52
1 | Page Acknowledgements First of all, I would like to thank God for giving me the life and good health needed to carry out this dissertation. I would also like to thank my teacher Mrs. Ermay for giving me well informed guidance in putting together this SBA. Moreover I am very grateful to the staff of WASCO for providing me with the necessary information. In particular, I would like to thank the Finance Manager, Mr. Martial, who assis ted me throughout this project. Even though he was busy with work obligations , he constantly accommodated me, answering my questions whether it be in person or via e-mail. Finally, I would like to thank my parents, for providing me with the resources needed to complete this SBA. My father especially deserves tremendous thanks as his position on the board of WASCO not only enabled him to advise me on the topic but also to get in contact with the organization. More importantly, it was he who suggested the research topic to me.

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Page 1: Cape Economics SBA

1 | P a g e

Acknowledgements

First of all, I would like to thank God for giving me the life and good health needed to

carry out this dissertation.

I would also like to thank my teacher Mrs. Ermay for giving me well informed guidance

in putting together this SBA.

Moreover I am very grateful to the staff of WASCO for providing me with the necessary

information. In particular, I would like to thank the Finance Manager, Mr. Martial, who assis ted

me throughout this project. Even though he was busy with work obligations , he constantly

accommodated me, answering my questions whether it be in person or via e-mail.

Finally, I would like to thank my parents, for providing me with the resources needed to

complete this SBA. My father especially deserves tremendous thanks as his position on the

board of WASCO not only enabled him to advise me on the topic but also to get in contact with

the organization. More importantly, it was he who suggested the research topic to me.

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WASCO Company Profile

Market Structure: State Monopoly

Barriers to Entry: Startup costs are extremely high due to the cost of expensive

infrastructure needed to deliver water. Furthermore, one must first

obtain an abstraction license (to extract water from the earth) and an

operating license (to legally sell water to consumers). WASCO is the only

entity in possession of these licenses.

Control over Price: WASCO has control over price, but only to a certain extent. Before any

price change can be implemented, WASCO first has to submit a proposal

to the National Water & Sewage Commission (NWSC) who has ultimate

authority to approve, amend or decline the proposal.

Nature of Good: WASCO provides water for consumption and water services for waste

(sewage water).

Number of Buyers: There are approximately 50,000 customers who consume water services

from WASCO. They are classified into the following categories;

Domestic

Commercial

Government

Hotels

Boats

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Introduction

In September 2012, the St. Lucia Water & Sewage Company (WASCO) proposed an increase

in tariff rates on water consumption of 90%. WASCO cited several reasons for their submission

as follows:

The existing tariff did not allow it to meet its obligations

The existing tariff was implemented since 2000

The costs of energy had increased significantly from 2000

To help cover the costs of repairing the extensive damage caused by Hurricane Tomas

and the drought of 2009/2010

The National Water & Sewage Commission (NWSC) invited the public to comment on the

proposed tariff increase for water for a period of two weeks.

In a meeting organized by the National Consumer Association (NCA) in the town hall, there

was a clear consensus for supporting an increase in the water tariff. Persons argued that an

increase in the water rate was necessary, so that the company can undertake the necessary

improvement to the water network by replacing damaged and outdated water mains.

Meanwhile, some members of the St. Lucia Hotel and Tourism Association (SLHTA) who

attended a meeting held at Bay Gardens Hotel believed that the proposed tariff was too high.

They suggested that consideration should be given to phasing the rate over a three year period

and that such phasing should be done against marked improvements in the service delivery.

They believed that this would be an incentive for WASCO to generate internal efficiency.

A number of private individuals submitted comments to the Commission on the proposed

tariff. Whilst most persons understood the need for the increase in tariff, most believe that

WASCO should shoulder some of the responsibility for the poor service delivery, poor water

quality and the lack of consistent water supply.

After due consideration of the comments made during public consultation, the NWSC

decided on an increase in water rates of 66.15%. 10.43% was to be allocated for the dredging of

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the John Compton Dam which suffered massive siltation during Hurricane Tomas and the

remaining 55.72% was to go to WASCO.

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Aims

1. To analyze the effect on water consumption of various sectors due to the change in

tariff.

2. To estimate the price elasticity of demand (PED) of water.

3. To investigate the factors affecting the PED of water.

4. To predict the long term effect of the change in tariff on water consumption.

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Sources of Data

1. Documentary Research

Documentary research is the use of outside sources or documents to support the

viewpoint or argument of an academic work.

The main advantage is that it is quicker than data collection methods which

require you to collect your own data. However, its main drawback is that it is very

subjective as different researchers may express different opinions on the topic.

Documents may also lack reliability and researchers may forge their results.

The documents used to collect the data included:

Company Records of Monthly Consumption and Revenue

Newspapers

Permission had to be obtained from the company in order to gain access to its

records. This permission was obtained from the Finance Manager, Mr. Darnell Martial.

2. Interview

This is where the investigator directly contacts informants, solicits their co-

operation and collects the data.

Two key advantages of the direct interview is that it ensures a high response rate

and the researcher can explain questions which respondents have doubts about.

Two disadvantages however are that it is quite time-consuming and respondents

may not always be available for the interview.

Several interviews were conducted with the Finance Manager, Mr. Martial.

These interviews were not structured; they were formal and informal meetings where

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he explained to me whatever I needed to understand. Nevertheless, they have been

converted to a structured format in the appendix (pgs 48 – 52).

3. Questionnaire

This is a document prepared by the investigator containing a set of questions

relating to the problem of enquiry.

The main advantage of a questionnaire is that it is time efficient – a large

number can be distributed in a short time.

However its main disadvantages are that response rates may be low and the

researcher cannot explain questions to those who have doubts.

The original objective of the questionnaire was to investigate why the elasticity

varied for the different sub-sectors. However, after realizing that the sample size

required for this would be too large, the new objective of the questionnaire simply

aimed to investigate why the demand for water on a whole was inelastic.

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Procedures for Questionnaire

Sampling

A total of 30 respondents was chosen as the sample size. In order to get a sample as

representative of the population as possible, stratified sampling was used. This is where the

population is divided into homogenous groups called strata and then elements from each

stratum are selected based on their proportion to the population.

The fact that WASCO already divided its consumers into groups facilitated the process of

stratified sampling. The groups in which the population was divided are as follows:

- Boats

- Commercial

- Domestic

- Government

- Hotel

It was not possible to obtain a breakdown of the proportion of each stratum to the

population. However, the number of respondents from each stratum was chosen based on the

proportion of revenue that each stratum contributed to WASCO. Though this estimation may

be inaccurate, it was the best estimation possible given the information available.

Distribution of Questionnaires

The questionnaires were administered through two mediums; namely direct contact and via

the telephone.

i) Direct Delivery

The questionnaires delivered directly were given to those respondents who

could have been accessed easily. The questionnaires were given to my parents, who

distributed them to consumers in the vicinity of their workplaces.

All of the domestic consumers were surveyed this way since almost every one

lives in a domestic household. All of the government consumers were also surveyed

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this way, since my parents work in government ministries . Two firms were surveyed

by direct delivery; one in which my father is a shareholder and the other which is

close to my home.

ii) Telephone

Those respondents who would take too much time and money to reach were

surveyed over the phone as this was much more convenient. All of the hotels were

surveyed this way, in addition to one boat. A few firms were also questioned over

the telephone.

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Price Changes

Table Illustrating Changes in Rates Due to Tariff Increase

No. of Gallons Rates / $ per 1000 gallons

Before After

Domestic First 3000 7.35 12.21

In excess of 3000 Gallons 15.00 24.92

Minimum Charge 2000 Gallons 14.70 24.42

Commercial 20.00 33.23

Hotels 22.00 36.55

Government 14.00 23.26

Boats 40.00 66.46

Source: WASCO

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As shown in the graph above, total water consumption fell for most months (April and June -

December) after the increase in tariff compared to those same months before the change in

tariff. Only for the month May was the total water consumption higher after the increase in

tariff.

130

135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n /

Gal

lon

s (M

illio

ns)

Month

Total Water Consumption Before and After Tariff

2012

2013

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The graph above shows that total revenue increased for all months after the increase in tariff.

-

500.00

1,000.00

1,500.00

2,000.00

2,500.00

3,000.00

3,500.00

4,000.00

4,500.00

5,000.00

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Total Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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The graph above shows that boat water consumption fell significantly for all months after the

tariff increase was implemented.

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n /

Gal

lon

s (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

Month

Boat Water Consumption Before and After Tariff

2012

2013

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The above graph shows that revenue from boat water consumption increased after the tariff

for five months (May, September and October-December). However, for April and the period

June - August, boat water consumption revenue fell after the tariff increase.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Boat Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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As seen in the graph above, commercial water consumption after the increase in tariff was

lower for all months before the tariff.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n /

Gal

lon

s (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

Month

Commercial Water Consumption Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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As seen in the graph above, water consumption revenue from commercial sources increased

for all months after the tariff increase.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Commercial Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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The graph above shows that domestic water consumption after the tariff increase fell for the

months August and October to December. However, water consumption actually increased

after the tariff increase for the months May, June and September. Water consumption was

approximately the same before and after the tariff for the months April and July.

74,000

76,000

78,000

80,000

82,000

84,000

86,000

88,000

90,000

92,000

94,000

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n/

Gal

lon

s (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

Month

Domestic Water Consumption Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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The graph above shows that water consumption revenue from domestic households after the

increase in tariff rose for all months.

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Domestic Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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As seen in the graph above, government water consumption fell for most months after the

increase in tariff. However, for October, government water consumption rose slightly after the

increase in tariff.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n/

Gal

lon

s (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

Month

Gov't Water Consumption Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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As seen in the graph above, water consumption revenue from government increased after the

tariff change for all months.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Gov't Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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As seen above, hotel water consumption actually increased after the increase in tariff for the

majority of the months. The only months in which hotel water consumption fell after the

increase in tariff were for April, October and December.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Wat

er

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n/

Gal

lon

s (T

ho

uas

and

s)

Month

Hotel Water Consumption Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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The graph above shows that water revenue from hotels rose for all months after the tariff

increase.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Re

ven

ue

/ $

(0

00

)

Month

Hotel Revenue Billed Before & After Tariff

2012

2013

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Elasticity

The elasticity figures for the different sectors of water consumption were calculated using the

formula which is shown below:

𝑃𝐸𝐷 = %∆ 𝑖𝑛 𝑄𝐷

%∆ 𝑖𝑛 𝑃 =

𝑁𝑒𝑤 𝑄𝐷 − 𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑄𝐷𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑄𝐷 × 100

𝑁𝑒𝑤 𝑃 − 𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑃𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑃 × 100

Table Illustrating the Elasticity for each sector of Water Consumption

Sector Elasticity

Boat -0.72

Commercial -0.23

Government -0.16

Domestic -0.01

Hotel +0.08

Total -0.05

Source of data used in calculations: WASCO

Sign of PED

The above table shows that the PED for all but one sector was negative. This negative PED is

expected since water is believed to be a normal good i.e. as price rises, quantity demanded will

fall. However, hotel water consumption has a positive PED, which indicates a rise in demand

after a price rise. Nevertheless, the overall PED for WASCO water was found to be negative.

Degrees of Elasticity

The above table shows that the PED for all sub-sectors are inelastic. Overall, WASCO water was

found to be almost perfectly inelastic with a PED of -0.05.

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Changes in Revenue

The percentage changes in revenue were found using the basic formula:

%∆𝑅 = 𝑁𝑒𝑤 𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 − 𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒

𝑂𝑙𝑑 𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 × 100

Table Illustrating Percentage Changes in Revenue

Sub-Sector %Change in Revenue

Boat +6%

Commercial +41%

Government +48%

Domestic +57%

Hotel +75%

Total +56%

Source of data used in calculations: WASCO

As seen in the above table, revenue increased for all sub-sectors. Overall, there was a 56%

increase in revenue from water consumption.

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Relationship between Elasticity and Revenue

When there is a change in price, the effect on consumer expenditure or total revenue, depends

on the elasticity of the good. This relationship between elasticity and total revenue is illustrated

in the table below:

Table showing Elasticity and Changes in Revenue for different Subsectors

Subsector Elasticity %Change in Revenue

Boat -0.72 Inelastic +6% Increase

Commercial -0.23 Inelastic +41% Increase

Government -0.16 Inelastic +48% Increase

Domestic -0.01 Inelastic +57% Increase

Hotel +0.08 Inelastic +75% Increase

Total -0.05 Inelastic +56% Increase

Source of data used in calculations: WASCO

All the subsectors for which the PED is inelastic experienced an increase in total revenue as a

result of the price rise. This is the norm for inelastic goods after a price increase. This is because

the proportionate rise in price is higher than the proportionate fall in demand. In other words,

the rise in price of the good more than compensates for the fall in quantity demanded.

It should also be noted that the more inelastic subsectors experienced greater increases in

revenues. This is because the more inelastic a good is, the greater will be proportionate rise in

price compared to the fall in quantity demanded.

The only exception to this was the hotel sector. It wasn’t the most inelastic, but it experienced

the greatest increase in revenue. This is due to its positive elasticity. In addition to its price

rising, its demand also rose (unlike the other sectors).

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The graph above illustrates how much respondents value water on a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is

least and 5 is most necessary.

The majority of respondents (67%) chose the highest possible rating of 5 whilst the second

most common rating chosen was 4 with 20% of respondents selecting it.

This goes to show that WASCO water is a highly necessary good to consumers.

2 0 2

6

20

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 2 3 4 5

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Rating

Level of Necessity of WASCO Water to Consumers

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The graph above illustrates the percentage of monthly income/revenue that consumers spend

on WASCO water.

The wide majority of respondents (93%) indicated that expenditure on WASCO water

constituted only 1 – 10 % of their income. The remainder of respondents (7%) indicated that

WASCO water expenditure made up 11- 20% of their monthly income/revenue.

This shows that expenditure on WASCO water only makes up a tiny fraction of consumers’

income.

27

2

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

1- 10 %

11- 20 %

21 - 30 %

31 - 40 %

41 - 50 %

51 - 60 %

61 - 70 %

71 - 80 %

81 - 90 %

90 - 100 %

No. of Respondents

Pe

rce

nta

ge o

f M

on

thly

In

com

e/R

eve

nu

ePercentage of Consumers' Monthly Income/

Revenue Spent on WASCO Water

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The graph above illustrates the substitutes to WASCO water available to respondents.

The most frequent answer was bottled water with 90% of respondents selecting this, whilst the

second most selected substitute was rainwater with (50%) of respondents selecting this.

For both river-water and other sources, only 7% of respondents said that it was available to

them. The two ‘Other’ water sources were pond and spring water.

27

15

2 20

5

10

15

20

25

30

Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Substitute

Substitutes to WASCO Water Available to Consumers

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The graph above illustrates the substitutes to WASCO water used by consumers.

Ninety percent (90%) of respondents indicated that they used bottled water whilst 40%

indicated that they used rainwater. The two other alternatives stated by respondents were

pond and spring water.

27

12

20

5

10

15

20

25

30

Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Substitute

Substitutes to WASCO Water Used By Respondents

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The pie chart above illustrates the number of respondents who have decreased their WASCO

water consumption since the price increase.

The majority of respondents (79%) claimed that they have not decreased consumption whilst

the remaining 21% claimed that they actually have decreased consumption.

21%

79%

Respondents Who Have Consumed Less Water Since the Increase in WASCO Prices

Yes

No

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The graph above illustrates the percentage of respondents who have increased their

consumption of substitutes to WASCO water since the price increase.

The majority of respondents (75%) claimed that they have not increased consumption of

alternatives to WASCO water whilst 25% claimed that they actually have consumed more

substitutes.

25%

75%

Respondents Who Have Increased Consumption of Substitutes Since the Increase in WASCO Prices

Yes

No

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The graph above shows the number of respondents who use certain water sources for bathing.

None of the substitutes are used by the respondents as much as WASCO water for bathing. The

substitute with the highest number of respondents is rain-water with 9 respondents which is

nowhere near the 22 respondents who use WASCO for bathing.

22

9

10

5

10

15

20

25

WASCO Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Source

Sources of Water Respondents Use for Bathing -WASCO vs Substitutes

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The graph above shows the number of respondents who use certain water sources for drinking.

Bottled water is shown to be used as much as WASCO water for drinking, actually, it is used

even slightly more. None of the other substitutes are used by as many respondents as for

WASCO water.

2021

0 0 10

5

10

15

20

25

WASCO Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Source

Sources of Water Respondents Use for Drinking -WASCO vs Substitutes

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The graph above shows the number of respondents who use certain water sources for cooking.

None of the substitutes for WASCO water are used by as many respondents as the WASCO

water itself. The substitute with the highest number of respondents is bottled-water with 9

respondents which is nowhere near the 21 respondents who use WASCO water.

21

5

2 0 10

5

10

15

20

25

WASCO Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Source

Sources of Water Respondents Use for Cooking -WASCO vs Substitutes

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The graph above shows the number of respondents who use certain water sources for cleaning.

None of the substitutes for WASCO water are used by as many respondents as the WASCO

water itself. The substitute with the highest number of respondents is rain-water with 10

respondents which is nowhere near the 29 respondents who use WASCO for cleaning.

29

2

10

1 20

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

WASCO Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Source

Sources of Water Respondents Use for Cleaning -WASCO vs Substitutes

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The graph above shows the number of respondents who use certain water sources for

gardening/farming.

The only substitute which comes close to WASCO water is rain-water, which 8 respondents use

compared to the 13 respondents who use WASCO water.

13

2

8

1 00

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

WASCO Bottled Rain River Sea Other

No

. o

f R

esp

on

de

nts

Source

Sources of Water Respondents Use for Gardening/Farming - WASCO vs Substitutes

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Analysis

Factors Affecting Water Consumption

The first law of demand states that the quantity of a good demanded per period of time will fall

as price rises; ceteris paribus (Sloman, 2011). Hence, one would expect that water consumption

would fall as a result of the 66.15% price rise.

However, this may not necessarily be the case. The first law of demand is based on the

assumption of ceteris paribus; that all other factors are being held constant. In actuality though,

there are several other factors apart from price which affect the demand for WASCO water.

As stated by Mr. Martial, there are seasonal factors affecting boat water consumption. He

stated that consumption peaked from November to March, which would see a lot of visitors

from temperate regions which are very cold during that period.

Moreover, Mr. Martial explained that the population, in terms of the number of consumers was

also a factor affecting the demand for WASCO water. He said that expansions in the form of

new houses and housing developments would increase domestic water demand whilst the

creation of new government offices would increase government consumption. From these

comments it can be safely assumed that expansion in any other sector would increase its

demand e.g the creation of a new hotel would increase hotel consumption.

Furthermore, income is also a factor which affects the demand for water. It was shown in

studies by Saleem (2012), Nauges & Thomas (2000), Hoffmann et al (2006) and Renzetti (2002)

that Income has a positive correlation with water consumption, i.e. the higher one’s income,

the more water that they will demand.

Of these three other factors, the factor of seasonal changes in demand is held constant. Total

consumption before the tariff (2012) and after the tariff (2013) comprised of the same seasons

(months). For example, the total consumption before the tariff (2012) ran from the months

April – December. Likewise, the total consumption after the tariff increase (2013) represented

the period April – December. Hence, because the total consumption before the tariff and after

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the tariff comprised of the same seasons (April-December), we can eliminate seasonal changes

as a factor that would cause the 2012 consumption to vary from 2013 consumption.

Moreover, the change in income can be assumed to be negligible due to the short time period

involved. It is highly unlikely that income of St. Lucians would change significantly over the

period of one year.

Effect of Price Change on Consumption

All but one sector (hotel) experienced a fall in consumption after the tariff increase. Water

consumption for boats fell by the largest percentage (48%) whilst domestic households

experienced the lowest percentage fall in consumption (1%).

However, hotel water consumption actually increased after the price rise; it rose by 5%. The

most obvious explanation would be to point out the construction of new hotels after the tariff

increase. However, according to Mr. Martial, no new hotels have been connected to their lines

since the price rise. Instead, it was found out that two major hotels actually experienced severe

leaks sometime after the tariff increase; thus driving consumption up. Both hotels experienced

major leaks in August 2013 which explains the extremely high hotel consumption figure for that

month.

Overall, there was a fall in consumption of WASCO water of 4%.

Price Elasticity of Demand

This is the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in price. (CXC, 2011) Two factors

matter when interpreting the elasticity figure for a good. The first is the sign of the figure;

ordinarily, a good would have a negative PED, because of the inverse relationship between

quantity demanded and price. The second factor is the degree of elasticity. An elasticity greater

than 1 represents an elastic good whilst a PED less than 1 indicates that a good is inelastic.

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All subsectors except the hotel subsector had negative elasticity figures, which were expected

since they experienced a fall in consumption.

As for the degree of elasticity, all sub-sectors were found to be inelastic i.e. their percentage

change in price was greater than their percentage change in quantity demanded. The boat

sector was closest to being elastic, with a PED of -0.72 whilst the domestic sector was the most

inelastic. In fact, the domestic sector was almost perfectly inelastic; its PED was -0.01.

Overall, WASCO water was found to have a very inelastic PED of -0.05; a nearly perfectly elastic

PED figure. Thus the demand curve for water would be a very steep one; almost vertical in

nature; such as the one shown in Fig 1 below:

Fig 1: Inelastic Demand Curve

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Factors Affecting PED of Water

There are three main factors which affect the PED of a good; how necessary it is, the

percentage of a consumer’s income that it takes up and the number & closeness of substitutes

to the good (Bahaw, 2011).

The more necessary a good is, then the more inelastic its demand will be. This is because

consumers will need to buy it whatever the price; a change in price has little effect on quantity

demanded (Sloman, 2011). The results of the questionnaire revealed that water is highly

necessary to consumers. The majority of consumers (67%) rated its necessity as 5 out of 5.

Converting these results to a mean level of necessity gives 4.4 of 5 which re-enforces the

already widely known fact that water is a very necessary good. This obviously is a factor for its

highly inelastic PED figure.

Furthermore, the percentage of a consumer’s income that a good takes up is also a key factor

affecting PED. The lower the percentage of a consumer’s income that a good takes up, the

more inelastic it will be (Bahaw, 2011). The questionnaire revealed that the majority of

respondents (90%) spend only between 1- 10% of their monthly income on WASCO water. Thus

it can be concluded that WASCO water accounts for very little of consumers’ income which is

another factor that contributes to its highly inelastic PED.

Moreover, the availability and closeness of substitutes also affects the PED of a good. The more

and closer substitutes available to the good, the more elastic it would be, as consumers would

easily be able to switch to other goods if its price changed. (Sloman, 2011).

In terms of the number of substitutes, the questionnaire revealed that there were only two

significant substitutes available to respondents; bottled water and rain-water.

Furthermore, the closeness of the substitutes was measured based on how much the

respondents used these substitutes for the same functions as WASCO water. This logic was

based on the premise that if a water source has very similar characteristics to WASCO water

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then respondents would be willing to use it for the same functions that they use WASCO water

for.

Based on this measurement, no substitute came close to WASCO water. Though, respondents

used bottled water as much as WASCO water for drinking purposes – they didn’t use it as much

as WASCO water for other purposes. This was similar to rainwater, where respondents used it

as much as WASCO water for gardening/farming purposes but not for any other purpose.

Mr. Martial also explained why other water sources are not close substitutes to WASCO water.

He said that alternative sources such as rain/river/sea water cannot compete with WASCO

water because they are not of a high enough quality. Meanwhile though bottled water is of a

higher quality than WASCO water, it is much more expensive. Per thousand gallon, bottled

water costs 900 times more than WASCO water! Hence it can be concluded that the lack of

close substitutes is also a factor which contributes to the highly inelastic PED of water.

The questionnaire re-enforced the inelastic nature of WASCO water. The majority of

respondents (79%) claimed that they have not reduced water consumption since the price

increase. The majority of respondents (79%) also said that they have not increased

consumption of substitutes to WASCO water since the price increase.

Effect on Revenue

Revenue increased for all sub-sectors. This increase in revenue was due to the fact that the

quantity of water demanded for all sub-sectors was inelastic; the rise in price more than

compensated for the fall in quantity demand. This is explained in Fig. 2 below which shows the

relationship between the demand and total revenue (TR) curves. It illustrates, that along the

inelastic portion of the demand curve, an increase in price will lead to an increase in total

revenue; which has been the case for the price increase in WASCO water.

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Fig 2: Graph Illustrating Relationship Between Elasticity and Total Revenue

Revenue from hotels experienced the greatest proportionate increase in revenue (75%). This is

because not only did the price rise, but the demand also rose, unlike other sub-sectors whose

demand fell. On the other hand, the smallest revenue increase (6%) came in the boat sub-

sector. This was because this sector was the least inelastic. Overall, water revenue increased by

56% after the price rise.

It should be noted however, that the revenue figures used are not necessarily how much

money that is collected. Mr. Martial stated that on average, around 90% of bills are actually

collected, meaning that about 10% of bills usually go unpaid. Given that WASCO bills an average

of roughly $4,000,000 per year; this means that about $400,000 of revenue is not collected.

This is a sizeable amount of cash which could surely serve the company well.

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Prediction of Long Term Effect

The effect of the 66.15% price rise will obviously be a decrease in water consumption. However,

due to the influence of other factors affecting water consumption, we will not necessarily see a

fall in water consumption in the longer term.

The general increase in the human population of St. Lucia, will likely push water consumption

higher. The construction of new hotels and establishment of new firms are also likely to

increase water consumption. Moreover, as income increases in the long-term, water

consumption will also increase.

However, in the long term, WASCO might as well succeed in raising the price of water once

more, which will reverse the effects of increasing population and incomes. It is likely that

WASCO will persist in trying to raise the price of water, especially since the 66.15% rise was

originally a request for a 90% price rise.

Moreover, people’s attitudes towards water conservation can affect long term trends in water

consumption. Given the growing number of advocates for water conservation, people might

begin to use water more sparingly. Moreover, with technology continually evolving, it is likely

that scientists will find new ways to conserve water in the future. This increase in water

conservation will reduce the quantity of water demanded in St. Lucia; ceteris paribus.

Therefore, it can be said that the pattern of water consumption in the long term is uncertain,

due to the different factors that can influence its demand.

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Findings

1. After the price increase of WASCO water, consumption fell for all sub-sectors except the

hotel sector. This rise in consumption for the hotel sector was due to severe leaks

suffered by two hotels after the tariff increase. Overall, there was a total decrease in

water consumption.

2. The elasticity of demand of the 66.15% price rise was inelastic for all the sub-sectors.

Overall, WASCO water was found to be almost perfectly inelastic with an elasticity of -

0.05.

3. It was found that several factors contribute to the highly inelastic nature of WASCO

water. These are; its high level of necessity, the fact that it constitutes only a small

percentage of consumers’ income and the lack of close substitutes.

4. Though in the short term, the 66.15% price rise has resulted in water consumption

falling, it is uncertain whether this effect will hold in the long term due to the multitude

of other factors influencing the demand for WASCO water.

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Recommendations

1. WASCO should persist in trying to raise the price of water further though it depends on

the generosity of the NWSC. A further increase in prices will most likely boost revenues

since water is very inelastic. However, one can argue that since water is a good that is so

important to the well being of human beings, the price should be kept as low as possible

so that everyone can have access to it.

2. Mr. Martial said that unpaid bills are dealt with by calling the customers to remind them

and by implementing disconnection campaigns. However, given that uncollected

revenue, on average, amounts to $400,000 per month. WASCO should put better

strategies in place to ensure that more bills are actually paid by customers. This would

reduce the amount of bad debts incurred and help cash flow.

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Conclusion

After the 66.15% price rise, there was an overall decrease in water consumption. However, due

to the highly inelastic nature of the water, total revenue actually increased. This highly inelastic

nature of WASCO water is due to its high level of necessity, the fact that it constitutes only a

minor percentage of consumers’ incomes and the lack of c lose substitutes. Though in the short

term, the 66.15% price rise has resulted in water consumption falling, it is uncertain whether

this effect will hold in the long term due to the multitude of other factors influencing the

demand for WASCO water.

If the recommendations above are implemented or any other innovative strategies, WASCO

should be on the way to a more secure financial future.

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Bibliography

Bahaw, Edward. (2011) CAPE Economics Unit 1 – 2nd edition. La Romaine, Trinidad: Caribbean

Educational Publishers.

Sloman, John. (2003) Economics – 5th edition. Essex, England: Pearson Education Limited.

Caribbean Examinations Council. (2011) Economics CAPE Unit 1. Cheltenham, England: Nelson

Thornes Ltd.

Saleem, Faiza. (2012) Factors Affecting Water Demand in Abbotabad. Ms, COMSATS Institute of

Information Technology.

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First Interview with Mr. Darnell Martial

WASCO Finance Manager

WASCO Head Office – San-Souci

Wednesday 11/12/13

1. Who owns WASCO?

WASCO is a government owned corporation. It was formed under the Companies Act.

2. What are the barriers preventing potential water providers from entering the market?

The main barrier to entry is the exorbitantly high startup cost involved in setting up a

water network. Moreover there are licenses that one needs to obtain in order to enter

the market. The first is an abstraction license, issued by the Water Resource

Management Authority (WRMA). This license gives an entity permission to tap into the

country’s water reserves. The second is an operating license, issued by the National

Water & Sewerage Authority (NWSC). This gives a firm the legal right to sell water

commercially. WASCO is the only entity in possession of the two licenses mentioned

above.

3. How much control over the price of water does WASCO have?

WASCO has control over the price of water to a certain extent. The price is regulated by

the NWSC, who WASCO needs to apply to for a price change.

There are three types of applications for price changes :

Yearly Application : this is an application due to inflation

Extraordinary Application : this is an application for an increase due to a natural

disaster

Triennial Review: this is an application made for a price increase due to last three

years. After the 3 year period the NWSC will decide if the price change will

remain.

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4. Are there any close substitutes for WASCO water?

None of the alternative water sources can really compete with WASCO water. Sources

like rain, river and sea water are not as high quality as WASCO water. Sandals Hotel has

a desalination plant which could treat sea water to get it into a potable state. However,

it is much too expensive and buying WASCO water is a much cheaper option. More so,

even with the sea water getting treatment, WASCO water is still of a high quality; it

tastes better.

Though bottled water as good as and even better than WASCO water in terms of quality,

it is much more expensive. In fact, some of the bottled water sold in St. Lucia cannot

really be considered a substitute to WASCO water since DuBoulay’s Bottling Company

buys water directly from WASCO. Hence, to buy DuBoulay’s bottled water would be

buying indirectly from WASCO in a sense.

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Second Interview with Mr. Darnell Martial

WASCO Finance Manager

WASCO Head Office – San-Souci

Thursday 23/01/14

5. Are there any seasonal factors affecting water consumption for any sector?

Boat arrivals usually increase from November to March. These months are very cold in

temperate countries hence you find that more tourists will come to St. Lucia during this

period of time. The peak month is February which is usually the coldest month.

Incidents happened concerning boats in 2012; a tourist from a boat was killed. Hence a

few boats pulled out but they came back in 2013.

6. Water consumption after the price rise actually increased for some months in 2013

compared to 2012. What are some possible reasons for this?

Government consumption might be higher because of expansion; the government

creating new office spaces.

Domestic consumption always goes up because there are always new subdivisions

(houses and housing developments) to supply water to.

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Third Interview with Mr. Darnell Martial

WASCO Finance Manager

Via Email & Telephone

Sent (Email) – Sunday 9/03/14

Replied (Mobile Phone) – Monday 10/03/14

7. Has there been the construction or opening of new hotels around the time when the

tariff increase was implemented? If not, what else could explain the increase in hotel

consumption? I realized that in August 2013, consumption was unusually high. What is

the reason for this? It might explain why hotel water consumption actually went up

after the tariff increase.

Two hotels experienced severe leaks in August 2013. The first hotel suffered the leak for

several months as they weren’t able to find it. However it got so bad by August, that

they called in a WASCO leak detection crew in September to fix the problem.

The other hotel which experienced a leak only suffered it in August. They detected it

very quickly and fixed it themselves.

8. On average, how much of the revenue billed is actually collected? Does a significant

amount of billed revenue go unpaid every month? What is the company's policy for

treating these arrears? Do you eventually write them off as bad debts?

On average, 90% of billed revenue is collected, meaning that 10% usually goes unpaid.

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The strategies put in place to ensure that arrears are paid include frequently calling

customers to remind them and implementing disconnection campaigns.

Arrears are written off as bad debts only if circumstances make it highly likely that

payment will not be received, such as in the case of the death of a customer.