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Page 1: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time

Alan E. GelfandDepartment of Statistical Science

Duke University(Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Page 2: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 3: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 4: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 5: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 6: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 7: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 8: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 9: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 10: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 11: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 12: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 13: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 14: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 15: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

And now to the applications!

Page 16: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 17: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Cape Floristic (Biogeographic) Region

90,000 km2

9000+ plant species

70% found nowhere else

1400+ threatened or

endangered species

Page 18: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Area: <500km2

Plant species: 2600+ total (160+ found nowhere else)

130+ threatened or endangered

39 extinctions over last 100 years

Cape of Good Hope Peninsula

Cape Floristic region

Page 19: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Fynbos

Page 20: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 21: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 22: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 23: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 24: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 25: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 26: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 27: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 28: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 29: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 30: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 31: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 32: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 33: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 34: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 35: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 36: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 37: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 38: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 39: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

Next!

Page 40: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 41: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 42: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 43: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 44: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 45: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 46: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 47: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 48: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 49: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 50: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 51: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 52: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 53: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 54: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)
Page 55: Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

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