Download pdf - TPS Air Report Jul 11

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Page 1: TPS Air Report Jul 11

US BENZENE/STYRENE

Spot benzene trended lower this week with July

trades heard Thursday at $1,510/mt (504

cents/gal) DDP USG. July closed at $1,507/mt DDP

USG down $24 from the previous week. August

maintained a $48 discount and was seen

$1,459/mt (488 cents/gal) DDP USG.

The price spread between the TPS FOB Korea

marker and US M2 DDP benzene was at $52/mt,

down $22 week on week.

The M1 5-day moving average was estimated at

$20.42 (6.83 cents) above Friday’s spot close at

$1,527.50/mt (510.83 cents/gal). The 20-day

moving average rose $13.87 above the spot close

on Friday, estimate at $1,520.84/mt (508.64

cents/gal) on a DDP basis.

The month-to-date average spot M1 spot price

stood at $1,535.04/mt (513.39 cents/gal) as of

close of business July 11. The monthly average for

June was $1,445.37/mt (483.40 cents/gal)on a DDP

basis.

Spot styrene values retreated, closing the week

assessed at $1,645/mt (74.60 cents/gal) FOB USG.

August was assessed at $1,640/mt (74.40

cents/gal) FOB USG after trades were heard done

at that level Thursday. The styrene-benzene spread

closed Friday at $137.75/mt.

Margins for styrene makers were negative this

week after being severely dented on a spike in the

benzene contract and a higher ethylene contract.

Margins were estimated at -$11.02/mt Friday.

US TOLUENE AND XYLENES

Spot MX values softened notably, closing Friday at

$1,203/mt FOB USG after July traded twice at that

level on Wednesday and Thursday. The week on

week change was a decline of near $51.50/mt

Sources said that there was unlikely to be a

settlement in the July MX contract.

Toluene prices gained ground week on week, up $9

to close Friday at $1,283/mt FOB USG.

Aromatics In Review

-$50.00

$0.00

$50.00

$100.00

$150.00

$200.00

$250.00

60.0062.0064.0066.0068.0070.0072.0074.0076.0078.00

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Styrene production costs Styrene spot value SM margins $/mt

$1,000.00

$1,050.00

$1,100.00

$1,150.00

$1,200.00

$1,250.00

$1,300.00

$1,000.00

$1,050.00

$1,100.00

$1,150.00

$1,200.00

$1,250.00

$1,300.00

$1,350.00

3-Mar-14 3-Apr-14 3-May-14 3-Jun-14 3-Jul-14

Spot Toluene Spot MX

July 11, 2014

-$50.00

$0.00

$50.00

$100.00

$150.00

$200.00

$600.00

$800.00

$1,000.00

$1,200.00

$1,400.00

$1,600.00

$1,800.00

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US BZ DDP M2 BZ FOB KOREA SPREAD

300.00

350.00

400.00

450.00

500.00

550.00

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SPOT BZ M1 DDP USG 5-DAY MOV AVE 20-DAY MOV AVE

Page 2: TPS Air Report Jul 11

Aromatics In Review

US BENZENE/STYRENE

IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

GLOBAL MAINTENANCE AND TURNAROUNDS

*The blend value for T/X employs a formula which divides the regrade by 6,

multiplies it by 17 and then adds it to the GC Unleaded cash price.

Toluene imports for the first half of July were

at just over 6,150 metric tons.

The toluene/xylene blend value was lower

week on week, down 24.8 cents to close

Friday at 354.77 cents/gal.

TDP margins fell sharply on the week as

benzene and mixed xylenes prices fell.

Margins were estimated Friday at

PX prices fell in concert with MX amid weak

demand and were estimated Friday at

$1,295/mt FOB USG. The PX-MX spread was

at $93/mt to close the week.

The gains were attributed to stronger regrade

values which closed at 22.2 5 on Thursday.

Finally styrene prices were firm on stronger

demand and tight supply. Both June and July

prices were talked near 72 cents/lb while

producer margins were estimated at almost

$139/mt.

FOB Korea spot benzene prices closed the

week higher, touching as high as $1,362/mt

before closing Friday at $1,352/mt, up $6

week on week.

CFR China benzene values maintained a $66

premium to FOB Korea prices, closing Friday

at $1,418.50/mt.

The month to date FOB Korea spot benzene

average was at $1,354.50. June’s FOB Korea

spot average was at $1,340.69/mt.

Spot styrene values on an FOB Korea and CFR

China basis closed the week at $1,615.50/mt

and $1,635.25/mt respectively, down $2 on

the week.

The spread between FOB Korea and CFR

China spot was at $19.75 Friday, down from

$20.50 the previous week.

Styrene spot averages were at $1,616.79/mt

FOB Korea and $1,636.43 CFR China at close

of business Friday.

The FOB Korea styrene-naphtha spread was

at $659.56.

Asian spot toluene prices closed the week

$7 lower, assessed Friday at $1,170/mt.

Spot mixed xylene prices moved higher, up

$16 week on week to close Friday at

$1,183.50/mt FOB Korea.

MX saw support from stronger PX prices,

which clawed back previous losses, gaining

$30 week on week to be assessed Friday at

$1,390/mt FOB Korea.

The month to date averages for MX and PX

on an FOB Korea basis were at $1,168.72

and $1,361.39/mt, respectively.

The PX-MX spread was at $206.50/mt on

Friday.

TDP margins for Asian producers rose $18

on the week, estimated Friday at $102/mt.

Shell Chemical faced an unplanned outage at its Deer Park, Texas reformer on July 4. Details were not immediately

available however the company declared force majeure on MX out of the facility. The company has an estimated capacity

of 200,000 mt/year at Deer Park.

Chevron restarted its catalytic reformer at Pascagoula on July 2. The reformer, which has an estimated benzene capacity of

601,000 mt/year, was shut for unplanned maintenance on June 23.

JX Nippon delayed the restart of its 550,000 metric ton PX unit at Kashima due to a technical glitch. The unit was shut on

May 10-11 for planned maintenance and originally slated to restart in early July.

Japan’s Idemitsu Kosan plans to restart its aromatics plant at Chiba in mid-September after the unit was shut on July 1 for

a planned turnaround. The company will shut its Tokuyama plant following the restart of the Chiba plant.

250.00270.00290.00310.00330.00350.00370.00390.00410.00

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Blend Value for Tol/Xyl

$0.00

$20.00

$40.00

$60.00

$80.00

$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

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US TDP Margins $/mt

1,000.00

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BZ CFR China BZ FOBK

1,480.00

1,500.00

1,520.00

1,540.00

1,560.00

1,580.00

1,600.00

1,620.00

1,640.00

1,660.00

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SM FOBK SM CFR C

Page 3: TPS Air Report Jul 11

EDITORS CONTACT INFORMATION

Kevin Allen [email protected] 713.344.3690 Yahoo: tpsusaros

ASIAN BENZENE/STYRENE

ASIAN TOLUENE AND XYLENES

TPS makes no guarantees to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this data and shall not be held liable for losses or damages incurred as a result of any party’s dependence

or usage of the data and information contained in the report. Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | [email protected]

$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

$160.00

$180.00

$200.00

$220.00

$240.00

$260.00

$600.00$700.00$800.00$900.00

$1,000.00$1,100.00$1,200.00$1,300.00$1,400.00$1,500.00$1,600.00

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I-MX FOBK PX FOBK Spread

$950.00

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Tol FOBK Tol CFR C