Vincent Ignacio Antonio
Yosef 'Tigger' NegussieWWD champion
TELL OF THE TAPE
Tigger is undefeated in arguments/debates. Vincent is the underdog. Tigger has the experience.
How the topic got brought up?
Based on University of Exeter's research, they found that scam victims and near-victims put more cognitive effort than non-victims.
Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that people who talk on the phone with scammers for over a minute are much more likely to fall for said scam.
What the argument is about?Ignacio's side
Vincent claims that 10% of Fresno/Clovis population will not pick up the phone. Of the 90% that do pick up the phone, 90% of those will hang up within one minute of talking to a scammer.
What the argument is about?Tigger's side
Yosef disagrees with that assessment on the assumption that there are more stupid people than that.
Yosef believes over 9% will continue talking to a scammer for over a minute.
Hypotheses
Ho: p = .09 Ha: p > .09 = .10
How I collected my sample data?
I used the current 2011-2012 Fresno/Clovis phonebook.
Chose 120 people randomly. Pretending to be a con artist, I called these
people and recorded the length of the conversation.
Template
Hello this is Ricky Johnson. Please listen closely, I only have a moment or so. I can only speak to a Mr. Roberts. Is this Mr. Roberts? Please listen closely Mr. Roberts. I'm calling from Club Clover and our computer has chosen you from all the many thousands. Now from federal law, the prize must be awarded to you even if you did not participate in any activities at Club Clover. The only stipulation is you must sign a few documents and make a deposit of $25. I’m only in the area tonight and perhaps tomorrow morning. When do you think would be a suitable time to come?
Results
10/120 did not answer their phones. 15/120 lasted more than a minute with a
scammer Out of 61 females, 6 lasted more than a
minute Out of 59 males, 9 lasted more than a minute
And the P-value is...
.089
Winner and STILL WWD championYosef 'Tigger' Negussie