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Shift share analysis is an effective regional planning tool to explore the regional competitiveness and industrial composition. In this study the regional competitiveness among the selected districts of Bangladesh in terms of regional employment figure in the main activity sectors has been tried to develop. The comparative scenario among the several districts has been figured out and the regional influencing factors behind that have been analyzed.
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Plan 434
Regional Planning Studio
Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors
of
Selected Districts of Bangladesh
Submitted by:
Group 04
(0615015)
(0615019)
(0615020)
(0615030)
Course No: Plan 434
Course Title: Regional Planning Studio
Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors
of
Selected Districts of Bangladesh
Submitted to:
Dr. Ishrat Islam, Associate Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET
Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET
Anindya Kishore Debnath, Lecturer, Dept. of URP, BUET
Submitted by: Group-04
Imam Hossain (06 15 015)
Tazrina Habib Ananya (06 15 019)
Shahadat Hossain Shakil (06 15 020)
Khaled Bin Abdul Quader (06 15 030)
Level-4, Term-1
Date of Submission: 18th
May, 2011
Department of Urban and Regional Planning
Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology
i
Acknowledgement
First and foremost, thanks to the merciful and benevolent Almighty to give us patience,
energy and capability to work hard for completing the report. We wish to express our earnest
gratitude and indebtedness to our respectable course teachers Dr. Israt Islam, Associate
Professor; Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor and Aninday Kishore Debnath, Lecturer
Department of Urban and Regional Planning, BUET for their intimate co-operation and
support, valuable advice, comment, constant encouragement and supervision which have
inspired us to carry out this study successfully. Thanks to the pre-researchers for their
meaningful, thoughtful works which enriched our knowledge.
ii
Abstract
Shift share analysis is an effective regional planning tool to explore the regional
competitiveness and industrial composition. In this study the regional competitiveness among
the selected districts of Bangladesh in terms of regional employment figure in the main
activity sectors has been tried to develop. The comparative scenario among the several
districts has been figured out and the regional influencing factors behind that have been
analyzed.
iii
Table of Contents
Contents
Page No.
Acknowledgement i
Abstract ii
Table of contents iii
List of illustrations
iv
Chapter-01: Introduction 1
1.1 Background of the Study 1
1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis 1
1.2 Objectives of the Study 2
1.3 Methodology of the Study
3
Chapter - 02: Analysis 4
2.1 Inter District Analysis 4
2.2 Intra District Analysis 5
2.3 Sector wise Analysis
13
Chapter – 03: Major Findings 14
3.1 Findings 14
3.2 Recommendations 14
3.3 Conclusion
15
References
Appendices
iv
List of Tables
Tables
Page No.
Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components 2
T Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector
13
List of Figures
Figures
Page No.
Fig-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology 3
Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Bagerhat district
6
Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Khulna district
7
Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Faridpur district
8
Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Kishoreganj district
9
Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Narsingdi district
10
Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Rajbari district
11
Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Satkhira district
11
Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Netrokona district
12
Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Shariatpur district
13
PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio
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Chapter - 01: Introduction
1.1 Background of the Study
Shift share analysis is a traditional tool in the regional planning discipline. Through a
descriptive analysis of the productive structure, it allows the comparison of regional
differences within a country, region or state. Shift share analysis is one way to account for the
competitiveness of a region's industries and to analyze the local economic base. This analysis
is primarily used to decompose employment changes within an economy over a specific
period of time into mutually exclusive factors. Like other analytical economic tools, the shift
share technique is only a descriptive tool that should be used in combination with other
analysis to provide a summary of a region's key employment potential industries.
1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis
As a regional planning tool shift share analysis explores the scenario of economic growth of a
region which is generated by a national growth in that sector, supportive industry mix and
comparative advantage of that particular region. The shift-share analysis divides the change
in local industry employment into three components:
National Growth Share (Nj): The share of local job growth that can be attributed to growth
of the national economy. Specifically, if the nation as a whole is experiencing employment
growth, ("a rising tide lifts all boats"), one would expect total national growth to exert a
positive growth influence on the local area.
Industrial Mix/Proportionality Shift (Pj): The industrial mix or proportionality shift
component reflects differences in industry “mix” between the local and national levels. The
mix-factor examines how national growth or decline of a particular industry translates into
local growth or decline of that industry.
Local Share/Regional Shift/Differential Shift (Dj): This share of local job growth describes
the extent to which factors unique to the local area have caused growth or decline in regional
employment of an industrial group. Even during periods of general prosperity, some regions
and some industries grow faster than others do. This is usually attributed to some local
comparative advantage such as natural resources, linked industries, or favorable local labor
situations.
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The formula of calculating various components of shift share analysis are given below.
National Share, Nj = ∑ [ Eijo(Et/Eo) – Eijo]
Proportionality Shift Component, Pj = ∑ [(Eit/Eio)-(Et/Eo)]Eijo
Differential Shift Component, Dj = ∑ [(Eijt/Eijo)-(Eit/Eio)]Eijo
Total Regional Growth, Gj = Ejt – Ejo = Nj + Pj + Dj
Total Net Shift Component, (P+D)j = Ejt – (Et/Eo)Ejo = Gj – Nj
Where, Ej = total employment in region j; E = total national employment
o,t = initial and terminal period; i = industry subscript
Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components
Net Shift Component + Total Regional Growth>National Growth
- Total Regional Growth<National Growth
Proportionality Shift
Component + Industry of interest is growing
- Industry of interest is declining
Differential Shift
Component + Local competitiveness is present for economic growth
- Local competiveness is absent for economic growth
1.3 Objectives of the Study
To find out the regional employment growth of the selected districts and contribution
of shift share components.
To identify the influential factors of the regional growth and the probable reason
behind that.
To carry out inter regional comparison of shift share components.
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1.4 Methodology of the Study
To achieve the stated objectives employment data according to main activity sector of the
selected 9 districts (Figure: Appendix-A) of Bangladesh has been collected for the two time
frames 1991 and 2001 (Table: Appendix-A1). All districts data has been compiled to find out
the national employment change and the sector/activity wise employment change nationally,
over the time period (Table: Appendix-A1). Then by applying the shift share analysis formula
the regional growth of the selected districts has been determined. During the calculation
process the three different share and shift component (national share, proportionality shift and
differential shift) for every activity sector of every district has been obtained (Table: Appendix-
A2). These values are further used in the analysis stage to carry out the intra and inter regional
analysis. The intra regional analysis in terms of the most influential activity sector in the
regional growth and the factors behind that has been figured out. Inter regional comparison in
terms of regional growth component and activity wise prominent districts have been sorted in
the later stage. After the analysis process the major findings has been listed out and a report
has been prepared to describe and elaborate the whole process.
Figure-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology
Project identification and fixation of objectives
Data collection and compilation
Calculation of shift share components
Intra and inter regional analysis
Major findings and report preparation
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Chapter - 02: Analysis
2.1 Inter District Analysis
To achieve one of the objective of the study inter regional or inter district comparison has
been carried out in terms of regional employment growth (Figure-1: Appendix-B). Meanwhile
the shift share components have been also compared among the districts to assess the major
factor behind the regional employment growth (Figure-1, 2: Appendix-B).
The analysis has been carried out by comparing the percentage change values of the national
share, proportionality shift, differential shift and regional growth with respect to the total
employment in the respective region in 1991 (Table: Appendix-B1). The percentage change
instead of absolute values has been used to assess the actual magnitude of the change and to
find out the actual progressive regions. If absolute values are used in the analysis process it
may can give wrong scenario; because if any regions total employment data is already high in
the previous time frame it will give a higher values for all shift share components than a
region which had a lower total regional employment data in the past though the two region
experiencing same kind of growth. So to explore the actual change the percentage change
values has been used for this purpose.
The absolute values of the shift share components have been used to compare the percentage
composition of the regional growth among the regions (Table: Appendix-B1).
The comparison of the shift share component among the selected 9 districts is illustrated in
the next page (Figure-1: Appendix-B). From that illustration it can be summarized that only
Bagerhats regional employment growth crossed the national employment growth during the
study period 1991-2001. The rest of the districts regional employment growth is less than the
national employment growth. The factor responsible for the high regional growth of Bagerhat
is the positive differential shift component of Bagerhat. That means the local advantage/local
factors played an influential role for the regional employment change. The reverse situation
can be found for Narsingdi district. It has the lowest regional employment growth followed
by the highest negative differential shift of employment growth.
From the illustrations, inter district comparison of employment growth and shift share
components (Figure-1: Appendix-B) and the comparison of percentage composition of the
regional growth among the regions (Figure-2: Appendix-B); it can be seen positive regional
PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio
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growth occurred mainly because of the national share. Its contribution is the maximum. But
the main influential factor behind the variation of the regional employment growth among the
districts is the differential shift component. In the districts where the differential shift
component is positive it experienced a better regional growth and vice versa. The
proportionality shift component played a weak role in case of regional employment change
for all the districts.
In summary from the above analysis it can be stated that only Bagerhat is expanding better
than the national trend, the rest of the district is lag behind in this case. The national declining
trend of the activity sectors very weakly influenced the regional growth. The local level
growth of the activity sectors in the selected districts is poor and hampering the net regional
employment growth.
The regional growth scenario with respect to the national growth is represented with the help
of a map (Figure-3: Appendix-B2). In that map the selected districts has been classified into 4
classes according to their comparative situation of regional growth with respect the national
growth. From that map it can be summarized that maximum districts experienced a regional
growth ranging half to two-third of the national growth. The percentage value of the regional
employment growth of the respective regions with respect to the national employment growth
is shown in the appendix. (Table: Appendix-B1)
2.2 Intra District Analysis
For intra regional analysis total regional growth of a district and employment growth of each
sector of that district has been considered. Regional growth is consists of three Shift Share
components and each of these components has its distinct impact. To analyze the influence of
these three components on sectoral employment growth of each region column charts has
been used. As for all the activity sectors regional growth is not same, if charts have been
drown with the absolute value of growth of all the sectors it will not represent the
contribution of each Shift Share components properly. So, growth of each sector has been
considered as 100% for a better representation. In Intra regional analysis one aim is to find
out the striking factors for a district and to identify the possible reasons behind that. For
discovering the remarkable factors differential shift component has been considered as it is
the main influential component for a regional growth which separates one region from
another.
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Bagerhat District
In Bagerhat district the national share component has the major impact on total regional
employment growth. More than 50% employment growth of Bagerhat district has been
generated because of national employment growth. It has been also found that the
contribution of Differential shift component is also vital which implies almost 40% share of
regional growth. So it could be said that that Bagerhat has some local advantages which has
influenced the employment growth in this district. But the proportionality shift has a negative
impact on the employment growth. There is a little decrease in total employment because of
the composition pattern of different sectors in Bagerhat.
One remarkable factor of Bagerhat is it has an employment growth in agricultural sectors
more than national employment growth of this sector. When in most of the districts
differential shifts of agriculture sector contain a negative value, Bagerhat has a positive value
which is because of any local influential factor of this district. This influential factor is may
be the huge production of Shrimp in Bagerhat. In this district 36.24% people’s main income
source is fishing and there are 12563 fisheries (Shrimp cultivation) in Bagerhat. Bagerhat has
a large amount of Shrimp production than any other district of Bangladesh which makes great
impact on its employment growth in agricultural sector.
Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Bagerhat district
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activity sectors
Shift share components of Bagerhat district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activity sectors
Shift share components of Khulna district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
Business sector has a negative differential shift in Bagerhat; it states that employment growth
in this sector was less the national employment growth of this sector. One reason behind it
could be the inefficiency of Mongla port in previous years. The Port is the principal Port of
the Bangladesh but it been facing some problems, as a result the loading and unloading of
goods have being very slow. For its inefficiency there could be an increase in employment of
business sector in Bagerhat.
Khulna District
In Khulna district more than 50% employment growth has been generated because of national
employment growth. Proportionality shift has a very mild impact on regional employment
growth but differential shift has negatively influenced the employment growth. It could be
recognized that employment in this district has grew more slowly than the nation because of
regional share effects.
In Khulna differential shift for agriculture has a positive value which implies that this sector
has been flourishing in this district for any local advantage. This advantage is may be the
large quantity of Jute production in Khulna which generates many employments in this
sector. Employment growth of Industry is also fast growing in Khulna then the national
employment growth in industry. It may be for concentration of several industries in Khulna
like Shipyard, Jute mills, Paper mills, Hard board mills, Textile mills, Steel mills. Many new
mills have been established under private ownership and generated a large number of
employments. Because of establishment of some new Educational institutes, Health services,
Banks and NGOs employment in service sector has been also increased.
Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Khulna district
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Faridpur District
In Faridpur district influence of national employment growth is very much prominent upon
regional employment growth. More than 75% employment growth in this district has been
generated because of national employment growth. Impact of proportionality shift is very few
and differential shift has a negative influence. It means because of some location
disadvantage there is a few decrease in employment growth.
Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Faridpur district
In Faridpur district agriculture sector has a negative differential shift. A possible reason
behind this could be a decline of jute industry due to low prices on the international market
which leads to shutting down of many jute plants. Urbanization could also be a reason behind
decreasing no. of employment in agricultural sector. There is an increase in employment of
transportation and communication sector than the national growth which may be for
construction of new roads
Kishoreganj District
In Kishoreganj district national employment growth has a great influence on regional
employment growth. More than 75% of regional growth has been occurred as a result of
national employment growth. Proportionality shift has a little impact and differential shift has
a negative influence which means that there is a concentration of slow growing sectors.
Employment in agricultural sector in Kishoreganj could not be able to grow as like as the
national employment growth of agriculture. One reason behind it could be a decrease in egg
production which is the main agricultural product of Kishoreganj. In 1998 egg production has
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
rage
Activity sectors
Shift share components of Faridpur district
National Share(Nj) Proportionality Shift(Pj) Differential Shift(Dj)
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been reduced due to flood and may people stopped poultry farming. Employment in Industry
sector also could not grow as national employment growth of industry these may be for
shutting down of some mills in Kishoreganj like Kalia Chapra Sugar Mill, Kishoreganj Sugar
Mill, and Badam Tail Mills. Employment in Service sector has been increased may be
because of establishment of new service facilities like Jahurul Islam Medical College and
Hospital which started its journey in a broad scale from 1992.
Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Kishoreganj district
Narsingdi District
In Narshindi District more than 60% employment growth has been generated as an impact of
national employment growth. Differential shift comprises a negative value which means that
because of some local factors employment growth has faced obstacle and could not grow as
the national growth.
Employment growth of agriculture sector in Narsingdi could not be as the national
employment growth of this sector. The main reason behind this could be the rapid
urbanization of this district. The urbanization rate of this district is faster than other district
because of close proximity with Dhaka. May be there is shift of employment from
agricultural sector to business and service sector. Narsingdi has large amount of employment
in Water, Gas, Electricity sector other districts. The possible reason behind this would be the
large no. of employment engaged in Narsingdi gas field and Ghorashal power plant.
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Activity Sectors
Shift share components of Kishoreganj district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Narsingdi district
Rajbari District
In Rajbari district the main influential component on regional growth is National share. More
than 75% employment growth has been generated because of national employment growth.
But the local factors could not make an employment growth in Rajbari, so the differential
shift is negative for this district. Proportionality shift is also negative which implies that there
is a concentration of slow growing sectors.
In Rajbari employment growth in agriculture could not be as fast as national employment
growth in agriculture which is may be because of urbanization. As Rajbari is located at near
Dhaka, it has faced a rapid urbanization which results a decline of cropped land and as well
as employment in agriculture. Several development projects have been completed within
1991 in Rajbari which generated a large no. of employment in transportation and
communication sector.
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%P
erce
nta
ge
Activity sectors
Shift share components of Narsingdi district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Rajbari district
Satkhira District
In Satkhira contribution of national employment growth is very significant on regional
employment growth as national share component contains 80% share of regional growth.
Differential shift and proportionality shift has negative influence which implies that the
composition pattern and local factors could not contribute in regional employment growth.
.
Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Satkhira district
In Satkhira there is a remarkable increase in employment of service sector than the national
employment growth of service sector. It may be because of increased no. of Educational
institutes, Health services, Banks, NGOs and Co-operative societies
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activity Sectors
Shift share components of Rajbari district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activty Sectors
Shift share components of Satkhira district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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Netrokona District
In Netrokona dstrict 60% of total employment growth has been took place due to national
employment growth. Proportionality shift and differential shift has negatively influenced the
regional growth.
In Netrokona employment growth in agriculture is less the national employment growth of
agriculture which has influenced by any local factor. May be it happened because of shifting
of large amount of labors to abroad. There is a employment growth in Transportation and
communication sectors more than the national employment growth of this sector which may
be due to several new development projects.
Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Netrokona district
Shariatpur District
In Satriatpur district national share component contains 60% share of regional growth and
differential shift has a negative influence on regional employment growth.
Employment in agriculture could not cope up with national growth. As the amount of
cropped land has decreased the employment in agriculture has also decreased. Employment
growth in industry sector is more than the national growth, may be because of concentration
of many cottage industry.
-75%-50%-25%
0%25%50%75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activity Sectors
Shift share components of Netrokona district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Shariatpur district
2.3 Sector wise Analysis
In sector wise analysis the aim is to compare the employment growth of each sector in
different districts. Employment growth has been calculated in percentage for different sectors
of each district with respect to the employment of that sector in 1991 (Figure-4: Appendix-B3
and Table: Appendix-B4). From the figure it could be easily recognized that which sector is
progressive in which district and which sector is less progressive in which district. This is
shown in Table-2 in a summarized form.
Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector
Activity Sector Progressive District Less Progressive District
Household Work Rajbari, Shatkhira Shariatpur
Agriculture Khulna, Bagerhat Narsingdi
Industry Khulna, Faridpur Netrokona, Bagerhat,
Shatkhira, Kishoreganj Water/Electricity/Gas Shatkhira, Bagerhat Netrokona, Khulna
Construction Rajbari,Faridpur,
Kishoreganj
Shatkhira
Transportation
&Communication
Netrokona,Rajbari Khulna
Business Kishoreganj Bagerhat
Service Shatkhira Rajbari, Bagerhat
Others Bagerhat Khulna, Netrokona, Shariatpur,Faridpur
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Per
cen
tage
Activity Sectors
Shift share components of Shariatpur district
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D)
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Chapter – 03: Major Findings
3.1 Findings
National Growth
National employment growth is in a positive trend (14.4%) over the time period 1991-
2001 reflecting a developing and rising economic scenario.
National employment growth (14.4%) has a significant influence on the regional
growth of each sector of each region.
In most of the region the regional growth is positive because of national share; which
reflect nationally moderate policy making and resource allocation for the regional
level development but the failure of the regions own capability to generate
employment opportunities through local level investments.
Industrial Mix
Household; Agriculture; Water, Gas, Electricity and Service – these four sectors
could not flourish like the National Trend.
Industry; Construction; Transportation and Communication; Business and Others
– these sectors has been expanded more than National Trend.
The overall scenario of the industrial mix in the studied region is the declination of
agricultural and service sector and the rising of industry and construction sector which
is the indicator of a developing countries economy of the third world country.
Regional/ Local Factors
Different local factors have the crucial influence on regional growth such as local
climatic advantage (i.e. salty water of Bagerhat for shrimp production), geographical
location advantage (i.e. location of Khulna district near sea for shipyard industry) etc.
The variation in the regional among the region is mainly because of regional shift.
Most of the regions total regional growth is not highly supported by the local
employment growth because of the lack of prosperity in maximum sector at the local
level.
3.2 Recommendations
Encouragement in the regional/district level investment in the relatively weak sectors
(i.e Agriculture, Service etc.) to generate more employment.
Using the local advantage of the regions in a more fruitful way to generate more
employment by using the limited resources in a more effective way.
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3.3 Conclusion
Regional competitiveness and industrial variation can be analyzed through the shift share
analysis. By using this traditional descriptive tool the potential sectors of any region and the
possible local factors behind that can be identified. The regional shifting of various factors
among various sectors can be analyzed but it cannot be explicitly pinpointed. Though it is a
very effective tool for analyzing the industrial structure of a region it should be used in
combination with the other regional analysis and helping database to assess the reasons
behind the shift and share more explicitly.
References:
1. Banglapedia; National Encyclopedia of Bangladesh. (n.d.). Retrieved from
http://www.banglapedia.org/httpdocs/english/index.htm
2. Community Series; Population Census of Bangladesh 2001. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
3. Debnath, A. K., Islam, M. R., Daisy, N. S., & Mouri, S. J. (2009). Application of Shift Share in
Regional Growth Analysis: Dhaka, Narayanganj and Munshiganj. Dhaka: Department of Urban and
Regional Planning.
4. Glasson, J. (1974). An Introduction to Regional Planning(Cocepts, Theory and Practice). London:
Hutchinson & Co (Publishers) Ltd.
5. Wikipedia; The Free Encyclopedia. (n.d.). Retrieved from
http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx
6. Zilla Profile. (n.d.). Retrieved from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics:
http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx
7. Zilla Series; Population Census of Bangladsesh 1991. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
8. MA Jabbar, MH Rahman, RK Talukder , SK Raha. Alternative institutinal arrangement for contract
farming in Poultry production in Bangladesh and their impacts on equity. (2007). Retrieved March
30, 2011, from www.mahider.ilri.org:
http://mahider.ilri.org/bitstream/10568/217/1/ResearchReport_No7.pdf
9. Jahurul Islam Medical College and Hospital. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.jimedcol.org:
http://www.jimedcol.org/index2.htm
10. Financial Express. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com:
http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/search_index.php?page=detail_news&news_id=70460
Appendix-A
Figure: Selected Study Districts
Appendix-A1
1991 Employment Data Zilla Main Activity Sector
Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity and Gas Construction Transport Business Service Others District Total
Bagerhat 386441 185695 4136 295 5010 9418 64008 8767 10598 674368
Khulna 506657 190924 34420 1893 10643 21533 104102 10297 220107 1100576
Faridpur 390893 256842 5748 433 5643 9023 51925 5868 78835 805210
Kishoreganj 566613 424505 10068 550 5639 10437 75820 10160 96627 1200419
Narsingdi 407428 233533 46766 941 4913 9270 70528 7071 88806 869256
Rajbari 209667 152979 4106 221 2792 4529 29411 3999 34186 441890
Shatkhira 421945 271596 9809 232 6696 8341 67282 4979 70063 860943
Netrokona 448199 375830 3718 331 3482 3088 45605 5822 72921 958996
Shariatpur 237723 162483 2742 194 2630 3117 27306 2615 36907 475717
Activity Total 3575566 2254387 121513 5090 47448 78756 535987 59578 709050
TableP20: Population 10 years and over by main activity
Zilla Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,1991
2001 Employment Data
Zilla Main Activity Sector
Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity and Gas
Construction Transport Business Service Other(Including Hotel) District Total
Bagerhat 405292 228083 3813 505 8086 15405 70644 7911 92064 831803
Khulna 548435 255507 42800 2151 17437 34338 121274 13607 183166 1218715
Faridpur 424471 280585 7081 641 13488 20237 64182 6023 74219 890927
Kishoreganj 613553 442638 8607 677 12799 21730 102262 10410 106899 1319575
Narsingdi 430635 238139 46967 1297 10907 18677 83798 9867 94953 935240
Rajbari 229300 163339 4583 352 7941 11090 36326 3174 34218 490323
Shatkhira 463927 308553 8900 429 7511 15964 82551 8513 76018 972366
Netrokona 482603 404116 3562 357 7720 11221 57008 6069 68469 1041125
Shariatpur 244676 175299 3414 287 4718 6177 34904 2785 35428 507688
Activity Total 3842892 2496259 129727 6696 90607 154839 652949 68359 765434
Table C05: Population 10 years and over by main activity
Community Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,2001
Appendix-A1
Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 1991
Sl.
No. Zila
Household
Work Agriculture Industry
Water /
Gas Construction
Transport &
Communication Business Service Other Total
1 Gazipur 402,341 240,346 28,646 1,337 7,446 12,021 58,114 6,727 129,161 886,139
2 Gopalganj 266,084 178,151 3,118 189 3,640 3,340 31,133 4,805 39,962 530,422
3 Jamalpur 489,640 377,579 6,675 605 4,822 5,923 59,488 8,060 103,197 1,055,989
4 Madaripur 274,334 184,521 4,347 350 3,689 3,819 35,084 5,367 50,875 562,386
5 Manikganj 321,028 196,766 6,497 294 4,219 6,160 44,248 4,466 62,517 646,195
6 Mushiganj 283,307 155,929 7,149 1,293 5,681 6,133 64,323 6,820 63,387 594,022
7 Mymensingh 988,534 748,129 13,399 1,365 12,819 20,311 105,727 15,745 196,973 2,103,002
8 Narayanganj 384,381 104,436 67,815 2,940 11,298 21,610 105,128 10,132 211,319 919,059
9 Sherpur 278,380 215,167 3,418 188 2,018 3,430 31,952 3,976 62,489 601,018
10 Tangail 790,210 534,652 42,459 1,338 9,282 16,359 90,973 14,702 126,065 1,626,040
11 Bagerhat 386,441 185,695 4,136 295 5,010 9,418 64,008 8,767 10,598 674,368
12 Khulna 506,657 190,924 34,420 1,893 10,643 21,533 104,102 10,297 220,107 1,100,576
13 Faridpur 390,893 256,842 5,748 433 5,643 9,023 51,925 5,868 78,835 805,210
14 Kishoreganj 566,613 424,505 10,068 550 5,639 10,437 75,820 10,160 96,627 1,200,419
15 Narsingdi 407,428 233,533 46,766 941 4,913 9,270 70,528 7,071 88,806 869,256
16 Rajbari 209,667 152,979 4,106 221 2,792 4,529 29,411 3,999 34,186 441,890
17 Shatkhira 421,945 271,596 9,809 232 6,696 8,341 67,282 4,979 70,063 860,943
18 Netrokona 448,199 375,830 3,718 331 3,482 3,088 45,605 5,822 72,921 958,996
19 Shariatpur 237,723 162,483 2,742 194 2,630 3,117 27,306 2,615 36,907 475,717
20 Barishal 551,356 282,419 9,435 1,118 9,380 10,441 94,438 14,669 144,019 1,117,275
21 Bandarban 53,004 44,068 1,328 37 579 522 6,464 2,606 26,116 134,724
22 Patuakhali 336,937 187,692 3,112 329 8,056 3,653 43,598 12,522 78,200 674,099
23 Rangamati 88,415 64,189 5,372 1,002 1,212 1,424 12,910 2,462 44,818 221,804
24 Pirozpur 302,348 130,710 4,163 326 4,358 4,630 52,972 7,971 66,502 573,980
25 Khagrachari 86,615 55,347 499 44 1,190 762 9,495 1,350 38,277 193,579
26 Bhola 357,755 239,542 2,089 267 4,926 6,273 46,472 5,028 82,515 744,867
27 Jhalokathi 178,975 82,874 3,216 257 3,635 3,511 25,760 5,218 41,420 344,866
28 Barguna 211,193 126,949 1,001 173 3,218 2,246 27,363 5,246 43,566 420,955
29 Pabna 477,476 302,543 25,860 673 7,304 10,379 75,940 10,147 112,775 1,023,097
Appendix-A1
30 Nababganj 316,804 182,593 5,529 240 9,181 2,420 52,328 4,497 56,283 629,875
31 Kurigram 412,953 322,863 1,918 202 2,964 4,340 34,570 3,566 53,988 837,364
32 Naogaon 569,172 461,756 9,271 452 4,561 5,880 57,244 7,747 76,714 1,192,797
33 Nator 351,290 271,145 7,041 282 3,719 4,866 40,717 8,071 79,806 766,937
34 Rajshahi 499,843 328,513 7,259 708 7,209 1,017 68,477 7,304 116,825 1,037,155
35 Dinajpur 566,860 462,993 12,419 987 6,755 9,829 66,249 6,457 86,887 1,219,436
36 Gaibandha 487,568 365,518 5,886 418 4,035 8,289 50,403 6,057 69,591 997,765
37 Shirajganj 576,824 354,516 62,508 582 5,823 6,348 82,608 9,152 121,113 1,219,474
38 Nilphamari 345,021 278,061 4,636 300 2,367 3,586 33,690 3,557 58,920 730,138
39 Maulavibazar 335,132 189,563 31,463 995 6,723 6,021 45,743 7,486 132,634 755,760
40 Hobigonj 393,655 274,929 14,162 840 8,791 4,753 46,206 7,143 81,053 831,532
41 Sunamgonj 345,021 341,599 2,986 232 5,016 2,912 45,287 7,158 90,405 840,616
42 Rangpur 544,369 405,451 19,950 708 6,225 10,452 63,597 6,971 107,890 1,165,613
43 Panchagarh 179,069 154,392 1,310 81 1,208 1,497 13,344 1,439 29,670 382,010
44 Thakurgaon 259,146 217,988 2,609 290 2,981 2,604 21,776 2,768 42,519 552,681
45 Sylhet 544,944 279,391 8,141 1,348 15,953 13,667 89,884 110,802 169,694 1,233,824
46 Lalmonirhat 237,337 201,666 1,127 564 1,552 3,224 22,527 2,072 45,373 515,442
47 Narail 173,885 110,573 3,585 65 1,770 3,582 20,315 3,155 30,279 347,209
48 Kustia 391,679 236,734 21,734 547 6,866 7,171 65,986 20,192 84,347 835,256
49 Joypurhat 200,072 166,213 3,391 205 2,342 2,770 23,435 3,092 33,134 434,654
50 Jessore 544,921 363,129 15,226 681 7,504 14,971 75,961 9,867 114,689 1,146,949
51 Bogra 684,069 495,163 12,825 1,023 8,182 17,283 91,504 9,272 141,731 1,461,052
52 Magura 180,786 127,793 3,775 290 2,354 3,825 21,860 2,083 28,110 370,876
53 Meherpur 136,591 105,916 979 71 1,620 1,173 18,307 1,354 19,317 285,328
54 jhenaidah 352,892 266,798 8,342 474 3,947 5,920 46,554 3,097 57,881 745,905
55 Chuadanga 217,638 162,445 6,367 219 2,398 3,537 28,947 4,070 28,544 454,165
56 Lakhshmipur 332,407 178,553 4,381 439 4,707 8,024 43,760 7,377 63,932 643,580
57 Cox's Bazar 342,764 162,920 6,463 555 4,192 8,917 63,371 7,716 119,054 715,952
58 Feni 280,396 117,540 6,178 562 6,002 9,079 41,431 8,240 61,717 531,145
59 Chittagong 1,289,999 395,281 128,812 8,262 36,676 72,266 281,921 47,947 527,154 2,788,318
60 Brahmanbaria 529,759 328,958 13,846 1,379 6,698 8,854 75,828 8,435 99,324 1,073,081
Appendix-A1
61 Chandpur 511,680 265,666 8,660 1,470 8,849 11,296 72,135 10,618 89,192 979,566
62 Noakhali 561,724 244,941 10,057 1,015 6,648 12,614 76,825 10,146 117,853 1,041,823
63 Comilla 1,008,730 563,107 18,670 2,695 15,876 31,053 133,103 20,519 192,917 1,986,670
64 Dhaka 1,273,363 195,702 163,464 15,683 72,482 145,756 455,142 78,828 1,324,591 3,725,011
Activity Total 26,676,242 16,286,765 996,081 64,079 450,396 681,499 4,028,604 665,852 6,986,334 56,835,852
Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 2001
Sl.
No. Zila
Household
Work Agriculture Industry
Water /
Electricity
/ Gas
Construction Transport Business Service
Other
(with
Hotel)
District Total
1 Gazipur 443,925 260,343 90,930 1,499 22,416 30,514 90,890 24,128 134,889 1,099,534
2 Gopalganj 273,481 193,533 2,316 309 7,615 7,370 36,371 5,325 38,172 564,492
3 Jamalpur 527,519 390,989 7,047 550 9,963 17,031 66,031 6,864 94,148 1,120,142
4 Madaripur 254,821 190,315 3,494 232 7,903 7,135 40,800 4,850 39,073 548,623
5 Manikganj 340,500 213,111 6,426 581 8,010 12,720 51,603 3,799 66,477 703,227
6 Munshiganj 299,300 138,676 8,248 626 11,583 12,735 73,276 3,812 73,492 621,748
7 Mymensingh 1,036,382 772,352 12,132 1,446 23,650 41,915 135,888 18,558 237,179 2,279,502
8 Narayanganj 446,297 126,213 97,303 2,026 21,061 38,031 129,557 8,280 240,823 1,109,591
9 Sherpur 309,495 230,391 4,862 309 4,919 11,334 37,256 3,089 72,248 673,903
10 Tangail 835,758 559,129 26,318 990 17,329 32,312 116,123 9,789 156,272 1,754,020
11 Bagerhat 405,292 228,083 3,813 505 8,086 15,405 70,644 7,911 92,064 831,803
12 Khulna 548,435 255,507 42,800 2,151 17,437 34,338 121,274 13,607 183,166 1,218,715
13 Faridpur 424,471 280,585 7,081 641 13,488 20,237 64,182 6,023 74,219 890,927
14 Kishoreganj 613,553 442,638 8,607 677 12,799 21,730 102,262 10,410 106,899 1,319,575
15 Narsingdi 430,635 238,139 46,967 1,297 10,907 18,677 83,798 9,867 94,953 935,240
Appendix-A1 16 Rajbari 229,300 163,339 4,583 352 7,941 11,090 36,326 3,174 34,218 490,323
17 Shatkhira 463,927 308,553 8,900 429 7,511 15,964 82,551 8,513 76,018 972,366
18 Netrokona 482,603 404,116 3,562 357 7,720 11,221 57,008 6,069 68,469 1,041,125
19 Shariatpur 244,676 175,299 3,414 287 4,718 6,177 34,904 2,785 35,428 507,688
20 Barishal 547,441 300,617 9,496 1,496 17,472 18,512 102,324 20,701 114,162 1,132,221
21 Bandarban 62,585 300,617 1,389 57 2,103 1,146 8,325 1,183 24,529 401,934
22 Patuakhali 374,458 51,613 3,710 426 9,669 9,244 54,068 6,434 72,198 581,820
23 Rangamati 112,500 223,815 778 160 2,187 1,951 16,541 3,574 49,860 411,366
24 Pirozpur 275,514 86,049 3,110 3,391 6,476 7,459 53,189 4,491 520,518 960,197
25 Khagrachari 123,902 152,882 993 71 2,833 2,405 14,860 3,453 39,012 340,411
26 Bhola 383,533 79,314 2,257 568 7,414 10,898 56,811 6,066 93,820 640,681
27 Jhalokathi 176,281 245,726 2,163 314 5,069 5,191 29,337 3,466 37,312 504,859
28 Barguna
29 Pabna 510,446 339,197 26,515 780 14,038 24,440 81,495 8,385 109,248 1,114,544
30 Nababganj 361,241 214,591 4,069 313 13,181 7,135 54,687 6,429 54,722 716,368
31 Kurigram 461,630 336,630 2,550 277 5,692 10,161 45,150 3,626 69,227 934,943
32 Naogaon 630,928 515,352 9,649 545 8,257 17,724 66,068 6,707 79,997 1,335,227
33 Nator 404,503 311,322 5,711 310 6,466 12,148 46,683 6,357 58,270 851,770
34 Rajshahi 589,119 381,551 8,021 1,020 13,985 25,820 82,322 7,647 114,642 1,224,127
35 Dinajpur 654,553 482,769 8,180 705 11,107 24,225 85,710 8,874 119,075 1,395,198
36 Gaibandha 544,732 396,123 5,775 442 9,081 23,025 65,665 5,979 74,562 1,125,384
37 Shirajganj 636,940 403,823 56,051 755 14,776 20,935 94,394 9,480 132,160 1,369,314
38 Nilphamari 375,865 291,754 3,595 434 5,623 11,853 45,012 5,541 53,464 793,141
39 Maulavibazar 353,832 186,622 21,115 896 12,398 12,751 53,958 8,815 131,672 782,059
40 Hobigonj 378,097 291,448 13,626 622 8,593 10,434 52,594 9,671 80,344 845,429
41 Sunamgonj 980,200 375,845 4,658 563 6,657 6,340 53,505 6,950 93,765 1,528,483
42 Rangpur 630,269 444,775 12,834 828 12,341 25,767 86,341 7,862 115,585 1,336,602
43 Panchagarh 201,261 162,403 1,316 84 2,649 7,171 19,222 1,380 36,289 431,775
44 Thakurgaon 300,643 246,232 1,988 261 4,585 9,078 30,005 2,557 38,615 633,964
45 Sylhet 575,378 283,449 9,720 2,363 26,945 23,902 100,608 13,999 155,904 1,192,268
Appendix-A1 46 Lalmonirhat 271,384 219,782 1,830 243 3,074 6,819 28,888 3,226 38,143 573,389
47 Narail 173,074 120,918 3,142 140 3,133 6,617 24,385 2,374 21,208 354,991
48 Kustia 443,599 259,859 20,875 725 11,393 18,678 82,197 6,213 90,580 934,119
49 Joypurhat 222,381 175,037 3,695 289 4,501 9,429 26,884 3,549 30,327 476,092
50 Jessore 611,363 412,270 22,272 970 14,740 29,618 99,168 9,637 118,904 1,318,942
51 Bogra 754,654 540,518 20,587 931 18,972 41,438 110,331 10,820 133,885 1,632,136
52 Magura 200,440 151,996 3,672 189 4,200 7,768 28,644 2,028 27,202 426,139
53 Meherpur 155,032 127,829 1,433 117 2,795 3,655 22,178 1,336 24,427 338,802
54 jhenaidah 398,142 311,242 6,887 358 7,392 16,908 62,094 4,059 53,736 860,818
55 Chuadanga 261,232 200,915 4,609 210 5,719 9,351 39,474 3,014 35,948 560,472
56 Lakhshmipur 345,453 186,062 3,609 616 9,954 14,559 50,257 7,866 61,773 680,149
57 Chandpur 527,816 275,606 6,289 1,167 15,187 16,165 81,655 12,319 102,488 1,038,692
58 Brahmanbaria 536,311 326,604 9,202 1,208 12,451 14,775 88,869 9,373 91,971 1,090,764
59 Dhaka 1,573,574 481,345 303,485 14,036 142,125 215,552 571,980 105,872 1,291,179 4,699,148
60 Comilla 1,034,626 604,275 16,414 2,370 25,751 44,605 56,245 23,006 200,697 2,007,989
61 Noakhali 597,041 281,154 8,116 1,160 14,080 23,559 84,647 11,080 104,326 1,125,163
62 Feni 297,879 121,122 6,655 950 10,648 15,242 46,849 8,077 572,335 1,079,757
63 Chittagong 1,484,793 458,510 123,637 6,423 58,513 99,689 313,467 50,892 689,343 3,285,267
64 Cox's Bazar 382,257 184,161 5,489 679 7,739 13,105 73,374 10,143 108,036 784,983
Activity Total 29,527,272 18,115,035 1,179,970 65,726 827,020 1,303,183 4,721,204 611,364 8,183,667 64,534,441
Appendix-A2
Bagerhat
Activity Sector(i) National (1991)
National (2001)
National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional (1991)
Regional (2001)
Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 386,441 405,292 18851 1.05 55618.73 -10904.34 -25863.39 18851
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 185,695 228,083 42388 1.23 26726.25 -4258.52 19920.27 42388
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 4,136 3,813 -323 0.92 595.28 173.21 -1091.49 -323
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 1.14 295 505 210 1.71 42.46 -34.06 201.60 210
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 5,010 8,086 3076 1.61 721.07 3534.53 -1179.59 3076
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 9,418 15,405 5987 1.64 1355.49 7295.44 -2663.93 5987
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 64,008 70,644 6636 1.10 9212.39 2304.89 -4881.27 6636
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 8,767 7,911 -856 0.90 1261.80 -1915.29 -202.50 -856
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 10,598 92,064 81466 8.69 1525.32 368.89 79571.79 81466
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 674,368 831,803 157435 1.23 97058.77 -3435.25 63811.48 157435
Khulna
Activity Sector(i) National (1991)
National (2001)
National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional (1991)
Regional (2001)
Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 506,657 548,435 41778 1.08 72920.88 -14296.51 -16846.37 41778
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 190,924 255,507 64583 1.34 27478.84 -4378.44 41482.60 64583
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 34,420 42,800 8380 1.24 4953.92 1441.46 1984.62 8380
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 1,893 2,151 258 1.14 272.45 -218.54 204.09 258
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 1.14 10,643 17,437 6794 1.64 1531.80 7508.58 -2246.38 6794
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 21,533 34,338 12805 1.59 3099.15 16680.06 -6974.21 12805
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 104,102 121,274 17172 1.16 14982.94 3748.65 -1559.59 17172
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 10,297 13,607 3310 1.32 1482.00 -2249.55 4077.55 3310
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 220,107 183,166 -36941 0.83 31679.02 7661.28 -76281.30 -36941
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 1,100,576 1,218,715 118139 1.11 158400.99 15896.99 -56158.98 118139
Faridpur
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 390,893 424,471 33578 1.09 56259.48 -11029.96 -11651.52 33578
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 256,842 280,585 23743 1.09 36966.12 -5890.13 -7332.99 23743
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 5,748 7,081 1333 1.23 827.28 240.72 265.00 1333
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 1.14 433 641 208 1.48 62.32 -49.99 195.67 208
Appendix-A2 Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 5,643 13,488 7845 2.39 812.17 3981.11 3051.72 7845
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 9,023 20,237 11214 2.24 1298.64 6989.47 2925.89 11214
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 51,925 64,182 12257 1.24 7473.33 1869.79 2913.88 12257
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 5,868 6,023 155 1.03 844.56 -1281.96 592.40 155
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 78,835 74,219 -4616 0.94 11346.37 2744.02 -18706.38 -4616
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 805,210 890,927 85717 1.11 115890.28 -2426.94 -27746.34 85717
Kishoreganj
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 566,613 613,553 46940 1.08 81550.08 -15988.31 -18621.77 46940
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 424,505 442,638 18133 1.04 61097.11 -9735.12 -33228.99 18133
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 10,068 8,607 -1461 0.85 1449.04 421.63 -3331.68 -1461
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 550 677 127 1.23 79.16 -63.50 111.34 127
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 1.14 5,639 12,799 7160 2.27 811.60 3978.28 2370.12 7160
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 10,437 21,730 11293 2.08 1502.15 8084.79 1706.06 11293
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 75,820 102,262 26442 1.35 10912.43 2730.23 12799.33 26442
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 10,160 10,410 250 1.02 1462.28 -2219.62 1007.33 250
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 96,627 106,899 10272 1.11 13907.09 3363.30 -6998.40 10272
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 1,200,419 1,319,575 119156 1.10 172770.94 -9428.30 -44186.64 119156
Narsingdi
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 407,428 430,635 23207 1.06 58639.29 -11496.53 -23935.76 23207
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 233,533 238,139 4606 1.02 33611.36 -5355.58 -23649.78 4606
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 46,766 46,967 201 1.00 6730.82 1958.50 -8488.32 201
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 1.14 941 1,297 356 1.38 135.43 -108.63 329.20 356
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 4,913 10,907 5994 2.22 707.11 3466.10 1820.80 5994
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 9,270 18,677 9407 2.01 1334.19 7180.80 892.01 9407
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 70,528 83,798 13270 1.19 10150.78 2539.67 579.55 13270
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 7,071 9,867 2796 1.40 1017.70 -1544.77 3323.08 2796
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 88,806 94,953 6147 1.07 12781.45 3091.08 -9725.53 6147
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 869,256 935,240 65984 1.08 125108.13 -269.39 -58854.74 65984
Rajbari
Appendix-A2 Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 209,667 229,300 19633 1.09 30176.43 -5916.24 -4627.19 19633
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 152,979 163,339 10360 1.07 22017.58 -3508.25 -8149.33 10360
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 4,106 4,583 477 1.12 590.96 171.95 -285.91 477
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 221 352 131 1.59 31.81 -25.51 124.71 131
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 1.14 2,792 7,941 5149 2.84 401.84 1969.74 2777.42 5149
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 4,529 11,090 6561 2.45 651.84 3508.29 2400.87 6561
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 29,411 36,326 6915 1.24 4232.99 1059.07 1622.93 6915
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 3,999 3,174 -825 0.79 575.56 -873.65 -526.91 -825
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 34,186 34,218 32 1.00 4920.24 1189.91 -6078.15 32
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 441,890 490,323 48433 1.11 63599.25 -2424.68 -12741.57 48433
Shatkhira
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 421,945 463,927 41982 1.10 60728.66 -11906.16 -6840.49 41982
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 271,596 308,553 36957 1.14 39089.60 -6228.48 4095.88 36957
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 9,809 8,900 -909 0.91 1411.77 410.79 -2731.55 -909
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 232 429 197 1.85 33.39 -26.78 190.39 197
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 1.14 6,696 7,511 815 1.12 963.73 4723.99 -4872.72 815
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 8,341 15,964 7623 1.91 1200.48 6461.17 -38.65 7623
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 67,282 82,551 15269 1.23 9683.60 2422.78 3162.62 15269
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 4,979 8,513 3534 1.71 716.61 -1087.74 3905.14 3534
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 70,063 76,018 5955 1.08 10083.85 2438.69 -6567.54 5955
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 860,943 972,366 111423 1.13 123911.68 -2791.75 -9696.93 111423
Netrokona
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 448,199 482,603 34404 1.08 64507.28 -12646.98 -17456.30 34404
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 375,830 404,116 28286 1.08 54091.53 -8618.86 -17186.67 28286
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 3,718 3,562 -156 0.96 535.12 155.70 -846.82 -156
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 331 357 26 1.08 47.64 -38.21 16.57 26
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 1.14 3,482 7,720 4238 2.22 501.15 2456.53 1280.32 4238
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 3,088 11,221 8133 3.63 444.44 2392.05 5296.51 8133
Appendix-A2 Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 45,605 57,008 11403 1.25 6563.72 1642.21 3197.07 11403
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 5,822 6,069 247 1.04 837.93 -1271.91 680.98 247
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 72,921 68,469 -4452 0.94 10495.19 2538.17 -17485.36 -4452
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 958,996 1,041,125 82129 1.09 138024.01 -13391.31 -42503.70 82129
Shariatpur
Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth
National Sectoral Growth Factor
NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth
Regional Sectoral Growth Factor
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Regional Employment Change
Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiS0(ET/E0)-EiS0
[(EiT/Ei0)-(ET/E0)]EiS0
[(EiST/EiS0)-(EiT/Ei0)]EiS0
Household work 26465049 29527272 3062223 1.12 237,723 244,676 6953 1.03 34214.41 -6707.91 -20553.50 6953
Agriculture 16159816 18115035 1955219 1.12 162,483 175,299 12816 1.08 23385.45 -3726.20 -6843.25 12816
Industry 995080 1179970 184890 1.19 2,742 3,414 672 1.25 394.64 114.83 162.53 672
Water, Electricity, Gas
63906 65726 1820 1.03 194 287 93 1.48 27.92 -22.40 87.48 93
Construction 447178 827020 379842 1.85 2,630 4,718 2088 1.79 378.52 1855.45 -145.97 2088
Transportation and Communication
679253 1303183 623930 1.92 1.14 3,117 6,177 3060 1.98 448.62 2414.51 196.87 3060
Bussiness 4001241 4721204 719963 1.18 27,306 34,904 7598 1.28 3930.03 983.27 2684.70 7598
Service 660606 611364 -49242 0.93 2,615 2,785 170 1.07 376.37 -571.29 364.92 170
Others 6942768 8183667 1240899 1.18 36,907 35,428 -1479 0.96 5311.86 1284.62 -8075.48 -1479
Total 56414897 64534441 8119544 1.14 475,717 507,688 31971 1.07 68467.82 -4375.11 -32121.72 31971
Appendix-B
Figure-1: Inter District Comparison of Employment Growth and Shift Share Components
Figure-2: Inter District Comparison in Terms of Percentage Composition of Regional Employment Growth Components (X-axis: Percentage; Y-axis: Districts)
23.35
10.73 10.65 9.93 7.59
10.96 12.94
8.56 6.72
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur
Per
cen
tage
Ch
ange
Districts
Inter District Comparison: Shift Share Components
Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G) National Growth(N)
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj
Narsingdi
Rajbari
Shatkhira
Netrokona
Shariatpur
National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D)
Appendix-B1 Districts Regional Employment(1991)
Bagerhat 674,368
Khulna 1,100,576
Faridpur 805,210
Kishoreganj 1,200,419
Narsingdi 869,256
Rajbari 441,890
Shatkhira 860,943
Netrokona 958,996
Shariatpur 475,717
District wise shift share components in 2001
Districts National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G)
Net Shift
Bagerhat 97058.77 -3435.25 63811.48 157435.00 60376.23
Khulna 158400.99 15896.99 -56158.98 118139.00 -40261.99
Faridpur 115890.28 -2426.94 -27746.34 85717.00 -30173.28
Kishoreganj 172770.94 -9428.30 -44186.64 119156.00 -53614.94
Narsingdi 125108.13 -269.39 -58854.74 65984.00 -59124.13
Rajbari 63599.25 -2424.68 -12741.57 48433.00 -15166.25
Shatkhira 123911.68 -2791.75 -9696.93 111423.00 -12488.68
Netrokona 138024.01 -13391.31 -42503.70 82129.00 -55895.01
Shariatpur 68467.82 -4375.11 -32121.72 31971.00 -36496.82
Percentage change of the shift share components with respect to the total employment in 1991
Districts National Growth(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G)
Bagerhat 14.39 -0.51 9.46 23.35
Khulna 14.39 1.44 -5.10 10.73
Faridpur 14.39 -0.30 -3.45 10.65
Kishoreganj 14.39 -0.79 -3.68 9.93
Narsingdi 14.39 -0.03 -6.77 7.59
Rajbari 14.39 -0.55 -2.88 10.96
Shatkhira 14.39 -0.32 -1.13 12.94
Netrokona 14.39 -1.40 -4.43 8.56
Shariatpur 14.39 -0.92 -6.75 6.72
Districts National Growth(N) Regional Growth(G) Regional Growth Percentage with Respect to National Growth
Bagerhat 14.39 23.35 162.21
Khulna 14.39 10.73 74.58
Faridpur 14.39 10.65 73.96
Kishoreganj 14.39 9.93 68.97
Narsingdi 14.39 7.59 52.74
Rajbari 14.39 10.96 76.15
Shatkhira 14.39 12.94 89.92
Netrokona 14.39 8.56 59.50
Shariatpur 14.39 6.72 46.69
Appendix-B1
Appendix-B2
Figure-3: Regional Growth Scenario with Respect to the National Growth
Appendix-B3
Figure-4: Employment change of the main activity sectors in the selected districts over the time period 1991-2001. (X-axis: Activity Sector of Different Districts; Y-axis: Percentage Change)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction Trans. & Comm. Bussiness Service Others
Employment Change of Activity Sectors :1991-2001
Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur
Appendix-B4
Employment in 1991
Household work
Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication
Bussiness Service Others
Bagerhat 386,441 185,695 4,136 295 5,010 9,418 64,008 8,767 10,598
Khulna 506,657 190,924 34,420 1,893 10,643 21,533 104,102 10,297 220,107
Faridpur 390,893 256,842 5,748 433 5,643 9,023 51,925 5,868 78,835
Kishoreganj 566,613 424,505 10,068 550 5,639 10,437 75,820 10,160 96,627
Narsingdi 407,428 233,533 46,766 941 4,913 9,270 70,528 7,071 88,806
Rajbari 209,667 152,979 4,106 221 2,792 4,529 29,411 3,999 34,186
Shatkhira 421,945 271,596 9,809 232 6,696 8,341 67,282 4,979 70,063
Netrokona 448,199 375,830 3,718 331 3,482 3,088 45,605 5,822 72,921
Shariatpur 237,723 162,483 2,742 194 2,630 3,117 27,306 2,615 36,907
Employment Change 1991-2001
Household work
Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas
Construction Transportation and Communication
Bussiness Service Others
Bagerhat 18851 42388 -323 210 3076 5987 6636 -856 81466
Khulna 41778 64583 8380 258 6794 12805 17172 3310 -36941
Faridpur 33578 23743 1333 208 7845 11214 12257 155 -4616
Kishoreganj 46940 18133 -1461 127 7160 11293 26442 250 10272
Narsingdi 23207 4606 201 356 5994 9407 13270 2796 6147
Rajbari 19633 10360 477 131 5149 6561 6915 -825 32
Shatkhira 41982 36957 -909 197 815 7623 15269 3534 5955
Netrokona 34404 28286 -156 26 4238 8133 11403 247 -4452
Shariatpur 6953 12816 672 93 2088 3060 7598 170 -1479
Appendix-B4 Employment Change Percentage
Household work
Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas
Construction Trans. & Comm. Bussiness Service Others
Bagerhat 4.88 22.83 -7.81 71.19 61.40 63.57 10.37 -9.76 768.69
Khulna 8.25 33.83 24.35 13.63 63.84 59.47 16.50 32.15 -16.78
Faridpur 8.59 9.24 23.19 48.04 139.02 124.28 23.61 2.64 -5.86
Kishoreganj 8.28 4.27 -14.51 23.09 126.97 108.20 34.87 2.46 10.63
Narsingdi 5.70 1.97 0.43 37.83 122.00 101.48 18.82 39.54 6.92
Rajbari 9.36 6.77 11.62 59.28 184.42 144.87 23.51 -20.63 0.09
Shatkhira 9.95 13.61 -9.27 84.91 12.17 91.39 22.69 70.98 8.50
Netrokona 7.68 7.53 -4.20 7.85 121.71 263.37 25.00 4.24 -6.11
Shariatpur 2.92 7.89 24.51 47.94 79.39 98.17 27.83 6.50 -4.01