Human Population Project
Advanced BiologyAdvanced BiologyDigital Poster PresentationsDigital Poster Presentations
2007-20082007-2008
Ashley Arribeno, Erick Verduzco, Marco Sanchez, & Oscar Quezada
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data Base.
Country Arable Land
Permanent Crops
Other Change in 2050?
France 33.46% 2.03% 64.51% +Tanzania 4.23% 1.16% 94.61% +United States
18.01% 0.21% 81.78% +
2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050France 100.1 101.2 105.5 108.2 109.5 109
Tanzania 45.4 47.3 56.4 63.8 70.1 75.4United States 33.2 33.2 36.7 39.7 42.8 45.9
Density (Persons per sq. km.)
Density (Persons per sq. km.)
Land Use Land use refers to the amount of Land use refers to the amount of land there is in a country. As land there is in a country. As
you can see on the table below you can see on the table below we divided it into three different we divided it into three different types of land use. Arable land is types of land use. Arable land is the land cultivated for crops like the land cultivated for crops like wheat, maize, and rice that are wheat, maize, and rice that are replanted after each harvestreplanted after each harvest.
The Permanent crops is the land used to cultivate but is not
replanted after each harvest. And other refers to, forests and
woodlands, built-on areas, roads, barren land, etc
Adult MortalityImpact of Curing Malaria and Heart Disease
Tanzania
United States
France
Curing Malaria
Curing Heart Disease
Impact on Adult Mortality
No Impact
45,000 people would live
Malaria isn’t common in developed countries. If we cure heart disease then our population would increase and adult mortality would decrease.
No Impact
106,000 people would live
There is no impact if we cure malaria because we have more resources. Heart Disease on the other hand, is the leading cause of death in developed countries because of lack of exercise and diet. Adult mortality would decrease.
56,000 people would live
14,000 people would live
Curing malaria and heart disease would cause the population to explode. The consumption would increase and the quality of life will decrease because of overpopulation. And starvation would replace malaria.
By: Pedro A., Alexandra M., Zefora O., Ileana P. Source:nationmaster.com
Populations of France, The United States of America, and Tanzania
Total Population 2008
64,057,790
Growth Rate
0.6%
Births (in thousands)
815
Deaths (in thousands)
543
Predicted Population of 2050
69,768,223
Total Population 2008
303,824,646
Growth Rate
0.9%
Births (in thousands)
4,308
Deaths (in thousands)
2,513
Predicted Population of 2050
420,080,587
Total Population 2008
40,213,162
Growth Rate
2.1%
Births (in thousands)
1,412
Deaths (in thousands)
520
Predicted Population of 2050
66,843,312
By: Katie, LeAnna, Sam, and Molly
Life ExpectancyHow would the cure of Malaria & heart disease impact developed and undeveloped nations?
Blake Mays, Lakiesha Wickliffe, Dalhia Medina
UnitedStates
France Tanzania
Life expectancy (in years) :
71 81 51 Births(in thousands):
4,308 815 1,412 Heart Disease Major impact
With a lot of obesity and not enough exercise heart disease is common curing
heart disease will cause a higher number of elderly and people to reproduce.
Major impactDue to the amount of people that smoke
curing heart disease will increase life expectancy which will give more time for reproduction and have a higher number
of elderly
No impactHeart disease is not common in
undeveloped nations because they have a healthy diet and exercise is a
daily routine
MalariaNo impact
Malaria is not common in developed nations
No impactMalaria is not common in developed
countries.
Major ImpactMalaria kills a majority of the children
year 0-5 years old and pregnant women. If cured it will increase the reproduction rate immensely and
more kids will be born
Source: US Census Bureau
Impact of curing malaria and heart disease on variable
Sarkis Nalian & Zach Carr
France Tanzania U.S.
N 63,681,742 39,384,223 301,139,940
R 272,000 892,000 1,795,000
G .6% 2.1% .9%
Curing Malaria
No effect because
malaria isn’t prevalent
Dramatic increase in
population if malaria was
cured
No effect because
malaria isn’t prevalent
Curing Heart Disease
Increase in life expectancy/ increase in population
No effect on developing countries
Increase in life expectancy/ increase in population
G = N x RSource: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/ibd/
Key:
N: whole population
R: net rate
G: growth rate
Andrew Jacobs, Zach Tomp, Steven Brush, Parker Munoz USA France Tanzania
NetMigration
887,000 95,000 -60,000
Effect of Heart Disease
If we cured heart disease then there would be no effect because the same amount of people would still come, and people still would not want to leave
If we cured heart disease in France then the emigration would increase because more people would be mobile and be able to leave
If we cured heart disease in Tanzania then there would be no effect because not many people are effected by heart disease in Tanzania
Effect of Malaria
If we cured malaria in the USA the there would be no effect because not many people are effected by malaria in the USA
If we cured malaria in France the there would be no effect because not many people are effected by malaria in France
If we cured malaria in Tanzania then more people would leave because more people would be able to get permits because other countries only want healthy people coming into their countries
0
2
4
6
8
Amount of Water
(thousand cubic
meters)
France Tanzania U.S.
Country
Water Supply Amount/Quality
2003
By:
Evelyn Contreras
Lauren Mundell
Victor Muñoz
Diana Nguyen
Source:http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/env_wat_ava-environment-water-availability
Water Supply and Quality Impact Comparison from 2003 v.s. 2050
However, if the water supply and quality increases it will mostly affect the areas of France and Tanzania. Due to our already decent quality of water it will not have such an impact on the U.S.
If the population increases, then the availability of the water supply for each country will decrease. However, the U.S. won’t be affected as much as France or Tanzania, since the U.S. have around 7 thousand cubic meters of water now, while France and Tanzania only have around 3 thousand cubic meters.
Infant Mortality
United States
Tanzania France
Infant Mortality
Rate
6 deaths
(per 1000 births)
70 deaths
(per 1000 births)
3 deaths
(per 1000 births)
Curing Malaria
NO IMPACTMalaria has little to no
effect in developed countries.
HIGH IMPACTMalaria mainly affects pregnant women. 90%
of malaria deaths occur in sub-Saharan
Africa.
NO IMPACTMalaria has little to no
effect in developed countries.
Curing Heart
Disease
HIGH IMPACTHeart disease is the
leading cause of death in developed
countries.
NO IMPACTHeart disease has little
to no impact in developing countries.
HIGH IMPACTHeart disease is the
leading cause of death in developed
countries.
By: Kaylen Bryan, Luisito Moreno, Ellysha Sunga, Luis Dominguez
Source: U.S. Census Bureau-IDB
Ecological Footprint: 2050 vs. Today
Renelde Foiles Amelianne HaskinsAndrew Collier Jordan Lostritto
Ecological Footprint United States France Tanzania
Consumption of Oil 20,730,000 barrels per day
197,000 barrels per day
23,000 barrels per day
Consumption of Bottled Water
*1 litres=.264 gallons
46.8 litres of water consumed
146.6 litres of water consumed
Only 60% of the population has access
to reliable water
Total Land Use 9,161,920 km² of land used
550,100 km² of land used
883,590 km² of land used
Prediction for 2050 Oil- Decrease *due to the rising gas prices
Water- Increase*the growing population
Land- Decrease*over population
Oil- No change*most use public trans.
Water- Increase*the growing population
Land- Decrease*the growing population
Oil- No change*is a 3rd world countryWater- No change
*not enough have access to water
Land- Increase*growing population room
to expand
nfant ortality
7.025.68
6.373.76
3.043.41
78.84
64.33
71.69
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
U.S.A France Tanzania
Males Females Total (average)
Curing Heart Disease
Curing Malaria
U.S No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality
No impact- There is no risk of Malaria in the U.S
France No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality
No impact- There is no risk of Malaria in France
Tanzania No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality
It would decrease the amount of infant mortality and increase the populationSources
http://www.traveldoctor.co.uk/malaria.htm
http://dying.about.com/od/causes/tp/infantdeath.htm
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html
Jordy Adamski, Dillon Polito, Danielle Brown, Alycia Dawson
Variable: Immigration Emigration
Source: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/By: Deanna Rahim, Vannesa Rodriges, Lupita Sandoval , Period 5, 4-14-08
Immigration Emigration
Countries and
States
Net MigrationRate
Net Number by Migrants
Impact of curing malaria and heart
disease
France
2008: 1(in thousands)
2008: 95 (in thousands)
Impact would increase the number
of immigrants which is bad because increasing
unemployment and potential ethnic strife
would be a huge problem
Tanzania
2008: -1(in thousands)
2008:-60(in thousands)
Impact would not happen, it is not
common in developed countries this is good because there won’t
be a problem
United States
2008: 3(in thousands)
2008: 887(in thousands)
Impact would increase the number of
immigrants which is bad because increasing
unemployment and potential ethnic strife
would be a huge problem
Population DensityCountry Year 2008 Year 2050
United States 33 ppl./km2 45.2 ppl./km2
Tanzania 45.4 ppl./km2 74.4 ppl./km2
France 100 ppl./km2 109 ppl./km2
Population density rises in correlation to population growth. Taking into account that over half of earth’s land mass is desert and mountain, the population changes associated with the population density for 2050 would surely increase human crowding. Indicated in the chart above, Tanzania exhibits the most population density growth with the difference of twenty-nine people/km2 whereas France and the U.S. show slighter changes in growth. This could pose overpopulation for Tanzania if it continues at that rate after 2050.
http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/ (2000)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_density (2000)
Group: Rochelle B., Alex N., Tien C., & Alyssa N.
Change in EcologicalFootprint
today vs. 20500
200400600
USAFr
anTa
nz
20082050
Population stats• U.S. today - 303,824,646; 2050 - 420,080,587• France today - 64,057,790; 2050 - 69,768,223• Tanzania today - 40,213,162; 2050 - 66,843,312Kevin Green/Kameron Higgins/Nick Nacrelli/Greg Eimerswww.census.gov/icp/www/idp www.footprintnetwork.org
Tanzania USAFrance
Life Expectancy
Tanzania France United States
Average Life expectancy
50 years 80 years 78 years
Live expectancy after curing heart disease
Won’t affect the life expectancy.
Small increase.
Large increase.
Life Expectancy after curing malaria
Large increase.
Small increase.
No increase.
If we find a cure for malaria then Tanzania's life expectancy will be greatly affected. It will increase because many people that live in Tanzania die from malaria due to lack of technology. The cure for heart disease won’t really affect Tanzania because heart disease isn’t a problem.
If a cure is found for heart disease or malaria in France, then there will be a small increase in life expectancy due to the fact that not many people in France are affected by heart disease or malaria.
In the United States many people die daily from heart disease therefore, if a cure were to be found there would be a dramatic increase in life expectancy. As for malaria, there would be no increase because no one is affected here.
Source: CIA World Fact book
By: Alex Hughes, Amy Trousdale, Elizabeth Cho, and Molly Finn
France:
Tanzania: United States:
Prediction: Water usage is all about the population and the resources to find good quality water. For France it will stay about the same since their population is declining. Tanzania will strike hard times as the population increases they wont have the resources to receive quality water for their people. Finally the United States will stay the same except for the freshwater withdrawal, there will be more.
Irrigated land:
total: 26,190 sq km; metropolitan
France:26,000 sq km1,840 sq km 223,850 sq km
Total renewable water resources:
189 cu km 91 cu km 3,069 cu km
Freshwater withdrawal (domestic/industrial/agri
cultural):
total: 33.16 cu km/yr (16%/74%/10%) per capita: 548 cu m/yr
total: 5.18 cu km/yr (10%/0%/89%)
per capita: 135 cu m/yr
total: 477 cu km/yr (13%/46%/41%)
per capita: 1,600 cu m/yr
Irrigated Land in 2050:
Will stay about the sameWill slightly decline
because of a slight lacking in quality water.
As the population increases there will be more irrigated
land. Therefore more water to that cause.
Total renewable water resources in 2050:
Will stay about the same Not many resources available to renew the water
Will stay about the same
Freshwater Withdrawal in 2050:
The cubic kilometers per year will drop slightly but
have no true impact.
Be difficult to find fresh water for the people to use that is healthy enough for them.
The united states will have the same amount withdrawn, but
the water supply will be running low.
Water Variable:
Sources: www.cia.gov Helen Kania, Zack Stevens, Rayna Bell, Germain Stewart per. 5
The water across the world is an issue and it is slowly
declining because fresh water resources are starting
to lower.
By 2050 many countries around the world will have less
access to clean water.
Land Use
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2018.html
By: Tam Ly, Heather Murphy, Nathaniel Radovan - Period 5
April 11, 2008
Country (2008)
Type of land used
Percentage
Predicted for 2050
Tanzania Arable 4.23% Increase
Permanent crops
1.16% Decrease
Other 94.61% Increase
France Arable 33.46% Increase
Permanent crops
2.03% Decrease
Other 64.51% Increase
U.S. Arable 18.01% Increase
Permanent crops
0.21% Increase
Other 81.78% Decrease
Arable - land that can be used for growing crops. Permanent crops - and cultivated fir crops.Other - any land not arable or under permanent crops; includes permanent meadows and pastures, forests and woodlands, built-on areas, roads, barren land, etc.
Predictions:Tanzania- The amount of land use will increase.France- The amount of land use will decrease.United States- The amount of land use will increase.
France Tanzania United StatesGrowth Rate
(G)0.6 2.1 0.9
Births-Deaths (R)
815-543=272272,000
1,412-520=892892,000
4,308-2,513=1796
1,796,000Total population
(N)64,058,000 40,213,000 303,825,000
Impact of curing Malaria
The population would not be impacted because
malaria is not present in developed nations.
The population would increase because malaria is present in underdeveloped
nations.
The population would not be impacted because
malaria is not present in developed nations.
Impact of curing Heart Disease
The population would increase because heart
disease is present in heart disease.
The population would not be impacted because heart
disease is not present in underdeveloped nations.
The population would increase because heart
disease is present in heart disease.
G =
R x N
By: Chelsea Burton,
Jake Olsen, Dustin
Goldbarg, Ryan Tyson
Source: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Adult Mortality France Tanzania United States N (total population) 64,058,000 40,213,000 303,825,000 r (births Ğ deaths) 272,000 892,000 1,795,000 G (growth rate) 0.6 or 60% 2.1 or 210% 0.9 or 90% Effect of curing heart disease
Population increase No effect on population Population increase
Effect of curing malaria
No effect on population
Population increase No effect on population
Effect on adult mortality
If both are cured the population will increase by roughly 102,000 a year in addition to increased birth rates as well due to the elimination of heart disease.
If malaria is cured the population will increase by roughly 20,000 (only 20% of malaria deaths are in adults, the total is 100,000) a year in addition to increased birth rates.
If both are cured the population will increase by roughly 870,474 a year in addition to increased birth rates as well due to the elimination of heart disease.
Curing heart disease and malaria will affect the adult mortality rates in all three countries but they will be affected differently if they are developed or non-developed. The developed countries will primarily be affected by the curing of heart disease and the non-developed countries will primarily be affected by the curing of malaria. Why? Heart disease is prevalent in developed countries because heart disease is caused by obesity, fatty, processed foods, and lack of exercise. Malaria is present in non-developed countries (especially in Africa) because health care is not widespread and infected mosquitoes are widespread.
Kara LoVecchio, Samantha Martin, Grace Anderson, and Dane Leyva Period 5
Sources: www.census.gov/ipc/wwww/idbwww.americanheart.orgwww.who.int/enwww.malaria.org