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Stock Market Index

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Page 1: 6 Stock Market Index

Stock Market Index

Page 2: 6 Stock Market Index

Importance of Stock Market Index

� It is a standard of comparison to judge the performance of individual investor

� To evaluate alternative investments� To measure the market rates of return � To predict the market movements

Page 3: 6 Stock Market Index

Construction of Stock Market Index

� A stock market average is a weighted or unweighted average stock price

� A price index number is a pure number that is void of any unit of measurement

� Indexes are more useful as they are designed to avoid distortions

� Index numbers are constructed from a base date value to serve as the index�s starting point with a perspective to have a time-series of index numbers

Page 4: 6 Stock Market Index

Factors affecting the construction of stock market index

� Sample size� Sample should be large enough to be

statistically significant

� Representativeness� It should be representative of total

population and should possess characteristics of interest

� Base year� It should be a normal year

Page 5: 6 Stock Market Index

Factors affecting the construction of stock market index

� Weighting criteria� Equally Weighted Series� Price Weighted Series� Market value Weighted Series

� Convenient units � An index should be stated in convenient units to

facilitate answering questions

� Uniform definition� An index should maintain continuity and there should

not be a change in the way an index is constructed

Page 6: 6 Stock Market Index

Factors affecting the construction of stock market index

� Economical� Computational costs are low but one should keep in

mind economies in gathering and updating data

� Timeliness� A price indicator should reflect all changes in the

underlying prices immediately

� Descriptive title� A price indicator should bear a title that suggests

what it represents unambiguously

Page 7: 6 Stock Market Index

Example---

856590,000C

802520,000B

453060,000A

Current price

Base PriceQuantityStocks

Page 8: 6 Stock Market Index

Calculations

� Equally weighted series---

� 1/3 (45/30 + 80/ 25 + 85 / 65) = 2.0033� Price weighted series---

� (45 + 80 + 85)/ )(30 + 25 + 65) = 1.75� Market value weighted series---

� (60 000*45 + 20 000*80 + 90 000* 85) / (60 000*30 + 20 000*25 + 90 000* 65) = 1.46

Page 9: 6 Stock Market Index

Popular Stock Market Indexes in India

Value1001983-84100BSE National

Un-weighted1001981-82338RBI Index

Value1001979-80100Financial Exp

Equal weighted

1001984-8572Economic times

-do-100Nov 3, 1995

50CNX Nifty

Value weighted

1001978-7930BSE sensex

Weighting type

Base Value

Base Year

Sample size

Index

Page 10: 6 Stock Market Index

Popular Stock Market Indexes Abroad

Value --1800Tokyo

Value--5575NASDAQ

Value5019652818NYSE

Value101941-42500S & P Composite

Price 100193830DJIJ

Weighting type

Base Value

Base Year

Sample size

Index

Page 11: 6 Stock Market Index

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

� (DJIA)

� In 1884, Charles Dow started publishing the daily average of eleven stocks in WSJ

� In 1928 the sample size increased to 30 and it remains there today.

� The companies that Mr. Dow selected were not representative sample of that time

� DJIA may be a misnomer because small, medium and new companies do not figure in it

Page 12: 6 Stock Market Index

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

� Stock dividend and stock split have a predictable impact on the prices of equity shares but do not change the total market value of all shares outstanding

� In 1928 the original 30 stocks prices were simply summed up and total was divided by 30 to obtain DJIA value

Page 13: 6 Stock Market Index

Maintaining a Price Index

� Three common problems that require revisions are:

� Adjustment for stock dividends and stock splits

� Changing the number of stocks in the sample� Making substitutions to replace securities that

become unsatisfactory

� Stocks are added or deleted when they are listed or delisted, mergers, liquidations etc.

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