Horizon Scanning – Reading Signals
@daveparkes@dmulibdirector
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/thomashawk/419107007/in/photostream/
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:A_Devonshire_steer._Stipple_engraving_by_Neele._Wellcome_V0021699.jpg
See - https://www.ft.com/content/bfb7e6b8-d57b-11e1-af40-00144feabdc0
The parable of the Ox
“apparent errors and omissions” made by its former controller and chief financial officer.
http://www.nmc.org/nmc-horizon-higher-education/
identifies and describes important developments in technology likely to have a large impact on higher education worldwide
over the coming five years.
six key trends, six significant challengessix important developments
The Delphi Method: Harold A. Linstone and Murray Turoff (Eds.)
The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. online at: http://www.is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/
Diffusion of Innovations: Everett M. Rogers. Diffusion of Innovations, 5th Edition. New York:Free Press, 2003.
Crossing the Chasm: Geoffrey A. Moore. Crossing the Chasm, Revised Edition. New York:Harper Perennial, 1999.
The Delphi Method
Bring in the panel
Aggregate the results
Inform the process
http://kimcofino.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/diffusion_of_innovation.png
http://kimcofino.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/diffusion_of_innovation.pngHow Innovations Spread (Everett M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations)
How Innovations Spread
The Learning Landscape
Research Questions:SpaceWhat types of learning and teaching spaces do students enjoy? popular and what is missing? How can we look beyond current create a vision for the future?Innovation and InspirationThe shape and purpose of the Academic Library is changing. What innovative activities, services and spaces should the future library to ensure a stimulating, motivating and original experience for Community and CultureEvery university is a community. Is the notion of identity relevant to population, who are they and how is the idea of community we use this to create space with a strong sense of belonging?IdentityThe academic heart of every campus. As libraries continue to perception of them also alters. What does the notion of the Library students and how can we use this to create spaces that project an identity and sense of place?
Methodology:Photo Survey – pre-planned shooting script, places, spaces, objectsBehavioural Mapping – cataloguing student behavior in situFormal interviews – with staff Soft Interviews – students, conversational - desires, needsConcept Mapping – 3 days exploring innovation, priorities, ideasCreative Workshops – visioning workshops for staff and studentsDigital – social media, blog, twitter etcField Work – observation, dataHistorical Contextual Review – review of similar projectsLiterature Review – new learning spacesSite Visits – similar projects across UK
Key Findings:
Space – consistent lack of space, students like window seats, light, silent study, syndicate rooms, seclusion and collaboration space, café, informal space, whiteboards. Space could be improved through revised layout, focus on quality rather than quality, bland and shabby in places. In importance 17% want silent, 9% relaxing space, 8% collaborative. Friendly and welcoming. Most important 24/7, then spaces, then books. Heat, light, noise needs to be managed.
Innovation & Inspiration – guest speakers, events, skills sessions, exhibitions, maker space, breakfast bar, inspirational environments e.g.- Vijay Patel, Urban Outfitters, BL, Heatherwick, Guggenheim, the outdoors, V&A, Serpentine.
Community and Culture – predominantly UG use, vibrant, social, working with friends, need to balance formal and informal. Diverse needs, variety of spaces needed, creative through to secluded. Friendly and welcoming. 59% feel part of the community. Better signage, posters, more visible social media.
Identity – Updated modern aesthetic, contemporary, colourful, vibrant, diverse - physical, social and cultural space, quirky, experimental, bohemian, artistic, exhibit student work and art work.
DMU LLS worked with Nomad Design & Innovation Consultants to undertake 2 days behaviour mapping, 3 days of workshops on concept mapping,develop 76 concept maps, interview 102 students, gather 1,212 votes,provide 4 creative workshops, undertake field and desk study.
A final report was published and work will be used to inform a #FutureLibrary
DMU #Future Library Creative Consultation 2017
http://horizon.wiki.nmc.org/
3D Video
Electronic Publishing
Mobile Apps
Quantified Self
Tablet Computing
Telepresence
Wearable Technology
BYODFlipped
Classroom
Games and Gamification
Location Intelligence
Makerspaces
Preservation and
Conservation Technologies
Cloud Computing
The Internet of Things
Real-Time Translation
Semantic Applications
Single Sign-On
Syndication Tools
Badges/Microcredit
Learning Analytics
Mobile Learning
MOOCs
Online Learning Open Content
Open Licensing
Personal Learning
Environments
Virtual and Remote
Laboratories
Collaborative Environments
Collective Intelligence
Crowdfunding
Crowdsourcing Digital Identity
Social Networks
Tacit Intelligence
3D Printing/Rapid
Prototyping
Augmented Reality
Information Visualization
Visual Data Analysis
Volumetric and Holographic
Displays
Affective Computing
Cellular Networks
Electrovibration
Flexible Displays
Geolocation
Location-Based Services
Machine Learning
Mobile Broadband
Natural User Interfaces
Near Field Communication
Next-Generation
Batteries
Open Hardware
Speech-to-Speech
Translation
Statistical Machine
Translation
Virtual Assistants
Wireless Power
Emerging Technology
• Spurring innovation• Spreading digital fluency• Expanding access and convenience• Fostering authentic learning• Tracking and evaluating evidence
http://hackeducation.com/2017/02/16/horizon
Audrey Watters
Published 16 Feb 2017
Credits
Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4
Advancing progressive learning
cultural transformation
exchange of fresh ideas
models within and outside of the campus
reward teaching innovation
student success at the centre
Real-world skills
employability and workplace development deliver deeper, active
learning experiences skills-based training that integrate technology in
meaningful ways
Collaboration
key for scaling effective solutions. Communities of practice,
multidisciplinary leadership groups, and open social networks evidence-
based approaches
Access is still unequal.
Gaps persist
socioeconomic status, race, ethnicity,
and gender
Assessing nuanced skills
leaders must now consider how to evaluate the acquisition of vocational
skills, competencies, creativity, and critical thinking
Digital Fluency
Training must go beyond gaining isolated technology skills toward
generating a deep understanding of digital environments, co-creation of
content with others
Learning ecosystems must be agile
remix open content and educational apps in unique and compelling ways
Online, mobile, and blended learning
robust strategies for integrating these now pervasive approaches
track how these models are actively enriching learning outcomes.
Lifelong learning
Institutions must prioritize and recognize ongoing learning —both formal and informal —
for their faculty, staff, and students
Possible …
Solvable Difficult Wicked
Authentic learning experiences Adaptation Political and economic
Digital literacy Digital equity Rethinking roles
Longer Mid-Term Short-Term
Advancing Cultures of Innovation Proliferation of Open Educational Resources
Growing Focus on Measuring Learning
Cross-Institution & Cross-Sector Collaboration
Rise of New Forms of Interdisciplinary Studies
Redesigning Learning Spaces
Longer Mid-Term Short-Term
Mixed reality Adaptive Learning Technologies Analytics
Robotics Artificial Intelligence Makerspaces
READ Scan and study things outside and beyond your profession – industry, art, museums, design , leisure, history
ENGAGE Ask, talk, share, who is leading? examples/exemplars, cycles
CREATE Opportunities and the environment to discuss and share, create a vsion– the gap between vision and reality engenders a creative tension
FRAME Ideas, metaphors, language, behaviours, social
CHALLENGE Assumptions don’t offer predictions
TECHNOLOGY The future is not determined by its technologies
Thinking about the future always involves values and politicsThe future influences the present just as much as the past
The Library is facing a Cambrian Explosion ofevolutionary experiments
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joachim_Barrande01.jpg
Horizon Scanning – Reading Signals
@daveparkes@dmulibdirector