Table of Contents
• Factors Affecting IPv4 Pricing• Reduced Supply• Long Term IPv4 Price View• IPv4 Price Trends to Date• RIPE Transfer Activity• Predictions for the Future
2
Factors Affecting Pricing
• RIPE Inter-RIR Transfers: Possible since September 2015;Prices have equalized across regions
• IPv6 Deployment: Will reduce demand for IPv4 in the longterm; Applications still need to support IPv6
• Use of CGN: Stretches use of IPv4 and reduces price pressure• Supply of IPv4: As more IPv4 comes to market, such as /8s,
prices are pushed down• Demand for IPv4: Increased demand for cloud applications;
population growth
3
Factors Affecting Pricing
• Supplies are being bought up in ARIN region, following run out in July 2015
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
IP T
RA
NSF
ERS
# OF IP TRANSFERS PER YEAR IN ARIN REGION
4
IPv4 Life Cycle
• Events– ARIN Runout– RIPE Inter-RIR Transfers– /8s come to market– IPv6 Adoption 5
Price Trends over Time
Inflection point in Sept 2015 – prices increased for /16 and larger blocks
6
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
Pri
ce P
er IP
IPv4 Transactions Over Time - /16 Blocks
2011 Sept 2015
RIPE Transfer Activity
7
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
/24 /23 /22 /21 /20 /19 /18 /17 /16 /15 /14
# O
F IP
S TR
AN
SFER
RED
BLOCK SIZE
# OF IPS TRANSFERRED PER BLOCK SIZE
0100200300400500600700800900
10001100
/24 /23 /22 /21 /20 /19 /18 /17 /16 /15 /14
# O
F TR
AN
SFER
S
BLOCK SIZE
# OF TRANSFERS PER BLOCK SIZE
RIPE Transfer Activity
8
-
400,000
800,000
1,200,000
1,600,000
2,000,000
# O
F IP
S TR
AN
SFER
RED
MONTH-YEAR
# OF IP TRANSFERS PER MONTH-YEARTO COUNTRY # IPS TRANSFERRED %
Iran 3,115,520 17.56%
Saudi Arabia 2,708,480 15.27%
Russia 2,176,000 12.26%
UK 1,554,944 8.76%
Spain 1,024,768 5.78%
Romania 908,544 5.12%
Netherlands 843,776 4.76%
Germany 797,440 4.49%
Italy 530,688 2.99%
Portugal 409,088 2.31%
Bulgaria 402,944 2.27%
Turkey 342,528 1.93%
France 290,816 1.64%
Denmark 272,384 1.54%
Ukraine 239,616 1.35%
Czech Republic 195,840 1.10%
Switzerland 180,736 1.02%