1
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect Twitter andrewbolwell
Things are changing so fast that would you have believedhellip
2
Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940
3
India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity
Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars
4
It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue
Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1
5
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Things are changing so fast that would you have believedhellip
2
Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940
3
India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity
Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars
4
It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue
Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1
5
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940
3
India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity
Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars
4
It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue
Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1
5
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity
Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars
4
It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue
Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1
5
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue
Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1
5
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts
Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295
6
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date
So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course
7
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives
8
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
9
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population
10
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth
Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries
11
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
And this growing population is moving to cities
Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering
12
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home
By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
13
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf
And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every
single day14
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of
Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-
breaking-all-the-trends15
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems
Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs
16
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source McKinsey 2012
The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines
httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization
17
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
20
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40
trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro
effect on economic growth and restructuring
Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)
Sources
bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment
bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf
21
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station
bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project
22
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845
(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075
(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source Roland Berger 2014
24
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013
bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic
bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050
25
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible
Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island
26
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world
bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan
bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020
27
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
28
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank
httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43
Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping
Governmentsrdquo
bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy
bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)
bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa
spx30
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70
Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-
robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born
between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-
01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever
(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml
bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml
bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf
35
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics
bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum
bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html
bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020
bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments
Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-
the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
38
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)
httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)
40
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)
bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml
bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html
bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business
bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-
50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-
300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-
largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-
and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215
bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml
bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market
bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015
bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull No Ordinary Disruption
bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape
43
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed
45
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
46
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)
47
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)
48
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year
49
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)
50
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space
51
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate
52
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow
53
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed
54
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time
55
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival
56
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper
57
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk
58
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine
59
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels
60
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses
61
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds
62
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap
63
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone
64
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication
65
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely
66
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise
67
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar
68
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening
69
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes
70
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre
71
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer
72
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain
73
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school
74
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation
75
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip
Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-
exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source Simon Wardley
77
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml
Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements
78
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source HP CTO Office 2015
We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines
At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them
79
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
80
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml
81
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices
82
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses
83
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
84
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-
what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap
plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-
than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can
_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-
peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-
machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731
86
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7
87
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property
Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife
bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml
bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102
89
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon
90
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication
91
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter
bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout
92
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm
93
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml
94
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses
bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech
bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml
bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons
96
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours
97
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions
bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit
bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3
bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement
98
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white
Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye
99
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current
Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118
100
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron
bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden
101
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Sources
bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml
bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php
bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage
bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm
bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller
103
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html
104
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine
105
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwselfassemblylabnet
106
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat
107
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table
108
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA
Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109
110
110