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Page 1: Tree Diagrams & Bayes Theorem

TREE DIAGRAMS & BAYES THEOREMFarrokh Alemi Ph.D.

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Sequence

Tree Diagrams

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Tree DiagramsEventPresen

t

Absent

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Tree Diagrams

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Tree Diagrams

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Tree Diagrams

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Tree Diagrams

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Tree Diagrams

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Smallpox Inoculation

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Smallpox Inoculation

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Smallpox Inoculation

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Smallpox Inoculation

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Tree Diagrams

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Smallpox Inoculation

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Deduction from data

Bayes Theorem

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P( Cause| Effect) from P(Effect | Cause)

Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Bayes Theorem

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Tree Diagrams or Bayes Theorem Allow Us to Predict an Event from Its Consequences

Take Home Lesson

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Do One

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