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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader Qatar Sunday, 26 July 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target CBQK 54.90 54.00 GISS 73.20 72.00 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 11,944.62 0.3 1.7 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 12,000 12,150 12,200 Support 11,900 11,800 11,700 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The Index gained some marginal grounds with low volumes last Thursday. Low traded volumes are expected to stay below average and the Index could dip further. The MACD indicator, on both time frames, is below its zero line, and that is a sign of expected weakness. Expected Resistance Level: 12,000 Expected Support Level: 11,900 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 23 Jul 22 Jul %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 175.4 126.7 38.4 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 633.9 631.4 0.4 Volume (mn) 3.6 2.7 34.1 Number of Trans. 3,297 2,234 47.6 Companies Traded 40 39 2.6 Market Breadth 25:11 9:25 QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 18,566.20 0.3 47.0 All Share Index 3,200.00 0.4 47.9 Banks 3,138.36 0.5 46.6 Industrials 3,804.24 0.3 39.9 Transportation 2,465.49 0.7 54.7 Real Estate 2,761.56 0.4 53.4 Insurance 4,880.39 -0.5 62.9 Telecoms 1,137.92 -0.6 36.2 Consumer 7,518.79 0.8 66.5 Al Rayan Islamic 4,678.00 0.6 53.7 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI MERS 273.10 4.6 73.4 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI GISS 73.20 -1.3 25.7 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

26 July Daily technical trader

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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6

Daily Technical Trader – Qatar

Sunday, 26 July 2015

Stocks Covered Today

Ticker Price 1st

Target

CBQK 54.90 54.00

GISS 73.20 72.00

QSE Index

Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)

Last 11,944.62 0.3 1.7

Resistance/Support

Levels 1st

2nd

3rd

Resistance 12,000 12,150 12,200

Support 11,900 11,800 11,700

QSE Index Commentary

Overview: The Index gained some marginal grounds with low volumes last Thursday. Low traded volumes are expected to stay below average and the Index could dip further. The MACD indicator, on both time frames, is below its zero line, and that is a sign of expected weakness. Expected Resistance Level: 12,000 Expected Support Level: 11,900

QSE Index (Daily)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

QE Summary

Market Indicators 23 Jul 22 Jul %Ch.

Value Traded (QR mn) 175.4 126.7 38.4

Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 633.9 631.4 0.4

Volume (mn) 3.6 2.7 34.1

Number of Trans. 3,297 2,234 47.6

Companies Traded 40 39 2.6

Market Breadth 25:11 9:25 –

QE Indices

Market Indices Close 1D% RSI

Total Return 18,566.20 0.3 47.0

All Share Index 3,200.00 0.4 47.9

Banks 3,138.36 0.5 46.6

Industrials 3,804.24 0.3 39.9

Transportation 2,465.49 0.7 54.7

Real Estate 2,761.56 0.4 53.4

Insurance 4,880.39 -0.5 62.9

Telecoms 1,137.92 -0.6 36.2

Consumer 7,518.79 0.8 66.5

Al Rayan Islamic 4,678.00 0.6 53.7

RSI 14 (Over Bought)

Ticker Close 1D% RSI

MERS 273.10 4.6 73.4

RSI 14 (Over Sold)

Ticker Close 1D% RSI

GISS 73.20 -1.3 25.7

QSE Index (30min)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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CBQK

Price % Ch. Volume

Last 54.90 -0.36 271,583

Resistance/Support

Levels (QR) 1st

2nd

3rd

Resistance 55.50 56.50 56.80

Support 54.80 54.00 53.60

Commentary

Overview: The price tried to break above the 100SMA resistance level but retreated below, proving the strength of selling forces there. The MACD is turning down on the daily and it is already below the zero on the hourly. Unless the name breaks above QR55.50, weakness might continue further. Expected Price Retreat: QR54.00 – QR53.60 A price breach below QR54.80 triggers the sell recommendation.

(Daily)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

(Hourly)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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GISS

Price % Ch. Volume

Last 73.20 -1.35 285,454

Resistance/Support

Levels (QR) 1st

2nd

3rd

Resistance 74.00 76.00 78.00

Support 73.00 72.00 70.00

Commentary

Overview: GISS is in a downtrend on both time frames. As a result, weakness is expected to continue further, most likely. From a pure technical perspective, use bounces to reduce. Expected Price Retreat: QR72.00 – QR70.00 A price breach below QR73.00 triggers the sell recommendation.

(Daily)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

(Hourly)

Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels

Ticker Close 3rd

2nd

1st

Pivot 1st

2nd

3rd

50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA

QSE Index 11,944.62 11,841.53 11,882.27 11,907.45 11,948.20 11,988.94 12,014.12 12,054.87 12,097.34 12,013.94 12,366.92

Total Return 18,566.20 18,405.96 18,469.30 18,508.42 18,571.76 18,635.10 18,674.22 18,737.56 18,800.91 18,629.90 18,816.74

All Share 3,200.00 3,171.38 3,181.85 3,188.32 3,198.79 3,209.26 3,215.73 3,226.20 3,232.49 3,206.58 3,227.86

Al Rayan Islamic 4,678.00 4,608.53 4,632.21 4,646.84 4,670.53 4,694.21 4,708.84 4,732.53 4,668.72 4,548.43 4,430.44

Banks & Financials Services

MARK 45.60 44.80 45.12 45.33 45.65 45.97 46.18 46.50 45.86 46.65 47.27

CBQK 54.90 54.63 54.79 54.88 55.03 55.19 55.28 55.43 55.24 56.81 60.16

DHBK 53.60 53.33 53.45 53.52 53.63 53.75 53.82 53.93 53.70 53.16 55.37

QIBK 108.00 105.93 106.81 107.35 108.23 109.11 109.65 110.53 106.65 103.83 104.95

QIIK 78.90 78.77 78.80 78.83 78.87 78.90 78.93 78.97 79.57 80.19 81.79

Insurance

QATI 101.00 99.67 100.05 100.28 100.67 101.05 101.28 101.67 96.94 87.70 83.50

Consumer Goods & Services

MCGS 188.00 188.00 188.00 188.00 188.00 188.00 188.00 188.00 181.13 167.90 147.25

Industrials

IQCD 133.70 131.63 132.63 133.24 134.23 135.23 135.84 136.83 138.28 140.22 156.32

QEWS 224.90 219.77 221.26 222.18 223.67 225.16 226.08 227.57 219.91 207.64 198.42

GISS 73.20 72.27 72.73 73.01 73.47 73.93 74.21 74.67 79.14 84.45 95.02

QIGD 52.50 50.43 51.04 51.42 52.03 52.64 53.02 53.63 53.07 48.29 46.10

Real Estate

BRES 50.90 50.37 50.56 50.68 50.87 51.06 51.18 51.37 51.41 49.66 47.28

UDCD 25.10 24.70 24.81 24.89 25.00 25.11 25.19 25.30 23.97 23.15 24.16

ERES 18.09 17.82 17.92 17.98 18.08 18.18 18.24 18.34 18.27 17.23 17.06

MRDS 18.62 18.15 18.30 18.39 18.54 18.69 18.78 18.93 18.82 18.48 19.22

Telecommunication

ORDS 82.70 81.50 82.19 82.61 83.30 83.99 84.41 85.10 89.43 96.26 107.50

VFQS 16.40 16.11 16.21 16.27 16.38 16.48 16.54 16.65 16.71 17.11 17.33

Transportation

QGTS 22.30 22.09 22.18 22.23 22.31 22.40 22.45 22.53 22.36 22.65 23.14

QNNS 98.10 96.70 97.16 97.44 97.90 98.36 98.64 99.10 97.87 99.59 99.19 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:

Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening

and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is

lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they

compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.

Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.

Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the

security price to head lower.

SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus

considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative

price direction and potential support/resistance levels.

Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in

a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally

use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be

considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.

Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &

shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.

Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These

levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.

Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot

Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:

Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC

Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666

Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025

[email protected] [email protected] Doha, Qatar

Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.