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SWEDEN NORWAY FINLAND ESTONIA LATVIA LITHUANIA BELARUS POLAND GERMANY DENMARK NETHERLANDS BELGIUM FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM IRELAND CZECH REPUBLIC SLOVAKIA HUNGARY AUSTRIA SWITZERLAND ITALY BOSNIA SLOVENIA CROATIA SERBIA MACEDONIA ALBANIA GREECE MONTENEGRO UKRAINE MOLDOVA ROMANIA BULGARIA SPAIN PORTUGAL MALTA AFGHANISTAN IRAN IRAQ TURKMENISTAN TAJIKISTAN KYRGYZSTAN UZBEKISTAN KAZAKHSTAN RUSSIA MONGOLIA CHINA SOUTH KOREA NORTH KOREA JAPAN PAKISTAN INDIA NEPAL BANGLADESH MYANMAR (BURMA) LAOS THAILAND VIETNAM CAMBODIA PHILIPPINES MALAYSIA INDONESIA TIMOR-LESTE PAPUA NEW GUINEA AUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND JORDAN LEBANON ISRAEL CYPRUS TURKEY GEORGIA ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN SYRIA EGYPT LIBYA ALGERIA TUNISIA MOROCCO PORTUGAL SPAIN WESTERN SAHARA MAURITANIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA BENIN TOGO GHANA IVORY COAST LIBERIA SIERRA LEONE GUINEA SENEGAL CHAD SUDAN ERITREA ETHIOPIA CAMEROON CONGO GABON DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO UGANDA SOMALIA TANZANIA RWANDA BURUNDI KENYA MALAWI MOZAMBIQUE ZAMBIA ZIMBABWE ANGOLA NAMIBIA BOTSWANA SOUTH AFRICA LESOTHO MADAGASCAR MAURITIUS REUNION SRI LANKA MALDIVES SAUDI ARABIA KUWAIT OMAN UAE YEMEN CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC SOUTH SUDAN BRAZIL FRENCH GUIANA SURINAME GUYANA VENEZUELA COLOMBIA ECUADOR PERU BOLIVIA PARAGUAY URUGUAY ARGENTINA CHILE FRENCH ANTILLES DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAITI CUBA JAMAICA PANAMA COSTA RICA NICARAGUA HONDURAS EL SALVADOR GUATEMALA MEXICO UNITED STATES CANADA GREENLAND ICELAND Low Risk Moderate-Low Risk Moderate Risk Moderate-High Risk High Risk Very High Risk Country Risk Map Quarter 3 2017 The Atradius Risk Map gives an overview of the level of risk associated with countries worldwide. This map has been created by our Economic Research team and drawn from a range of sources. This map is provided for information purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation as to particular transactions, investments or strategies in any way to any reader. For our full disclaimer and further information on our Risk Map, please visit: https://group.atradius.com/publications/trading-briefs/risk-map.html. El Salvador The highly polarised political situation is leading to legislative gridlock which is complicating budget negotiations and pension reforms. This is exacerbating the deterioration in institutional quality, keeping earnings capacity low and undermining debt sustainability. Barbados Barbados faces persistent twin deficits, increasing public debt, and monetary financing and liquidity constraints. This undermines the sustainability of the currency peg which could lead to serious currency risk. The political situation is stable but reform efforts are so far only resulting in marginal improvements in government finances but fuel social discontent. Indonesia Indonesia’s economy is doing well, with GDP growth around 5% and sustainable public and external debt levels. The government is proceeding, though slowly, with economic reforms improving the investment climate. The country’s vulnerability to external shocks has decreased. Movement Focus QATAR

Atradius risk map 2017

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Page 1: Atradius risk map 2017

SWEDEN

NORWAY

FINLAND

ESTONIA

LATVIA

LITHUANIA

BELARUS

POLAND GERMANY

DENMARK

NETHERLANDS

BELGIUM

FRANCE

UNITED KINGDOM

IRELAND

CZECH REPUBLIC

SLOVAKIA

HUNGARYAUSTRIA

SWITZERLAND

ITALY

BOSNIA

SLOVENIACROATIA

SERBIA

MACEDONIA

ALBANIA

GREECE

MONTENEGRO

UKRAINE

MOLDOVA

ROMANIA

BULGARIA

SPAINPORTUGAL

MALTA

AFGHANISTANIRAN

IRAQ

TURKMENISTAN TAJIKISTAN

KYRGYZSTAN

UZBEKISTAN

KAZAKHSTAN

RUSSIA

MONGOLIA

CHINA

SOUTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA

JAPAN

PAKISTAN

INDIA

NEPAL

BANGLADESH

MYANMAR (BURMA)

LAOS

THAILANDVIETNAM

CAMBODIA PHILIPPINES

MALAYSIA

INDONESIA

TIMOR-LESTE

PAPUA NEW GUINEA

AUSTRALIA

NEW ZEALAND

JORDAN

LEBANON

ISRAEL

CYPRUS

TURKEY

GEORGIA

ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN

SYRIA

EGYPT LIBYA ALGERIA

TUNISIA MOROCCO

PORTUGAL SPAIN

WESTERN SAHARA

MAURITANIA MALI NIGER

NIGERIA BENIN

TOGO

GHANAIVORY COAST

LIBERIA

SIERRA LEONE

GUINEA

SENEGAL CHAD SUDAN

ERITREA

ETHIOPIA

CAMEROON

CONGOGABON DEMOCRATIC

REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO

UGANDA

SOMALIA

TANZANIA

RWANDA BURUNDI

KENYA

MALAWI

MOZAMBIQUE

ZAMBIA

ZIMBABWE

ANGOLA

NAMIBIA

BOTSWANA

SOUTH AFRICA

LESOTHO

MADAGASCAR

MAURITIUS

REUNION

SRI LANKA

MALDIVES

SAUDI ARABIA

KUWAIT

OMAN

UAE

YEMEN

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

SOUTH SUDAN

BRAZIL

FRENCH GUIANA

SURINAME

GUYANA

VENEZUELA

COLOMBIA

ECUADOR

PERU

BOLIVIA

PARAGUAY

URUGUAY ARGENTINA

CHILE

FRENCH ANTILLES

DOMINICAN REPUBLICHAITI

CUBA

JAMAICA

PANAMACOSTA RICA

NICARAGUA

HONDURAS

EL SALVADOR

GUATEMALA

MEXICO

UNITED STATES

CANADA

GREENLAND

ICELAND

Low Risk Moderate-Low Risk Moderate Risk Moderate-High Risk High Risk Very High Risk Country Risk Map Quarter 3 2017

The Atradius Risk Map gives an overview of the level of risk associated with countries worldwide. This map has been created by our Economic Research team and drawn from a range of sources. This map is provided for information purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation as to particular transactions, investments or strategies in any way to any reader. For our full disclaimer and further information on our Risk Map, please visit: https://group.atradius.com/publications/trading-briefs/risk-map.html.

El Salvador

The highly polarised political situation is leading to legislative gridlock which is complicating budget negotiations and pension reforms. This is exacerbating the deterioration in institutional quality, keeping earnings capacity low and undermining debt sustainability.

Barbados

Barbados faces persistent twin deficits, increasing public debt, and monetary financing and liquidity constraints. This undermines the sustainability of the currency peg which could lead to serious currency risk. The political situation is stable but reform efforts are so far only resulting in marginal improvements in government finances but fuel social discontent.

Indonesia

Indonesia’s economy is doing well, with GDP growth around 5% and sustainable public and external debt levels. The government is proceeding, though slowly, with economic reforms improving the investment climate. The country’s vulnerability to external shocks has decreased.

Movement Focus

QATAR