37
© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC David Weild 212.542.9979 [email protected] The IPO Crisis And What Must Be Done To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation. Improved strategies are needed. We offer some. SoHo Loft Reed Smith 599 Lexington Avenue 22 nd Floor New York, NY January 22-23, 2012

So ho loft capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

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Page 1: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

David Weild

212.542.9979

[email protected]

The IPO Crisis And What Must Be Done To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation.Improved strategies are needed. We offer some.

SoHo Loft

Reed Smith

599 Lexington Avenue

22nd Floor

New York, NY

January 22-23, 2012

Page 2: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC2

Our Focus

• Change Agent (Supported by Grant Thornton)

– Studies

• Why are IPOs in the ICU?

• A wake up call for America

• Market structure is causing the IPO crisis – and more

• Killing the stock market that laid the golden eggs (pending chapter in “Broken

Markets” to be published by John Wiley & Sons)

– Citations

• Congress, Senate, SEC

• IPO Task Force Report to the US Treasury

• Jeffrey Immelt led Jobs Council Report to the White House

• Solutions for Issuers (Capital Markets Advisory Partners)

– How to significantly increase size and quality of institutional

demand.

• Cut deal execution risk

• Improve price

• Improve aftermarket performance

Page 3: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC3

The small IPO market collapsed with the OHRs and Reg. ATS (loss of B/D incentives)As seen in the study "Market structure is causing the IPO crisis—and more"

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners and Dealogic

Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Transactions raising less than $50 million

Transactions raising at least $50 million

Percent of total U.S. IPOs

Sarbanes-Oxley (2002)

OHRs (1997)

Manning Rule (1996)Allegations of Spread Fixing (1994)

Regulation ATS (1998)

Decimalization (2001)

Reg. NMS (2005)

Page 4: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

*March 16, 2011; House Financial Services Committee “Hearing on Legislative Proposals to Promote Job Growth, Capital Formation and Market Certainty”

statement by David Weild

4

A catastrophic fall in the number of listed companies (43%)As seen in the study "A wake up call for America"*

(100)

(50)

0

50

100

150

200

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Ind

ex

ed

va

lue

of s

ele

cte

d g

lob

al e

xc

ha

ng

e li

sti

ng

s

(19

97

= 0

)

China

Australia

Germany

Tokyo

London Toronto

United States

Hong Kong

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, World Federation of Exchanges and individual stock exchanges

Page 5: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

• H.R. 1070 (Reg. A)

• H.R. 1965 (banks; 500-2,000 shareholders)

• H.R. 2940 (general solicitation, Reg. D)

• H.R. 2930 (crowdfunding)

• H.R. 2167 (500-1,000 shareholders)

Disclosure

Standards

Current legislation will help but won’t do nearly enough to fix our stock markets.

• H.R. 1070 (Reg. A)

• H.R. 2930 (crowdfunding)

Private

Public

Private

Public

Private

Public

Page 6: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC6

IPO success rates have been in sustained decline for nearly two decades, despite deals that are increasing in average size and maturity

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

Page 7: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s*

Closing price volatility

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s*

Intraday price volatility

Excluding2008 and 2009

7

Unprecedented volatility (S&P 500)Standard & Poor's 500 index moves of 4% or higher

*Analysis through 9/30/11

Source: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners and Capital IQ

Original analysis from "Market Swings are Becoming New Standard," New York Times, September 11, 2011

Page 8: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC8

IPOs take > 3 times as long to get through the SEC than they did 20 years ago

Number of days in registration

(Trailing 30-deal average)

Page 9: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

U.S

. Ven

ture

Cap

ital R

ais

ed

(In

Billio

ns)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Nu

mb

er

of U

.S. IP

Os

U.S

. U

nem

plo

ym

en

t R

ate

"Penny Stocks" Deal Size < $50 Milllion Deal Size ≥ $50 Million U.S. Unemployment Rate

9

We would have enjoyed a venture-backed post 1990s 'IPO Echo Boom,' but Reg. ATS killed it

Source: National Venture Capital Association

Data as of 6/30/11

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor

Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

Page 10: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Nu

mb

er

of U

.S. IP

Os

U.S

. Un

em

plo

ym

en

t R

ate

"Penny Stocks" Deal Size < $50 Milllion Deal Size ≥ $50 Million U.S. Unemployment Rate

10

We believe the loss of small IPOs is a major contributor to job loss in the United StatesAs seen in the study "Market structure is causing the IPO crisis—and more"

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor

Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

Page 11: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC11

We should be approaching 1,000 IPOs/year and < 5% unemployment

The 'U.S. IPOs (Projected)' estimate assumes 520 IPOs per year starting in 1991 with a 3% compound annual growth rate equivalent to

the U.S. GDP growth rate. A simple linear regression model was created using historical data to predict the 'U.S. Unemployment Rate

(Projected)' based on this number of projected IPOs.

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor

Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Est.

2012 Est.

2013 Est.

Nu

mb

er

of U

.S. IP

Os

U.S

. Un

em

plo

ym

en

t R

ate

U.S. IPOs (Actual) U.S. IPOs (Projected)

U.S. Unemployment Rate (Actual) U.S. Unemployment Rate (Projected)

Page 12: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC12

IPOs > $500 million have demonstrated the steepest decline of all

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

with proceeds of at least $500 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 13: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Loss of the Ecosystem: Underwriting Groups

Microsoft’s IPO (1986) vs. LinkedIn’s IPO (2011)

13

Page 14: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

14

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 Underwriters (p. 1 of 3)

Page 15: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC15

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 underwriters (p. 2 of 3)

Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

Page 16: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC16

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 underwriters (p. 3 of 3)

Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

Page 17: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Source: LinkedIn IPO Final Prospectus

17

LinkedIn IPO: $352,800,000 May 18, 2011 Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 5 underwriters

Page 18: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

• Issuer’s Choice - Board Chooses “Tick Size” - Issuers deserve choice in

how the market in their shares is made and supported (“Mass Customization”)

– Issuer Boards of Directors should be allowed to determine „tick size‟ which would cost

little to implement and provide an important tool to impact support (research, sales

and capital) and modulate speculative trading and volatility.

• Alternative Sub $2 Billion Market Cap Stock Market - Issuers (and

Americans) deserve a sub-$2 billion market cap stock market structured to

create focus on capital formation and job creation (see Wall Street Journal Op-

ed dated October 28, 2011, entitled “How to Revive Small-Cap IPOs”)

Two Solutions (Both address the economic model)

18

Page 19: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Capital Markets Advisory Partners:

Solutions for Issuers

19

Page 20: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC20

The best investors are now self-directed. We work with management to reach them.

Wall Street Adjusted

(Each change increased selling)

• Focused on big, large cap

funds

• Focused on big, high

turnover funds

• Shut down middle-market

institutional sales forces

• Converted retail from stock

broking to asset gathering

We help Issuers Adjust

(Each step increases placement)

• Methods to reach the self-

directed 2/3rds of the

institutional market

• Methods to minimize

selling pressure

• Methods to promote retail

ownership

• Campaign to improve the

stock markets for issuers

Page 21: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC21

$0

$1,000,000,000,000

$2,000,000,000,000

$3,000,000,000,000

$4,000,000,000,000

$5,000,000,000,000

$6,000,000,000,000

$7,000,000,000,000

$8,000,000,000,000

Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

Tier 5

Tier 6

Tier 7

Tier 8

Tier 9

Tier 10

Tier 11

Tier 12

Tier 13

Tier 14

Tier 15

Tier 16

Tier 17

Tier 18

Tier 19

Tier 20

Tier 21

Tier 22

Tier 23

Tier 24

Tier 25

Tier 26

Tier 27

Tier 28

Tier 29

Tier 30

Tier 31

Tier 32

Tier 33

Tier 34

Tier 35

Tier 36

Eq

uit

y A

ssets

Market Value ≤ $2 billion Market Value > $2 billion

2010

21

Wall Street Not Reaching Best InvestorsDistribution of fundamentally oriented U.S. institutions in 2010Each tier = 100* institutions ranked by equity assets (e.g., 1st tier = top 100 institutions)

*36th tier = 43 institutions

Page 22: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC22

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22

Top 50 fundamental institutional investors ranked by market value of shares held

are mostly smaller investors that are not the focus of large investment banks

Market Cap. $42.04 BVMware Inc.

Page 23: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC23

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23

VMware Inc.48% (24 of 50) of VMware investors are below the priority line of most investment banks.

Market Cap. $42.04 B

Coverage

from bulge

bracket

firms

erodes here

Page 24: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC24

$0

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LC

Co

lum

bia

Ma

na

ge

me

nt I

nve

stm

en

t …

JP

Mo

rga

n A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Allia

nce

Be

rnste

in L

P

Ch

am

pla

in In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Arb

or

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

(M

inn

eso

ta)

Lu

the

r K

ing

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

orp

.

Blu

efi

n In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt

MF

S In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Art

isa

n P

art

ne

rs L

P

De

uts

ch

e B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, …

Op

pe

nh

eim

erF

un

ds, I

nc.

Ne

xt C

en

tury

Gro

wth

In

ve

sto

rs L

LC

Ab

erd

ee

n A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

ING

In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

.

Bro

ad

vie

w A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Pa

lisa

de

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Ash

ford

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

De

law

are

Ma

na

ge

me

nt B

usin

ess T

rust

Dre

yfu

s In

ve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

, In

c.

Ch

art

we

ll In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LP

Co

lum

bia

Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C In

ve

stm

en

t …

Ad

ag

e C

ap

ita

l Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Ro

be

co

Institu

tio

na

l Asse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt B

V

Em

era

ld A

dvis

ers

, In

c.

TIA

A-C

RE

F A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Re

na

issa

nce

Te

ch

no

log

ies L

LC

Mu

tua

l of A

me

rica

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt …

Ba

nk o

f N

ew

Yo

rk M

ello

n A

sse

t …

Ru

sse

ll In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o.

NC

M C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt G

rou

p, In

c.

Ha

rve

y P

art

ne

rs L

LC

Inve

sco

Po

we

rSh

are

s C

ap

ita

l …

RS

Inve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o.

LL

C

Ch

ino

ok C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Sig

ma

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Azim

ut S

GR

Sp

A

Ob

erw

eis

Asse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Go

ldm

an

Sa

ch

s A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LP

Bla

ckR

ock In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt (

UK

) …

No

rge

s B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t

Co

pp

er R

ock C

ap

ita

l Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Bla

ckR

ock A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Ma

cG

uir

e, C

he

sw

ick &

Tu

ttle

In

ve

stm

en

t …

Th

e P

ub

lic S

ecto

r P

en

sio

n In

ve

stm

en

t Bo

ard

Pri

ncip

al G

lob

al I

nve

sto

rs L

LC

Ma

rke

t V

alu

e o

f S

ha

res

He

ld

24

Top 50 fundamental institutional investors ranked by market value of shares held

are mostly smaller investors that are not the focus of large investment banks

Market Cap. $1.02 BLogMeIn Inc.

Page 25: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC25

$0

$100,000,000,000

$200,000,000,000

$300,000,000,000

$400,000,000,000

$500,000,000,000

$600,000,000,000

Fid

elity

Ma

na

ge

me

nt &

Re

se

arc

h C

o.

We

lls C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Wa

dd

ell &

Re

ed

Inve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t …

Fre

d A

lge

r M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Ce

ntu

ry C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Co

lum

bia

Ma

na

ge

me

nt I

nve

stm

en

t …

JP

Mo

rga

n A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Allia

nce

Be

rnste

in L

P

Ch

am

pla

in In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Arb

or

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

(M

inn

eso

ta)

Lu

the

r K

ing

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

orp

.

Blu

efi

n In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt

MF

S In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Art

isa

n P

art

ne

rs L

P

De

uts

ch

e B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, …

Op

pe

nh

eim

erF

un

ds, I

nc.

Ne

xt C

en

tury

Gro

wth

In

ve

sto

rs L

LC

Ab

erd

ee

n A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

ING

In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

.

Bro

ad

vie

w A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Pa

lisa

de

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Ash

ford

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

De

law

are

Ma

na

ge

me

nt B

usin

ess T

rust

Dre

yfu

s In

ve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

, In

c.

Ch

art

we

ll In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LP

Co

lum

bia

Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C In

ve

stm

en

t …

Ad

ag

e C

ap

ita

l Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Ro

be

co

Institu

tio

na

l Asse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt B

V

Em

era

ld A

dvis

ers

, In

c.

TIA

A-C

RE

F A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Re

na

issa

nce

Te

ch

no

log

ies L

LC

Mu

tua

l of A

me

rica

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt …

Ba

nk o

f N

ew

Yo

rk M

ello

n A

sse

t …

Ru

sse

ll In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o.

NC

M C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt G

rou

p, In

c.

Ha

rve

y P

art

ne

rs L

LC

Inve

sco

Po

we

rSh

are

s C

ap

ita

l …

RS

Inve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o.

LL

C

Ch

ino

ok C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Sig

ma

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Azim

ut S

GR

Sp

A

Ob

erw

eis

Asse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Go

ldm

an

Sa

ch

s A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LP

Bla

ckR

ock In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt (

UK

) …

No

rge

s B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t

Co

pp

er R

ock C

ap

ita

l Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Bla

ckR

ock A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Ma

cG

uir

e, C

he

sw

ick &

Tu

ttle

In

ve

stm

en

t …

Th

e P

ub

lic S

ecto

r P

en

sio

n In

ve

stm

en

t Bo

ard

Pri

ncip

al G

lob

al I

nve

sto

rs L

LC

To

tal E

qu

ity A

ss

ets

25

LogMeIn Inc.58% (29 of 50) of LogMeIn investors are below the priority line of most investment banks.

Market Cap. $1.02 B

Page 26: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC26

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

$70,000,000

$80,000,000

Fid

elity

Ma

na

ge

me

nt &

Re

se

arc

h C

o.

Co

lum

bia

Wa

ng

er A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Wa

dd

ell &

Re

ed

Inve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t …

Allia

nz G

lob

al I

nve

sto

rs C

ap

ita

l LL

C

Bla

ckR

ock A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Ch

am

pla

in In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Fir

st T

rust

Ad

vis

ors

LP

St. D

en

is J

. V

ille

re &

Co

. L

LC

Fro

ntie

r C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o. L

LC

Cita

de

l Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Gra

na

ha

n In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Th

e B

osto

n C

om

pa

ny A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t …

Wa

ll S

tre

et A

sso

cia

tes L

LC

Riv

erb

rid

ge

Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Se

ntin

el A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

MF

S In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Fe

de

rate

d In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

.

Lo

rd A

bb

ett &

Co

. L

LC

Ga

gn

on

Se

cu

ritie

s L

LC

We

lch

& F

orb

es L

LC

Ash

ford

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Ka

lma

r In

ve

stm

en

ts, In

c.

FIL

In

ve

stm

en

ts In

tern

atio

na

l

We

llin

gto

n M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

. LL

P

Fe

de

rate

d G

lob

al In

ve

stm

en

t …

No

rth

ern

Tru

st C

o. o

f C

on

ne

cticu

t

Dre

yfu

s In

ve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

, In

c.

Sco

ttis

h W

ido

ws In

ve

stm

en

t P

art

ne

rsh

ip L

td.

Ba

nk o

f N

ew

Yo

rk M

ello

n A

sse

t …

We

lls C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Pic

tet A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t SA

Oh

io P

ub

lic E

mp

loye

es R

etire

me

nt S

yste

m

En

se

mb

le C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Inve

sto

r AB

(In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t)

Attra

cto

r In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

TIA

A-C

RE

F A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Co

atu

e M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Ne

w Y

ork

Sta

te C

om

mo

n R

etire

me

nt F

un

d

No

rge

s B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t

Co

rtin

a A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Ab

erd

ee

n A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

P.A

.W. C

ap

ita

l C

orp

.

Ge

ne

va

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

td.

UB

S O

'Co

nn

or L

LC

Wa

sh

ing

ton

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Oxfo

rd A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

P

Willia

m B

lair

& C

o. L

LC

(In

ve

stm

en

t …

Ko

pp

Inve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Esse

x In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

. L

LC

Ob

erw

eis

Asse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Ma

rke

t V

alu

e o

f S

ha

res

He

ld

26

Top 50 fundamental institutional investors ranked by market value of shares held

are mostly smaller investors that are not the focus of large investment banks

Market Cap. $0.66BConstant Contact Inc.

Page 27: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC27

$0

$100,000,000,000

$200,000,000,000

$300,000,000,000

$400,000,000,000

$500,000,000,000

$600,000,000,000

Fid

elity

Ma

na

ge

me

nt &

Re

se

arc

h C

o.

Co

lum

bia

Wa

ng

er A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Wa

dd

ell &

Re

ed

Inve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t …

Allia

nz G

lob

al I

nve

sto

rs C

ap

ita

l LL

C

Bla

ckR

ock A

dvis

ors

LL

C

Ch

am

pla

in In

ve

stm

en

t Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Fir

st T

rust

Ad

vis

ors

LP

St. D

en

is J

. V

ille

re &

Co

. L

LC

Fro

ntie

r C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

o. L

LC

Cita

de

l Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Gra

na

ha

n In

ve

stm

en

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Th

e B

osto

n C

om

pa

ny A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t …

Wa

ll S

tre

et A

sso

cia

tes L

LC

Riv

erb

rid

ge

Pa

rtn

ers

LL

C

Se

ntin

el A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

MF

S In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

Fe

de

rate

d In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

.

Lo

rd A

bb

ett &

Co

. L

LC

Ga

gn

on

Se

cu

ritie

s L

LC

We

lch

& F

orb

es L

LC

Ash

ford

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Ka

lma

r In

ve

stm

en

ts, In

c.

FIL

In

ve

stm

en

ts In

tern

atio

na

l

We

llin

gto

n M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

. LL

P

Fe

de

rate

d G

lob

al In

ve

stm

en

t …

No

rth

ern

Tru

st C

o. o

f C

on

ne

cticu

t

Dre

yfu

s In

ve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

, In

c.

Sco

ttis

h W

ido

ws In

ve

stm

en

t P

art

ne

rsh

ip L

td.

Ba

nk o

f N

ew

Yo

rk M

ello

n A

sse

t …

We

lls C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Pic

tet A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t SA

Oh

io P

ub

lic E

mp

loye

es R

etire

me

nt S

yste

m

En

se

mb

le C

ap

ita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

LC

Inve

sto

r AB

(In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t)

Attra

cto

r In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

TIA

A-C

RE

F A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Co

atu

e M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Ne

w Y

ork

Sta

te C

om

mo

n R

etire

me

nt F

un

d

No

rge

s B

an

k In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t

Co

rtin

a A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

C

Ab

erd

ee

n A

sse

t Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

P.A

.W. C

ap

ita

l C

orp

.

Ge

ne

va

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt L

td.

UB

S O

'Co

nn

or L

LC

Wa

sh

ing

ton

Ca

pita

l Ma

na

ge

me

nt, In

c.

Oxfo

rd A

sse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t LL

P

Willia

m B

lair

& C

o. L

LC

(In

ve

stm

en

t …

Ko

pp

Inve

stm

en

t Ad

vis

ors

LL

C

Esse

x In

ve

stm

en

t M

an

ag

em

en

t Co

. L

LC

Ob

erw

eis

Asse

t M

an

ag

em

en

t, In

c.

To

tal E

qu

ity A

ss

ets

27

Constant Contact Inc.68% (34 of 50) of Constant Contact investors are below the priority line of most investment banks.

Market Cap. $0.66 B

Page 28: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Appendix

28

Page 29: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC29

Less than one-third of very small IPOs (< $50 million) are successful in today’s market

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

with proceeds < $50 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 30: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC30

IPOs that raise $50-$100 million

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

with proceeds of $50-$100 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 31: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC31

IPOs that raise $100-$250 million

Success rate of trailing 30

IPO filings with proceeds of

$100-$250 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC32

IPOs that raise $250-$500 million

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

with proceeds of $250-$500 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 33: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC33

IPOs that have priced within 1 year of filing—trailing 30 filings

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 34: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC34

IPOs that have priced at or above the low end of the range—trailing 30 filings

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 35: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC35

IPOs that are trading at or above issue price 30 days after pricing—trailing 30 filings

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved

Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Page 36: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC36

Capital Markets Advisory Partners

About Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Capital Markets Advisory Partners is a pioneer in developing

methods to dramatically increase the size and quality of distribution

on IPOs and follow-on offerings. Collectively, we bring hundreds

of years of experience from leading institutions.

Studies authored by two of our principals (David Weild and Edward

Kim) and supported and published by the major accounting, tax

and advisory firm of Grant Thornton have been entered into the

Congressional Record and the Federal Register and our principals

have participated in or testified in front of:

• The NYSE and National Venture Capital Association’s (NVCA)

Blue Ribbon Panel to restore liquidity in the US venture capital

industry (2009)

• The CFTC-SEC Joint Panel on Emerging Regulatory Issues

(2010)

• The House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on

Capital Markets (2011)

• The U.S. Treasury’s Capital Formation Conference (2011).

These studies, supported and published by Grant Thornton, have

been cited by Members of Congress and Regulators in the US and

overseas and by leading publications including, The

Economist, Forbes, The Financial Times, The New York Times and

The Wall Street Journal.

Recently, this work was also cited in:

• The President’s Council on Jobs and Competitiveness (Jobs

Council) Interim Report led by Jeffrey Immelt of General Electric

• The IPO Task Force Report to the US Treasury, led by Kate

Mitchell, past Chairman of the National Venture Capital

Association.

Capital Markets Advisory Partners was founded by David Weild, the

former vice chairman and head of listed companies and related

businesses at NASDAQ and former head of equity capital markets

and corporate finance at Prudential Securities. David also serves as

Chairman of the Small Business Financing Crisis Task Force of the

ISEEE (International Stock Exchange Executives Emeriti).

36

Page 37: So ho loft   capital markets advisory partners 1-23-2012

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

David Weild

212.542.9979

[email protected]

The IPO Crisis And What Must Be Done To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation.Improved strategies are needed. We offer some.

SoHo Loft

Reed Smith

599 Lexington Avenue

22nd Floor

New York, NY

January 22-23, 2012