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Results of an Opinion Poll among Palestinian YouthResults of an Opinion Poll among Palestinian Youth
(TABLES)
Publication Date: 1 February 2012
Fieldwork: 15-17 January 2012
Sample Size: 1200 Palestinian Youth in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 3 %
Arab World for Research & Development
Ramallah Gaza, Palestine
Tele-fax: 00970-2-2950957/8
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.awrad.org
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1. View of the future West Bank Gaza Strip Total
1- In general, would you say that things in Palestine are heading the right direction, or are they heading in
the wrong direction?
Right direction 41.7% 36.4% 39.7%Wrong direction 49.6% 61.3% 54.0%
Don't know 8.8% 2.3% 6.3%
2- In general are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
Optimistic 53.1% 60.8% 56.0%
Pessimistic 43.4% 38.2% 41.4%
Don't know 3.5% 1.0% 2.5%
2. Activism & Participation West Bank Gaza Strip Total
3- Do you believe that young people have the opportunity to express their views in public affairs?
Yes 56.2% 51.0% 54.2%
No 40.8% 48.8% 43.8%
Don't know 3.0% 0.2% 2.0%
4- Do you believe that the needs of young people are integrated in public policies/decisions?
Yes 32.5% 36.3% 34.0%
No 61.9% 62.9% 62.3%
Don't know 5.6% 0.8% 3.7%
5- Are you active in the following fields?
Social/community work Very active 11.0% 20.7% 14.7%
Somewhat active 30.2% 38.9% 33.5%
Rarely active 31.1% 20.1% 26.9%
Not active at all 27.8% 20.4% 25.0%
Very active 11.0% 20.7% 14.7%
Politics Very active 4.2% 8.8% 5.9%
Somewhat active 15.6% 20.7% 17.5%
Rarely active 36.9% 28.9% 33.9%
Not active at all 43.3% 41.6% 42.6%
Voluntary work Very active 8.1% 18.9% 12.2%
Somewhat active 31.0% 37.8% 33.5%
Rarely active 31.5% 18.1% 26.4%
Not active at all 29.5% 25.3% 27.9%
A member of a party Very active 3.9% 10.5% 6.4%
Somewhat active15.2% 19.7% 16.9%
Rarely active 35.3% 24.9% 31.4%
Not active at all 45.6% 44.8% 45.3%
A member of a youth group Very active 5.8% 11.9% 8.1%
Somewhat active 18.2% 16.8% 17.7%
Rarely active 33.6% 23.7% 29.8%
Not active at all 42.4% 47.6% 44.4%
6- When was the last time you volunteered for public service?
I don't volunteer 49.8% 43.8% 47.5%
During the last month 10.3% 22.6% 15.0%
During the last six months 9.6% 12.0% 10.5%
Between 6 months to a year ago 9.4% 9.7% 9.5%Over a year ago 17.6% 11.3% 15.2%
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Don't know 3.3% 0.6% 2.3%
West Bank Gaza Strip Total
7- Have you ever participated in an Internet social group to lobby for improvement of a public issue?
Yes 28.7% 37.2% 31.9%
No 71.3% 62.8% 68.1%
8- Have you ever participated in a public protest/support activity (demonstration, sit-in, etc.)?
Yes 40.7% 56.7% 46.8%
No 58.4% 43.3% 52.7%
Don't know 0.9% 0.6%
9- If yes, did you participate in a demonstration during 2011?
Yes 63.8% 67.6% 65.5%
No 35.9% 32.0% 34.1%
Don't know 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
10- Were you active in the youth movement to end the division that culminated in the March 15 marches and
continued after that?Yes 15.8% 27.4% 20.3%
No 83.5% 71.6% 78.9%
Don't know 0.6% 1.0% 0.8%
11- Would you participate in a public demonstration if asked to by the leadership of the Palestinian
Authority?
Yes 22.4% 37.0% 28.0%
Depend on the case 50.4% 30.7% 42.9%
No 26.2% 32.2% 28.5%
Don't know 1.0% 0.6%
12- Would you participate in demonstrations against occupation?
Yes 63.6% 85.9% 72.0%No 30.4% 13.6% 24.0%
Don't know 6.1% 0.5% 4.0%
13- If a new uprising (Intifada) erupted, would you think that you would be actively involved?
Yes, very active 21.2% 36.1% 26.8%
Somewhat active 30.8% 29.1% 30.1%
Rarely active 11.3% 14.7% 12.6%
Not active 26.7% 18.1% 23.4%
Don't know 10.0% 2.2% 7.0%
14- Would you participate in demonstrations against a political faction?
Yes 20.3% 31.4% 24.5%
No 73.2% 68.0% 71.2%Don't know 6.6% 0.6% 4.3%
15- Would you participate in demonstrations against the government in the West Bank?
Yes 20.3% 15.3% 18.4%
No 72.8% 84.1% 77.1%
Don't know 6.9% 0.6% 4.5%
16- Would you participate in demonstrations against the government in Gaza?
Yes 16.3% 28.6% 21.0%
No 75.9% 70.6% 73.9%
Don't know 7.8% 0.8% 5.2%
17- Do you have confidence in the abilities of young people to lead the country in the coming future?
Very confident 40.1% 47.2% 42.8%Somewhat confident 47.8% 38.9% 44.4%
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Not very confident 6.0% 4.3% 5.3%
Not confident 4.6% 9.2% 6.4%
Don't know 1.5% 0.4% 1.1%
18- Do you believe that you can personally have an impact on public life?
Yes 35.4% 41.5% 37.7%
No 56.6% 57.1% 56.8%Don't know 8.0% 1.4% 5.5%
3. Needs & Priorities West Bank Gaza Strip Total
19- To you personally, how important are the following issues in your life?
Covering the expenses of my education Very important 55.9% 73.8% 62.7%
Important 16.5% 12.8% 15.1%
Moderately important 7.3% 6.5% 7.0%
Not important 12.4% 4.4% 9.3%
Not at all important 7.9% 2.6% 5.9%
Finding a job Very important 65.7% 81.8% 71.8%Important 16.2% 7.7% 13.0%
Moderately important 6.4% 5.1% 5.9%
Not important 7.2% 4.0% 6.0%
Not at all important 4.4% 1.4% 3.3%
My personal freedoms Very important 75.0% 77.7% 76.0%
Important 20.4% 19.0% 19.9%
Moderately important 4.5% 3.3% 4.1%
Not important 0.1% 0.1%
The expenses of marriage including housing Very important 42.2% 57.4% 48.0%
Important 23.9% 15.5% 20.7%
Moderately important 14.5% 12.1% 13.6%Not important 12.2% 9.6% 11.2%
Not at all important 7.2% 5.4% 6.5%
Corruption in public life Very important 75.8% 80.8% 77.7%
Important 18.7% 15.7% 17.5%
Moderately important 4.0% 2.2% 3.3%
Not important 1.5% 0.8% 1.2%
Not at all important 0.4% 0.2%
Occupation Very important 66.3% 70.1% 67.8%
Important 22.0% 17.7% 20.4%
Moderately important 7.9% 8.1% 8.0%
Not important 2.6% 1.2% 2.1%
Not at all important 0.9% 2.6% 1.5%
Don't know 0.4% 0.2% 0.3%
Unstable social/psychological situation Very important 56.5% 66.8% 60.4%
Important 27.8% 21.1% 25.2%
Moderately important 10.8% 7.1% 9.4%
Not important 3.9% 3.8% 3.9%
Not at all important 0.6% 0.8% 0.7%
Don't know 0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
The consequences of the Wall Very important 57.4% 45.9% 53.1%
Important 25.3% 19.5% 23.1%
Moderately important 11.1% 17.6% 13.6%
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Not important 4.9% 9.4% 6.6%
Not at all important 0.7% 7.6% 3.4%
Don't know 0.6% 0.4%
Dealing with boredom as there is nothing fun
to do
Very important 52.4% 58.9% 54.8%
Important 25.9% 18.1% 23.0%
Moderately important 14.6% 12.1% 13.6%Not important 5.4% 8.4% 6.6%
Not at all important 1.5% 2.6% 1.9%
Don't know 0.2% 0.1%
20- To you personally, which of the following issues is causing the most concern in your life? Please
rank from 1 (being most concerning) to 8 (being least concerning)
Finding a job 30.2% 43.2% 35.2%
Covering the expenses of my education 17.4% 25.9% 20.6%
Corruption in public life 14.8% 9.8% 12.9%
My personal freedoms 12.8% 8.3% 11.1%
The expenses of marriage including housing 6.6% 7.0% 6.8%Occupation 7.1% 3.6% 5.8%
Unstable social/psychological situation 4.8% 2.0% 3.7%
Dealing with boredom as there is nothing fun to do 4.0% 0.2% 2.6%
The consequences of the Wall 2.2% 0.2% 1.5%
4. Arab Spring West Bank Gaza Strip Total
21- Do you believe that the changes taking place elsewhere in the Arab world are positively or negatively
affecting the Palestinian situation?
Positively 35.6% 54.7% 42.9%
negatively 30.7% 24.4% 28.3%No effect 31.9% 19.5% 27.2%
Don't know1.8% 1.4% 1.6%
22- Do you believe that a revolution similar to that in Tunisia and Egypt might take place against the
government in the:
West Bank? Yes 33.6% 27.8% 31.4%
No 62.0% 70.8% 65.3%
Don't know 4.5% 1.4% 3.3%
Gaza strip? Yes 31.7% 35.6% 33.2%
No 62.0% 63.5% 62.6%
Don't know 6.3% 0.9% 4.3%23- Do you support or oppose that similar change take place in the:
West Bank? Support 26.8% 31.1% 28.4%
Oppose 69.0% 68.0% 68.6%
Don't know 4.2% 0.9% 3.0%
Gaza strip? Support 23.0% 37.3% 28.5%
Oppose 70.2% 61.9% 67.0%
Don't know 6.8% 0.7% 4.5%
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5. Palestinian Division and Reconciliation West Bank Gaza Strip Total
30- Who do you blame more for the Palestinian division?
Fatah 15.1% 11.8% 13.8%
Hamas 17.0% 23.7% 19.6%Both equally 56.4% 61.8% 58.5%
Neither 8.2% 2.5% 6.0%
Don't know 3.3% 0.2% 2.1%
31- Do you believe that Fatah is serious about ending the division?
Yes 42.6% 50.7% 45.7%
No 44.0% 44.3% 44.1%
Don't know 13.4% 5.0% 10.2%
32- Do you believe that Hamas is serious about ending the division?
Yes 36.7% 35.8% 36.4%
No 48.8% 59.3% 52.8%
Don't know 14.5% 4.9% 10.8%33- Are you optimistic or pessimistic that the parties will reach a genuine reconciliation/unity agreement that
will be implemented on the ground?
Optimistic 46.4% 61.3% 52.1%
Pessimistic 46.6% 36.6% 42.8%
Dont know 7.1% 2.2% 5.2%
34- Do you believe that new elections will resolve the issue of division?
Yes 47.5% 56.0% 50.8%
No 42.1% 40.5% 41.5%
Don't know 10.4% 3.5% 7.7%
6. Evaluation of Leaders West Bank Gaza Strip Total
35- How do you evaluate the performance of the following leaders?
President Abbas Positive 39.1% 39.6% 39.3%
Fair 32.0% 27.4% 30.3%
Negative 26.9% 32.6% 29.1%
Don't know 1.9% 0.4% 1.4%
Salam Fayyad Positive 33.9% 36.9% 35.0%
Fair 31.8% 27.3% 30.1%
Negative 31.3% 34.6% 32.6%Don't know 3.0% 1.2% 2.3%
Ismail Haniyeh Positive 31.8% 36.2% 33.5%
Fair 27.2% 31.7% 28.9%
Negative 34.3% 31.9% 33.4%
Don't know 6.7% 0.2% 4.2%
36- If you had to choose the next prime minister, who would you chose?
Salam Fayyad 32.1% 31.2% 31.8%
Ismail Haniyeh 19.5% 25.7% 21.9%
Mustafa Bargouthi 14.4% 18.8% 16.1%
Munib Masri 2.8% 2.6% 2.7%Hanan Ashrawi 2.8% 1.2% 2.2%
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Nabil Shaath 0.8% 2.2% 1.4%
Jamal Al Khudari 0.6% 1.2% 0.8%
Mohammad Mustafa 0.2% 0.1%
Other 8.3% 9.5% 8.8%
Dont know 18.7% 7.4% 14.4%
7. Elections West Bank Gaza Strip Total
37- Are you registered for the next election?
Yes 63.2% 57.1% 60.9%
No 34.9% 42.0% 37.6%
Don't know 1.9% 0.9% 1.5%
38- If no, do you plan to register?
Yes 69.0% 85.8% 76.1%
No 23.3% 12.1% 18.6%
Don't know 7.7% 2.1% 5.3%
39- If PLC elections were held today and the following parties ran, for which one would you vote?Fateh 37.9% 43.1% 39.9%
Hamas 19.6% 20.8% 20.1%
Al Mubadara (Palestinian National Initiative) 5.9% 5.7% 5.8%
PFLP 3.4% 5.0% 4.0%
Independent party led by Fayyad 3.8% 2.4% 3.3%
DFLP 2.0% 1.1% 1.7%
Islamic Jihad 0.4% 2.6% 1.3%
PPP 0.8% 0.7% 0.8%
Feda 0.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Hizb Tahreer 0.4% 0.2%
Popular Struggle 0.2% 0.1%Another list 1.1% 1.3% 1.2%
None of the above (will decide who I will vote for later) 14.0% 7.1% 11.4%
I will not vote10.9% 9.0% 10.2%
West Bank Gaza Strip Total
40- If the election for PA President were held today, for which of the following candidates would you vote?
Mahmoud. Abbas 25.2% 21.7% 23.9%
Ismail Haniyeh 15.3% 17.0% 15.9%
Salam Fayyad 9.8% 10.3% 10.0%
Marwan Barghouthi 9.7% 9.8% 9.7%
Mustafa Barghouthi 8.8% 10.2% 9.3%
Ahmad Saadat 2.9% 3.9% 3.3%
Khaled Meshaal 2.8% 3.8% 3.2%
Mohammad Dahlan 0.4% 6.7% 2.8%
Hanan Ashrwawi 1.4% 1.0% 1.3%
Mahmoud al Zahar 1.5% 0.8% 1.2%
Ramadan Shallah 0.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Nasser Elddin alshaer 1.1% 0.3% 0.8%
Mahmoud Aloul 0.7% 0.5%
Ahmad Qurie 0.4% 0.2% 0.3%
Zahira Kamal 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
No one from mentioned above, I will decide later 17.2% 6.7% 13.2%
I will not vote 2.6% 5.6% 3.7%
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41- In terms of your political support, do you feel that you are closer to:
Fatah 40.9% 46.4% 43.0%
Hamas 20.7% 22.4% 21.4%
Other Islamic groups such as Islamic Jihad, Hizb Tahrir and 2.4% 3.0% 2.7%
The leftist groups such as PFLP, PP, Fida, DFLP 6.6% 7.5% 7.0%
I am politically independent 10.7% 8.7% 9.9%I am not interested in any political affiliation 15.3% 10.2% 13.4%
Don't know 3.4% 1.8% 2.8%
42- Do you believe that there is a need for a new political party that is neither Hamas nor Fateh?
Yes 33.2% 42.1% 36.6%
Somewhat 30.1% 20.5% 26.4%
No 30.2% 34.7% 31.9%
Don't know 6.5% 2.8% 5.1%
8. Lifestyles West Bank Gaza Strip Total
43- How frequently to use the internet?On a daily basis 36.5% 48.1% 41.0%
More than once a week (but not every day) 23.9% 19.6% 22.3%
Once a week 14.6% 13.1% 14.0%
I don't use it 24.9% 19.1% 22.7%
44- How frequently to use the Facebook?
On a daily basis 34.9% 48.7% 40.2%
More than once a week (but not every day) 23.9% 23.1% 23.6%
Once a week 12.2% 6.2% 9.9%
I don't use it 28.9% 22.1% 26.3%
45- Which news TV station do you watch the most?
Palestine TV 24.5% 18.6% 22.2%Al Jazeera 46.7% 41.7% 44.8%
Al Arabiya 10.5% 18.2% 13.5%
Al Aqsa 7.6% 12.5% 9.5%
Al Manar 4.9% 1.9% 3.8%
Abu Dhabi 2.3% 1.2% 1.9%
Israeli TV 1.1% 1.2% 1.2%
Other 2.3% 4.7% 3.2%
46- Female respondents only: what is the nature of your dress?
Modern dress (no hijab/jilbab) 13.1% 3.0% 9.4%
Hijab (hair cover) but with no jilbab (long dress) 43.0% 25.1% 36.4%
Hijab and jilbab 43.6% 62.1% 50.5%
Full niqab 0.2% 9.8% 3.8%
47- Male respondents only: do you grow a beard for religious reasons?
Yes 13.1% 29.1% 19.2%
No 86.9% 70.9% 80.8%
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Region % Type of locality % What do you do at the present time? %
West Bank 61.9 City 43.8 University student 36.1
Gaza 38.1 Village- town 34.1 Study and work at the same time9.1%
Governorate % Camp 22.1 I work full time20.2
Jenin 6.0 Gender % I am unemployed looking for work 21.9%
Tulkarm 3.8 Male 51.8 Other 12.7
Qalqilya 6.0 Female 48.2 If you work, which of the following is your
employer? %
Nablus 6.0 Refugee Status % Government/public sector 26.8
Salfit 3.8 Refugee 45.3 Private sector/own business 56.5Tubas 2.4 Non-refugee 54.7 NGOs
9.0
Ramallah 9.4 Education % International institutions including
UNRWA6.2
Jerusalem 1.2 still student 34.8 Employed in more than one sector 1.5
Jericho 1.2 9 years or less 34.8 Do you live:
Bethlehem 8.3 finish (9-12
years)
30.5 With family93.9
Hebron 10.0 BA/ Diploma 17.4 With other young people2.4
Jabalya 1.1 By yourself 3.7
Gaza City 4.1 Income (selfevaluation)
% Are you ? %
Deir al-Balah 14.6 Good or More 20.5 Single 62.1
Khan Younis 6.4 average 60.3 Engaged/in a committed relation 8.4%
Rafah 12.9 Weak 19.1 Married28.8
Other (divorced, widowed) 0.8
(Sample Distribution)
Publication Date: 1 February 2012
Field work: 15-17 January 2012
Sample Size: 1200 Palestinian Youth in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 3%