8/9/2019 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q3, 2005
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Contents
United States Employment Outlook 2
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 14
International Comparisons Americas
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
International Comparisons Europe
About the Survey 20
About Manpower 21
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The United States Employment Outlook
Increase Decrease No Change Dont KnowNet Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
% % % % % %
1st Quarter 2005 24 10 59 7 14 21
2nd Quarter 2005 30 7 58 5 23 21
3rd Quarter 2005 31 6 57 6 25 21
3rd Quarter 2004 30 6 59 5 24 20
4th Quarter 2004 28 7 60 5 21 20
Seasonally adjusted data tells a familiar story. The Net
Employment Outlook for the third quarter of 2005 is
identical to the April to June forecast, and very similar
to a year ago. U.S. employers have reported healthy
hiring expectations since second quarter of 2004. This
pattern mirrors a period in the late 1990s when
employers were consistently optimistic about hiring for
more than two years.
Throughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage
of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity
and subtracting from this the percentage of employers
that expect to see a decrease in employment at their
location in the next quarter.
Nearly 16,000 interviews have been conducted with
employers across the United States to measure
anticipated employment trends between July and
September 2005. All participants were asked, How
do you anticipate total employment at your location to
change in the three months to the end of September
2005 as compared to the current quarter?
Of the U.S. employers that were surveyed, 31% expect
an increase in hiring activity for the third quarter, while
6% expect a decrease in employment opportunities.
Fifty-seven percent of companies polled foresee no
change in workforce levels, and 6% are unsure of their
staffing plans.
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
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Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % %%%
Construction 43 3 49 405 27Education 24 11 61 13 174
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 23 4 66 7 19 19
Manufacturing Durables 31 8 56 5 23 20
Manufacturing Non-Durables 28 7 60 5 1821
Mining 31 6 57 6 2025
Public Administration 26 8 60 18 156
Services 30 6 57 7 24 20
Transportation & Public Utilities 27 5 61 7 22 21
Wholesale & Retail Trade 34 5 56 5 29 22
At the overall national level, the margin of error on the data is +/ 0.8%.
Net Employment SeasonallyIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
Outlook Adjusted
% % % %
Midwest
Northeast 29 7 58 6 22 17
32 5 58 5 27 24
28 7 60 5 21 16
South
West 35 8 49 8 27 23
% %
On a seasonally adjusted basis, employers in half of
the 10 industry sectors surveyed expect that the third
quarter hiring pace will be on par with second quarter
projections. These sectors include Durable and Non-
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Services and Public Administration.
The employment outlook is slightly stronger for the
coming quarter in Construction, Transportation/Public
Utilities and Education, while a more sluggish hiring pace
is expected in Mining and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate.
Most of the employers surveyed expect little change
in job prospects compared to last year at this time.
Six sectors fall into that category, including Mining,
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Education and Services.
Transportation/Public Utilities, Construction and Public
Administration employers plan to pick up the hiring
pace during the third quarter. Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturers are the only group to express waning
confidence compared with a year ago.
Midwest, who report the weakest employment outlook,foresee less hiring activity for the coming quarter.
This marks the first time in more than a year that the
Northeast does not lag the other regions in hiring
expectations. Year-over-year comparisons mirror the
quarter-over-quarter analysis.
According to seasonally adjusted survey results, thirdquarter hiring estimates are similar to those reported
last quarter in two out of the four U.S. regions surveyed
the Northeast and the West. Employers in the South
are somewhat more optimistic about hiring than they
were last quarter. The South is also the region with the
most promising job prospects. Employers in the
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Regional Comparisons
Midwest
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 28 7 60 5 21 16
Construction 43 2 51 4 41 21
Education 1517 65 3 2 5
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 20 5 70 5 15 14
Manufacturing Durables 30 9 57 4 21 18
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 7 64 5 17 13
Mining 20 0 80 0 820
Public Administration 23 11 61 5 12 7
Services 27 6 62 5 21 16
Transportation & Public Utilities 27 624 7 23 20
Wholesale & Retail Trade 33 5 57 5 28 19
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio,
South Dakota, Wisconsin.
In the Midwest, 28% of employers surveyed foresee an
increase in hiring for the third quarter of 2005, while 7%
plan to reduce staff levels. The result is a Net Employment
Outlook of 21%. When seasonal factors are removed
from the data, the survey shows that employers foresee
a slight decline in the hiring pace compared to last
quarter and a year ago. Among the four regions
surveyed, employers in the Midwest reveal the weakest
hiring intentions.
Employers in two of the 10 sectors surveyed express
somewhat more positive hiring plans compared with
last quarter Construction and Transportation/Public
Utilities. A slight decline in the hiring pace is expected in
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Education, Services and Public Administration. A more
noticeable slowdown in hiring is predicted for Non-
Durable Goods Manufacturing and Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate, while Mining employers report a significant
decrease in hiring intentions.
Public Administration is the only Midwest sector to report
increased confidence about hiring compared with a year
ago. The job market is expected to remain relatively
unchanged in Construction, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate. A slower hiring pace is expected in Durable and
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Education,
Services and especially Mining.
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Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 29 7 58 6 1722
Construction 41 531 5 40 24
Education 17 13 66 4 4 10
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 18 3 69 10 15 14
Manufacturing Durables 30 9 54 7 21 18
Manufacturing Non-Durables 27 8 19 15
Mining 0 50 -50 -26
Public Administration 18 6 12 9
Services 31 6 25 18
Transportation & Public Utilities 23 6
58
50
70
55
67
7
0
6
8
4 17 18
Wholesale & Retail Trade 33 6 56 5 27 20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Northeast
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, Vermont.
Among employers surveyed in the Northeast, 29% intend
to staff up, while 7% plan to decrease headcount during
the July September period. Thus, the Net Employment
Outlook is 22%. When seasonal variations are removed
from the data, the employment forecast for the
Northeast is identical to the first two quarters of 2005
and similar to a year ago. However, for the first time in
more than a year, the Northeast did not report the
weakest employment outlook of the regions.
The hiring pace is expected to strengthen in Wholesale/
Retail Trade, Construction, Services and Public
Administration compared with last quarter. Employer
confidence remains steady in Durable and Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturing, and Transportation/Public
Utilities. Job seekers in the Northeast are likely to have
trouble locating work in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate,
Education and especially Mining where employers
foresee notable declines in hiring.
Compared with last year at this time, Construction
employers are considerably more upbeat about hiring.
Transportation/Public Utilities and Public Administration
employers also report a more positive employment
outlook. A notable decline in the hiring pace is
projected for Mining and Education. Hiring is also
expected to be slower in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
and Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
Hiring plans are consistent in Wholesale/Retail Trade
and Services.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
South
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 32 5 58 5 27 24
Construction 42 494 5 38 30
Education 33 5 57 5 28 29
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 4 64 6 22 22
Manufacturing Durables 31 6 58 5 25 22
Manufacturing Non-Durables 32 6 58 4 26 24
Mining 31 2 61 6 29 26
Public Administration 26 626 6 20 18
Services 31 6 57 6 25 23
Transportation & Public Utilities 28 622 8 26 25
Wholesale & Retail Trade 35 5 55 5 30 26
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
In the South, 32% of employers surveyed anticipate an
increase in payrolls for the third quarter of 2005, while
5% expect to reduce employment levels, yielding a Net
Employment Outlook of 27%. The seasonally adjusted
data suggests a slight improvement in the hiring pace
for the coming quarter when compared with second
quarter and a year ago at this time. In fact, the
employment outlook for the South is the strongest
of the four U.S. regions.
Among the sectors, quarter-over-quarter comparisons
are varied. The hiring pace is likely to pick up in
Transportation/Public Utilities, Education, Construction,
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing and Wholesale/Retail
Trade, while employer confidence is down slightly in
Mining and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate. Hiring plans
are similar to those reported for the second quarter in
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Services and Public
Administration.
Positive trends emerge in the year-over-year comparisons.
Employers are more confident about hiring plans in nine
out of 10 sectors. They include Transportation/Public
Utilities, Education, Public Administration, Mining,
Construction, Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade and
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate. Job prospects in the
Services sector are likely to remain unchanged.
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West
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 35 8 49 8 27 23
Construction 48 2 45 5 46 36
Education 28 15 51 6 13 16
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 28 6 59 7 22 21
Manufacturing Durables 34 11 46 9 23 20
Manufacturing Non-Durables 32 8 52 8 24 21
Mining 41 12 35 12 29 17
Public Administration 33 8 53 6 25 23
Services 36 6 49 9 30 26
Transportation & Public Utilities 29 9 52 10 20 19
Wholesale & Retail Trade 38 7 49 6 31 23
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon,
Utah, Washington, Wyoming.
Thirty-five percent of employers surveyed in the West are
likely to increase staff levels, while 8% expect to trim
payrolls during the third quarter. This creates a Net
Employment Outlook of 27%. Seasonally adjusted data
reveals that employers in the West have remained
consistent in their hiring plans since the third quarter
of 2004.
Compared with last quarter, employer confidence
increased slightly in Construction, Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Education and Services. Hiring plans are
expected to remain stable in Durable Goods Manufacturing
and Wholesale/Retail Trade. The hiring pace is likely to
slow in Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/Insurance/
Real Estate, Mining and Public Administration.
Year-over-year comparisons reveal a wide range of
results. The job market in Construction and Public
Administration is likely to improve significantly.
Job seekers in Education and Services are also expected
to fare better during the third quarter than they would
have a year ago. On the other hand, Wholesale/Retail
Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Mining all report a slower hiring pace. No change is
expected in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Sector Comparisons
Among the 10 industry sectors analyzed, Construction
employers are the most confident about employment
prospects for the third quarter of 2005, according to theseasonally adjusted data. A strong hiring pace is expected
in Wholesale/Retail Trade, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Services, Mining and Durable Goods Manufacturing.
Although employment prospects are healthy, the hiring
pace is projected to be more moderate in Finance/
Insurance/Real Estate, Non-Durable Goods Manufacturingand Education, as compared with the other sectors.
Public Administration employers are most conservative
in their staffing plans for the third quarter.
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing Durables
Manufacturing Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
19
27
1317
0 4540
2520
1815
24
21
20
2922
23
20
21
22
18
19
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
40
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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Construction
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-20-15-10-5
05
10152025303540
Robust hiring in the Construction sector is likely to
continue during the third quarter, according to seasonally
adjusted data. Among the sectors, Construction has
the strongest employment outlook. Employers are
slightly more confident about adding staff than they
were last quarter, and the employment outlook shows
solid improvement from a year ago.
Employers in the West are most likely to welcome job
seekers, while those in the Midwest report decidedly
less optimistic hiring plans.
Education
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
Education employers show a measured increase in
confidence regarding employment prospects. The hiring
pace is expected to be up slightly from last quarter and
consistent with hiring plans reported last year at this time.
Employers in the South, where the strongest hiring
pace is expected, are considerably more upbeat than
those in the Midwest, the least confident of the regions.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Manufacturing Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Durable Goods Manufacturers plan to keep third quarter
hiring relatively consistent with the April June period
and with a year ago, according to seasonally adjusted
data. Although there has been little variation in the
employment forecast since the second quarter of 2004,
hiring plans in this sector have dipped slightly since the
beginning of the year.
Job seekers in search of manufacturing opportunities
may want to head South, where job prospects are
strongest. Hiring plans in the Northeast and Midwest
are more conservative.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
0
5
10
15
20
25
After a year and a half of steady job market growth,
employers in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate express
diminished confidence about hiring for the third quarter
of 2005, according to seasonally adjusted data.
Compared with last quarter, a moderate decline in the
hiring pace is expected, but the employment outlook is
in line with expectations from last year at this time.
Among the regions, employers in the South reveal
the most optimism in their hiring plans. Employers in
the Midwest and Northeast expect a much more
temperate job market.
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Mining
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
the Mining employment outlook for the coming quarter
suggests a decline in the hiring pace. Employer
confidence levels show a moderate drop compared
with last quarter but remain consistent with projections
from a year ago.
Employers in the South have the strongest hiring plans.
Those looking for work are likely to find a bleak jobs
picture in the Northeast, where employers planning to
decrease staff levels outweigh those planning to hire.
Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 050
5
10
15
20
25
30
For the coming quarter, seasonally adjusted hiring plans
in the Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing sector are
relatively consistent with the April June period, but job
prospects have slowly declined since the final months
of 2004.
A rapid hiring pace is likely in the South, while employers
in the Midwest are considerably more reserved.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Public Administration
The third quarter employment outlook suggests that a steady
hiring pace will continue in the Public Administration sector.
According to seasonally adjusted data, government employers
report hiring plans that mirror second quarter. Employers
foresee a moderate increase in hiring over last year.
Employers in the West are most confident about adding
staff, while those in the Midwest anticipate slower hiring
than in the other three regions.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Services
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Services employers remain consistent in their hiring
plans for the July September period, according to
seasonally adjusted data. Since the second quarter of
2004, employers have reported very similar hiring plans,
and the trend continues for the coming quarter.
Job seekers in the West are most likely to find employers
in a hiring mode. Those seeking work in the Midwest
can expect to encounter the fewest employers looking
to increase staff levels.
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Wholesale & Retail Trade
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-15-10-505
101520253035
Transportation & Public Utilities
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
Transportation/Public Utilities employers expect the
hiring pace to pick up in the coming quarter. Compared
with last quarter and last year, moderately stronger job
prospects are likely.
For the last year and a half, the West has been the
bright spot for Transportation/Public Utilities jobs, but
for the third quarter, employment projections are most
promising in the South and weakest in the Northeast.
According to seasonally adjusted data, Wholesale/Retail
Trade employers expect more of the same steady hiring
pace. The job landscape is expected to remain
unchanged from last quarter and a year ago, as there
has been little variation in the employment outlook
since the second quarter of 2004.
For the July September period, hiring intentions are
strongest in the South and weakest in the Midwest.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Global Employment Outlookconditions from last year at this time. India, Taiwan,
New Zealand and Hong Kong employers reported the
strongest hiring expectations, while those in
Switzerland, Italy and the Netherlands anticipated the
weakest hiring activity. Notably, German employers
reported positive employment expectations for the first
time this quarter.
In the U.S., Canada and the UK, seasonally adjusted
results reveal continuing employer optimism and solid
hiring activity.
Over 45,000 employers have been interviewed across
23 countries and territories to measure anticipated
employment trends between July and September
2005. Employers in India and Switzerland were
surveyed for the first time this quarter.
Employers in 22 of the countries say they expect
positive hiring activity in the next three months. Based
on seasonally adjusted data, employers in just eight
countries mainly European reported stronger hiring
intentions compared to last quarter and nine
countries employers indicated improved hiring
Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr ChangeAmericas Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
Canada 3 (0)1
Mexico -4
United States
Quarter 2 2005
%
26 (18)1
22
23 (21)1
Quarter 3 2005
%
29 (18)1
18
25 (21)1 2 (0)1
Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change
Europe Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
Austria 3
Belgium 1
France 2
Germany 5
Ireland 5
Netherlands 5
Norway -2
Spain 0
UK -3 (0)1
Italy
Quarter 2 2005
%
2
7
2
-1
15
-2
19
10
15 (12)1
3
Quarter 3 2005
%
5
8
4
4
20
3
17
10
Switzerland N/A 0
Sweden 29 11
12 (12)1
3 0
1. Number in parentheses is Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity for Canada, the UK
and the United States.
Net Employment Outlook
Asia Pacific
Australia -1
Quarter 3 2005
%
20
14
23
Quarter 2 2005
%
21
China -151328
35
30
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
2219Hong Kong 3
Japan -21
34India N/A
New Zealand -7
Singapore 1112 -1
Taiwan 2435 -11
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50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
International Comparisons Americas
Over 21,000 interviews have been conducted across
the United States, Canada and Mexico to measure
anticipated employment trends between July and
September 2005. The overall regional outlook is
positive, with employers in all three countries
anticipating positive hiring activity for the quarter ahead.
Employers in the U.S. and Mexico reported their most
optimistic third-quarter hiring outlooks in recent years,
and hiring in the U.S. is expected to continue at the
same solid pace seen over the last six quarters.
In Canada, employment prospects are expected to
be stable compared to the second quarter; however,
employers expect to take on more staff compared to
last year at this time.
Canada
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Mexico
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
USA
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
Nearly 13,000 interviews have been conducted across
Asia Pacific to measure anticipated employment trends
between July and September 2005.
Overall, hiring activity in Asia Pacific is expected to
soften for the third quarter of the year with employers
throughout the region, except those in Hong Kong,
reporting quarter-over-quarter decreases in hiring
activity. Only employers in Australia and Japan
indicated year-over-year improvements in hiring.
Employers in India, who were surveyed for the first time
by Manpower this quarter, reported the most optimistic
hiring expectations in Asia Pacific and among the other
22 countries and territories surveyed internationally.
Employers in Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore
reported notable third-quarter employment prospects
compared to those negative or zero Net Employment
Outlooks recorded in quarter three of 2003. Employers
in New Zealand reported both quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year decreases in hiring activity.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Australia
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Hong Kong
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
This country joined the survey in Q2 2005.
2003 2004 2005
China
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
This country joined the survey in Q3 2005.
2003 2004 2005
India
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International Comparisons Europe
Over 11,000 interviews have been conducted across
12 European nations to measure anticipated employment
trends between July and September 2005. Within the
majority of the European labor markets surveyed,
employers reported improved hiring expectations
compared to the previous quarter. However, compared
to last year, hiring intentions were weaker in five countries.
Employers in Switzerland were surveyed for the first time
by Manpower this quarter and expect stable employment
prospects for the third quarter of 2005. German
employers reported their first positive employment
expectations since the survey began in the country,
indicative of an improved labor market for the quarter
ahead. Similarly, employers in the Netherlands reversed
the second quarters negative outlook with positive
hiring intentions. Irish and Norwegian employers once
again anticipated the most buoyant hiring activity for
the quarter ahead in Europe. In Spain, Italy and the UK,
employment prospects are expected to be stable from
the outlooks reported in the previous quarter.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
Austria
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Belgium
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
France50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Germany
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19
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Ireland
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
Italy
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Netherlands
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Norway
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Spain
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Sweden
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
This country joined the survey in Q3 2005.
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
0
Switzerland
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
2003 2004 2005
UK
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers intentions to increase or
decrease the number of employees in their workforce during
the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than
40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment
activity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area
of focus.
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the
most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the
world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next
quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on
retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derived
all of its information from a single question.
Independent:The survey is conducted with a representative
sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it
is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from
Manpowers customer base.
Robust:The survey is based on interviews with more than
45,000 public and private employers across 23 countries and
territories to measure anticipated employment trends each
quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across
specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.
Methodology
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted usinga validated methodology, in accordance with the highest
standards in market research. The research team for the 23
countries and territories where the survey is currently conducted
includes Manpowers Market Intelligence team; the Organization
Research and Analysis Division of Right Management
Consultants an independent operating division of Manpower
Inc.; NOP World and Grupo IDM. The survey has been
structured to be representative of each national economy. The
margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not
greater than +/- 4.0%.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted by
Manpowers North American Market Intelligence Team and
includes 16,000 employers. With this number of interviews, themargin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%.
Survey Question
All employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the
same question, How do you anticipate total employment at your
location to change in the three months to the end of September
2005 as compared to the current quarter?
Net Employment Outlook
Throughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of
employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity andsubtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.
The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
Seasonal Adjustment
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for
Canada, United Kingdom and the United States to provide
additional insight into the survey data. These adjustments make
it possible to review the data without the employment
fluctuations that normally occur at the same time each year, thus
providing a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower
intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other
countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled.
History of the Survey
1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
1966 Manpowers UK operation launches the equivalent of the
United States survey, naming the report the Quarterly
Survey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts the
same forward-looking research format as the United States
survey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpowers Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Research methodology is updated to evolve with
advancements in the field of market research.
2002 Manpower UKs Quarterly Survey of Employment
Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research
methodology. Manpowers operations in Mexico and
Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total 18
countries and territories worldwide: Australia, Austria,
Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland,
Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,
Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States.
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
2005 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and
Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
About the Survey
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About Manpower Inc.Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the employment
services industry, offering customers a continuum of services to
meet their needs throughout the employment and business cycle.
The company specializes in permanent, temporary and contract
recruitment; employee assessment; training; career transition;
organizational consulting services and professional financial
services. Manpowers worldwide network of 4,300 offices in
68 countries and territories enables the company to meet the
needs of its 400,000 customers per year, including small and
medium size enterprises in all industry sectors, as well as the
worlds largest multinational corporations. The focus of
Manpowers work is on raising productivity through improved
quality, efficiency and cost-reduction, enabling customers to
concentrate on their core business activities. In addition to the
Manpower brand, the company operates under the brand names
of Right Management Consultants, Jefferson Wells, Elan and
Brook Street. More information on Manpower Inc. is available at
www.manpower.com.
About Manpower USAIn the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range of
HR services, in addition to providing administrative, industrial
and contact center personnel. Under the Manpower
Professional brand, the company places contract professionals
on assignment in areas such as information technology,
scientific, finance, engineering and telecommunications. More
information about Manpowers US operation can be found at
www.us.manpower.com.
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Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217
Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com