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EUROPEAN KEY INVESTOR TOUR November 3-7, 2008

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  • 1. EUROPEAN KEY INVESTOR TOUR November 3-7, 2008

2. Forward-Looking StatementsCertain statements contained in this presentation are quot;forward-looking statements,quot; such as statements concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits; developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions; fluctuations in commodity prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent reports on forms 10-Q and 10-K. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward- looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results.Trademarks Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. 2008 Monsanto Company2 3. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK While Metrics and Projections Vary, Fundamentals of Demand-Driven Environment for Grain Remain Strong USDA LONG-TERM PROJECTIONS:STATE OF AGRICULTURE:CORN AND SOYBEAN TOTAL TRADE 2006-2017Strong Demand Environment FACTORS:11070 INCREASING PROTEINCorn Total Trade Soybean Total TradeSoybeans million metric tons DEMAND 60105 Corn million metric tons Wealth drives meat 50100consumption changing feed 40demand95 ASCENSION OF CHINA 30 Chinas growth is driving90 20huge changes in global oilseeds and grain trade85 10 ESTABLISHMENT OF BIOFUELS80 0 Assuming only base-case adoption of biofuels, more corn and soy needed in next decadeUSDA Demand Outlook Global corn trade expected to grow 15 percent by 2017 Imports by China and Mexico help spur demand USDA assumption on U.S. planted corn acres: ~90M Global soybean trade grows 40 percent by 2017 80 percent of growth is driven by China USDA assumption on U.S. planted soybean acres: ~70M4 Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017, available at: http://www.ers.usda.gov/Publications/OCE081/ 4. STRATEGIC OUTLOOKGlobal Corn Production Per Acre Is Sub-Optimized Today, Creating an Opportunity for Innovation GLOBAL CORN PRODUCTION1: YIELDCORE PRODUCTIVITY MEASURES AND EVALUATION Boosting yield-per- acre can make a meaningfulCANADA difference inEU 273M ACRES supply-demand136 BU/AC500M BUSHELS27M ACRES90% HYBRID environmentU.S.99 BU/AC CHINA2B BUSHELS If India, Mexico90M ACRES151 BU/AC 67M ACRESMEXICO13B BUSHELS 83 BU/AC and Brazil moved6B BUSHELS 18M ACRES25% HYBRID to 100 bushel perINDIA 48 BU/ACBRAZIL900M BUSHELS acre yields, they20M ACRES36M ACRES45% HYBRID75% HYBRID32 BU/AC could produce58 BU/AC 700M BUSHELS2B BUSHELS nearly 4 billion additionalARGENTINA bushels of corn10M ACRES111 BU/AC900M BUSHELS annually equal to total world Optimization of yield per acre corn exports in 2007 Poor/SubsistenceSub-Optimized Optimized51. Source is USDA FAS and internal estimates. 5. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK Monsantos Innovation Targeted at Doubling Yield by 2030,Extending Competitive Lead and Creating New Value DOUBLING YIELD WITH TECHNOLOGY:DOUBLING YIELD BY 2030 U.S. CORN EXAMPLEU.S. BASELINECROP 2000 BASELINE1325137 bu/ac Corn:300 37 bu/acSoybeans:275 Historical Yield632 lbs/ac250Cotton:U.S. Yield Per Acre (bu/ac) 30-Year Trend225 STRATEGIC RATIONALE Molecular Breeding Advances200Biotech AdvancesHelping meet global demand175150Furthering competitive lead125 Creating new value for100 farmers that creates 75 sustainable growth 50opportunities 2501970 1980 1990 20002010202020302030 U.S. YIELD U.S. YIELD TARGET ~300 bu/ac 151 bu/ac2030: 2007:1. Average U.S. yield by crop, USDA NASS6 6. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK Monsantos Growth Opportunity Lies at the Intersection of Demand, Innovation and ExecutionMonsantos Simple Philosophy on Opportunity:YIELDMore demand requires moreINNOVATIONMore yield requires more GROWTHMore innovation delivers more 7 7. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKYield and Innovation Create the Runway of Growth to 2012 for Seeds & Traits and for Monsanto as a Whole 2012 GROSS PROFIT TARGETGROSS PROFIT COMMITMENT: RELATIVE TO 2007 BASELINE2007-2012F$9.5 -Total Gross Profit$9.75B$10,000 $9.5-BUSINESS DETAIL $8.6-9.1B $9.75BRoundup and Other $8,000 ~$1.9BGlyphosate-Based$8-8.5B>2X ~2.25XHerbicides GP (in millions)~2X20072007 BASELINE~$300MAll Other Ag $6,000 BASELINE2007ProductivityBASELINE$7.3-Seeds & Genomics $4,000 $7.5B $4,230 2.6-2.7x Corn Seed & $2,000 Traits~2x Soybean Seed &$0Traits ORIGINALMID-YEARCURRENTBASELINETARGETUPDATE GUIDANCE ~2x Cotton Seed & 20072012F Traits>2.5x INCREASED BETTERVegetable SeedsROUNDUPGROWTH INGP TARGETSEEDS &TO $1.8B TRAITS2008 ACQUISITIONSROUNDUP GP TARGET OF $1.9B8 8. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKNear Term, 2009 Again Projects Double-Digit Earnings Growth and Strong Cash Generation2008 2009FEARNINGS$4.20-$4.40 $3.64ONGOING EARNINGS PER SHARE ~15-20% GROWTH >80% GROWTH FROM 2007 FROM 2008 Seeds & Genomics Gross Profit$3.9B$4.5-$4.6BCorn Seed & Traits Gross Profit $2.2B~$2.8B Soybean Seed & Traits Gross Profit $725M~$700MCotton Seed & Traits Gross Profit $313M~$300MVegetable Seeds Gross Profit$394M~$500MAll Other Seed & Traits Gross Profit$251M~$200MRoundup And All Other Glyphosate-based$2.0B $2.3-2.4B Herbicides Gross ProfitAll Other Ag Productivity Gross Profit $344M~$400MCASH MANAGEMENT AND SPENDING FREE CASH FLOW$772M~$1.8BOperating Cash$2.8B >$3BCapital Expenditures $918M~$1B SG&A as a Percent of Sales 20%19% RangeR&D as a Percent of Sales9%9.5%-10% Range9 9. USES OF CASHOver 70% of the $2.8 Billion of Operating Cash Generated Invested in Acquisitions, Technology and Capital in FY08 USES OF CASHPERCENT OF $2.8B OPERATING CASH USED BY CATEGORY: FY2008 2%Cash Generation13% $772M FY2008 Free Cash Flow:37%FY2009 Free Cash ~$1.8B Flow Forecast1:15%CASH PRIORITIES Bolster direct returns toshareowners Support commercial growththrough capital spending Invest in future growth through 33%technology collaborations Acquisitions and Expand the core through strategic Technology Collaborationsacquisitions Capital SpendingDividendsShare Repurchase1. Estimate does not contemplate strategic acquisitions.Other 10 10. STRATEGIC OUTLOOKSeed Platforms Are Business Foundation, Establish Footprint for Traits, and Create Diversified Crop Portfolio GloballyU.S.2012 2008 SHARETARGETSEU27 25.5%30-34%2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETSDEKALB 10.5%~15% 12% 16-20%ASI CORN20% 24-28%Asgrow 9% 10-12%ASIINDIA 2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS 41% ~50%Deltapine 36% 40-44%CORN 5% 12%COTTON LA - NORTH2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS 62-66%58% CORNBRAZIL2008 SHARE2012 TARGETS 40%44-48%CORN ARGENTINA 2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS21% 31%COTTON 46%50-54% CORN Share for row crops provided reflects sales volume for Monsanto brands divided by total planted acres in respective geography. Corn represents hybrid corn share in each respective market. Source for Deltapine share in the U.S. is dmrkynetic 2008 new certified seed share estimates.11 11. STRATEGIC OUTLOOKSignificant Growth Opportunity in Expansion of Existing and Near Term Commercial Biotech Traits Globally SOYBEANS COTTON CORN INTERNATIONAL MARKET OPPORTUNITY ROUNDUPROUNDUPBOLLGARDROUNDUP YIELDGARDMARKET OPPORTUNITY FOR BIOTECH TRAITS THROUGH 20101 ROUNDUP YIELDGARDREADY READYAND READY CORN SMARTSTAXREADYROOTWORMBOLLGARD IICORN 2BORER2 YIELD (FLEX)U.S.65-75M45-55M 10-12M 6-8M 80M60-70M45-55M 60-65M2008 Penetration97%0%63-75% 74-98% 86%64-75%55-67% 0% 45-50M2Brazil50-60M3M2M15-20M15-20M5M 15-20M Argentina40M-- - 9M7M5M5-7M India - - 15-20M 18-20M6M6M -5-6MEurope (EU27)1M-- -24M8M5M 15-20M South Africa 0.2M - .15M .15M6M4M - 4M0.5M- Australia - -0.5M-0.8M----0.8MOPPORTUNITY:91-101M45-50M 19-24M 21-23M60-65M40-45M 15M 44-57M Total Intl. Markets 2008 Penetration77-86%166-74% 0%3-4% 3%20-23%0% 0%of Intl. Markets Note: Market Opportunity reflects total acres where technology is applicable, not necessarily acres projected for penetration by 2010. 1.Primarily Bollgard I penetration; opportunity to expand to second generation technology. Roundup Ready 2 Yield is planned to be launched in Brazil as a stack with Insect-Protected soybeans. 2. 12 12. FINANCIAL OUTLOOK Increased 2009 and 2012 Targets for Roundup ReflectSustainability Even As Supply-Demand Comes Into BalanceROUNDUP AND OTHER GLYPHOSATE-BASED HERBICIDES: Roundup and OtherBRANDED AND NON-BRANDED TRENDS 2004-2008 Glyphosate-BasedHerbicides300Branded 2009 Forecast Non-Branded GROSS PROFIT TARGET: $2.3-$2.4B250 Global Volume (in gallons)AboveBRANDED PRICE BAND(PER GALLON):$16-$18200 2012 Forecast GROSS PROFIT TARGET: $1.9B150BRANDED PRICE BAND $16-$18(PER GALLON):10050 020042005 200620072008 GLOBAL VOLUME209M 215M235M252M257M (GALLONS):BRANDED PRICE BAND $11-$13$11-$13 $11-$13 >$11-$13 ~$20(PER GALLON): TOTAL ROUNDUP ANDOTHER GLYPHOSATE-BASED $703M$637M $648M$854M $2.0BHERBICIDES GROSS PROFIT:13 13. R&D PIPELINE R&D Engine Is Poised to Launch Average of One Game-Changing Technology Every Other Year Through Mid-Decade R&D PIPELINE: ADVANCED GAME-CHANGING TECHNOLOGIES 2008 2009 201020112012 TO MID-DECADERoundupDrought- Nitrogen- SmartStaxReady 2 YieldTolerant CornUtilizationSoybeans Family1Corn Family1 Second-gen soybean All-in-one corn trait Value likely in improved Targets ways to use trait platform platform yield under stress and nitrogen more efficiently potential for water China import approval On track for 2010 launch replacement received September Submitted for 2008 regulatory review andrefuge reduction On track for 2009 releaseSUPERIOR, NE - FIELD TRIALS 2007FARM PROGRESS SHOW 2007 WITH GENECONTROL HYBRID FARM PROGRESS SHOW 2007 (94 BU/AC) (76 BU/AC) 1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF Yield and Stress R&D Collaboration 14 14. R&D PIPELINEMonsantos Yield Leadership Widens With Each New Game- Changing Technology Launched DuPont Syngenta 2009 OptiontoLicense 2011 2ndGen RoundupReady2 RoundupSoybeanTraitOptimumGAT Yield Ready2Yield2012 AllinOne 2010NoSpecified CornTraitOptimumPlatformSmartStaxPlatformAcreMax Plus BiotechDrought2012+2014+ Post2014 ToleranceCorn6. PressRelease:MonsantoandSyngenta 1. Controlledcommercialreleaseof12M3. OptimumandGATareregistered ReachRoyaltyBearingLicensingacres;Largescalelaunchof56Min2010trademarksofPioneerHiBred;Dateas AgreementonRoundupReady2Yield statedinDuPontpressrelease071708 2. FirsttraitintheDroughttolerantcornSoybeanTechnology,052308family,currentlyPhaseIII 4. AcreMaxisatrademarkofPioneerHi7. NospecifiedplatformindicatedviaCorn Bred;DateasstatedbyWilliamS.Niebur, TechnologyPipeline,SyngentaHalfYear Ph.D.,MerrillLynchAgriculturalChemicals ResultsPresentation,072408,Slide22. Conference,060508,Slide14 Relevantcomponenttraits:VIP/Broadlep:5. Ibid,Slide232009andRWdualmodeofaction:20128. Ibid.15 15. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK While Metrics and Projections Vary, Fundamentals of Demand-Driven Environment for Grain Remain Strong USDA LONG-TERM PROJECTIONS:STATE OF AGRICULTURE:CORN AND SOYBEAN TOTAL TRADE 2006-2017Strong Demand Environment FACTORS:11070 INCREASING PROTEINCorn Total Trade Soybean Total TradeSoybeans million metric tons DEMAND 60105 Corn million metric tons Wealth drives meat 50100consumption changing feed 40demand95 ASCENSION OF CHINA 30 Chinas growth is driving90 20huge changes in global oilseeds and grain trade85 10 ESTABLISHMENT OF BIOFUELS80 0 Assuming only base-case adoption of biofuels, more corn and soy needed in next decadeUSDA Demand Outlook Global corn trade expected to grow 15 percent by 2017 Imports by China and Mexico help spur demand USDA assumption on U.S. planted corn acres: ~90M Global soybean trade grows 40 percent by 2017 80 percent of growth is driven by China USDA assumption on U.S. planted soybean acres: ~70M17 Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017, available at: http://www.ers.usda.gov/Publications/OCE081/ 16. STRATEGIC OUTLOOKGlobal Corn Production Per Acre Is Sub-Optimized Today, Creating an Opportunity for Innovation GLOBAL CORN PRODUCTION1: YIELDCORE PRODUCTIVITY MEASURES AND EVALUATION Boosting yield-per- acre can make a meaningfulCANADA difference inEU 273M ACRES supply-demand136 BU/AC500M BUSHELS27M ACRES90% HYBRID environmentU.S.99 BU/AC CHINA2B BUSHELS If India, Mexico90M ACRES151 BU/AC 67M ACRESMEXICO13B BUSHELS 83 BU/AC and Brazil moved6B BUSHELS 18M ACRES25% HYBRID to 100 bushel perINDIA 48 BU/ACBRAZIL900M BUSHELS acre yields, they20M ACRES36M ACRES45% HYBRID75% HYBRID32 BU/AC could produce58 BU/AC 700M BUSHELS2B BUSHELS nearly 4 billion additionalARGENTINA bushels of corn10M ACRES111 BU/AC900M BUSHELS annually equal to total world Optimization of yield per acre corn exports in 2007 Poor/SubsistenceSub-Optimized Optimized181. Source is USDA FAS and internal estimates. 17. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK Monsantos Growth Opportunity Lies at the Intersection of Demand, Innovation and ExecutionMonsantos Simple Philosophy on Opportunity:YIELDMore demand requires moreINNOVATIONMore yield requires more GROWTHMore innovation delivers more 19 18. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK Monsantos Innovation Targeted at Doubling Yield by 2030,Extending Competitive Lead and Creating New Value DOUBLING YIELD WITH TECHNOLOGY:DOUBLING YIELD BY 2030 U.S. CORN EXAMPLEU.S. BASELINECROP 2000 BASELINE1325137 bu/ac Corn:300 37 bu/acSoybeans:275 Historical Yield632 lbs/ac250Cotton:U.S. Yield Per Acre (bu/ac) 30-Year Trend225 STRATEGIC RATIONALE Molecular Breeding Advances200Biotech AdvancesHelping meet global demand175150Furthering competitive lead125 Creating new value for100 farmers that creates 75 sustainable growth 50opportunities 2501970 1980 1990 20002010202020302030 U.S. YIELD U.S. YIELD TARGET ~300 bu/ac 151 bu/ac2030: 2007:1. Average U.S. yield by crop, USDA NASS20 19. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKYield and Innovation Create the Runway of Growth to 2012 for Seeds & Traits and for Monsanto as a Whole 2012 GROSS PROFIT TARGETGROSS PROFIT COMMITMENT: RELATIVE TO 2007 BASELINE2007-2012F$9.5 -Total Gross Profit$9.75B$10,000 $9.5-BUSINESS DETAIL $8.6-9.1B $9.75BRoundup and Other $8,000 ~$1.9BGlyphosate-Based$8-8.5B>2X ~2.25XHerbicides GP (in millions)~2X20072007 BASELINE~$300MAll Other Ag $6,000 BASELINE2007ProductivityBASELINE$7.3-Seeds & Genomics $4,000 $7.5B $4,230 2.6-2.7x Corn Seed & $2,000 Traits~2x Soybean Seed &$0Traits ORIGINALMID-YEARCURRENTBASELINETARGETUPDATE GUIDANCE ~2x Cotton Seed & 20072012F Traits>2.5x INCREASED BETTERVegetable SeedsROUNDUPGROWTH INGP TARGETSEEDS &TO $1.8B TRAITS2008 ACQUISITIONSROUNDUP GP TARGET OF $1.9B21 20. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKNear Term, 2009 Again Projects Double-Digit Earnings Growth and Strong Cash Generation2008 2009FEARNINGS$4.20-$4.40 $3.64ONGOING EARNINGS PER SHARE ~15-20% GROWTH >80% GROWTH FROM 2007 FROM 2008 Seeds & Genomics Gross Profit$3.9B$4.5-$4.6BCorn Seed & Traits Gross Profit $2.2B~$2.8B Soybean Seed & Traits Gross Profit $725M~$700MCotton Seed & Traits Gross Profit $313M~$300MVegetable Seeds Gross Profit$394M~$500MAll Other Seed & Traits Gross Profit$251M~$200MRoundup And All Other Glyphosate-based$2.0B $2.3-2.4B Herbicides Gross ProfitAll Other Ag Productivity Gross Profit $344M~$400MCASH MANAGEMENT AND SPENDING FREE CASH FLOW$772M~$1.8BOperating Cash$2.8B >$3BCapital Expenditures $918M~$1B SG&A as a Percent of Sales 20%19% RangeR&D as a Percent of Sales9%9.5%-10% Range22 21. USES OF CASHOver 70% of the $2.8 Billion of Operating Cash Generated Invested in Acquisitions, Technology and Capital in FY08 USES OF CASHPERCENT OF $2.8B OPERATING CASH USED BY CATEGORY: FY2008 2%Cash Generation13% $772M FY2008 Free Cash Flow:37%FY2009 Free Cash ~$1.8B Flow Forecast1:15%CASH PRIORITIES Bolster direct returns toshareowners Support commercial growththrough capital spending Invest in future growth through 33%technology collaborations Acquisitions and Expand the core through strategic Technology Collaborationsacquisitions Capital SpendingDividendsShare Repurchase1. Estimate does not contemplate strategic acquisitions.Other 23 22. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKOn Track in 2008, Growth Drivers Continue to Set Stage for Growth Through 2012GROSS PROFIT OUTLOOK BY SEGMENT 2007-2012F $10,000 TOTAL GROSS All Other Agricultural ProductivityPROFIT GROWS TO >2.25X Roundup and Other Glyphosate-based Herbicides $8,000 2007 BASELINE Seeds & Genomics$6,000 $4,0002008 SEEDS & GENOMICS $2,000GENERATES $3.9B OF GROSS PROFIT $0 20072008 2009F2010F 2011F2012FU.S. Corn Intl Corn Cotton VegetablesR&D Pipeline Soybeans Expand seed Establish and Prepare for Accelerate U.S. Reinvigorate Largest-ever footprint expand seedcommercialtraits and margins R&D field footprintlaunch of breeding effort Drive trait DeRuiterRoundup Drive trait Drive intl traits penetration integrationReady 2 Yield penetration SmartStaxAccelerated traitRoundup ReadyGlobalized$1B VegetableGame-ChangingPlatform platform2 Yield Platform Cotton Platform Platform Launches 23. OVERVIEW Gross Profit Growth Comes From Two-Step Strategy: Establish Seed Footprint, Then Layer on Biotech TraitsBREEDING BIOTECHTRAIT 3R&DTRAIT 2 SEED ENGINETRAIT 1 SEED Establish Seed FootprintAdd Biotech Traits Seed provides a core gross-profit Higher margins than seed withcontribution minimal incremental cost of goods STRATEGIC VALUE Seed footprint speeds penetration Opportunity to stack multiple traitsrate of biotech traits per acre Access to global germplasm Proven, commercial-driven R&Dpools combined with most program backed by industrys DIFFERENTIATORSadvanced breeding technology largest seed-and-trait R&D spendcreates seed that outperforms Collaborator of choicecompetitors New trait introductions MEASURES OF SUCCESS Seed share growth Trait upgrade and trait platform opportunityCorn: U.S., Argentina, Brazil,Europe, Central AmericaCorn: U.S., Argentina, BrazilKEY CROPS & GEOGRAPHIESSoybeans: U.S. Soybeans: U.S., BrazilCotton: U.S., IndiaCotton: U.S., India, AustraliaVegetables: Global 25 24. STRATEGIC OUTLOOKSignificant Growth Opportunity in Expansion of Existing and Near Term Commercial Biotech Traits Globally SOYBEANS COTTON CORN INTERNATIONAL MARKET OPPORTUNITY ROUNDUPROUNDUPBOLLGARDROUNDUP YIELDGARDMARKET OPPORTUNITY FOR BIOTECH TRAITS THROUGH 20101 ROUNDUP YIELDGARDREADY READYAND READY CORN SMARTSTAXREADYROOTWORMBOLLGARD IICORN 2BORER2 YIELD (FLEX)U.S.65-75M45-55M 10-12M 6-8M 80M60-70M45-55M 60-65M2008 Penetration97%0%63-75% 74-98% 86%64-75%55-67% 0% 45-50M2Brazil50-60M3M2M15-20M15-20M5M 15-20M Argentina40M-- - 9M7M5M5-7M India - - 15-20M 18-20M6M6M -5-6MEurope (EU27)1M-- -24M8M5M 15-20M South Africa 0.2M - .15M .15M6M4M - 4M0.5M- Australia - -0.5M-0.8M----0.8MOPPORTUNITY:91-101M45-50M 19-24M 21-23M60-65M40-45M 15M 44-57M Total Intl. Markets 2008 Penetration77-86%166-74% 0%3-4% 3%20-23%0% 0%of Intl MarketsNote: Market Opportunity reflects total acres where technology is applicable, not necessarily acres projected for penetration by 2010. 1.Primarily Bollgard I penetration; opportunity to expand to second generation technology. Roundup Ready 2 Yield is planned to be launched in Brazil as a stack with Insect-Protected soybeans. 2. 26 25. CORN SEED & TRAITS Corn Gross Profit to Expand 25-30% in 2009, Reflecting Continuing Momentum in Seed Share and Trait Penetration CORN SEEDS AND TRAITS: KEY FINANCIAL METRICS AND DRIVERS 2005-2008F CORN FINANCIAL OUTLOOK 62%$4,000 Gross Profit as Percent of SalesFor 2009, Corn Seeds &$3,500 >$3.5BTraits gross profit is forecast 60%to be up 25-30%$3,000 Absolute gross profit is$2,500 58%increased by growing seed $M>$2.1B$2,000share, increasing traitpenetration and increasing 56% $1,721$1,500prices$1,000Margin increases by $1,01954% $825increasing mix toward traits $500 2009 DRIVERS $052% 200520062007 2008Increasing triple-stackpenetration in U.S. combined Net Sales Gross ProfitGross Profit as Percent of Saleswith stronger trait pricingLaunch of new traits inArgentina and Brazil28 26. FINANCIAL OUTLOOKYield-Enhancing Technology Creates Value Returning $1.50-$3 For Every Dollar Spent By Farmers in Corn U.S. FARMER RETURN ON INVESTMENT: 1983-2008F 17016015032 140130 Bu/ac 120 FARMER RETURN OFbu/ac1.5X 3X 110PER DOLLAR SPENT 100 ON YIELD-CREATING TECHNOLOGY@ COMMODITY PRICE RANGE OF $2-$4/BU 9080 PRE-BIOTECH: 1983-1996POST-BIOTECH: 1996-2008FAVERAGE YIELD DURING AVERAGE YIELD DURING 115.6 bu/ac138.3 bu/acPERIOD:PERIOD: 1.7 bu/ac2.6 bu/ac ANNUAL YIELD GAIN: ANNUAL YIELD GAIN:YIELD-RELATEDPRODUCTION Seed/ Chem/$27.07/ac $43.24/ac Equip/ LaborCOSTS SCARCITY-RELATED $19.33/ac $52.02/ac Land Rent$6.23/ac$94.90/acFertilizer Source: USDA, Land Rent Averaged using Corn & Soybean, Doane Ag, dmrkynetec data, Yield is calculated using a 3 year rolling average, (32 Yield is 2.6 bu/ac/yr *12 years). 2008F Yield is April 08 Doane Ag. Return Monsanto Estimate29 27. CORN SEED & TRAITS U.S. DEKALB Share Consistently Ahead of Expectations; Growth Trend Continues in 2009 DEKALB U.S. CORN SHARE EVOLUTION: CORN2001-2009F FINANCIAL OUTLOOK30% Three years of growth since 2005 have outpaced projected 28% growth each yearGROW 26%2%+2009: Trend continues with25.5% 24% early commitment for accelerated growth in 23% 22% DEKALB and ASI 20%2009 DRIVERSTARGET 19% 18% 2+U.S. DEKALB Share 2005 PROJECTED 16% +1 AVERAGE GROWTH 16%U.S. ASI Share TREND 14%TRAIT TARGETS14% 13% 12%U.S. Triple-Stack10%12% 34-35M Penetration 10%2001 20022003 2004 200520062007 20082009F1.4 1.5 1.71.92.2>2.4~2.5 DEKALB Trait Penetration Trend: 2003-2009FAverage Number of Traits Per Acre in DEKALB Seed11. Trait intensity reflects the average number of traits per acre with at least one trait30 28. CORN SEED & TRAITSSeed Platforms Are Business Foundation, Establish Footprint for Traits, and Create Diversified Crop Portfolio GloballyEU272008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS12% 16-20%CORNU.S. 2012 2008 SHARETARGETS 25.5% 30-34%DEKALB 10.5% ~15%ASI INDIA2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS36% 40-44%CORNLA - NORTH2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS 62-66%58% CORNBRAZIL2008 SHARE2012 TARGETS 40%44-48%CORN ARGENTINA 2008 SHARE2012 TARGETS 46% 50-54% CORN Share for row crops provided reflects sales volume for Monsanto brands divided by total planted acres in respective geography. Corn represents hybrid corn share in each respective market.31 29. CORN SEED & TRAITSTriple Stack Penetration Accelerates, Creating Added Growth and Setting Stage for SmartStax LaunchU.S. CORN TRAIT OPPORTUNITY: 2005-2010F70220200 U.S. TRIPLE-STACK ACRES60180 U.S. TRAIT ACRES (IN MILLIONS)160 50 (IN MILLIONS)14040120 100308020604010200 02007 20082009F 2005 2006 20072008F2009F 2010F2010Opportunity Q3UPDATERootworm ControlNA 50-65M 20.8M 30.1MCorn Borer Control NA 60-70M 42.4M45M Glyphosate ToleranceNA80M 57.9M 68.8MTriple Stack/SmartStax 17.6M 29.1M 34-35M 50-65MOpportunity widens in 2010 with launch of SmartStaxTrait acres reflect the total acres planted with each individual trait. In the case of stacked traits, each absoluteacre will be reflected by two or more trait acres.32 30. CORN SEED & TRAITSMonsantos Leadership Continues With Next Game- Changer in Corn; SmartStax Resets Trait Platform in 2010 LIKELIHOOD OF SWITCHING BRANDS FOR SmartStax If your current seed brand did not offer this new Monsanto Insect Protection Technology,SMARTSTAXhow likely would you be to switch seed brands to obtain this new technology? Would you say:Very likely or Somewhat likelyCOMMERCIAL OPPORTUNITY YIELDGARD CORN 74%BORER USERS WHO LAUNCH TARGET:2010TREAT FORROOTWORMTARGET ACRE60-65M OPPORTUNITY:0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%70% 80% 90% 100% VALUE PROPOSITIONPERCENT OF FARMERS2008 trials evaluating SmartStax in eliteHERCULEX I CORN 65%BORER USERS WHO germplasm, quantifying sources of TREAT FORROOTWORM potential on-farm yield advantages: 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%70% 80% 90% 100% Improved 1-2% consistency: SmartStax STATUS Primary pests Improved Precedent established with U.S. EPA on consistency:1-2%dual-mode-of-action traits: Secondary pests REFUGE YieldGard VT PRO received reducedREDUCTION Reduced refuge3-6% STRATEGY:refuge in Southern geographies Bollgard II natural refuge in cotton5-10% On track for 2010 COMMERCIAL All components have U.S. approvals TRACK: Final regulatory package with 5% refugerequest submitted in June 200833 31. CORN SEED & TRAITSLarger Seed Footprints in South America Enable Larger Launches and Faster Ramp Up Than CompetitionLATIN AMERICAN CORN LATIN AMERICA NORTH OUTLOOK:CURRENT5-YEAR OUTLOOK#1 position in all key SEED & TRAIT TRENDS THROUGH 2012SEED SHARE: countries 7-8M MEXICOHYBRID ACRES:In approval stage BIOTECH STATUS: HONDURAS GUATEMALA Integration of Cristiani; Expand seed footprint forFY2009 PRIORITIES: EL SALVADOR pending trait introductionsCOLOMBIA BRAZILCURRENT5-YEAR OUTLOOK40% (#1 position)SEED SHARE: BRAZILPERU25-27M HYBRID ACRES: 1st commercial trait in BIOTECHFY2009 STATUS: Targeted share gain: 1-2 points FY2009 1-2M acre launch of YieldGard Corn Borer; sold- PRIORITIES: out in Q1ARGENTINA ARGENTINA CURRENT 5-YEAR OUTLOOK 46% (#1 position)SEED SHARE:8-10M HYBRID ACRES: Commercial planting BIOTECH STATUS: Targeted share gain: 1-2 pointsFY2009 PRIORITIES: 1-2M acre launch of YieldGard Corn Borer with Roundup Ready Corn 2 stack; sold-out in Q1 34 32. CORN SEED & TRAITS Monsantos Pricing Model Aimed at Total Value Created;Shared with FarmerYieldGard VT Triple Improved YieldPRICING TO VALUE EXAMPLE: 2009UPDATE: Yield-advantage value at 3 year Improved Yield1average commodity price IMPROVED YIELD One year back, current year and forward year 15-20(BU/AC): Value shared with farmers UPDATE: 3 YEAR COMMODITY PRICE: $4.00Indirect Benefits $60-$80Quantified benefits, such as convenience and Indirect Benefits2peace of mindINDIRECT BENEFITS: $5 Value shared with farmersIncremental Value Created $65-$85(+) Replacement ValueFactors costs farmers would have incurred forsubstitute insect and weed control 100% of replacement value is capturedPRICING APPROACH UPDATE: Per-Acre Trait Cost3: $29-$54 UPDATE: ReplacementPRICING APPROACH($11-$19) Value4Percentage of incremental value sharedIncremental Farmer Cost: $18-$35ultimately determined by market research,pricing simulations and focus groups to assess: Incremental Value Shared: 60-70% Market Share Implications 1. Monsanto estimates, based on better insect and weed control over conventional options Trait Penetration Effect 2. Monsanto estimates, based on farmer surveys quantifying benefits such as convenience andpeace of mind Competitive Reaction 3. Retail price range for YieldGard VT Triple in 2009, at seeding rate of 2.7 acres per unit 4. Subtracts costs farmers would have spent had they not used a trait package35 33. SOYBEAN SEED & TRAITS Soybean Seeds and Traits Poised for Renaissance Driven ByRoundup Ready 2 Yield Opportunity SOYBEAN SEEDS AND TRAITS:KEY FINANCIAL METRICS AND DRIVERS 2005-2008F SOYBEANS FINANCIAL OUTLOOK$1,400 70% Gross Profit as Percent of Sales >$1.1BFor 2009, Soybean Seeds &$1,200 60%Traits gross profit is forecastto be flat with 2008$1,000 50%Performance more subject to $80040%planted acres because of $Msignificant trait penetration$725M $667 $60030% $613In 2009, lower acres and$588 higher production cost for $40020%seed still prominent $20010%Beyond 2009, Roundup Ready2 Yield creates new margin $00%opportunity as acres expand 20052006 2007 20082009 DRIVERS Net Sales Gross Profit Gross Profit as Percent of Sales Focus on 1-2M acre controlledcommercial release ofRoundup Ready 2 Yield37 34. SOYBEAN SEED & TRAITSRoundup Ready 2 Yield Soybeans Is One Of the Most- Anticipated Launches Because of Step-Change In Yield ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS: SECOND-GENERATION WEED CONTROL OPPORTUNITYU.S. SOYBEANSNear-Isoline Comparisons: 2007 U.S. AVERAGERoundup Ready 2 Yield vs. Roundup Ready 41.6 bu YIELD PER ACRE:% Yield Increase over Roundup Ready12% ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD TARGETED YIELD 11% 7-11%10% IMPROVEMENT: 9% 9%8% VALUE PROPOSITION 7% 7%6% YIELDIMPROVEMENT ON 3-5 bu/ac AVERAGE YIELDS:4%INCREMENTALYIELD VALUE TO$27-$45/acre FARMER (VERSUSROUNDUP READY):2% PRICING SEAMLESS PRICE0% $69-$72 FOR ROUNDUP4 YEAR READY 2 YIELD 2004 200520062007SEED (PER ACRE)1: AVERAGE SEAMLESS PRICE FOR FIRST-Roundup Ready 2 Yield soybeans yield 7 to 11 percentGENERATION $49-$52 ROUNDUP READYhigher than Roundup Ready soybeans based on 73SEED (PER ACRE)1:Monsanto field trials from 2004-20071. Reflects seamless pricing to farmer, including trait value, germplasm value and value provided by seed treatment38 35. COTTON SEED & TRAITS Seed Platforms Are Business Foundation, Establish Footprintfor Traits, and Create Diversified Crop Portfolio GloballyU.S.2012 2008 SHARE TARGETS 41%~50%Deltapine INDIA 2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS 5% 12%COTTONBRAZIL 2008 SHARE 2012 TARGETS21% 31%COTTON Share for row crops provided reflects sales volume for Monsanto brands divided by total planted acres in respective geography. Source for Deltapine share in the U.S. is dmrkynetic 2008 new certified seed share estimates.40 36. COTTON SEED & TRAITSCotton Platform Segregating Into Value- and Volume-Focused Opportunities To Reflect Changing Global Production CHANGING GLOBAL COTTON LANDSCAPE 20032004 2005 2006 200720082003 2004 200520062007 2008 1616Monsanto insect-protected 17.2 Monsanto insect-protected trait acrestrait acres 14.6 1212 Acres (M) Acres (M) 8 88.78.67.87.8 6.6 5.95.7 4 41.33.1 0.2 0 013.5M 13.7M 14.2M15.2M10.8M9.4MINDIA PLANTED3XPLANTED ACRESUNITED STATES MORE BOLLGARDAND BOLLGARD IITHAN U.S. IN 2008 VOLUME VALUEExpanding cotton market with U.S. acres likely to continue to be small, butgrowing demand for technology, among highest valuebut assumes local pricing risk Technology adoption still needed to improve Second-generationfarmer profitability conversion continues to move ahead Deltapine brand continues to provide accessto worlds largest cotton germplasm pool41 37. COTTON SEED & TRAITSRegardless of Where Cotton Is Grown Geographically, Trait Intensity Is Key Opportunity for MonsantoGLOBAL COTTON SEED AND TRAITS GROSS PROFITCOTTON INDEX=2007 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK 2012F 2007 With Delta & Pine Landacquisition, lower-marginseed is greater portion ofproduct mix softeningmarginsCorn and soybeans havedisplaced cotton in Deltapinebrands core U.S. geographies ~2X 2009 DRIVERS Re-establish U.S. shareOVER 2007 INDEXgrowth, promote second-genU.S Cotton Seeds & TraitsGross Profitpenetration in U.S. and IndiaInternational Cotton Seeds& Traits Gross Profit42 38. VEGETABLE SEEDS Vegetable Core Platforms Are Established, Focusing onExecution and Growth To Become $1B Business by 2012 VEGETABLES$1,400 $1.2B$1,200 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK>$1B$1,000 $M $800By 2012, Vegetable business $725Mroughly equates to todays $600>$650Msoybean business currently $400Monsantos second-largestseed-and-trait segment $200 Sales growth continues in $0NETGROSSNETGROSSmid-single digits; Margin SALES PROFITSALES PROFITgrows through pricing, new Vegetable Platform: Soybean Platform:products and increase of 2012F 2008 protected-culture business RANK ORDER GROSS PROFITGENERATORS: 2012F 2009 DRIVERS Corn Seeds & TraitsFocus on operation andexecution of 3-channel Soybean Seeds & Traitsapproach: Seminis open-field, Vegetable SeedsDeRuiter protected-culture,and ISG regional brands Cotton Seeds & TraitsAll Other Seeds & Traits44 39. VEGETABLE SEEDSDe Ruiter Seeds Is Perfect Complement to Seminis, Setting Pace for Growth Through 2012 FY07 Annual net Sales = $145M FY08 Annual Net Sales = $744MPortfolio Composition: Percent of Sales1Portfolio Composition: Percent of Sales110%13% Open-Field Protected-Culture87% 90% Pairing Seminis with De Ruiter Seeds brings together the leading positions in open-field and protected-culturesegments Both divisions benefit from the coordinated 1. Size of pies not to scale with revenuemolecular breeding infrastructuregenerated by Seminis or De Ruiter Seeds45 40. ROUNDUP Increased 2009 and 2012 Targets for Roundup ReflectSustainability Even As Supply-Demand Comes Into BalanceROUNDUP AND OTHER GLYPHOSATE-BASED HERBICIDES: Roundup and OtherBRANDED AND NON-BRANDED TRENDS 2004-2008 Glyphosate-BasedHerbicides300Branded 2009 Forecast Non-Branded GROSS PROFIT TARGET: $2.3-$2.4B250 Global Volume (in gallons)AboveBRANDED PRICE BAND(PER GALLON):$16-$18200 2012 Forecast GROSS PROFIT TARGET: $1.9B150BRANDED PRICE BAND $16-$18(PER GALLON):10050 020042005 200620072008 GLOBAL VOLUME209M 215M235M252M257M (GALLONS):BRANDED PRICE BAND $11-$13$11-$13 $11-$13 >$11-$13 ~$20(PER GALLON): TOTAL ROUNDUP ANDOTHER GLYPHOSATE-BASED $703M$637M $648M$854M $2.0BHERBICIDES GROSS PROFIT:47 41. R&D PIPELINEPhase Advancements For Key Projects Reflect Progress and Strength Throughout Monsantos Industry-Leading Pipeline BIOTECH TRAIT PIPELINE: JANUARY 2008 UPDATEPHASE PHASE PHASE PHASED1 3 2 4 PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE D 13 24 AGRONOMIC TRAITS YIELD AND STRESS PIPELINEROUNDUP READY 2 YIELDSOYBEANS DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN FAMILY YIELDGARD VT PRO 2ND-GEN YIELDGARD CORN BORERDROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN SMARTSTAX CORN2ND-GEN DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN DICAMBA-TOLERANT SOYBEANS NITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN FAMILYINSECT-PROTECTED + ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANSNITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN BOLLGARD III BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING CORN FAMILY SOYBEAN NEMATODE-RESISTANCE HIGHER-YIELDING CORNSOYBEAN DISEASE BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEAN FAMILY DICAMBA-TOLERANT COTTONHIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANS COTTON LYGUS CONTROL 2ND-GEN HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANSYIELDGARD ROOTWORM IIIDROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTON VALUE-ADDED TRAITS FAMILY DROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTONEXTRAX CORN PROCESSINGSYSTEM + MAVERA HIGH-VALUE BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING CORN WITH LYSINE2 CANOLA FAMILYHIGH-OIL SOYBEANS HIGHER-YIELDING + ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD CANOLA12ND-GEN HIGH-OIL SOYBEANS High Impact Technologies (HIT) projectOMEGA-3 ENRICHED SOYBEANS Jan. 3, 2008 Advancements/AdditionsVISTIVE III SOYBEANSThe colored bar associated with each project indicates which phase that project is in. It isnot intended to represent the relative status of the project within a particular stage.HIGH-STEARATE SOYBEANS(VIA BIOTECH) 1. For higher-yielding + Roundup Ready 2 Yield canola, only the value of the higher-yieldingtrait is incorporated into the Yield and Stress collaboration with BASFHIGH-OIL CORN 2. Value of licensing the EXTRAX technology is shared with Cargill as a part of Renessen49joint venture 42. R&D PIPELINE R&D Engine Is Poised to Launch Average of One Game-Changing Technology Every Other Year Through Mid-Decade R&D PIPELINE: ADVANCED GAME-CHANGING TECHNOLOGIES 2008 2009 201020112012 TO MID-DECADERoundupDrought- Nitrogen- SmartStaxReady 2 YieldTolerant CornUtilizationSoybeans Family1Corn Family1 Second-gen soybean All-in-one corn trait Value likely in improved Targets ways to use trait platform platform yield under stress and nitrogen more efficiently potential for water China import approval On track for 2010 launch replacement received in September Submitted for 2008 regulatory review andrefuge reduction On track for 2009 releaseSUPERIOR, NE - FIELD TRIALS 2007FARM PROGRESS SHOW 2007 WITH GENECONTROL HYBRID FARM PROGRESS SHOW 2007 (94 BU/AC) (76 BU/AC) 1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF Yield and Stress R&D Collaboration 50 43. OVERVIEWMonsantos Yield Leadership Widens With Each New Game- Changing Technology LaunchedDuPont Syngenta2009 OptiontoLicense2011 2ndGenRoundupReady2RoundupSoybeanTrait OptimumGAT YieldReady2Yield 2012AllinOne2010NoSpecifiedCornTraitOptimumPlatform SmartStax PlatformAcreMax Plus BiotechDrought 2012+2014+ Post2014 ToleranceCorn 6. PressRelease:MonsantoandSyngenta1. Controlledcommercialreleaseof12M3. OptimumandGATareregisteredReachRoyaltyBearingLicensing acres;Largescalelaunchof56Min2010trademarksofPioneerHiBred;DateasAgreementonRoundupReady2YieldstatedinDuPontpressrelease0717082. FirsttraitintheDroughttolerantcornSoybeanTechnology,052308 family,currentlyPhaseIII 4. AcreMaxisatrademarkofPioneerHi 7. NospecifiedplatformindicatedviaCornBred;DateasstatedbyWilliamS.Niebur,TechnologyPipeline,SyngentaHalfYearPh.D.,MerrillLynchAgriculturalChemicalsResultsPresentation,072408,Slide22.Conference,060508,Slide14Relevantcomponenttraits:VIP/Broadlep: 5. Ibid,Slide232009andRWdualmodeofaction:2012 8. Ibid. 51 44. R&D PIPELINE Insect-Protected Soybeans Are First-Ever Monsanto Trait Developed Exclusively for Non-U.S. Opportunity2007 FIELD TESTING SHOWS VISUALR&D PipelinePROOF OF CONTROL Insect-Protected Soybeans with Roundup Ready 2 Yield TIPTON, GA - FIELD EFFICACY TRIAL 2007 Phase 3 STATUS:PROJECT CONCEPT:Insect-protected soybeans use Bt technology widely adopted in corn and cotton to control insect pests, especially economically important pests for Brazilian farmers. The Bt trait is combined with Roundup Ready 2 Yield VALUE: LAUNCH-COUNTRY:Brazil LAUNCH-COUNTRY 50M ACRE OPPORTUNITY1: 2020 COMMERCIAL$150-$300MCONTROLWITH GENEVALUE2: (NO INSECTICIDE)(NO INSECTICIDE) SOURCES OF VALUE: Insecticide substitutionInsect-protected soybeans with Roundup Ready 2 Yield 1Based on 2 current sprays technology demonstrated significant protection from keycosting almost $6/acre total lepidopteran pests, including soybean looper, in 2007 testsImproved yield 24+% increase over chemical 1. Acre opportunity reflects acres where trait could have technological fit. Opportunity does not reflect acres that may beinsecticidesplanted to a competitive trait or acres required for insect-resistance management (IRM) set-aside refuges 2. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 202052 45. R&D PIPELINE Higher-Yielding Soybeans Continue to Demonstrate Improved Yield Over Conventional Controls2007/08 HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANNEW:AGRONOMIC TESTING VERSUS CONTROLS R&D Pipeline Higher-Yielding Soybeans Family: Percentage yield difference vs. control: Lead Project 8.0 6.2% 10.2%7.1% 6.0% 4.6% 10.5%2.2% 10.3% 5.4% 8.8%Phase 2STATUS: (bu/a increase over control)Average Yield Advantage PROJECT CONCEPT: 6.0PRODUCT Higher-yielding soybeans aimed atCONCEPT boosting intrinsic yield potential ofTARGET4.0 RANGE soybeans through insertion of key genes VALUE: 2.0 LAUNCH-COUNTRY45M ACRES1:0.02020 VALUE2: $300-$500MEvent 1 Event 2Event 3Event 4Event 5 SOURCES OF VALUE:Season 1: 2007 U.S. Field Trials (18 locations)Season 2: 2007/08 LA Field Trials (12 locations) Improved yield16 top-performing events advanced to Latin America trials. 1 Targeting yield improvement of 6-10%Lead events showing strong yield advantages overconventional controls in both trials.Higher-yielding trait will be stacked on top of RoundupReady 2 Yield and other soybean-pipeline traits. 1. Acre opportunity reflects acres where technologyfits at Monsanto's 2007 market share in respectivecrops 2. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity inlaunch country in year 2020 53 PART OF THE MONSANTO BASF YIELD AND STRESS R&D COLLABORATION 46. R&D PIPELINE 2007 Dryland Field Tests of Lead Drought Event Offers Visual Evidence of Increased Yield In Stressed Conditions2007 FIELD TESTING SHOWS VISUAL R&D PipelinePROOF OF YIELD IMPROVEMENTDrought-Tolerant Corn Family: SUPERIOR, NE - FIELD TRIALS 2007Lead Project HIT Project Phase 3PROJECT CONCEPT:Drought-tolerance family aimed atproviding consistent yield andbuffering against effects of waterlimitationsVALUE: LAUNCH-COUNTRY55M ACRES1:2020 VALUE2:$300-$500MSOURCES OF VALUE:Improved yield Targeting 6-10% yield 1CONTROL HYBRIDWITH GENE improvement in water-stress environments (76 BU/AC)(94 BU/AC)1. Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Water stress exposure during different stages of developmentMonsanto's 2007 market share in respective crops can have significant effect on corn yield; Monsantos lead 2. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country drought-tolerance trait shows a significant yield advantagein year 2020compared with controls under drought stress54 PART OF THE MONSANTO BASF YIELD AND STRESS R&D COLLABORATION 47. R&D PIPELINESecond-Generation Drought-Tolerant Corn Targeted to Expand ReachDrought Efficacy for Second-Gen Events 16R&D PipelineYield Difference Over Controls (%) 14Drought-Tolerant Corn Family: 12Second-Generation Project 10PRODUCT CONCEPT Phase 28STATUS:KEY RESULTS TARGET RANGE6PROJECT CONCEPT:4Drought-tolerance family aimed at2providing consistent yield and0 EVENT 1EVENT 2 EVENT 3 EVENT 1EVENT 2 EVENT 3buffering against effects of water HIGHER-YIELDING ENVIRONMENT LOWER-YIELDING ENVIRONMENTlimitations AVERAGE YIELD: 166 BU/AC AVERAGE YIELD: 53 BU/ACVALUE: 2007 2006LAUNCH-COUNTRY 55M (All three events significant @ p0.10); Statistical significance determined by ANOVA (2006) or nonparametric test (2007)ACRES1: 2020 VALUE2:$300-$500MSOURCES OF VALUE:SEGMENTED VALUE OPPORTUNITY ACROSS MARKETS Improved yield Second generationKEY OPPORTUINITY IRRIGATEDTargeting 6-10% yielddemonstrates 1 8-12M Acresimprovement in water-stressperformance overenvironments WESTERN broad range of stress DRYLAND conditions in both lowWater substitution 10-12M Acresand high-yielding 2Variable costs in pumped environmentsirrigation of >$100/ acreSTABILITY Potential for a broad 60-70M AcresLow annual High annual 1. Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at acreage fit across all precipitationMonsanto's 2007 market share in respective crops precipitation acres planted 2. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country Source: Spatial Climate Analysis Service, Oregon State Universityin year 2020 55 PART OF THE MONSANTO BASF YIELD AND STRESS R&D COLLABORATION 48. R&D PIPELINE In Continued Field Testing, Nitrogen-Utilization Lead Shows Yield Improvement Under Normal NitrogenLEAD PERFORMANCE UNDER NORMAL R&D PipelineNITROGEN CONDITIONSNitrogen-Utilization Corn Family:Lead ProjectYield Increase (bu/Ac) 12 ***Phase 110 *** STATUS: * 8PROJECT CONCEPT: 6 4Targets ways to use nitrogen more 2efficiently, exploring potential to 0boost yield under normal nitrogen-2conditions or stabilize it in lowTRIALS IN MULTIPLE TRIALS IN MULTIPLEnitrogen environmentsHYBRID BACKGROUNDS HYBRID BACKGROUNDSVALUE: (15 LOC)(16 LOC) LAUNCH-COUNTRY 200555M 2006 YIELD TRIALS: ACRES1: 2007 YIELD TRIALS: YIELD SUFFICIENT N LEVELSSUFFICIENT N LEVELSTRIALS: 2020 VALUE2: (37 LOC TOTAL)$300-$500M (20 LOC TOTAL)(23 LOCTOTAL)SOURCES OF VALUE: 2005 20062007 Improved yield * Statistically significant @ p0.10 Yield improvement in normal 1 nitrogen environments Bar color correlates with the specific hybrid background tested. Same bar color in different tests and different years indicates same hybrid was used. Nitrogen reduction All trials conducted under sufficient nitrogen application levels. 2 Improving yield in low nitrogen environments Under normal nitrogen conditions, Nitrogen-Utilization lead has 1. Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at demonstrated yield advantages in multiple backgrounds overMonsanto's 2007 market share in respective crops multiple years 2. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch countryin year 202056 PART OF THE MONSANTO BASF YIELD AND STRESS R&D COLLABORATION 49. R&D PIPELINE Strong Pipeline Reflects Growing Innovation and Value ofEmerging Yield and Stress Traits DISCOVERY PHASE 1PHASE 2PHASE 3PHASE 4Drought-HIGH Tolerant FAMILY TRAITS Family CORN:COLLABORATIONYIELD & STRESSNitrogen- BROAD-ACREHIGH Utilization FAMILY TRAITS YIELDFamily Broad-Acre,MEGA Higher-Yielding FAMILY TRAITS FamilySOYBEANS:Broad-Acre, BROAD-ACREHIGH Higher-YieldingFAMILY TRAITSYIELDFamily2020 VALUE RANGES:Omega-3 RoundupBollgard IIIsoybeansReady 2 YieldsoybeansMEGAHIGH RoundupInsect-protected$300M-$500M>$1BMReady 2Roundup Ready 2 Yield canola YieldGardYield soybeansVT PRODicamba-cornMID LOW tolerantsoybeans