TIME IMPACT SHORT
TIME IMPACT
LONG
MULTI-CULTURAL & TRANS-NATIONAL
EQUITIES
SINGLE-CULTURE SINGLE-ORGANIZATION
EQUITIES
LEADERS DECIDE
PEOPLE DECIDE
TOP-DOWN COMMAND & CONTROL
SECRET SOURCES & METHODS
BOTTOM-UP INFORMATION-SHARING
OPEN SOURCES & METHODS
OBVIOUS DETAIL
OBSCURE DETAIL
OLD
NEW
Big Change #1
The New Intelligence Gap: the difference between what you can know and what you can use!
INFORMATION
TIME
Actionable Intelligence
Available Information
Open source information is more complex than secrets…
Big Change #2
New Craft of Intelligence
I
Lessons of History
II
Global Coverage
III
National Intelligence
IV
Spies & Secrecy
China, Islam, Ethnic, Etc.
Cost-Sharing with Others--Shared Early Warning
Narrowly focused!
Harness distributed intelligence of Nation
SECRET BIG DATA
• NSA-NGA
• SAIC
• HARRIS
• NG-MS
NOT SECRET BIG DATA
• UN, Red Cross, NGOs…
• NASA , public geospatial
• Factiva
• LEXIS-NEXIS
SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA
• Intelink
• ARDA
• ITIC
• JHU/APL
NOT SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA
• CISCO
• Google/Libraries
• Amazon Inside the Book
• Napster Plus
Open Source Information System – External (OSIS-X)
SIPRNET
Credits: Mike Hayden, Original Concept; Robert Steele, Labels & OSINT-Ops-Other; Steve Edwards, Turned Upside Down
Point of Entry Raw Produces Actionable Intelligence
Processed Raw
OPINTEL
Finished Intelligence
Policy Package
Public Perception
HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER
HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER
Dots need to be connecting at every level,Including immediately upon ingestion.
Today, one third of the dots connect here.(Collect 2/3rd, spill half—some say 80%)
Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form
Automated Extraction of Data Elements From
Text and Images
Standardizing and Converting Data Formats
Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data
Automated Foreign Language
Translation
Open Literature Non-Text Data Restricted Information
Detection of Alert Situations
Clustering and Linking of
Related Data
Statistical Analysis to Reveal
Anomalies
Detection of Changing Trends
Interactive Search and Retrieval of
Data
Graphic and Map-Based Visualization
of Data
Modeling and Simulations
Collaborative Work
Notetaking and Organizing Ideas
Structured Argument Analysis
Desktop Publishing and
Word Processing
Production of Graphics, Videos and
Online Briefings
Revision Tracking and Realtime Group
Review
NEW: Intelligent Network Enables Applications At All Points
OLD:
web browser application
web server
business logic
Many Oracle Servers
Many Other Servers
Many TeraText Servers
Many Domino Servers
• Largest software text system• Fuses information across 260
disparate database systems• Over 4 billion documents• Over 10,000 named users
Putting It All Together
INTELLIGENCE ARCHITECTURE:• incorporates open sources, on and off line• matches global real time knowledge to individual situations
NETWORK ARCHITECTURE:• processing in the bit stream• interoperation
SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE:• text-capable• scaled
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Seven Intelligence Tribes:The Way Ahead
Military
Law Enforcement
Business
Academic
National
NGO &Media
Religions& Clans