Opportunities and constraints of the European poultrymeat sector
Jan Wolleswinkel, Chairman
Dutch Poultryfarmers Organisation
Broilersector is dynamic
• Production costs
• Global trade
• Volatility of the feedmarket
• Modern society
• Future constraints
Production cost broilers
farm level EU in 2007 (euro/kg LW)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
NL G FR UK PL
eu
roc
en
t p
er
kg
liv
e w
eig
ht
chick feed energy other labour housing general manure
75,9 77,8 79,4
85,6
75,4
Source:LEI
Production cost broiler at farm level in 2007 (eurocent / kg LW)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
NL US TH BR
cen
t p
er
kg
liv
e w
eig
ht
chick feed energy other labour housing general manure
51,7
66,2
51,1
75,9
Source:LEI
Price of Basic Ingredients 2008 - 2011
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan 08 April Juil Oct Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil
Euro
/ to
nne
Soft Wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
Source:European Commission
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
| 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
Eu
ro
/ T
(fe
ed
)
Eu
ro
/ 1
00
kg
(B
ro
ile
r)
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2001 - 2010
NB: June. - Dec. estimations Broilerprice: June - Dec. forecast
Source:European Commission
Global Trade
• EU produces for the freshmarket• Import third countries mainly for processed
products• Exportmarket for leg sections and wings• But EU production does not equal to
consumption (not in quality but in quantity)
Broilermeat: Brazil, USA, Thailand
Source:PVE/gira
Constraints of the modern society
• Animal welfare • Food safety
– Reduce of antibiotics, antibiotics resistance – Residues– Reduction of Salmonella, Campylobacter
• Environmental demands• Spatial planning • Sustainability in general
• Significant decreasing trend in human cases, 2005-2009• 21.3% decrease compared to 2008• Decrease supposed to be mainly due to successful control of Salmonella in laying hens, breeding flocks and eggs
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Co
nfi
rme
d ca
ses
pe
r 10
0,0
00
po
pu
latio
n
Human salmonellosis in EU, 2005-2009
Source:EFSA
• 2009 was the first year of implementation of the control programmes for Salmonella in broiler flocks.
• In total 18 MSs and two non-MSs met the target.
Salmonella reduction target in broiler flocks, 2009
Source:EFSA
Animal welfare
• 2007: Directive adopted welfare broilers• Creates max. stocking density’s/m2
• Highest stocking density:– Monitoring of the welfare indicator “mortality”– Good Farming Practices
• Implemented June 2010
Future constraints
• Development cost-price EU farmers• International policy and differing European
production standards for eggs and poultrymeat compared to third-country imports:– Influence WTO/Mercosur negotiations – Production costs in EU higher
• Differences between memberstates in the development of social demands
Most important constrain
• Consumer confidence
– Home market
– Export markets
Thanks for your attention