Download pptx - The good, the bad and the ugly: Climate change’s potential impact on farmers in Africa

The good, the bad and the ugly: Climate change’s

potential impact on farmers in Africa

Global Landscapes ForumWarsaw, Poland

16 November 2013

Sepo [email protected]

www.fanrpan.orgFood, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)

Scientific research has changed the

world Now it needs to

change itself

A SIMPLE idea underpins science:

“trust, but verify”

Only 14% of published papers

http://www.fanrpan.org/


Welcome to the Anthropocene!

50% increase (Btw 2000 and 2050)mostly in developing

countries

3.3 million deaths from

natural hazards in the 40 years

to 2010

Over 400,000 deaths from climate extremes since 2000 with 79% in developing countries



Crop yield changes

Zinyengere , Crespo and Hachigonta., 2013



Transforming Data into Information and Policy

• Uncertainties

• Evidence

• Modeling

• Limitations

• Uncertainty

• Interpretation

• Etc



Climate information at a local scale



Costing the Impacts of Climate Change



Livelihood Vulnerability



THE HVI AND THE LIVELIHOOD CAPITAL ASSETS



Household Vulnerability

Low vulnerability Moderate vulnerability High vulnerability



Multi-Disciplinary approach





Communicate climate science and impacts including

uncertainties



Research for Impact



Promote and support strategies for out-scaling proven technologies;

Develop practical research and innovation Integrate climate change into mainstream national

agricultural development policy and planning processes; Extension services (public and non-public) need

foundation training to acquire core proficiencies in CSA from management levels

Engage stakeholders when generating research evidence

Recommendations
