7/31/2019 October v7
1/13
PURPLEPOLL
October 2012 Edition
WHY THE PURPLEPOLIn 2012, a dozen states will decide whether President
is elected to a second term. The PurplePoll focuses exclusivel
Purple Electorate - likely voters only in these swing states. U
regularly throughout the 2012 election cycle, the PurplePoll offers a
lens through which you can gather original insight into this critical e
The PurplePoll has built a reputation for accurate, unbia
cutting-edge polling and analysis. It has been cited on television, and online by sources that span the political spectrum, including: M
Fox News, ABC News, the Wall Street Journal, Talking Points Mem
Politico, the National Reviewand dozens of others. And we wil l con
bring you this analysis through the November election, and
Fielded 10/23-10/25, interviews were conducted using a
methodology of automated telephone interviews using landline
and online interviews of voters who predominantly or exclusiv
cell phones. Seventy-ve percent (75%) of the interviews were condu
phone, and 25% online with cell phone users. Total w
N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and V
been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error
For more infor
contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [doug.usher@purplestrategior Bruce Haynes [[email protected] ], at 703-54
To subscribe, e-mail us at poll@purplestrategie
PURPLEINSIG
ABOUT PURPLE STRATEGIESPurple is a fully integrated, bipartisan team that excels at merging red and blue perspectives to nd effective
strategic solutions. We look to build a consensus that will support a public affairs initiative, inuence a debate
or stimulate change. Our team includes experts in opinion research, strategic communications, grassroots,
government affairs, digital communications and creative.
Recognizing the need for a balanced, bipartisan approach to corporate communications and issue advocacy,
Alex Castellanos and Steve McMahon merged two well-established Republican and Democratic firms
National Media and Issue & Image to create Purple Strategies. By joining forces, Purple brings together
strategists and communication specialists from across the political spectrum, including veteran political
strategists Bruce Haynes, Mark Squier, Rob Collins and Jim Jordan.
The PurplePoll is fielded and analyzed by Purple Insights, the research division of Purple Strategies, the
bipartisan public affairs rm.
For more: www.purplestrategies.com
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A razor-thin race in Purple
States, with Obama holding a
slight advantage.
Much has happened since our last PurplePoll: all
three Presidential debates, the Vice Presidential
debate, and the September jobs report. The net
effect on the PurplePoll is consistent: the racehas tightened, with President Obama maintaining
a slight lead.
Across the 12 Purple States, President Obama
currently leads by 2 points, 47% to 45%. This
represents a net 3-point change in the lead in
Governor Romneys favor.
We see similar movement in the three individual
states we polled, with Obama maintaining smallleads in Ohio and Colorado, and the race knotted
up in Virginia.
PURPLEPOLL
October 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE
Ohio (Obama +2): Our result in Ohio shows a
small move in Governor Romneys directionover the last month. Today, President Obama
leads 46% to 44%, down from a 4-point lead in
September. President Obama has a strong lead
among early voters: 26% of Ohio voters say they
have already voted, and he leads by 26 points
among that group. Romney holds a 2-point lead
among independents in the state.
Colorado (Obama +1): The critical mountain state
has tightened as well. Today, President Obamaslead is down to 1 point, 47% to 46%, down from
a 3-point lead in September. He holds a 6-point
lead over Romney among early voters, and the
race is tied among independents.
Virginia (Even): Governor Romney has gained
ground in this state over the past month. Obama
led by 3 points in September, and the state is
now tied at 47%. Romney holds a 3-point lead
among independents.
Two opposite forces at work in Purple S
Romneys image has improved, while vopinion of the economy has ticked up.
Governor Romney has seen a substantial im
ment in perceptions around his personal imag
the past month. Today, 44% have a favorab
of him, with 49% unfavorable, an improv
from 38%/52% last time. Over the same p
President Obama has seen his personal ima
down slightly (today, 47% favorable, 48% unfav
compared to 49%/46% in September).
That improvement in Romneys image is d
related to his improvement in Purple State p
At the same time, it has been balanced by an
in opinions about the economy. In our lates
37% believe the economy is getting b
compared to 34% last month.
This small change can have an outsized i
on the vote. As we have noted in previousperception of the economy is the strongest atti
predictor of the vote. In our current polling,
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For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE
those who believe the economy is getting better
are voting for Obama, compared to just 5% of
those who believe it is getting worse.
Taken together, the impact is an improvement
for Governor Romney overall. However, buoyed
perceptions about the economy are protecting
President Obamas slim lead, and may be critical
in the final outcome.
A plurality of voters believe the economy will
do better under Romney, while Obama holds an
edge on national security.
Our poll asked Purple State voters whether
they believed the economy would do better
over the next 4 years under President Obama
or Governor Romney. Forty-four percent (44%)
of voters said it would do better under Romney,
39% said better under Obama, and 13% said it
doesnt matter (3% werent sure).
Among independents, Romneys edge on thisquestion increases to 13 points (45% to 32%).
His advantage is smaller in Ohio (+6) and Virginia
(+6) than in Purple States as a whole. In Colorado,
he holds the advantage by 9 points.
At the same time, President Obama hold s a lead
on security, reversing traditional party roles on
that issue. Overall, 46% believe that President
Obama will do a better job keeping us safe, while
43% said the same about Mitt Romney. Romney
holds a 1-point lead on that issue in Colorado, while
Obama is tied with Romney in Ohio (45%/45%) and
has a 1-point lead in Virginia on that measure.
Whos having fun? No surprise here: voters are
divided. And a third of voters would pay $100 to
stop the ads.
We asked voters which candidate is having
more fun on the campaign trail. Overall, 34%
believe that President Obama was having more
fun, while 27% feel that Governor Romney is
having more fun on the trail.
Interestingly, there is less partisan div
this question than nearly every other qu
we asked. Among Democrats, 47% believ
President Obama is having more fun, whil
choose Governor Romney. Among Repub
41% believe that their nominee is having
fun on the trail, while 22% pick Obama.
We also asked voters about the deluge of p
advertising did they feel it was a normal
the political process that cant be avoided, or
they be willing to pay $100 to block them out.
(34%) said they would be willing to pay the mo
just stop the advertising for the next two wee
Perhaps voters from both parties can agree
stop advertising, travel, rallies, and fundrai
exhausting for candidates and voters.
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PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877.
PURPLE TRACKIN
PURPLE
0
10
20
30
40
50
Feb. 11 Mar. 12 Apr. 12 July 12 Aug. 12 Sept. 12 Oct. 12
36%
37%
35% 35%
36%39%
42%
28%
44%
29%
40%
34%
40%
37%
Getting Better
Getting Worse
Same
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep.2011
Nov.2011
Dec.2011
Jan.2012
Feb.2012
Mar.2012
Apr.2012
Jun.2012
July2012
Aug.2012
Sep.2012
Oct.2012
53% 53%
41% 41% 41%
45% 44%46% 47%
50% 50% 50%48%
47%45%
50%
47%
47%49%
46%
49%
43%
51%52%
Disapprove
Approve
Not Sure
0
10
20
30
40
50
60 57% 56%
48%
54%52%
38%
49%
44%
47%45%
39%
27%
29%
38%
49%
39%
49%
41%
48%
45%
30%29%30%32%
Unfavorable
Favorable
Not Sure
Sep.
2011
Nov.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012
Feb.
2012
Mar.
2012
Apr.
2012
Jun.
2012
July
2012
Aug.
2012
Sep.
2012
Oct.
2012
Direction of Country Direction of Economy
Obama Job Approval Romney Favorability
71%69%
60%57%
20%22%
32%36%
57%
36%
53%
38%
52%
40%
Wrong Track
Right Direction
Not Sure
Nov. 11 Dec. 11 Feb. 12 Mar 12 June 12 Sep. 12 Oct. 120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
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PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877.
PURPLE TRACKIN
PURPLE
Sep.
2011
Nov.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012
Feb.
2012
Mar.
2012
Apr.
2012
Jun.
2012
July
2012
Aug.
2012
Oct.
2012
Sep.
2012
Mitt Romney
Barack Obama
Not Sure
46%
43% 43%44% 44%
45%44%
43%
46%45%
46% 45%45%
47% 47% 47%
46%
47% 47%
44%
49%48% 48% 48%
0
10
20
30
40
50
Obama vs. Romney
mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePoll7/31/2019 October v7
6/13
4052
8
4053
7
4153
7
4051
9
4055
5
4050
10
788
5
3758
6
7416
10
3953
8
4151
7
47
48
5
47
50
3
46
48
6
48
47
5
45
52
3
49
45
7
7
91
2
42
52
5
87
8
5
46
49
5
48
48
4
44
49
7
46
49
5
43
50
7
45
47
7
46
47
8
42
51
7
86
9
5
41
49
10
9
86
5
45
48
7
42
50
8
4549
6
20
80
1
4551
4
40
59
0
45
48
7
47
46
7
50
43
7
6
90
4
42
45
14
87
9
4
45
46
8
47
45
9
46
46
8
42
49
9
42
48
10
50
44
3
2
51
44
3
3
53
42
3
2
47
51
0
3
92
2
1
4
40
46
9
6
48
44
4
4
46
44
5
5
46
46
5
4
58
32
5
5
7
89
4
1
4549
6
26
74
1
4548
7
9
90
1
4254
4
20
78
1
4745
8
19
81
0
791
2
22
78
0
3854
8
16
84
0
849
7
21
77
1
4450
6
21
79
1
4549
6
18
81
0
Gender Party Education
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Unfavorable
Unfavorable
Wrong track
Disapprove
No, have not yet voted
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Favorable
Favorable
Right direction
Approve
Yes, already voted
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
%
Are things in this country generally going in theright direction or are they pretty seriously off onthe wrong track?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view ofBarack Obama?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Mitt Romney?
Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing as president?
Have you already voted, either through absentee
ballot or early voting?
IF VOTED EARLY: Who did you vote for?
IF HAVENT VOTED: If the 2012 election were heldtoday, for whom would you vote?
October 2012 Main Questionnaire By State
Male Female GOP Ind Dem Coll+Non-CollTotal
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
SUBSCRIBE TOPURPLEPOLL [email protected]
PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 MAIN QUES
[ ] PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 MAIN QUES
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37
40
20
3
47
451
7
47
461
5
46
441
8
47
470
7
43
471
9
50
431
6
6
901
4
41
451
12
88
70
4
45
461
7
48
441
7
39
42
18
1
38
40
21
1
37
38
23
3
36
40
20
4
8
72
19
2
35
41
22
1
66
12
19
3
34
44
18
4
41
36
22
2
38
41
20
2
46
43
12
39
44
13
3
39
48
11
2
39
45
14
2
38
44
15
3
37
47
13
2
41
42
13
4
6
87
5
2
32
45
20
3
76
7
13
3
41
46
9
4
37
43
18
3
34
27
39
33
28
40
34
29
37
39
24
37
36
30
34
33
24
43
22
41
37
33
25
42
47
17
36
35
25
40
34
29
37
55
34
11
51
39
10
52
38
10
58
31
11
55
34
11
54
34
11
66
24
10
46
43
11
54
35
11
58
28
14
50
42
8
45
46
9
45
45
10
45
44
11
43
45
12
48
40
11
7
85
8
43
42
16
84
7
9
45
43
12
47
42
11
Gender Party Education
Not sure
Doesnt matter
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Staying about the same
Not sure
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Would pay $100 to make them go away
Getting worse
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Just part of the process
Getting better
%
Do you think the economy is getting be tter,
getting worse or staying about the same?
Which candidate is more likely to keep th ecountry safe?
Do you think the economy will improve more if Obama
wins re-election, more if Romney wins the election,or do you think it doesnt matter which one wins?
Which candidate do you think is having more fun onthe campaign trail?
Which of the following comes closer to
your view about political ads?
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
October 2012 Main Questionnaire By State
Male Female GOP Ind Dem Coll+Non-CollTotal
92
6
1
91
7
2
93
6
1
96
3
1
90
8
1
93
5
2
95
4
1
87
11
2
95
4
2
93
5
1
91
8
1Dont Know
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Might change mind
Mitt Romney
Certain
Barack Obama
Are you certain to vote that way, or is it possible
that you will change your mind beforeElection Day?
TOTAL VOTE: Obama vs. Romney
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PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 MAIN QUES
F i f ti t t D U h Ph D [d h @ l t t i ] t 703 548 7877 PURPLE MAIN QUESTIONNAIRE
mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePoll7/31/2019 October v7
8/13
40
52
8
38
53
9
49
46
5
38
52
10
47
47
6
91
8
1
--
--
--
47
49
4
45
48
7
43
51
6
91
7
2
--
--
--
--
--
--
41
49
10
46
49
4
--
--
--
36
57
7
--
--
--
39
49
12
47
49
4
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
38
48
15
47
48
5
--
--
--
36
57
7
--
--
--
29
56
14
46
50
4
--
--
--
32
60
9
--
--
--
27
57
16
44
50
6
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
30
54
16
45
50
6
22
69
9
--
--
--
29
47
24
41
53
6
20
71
9
--
--
--
30
45
25
41
52
6
47
48
5
44
49
7
45
49
6
92
6
1
3740
20
3
3440
25
1
2944
25
2
2842
29
1
----
--
--
3635
26
1
3935
24
1
3637
26
1
----
--
--
----
--
--
----
--
--
47
45
1
7
49
44
--
6
46
47
--
6
47
45
--
8
48
46
--
7
48
44
--
8
48
44
--
8
47
43
--
10
46
44
--
10
47
43
--
11
45
45
--
11
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Dont Know
Staying about the same
Not sure
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Unfavorable
Unfavorable
Wrong track
Disapprove
Might change mind
Getting worse
Mitt Romney
Favorable
Favorable
Right direction
Approve
Certain
Getting better
Barack Obama
%
Are things in this country generally going in the
right direction or are they pretty seriously off onthe wrong track?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Barack Obama?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Mitt Romney?
Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing as president?
Are you certain to vote that way, or is it possiblethat you will change your mind before
Election Day?
Do you think the economy is ge tting better, gettingworse or staying about the same?
TOTAL VOTE: Obama vs. Romney
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
October 2012 Main Questionnaire 2012 2011
September August December NovemeberJuly June April March February JanuaryTotal
SUBSCRIBE TOPURPLEPOLL [email protected]
PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE MAIN QUESTIONNAIRE
For more information contact Doug Usher Ph D [doug usher@purplestrategies com] at 703 548 7877 PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:doug.usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePoll7/31/2019 October v7
9/13
40
53
7
40
52
8
50
46
4
42
49
9
45
49
7
--
--
--
48
45
7
--
--
--
46
50
4
46
50
4
45
48
8
--
--
--
49
46
5
--
--
--
--
--
--
37
55
9
45
51
4
--
--
--
45
44
11
37
57
6
--
--
--
42
50
7
48
48
5
--
--
--
48
46
5
--
--
--
--
--
--
36
51
14
43
53
4
--
--
--
47
47
6
39
56
5
45
52
2
50
44
5
42
54
4
41
59
1
39
53
9
41
51
8
49
48
4
42
53
5
47
48
5
40
59
0
50
43
6
5
91
4
8
91
1
91
7
2
5
93
1
39
61
0
6
92
3
37
56
7
43
53
4
40
51
9
41
51
8
35
63
1
44
39
16
77
15
8
88
9
2
10
88
2
86
11
4
47
53
0
88
10
2
34
59
7
44
50
6
38
59
4
54
44
2
51
43
6
42
54
5
37
58
5
50
46
3
41
59
0
40
60
0
40
52
7
48
45
7
47
50
3
46
49
5
45
51
4
40
59
0
45
48
7
39
42
18
1
38
38
22
2
27
44
27
2
30
42
27
1
--
--
--
--
37
35
26
1
37
43
19
1
40
42
17
1
4
85
10
1
39
37
23
1
72
8
19
1
30
51
18
1
45
36
18
1
50
44
3
2
47
46
1
5
48
45
--
7
49
46
--
5
45
44
--
11
48
46
--
5
47
47
--
6
42
50
1
6
51
43
1
4
6
92
1
2
42
42
3
12
90
8
0
2
40
52
3
6
52
43
0
4
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
48
47
3
3
53
42
4
1
7
91
2
0
39
48
8
5
92
6
1
1
39
51
6
3
58
40
1
1
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Staying about the same
Not sure
Third party candidate
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Refused/Not sure
Unfavorable
Unfavorable
Wrong track
Disapprove
No, have not yet voted
Mitt Romney
Getting worse
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Favorable
Favorable
Right direction
Approve
Yes, already voted
Barack Obama
Getting better
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
% % % % % % Gender Party Education
Are things in this country generally going in theright direction or are they pretty seriously off on
the wrong track?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Barack Obama?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view ofMitt Romney?
Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing as president?
Have you already voted, either through absentee
ballot or early voting?
IF VOTED EARLY: Who did you vote for?
IF HAVENT VOTED: If the 2012 election were heldtoday, for whom would you vote?
Do you think the economy is getting better,getting worse or staying about the same?
TOTAL VOTE: Obama vs. Romney
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
COLORADO
Sep 12 Aug 12 Ind Dem CollNon-collJuly 12 June 12 April 12 Male Female GOPTotal
SUBSCRIBE TOPURPLEPOLL [email protected]
PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
For more information contact Doug Usher Ph D [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877 PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:doug.usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePoll7/31/2019 October v7
10/13
41
53
7
37
54
9
47
48
5
36
52
12
46
47
7
--
--
--
26
74
1
48
44
8
--
--
--
45
50
5
42
52
6
42
52
6
--
--
--
44
46
10
--
--
--
--
--
--
37
50
13
46
49
5
--
--
--
48
45
7
31
62
6
--
--
--
38
48
13
43
52
5
--
--
--
45
48
8
--
--
--
--
--
--
34
54
12
47
47
5
--
--
--
26
74
0
25
74
1
25
75
0
18
81
1
35
65
0
27
73
0
24
75
1
49
44
7
40
54
6
44
52
4
47
46
6
42
53
5
36
55
9
42
51
7
48
44
8
39
53
8
48
45
6
48
43
9
10
89
1
6
91
3
87
8
5
6
93
0
5
94
1
32
60
8
39
52
10
41
48
11
37
53
9
35
46
18
76
15
9
88
9
3
10
86
4
86
9
5
87
11
2
43
52
5
38
54
9
48
47
6
44
50
6
42
51
7
45
47
8
48
47
5
42
51
7
43
49
8
41
47
11
46
48
6
43
50
7
45
49
6
42
49
9
38
40
21
1
35
36
28
1
26
45
28
2
33
39
26
2
--
--
--
--
36
34
29
0
37
41
21
1
40
39
20
1
4
74
21
1
33
42
23
1
72
10
17
1
39
44
17
0
37
35
25
2
58
32
5
5
46
44
1
8
48
44
--
8
44
46
--
10
48
45
--
7
45
48
--
8
49
44
--
7
43
47
1
9
49
42
1
8
5
93
0
2
40
42
1
16
86
8
2
3
47
45
2
7
45
44
1
10
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
62
25
6
8
54
40
4
2
6
90
0
4
62
26
8
4
85
4
6
5
58
32
6
5
58
33
4
5
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Staying about the same
Not sure
Third party candidate
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Refused/Not sure
Unfavorable
Unfavorable
Wrong track
Disapprove
No, have not yet voted
Mitt Romney
Getting worse
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Favorable
Favorable
Right direction
Approve
Yes, already voted
Barack Obama
Getting better
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
% % % % % % Gender Party Education
Are things in this country generally going in theright direction or are they pretty seriously off on
the wrong track?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Barack Obama?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view ofMitt Romney?
Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing as president?
Have you already voted, either through absentee
ballot or early voting?
IF VOTED EARLY: Who did you vote for?
IF HAVENT VOTED: If the 2012 election were held
today, for whom would you vote?
Do you think the economy is getting better,getting worse or staying about the same?
TOTAL VOTE: Obama vs. Romney
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
OHIO
Sep 12 Aug 12 Ind Dem CollNon-collJuly 12 June 12 April 12 Male Female GOPTotal
SUBSCRIBE TOPURPLEPOLL [email protected]
PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703 548 7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/mailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollhttp://www.purplestrategies.com/tag/purplepoll/http://www.purplestrategies.com/mailto:poll%40purplestrategies.com?subject=Subscribe%20to%20PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePollmailto:Doug.Usher%40purplestrategies.com?subject=PurplePoll7/31/2019 October v7
11/13
40
51
9
36
54
10
4946
5
38
52
10
45
48
7
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
11
88
1
8
91
1
10
90
0
7
92
0
10
89
1
9
90
1
10
89
1
46
43
11
--
--
--
4649
4
47
48
5
42
52
6
45
48
8
--
--
--
----
--
41
49
11
45
50
5
46
44
10
36
58
6
----
--
43
49
8
45
51
5
49
46
5
--
--
--
----
--
36
48
16
45
50
6
48
46
6
41
53
6
4749
3
47
46
8
46
49
5
45
47
9
39
49
12
4846
6
44
49
7
45
47
8
48
46
6
5
91
4
689
6
84
7
9
7
91
2
3
93
4
37
55
8
4551
4
50
45
4
41
50
9
46
46
8
77
13
11
898
3
9
84
7
87
9
4
87
7
6
34
57
10
47
45
8
4253
5
5442
4
51
43
6
40
52
9
38
54
7
52
42
6
42
50
7
51
42
7
4847
5
45
47
7
45
48
7
9
90
1
47
46
7
37
38
23
3
35
40
24
1
32
42
25
1
30
41
27
2
--
--
--
--
39
35
25
1
36
39
22
3
37
36
23
3
4
66
26
4
32
44
21
2
72
7
19
2
29
42
26
3
44
34
20
2
47
51
0
3
47
47
0
7
46
43
--
11
45
48
--
8
46
44
--
10
49
46
--
5
48
46
--
6
45
48
0
8
48
46
0
6
4
91
0
5
45
48
0
8
87
8
0
5
41
52
0
7
53
41
0
6
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
44
56
0
1
50
45
0
5
13
80
0
7
31
69
0
0
88
11
0
1
24
71
0
5
69
31
0
1
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Not sure
Staying about the same
Not sure
Third party candidate
Third party candidate
Refused/Not sure
Refused/Not sure
Unfavorable
Unfavorable
Wrong track
Disapprove
No, have not yet voted
Mitt Romney
Getting worse
Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney
Favorable
Favorable
Right direction
Approve
Yes, already voted
Barack Obama
Getting better
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
% % % % % % Gender Party Education
Are things in this country generally going in theright direction or are they pretty seriously off on
the wrong track?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of
Barack Obama?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view ofMitt Romney?
Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing as president?
Have you already voted, either through absenteeballot or early voting?
IF VOTED EARLY: Who did you vote for?
IF HAVENT VOTED: If the 2012 election were held
today, for whom would you vote?
Do you think the economy is getting better,getting worse or staying about the same?
TOTAL VOTE: Obama vs. Romney
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have been oversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
VIRGINIA
Sep 12 Aug 12 Ind Dem CollNon-collJuly 12 June 12 April 12 Male Female GOPTotal
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, g , g @p p g PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 STAT
For more information, contact Doug Usher, Ph.D. [[email protected]] at 703-548-7877. PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 DEMO
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12/13
4753
4753
4852
4654
35
31
32
2
34
33
32
1
34
27
38
1
36
31
30
3
78
11
7
3
1
81
4
11
3
1
82
11
4
2
1
70
20
4
5
1
18
29
37
16
1
15
32
37
15
1
19
29
36
15
1
19
26
29
23
3
55
441
44
551
59
401
50
491
FemaleMale
Democrat
White
18-29
No college degree
Republican
Black
30-44
College degree or higher
Independent
Hispanic/Latino
45-64
Dont know/Refused
Other/Dont know
Other
65+
Dont know/Refused
Dont know/Refused
%
Are you male or female?
Do you consider yourself to be aDemocrat, Republican, or Independent?
What is your race?
Into which of the followingcategories does your age fall?
What is the highest level of education
you have completed?
Fielded 10/23-10/25, using automated telephone and online interviews. Total weighted N size=1000 likely voters, margin of error +/-3.1. CO, OH, and VA have beenoversampled to N=600 per state, margin of error +/-4.0.
Demographics By State
Total
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PURPLE OCTOBER 2012 DEMO
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PURPLEPOLLOctober 2012
1. Are things in this country generally going in the right direction or are they pretty seriouslyoff on the wrong track?
1) Right direction2) Wrong track3) Not sure
2. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Mitt Romney?1) Favorable2) Unfavorable3) Not sure
3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Barack Obama?1) Favorable2) Unfavorable3) Not sure
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing
as president?1) Approve2) Disapprove3) Not sure
5. Have you already voted, either through absentee ballot or early voting?1) Yes2) No3) Dont know
6. [IF VOTED EARLY]: Who did you vote for? 1) Barack Obama
2) Mitt Romney3) Some other candidate4) Cant recall
7. [IF DID NOT VOTE EARLY OR NOT SURE]: If the 2012 presidential election were held today andthe candidates were: Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
1) Barack Obama2) Mitt Romney3) Not sure
8. [IF CANDIDATE SELECTED IN Q7]: Are you certain to vote that way,or is it possible that you will change your mind before Election Day?
1) Certain2) Might change mind3) Not sure
9. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse or staying about the same?1) Getting better2) Getting worse3) Staying about the same4) Not sure
10. Which candidate is more likely to keep the country safe?1) Barack Obama2) Mitt Romney3) Not sure
11. Do you think the economy will improve more if Obama wins re-election, more if Romnwins the election, or do you think it doesnt matter which one wins?
1) Barack Obama2) Mitt Romney3) Doesnt matter4) Nor sure
12. Which candidate do you think is having more fun on the campaign trail?1) Obama2) Romney3) Not sure
13. Which of the following comes closer to your view?1) Political ads are just part of the process, and while there are
a lot of them I understand why theyre on television
2) Political ads are annoying, and I would be willing to paysomebody $100 just to make them go away3) Not sure
October 2012 Main Questionnaire
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