Whatisavailablesupportingdecisionmaking?

UKCIP20th AnniversaryEventMonday20th November2017

RogerBStreet– SeniorResearchFellow

Proliferationofdecision-supportdirectedatsupportingadaptationplanningandaction• Sourceorfocushasorisbeginningtoevolve

• Withthistransitioncomemanychallengesrelatedtowhetherthesupportbeingofferedisandcontinuestobefit-for-purposeandwhatinnovationsareneeded

Science-driven

Science-driven

Science-informed

User-informed

Decision-driven

Climateserviceschallenges

Isthereamarketforandthesciencetosupporttheprovisionofclimateserviceproductsthatcaninformtheevolvingdecisionframingsanddecisions?• Areclimateserviceproductssupportingimpactsandrisk

assessmentsthesameasthoserequiredtosupportadaptationassessments,implementation,andmonitoringandevaluation?

• ArethereclimateservicestosupportclimateactionsasseenwithintheParisAgreementglobaladaptationgoal?

• Areclimateserviceproductsavailabletosupportdisasterriskmanagement?Attributionservices?

ClimateserviceschallengesDoesapathwaydecision-makingapproachesrequiredifferenttypesofclimateservices?• Seriesofactionsthatcanbeintroducedtoaddresschangingcircumstances

andlessonslearnt– alternativepathwayslinkedtospecificthresholdswithflexibilitytochangepathways

Wise,etal.,GlobalEnvironmentalChange28(2014)

Decision-supporttoolsandplatformsAretheexistingtoolsfit-for-purpose?• Isthereaclearunderstandingoftheintendedpurpose?• Isthereaclearunderstandingandsufficientinformationon

theassumptionsandlimitations?• Demonstrationasbeingfit-for-purposeandforwhat

purposes?Why,whereandwhenfitandnotfit.• Arecasestudieshelpful– learningstudies?ProliferationoftoolsandplatformscanbeconfusingforthoseusingthemtosupportplanningandactionUsingdifferenttools/approachescanleadtodifferentresults

ECIAdaptation– enhancinginterdisciplinarySupportingintegratedclimateactions• ParisAgreementglobaladaptationgoal

– enhancingadaptivecapacity,strengtheningresilienceandreducingvulnerabilitytoclimatechange,withaviewtocontributingtosustainabledevelopmentandensuringanadequateadaptationresponseinthecontextofthetemperaturegoal

• Localauthorities,organisationsandnationalgovernmentsembracingthisintegratedapproach– adaptation,resilience,mitigationandsustainabledevelopment;takingactionthatdeliversbenefitsnowandintothefuture

Sustainable Development

Resilience measures

Adaptation Measures

Mitigation

FocusonSolutionSpace