Photo: Jimmy Grogan
How to reduce deforesta.on sustainably?
Paulo Barreto Senior Researcher
IMAZON
Forest Day 5 December 5 2011
Durban – South Africa
Risk of deforesta6on
Hazard
Demand
Subsidies
Popula6on
Exposure
Transport
Natural Access
Vulnerability
Biophysical Rules and ins6tu6ons
Deforesta6on rates in the Brazilian Amazon
-‐
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Thou
sand
Km2
Source of data: hRp://www.obt.inpe.br/prodes/index.html
Deforesta6on x prices of caRle and soy
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
-‐
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Price inde
x
Thou
sand
Km2
Km2 deforested CaRle price index Soy price index
Is the recent trend sustainable?
-‐
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Thou
sand
Km2