8
24.04.2013 Ticker: Barrick Gold Corp Benchmark: Currency: New York: ABX, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX) Sector: Materials Industry: Metals & Mining Year: Telephone 1-416-861-9911 Revenue (M) Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M) Website www.barrick.com No of Employees Gold Mines 12564 Unallocated Sales 1 Address Brookfield Pl,CanadaTrustTower 161 Bay Street, Suite 3700 Toronto, ON M5J 2S1 Canada Copper Mines 1689 Share Price Performance in USD Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) 153 Price 17.59 1M Return -40.1% Other Metals 141 52 Week High 42.62 6M Return -53.7% 52 Week Low 17.51 52 Wk Return -54.6% 52 Wk Beta 0.58 YTD Return -49.4% Credit Ratings Bloomberg IG10 S&P BBB+ Date 30.07.2012 Outlook NEG Moody's Baa1 *- Date - Outlook - Fitch - Date - Outlook - Valuation Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E P/E 16.6x 15.6x 9.8x 9.4x 5.2x 4.8x 4.9x EV/EBIT 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x 8.8x - - - EV/EBITDA 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 6.7x 4.5x 4.1x 3.9x P/S 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.4x 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x P/B 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.6x 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x Div Yield 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% Profitability Ratios % 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Gross Margin 40.0 53.1 56.2 47.4 56.8 58.9 57.3 EBITDA Margin 44.1 56.5 58.5 50.6 50.1 51.6 53.4 Operating Margin 30.9 45.4 48.5 38.7 38.1 39.2 36.5 Profit Margin -52.5 32.6 31.5 -4.6 23.2 23.9 22.3 Return on Assets -16.7 11.6 10.7 -1.4 7.5 8.2 7.6 Return on Equity -28.2 20.7 20.9 -2.9 14.7 13.6 12.5 Leverage and Coverage Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 Current Ratio 2.8 2.8 2.2 1.3 Current Capitalization in USD Quick Ratio 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.6 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1001.1 EBIT/Interest 7.7 10.8 11.4 7.6 Market Capitalization (M) 17610.0 Tot Debt/Capital 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 Cash and ST Investments (M) 2093.0 Tot Debt/Equity 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 Total Debt (M) 13943.0 Eff Tax Rate % - 30.8 33.5 - Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 2663.0 Enterprise Value (M) 32123.0 Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia, and Africa. ABX UN 14'547 26'140 Company Analysis - Overview 86% 12% 1% 1% Gold Mines Copper Mines Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) Other Metals 100% Unallocated Sales Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia, and Africa

Citation preview

Page 1: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

24.04.2013

Ticker: Barrick Gold Corp Benchmark:

Currency: New York: ABX, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX)

Sector: Materials Industry: Metals & Mining Year:

Telephone 1-416-861-9911 Revenue (M) Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M)

Website www.barrick.com No of Employees Gold Mines 12564 Unallocated Sales 1

Address Brookfield Pl,CanadaTrustTower 161 Bay Street, Suite 3700 Toronto, ON M5J 2S1 Canada Copper Mines 1689

Share Price Performance in USD Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) 153

Price 17.59 1M Return -40.1% Other Metals 141

52 Week High 42.62 6M Return -53.7%

52 Week Low 17.51 52 Wk Return -54.6%

52 Wk Beta 0.58 YTD Return -49.4%

Credit Ratings

Bloomberg IG10

S&P BBB+ Date 30.07.2012 Outlook NEG

Moody's Baa1 *- Date - Outlook -

Fitch - Date - Outlook -

Valuation Ratios

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

P/E 16.6x 15.6x 9.8x 9.4x 5.2x 4.8x 4.9x

EV/EBIT 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x 8.8x - - -

EV/EBITDA 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 6.7x 4.5x 4.1x 3.9x

P/S 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.4x 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x

P/B 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.6x 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x

Div Yield 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5%

Profitability Ratios %

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Gross Margin 40.0 53.1 56.2 47.4 56.8 58.9 57.3

EBITDA Margin 44.1 56.5 58.5 50.6 50.1 51.6 53.4

Operating Margin 30.9 45.4 48.5 38.7 38.1 39.2 36.5

Profit Margin -52.5 32.6 31.5 -4.6 23.2 23.9 22.3

Return on Assets -16.7 11.6 10.7 -1.4 7.5 8.2 7.6

Return on Equity -28.2 20.7 20.9 -2.9 14.7 13.6 12.5

Leverage and Coverage Ratios

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12

Current Ratio 2.8 2.8 2.2 1.3 Current Capitalization in USD

Quick Ratio 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.6 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1001.1

EBIT/Interest 7.7 10.8 11.4 7.6 Market Capitalization (M) 17610.0

Tot Debt/Capital 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 Cash and ST Investments (M) 2093.0

Tot Debt/Equity 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 Total Debt (M) 13943.0

Eff Tax Rate % - 30.8 33.5 - Preferred Equity (M) 0.0

LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0

Investments (M) 2663.0

Enterprise Value (M) 32123.0

Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and

development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia, and

Africa.

ABX UN

14'547

26'140

Company Analysis - Overview

86%

12%1%1%

Dlia Ifkbp

8lmmbo Ifkbp

7UoofWh Bkbodv !Lfi DUp%

Lqebo IbqUip

100%

RkUiilWUqba PUibp

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 2: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Barrick Gold Corp

Target price in USD

Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date

/6&JWo&.0 22% 1/% 0% /1&7mo&.0 .4'26 02'./ Pqbokb% 7dbb IbWZe JF9E7BI P ARA7P kbrqoWh /1&7mo&.0/5&CbY&.0 22% 1/% 0% /0&7mo&.0 .4'26 02'./ EP89 M7QOF9H 9EFAIBU lsbotbfdeq 10'-- /0&7mo&.00.&GWk&.0 2/% 12% 0% //&7mo&.0 .5'-. 02'1- PWhiWk MWoqkbop A7SFA TBPQ Yru 11'5/ /0&7mo&.00.&AbZ&./ 2-% 14% 0% .6&7mo&.0 .5'.4 04'54 8WoZhWup C7OLLN E7JBA bnrWhtbfdeq /1'-- /0&7mo&.00-&Kls&./ 2/% 12% 0% .5&7mo&.0 .4'65 05'.3 AbrqpZeb 8Wkg GLODB J 8BOFPQ7FK elha //'2- //&7mo&.00.&LZq&./ 30% 01% 0% .4&7mo&.0 .4'32 05'.5 O89 9WmfqWh JWogbqp PQBMEBK A T7IHBO pbZqlo mbocloi /2'-- //&7mo&.0/5&Pbm&./ 35% /6% 0% .3&7mo&.0 .5'53 05'.5 9obafq Prfppb 7KFQ7 PLKF lrqmbocloi 05'-- //&7mo&.00.&7rd&./ 4.% /3% 0% .2&7mo&.0 .6'45 05'46 Pqfcbh DBLODB G QLMMFKD Yru 01'-- //&7mo&.00.&Grh&./ 4.% /3% 0% ./&7mo&.0 //'3/ 06'12 AWsbkmloq 9l IILUA Q L!97OOLII Yru /3'-- //&7mo&.0/6&Grk&./ 44% /0% -% ..&7mo&.0 /1'40 06'51 9loiWog PbZrofqfbp FkZ' OF9E7OA DO7U iWogbq mbocloi /2'0/ //&7mo&.00.&JWu&./ 44% /0% -% .-&7mo&.0 /1'13 1.'6. GMJlodWk GLEK 8OFADBP kbrqoWh 01'-- .6&7mo&.00-&7mo&./ 46% /.% -% 6&7mo&.0 /3'36 1.'66 EWutlla PbZrofqfbp FkZ' HBOOU PJFQE Yru 1/'23 .3&7mo&.0

5&7mo&.0 /3'00 1.'66 QA PbZrofqfbp DOBD 87OKBP elha 0.'-- .3&7mo&.02&7mo&.0 /3'36 1/'06 8JL 9WmfqWh JWogbqp A7SFA E7RDEQLK iWogbq mbocloi 0/'2- .2&7mo&.01&7mo&.0 /4'-. 1/'5/ 9WkWZZloa Dbkrfqu 9lom PQBSBK 8RQIBO elha 0.'-- .2&7mo&.00&7mo&.0 /3'4- 1/'6. JWZgfb ObpbWoZe 9WmfqWh 9lom' 87OOU A 7II7K Yru 00'23 ./&7mo&.0/&7mo&.0 /5'/6 10'/4 9F89 Tloha JWogbqp 7IB9 HLA7QPHU pbZqlo mbocloi 10'-- ..&7mo&.0.&7mo&.0 /6'-/ 10'/4 JWZnrWofb QLKU IBPF7H kbrqoWh 00'.3 ..&7mo&.0

/6&JWo&.0 /6'1- 10'/4 DJM DBLODB S 7I8FKL Yru 16'16 ..&7mo&.0/5&JWo&.0 /6'1- 10'/4 SbofqWp Fksbpqibkq ObpbWoZe 9l M7TBI O7GPVBI Yru 05'-- ..&7mo&.0/4&JWo&.0 /6'04 10'/4 9ltbk PbZrofqfbp II9 7A7J M DO7C elha ..&7mo&.0/3&JWo&.0 /5'5/ 10'/2 Gbccbofbp MBQBO A T7OA Yru 12'-- /.&JWo&.0/2&JWo&.0 /6'-. 10'/2 PZlqfW 9WmfqWh Q7KU7 J G7HRP9LKBH pbZqlo mbocloi 06'-- /.&JWo&.0//&JWo&.0 /6'05 10'/2 BS7 Afibkpflkp 9O7FD PQBOIFKD pbhh /3&CbY&.0/.&JWo&.0 /6'3. 10'/2 7odrp ObpbWoZe 9lom TFIIF7J S PBIBPHU elha /-&CbY&.0/-&JWo&.0 /5'5. 10'/2 EWiYrodbo PmWogWppb FKDL P9EJFAQ Yru .2&CbY&.0.6&JWo&.0 /5'51 10'/2 P M 9WmfqWh FN IBL I7OHFK Yru 05'-- .2&CbY&.0.5&JWo&.0 /5'54 10'/4 JlodWk PqWkhbu M7OBQLPE JFPO7 BnrWhtq,Fk&Ifkb /-&Kls&./.2&JWo&.0 /5'3/ 10'/4 FksbpqbZ MFBQBO J7O7FP elha 15'/5 .5&JWo&...1&JWo&.0 /5'26 10'/5

Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings

7rt RkT Bagg 9aSliiakTRodlkn sn 8mdSa RkT PRmcao 8mdSa

46% 44% 44% 4%% 4%% 35% 30%2'% 2!% 2'% 22% 22%

'%% '0% '0%'3% '3% '6% 01%

12% 14% 12% 1'% 1'%

!% !% !% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

)%

.)%

1)%

3)%

5)%

,))%

Uso(,. jUf(,. grfk(,. grfi(,. Ulxq(,. pbmq(,. lWq(,. kls(,. awW(,. gUks(,0 cwso(,0 jUop(,0

7ol

hbo O

bWlj

jbk

aUqfl

k

)

,)

.)

0)

1)

2)

3)

4)

5) MofW

b

7rv Elia Pbii MofWb QUodbq MofWb

7mleamn PRmcao 8mdSa

)

,)

.)

0)

1)

2)

3)

Pqb

okb&

6db

b

HbU

We

EP

78

PUi

jUk

MUo

qkbo

p

7Uo

WiUv

p

Abr

qpWe

b 7

Ukh

O7

8 8

UmfqU

i IUo

hbqp

8ob

afq P

rfpp

b

Pqfc

bi

AUs

bkml

oq

8l

8lo

jUo

h P

bWro

fqfbp

FkW(

GMI

lodU

k

EUv

tll

a P

bWro

fqfbp

FkW(

QA P

bWro

fqfbp

7I

L 8

UmfqU

i IUo

hbqp

8Uk

UWWl

oa D

bkrf

qv 8

lom

IUW

hfb

Obp

bUoW

e 8

UmfqU

i 8lo

m(

8F7

8 T

loia

IUo

hbqp

IUW

nrUo

fb

DI

MS

bofqU

p Fk

sbpq

jbk

q Obp

bUoW

e8

l8

ltbk

PbW

rofqf

bp H

H8

Gbccb

ofbp

PWl

qfU 8

UmfqU

i

BS

6 A

fjbk

pflk

p

6od

rp O

bpbU

oWe

8lo

m

EUj

Vrod

bo P

mUoh

Uppb

P

M 8

UmfqU

i FN

Ilo

dUk

PqU

kibv

Fksb

pqbW

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 3: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

24.04.2013

Barrick Gold Corp

Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution

Shares Outstanding (M) 1001.1 United States 62.11%

Float 99.7% Canada 27.13%

Short Interest (M) 6.4 Britain 3.51%

Short Interest as % of Float 0.65% Germany 1.44%

Days to Cover Shorts 0.84 Luxembourg 1.04%

Institutional Ownership 80.49% Japan 0.86%

Retail Ownership 19.25% Netherlands 0.84%

Insider Ownership 0.26% Others 3.07%

Institutional Ownership Distribution

Investment Advisor 90.86%

Hedge Fund Manager 3.79%

Insurance Company 1.66%

Bank 1.54%

Pricing data is in USD Others 2.16%

Top 20 Owners:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country

BLACKROCK 87'777'710 0 1'544'009'919 8.77% 31.03.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN 58'280'637 -23'472'640 1'025'156'405 5.82% 31.03.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C 33'799'228 -1'012'978 594'528'421 3.38% 23.04.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

ROYAL BANK OF CANADA 30'078'073 3'795'193 529'073'304 3.00% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG CANADA

FMR LLC 20'600'402 -3'418'885 362'361'071 2.06% 28.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

CI INVESTMENTS INC 17'663'919 771'337 310'708'335 1.76% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG CANADA

BMO FINANCIAL CORP 17'095'925 -4'625'429 300'717'321 1.71% 31.03.2013 13F UNITED STATES

ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE 16'861'844 3'198'995 296'599'836 1.68% 31.03.2013 ULT-AGG GERMANY

CIBC WORLD MARKETS I 14'810'763 38'951 260'521'321 1.48% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA

BANK OF NEW YORK MEL 13'797'555 -4'803'846 242'698'992 1.38% 31.03.2013 13F UNITED STATES

TORONTO DOMINION BAN 13'586'744 1'359'379 238'990'827 1.36% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA

TD ASSET MANAGEMENT 13'422'922 866'236 236'109'198 1.34% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA

INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA 12'729'638 -401'738 223'914'332 1.27% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES

FRANKLIN RESOURCES 10'867'001 372'180 191'150'548 1.09% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN 10'758'391 353'171 189'240'098 1.07% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES

IA CLARINGTON INVEST 10'376'354 -2'442'600 182'520'067 1.04% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG CANADA

CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA 10'027'723 1'562'724 176'387'648 1.00% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA

HARTFORD INVESTMENT 9'553'806 6'763'418 168'051'448 0.95% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES

MACKENZIE FINANCIAL 9'250'600 -491'846 162'718'054 0.92% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA

OLDFIELD PARTNERS LL 8'964'554 1'678'488 157'686'505 0.90% 31.03.2013 13F BRITAIN

Top 5 Insiders:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source

MUNK PETER 1'990'100 301'600 35'005'859 0.20% 19.11.2012 SEDI

DAVID BIRCH CHARLES WILLIA 285'220 5'017'020 0.03% 01.08.2012 SEDI

BECK HOWARD L 169'144 2'975'243 0.02% 01.03.2013 Proxy

REGENT AARON W 60'000 35'000 1'055'400 0.01% 28.02.2012 SEDI

SOKALSKY JAMIE C 52'728 688 927'486 0.01% 15.01.2013 SEDI

Company Analysis - Ownership

Ownership Type

81%

19%

0%

FkpqfqrqflkUi Ltkbopefm ObqUfi Ltkbopefm Fkpfabo Ltkbopefm

Geographic Ownership

62%

3%

4%

1%1%

1% 1%

27%

Rkfqba PqUqbp 8UkUaU 7ofqUfk DbojUkvHrubjVlrod GUmUk JbqeboiUkap Lqebop

Institutional Ownership

90%

2%2%2%

4%

Fksbpqjbkq 6asfplo Ebadb Crka IUkUdbo FkproUkWb 8ljmUkv7Ukh Lqebop

TOP 20 ALL

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 4: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Barrick Gold Corp

Financial information is in USD (M)

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Income Statement

Revenue 1'967 2'035 1'932 2'350 5'630 6'332 7'613 8'136 11'001 14'236 14'547 14'143 15'194 15'344

- Cost of Goods Sold 1'590 1'594 1'499 1'641 3'476 4'198 4'663 4'880 5'162 6'240 7'654

Gross Income 377 441 433 709 2'154 2'134 2'950 3'256 5'839 7'996 6'893 8'028 8'953 8'792

- Selling, General & Admin Expenses 168 210 212 212 648 727 897 740 840 1'088 1'257

(Research & Dev Costs) 104 137 119 188 242 85 0 0 0

Operating Income 209 231 221 497 1'506 1'407 2'053 2'516 4'999 6'908 5'636 5'383 5'962 5'595

- Interest Expense 57 44 19 7 126 113 21 57 180 199 177

- Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

- Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) -25 -35 157 35 -176 -143 537 6'176 -248 -115 6'372

Pretax Income 177 222 45 455 1'556 1'437 1'495 -3'717 5'067 6'824 -913 4'931 5'468 5'089

- Income Tax Expense -16 5 -203 60 348 341 594 648 1'561 2'287 -236

Income Before XO Items 193 217 248 395 1'208 1'096 901 -4'365 3'506 4'537 -677

- Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 0 17 0 -6 -297 -9 104 -97 -124 0 0

- Minority Interests 0 0 0 0 -1 -14 12 6 48 53 -12

Diluted EPS Before XO Items 0.36 0.40 0.46 0.73 1.42 1.27 1.01 (4.84) 3.47 4.48 (0.66)

Net Income Adjusted* 235 162 87 296 1'419 1'786 1'739 1'810 3'279 4'670 3'830 3'283 3'631 3'425

EPS Adjusted 0.42 0.40 0.46 0.56 1.67 2.04 1.59 2.00 3.32 4.67 3.82 3.40 3.68 3.60

Dividends Per Share 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.30 0.40 0.40 0.44 0.51 0.75 0.80 0.81 0.79

Payout Ratio % 61.7 54.4 47.6 29.9 15.8 23.5 39.3 12.6 11.4 0.24 0.22 0.22

Total Shares Outstanding 542 535 534 538 864 870 873 984 999 1'000 1'001

Diluted Shares Outstanding 541 539 534 538 855 879 885 903 997 1'001 1'001

EBITDA 728 753 673 924 2'241 2'461 3'010 3'589 6'211 8'327 7'358 7'081 7'838 8'189

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.

Equivalent Estimates

Company Analysis - Financials I/IV

Fiscal Year

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 5: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Balance Sheet

Total Current Assets 1352 1368 1959 1748 4796 4299 4112 4938 7071 6545 5863

+ Cash & Near Cash Items 1'044 970 1'398 1'037 3'043 2'207 1'437 2'564 3'968 2'745 2'093

+ Short Term Investments 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Accounts & Notes Receivable 72 56 58 54 234 256 197 251 370 426 449

+ Inventories 206 164 215 402 931 1'129 1'278 1'540 1'798 2'498 2'695

+ Other Current Assets 0 178 288 255 588 707 1'200 583 935 876 626

Total Long-Term Assets 3'909 3'990 4'328 5'114 16'714 17'652 20'049 22'137 27'566 42'339 41'419

+ Long Term Investments 0 0 0 0 646 1'227 60 92 171 161 78

Gross Fixed Assets 7'045 7'073 7'778 8'916 15'309 16'488 20'170 22'802 29'417 42'050 48'988

Accumulated Depreciation 3'723 3'945 4'387 4'770 6'919 7'903 8'665 9'677 11'527 13'071 20'271

+ Net Fixed Assets 3'322 3'128 3'391 4'146 8'390 8'585 11'505 13'125 17'890 28'979 28'717

+ Other Long Term Assets 587 862 937 968 7'678 7'840 8'484 8'920 9'505 13'199 12'624

Total Current Liabilities 483 364 420 560 1'852 1'296 1'844 1'773 2'491 2'911 4'415

+ Accounts Payable 164 245 335 386 686 808 953 1'221 1'511 2'083 2'265

+ Short Term Borrowings 0 0 31 80 863 233 206 54 14 196 1'848

+ Other Short Term Liabilities 319 119 54 94 303 255 685 498 966 632 302

Total Long Term Liabilities 1'444 1'500 2'293 2'452 5'403 5'317 6'858 9'755 10'929 20'419 18'359

+ Long Term Borrowings 761 719 1'655 1'721 3'244 3'153 4'350 6'281 6'624 13'173 12'095

+ Other Long Term Borrowings 683 781 638 731 2'159 2'164 2'508 3'474 4'305 7'246 6'264

Total Liabilities 1'927 1'864 2'713 3'012 7'255 6'613 8'702 11'528 13'420 23'330 22'774

+ Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 56 82 182 484 1'745 2'191 2'663

+ Share Capital & APIC 4'148 4'115 4'129 4'222 13'106 13'273 13'372 17'390 17'820 17'892 17'926

+ Retained Earnings & Other Equity -814 -621 -555 -372 1'093 1'983 1'905 -2'327 1'652 5'471 3'919

Total Shareholders Equity 3'334 3'494 3'574 3'850 14'255 15'338 15'459 15'547 21'217 25'554 24'508

Total Liabilities & Equity 5'261 5'358 6'287 6'862 21'510 21'951 24'161 27'075 34'637 48'884 47'282

Book Value Per Share 6.15 6.53 6.70 7.16 16.43 17.54 17.50 15.30 19.50 23.35 21.82 23.82 26.15 29.00

Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.57 10.74 11.37 9.96 12.92 13.16 12.54

Company Analysis - Financials II/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 6: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Cash Flows

Net Income 193 200 248 401 1'506 1'119 785 -4'274 3'582 4'484 -665 3'328 3'775 3'709

+ Depreciation & Amortization 519 522 452 427 735 1'054 957 1'073 1'212 1'419 1'722

+ Other Non-Cash Adjustments -182 -101 -75 -19 -131 -168 882 1'251 172 120 4'998

+ Changes in Non-Cash Capital 59 -102 -116 -83 41 -252 -370 -372 -381 -708 -616

Cash From Operating Activities 589 519 509 726 2'151 1'753 2'254 -2'322 4'585 5'315 5'439

+ Disposal of Fixed Assets 0 40 43 8 8 100 185 10 61 48 18

+ Capital Expenditures -228 -322 -824 -1'104 -1'087 -1'046 -1'749 -2'351 -3'778 -4'973 -6'369 -5'935 -4'128 -2'524

+ Increase in Investments 0 0 0 0 -245 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Decrease in Investments 0 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Other Investing Activities 170 -52 -40 -84 2'473 -616 -2'356 -74 -913 -7'902 -170

Cash From Investing Activities -58 -334 -821 -1'180 1'195 -1'562 -3'920 -2'415 -4'630 -12'827 -6'521

+ Dividends Paid -119 -118 -118 -118 -191 -261 -349 -369 -436 -509 -750

+ Change in Short Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Increase in Long Term Borrowings 0 0 973 179 2'189 408 2'717 2'154 782 6'648 2'000

+ Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -25 -23 -41 -59 -1'581 -1'128 -1'603 -397 -149 -380 -1'462

+ Increase in Capital Stocks 83 29 49 92 74 142 74 3'950 1'011 57 18

+ Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 -154 -95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Other Financing Activities 0 7 -28 -1 -1'831 -188 57 526 241 473 624

Cash From Financing Activities -61 -259 740 93 -1'340 -1'027 896 5'864 1'449 6'289 430

Net Changes in Cash 470 -74 428 -361 2'006 -836 -770 1'127 1'404 -1'223 -652

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) 361 197 -315 -378 1'064 707 505 -4'673 807 342 -930 -941 1'348 3'437

Free Cash Flow To Firm 240 -372 1'162 793 518 932 474

Free Cash Flow To Equity 336 214 660 -250 1'680 87 1'804 -2'906 1'501 6'658 -374

Free Cash Flow per Share 0.67 0.37 -0.59 -0.71 1.26 0.82 0.58 -5.17 0.82 0.34 -0.93

Company Analysis - Financials III/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 7: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios

Price Earnings 41.8x 102.8x 150.8x 50.7x 22.0x 33.2x 20.2x 16.6x 15.6x 9.8x 9.4x 5.2x 4.8x 4.9x

EV to EBIT 38.6x 51.3x 59.6x 31.7x 18.4x 27.0x 17.2x 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x 8.8x

EV to EBITDA 11.1x 15.7x 19.6x 17.1x 12.4x 15.4x 11.7x 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 6.7x 4.5x 4.1x 3.9x

Price to Sales 4.2x 6.0x 6.7x 6.4x 4.6x 5.8x 4.2x 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.4x 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x

Price to Book 2.5x 3.5x 3.6x 3.9x 1.9x 2.4x 2.1x 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.6x 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x

Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5%

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 19.2% 21.7% 22.4% 30.2% 38.3% 33.7% 38.7% 40.0% 53.1% 56.2% 47.4% 56.8% 58.9% 57.3%

EBITDA Margin 37.0% 37.0% 34.8% 39.3% 39.8% 38.9% 39.5% 44.1% 56.5% 58.5% 50.6% 50.1% 51.6% 53.4%

Operating Margin 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 21.1% 26.7% 22.2% 27.0% 30.9% 45.4% 48.5% 38.7% 38.1% 39.2% 36.5%

Profit Margin 9.8% 9.8% 12.8% 17.1% 26.7% 17.7% 10.3% -52.5% 32.6% 31.5% -4.6% 23.2% 23.9% 22.3%

Return on Assets 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 6.1% 10.6% 5.1% 3.4% -16.7% 11.6% 10.7% -1.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.6%

Return on Equity 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 10.8% 16.7% 7.6% 5.1% -28.2% 20.7% 20.9% -2.9% 14.7% 13.6% 12.5%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios

Current Ratio 2.80 3.76 4.66 3.12 2.59 3.32 2.23 2.79 2.84 2.25 1.33

Quick Ratio 2.37 2.82 3.47 1.95 1.77 1.90 0.89 1.59 1.74 1.09 0.58

Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 3.67 5.25 3.68 3.98 6.61 5.94 8.45 7.72 10.75 11.38 7.58

Tot Debt/Capital 0.19 0.17 0.32 0.32 0.22 0.18 0.23 0.29 0.24 0.34 0.36

Tot Debt/Equity 0.23 0.21 0.47 0.47 0.29 0.22 0.29 0.41 0.31 0.52 0.57

Others

Asset Turnover 0.38 0.38 0.33 0.36 0.40 0.29 0.33 0.32 0.36 0.34 0.30

Accounts Receivable Turnover 30.26 31.80 33.89 41.96 39.10 25.84 33.61 36.32 35.43 35.77 33.25

Accounts Payable Turnover 4.59 7.59 5.34 5.07 7.47 5.88 5.47 4.73 3.97 3.86 3.61

Inventory Turnover 7.41 8.62 7.91 5.32 5.22 4.08 3.87 3.46 3.09 2.91 2.95

Effective Tax Rate 2.3% 13.2% 22.4% 23.7% 39.7% 30.8% 33.5%

Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 8: Financial Analysis - Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,

BARRICK GOLD

CRP

NEWMONT

MININGGOLDCORP INC KINROSS GOLD

ANGLOGOLD

ASHANT

TECK RESOURCES-

BIAMGOLD CORP

FREEPORT-

MCMORANBHP BILLITON LTD VALE SA-PF RIO TINTO LTD

AGNICO-EAGLE

MIN

BRIGUS GOLD

CORPDRDGOLD LTD

HARMONY GOLD

MNG

12/2011 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 06/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 06/2012 06/2012

43.30 57.93 46.31 10.98 31'979.00 39.90 16.45 43.65 39.34 43.09 72.30 57.00 1.06 755.00 8'951.00

06.06.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 04.10.2012 04.06.2012 10.01.2013 05.10.2012 14.09.2012 20.02.2013 02.01.2013 14.02.2013 31.10.2012 21.09.2012 12.02.2013 06.06.2012

17.51 31.77 27.74 5.11 16'133.00 24.10 4.72 27.24 30.09 29.68 48.37 31.55 0.55 449.00 4'201.00

17.04.2013 23.04.2013 15.04.2013 17.04.2013 18.04.2013 23.04.2013 18.04.2013 18.04.2013 12.07.2012 17.04.2013 30.08.2012 18.04.2013 17.04.2013 31.08.2012 18.04.2013

3'915'086 10'160'819 4'271'089 8'162'503 1'494'238 9'034'012 5'331'897 19'287'262 16'783'219 25'425'100 6'203'716 1'115'004 357'616 220'282 994'151

17.59 32.43 28.44 5.55 16'769.00 25.60 5.09 28.52 31.70 31.87 54.68 32.83 0.61 611.00 4'296.00

-59.4% -44.0% -38.6% -49.5% -47.6% -35.8% -69.1% -34.7% -19.4% -26.0% -24.4% -42.4% -42.5% -19.1% -52.0%

0.5% 2.1% 2.5% 8.6% 3.9% 6.2% 7.8% 4.7% 5.4% 7.4% 13.0% 4.1% 10.9% 36.1% 2.3%

1'001.1 496.7 811.5 1'140.1 384.9 582.3 376.5 949.0 5'297.6 5'153.4 1'847.0 172.1 231.4 385.4 431.6

17'610 16'155 23'086 6'335 64'610 14'926 1'917 27'081 158'638 175'975 86'882 5'663 141 2'355 18'699

13'943.0 6'298.0 783.0 2'632.6 30'376.0 7'195.0 641.4 3'527.0 28'330.0 61'855.9 26'819.0 843.0 93.2 30.7 1'844.0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2'663.0 3'175.0 213.0 75.5 186.5 176.0 76.7 3'768.0 1'215.0 3'245.0 11'156.0 - - 136.7 -

2'093.0 1'647.0 918.0 1'982.7 7'562.2 3'267.0 813.5 3'705.0 4'781.0 11'918.2 7'320.0 351.3 29.8 298.5 1'773.0

32'123 23'981 22'586 6'901 87'610 19'514 1'773 31'487 194'666 229'158 119'939 6'013 201 2'397 18'561

LFY 14'547.0 9'868.0 5'435.0 4'311.4 52'160.3 10'343.0 1'670.0 18'010.0 72'226.0 93'511.5 50'967.0 1'917.7 117.7 1'764.2 15'169.0

LTM 14'340.0 9'868.0 5'435.0 4'311.4 52'152.1 10'126.0 1'670.0 17'988.0 66'950.0 93'511.5 50'967.0 1'917.7 117.7 1'959.2 16'047.0

CY+1 14'142.9 9'805.7 5'611.5 4'181.4 63'271.7 9'828.8 1'649.1 21'856.1 67'569.0 97'241.9 55'585.9 1'819.7 156.5 2'178.3 17'078.8

CY+2 15'194.3 11'369.3 6'971.6 4'446.4 73'396.4 10'752.2 1'820.9 23'601.6 73'914.3 101'462.8 61'445.4 2'105.1 168.0 2'479.2 20'966.1

LFY 3.4x 3.1x 5.5x 2.7x 2.4x 2.1x 2.5x 2.0x 3.3x 2.9x 3.1x 5.0x 2.4x 1.5x 2.1x

LTM 3.4x 3.1x 5.5x 2.7x 2.3x 2.1x 2.5x 2.0x 3.5x 2.9x 3.1x 5.0x 2.4x 1.3x 2.0x

CY+1 2.3x 2.5x 4.2x 1.7x 1.4x 2.0x 1.3x 1.8x 2.9x 2.4x 2.2x 3.4x - 1.0x 1.1x

CY+2 2.1x 2.1x 3.3x 1.7x 1.1x 1.8x 1.4x 1.6x 2.6x 2.3x 1.9x 2.9x - 0.7x 0.9x

LFY 7'358.0 4'169.0 2'798.0 1'962.2 19'105.5 3'736.0 710.1 6'934.0 33'421.0 34'366.5 15'486.0 787.4 48.5 370.8 4'222.0

LTM 7'358.0 4'169.0 2'798.0 1'962.2 19'105.5 3'508.0 710.1 6'617.0 27'133.0 34'366.5 15'486.0 791.4 48.5 399.7 3'562.0

CY+1 7'080.5 4'001.6 2'881.3 1'822.8 25'535.3 3'245.5 670.4 9'267.7 28'726.6 44'120.2 21'006.8 753.2 82.7 547.3 4'778.0

CY+2 7'838.1 4'996.2 3'967.6 2'151.9 31'172.8 3'945.0 780.4 10'831.8 33'552.1 44'434.4 23'251.3 954.9 100.2 762.7 6'956.0

LFY 6.7x 7.4x 10.7x 6.0x 6.5x 5.7x 5.9x 5.2x 7.1x 7.9x 10.2x 12.1x 5.7x 7.0x 7.6x

LTM 6.7x 7.4x 10.7x 6.0x 6.3x 6.0x 5.9x 5.4x 8.7x 7.9x 10.2x 12.0x 5.7x 6.5x 9.0x

CY+1 4.7x 6.1x 8.2x 4.0x 3.4x 6.1x 3.3x 4.2x 6.7x 5.2x 5.7x 8.2x - 3.8x 3.8x

CY+2 4.2x 4.8x 5.8x 3.4x 2.6x 5.0x 3.3x 3.5x 5.7x 5.3x 5.0x 6.5x - 2.4x 2.7x

LFY 3.74 3.78 1.99 0.77 21.85 2.59 0.89 3.27 3.61 4.30 4.06 1.89 0.07 0.49 4.62

LTM 3.30 3.77 1.89 0.77 24.22 2.33 0.93 2.95 1.83 1.88 -1.63 2.08 0.07 0.79 4.95

CY+1 3.40 3.17 1.62 0.49 24.30 2.14 0.56 3.70 2.53 4.56 5.72 1.34 0.13 0.82 4.77

CY+2 3.68 3.98 2.29 0.64 29.46 2.79 0.69 4.22 3.05 4.39 6.62 1.83 0.16 0.93 7.08

LFY 5.3x 8.6x 14.6x 7.0x 6.9x 11.0x 5.3x 9.7x 17.9x 16.9x - 15.4x 8.5x 7.7x 8.7x

LTM 5.3x 8.6x 14.6x 7.0x 6.8x 11.0x 5.3x 9.7x 11.7x 7.5x - 15.4x 8.5x 8.0x 10.8x

CY+1 5.2x 10.2x 17.1x 11.0x 6.9x 12.0x 8.9x 7.7x 12.9x 7.0x 9.8x 23.8x 4.6x 7.5x 9.0x

CY+2 4.8x 8.1x 12.1x 8.5x 5.7x 9.2x 7.2x 6.8x 10.7x 7.3x 8.5x 17.5x 3.8x 6.5x 6.1x

1 Year 2.2% (4.7%) 1.4% 12.2% (4.1%) (10.2%) (0.2%) (13.7%) 0.7% (8.3%) (15.8%) 5.3% 63.8% 27.9% 30.8%

5 Year 13.6% 16.7% 19.3% 34.9% 24.6% 9.2% 21.9% 4.9% 6.8% 25.1% 11.2% 54.5% - 7.9% 19.2%

1 Year (11.6%) (19.2%) 19.8% 1.9% (17.8%) (30.4%) (9.5%) (31.8%) (12.1%) (39.8%) (41.1%) 4.6% 239.9% 64.2% 79.4%

5 Year 24.5% 19.4% 21.0% 40.7% 86.6% 5.7% 30.2% (2.4%) 8.0% 2.8% 8.1% 31.6% 60.5% 12.9% 16.7%

LTM 50.6% 42.2% 51.5% 45.5% 36.6% 34.6% 42.5% 36.8% 40.5% 36.8% 30.4% 41.3% 41.2% 20.4% 22.2%

CY+1 50.1% 40.8% 51.3% 43.6% 40.4% 33.0% 40.7% 42.4% 42.5% 45.4% 37.8% 41.4% 52.8% 25.1% 28.0%

CY+2 51.6% 43.9% 56.9% 48.4% 42.5% 36.7% 42.9% 45.9% 45.4% 43.8% 37.8% 45.4% 59.6% 30.8% 33.2%

Total Debt / Equity % 63.8% 45.7% 3.4% 26.7% 65.8% 40.4% 17.2% 20.1% 43.0% 40.6% 57.2% 24.7% 40.1% 2.0% 5.4%

Total Debt / Capital % 36.3% 27.1% 3.3% 21.0% 39.6% 28.6% 14.4% 14.2% 29.7% 28.4% 31.6% 19.8% 28.6% 1.8% 5.1%

Total Debt / EBITDA 1.895x 1.511x 0.280x 1.342x 1.540x 2.094x 0.903x 1.525x 1.308x 1.800x 1.732x 1.065x 1.922x 0.421x 0.666x

Net Debt / EBITDA 1.610x 1.116x -0.048x 0.331x 1.156x 1.253x -0.242x 0.075x 1.120x 1.453x 1.259x 0.621x 1.307x -0.575x -0.039x

EBITDA / Int. Expense 9.890x 11.711x 93.267x 13.838x 10.074x 6.026x 38.384x 25.970x 44.266x 14.114x 14.848x 13.603x 5.338x 23.648x 14.264x

S&P LT Credit Rating BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB- BBB- BBB BB- BBB A+ A- A- NR - - -

S&P LT Credit Rating Date 30.07.2012 11.08.2008 01.06.2009 15.08.2011 10.12.2012 16.04.2010 10.09.2012 29.07.2011 15.11.2010 23.11.2011 18.04.2011 12.03.2003 - - -

Moody's LT Credit Rating Baa1 *- Baa1 Baa2 Baa3 - Baa2 - Baa3 (P)A1 Baa2 - WR - - -

Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 17.04.2013 26.07.2010 13.03.2013 15.08.2011 - 17.11.2010 - 13.10.2010 15.11.2010 29.08.2008 - 05.03.2002 - - -

52-Week High Date

52-Week Low

Latest Fiscal Year:

52-Week High

Total Debt

Market Capitalization

Daily Volume

52-Week Low % Change

Current Price (4/dd/yy)

52-Week High % Change

Cash and Equivalents

EBITDA

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value

Valuation

Preferred Stock

52-Week Low Date

Minority Interest

Total Common Shares (M)

P/E

Revenue Growth

Total Revenue

EV/Total Revenue

EPS

EBITDA Growth

EBITDA Margin

Credit Ratings

Leverage/Coverage Ratios

Company Analysis - Peers Comparision

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |