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by Roxana Dunnette

(Continued on page 4)

Vol. 3 No. 3 February 16, 2010

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by Martin JarroldDirector, International Programs, GVF

(Continued on page 7)

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In my previous column I indicated that, asa follow-up to that contribution, I would

look more closely at the character of, andthe wider issues surrounding, the applicationof ICT solutions to the fields of bothComplex Humanitarian – or Natural –Disasters, and to Complex Humanitarian– or Man-made – Emergencies.

In the former – Complex HumanitarianDisasters – I was to have concerned myselfwith ‘The Mobile CommunicationsFoundation to Complex HumanitarianDeployments’ in the context ofMilitary+Military cooperation, and also with‘The Dynamics of IntegratingCommunications Networking forGeographically Remote Applications’ in thecontext of Civilian+Military cooperation –with the latter referring specifically tosituations where such civilian entities asInternational Organizations, Non-Governmental Organizations, and the

The increasing use oftelecommunications and Infor-

mation and CommunicationsTe c h n o l o g i e s(ICTs) fore m e r g e n c ycommunications,necessitates newi n t e r n a t i o n a la g r e e m e n t s ,national policies,and partnershipsfor cooperationduring emer-g e n c i e s . T h eI n t e r n a t i o n a lTelecommuni-cations Union(ITU), as the UNa g e n c yencharged with telecommunications andICT ,is leading the efforts in harmonizingtechnologies, services and establishingstandards for emergency com-munications. All ITU sectors are involvedand are working hard on this issue. Thisarticle presents a short summary of ITUstandards, recom-mendations and studieson the subject of emergencycommunications.

TAMPERE Convention

The first attempt to have standards fordisaster relief and public warning was theTampere Convention in 1998. After morethen 10 years, the Tampere Conventionhas become the global foundation foreffective ICT deployment in emergency

relief efforts. The Office for theCoordination of Humanitarian Affairs(OCHA) acts as the treaty’s globaloperational coordinator. Although notyet ratified by all ITU member states,

the conventionfacilitates theprovision oftimely andeffective telecom-m u n i c a t i o nr e s o u r c e sdeployment andof rapid, efficientinformation flowfor disasterprevention andr e s p o n s e .Enforcing currentregulations wasnot the objective,but one of the firststeps. The current

goal is still the integration of theTampere convention in nationallegislation . The issues are complex andrequire cross-sector coordination.However, partnerships are in place,OCHA and ITU maintain a telecom

From the EditorShow Report: Navy SatcomMarket TrendsVital StatisticsSatellite Markets 25 IndexFeatured Event: BroadbandMaritime SouthEast Asia

Satellite phones provided vitalcommunciations links during the recentdisaster in Haiti. (photo courtesy ofTelecoms Sans Frontieres).

This issue sponsored by:

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At Satellite 2009Link up to theGateway at SFIG’sBooth #1600

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Vol. 2 No. 5 April 1-15, 2009

IndustrIndustrIndustrIndustrIndustry y y y y TTTTTrrrrrendsendsendsendsends,,,,, Ne Ne Ne Ne News ws ws ws ws AnalAnalAnalAnalAnalysisysisysisysisysis,,,,, Mar Mar Mar Mar Markkkkket Intelliget Intelliget Intelliget Intelliget Intelligence and Opporence and Opporence and Opporence and Opporence and OpportunitiestunitiestunitiestunitiestunitiesEDITORIAL STAFFVirgil [email protected]

Peter I. GalaceEditor, [email protected]

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Contributing Editors:

North America: Bruce Elbert, Dan Freyer,Robert Bell, Elisabeth Tweedie,Lou Zacharilla, Tom Watts

Latin America: B. H. Schneiderman

Europe: Martin Jarrold, Roxana Dunnette

Asia: Tom van der Heyden

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Back from the Recession

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From the Editor

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An important financial milestone was reached by the satelliteindustry this week. The Satellite Markets 25TM Index finallybroke the 1000 mark since we started tracking it in January2008, well before the worst recession in 50 years hit. Theindex is now 3.9% more than it was in January 2008, after twoyears of sliding to as low as 30 percent of its original value.

In contrast the Standard and Poor’s 500 is still 25% below its value in January2008 (see the Satellite Markets 25 TM index on page 14 of this issue).

Indexes are standard financial tools use to gauge the overall health of an industryor sector. The Satellite Markets 25TM Index is the only one of its kind trackingthe satellite industry. Our aim is to provide a snapshot of the industry everytwo weeks to gauge the industry’s current state and where it is heading.

If you need more proof positive of the overall health of the industry just lookat the financial reports in the last quarter of 2009. Most satellite companiesgrew from 4-10 percent in 2009. Take Luxembourg-based SES, the secondlargest satellite company in the world. SES’ EBITDA grew 8.1 % in 2009. Buteven more astonishing is that it went on the largest satellite buying spree in itshistory—ordering 15 new satellites. By the time most of the satellites come onboard by 2014, SES will have 50 satellites in orbit—closing the gap with marketleader Intelsat. I don’t think there could be a more compelling testament tothe continued viability of the industry than investing heavily in capitalexpenditures during a major recession.

Not even the recent spate of anomalies plaguing satellites from Eutelsat, Intelsatand Satmex could take the bloom off the satellite’s industry’s rose. The EutelsatW2 anomaly was fixed in few days and is back in full operation. The Intelsatand Satmex anomalies were from problematic legacy HS-601 satellites fromthe 90s and thus were near their end-of-life anyway. If anything, the anomaliesjust shows the resilience of satellite technology and that some of its problemsare clearly behind it.

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ITU Standards for Disaster Relief...from page 1

Cover Story

(

inventory of human and materialresources ready to be deployed andearly warning systems have beenestablished.

Expectations for the results of the fullapplication of the Tampere conventionare very high. We need to view itbeyond customary arrangements but asan essential element on saving lives.

More work is required in different areas,one being radio communications(operation of equipment, recom-mendations for manufacturers).

Radiocommunication Sector

The Radiocommunication sectorconcentrates on three main topics forvarious stages of disasters and differenttypes of radio communication services:

• Disaster prediction and detection –meteorological and Earth explorationsatellite services.

• Disaster alerting – broadcast, fixed,mobile and related satellite services.

• Disaster relief – amateur, earthexploration, broadcast, fixed, mobileand related satellite services.

The ITU Recommendation on the “Useof Satellite and Terrestrial BroadcastInfrastructures for Public Warning andDisaster Relief” is particularlyimportant as it gives technical guidanceon how to improve the use of satellitebroadcast spectrum, how to alert thepopulation and how digital transmissionand receiving equipment are to bedesigned to include provisions ofautomatic signaling and switching evenwhen on standby mode with robustmeans against the abuse of the function.

The efforts of the radiocommunicationsector are in the following domains:

• Cross-border circulation of radioequipment and resourceso WRC-03 Res. 646 and 644o ITU-R Rec. M.1637

• Global circulation of 3G terminalso ITU-R Rec. M.1579

• Regionally harmonized frequency bandsfor emergency / TDRo WRC-03 Res. 646’s Region 3

• Amateur and amateur-satellite serviceso ITU-R Rec. M.1042-2

• Objectives and needs for future PPDRsystems circa 2010o ITU-R Report M.2033

WRC-07 and RA-07 adopted importantresolutions in disaster management thatmember states are invited to consider.

Here are some:

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Cover Story

• Res. COM6/23 , on the importanceof earth observation data formonitoring and predicting climatechange in disaster situation.

• Res .COM6/7, on the need to makeavailable pre-identified and pre-coordinated frequencies to allowinstant decisions on the use ofavailable spectrum. ITU-R is creatinga data base available online.

• Res .ITU-R 55 and 53 on spectrummanagement and standard operatingprocedures in emergency and thecooperation guidelines with OCHA,WGET etc.

•Work is in progress and newproposals will be on the table at WRC-11.

Satellite Networks

Satellite technology provides the bestsupport in any emergency responsesituation. Communications andbroadcast transmissions via satellite areeasy-to-use solutions when terrestrialinfrastructure are damaged or destroyed,and where no base stations, towers,antennas or repeaters are in place.

From mobile terminals that can link aremote area in no time and offer voice,data, images to hand held satellitetelephones, to direct video and audiobroadcast via broadcast satellites toVSAT or digital satellite radio, satellitetechnology provides many differentoptions.

Many satellite operators donate airtimeto be used through the ITU foremergency warning. National publicentities are now discovering also thebenefits and cost effectiveness of Earthobservation satellites for disastermanagement.

Everything depends on the coverage area,security, availability of equipment, satellitechannel allocation, and the particulartelecommunications requirements for thesystem. Pre-agreements are now in placethanks to international partnerships.

The ITU Framework for Cooperation inEmergencies (IFCE) provides the basictool for coordinating technical, financialand logistical resources for disaster reliefand includes all ITU member states andsector members.

Development Sector

Sector D of ITU contributes also to thisvery important topic of disaster relief andpublic warning. Their interests wereoriented in the following domains:

• Multi-hazard for wide spectrum ofevents;

• Multi-technology to mitigate disastrouseffects;

• Multi-phased for preventive andproactive strategies for prevention,preparedness and response to events;

• Multi-stakeholder local community,government, private sector, civil society,international organizations.

ITU-D is also involved in the followingactivities:

• Universal Access to ICT services toreduce vulnerability.

• ICT Project management (EnsuringDisaster Resilience).

• Training and capacity building(Emergency Telecommunications).

• Development of manuals, like the“Handbook on EmergencyTelecommunications.”

• Telecommunications InfrastructureReconstruction.

• Develop appropriate regulatoryregime.

ITU-D’s response to disasters isquick:

• Deployment of satellite terminalsto affected areas and provision ofoperational and technical trainingthanks to multiple partnershipssigned with satellite serviceproviders.

• Assessment of damages tonetworks;

• Participation in networkreconstruction effort;

• Resource mobilization.

Standardization Sector

ITU-T global standards are necessaryto foster interoperability and effectiveemergency response.

Some are dedicated for call priority, aprotocol integrated in all fixed andmobile networks including Internetnetworks, cable networks and nextgeneration networks, the InternationalEmergency Preference Scheme (IEPS)that insures that preference is given tocalls made by relief operationspersonnel.

There are also standards at work fordelivering emergency alert for personswith hearing or vision impairments.

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Follow us on Twitter at http://twitter.com/spaceconnection for company news,press releases and industry updates.

United States

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103 Carnegie Center 3rd Flr. Suite 321Princeton, NJ 08540 USATel. +1-609-955-3338 Fax +1-818-754-1108

Canada

1601 Telesat Court, Section B-107Ottawa, Ontario K1B5PA CanadaTel. +1-800-565-1471 Fax +1-613-742-5650

Mexico City

Torres Esmeralda IIBlvd. Manuel Avila Camacho 36,Flr 10 y 12Col. Lomas de Chapultepec,Del. Miguel HidalgoMexico D.F., C.P. 11000Tel: +52 (55) 9171 1725Fax: +52 (55) 9171 1699

Cover Story

Generating Trusted Content

In the situation of disaster warningit is very important that the sourceof the information is to be trustedand identified as legal andlegitimate. So the first priority thefor the warning system is to haveoptions with robust means againstthe abuse of this function.

In order to achieve this goal, expertshave agreed on a standard for all-hazard warnings for all means ofcommunications with is designed tobe compatible with all kinds ofexisting and future informationsystems and networks - Common

Alerting Protocol (CAP). CAP isessentially a “content standard,” a digitalmessage format that can be applied toall types of alert and notifications.

Conclusion

No one technology is enough in savinglives. Only coordinated internationaland national action can help predict,detect and manage disasters and restorelife in affected areas .If we want to savepeople we have to stay pro-active!

Roxana Dunnette is theExecutive Director, ofR&D MEDIA, based inGeneva, Switzerland. Shehas had an extensivecareer in Broadcastingand media includingsenior management

positions at Worldspace ,USA , CBS and PBSin New York covering primetime sports andnews events, and internationaltelecommunication activities through workat the United Nations in New York and theInternational Telecommunication Union asUS government representative. She can bereached at: [email protected]

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military, etc, collaborate to address theneeds of disaster response tactics andrecovery strategies.

In the latter – Complex HumanitarianEmergencies – I had intended to cover theICT-related concerns for securing JointTask Force and nation-building missionsin the context of the world’s conflicted andfailed states.

However, the sometime horrific reality ofEarth’s tectonic plate dynamics hassomewhat narrowed my intendedemphasis, and instead I will elaborate onthe first of these only, with a particular biastowards Civilian+Military coordination,and on what is likely to be reinforced inour understanding of the essential role ofICTs, and the underpinning contribution ofsatellite-based communications to effectivenetworking, by the Haiti earthquake of 12th

January 2010.

The horror of the vital statistics is all toofamiliar – a main shock of magnitude 7,numerous aftershocks, 230,000 dead,300,000 injured, 1,000,000 homeless,250,000 homes leveled, 30,000 commercialand government buildings destroyed – andthe passage of time will only reveal an evenworse catalog of devastation. Undoubtedly,what will follow in the months and yearsahead is a realization that despite the rightlypraised collaborative efforts of military,governments, international organizations(IOs), non-governmental organizations(NGOs), etc, the response to the earthquakecould perhaps have been more robust. Inaddition, the continuing nature of theinternational collaborative response to thisdisaster must take a long-term view of what

Haiti, and its people, will need well intothe future.

As succinctly stated by Larry Wentz,Senior Research Fellow, Center forTechnology and National SecurityPolicy at the US National DefenseUniversity, in his “Information andCommunication Technologies for Civil-Military Coordination in Disaster Reliefand Stabilization and Reconstruction”,a part of the success of any effort to useICTs to boost a recovery effort is whathappens before a disaster strikes. Inplaces prone to natural disasters, suchas the recognized earthquake zoneastride which Haiti lies, the combinedefforts of host governments, aidagencies, IOs, NGOs, and disasterresponse-capable military forces, shouldbe directed towards pre-planning andpre-positioning disaster responsesupplies and equipment, including theessential components of a pre-plannedICT infrastructure that is ready-to-gowhen the disaster actually strikes, andwhich can be used in the longer-termreconstruction period following theimmediate, shorter-term, recovery.

Off-the-shelf ICT packages that includecommercial satellite communicationscapabilities, “Internet-in-a-box”products, turnkey, and managedinformation services, all of which canhelp to meet shorter-term disaster reliefrequirements, can also be leveraged forthe longer-term, as per the provisions ofthe Tampere Convention. This calls forthe provision of rapidtelecommunication assistance tomitigate the impact of a disaster, and

covers not only the deployment andoperation of a reliable and flexibletelecommunication infrastructure butalso the removal of any restrictiveregulatory barriers, licensing, andequipment importation restrictions, aswell as provisions for the longer-termapplication of the deployedcommunications networkingcapabilities.

Mr. Wentz suggests that because ICTsare critical enablers of relief efforts –and of subsequent reconstruction anddevelopment strategies – there is aneed amongst civilian and militaryfirst-responders alike to understandand share information on the level ofICT development in any country thatmay be affected by earthquakes,before any such disaster actuallyoccurs. In other words, if a countrymay be disaster affected – whether bydrought, or earthquake, or flood, orhurricane, or tsunami, etc – it shouldbe ICT prepared. This would thenenable the pre-planning of thenecessary levels of internationalintervention required to replace andaugment any pre-disaster ICTcapability, if any significant level ofICT development did actually pre-datethe disaster, and if such a capabilitydid not exist before, exactly what willneed to be deployed to meet immediate– and future – ICT needs.

Satellite communications provide thecritical path to an ICT capability onthe ground for relief in disastersituations, connecting and helping tomove logistical, rescue and firstresponder resources where, very often,

Humanitarian Disaster Communications...from page 1

Opinion

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Feature

Martin Jarroldis the Chief ofInternationalProgramDevelopmentof the GVF. Hecan be reached

at: [email protected]

terrestrial wireless (and wireline)infrastructures have been damaged ordestroyed. Given that access to a wirelesscommunications network that is notdependant on terrestrial infrastructure –and which provides mobility – is socritical, and thatdeployment of satellitecommunications is,therefore, among thefirst priorities in anyemergency responsesituation, it is essentialfor Civilian+Militaryemergency responseand disaster recoveryplanners – as well as “onthe ground” emergencyworkers – to have aready understanding ofhow they can get theirsatellite connection.

Information about thenature of the satellitesolution, how to accessit, and how to optimizeit to the requirements of a specificorganization, are critical elements in alloperational planning practice. Toachieve this optimization, informationwill be needed on how to:

• Ascertain whether satellite doesfit a particular application

• Design a satellite networkoptimized to requirement(s)

• Develop a business plan tosustain the network

• Procure a competitively-pricedsatellite network

• Deploy, maintain, operate and– potentially – grow thenetwork.

It is absolutely commonsensical from mypersonal viewpoint that disaster-relatedICT deployments should always be left

behind to aid human and physicalcapacity-building, and the extendeddevelopment agenda generally, andideally the very ICT deployments that areshort-term recovery and medium-termreconstruction focused would also fit-inwith, and be effective facilitators of,longer-term development objectives.

Civilian+Military collaboration as aprepared response to disaster must bebuilt on the firm foundation ofcoordination – in planning, ininformation sharing, and in task sharing

– a management task that is whollyreliant on effective communicationssystem deployments at exactly the timewhen information and task sharing is atits most critical. No single element, orstakeholder, in a host government, aid

agency, IO, NGO, and disasterresponse-capable militarycollaboration can source all thedata and information that isrequired, either in advance or inpost-disaster “real-time”. None ofthese alone can undertake andfulfill the management taskrequired, and, more importantly,a shared and integratednetworking communicationsapproach avoids duplication ofeffort, and enhances coordinationtowards a common knowledgebase so that critical informationcan be pooled, analyzed, andvalidated – fostering the creationof a Civilian+MilitaryCollaborative InformationEnvironment, not for ad hoc use,

but, ideally, a fully permanent feature ofthe international disaster responseenvironment with a foundation in, anddependence upon, satellite-basedtechnologies.

The busy nerve center of operations of Telecoms SansFrontieres in the aftermath of the devastating HaitiEarthquake last month. (photo courtesy of TSF)

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Show Report

US NUS NUS NUS NUS Naaaaavy ‘s Satcoms Demand Will Continue to Grovy ‘s Satcoms Demand Will Continue to Grovy ‘s Satcoms Demand Will Continue to Grovy ‘s Satcoms Demand Will Continue to Grovy ‘s Satcoms Demand Will Continue to Growwwww

by Virgil LabradorEditor-in-Chief

VADM Lyle Bien, US Navy (ret.) moderating a panel at the Navy SatcomUsers Workshop with representatives from the commercial sector, from left:Mark Dale, Comtech EF Data; William Flynn, Americom GovernmentServices; Scott Scheimreif, Iridium; Tom Foust, Intelsat General;Dan Losada,Hughes Network Systems and David Gomes, Ironhawk Technologies.

At the 4th Annual Navy SatcomsUsers Workshop organized bythe Satellite Industry

Association (SIA) during the AFCEAWest show in San Diego last February3rd, senior U.S. Navyofficials affirmed thatthe Navy’s re-liance on commercialsatellite commu-nications will continue to grow inthe next few years.

The cancellation ofthe TransformationalSatellite Communi-cations Systemsprogram (TSAT) bythe Department ofDefense (DoD)coupled with thei n c r e a s i n gbandwidth require-ments of naval forces and personnel willbe driving demand for commercialsatcoms. To meet these increasingdemands, the Navy embarked on its owninitiative called Commercial BroadbandSatellite Program (CBSP). The CBSPaims to utilize commercial capacity in allfrequency bands to meet its requirementsglobally. In January this year, the Navy’sCBSP awared a contract potentiallyworth US $ 542.7 million over five yearsto a consortium of 17 companies led byIntelsat General. Intelsat had to partnerwith is competitor SES for the contractwhich will involve also Britain’s Skynetand the Loral and Hisdesat joint-venture,Xtar.

“Demand will continue to outstripcapacity,” said Capt. Edwin Pena(USMC) in his presentation during theworkshop. He cited the Navy andMarines requirements on the ground for“smaller, lighter, faster units that useless power.”

Adm. Roughead continued thatinformation and intelligence are soinexorably linked that he decided tocombine the two in the Navy. “We’removing out in the area of informationdominance,” he stated. The admiralmentioned several key technologies thatthe Navy will need to maintain its

supremacy in theinformation age.One isu n m a n n e dvehicles andsystems, whichare the key tom o v i n ginformation. Theadmiral notedthat the Navy hasdeployed avertical takeoffunmanned aerialvehicle (UAV)on a shipinvolved inc o u n t e r d r u goperations in theeastern Pacific

Ocean.

The Navy Satcom Users Workshop isbeing held for the 4th year in a row, butthis year is its first year at the AFCEAshow. It is organized by the SIA togetherwith SPAWAR PEO C41. The SIA alsoholds an Army Satcoms Users Workshopto be held at the LandWarNetConfererence and exhibition in Tampa,Floria in August 2010 and a DoDCommerical Satcom Users Workshop inWashington., D.C. in December 2010.

For more information on the SIA and itsSatcom Users series of workshops go to:www.sia.org.

Representatives of various commercialcompanies took turns in presentingsolutions to meet the Navy’s uniquerequirements.

Meanwhile, at the AFCEA conference,the main buzz was the new emphasis ofthe Navy on “information dominance.”

Adm. Gary Roughead, USN, Chief ofNaval Operations, told an overflowaudience at the three-day event’s finalluncheon that the Navy will be builtaround information, in both technologyand practice. “Our way forward mustbe centered on information and how weuse it,” Adm. Roughead said.

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Market Trends

Satellite Manufacturing Sector TSatellite Manufacturing Sector TSatellite Manufacturing Sector TSatellite Manufacturing Sector TSatellite Manufacturing Sector To Experience Steadyo Experience Steadyo Experience Steadyo Experience Steadyo Experience SteadyGroGroGroGroGrowth in the Nwth in the Nwth in the Nwth in the Nwth in the Neeeeew Decadew Decadew Decadew Decadew Decade

The satellite manufacturing sector will experience steadygrowth in the coming decade, although a fallout fromthe extended and slow economic recovery will see the

number of satellites in the near future drop significantly byalmost 10 percent, according to a report entitled “GlobalSatellite Manufacturing: The Impact of Evolving Trends” byFrost and Sullivan.

The regional satellite demand is influenced by a complex setof parameters, according tothe report. For example, in acountry like Japan where advanced terrestrial networksprovide majority of communication needs, the commercialmarkets for communication are not very lucrative. However,applications such as earth observation are key to sustainingthe need for information for disaster management,meteorology, oceanography and even reconnaissance. Low-

cost production capabilities of countries such as India andChina challenge the future satellite manufacturing marketshare of developed countries, however, the lack of provenspace heritage means that it will only be in the long-term thatthis seriously threatens the established participants. PublicPrivate Partnerships will benefit the space industry withinnovative and cost efficient activities, which will provide acontinuing momentum for new space missions.

Future Trends

By 2013 the industry will bounce back, and is forecasted toclose the decade with approximately 10-15 percent moresatellites launched (927) in comparison to the last decade.Communications accounts for almost 44 percent of the totalsatellites launched in the forecast period (2009-2018), closely

followed by Earth Observation andReconnaissance at about 40percent, and the remaining madeof Navigation and research anddevelopment (16 percent).

In the wake of the CopenhagenSummit and the growingenvironmental resources concerns,the role of Earth Observationsatellites is increasingly viewed ascritical in mapping and controllingthe changing dynamics.Government (Civil and Military)projects will continue to drivedemand (68 percent), howevercommercial satellites is forecastedto increase its share by about 5percent. In the forecast period,orbit optimisation is driving thesatellites (especially thecommunication satellites) towardsheavier and more efficientplatforms. However, fleetrationalization may lead to asignificant increase in mediumsized satellites.

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Market Trends

Set-top boxes are set to reach Asianconsumers at an ever-increasing rate,

according to new STB market datapublished by ABI Research. Overall STBshipments in the region, including those forcable, DBS, IPTV, and DTT televisionservices, will approach 111 million in 2014,the culmination of a compound annualgrowth rate (CAGR) in excess of 12% overthe 2009-2014 period.

“As in so many other things, China is thepowerhouse that is driving STB shipmentand revenue numbers in the Asia-Pacificregion,” says industry analyst MichaelInouye. “Within China, one of the mainsources of STB segment growth is its targetof completing the transition to digital cableand terrestrial TV in 2015. Whileexpectations remained mixed about thefeasibility of that aim, China appears to befocused on 2015 as an achievable target.That translates to a lot of cable boxes.”

While much of the Chinese market demandwill be met by domestic vendors, someforeign companies want part of the action.Late last year, for example, Cisco acquiredthe cable STB unit of Chinese vendor DVN.In addition the satellite market in Indiacontinues to show strong growth potentialand while HD services launched in 2009,HD is expected to spread at a relativelyslower pace. In contrast, while most STBshave similarly been basic boxes in China,support for HD terrestrial broadcasts washigher than expected suggesting apotentially significant shift to HD boxes inthe future for DTT and potentially otherplatforms as well.

“Set-Top Box Shipments” (http://www.abiresearch.com/research/1003753)includes CATV, DBD, IPTV, DTTSubscribers by Region; STB shipments andmarket value, ASPs for STBs, and data on

STB decoder shipments, segmented bycompression standard (MPEG-2, MPEG-4).It forms part of the firm’s Digital MediaService (http://www.abiresearch.com/

products/service/SE-DIGM), which also includesother Market Data products, Research Reportsand Research Briefs, ABI Insights, ABI VendorMatrices, and analyst inquiry support.

Asia-PAsia-PAsia-PAsia-PAsia-Pacific Set-acific Set-acific Set-acific Set-acific Set-TTTTTop Boop Boop Boop Boop Box Shipments to Grox Shipments to Grox Shipments to Grox Shipments to Grox Shipments to Grow 1w 1w 1w 1w 12% Annually2% Annually2% Annually2% Annually2% Annually

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Satellite ExSatellite ExSatellite ExSatellite ExSatellite Executive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefinginginginging February 16, 201012

UUUUUAAAAAVs MoVs MoVs MoVs MoVs Moving Satellite Markving Satellite Markving Satellite Markving Satellite Markving Satellite Markets Uets Uets Uets Uets Upwpwpwpwpwardsardsardsardsards

Market Trends

In announcing in its recent budgetrequest that it would buy 50 more

UAVs of the extended range category,the Pentagon sent a strong signal to thesatellite industry that morec o m m u n i c a t i o n s - o n - t h e - m o v e(COTM) for UAVs would be neededin the coming years.

With about 24 more MQ-9 Reapersbudgeted for 2011, the Air Force isacquiring more pilotlessaircraft than combat units,while the Army is planningto procure 26 more Predatorsthan it currently has. Themanufacturer of these, SanDiego-based GeneralAtomics, will see a 60%increase in revenues nextyear with these orders, butmore interesting is thatconcurrent UAV flights areexpected to reach 65, upfrom 37 today.

What this means for satellite operatorsis simply a 75% increase in potentialclients to serve. The U.S. Secretary ofStates, Robert M. Gates, recentlyshifted the focus of the U.S. Militarymachine towards more nimble andflexible forces, able to deploy at manysites simultaneously. Following thislogic, the use of UAVs to complementother means of observation for in-theater operations and tactical use isset to expand significantly in the yearsahead.

He was quoted as saying: “We willcontinue to see significant growth [in

drone use] for some years into the future,even as the wars in Iraq and Afghanistaneventually wind down.”

This echoes the conclusion of NSR’srecent Government and Military SatelliteCommunications, 6th Edition report onthe overall COTM market, and morespecifically on UAVs. With an expandedrole in border control, drug interdictionand disaster management, NSR believes

that their positive influence hasbroadened their appeal and further grewits uses not just in military circles but alsowith civilian government users, therebybenefitting the satellite equipment andservice providers.

For the satcom world, the fact that troopsare more dispersed than ever but continueto require fast turnaround to servebattlefield mission planners has put morestringent requirements on availability andreliability of satellite capacity. But withexpanded coverage and with UAVs flyinglonger routes more often and over areaswhere line-of-sight communications isnot relevant, satellite communications is

often the only option for both narrowbandand broadband links for Predators and theReaper.

As such, NSR forecasts that in the nextten years, revenues from satelliteequipment and services for the UAVmarket will show a double-digit growthrate to reach levels that are representativeof a high-end bandwidth usage service thatcharacterizes these unique vehicles. In

other words, large amounts ofsatellite capacity are necessary foreach UAV to relay in real-timevideo imagery shot at 60,000 feetin far-flung areas of the worldback to central command wheredecisions are often made and thenrelayed back to troops in the areaof conflict. As UAVs are nowbecoming an integral part ofwarfighting and peacekeepingmissions, the units flown are morerelevant than ever, and in

particular the large Predator andGlobalHawk, which today number around300 active or waiting to be flown units.

For both in-theater and tactical-level roles,it is still by all accounts a smalladdressable market, but as technologyadvances in various bands, manypossibilities are opening up not just forthe established Ku-band market but forsmaller beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS)hardware using MSS commercialsatellites.

Information for this article was extractedfrom the NSR report entitled:Government & Military SatelliteCommunications, 6th Edition

by NSR

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The Pay TV market continues to grow, despite a depressed economy. ABI Research anticipates that from 2009 to2014 the worldwide pay TV market will grow from 672 million to 846 million subscribers. Cable will remain thelargest pay TV market with over 471 million subscribers in 2009 and growing to an estimated 539 million by 2014.Satellite will remain the second largest pay TV platform with 151 million subscribers in 2009 and just under 200million by 2014 . Telco TV is expected to command the highest growth through the forecast window, although as amarket it is starting from a smaller base (in relation to cable and DBS), 30 million in 2009 growing to 81 million in2014.

Global Pay TV Subscribers (in millions)

Satellite, Cable and TSatellite, Cable and TSatellite, Cable and TSatellite, Cable and TSatellite, Cable and Telco Telco Telco Telco Telco TVVVVV

Source: ABI Research (www.abiresearch.com)

Gilat Satellite NetworksBoundless Experience in Satellite Communications

• Corporate HQ (972) 3 925 2000 • Australia (61) 3 9866 6877 • Brazil (55) 21 2142 6600 • Colombia (57) 1744 9494 • India (91) 120 4670600 • Kazakhstan (7) 7272 596575/7 • Mexico (52) 55 110 016 00 • North America (1) 703 848 1000 • Russia (7) 495 981 0965 • South Africa (27) 12 344 0240 • Thailand (66) 2 634 1780 www.gilat.com

Gilat Satellite Networks is a leading provider of satellite communications products, services and solutions. For over 20 years, Gilat has been at the forefront of VSAT technology and continues to be an innovator and developer of new satellite technologies. Gilat’s solutions serve the communications needs of carriers, enterprises, governments, service providers and consumers around the globe. Gilat’s SkyEdge™ and SkyEdge II platforms provide added value to operators and service providers through excellent performance, integration and easy deployment, enabling the effi cient delivery of broadband data, voice and video services. The newest addition to Gilat’s SkyEdge II portfolio is NetEdge™, a dedicated solution for multi star networks, specifi cally designed to meet the needs of corporations and cellular backhaul applications. For more information, please visit www.gilat.com.

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Satellite ExSatellite ExSatellite ExSatellite ExSatellite Executive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefecutive Briefinginginginging February 16, 201014

The Satellite Markets 25 IndexTM is a composite of 25 publicly-traded satellite companies worldwide with five companiesrepresenting each major market segment of the industry: satellite operators; satellite and component manufacturers;ground equipment manufacturers; satellite service providers and consumer satellite services. The base data for theSatellite Market Index is January 2, 2008--the first day of operation for Satellite Market and Research. The Index equals1,000. The Satellite Market IndexTM provides an investment benchmark to gauge the overall health of the satelliteindustry.

© 2009 Satellite Markets and Research, Satellite Executive Briefing and the Satellite Market IndexTM are trademarks of Synthesis Publications LLC. Synthesis PublicationsLLC is the owner of the trademark, service marks and copyrights related to the Index. This newsletter does not constitute an offer of an investment product. SatelliteExecutive Briefing makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing based on the information provided in the Satellite Markets IndexTM. All information isprovided ‘as is’ for information purposes only and is not intenteded for trading purpose or advice. Neither Satellite Executive Briefing nor any related party is liable for anyinformational error, incompleteness or for any actions taken based on information contained herein.

Comparison of Indices Index value Percentage Change (Feb. 16 ’10) 2 Weeks ago 2 yrs. agoSatellite Markets 25 IndexTM 1039.57 6.34%

S & P 500 1079.13 .48% 25.17%

Satellite Markets 25 IndexTM

3.95%

Price % change fromCompany Name Symbol (Feb 15) 52-wk Range 52-wk High

Satellite Operators

AsiaSat 1135.HK 11.04 -1.25% 7.10 - 12.80 11.72%Eutelsat Communications ETL.PA 24.75 5.91% 14.90 - 24.39 1.08%Hughes Communications Inc. HUGH 26.15 0.62% 7.77 - 31.52 17.04%Inmarsat ISAT.L 720.00 5.42% 398.75 - 731.50 2.44%SES SES.F 16.80 7.01% 12.76 - 16.38 3.13%

Satellite and Component Manufacturers

Boeing BA 59.65 -1.21% 29.05 - 63.40 5.91%COM DEV International Ltd. CDV.TO 3.36 -2.61% 2.52 - 4.15 6.99%Lockheed Martin Corp. LMT 75.58 1.50% 57.41 - 87.06 13.19%Loral Space and Communications LORL 29.50 3.87% 8.90 - 34.93 15.55%Orbital Sciences Corp. ORB 17.25 9.45% 11.60 - 17.33 0.46%

Ground Equipment Manufacturers

C-COM Satellite Systems Inc. CMI.V 0.2850 -5.00% 0.22 - 0.39 17.95%Comtech Telecommunications Corp. CMTL 31.36 -11.36% 19.56 - 41.70 24.80%CPI International, Inc. CPII 12.53 15.80% 5.67 - 14.48 13.47%EMS Technologies, Inc. ELMG 13.50 5.14% 12.00 - 24.00 43.75%Viasat VSAT 29.05 5.22% 15.90 - 32.94 11.81%

Satellite Service Providers

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. GILT 5.38 0.00% 2.75 - 5.80 7.24%Globecomm Systems Inc. GCOM 7.36 1.24% 4.29 - 8.57 14.12%International Datacasting Corp. IDC.TO 0.3050 5.17% 0.22 - 0.43 23.26%ORBCOMM Inc. ORBC 2.40 5.26% 1.16 - 3.23 25.70%Skyterra Communications SKYT.OB 4.88 0.21% 2.00 - 4.94 44.86%

Consumer Satellite Services

British Sky Broadcasting Group BSY 33.15 -1.98% 23.56 - 38.54 13.99%The DIRECTV Group DTV 30.69 0.99% 18.81 - 34.42 10.84%ECHOSTAR Communications DISH 18.38 0.49% 8.79 - 22.18 17.13%Globalstar, Inc. GSAT 0.98 3.16% 0.19 - 2.00 51.00%Sirius XM Radio Inc. SIRI 0.8917 7.81% 0.08 - 0.95 6.14%

% Change from2-Weeks Ago

The Satellite Markets 25 IndexTM

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Featured Event

VVVVVererererertical Communications Marktical Communications Marktical Communications Marktical Communications Marktical Communications Markets Seriesets Seriesets Seriesets Seriesets SeriesRRRRReturns to SouthEaseturns to SouthEaseturns to SouthEaseturns to SouthEaseturns to SouthEast Asia for the 2nd Annualt Asia for the 2nd Annualt Asia for the 2nd Annualt Asia for the 2nd Annualt Asia for the 2nd Annual

Broadband Maritime EvBroadband Maritime EvBroadband Maritime EvBroadband Maritime EvBroadband Maritime Evententententent

2nd Annual Broadband Maritime: SouthEast AsiaFebruary 23-24, 2010 Singapore

The Global VSAT Forum (GVF) and United KingdomEvent Management Partners (UK-EMP) haveannounced that the offer of free conference registration

for relevant vertical market professionals originally introducedfor their Oil & Gas Series conferences will be continued forthe next in the series of industry-specific communicationsconferences – the Broadband Maritime South East Asia: NewCommunications Networking Offshore & the High SeasConference (BMSEAC) – taking place 23rd to 24th February2010, at the Marina Mandarin hotel in Singapore.

The Conference, the second in the Series for the Maritimevertical to focus on the South East Asia region, will featureparticular attention on the following key subject areas:

(1) Key hardware technology developments in the design anddeployment of state-of-the-art stabilised satellite antennaswhich enable effective satellite tracking and maintenance ofsignal integrity as vessels pitch and roll, whilst maintainingconstant reliability through robustness and rugged designagainst challenging weather conditions;

(2) New service provisioning, delivering ‘always on’broadband applications with Quality of Service guaranteesthat go beyond basic ‘pay-by-the-minute’ service types andwhich facilitate greater predictability in mission criticaldelivery, as well as accuracy in the calculation of the cost ofcommunications and, therefore, improved corporate overheadsbudgeting; and,

(3) Access to applications and networks: meeting today’simperative for constant, seamless and cost-effectiveconnectivity to ensure optimised exploitation of physicalmaritime assets, maximised passenger satisfaction, maximizedcrew welfare, and optimized navigational safety.

The first Broadband Maritime South East Asia Conference,held in February 2009, was the first departure of the GlobalVSAT Forum (GVF)/UK Event Management Partners (UK-

EMP) Partnership beyond the communications conferences ithas organized for the Oil & Gas vertical market since 2006.After eight conferences for the energy industry, as well as onefor the maritime vertical, comes the 2nd Annual, BroadbandMaritime South East Asia Conference (BMSEAC). BMSEACwill examine the widespread deployment of advancedcommunications technologies and services that are constantlyaccessible anywhere at sea.

Moreover, the conference agenda will look to the fact that whilstthere has already been much recent improvement in theavailability of advanced communications at sea, it is only nowthat the maritime communications environment is progressingfully, from a mainly narrowband communications arena, andinto the broadband age, exploiting the increased synergies ofadvances in satellite equipment technologies and theavailability and accessibility of new bandwidth across, andlinking, all the world’s oceans.

For more information go to: www.uk-emp.co.uk/MA2.Sg.2010/index.htm or e-mail: [email protected]

This Conference is free to al l MaritimeIndustry representatives:

• Shipping Companies, Management, OwnersOperators,

•Containers, Cruise Lines, Ferry Operators,

•Rig Owners & Operators, Port Authorities

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Take Your Network To Its Leading Edge1. 8 8 8 . 231.9 8 0 0

[email protected]


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