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EOI · 7 y 8 / 09/2011 · Más en: http://a.eoi.es/ze
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Policy support to Venture Capital during crisis times and beyond
Madrid, September 7th, 2011
Andrea Montanino, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Rome*
*Views are personal and do not necessarily reflect those of the Ministry of Economy and Finance
What crisis means (data related to EU27)
2
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Public debt/GDP (LH scale)
Output gap(RH scale)
Source: MEF
Consequences for VC
– Lower availability of public support (either as public expenditure or tax incentives)
– Overall drop in private capital availability
– Reduction of international investors’ commitment (extra EU)
– Shift towards less risky and smaller investments (i.e., reduction of investors’ risk propensity)
3
Focus on Italy (1)
4
1.200
957
2.267
3.028
2.275
2006 2007 2008
987
2.187
20102009
Amount of capital raised in private equity and venture capital Italian industry
Euro millions
• Apart from Fondo Italiano di Investimento the amount of capital raised is much lower than pre-crisis level
Fondo Italiano di investimento
Source: AIFI
Focus on Italy (2)
5
50 43
8268
98
2006 2007 2008
1001002
100
2009
100
2010
100
5057
1832
Geographic origin of the capital raised in Italian PE and VC industry
Per cent
Foreign capital
Italian capital
Source: AIFI
Focus on Italy (3)
6
30
52 3549 20
10
2009
27
100
2010
100
15
2008
17
100
2007
100
6
2006
1004
14
61
3
3841
26
222 50
50
0
Distribution of the capital raised in terms of target investments (Italy)
Per cent
Source: AIFI
Others
Buy-out
Expansion
Early stage non H-T
Early stage H-T
Need for public support?
7
Lessons from VICO:
1. Importance of framework conditions: targeted incentives not sufficient2. Not clear positive impact on the growth of firms3. Weak managerial competences in PVC4. Difficult to define objectives of public schemes
However:1. European (and particularly Italian) rate of economic growth has to be enhanced2. The lower propensity to risky business by the private sector in the years ahead must be
compensated, in order to make these risky activities profitable3. Positive externalities are big enough to justify the public intervention4. The available toolkit is wide, not only public VC5. Firm investment in R&D could be lower than the optimal level6. The capital market for high tech is characterized by several imperfections
Focus on 5. and 6.
• Firm investments in R&D could be lower then the optimal level:
– R&D activities may be considered a “public good” (non rival and non excludable good: difficulty for firms to appropriate the economic benefit of R&D investments); social externalities and spillovers
– “intrinsic riskiness” of R&D investments (even higher in SMEs’ start-ups).
• The capital market for high tech is characterized by several imperfections:
– information asymmetry between demand and supply of capital due to track record absence (adverse selection and moral hazard issues: how to understand if a project is a lemon or a potential success?);
– too high costs of investment evaluation compared to investment dimension; – mismatch between perceived risk and expected return.
Therefore, YES, need for public support
8
Public support to VC: the available toolkit
Support measures matrix1
Demand-side
Target of intervention
Supply-side
Ind
ire
ct
Typ
olo
gy o
f in
terv
en
tio
n Dir
ect
• Public incubators • Public sponsored VC
1 European Investment Banks (2001)
2 In downside scheme, the public investor covers partially the investment losses (first loss mechanism) while in up-side leverage scheme the returns
for the public investor has a cap and all the extra-return is given to the private investors
9
What tools must be used in crisis times?
• Promotion of enterprise and entrepreneurship
• Management and skilled workforce improvement
• Business incubators, science parks and clusters
• Tax incentives
• PPP in VC
• Incentive scheme in PPP (downside and up-side leverage scheme2)
• Fund’s operating cost scheme in PPP (lowering of search and abort costs)
• Tax incentives to equity investors
Public support to VC: some principles from best practice examples
• The international best practice examples share several common characteristics that could be extremely useful for the future:
– presence of Public-Private Partnership and networks among public and private leaders (e.g., Israel and USA);
– predominance of supply-side interventions (risk sharing) with slight presence of demand side measures, too.
• Moreover, the European Commission expressed a preference for:
– establishment of Funds in which the State is sponsor, partner or investor;
– state grants to cover operating costs (e.g., abort costs);
– tax incentives to equity investors.
10
In crisis times, the public budget constraints are tighter: need to foster PPP framework and attract foreign investors
The role of the State for VC in crisis times: a possible new paradigm
1. Focus of the resources on a limited set of initiatives
2. Temporary support by the State and taking over by the private investors
3. Policies based on the convergence of public and private interests: the “State-promoter” takes the place of the “State-investor”:
a. State as facilitator/promoter of a process, sponsor, regulator (makes laws/regulations to encourage private sector’s interventions), in charge of strategy setting and operating indirectly by means of its “Agencies” (e.g., in Italy SACE, CDP);
b. private sector as investor/financer of the initiatives;
c. need to create an effective public-private “network of leaders”.
4. (Quasi)-neutrality in terms of public deficit of the support measures
5. In case of State owned resources involvement, preference for upside leverage scheme and support measures aimed at lowering search and abort costs
6. Full independence of the management companies
7. In case, tax incentives on supply-side to boost private investors equity commitment
11
Main principles inspiring a possible new paradigm derived from best practices
Some recent steps in Italy (1)
• Creation of “Venture Capital Funds”: common EU harmonized investment funds investing at least 75% of capital raised in non-listed companies in seed financing, start-up financing, early-stage financing and expansion financing
• The target companies must:
be owned mainly by natural persons (not firms);
be founded by less than 36 months;
have an overall turnover of less than 50 million Euros.
• The law provides for a full tax exemption for natural and legal persons1 on capital gains
Better only for legal person?
12
1) Article 31 of Law-Decree n. 98, July 6th 2011, Urgent
measures for financial stabilization
1 For legal persons, the tax exemption is subject to
European Commission approval
Some recent steps in Italy (2)
13
2) Possibility for Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (70% owned by the
State) to invest in SMEs through PE Funds
3) Investment by Sace in pre IPO SMEs to be listed in dedicated
stock markets (AIM Italia)
To sum up, and trying to answer to some questions ….
14
1) Public support is needed due to lack of private capital at
current economic conditions
2) Public support should be as much as possible “indirect”
without State ownership of invested firms (see James
Meade)
3) As public support, either tax incentives (but EU harmonised)
or
4) PPPs between private VC and governmental agencies
managed by private managers and not civil servants
Several other examples sharing the same intervention approach
a. National Guarantee Fund (Fondo Centrale di Garanzia) (extended in 2009)
b. CDP – Financial resources for indirect finance to SMEs (2009)
c. Italian Investment Fund (Fondo Italiano d’Investimento) (2010)
d. Social Housing Fund (Fondo Investimenti per l’Abitare) (2010)
e. Foundation for the university students’ merit (Fondazione per il merito) (2011)
15
Thank you!