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Carbon Expo Cologne May 2014

State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

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This presentation informs on the World Bank Report "State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014". Written with support from Ecofys, the report explores the current status of carbon pricing instruments around the world. Countries increasingly see carbon pricing as an opportunity to deliver benefits both to the climate and a sustainable economy. Today, 39 national and 23 sub-national jurisdictions – responsible for almost a quarter of the global greenhouse gas emissions – have implemented or are scheduled to implement carbon pricing instruments. The presentation was given at Carbon Expo in May 2014. © 2014 The World Bank Group, All Rights Reserved.

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Page 1: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Carbon Expo Cologne May 2014

Page 2: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

1/8 of global GHG emissions under the KP CP2 (so far, only 9 Countries have ratified)

So far, the only country with a CP2 target that ratified the KP CP2 is Monaco, with 90k CO2e (0.0002% of global GHG)

European Union

Australia Ukraine

Kazakhstan

Belarus

Norway

Switzerland

Iceland

Liechtenstein

Monaco Size represent relative annual GHG emissions

Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Belarus have not yet confirmed

Page 3: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

International credit supply outstrips demand, but CDM success should not be overlooked

Full potential for issuance for 2014–2020

Residual demand for 2014–2020

OVERALL CDM SUCCESS

MtCO2e

Page 4: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Eight new carbon markets opened their doors in 2013, and more are coming in 2014

California CaT

Québec CaT

Kazakhstan ETS

Shenzhen pilot ETS

With the newcomers, the world’s emissions trading schemes are worth about US$30 billion

Share

of glo

bal G

HG

covere

d b

y E

TS

Start date of compliance

Shanghai pilot ETS

Beijing pilot ETS

Guangdong pilot ETS

Tianjin pilot ETS

Hubei pilot ETS

Jan 2013

Jun 2013

Nov 2013

Dec 2013

Apr 2014

2014 2015

Chongqing pilot ETS

Korea ETS

Page 5: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Uncovering the cover: Increasing share of global emissions under ETS

The number of tiles indicate the GHG coverage in each scheme (each tile = 1.65%)

Swiss ETS

Saitama ETS

Tokyo CaT

RGGI

Hubei pETS

Shenzhen pETS

Chongqing pETS

Guangdong pETS

EU ETS

Alberta SGER

NZ ETS

Australia CPM

Tianjin pETS

KAZ ETS

Québec CaT

California CaT

Beijing pETS

Korea pETS

Shanghai pETS

Page 6: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Carbon taxes around the world are evolving to allow more flexibility to reduce emissions

Page 7: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Price signals in carbon pricing initiatives are diverse

• Carbon prices among schemes occupy a significant range

• Prices are:

• Aligned with national priorities and political realities

• Consistent with the international dialogue

• Reflecting features in each instrument

Page 8: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

About 40 national and over 20 sub-national jurisdictions are putting a price on carbon

Carbon pricing instruments cover almost 6 GtCO2e

Page 9: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Full deployment of available instruments for international cooperation is needed

Page 11: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

An increasing share of global emissions covered under an ETS

Page 12: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Emissions trading schemes continue to develop at pace, despite the dire state of the international carbon market

Page 13: State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2014

Jurisdiction and status of each carbon pricing instruments

Instrument Status Regional National Sub-national

ETS Implemented EU ETS Australia, Kazakhstan, New Zealand, Switzerland

Alberta, California, six Chinese pilots, three Japanese schemes, Québec, RGGI

Implementation scheduled

Republic of Korea Chongqing

Under consideration

Brazil, Chile, China, Japan, Mexico, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine

Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Washington

Tax Implemented Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Japan, Mexico, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland

British Columbia

Implementation scheduled

South Africa

Under consideration

Chile, Republic of Korea

Yet to be chosen

Colombia, Costa Rica, India, Indonesia, Iran, Jordan, Morocco, Peru, Russia, Tunisia, Vietnam

Manitoba, Ontario, Oregon