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© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved.
towerswatson.com
De-Risking U.K. Pension PlansA OneWorld Presentation
March 31, 2011
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
The changing cost of U.K. pensions
De-risking can help control the cost
£0
£500
£1,000
£1,500
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Jan 85 Jan 87 Jan 89 Jan 91 Jan 93 Jan 95 Jan 97 Jan 99 Jan 01 Jan 03 Jan 05 Jan 07 Jan 09 Jan 11
-December 1985 —Legislation makes indexation to deferred pensions compulsory
April 1997 — Legislation makes indexation to pensions compulsory
2000 to now — Large increases in life expectancy as new mortality data published
2007 to now — Market turmoil has led to uncertainty and volatility
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.comtowerswatson.com 3
Getting to the end of the road
No two pension plans are the same
Common themes are that: Risk matters… But the price of risk management has to be acceptable… And any risk taking or management needs to be efficient.
For many, it’s about getting to the destination as quickly as possible…
Without running out of gas or money!
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com 4
Keeping it simple
A balance sheet: Assets $250m (50:50, equity:bonds) Funding liability $300m (50:50, pensioners:other) No future accrual Paying off deficit at $6m a year Hope that asset returns will pay for a third to a half of deficit
Price of buying out $350m
Accounting liability similar to funding
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.comtowerswatson.com 5
Faster, safer (and cheaper?)
Faster — cut/remove liabilities at right price Participants choose to transfer out (ETV) Pensioners choose more pension now, less later (PIE) Participants choose lower cost options at retirement (reshaping)
Safer — efficient risk taking + more hedging Reduce risky assets Reshape risky assets Reduce interest rate and inflation risk Reduce longevity risk
And no increase in cash spend
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com 6
A liability reduction roadmap
Funding Liability Asset Deficit Buy Out
Shortfall
$m $m $m $m
Start 300 250 50 100
PIE (pensioners) 285 250 35 85
PIE (leavers) 275 250 25 75
ETV 260 235 25 70
PIE (statutory) 235 235 0 55
Reshaping 215 215 0 50
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com 7
Risk measurement and aspirationsRisks Within the Pension
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Equity Inflation Interest rate Longevity Other Diversification Net risk
Units of risk
Risk budget
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Pension Increase Exchange (PIE)
What is it? A member exchanges an increasing pension for a higher but nonincreasing
pension.— Simple example: A member with an increasing pension of £10,000 per year exchanges
this for a flat pension of £15,000 per year.
Option can be offered to pensioners as a bulk exercise. Option can be offered to non-pensioners as an option at retirement.
Why do it? Terms can be set for the exchange that are attractive to the member, but reduce
the liabilities in the plan. Indexation risk (and some longevity risk) has been removed.
Who is doing it? A number of pension plans in the U.K. We have seen high take-up from members where this has been offered, about 50%.
8
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Enhanced Transfer Values (ETV) What is it? A non-pensioner member takes the value of their pension plan benefits to (most
likely) a personal or current employer’s defined contribution plan. The value of the pension will be enhanced by the original plan sponsor to facilitate
the transfer. Some of the enhancement may be paid as cash to the member.— Simple example: An ex-employee with 15 years of service and a deferred pension of
£12,500 per year receives a transfer payment to their new plan of £180,000, which is enhanced to £200,000, and a payment to the individual of £10,000 in cash.
Why do it? While member take-up is lower than PIE (10% to 25% depending on whether cash
is offered), all liability in respect of transferring members is removed. Take-up is potentially highest among younger members and those with big
pensions, for whom pension risk is greatest.
Who is doing it? A number of pension plans in the U.K.
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© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.comtowerswatson.com
Pension reshaping
What is it? A member exchanges other elements of their defined benefit pension for
elements that are more attractive to them.— Simple example: A member with a pension that provides for a 50% spouse’s pension
payable for life exchanges this for a single life pension paid until age 75 and then receives a lump sum.
Why do it? Terms can be set for the exchange that are attractive to the member, but reduce
the liabilities in the plan.
Who is doing it? It is relatively new, but new U.K. Minimum Income Requirement (MIR) legislation
allows much more flexibility in how pensions are provided.
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© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.comtowerswatson.com 11
Setting a plan
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010 Data cleaning
PIE and reshaping — liability reduces by $70 million
ETV — liability reduces by $15 million
Bonds/derivatives to match liabilities
Annuity purchase in readiness for exit
Contributions of no m
ore than $6 million per annum
Target of exit/equilibrium in 10
years or less
De-risk to
the exte
nt affo
rdableOpportunistic buyout if terms merit?
© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Contact details
Tony Broomhead [email protected]
Mark Duke [email protected]
Paul Kitson [email protected]
Jason Richards [email protected]
Peter Routledge [email protected]