Transcript
Page 1: Intro to Financial Management

Intro to Financial Management

The Time Value of Money

Page 2: Intro to Financial Management

Review

• Homework• How do you calculate and what do these ratios mean?

– Current ratio– Acid-test– Inventory turnover– ROS, Return on sales– ROA, Return on assets– ROE, Return on equity– Debt ratio– Leverage ratio– P/E

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Review

• What is on an income statement?– What is common-sized?

– What are gross profit margin, operating profit margin, net profit margin, earnings, and earnings per share?

– What do these terms tell you?

• What is on a balance sheet?– What is common-sized?

– What are book value, working capital, debt and leverage ratios?

– What do these terms tell you?

• What is on a cash flow statement?– What are the three major areas of cash flow?

– Why is this different from profit?

• What are the basics of computing corporate taxes?

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The Time Value of Money

• Would you loan $1000 today and want $1000 in ten years?

• Examples– Lottery– Mortgage– Banking

• Foregoing money today for money in the future– “Opportunity cost”

• Interest is the cost of money

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Future Value (FV)

• If you invest a lump sum today, what will it be worth in the future?

• Compounding interest– No more new money put in– Receive interest each year; it builds up

• Future value– Formula– Future value factor

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Calculating FV

• Calculating future value. Excel and calculator.– Must have both a positive and negative number

• May also need to solve for n– E.g. How many years will it take to reach $1M?

• May want to know r– E.g. What interest rate do I need to reach $1M in n years?

• Examples– How long to get to $1M?

• Here you have to solve for n.

• On a calculator with PV/FV, enter the data and CPT n

• On a calculator without PV/FV, the formula is

n = log(FV/PV) / log(1+r) (you can also use ln instead of log)

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Present Value (PV)

• What is a single payment in the future worth today?• Future money can be expressed in today’s dollars.

– Formula– Present value factor

• Calculate using calculator and Excel• Example

– What is $10,000 ten years from now worth today at 4% interest?

• How do we deal with two different flows?– E.g. $5k in 5 years plus $10k in 10 years

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Annuities

• Series of equal payments• Want to know either

– How much you would pay today to receive those payments in the future

or– If you are investing those payments, how much will they be worth in

the future

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Simple Annuity

• Receive the same payment every year for n years– What is that worth now?– I.e., what would you pay now to get that annuity?

• PV = PMT * (1 – present value factor) / r

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Compound Annuity

• You invest the same amount each period for n periods– The value grows as you:

• Receive interest on your balance

• Invest new money each year

• FV = PMT * (future value factor – 1) / r

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Amortized Loans

• Loans where you pay back the principal plus interest in equal payments throughout the period• E.g. a mortgage

• Treat like a simple annuity and solve for PMT• PV is the amount of the loan, what you are given

• n is the number of periods• For a 30-year mortgage, you have 12*30 periods because they are paid

monthly

• r is the interest rate• For a mortgage, take the interest rate and divide by 12 (you pay 1/12th each

month)

• Solve for PMT• The payments include both interest and principal

• Example, how big a mortgage can you get if you can afford $1250 a month for 30 years at a rate of 4%?

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Comparing Interest Rates

• Interest can be calculated in many ways– Compare annual interest of 1% and monthly at 1%– Need a common benchmark

• Annual percentage rate (APR)– Also known as effective annual rate (EAR)

• FV and PV for non-annual periods (m periods in a year)– General case of a mortgage. – Instead of n, substitute n*m– Instead of r, substitute r/m

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Perpetuity

• An annuity that continues forever

PV = PMT / r

• What is the value of a perpetuity that pays $1000 if the interest rate is 8%?

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Summary

Today n periods Future Type Formula

?? Discount value by r each period $FV Simple PV PV = Fvfactor * FV

$PV Receive return r each period ?? Simple FV FV = PVfactor * PV

?? Receive $PMT each period - Simple Annuity PV = PMT * (1 – present value factor) / r

- Invest $PMT each periodBalance earns r each period

?? Compound Annuity

FV = PMT * (future value factor – 1) / r

?? Receive $PMT forever - Perpetuity PV = PMT / r

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Problem

• Congratulations, you just won the lottery for $25 million.• The lottery will pay you $100,000 a year for 25 years• What is the cash value of this lottery, assuming an

interest rate of 8%?• What would you do if the cash value offered by the state

was less or more than the amount you calculated?