industry
Transformation
Driving Change
Challenges of a
T+2 World
The Need for an
Automated Work Flow
• The effective processing of a trade from execution to settlement is impacted by trade volume
being supported by a shrinking trade support staff
• Contributing to an inefficient trade lifecycle process is the lack of full STP adoption
(manual processing of trade events range from 20% to 35% of a global institutional broker’s trade
activity)
• The move from the current three-day settlement cycle (“T+3”) to a two-day cycle “T+2”) will reduce
operational and systemic risk by limiting exposure and creating greater efficiencies in trade
processing. European markets migrated on Oct 6, 2015 and the U.S. market is targeting Q2
2017.
• However the transition to shorter settlement times introduces many challenges including
increased development costs, higher volumes of immediate post-trade processing and an
increase in trade exceptions
• Regulatory mandates have altered or introduced new processing requirements such as central
clearing, trade reporting and supporting collateral obligations. Implementation of Capital
Markets Law, integration between markets/DMA and new B&MA
• Services such as collateral management that were once supported by an operation ‘cost center’
are now moving into the front-office due to the P&L impact related to funding & collateral needs
Penetrating New
Markets
• Capital Markets are expanding into new asset classes and markets
• Strong need for automation to replace old and inefficient infrastructures in markets
• Strong underlying currents in Argentina forecast strong growth in capital markets
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 18
Industry Challenges in Post-Trade Processing Managing trade fails continues to be a critical step in the post-trade workflow
Large Volumes of Trades Fail Every Day… (U.S. Treasury Securities Daily Trade Fails; $ in billions)
…Industry Trends Are Increasing the Importance of Effective
Trade Fail Management
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 = 5 day moving average
Proposed Shortened Settlement Cycle
• European Union moving to T+2 settlement by 2015
• U.S. moving to T+2 settlement by 2016 and T+1 by 2020
Fines for Trade Fails in Treasuries
• Treasury Market Practices Group (TMPG) and SIFMA have
instituted a “fails charge” for fails on certain asset classes
TMPG Margin Recommendation for MBS
• TMPG is recommending the posting of margin for unsettled
MBS trades and failed MBS trades
DTC Proposal to Settlement Process
• DTC is proposing new industry standard to require pre-
matching certain transaction types prior to processing
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 19
• Bloomberg provides products and services
that support the trade lifecycle beyond the
front office.
• As a provider of electronic services, data,
news and information to customers
throughout the world, Bloomberg offers a full
trade life cycle solution.
• Expanding the offering of matching services
helps meet the demands of the securities
industry while promoting competition among
service providers.
• More effective straight-through-processing
offerings are needed by the market
participants to advance and strengthen
market efficiencies.
• Shorter settlement cycles driving the need for
more efficient trade processing. Bloomberg
STP provides the industry with an alternative
option to increase market efficiencies.
• Bloomberg STP offers a post-trade
confirmation matching service supporting
both central and local matching.
• Global post-execution service supporting all
global markets.
The Value of Bloomberg STP Solutions
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 20
The Value of Bloomberg STP Solutions Post-Trade Services Bloomberg STP is a real-time multi-asset class platform that streamlines post-trade workflows. Bloomberg
STP reduces operational risk while providing post-trade process automation to buy-side, sell-side and
custodians.
LIFECYCLE DATA CONNECTIVITY COMMUNITY
• VCON
• Allocation
Notification
• Confirmation
Matching
• Option Expiry Mgr
• FailStation /
FXStation
• Metrics / Scorecard
• Collateral Monitor
• SSI Database
• Reconciliation
Service (in-flight)
• STPStation
• Integration Services
(FIX, SWIFT, FpML)
• Multi-Asset Class
Blotter
• STP Portal
• Bloomberg IB
Bloomberg Terminal / STP Portal / Messaging
21
SWIFT is a member-owned
cooperative through which the
financial world conducts its business
operations with speed, certainty and
confidence. More than 10,800
financial institutions and
corporations in over 200 countries
trust us every day to exchange
millions of standardised financial
messages. This activity involves the
secure exchange of proprietary data
while ensuring its confidentiality and
integrity.
The Value of Bloomberg STP Solutions Post-Trade Services Workflow
Investment
Manager
/ Service
Provider
Broker
Dealer /
Clearing
Broker
Depositories
Block (ET & Voice)
Allocation Allocation
Confirmation
Block Match
Matched Confirm
Trade Authorization
Block Match
Custodian
Block &
Allocation
Block (ET & Voice)
Bloomberg
SSI Enrichment
Trade Authorization
Exceptions/Fails
Exceptions/Fails
Matched Confirm
Matched Confirm
Confirmation
Matching
Settlement
Exceptions
Matched Confirm
Settlement
Status
Prime
Broker
Exceptions/Fails
www.swift.com
SWIFT Latin American Regional Conference 2016 22