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FINANCING THE GROWTH OF SMES IN RURAL AND UNDER-SERVED MARKETS IN ARMENIA
Constraints and RecommendationsJanuary 2015
Anthony SinclairDirector, Economic GrowthCardno Emerging MarketsFED Technical Advisor
The Situation
• 50%+ of SME’s do not use formal finance: 60%-70% in rural areas
• 4 out of 5 SMEs report difficulty or have no wish to access formal sources - lack of interest is uncommonly high
• Key sectors under-served: Production, agriculture, construction = 30% of total finance;
• Amounts small: Average loan AMD 4mn; ag < AMD 3mn.
• SMEs rely on personal sources more than any other source (64% of SME’s in ag said they seek personal sources first)
• 30% or less of finance directed for investment
• Banks primary source, but UCOs play important role with market shares 30%-60% in most areas except Yerevan.
• Reliance on donor and state support significant (20%)
Approach: “Access” Defined
Proximity between lenders and SMEs, operating hours, ease of making and keeping in contact, etc.
Supply of funds, willingness of lenders to lend, etc.
Cost of finance, level of borrower risk, management burdens
Suitability of products and services to SME needs
Healthy SMEs have access to formal lenders who are able and willing to offer affordable and suitable financing.
Physical Access
Availability
Affordability
Suitability
Approach: Sources
Roundtables with SME’s and Lenders
Survey of 200+ hundreds businesses
Interviews with market participants
Separate technical studies: legal, supporting services, agriculture
Various documents and studies
Roundtables
Surveys
Interviews
Diagnostics
Other
Opportunities to improve information collection
Approach: Scope of Assessment
Supply-Side Evaluation Enterprise-Side Evaluation
•Legal infrastructure
•Financial regulations
•Products and services
•Financial sector depth
•Supporting services
•State support
Risk
Cost
Knowledge gaps
Market failures
•Financial capacity of SME’s
•Technical/administrative capacity to get credit
•Attitudes and expectations
•SME market structure
Supply-Side Constraints Enterprise-Side Constraints
• Inefficient credit
enforcement
• High costs of financing
• Poor product suitability
• Regulatory issues and lack of incentives
• Few alternative sources of finance
• Weak supporting services
• Limited effectiveness of state and donor funds
FINANCEGAP
•Weakened financial capacity
•Borrower attitudes and risk aversion
•Weak capacity to present business
•Weak SME market leverage
Access Constraints: The Big Picture
Weak Enforcement
Impact of Financial
Regulation
Poor Product
Suitability
Lack of Alternative
Sources
UnderdevelopedSupporting
Services
HighCosts
Supply-side Constraints
Loan lossprovisionrules
Collateral bias
Regulation of non-banks
UncertainImpact of
Capital Rules
WeakEnabling
Environment
Barriers to leasing
Weak inter-firm
financing
Under-developed Cap Mkt
Borrower Attitudes &
Risk Aversion
Information Asymmetry &
Legitimacy
Poor SME Market
Leverage
WeakenedFinancialCapacity
Liquidityissues
Inadequatecollateral
Low risk tolerance
Expectations of state support
Negative sentiment
Weak credit culture
Weak capacity
Informal economy
Co-mingling of finances
Weak national advocacy
Weak negotiating
position
Demand-side Constraints
Unclear reach to SMEs and priority sectors
Bias to larger SMEs and existing bank clients
Significant direct lending – under-leveraged
Some weakness in transparency and SME feedback
Financing Support
Recommendations: Supply-side
During proceedings…
•Amend the law to make it easier to deliver notifications
•Amend the law to eliminate use of erroneous counter-claims to create delays; enable concurrent proceedings
•Improve the legal definition and rules for setting priority of claims; harmonize civil code and enforcement law
•Strengthen the technical capacity of courts to handle credit cases
•Improve consistency and uniformity of enforcement proceedings among different courts; platforms for sharing info on cases
Enforcement of judgments…
•Amend the law to reduce erroneous appeals to delay actions
(more)
Weak Enforcement
Legal loopholes/
delays
Inefficiency in claim recovery
Out of court process
limitations
Collateral regime
Recommendations: Supply-side
Enforcement of judgments…
• Eliminate inconsistency between law on public bids and law on enforcement
• Strengthen enforcement of law concerning creditor notifications
• Develop standards/protocols for enforcement officers in selling assets; consider use of private creditor enforcement officers
• Upgrade electronic auction system to improve transparency and ease of use
• Re-set commission structure to be more incentive compatible
• Eliminate the administrative barrier to re-registering foreclosed property after auction
• Stronger legal deterrents against misappropriation of collateral
Weak Enforcement
Legal loopholes/
delays
Inefficiency in claim recovery
Out of court process
limitations
Collateral regime
Recommendations: Supply-side
Collateral infrastructure….
• Finalize development of centralized movable property register
• Establish legal basis for the use of enterprise-wide or floating charges as collateral
• Evaluate the feasibility of setting up alternative collateralization mechanisms, such as the use of bonded-warehouses, trusts, etc.
Extrajudicial enforcement…
• Amend the law to eliminate inconsistencies in reserve price-setting requirements for in-court and our-of-court proceedings
• Continue to improve and promote the use of the arbitration court
Bankruptcy proceedings…
• Various improvements noted in our report
Weak Enforcement
Legal loopholes/
delays
Inefficiency in claim recovery
Out of court process
limitations
Collateral regime
Recommendations: Supply-side
HighCosts
Poor economies
of scale
Externalities
Cost of regulatory compliance
Calibrate regulatory requirements to the risks of SME lending (e.g. banks vs. leasing, SMEs vs. Large Corporates)
Apply RIA to financial regulations; consider use “SME test”
Increased investment in shared platforms or services that help to reduce the transaction costs of lending – more to follow…
Gradually reduce reliance on minimum loan loss provisions based on payment status
Streamline prudential requirements for UCOs proportionate to the risks they pose
Harmonize regulatory charges between banks and UCOs (VAT on guarantees branch taxes, ombudsman fees, etc.)
Streamline regulations for leasing to be more in line with EU practices; develop separate guidelines for banks involved in leasing
Apply RIA to existing regulations as well as new ones
Improve info collection on SME lending
Consider SME impact when setting Basle III requirements
Recommendations: Supply-side
Impact of Financial
Regulation
Loan lossprovision
rules
Collateral bias
Regulation of non-banks
UncertainImpact of
capital
Recommendations: Supply-side
On lending suitability and funding…
Incentives for investment in SME lending and expansion to under-banked markets
Accelerate development efforts to develop national platforms for mobile and e-banking (Separate FED report)
Consider government support/sponsorship for the development of a new share-technology platform for credit scoring/screening Comprehensive strategy for improving dinar-based funding
On improved risk intermediation…
Government-financial sector-donor collaboration on expansion/ development of risk management tools
State aid in the form of foreign exchange or interest rate risk offset programs may have use in lieu of direct lending
Poor Product
Suitability
Unsuitablelending models
Unsuitablefunding
Poor risk inter-
mediation
Weak SMEknowledge
Recommendations: Supply-side
On improving knowledge of SME markets…
Poor Product
Suitability
Unsuitablelending models
Unsuitablefunding
Poor risk inter-
mediation
Weak SMEknowledge
Improved information and data collection on the SME sector
More collaboration by business associations (including bankers association) in doing research on the SME sector
Recommendations: Supply-side
Streamline regulations for UCOs
Reform regulations on leasing and related tax and accounting rules to make leasing cost competitive
Promote financial intermediation between banks and UCOs – e.g. in whole sale lending and loan participations
Promote increased use of Dram-based funding by
UCOs; more access to donor funds, assistance in hedging FX risk
Support for value-chain based credit arrangements – next section
Opportunities with diaspora
Lack of Alternative
Sources
WeakEnabling
Environment
Barriers to leasing
Weak inter-firm
financing
Under-developed Cap Mkt
Recommendations: Supply-side
On appraisal services…
Consider changing licensing from firms to individuals
Revise conduct standards, set continuing education requirements, and strengthen sanctions
Strengthen capacity of the register to monitor and sanction appraisers
Create a centralized database of all information collected on real estate and make it available to appraisal profession
Map the service area appraisers and monitor national coverage
UnderdevelopedSupporting
Services
Quality ofappraisal services
Quality ofAccounting/
auditing
Gaps in info services
Recommendations: Supply-side
On accounting/auditing services…
Minimize use of staffing thresholds in audit firm licensing – 5 staff may be too high in small markets
Strengthen the capacity of MoF for oversight or transfer full oversight/sanctioning to private association
Promote widespread implementation of the new IFRS standards for SMEs for lending
Update professional certification requirements in line with international standards
Move to implement the measures in the latest ROSC assessment and set out by the FIRST Initiative
UnderdevelopedSupporting
Services
Quality ofappraisal services
Quality ofAccounting/
auditing
Gaps in info services
Recommendations: Supply-side
On information services…
Support ACRAs expansion and promote the develop of new reporting templates for rural and ag markets
Reduce delays in lending by quickly fixing errors and omissions in the property registries – create a program to “fast track” easily verifiable corrections
Improve the search functions of the business registry to support lending
Explore opportunities for public-private partnerships to improve the quality and type of information services that support financing.
UnderdevelopedSupporting
Services
Quality ofappraisal services
Quality ofAccounting/
auditing
Gaps in info services
Recommendations: Financing Support
Strengthen coordination and tactical use of state aid
Enhance design and structure of products and programs; less direct lending more collaboration with the UCO sector; use these support mechanisms to catalyze innovation
Strengthen communications with the SME sector; focus groups
Strengthen information collection and distribution on SME financing
Recommendations: Demand-side
Various measures to improve liquidity conditions:
• VAT tax payments based on cash not invoice• Reduction of payment delays through public sector
supply chain, etc.• Quicker enforcement of inter-firm credit claims
Better education for SMEs on collateral management
Fast-track permitting for qualified real estate collateral
WeakenedFinancialCapacity
Liquidityissues
Inadequatecollateral
More communication and collaboration needed between lenders and SME’s (+professional services community)
Improvements in credit enforcement will help to reduce the personal exposures of borrowing
Public-private collaboration in improving public awareness and helping to promote positive credit culture
Support for entrepreneurship and belief in SMEs needs to be explicit and promoted by government
Recommendations: Demand-side
Borrower Attitudes &
Risk Aversion
Low risk tolerance
Expectations of state support
Negative sentiment
Weak credit culture
Training and support to business organizations to build capacity of members
Training and outreach by lenders and more engagement by the professional services community
Targeted incentives to get businesses out of informal economy
Recommendations: Demand-side
Information Asymmetry &
Legitimacy
Weak capacity
Informal economy
Co-mingling of finances
Business associations to take a more active role in advocating for specific reforms to improving access to members
Business associations to take on intermediary functions in working with banks and members to facilitate credit flows
More education for SME about to organize and make joint approaches to lenders
Public-private initiatives to promote value chain-based financing
Large corporations should help with solutions
Recommendations: Demand-side
Poor SME Market
Leverage
Weak national advocacy
Weak negotiating
position
Next Steps
Many recommendations are achievable in
the short and intermediate term … at minimal cost
Set priorities
Integrated plan with responsibilities
Platform for public-private cooperation/feedback
Financial and private sector undertakings
Government-wide commitment
Tell businesses about progress
A Final Observation
SME’s have played a catalyzing and socially-stabilizing role in the development of almost
every major industrialized economy we know in the world.