Fishermans Bend
Strategic Transport Peer Review
Wirraway Precinct in 2050
Client // Fishermans Bend Taskforce
Office // VIC
Reference // 16M1997000
Date // 01/09/2016
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Fishermans Bend
Strategic Transport Peer Review
Issue: A 01/09/2016
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce
Reference: 16M1997000
GTA Consultants Office: VIC
Quality Record
Issue Date Description Prepared By Checked By Approved By Signed
A-Dr 26.07.16 Draft Will Fooks Christian Griffith Christian Griffith -
A 01.09.16 Final Will Fooks John Kiriakidis Christian Griffith
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Executive Summary
An unparalleled opportunity
Fishermans Bend is Australia’s largest inner urban redevelopment opportunity and is significant on
a world scale.
When finished it will be home to a busy port, 80,000 residents and 60,000 jobs, plus all the
accompanying activities required to make it a vibrant and successful place for the people of
Melbourne.
It is an unparalleled opportunity but also a real challenge as evidenced by the range of work
completed to date, and the issues identified in the 2015 Fishermans Bend Ministerial Advisory
Committee Report.
Peer review and a pathway forward
GTA Consultants (GTA), in collaboration with David Lock Associates and Andrew Wisdom, has
been engaged to undertake a peer review of all transport planning work to date.
The peer review identifies gaps in the planned transport network and sets out a pathway towards
an agreed and robust evidence-based transport network, that will stand up to community
scrutiny.
The recommended pathway is included as the main output of this peer review.
The nature of the challenge
It is no surprise that Fishermans Bend remains a challenging urban renewal opportunity. It is
significant in scale, sits adjacent to Melbourne’s CBD yet is, from a transport viewpoint, isolated
with poor connectivity to the surrounding area.
Key junctions that allow access to and from the area are presently operating at or close to
capacity, major roads form significant barriers creating severance, walking and cycling is
fragmented and there is no mass transit public transport service.
Furthermore, unlike many large inner city urban renewal projects in Australia and overseas,
Fishermans Bend is largely in private ownership.
Fishermans Bend requires a different approach if it’s to work
Section 2 of this report contains a comparison of Fishermans Bend against a range of potentially
comparable urban precincts both within Australia and overseas.
That work highlights that Fishermans Bend fundamentally different to the central business districts
of our major cities in terms of the ratio of workers to residents, as well as being very different to the
inner urban areas surrounding our central cities, and suburbia more generally.
The port, and the associated freight and logistics demands it generates, is an added
complication that has been factored into the assessment.
Looking internationally provides some useful direction and forms part of the basis for our
recommended approach.
In this context, there was consensus that a business as usual (BAU) approach will result in car
usage similar to the rest of Melbourne. This outcome will produce both unsustainable and
unworkable conditions for the community given the target population and employment densities.
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Target mode shares as the key planning tool
To ensure success, a paradigm shift in transport planning approach and corresponding travel
behaviours is required to deliver on the vision for Fishermans Bend.
The recommended approach places target mode shares at the centre of planning and decision
making. The Australian case studies and international examples confirm that mode shares are
the single most tangible and practical measure to drive decisions across transport infrastructure
from a multi-criteria assessment perspective.
In other words, if target mode shares are achieved in a staged manner (inclusive of the road
network required to support them), we can be confident that the right foundation has been put
in place for Fishermans Bend to be a good place to live, work and play into the future.
The recommended pathway
To deliver an evidenced-based transport plan to support the Fishermans Bend Vision, we
recommend a fit-for-purpose analytical framework, reproduced in the figure over and discussed
in detail in Section 4.
The analytical framework covers all aspects of transport demand, and provides the evidence
base for the supporting road network.
It is predicated on achieving a land use outcome that works for the people of Melbourne, where
the transport network is the means by which the Fishermans Bend Vision is realised.
It considers what the transport network should look like, how it should be staged and how it can
be funded.
The Analytical Framework shown on the next page contains three columns which align to:
i The steps to undertake a transport assessment informed by best practice both within
Australia and overseas
ii Recommended tasks informed by the gap analysis and required to work towards the
justification of the future road network
iii The ongoing program of work the Fishermans Bend Taskforce is managing and how that
can be brought together under an integrated approach.
The pathway is recommended as the basis on which further work proceed, and decisions
regarding the transport network be taken.
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A Pathway Forward: Framework for Transport Network Justification
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Table of Contents
1. Introduction 1
1.1 Background 1
1.2 Purpose 1
1.3 Methodology 2
1.4 Report Structure 2
1.5 Assumptions 3
1.6 Scope 3
2. Part 2: Background Review 4
2.1 The Next Chapter in Melbourne’s Growth Story 4
2.2 The Current Transport Network Serving Fishermans Bend 5
2.3 The Transport Planning Challenge for Fishermans Bend 5
2.4 Target Mode Shares as a Key Planning Tool 6
2.5 An Approach to Planning Transport for Fishermans Bend 7
2.6 The Modelling of Transport 10
3. Part 3: Gaps and Key Questions 11
3.1 Overview 11
3.2 Key Strategic Gaps 11
3.3 Testing Assumptions with Government 17
4. Part 4: Combine Input and Design a Pathway Forward 20
4.1 Overview 20
4.2 Fishermans Bend Agreed and Defendable Targets to Drive Further Work 22
4.3 Strategic Transport Network Justification 25
4.4 Developing a Road Network Plan 27
5. Summary 32
Appendices
A: Workshop Agendas and Notes
B: Key Reference Documents
C: Review of Relevant Background Documents
D: Approaches to Developing and Applying a Road Use Hierachy
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Figures
Figure 1.1: Adoption of a Collaborative Approach 2
Figure 2.1: Fishermans Bend and Inner Melbourne Regeneration Areas 4
Figure 2.2: Indicative Example of Strategic Links to the Wider Area that must be
Defined with Certainty 5
Figure 2.3: Australian Mode Shares – Active and Public Transport Compared to Car Trips
and City Size 6
Figure 2.4: International Mode Shares - Active and Public Transport Compared to
Car and City Size 7
Figure 2.5: Illustrative Model for Scenario Planning 8
Figure 3.1: Inputs to Workshop 2 18
Figure 3.2: Inputs to Workshop 2 (continued) 19
Figure 4.1: A Framework for Transport Network Justification 21
Figure 4.2: Road Network Justification: Detailed Assessment Tasks 27
Tables
Table 2.1: Ratio of Jobs per Residents in Areas of High Public Transport and
Active Travel Mode Shares 6
Table 2.2: A Model Approach to Transport Planning Mapped Against Best Practice 9
Table 2.3: The Changing Transport Planning Paradigm 10
Table 3.1: Gap Analysis and Key Questions for the Recast to Address 12
Table 3.2: Gap Analysis and Key Questions for the Recast to Address (continued) 13
Table 3.3: GTA’s View of ‘City of the Future’ Trends to be Considered in Planning 16
Table 3.4: Land Use Factors Affect Travel Behaviour 17
Table 4.1: Mode Share Targets: Example Case Studies and a Strategic Assessment of
their Applicability to Fishermans Bend 23
Table 4.2: Comparison of Transport and Land Use between Barangaroo and
Fishermans Bend 24
Table 4.3: Consultation Milestones 25
Table 4.4: Analytics to Provide Strategic Justification for Supporting Transport Network 26
Table 4.5: Fit-for-Purpose Demand Analysis to Assess the Road Network Serving
Fishermans Bend 28
Table 4.6: Tasks to Apply a Road User Hierarchy 30
Table 4.7: Example Checklist of Precinct Assessment of Proposed New Laneways 30
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1. Introduction
1.1 Background
The Government acknowledges Fishermans Bend as an unparalleled
renewal opportunity for Melbourne. Totalling over 450 hectares, it is
Australia’s single largest inner urban renewal opportunity. The site
now includes the employment precinct on the northern side of the
Westgate Freeway as well as Webb Dock in addition to its four
existing precincts. Fishermans Bend is adjacent to an expanding
Webb Dock and other port activities related to the Port of
Melbourne.
The Government has stated its many aims for Fishermans Bend,
including a change in planning that will significantly increase employment opportunities in the
area. This is part of a recast exercise that has a greater focus on consultation through
mechanisms such as a Ministerial Advisory Committee and enhanced public engagement.
Getting transport right remains a key issue for Fishermans Bend, even though numerous studies
have been carried out to date. With the recent inclusion of the employment precinct, changes
to the route alignment for Melbourne Metro, changes in transport policy and projects and
development pressure within the area, the need has arisen for the completion of a strategic
transport peer review.
Unlike many large inner city urban renewal projects, Fishermans Bend is largely in private
ownership. In this context, there is a need to develop partnerships between Government and the
property owners to deliver mutually beneficial outcomes for the future residents and workers.
1.2 Purpose
GTA Consultants (GTA), in collaboration with David Lock Associates and Andrew Wisdom, has
been engaged by the Fishermans Bend Taskforce (Taskforce) to undertake a ‘fit for purpose’
review of previous investigations. The aim is then to identify a best practice transport planning
methodology or ‘pathway’, with a focus on the road network, supported by transport modelling
both early or late in the process.
A key output of this study is to develop a methodology or pathway to justify the new road
network proposed in Fishermans Bend to a potential future planning panel. This has been
undertaken through:
A critical peer review of the transport network proposed to date including a review of
past and ongoing transport planning work
A proposed approach to justify the road network and elements of the evidence base
to support that justification.
‘Fishermans Bend
[requires] not the
usual traditional
approach to
planning’ Minister
Richard Wynne at Big
Ideas, New Frontiers
public conversation
July 2016
1
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1.3 Methodology
A collaborative approach was adopted involving an experienced team, including experts from a
range of professional planning disciplines. Figure 1.1 provides an overview of the collaborative
process undertaken to complete the study and arrive at the conclusions contained in this report.
Figure 1.1: Adoption of a Collaborative Approach
The workshops were critical in shaping the findings of the review. These workshops were a wide
ranging exercise that explored the ‘what-ifs’, and we have included the agendas and summary
notes of the workshops in Appendix A to highlight the wide-range of issues that were explored.
The notes do however reflect the range of lines of interrogation pursued during the process,
specifically:
Urban design considerations provided by Mark Sheppard of David Lock Associates
Future cities provided by Andrew Wisdom and GTA
Freight, Public transport, Modelling and Transport all provided by GTA
1.4 Report Structure
The approach to the study and this report is structured in four parts.
Part 1 – The introduction.
Part 2 – Background and the transport planning challenge. This provides a short
contextual overview of the area, identifies the strategic transport planning challenge
and provides a model to address these challenges.
Part 3 – Identifies the gaps in evidence and policy-logic for Fishermans Bend transport
planning.
Part 4 – Recommends a pathway forward and a clear methodology, supported by
additional detail and information on forecasting methodology.
Relevant case studies and examples of best practice are provided throughout the report.
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1.5 Assumptions
The recommendations outlined in this report have been developed as part of ongoing
Fishermans Bend planning activities. As a result, the study was designed to incorporate and
integrate these perspectives. Specifically, the body of work reviewed included:
A range of planning and technical work informed by the Ministerial Advisory Committee
and led by the Fishermans Bend Taskforce
Consultation, media information and public forums
A range of Government inputs and interfaces e.g. planning for Webb Dock, transport
network development planning
Planning led by adjoining/interested authorities, in particular the City of Port Philip and
City of Melbourne.
1.6 Scope
The scope of the study reflected the complex and iterative interaction between a functioning
transport network, stakeholder expectations, policy objectives (at all tiers of Government),
development pressure and achievement of the Fishermans Bend vision.
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2. Part 2: Background Review
2.1 The Next Chapter in Melbourne’s Growth Story
Fishermans Bend today is home to 200 residents, 30,000 workers and an operational port. In 2051 it
is projected to be home to 80,000 residents, 60,000 workers and an expanded port.
Future planning for Fishermans Bend seeks to support a diverse and vibrant community.
Employment in the area is expected to be varied and from a metropolitan-wide catchment with
the employment areas’ function evolving over time. In addition, a fully functioning port must
continue to operate 24 hours a day, 7 days per week at Webb Dock, directly adjacent to
Fishermans Bend.
Fishermans Bend is linked to a city-changing regeneration and infrastructure program that will
significantly alter how inner Melbourne looks and works. Over the next 40 years the epicentre of
Melbourne will move west, and, as illustrated in Figure 2.1, there is an inner arc of new city areas
that will redefine the shape of inner Melbourne.
In response, this study has considered the strategic questions of:
What is the vision for Fishermans Bend, and what does the transport network need to do
to achieve this vision?
What is the strategic role of Fishermans Bend in relation to the Central City, other urban
renewal areas and Melbourne as a whole?
Figure 2.1: Fishermans Bend and Inner Melbourne Regeneration Areas
David Lock Associates Australia PTY LTD
2
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2.2 The Current Transport Network Serving Fishermans Bend
It is generally agreed that the current transport network cannot support
the long term aspirations for the area.
The network is designed to support the area’s current function as an
industrial precinct with limited residential occupancy and an
employment mix reliant on access through road based transport . As a
result, the transport network has a focus on access to the adjacent
freeway system. The road network principally provides for vehicle traffic
with limited public transport provision and underdeveloped bicycle and pedestrian access.
In this context, the recast should address the strategic question:
How will the current transport network perform for people living and working in
Fishermans Bend in 2051?
How will the area be linked to Inner Melbourne development areas?
Figure 2.2: Indicative Example of Strategic Links to the Wider Area that must be Defined with Certainty
Source: David Lock Associates Australia
2.3 The Transport Planning Challenge for Fishermans Bend
Planning for Fishermans Bend should be based on the key assumption that, similar to Melbourne’s
CBD (the Hoddle grid), most people choose not to travel by car.
The congested main road network around Fishermans Bend has been key to informing this
assumption. As a result, strategic transport planning for Fishermans Bend should be based on
It would position
Fishermans Bend
amongst the most
sustainable transport
oriented developments
in the world
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mode share targets similar to that of the Melbourne CBD. This approach aligns with international
best practice.
Mode share targets are globally used as a performance indicator that can be linked to a range
of non-transport outcomes, such as: CO2 emissions, safety, health and economic productivity.
2.4 Target Mode Shares as a Key Planning Tool
If Fishermans Bend achieves its target mode shares in 2051, it will approach the lowest level of car
use of any urban precinct in Australia and would position Fishermans Bend amongst the most
sustainable transport oriented developments in the world.
Fishermans Bend targets are compared to other areas in Australia that are known for high public
transport use in Figure 2.3. The Fishermans Bend vision positions it amongst the city areas that
have the highest public transport and active travel mode shares in Australia.
However, Fishermans Bend has significantly fewer jobs than other areas with comparable mode
shares. It targets a ratio of 0.8 jobs to each resident in contrast to Melbourne and Sydney CBDs
which both have approximately 20 jobs to each resident. This is illustrated in Table 2.2.
Figure 2.3: Australian Mode Shares – Active and Public Transport Compared to Car Trips and City Size
Table 2.1: Ratio of Jobs per Residents in Areas of High Public Transport and Active Travel Mode Shares
Fishermans
Bend Sydney CBD
Melbourne
CBD
North
Sydney -
Lavender
Bay
Docklands Southbank
Population 80,000 22,760 20,030 9,515 5,791 11,311
Jobs 60,000 251,459 186,141 43,028 32,048 34,000
Ratio jobs per
resident 0.8 11.0 9.3 4.5 5.5 3.0
Fishermans Bend
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Fishermans Bend will therefore aim for a major city CBD mode share in the future but will have a
completely different profile of activity given the ratio of jobs to residents.
As a result, it is helpful to look overseas for examples on where
comparable outcomes to Fishermans Bend have been achieved.
A similar analysis is provided in Figure 2.4, with a comparison between
Fishermans Bend and other cities across the world. This figure illustrates
that, at a city level, comparable examples with similar mode shares to the
targets for Fishermans Bend include Barcelona, Vienna and Berlin.
These examples indicate that in order to achieve the desired target transport mode shares,
Fishermans Bend needs to be considered as different to anything else achieved in Australia.
Figure 2.4: International Mode Shares - Active and Public Transport Compared to Car and City Size
2.5 An Approach to Planning Transport for Fishermans Bend
To identify any gaps in evidence supporting the proposed configuration of the transport and
supporting road network, it is important to appreciate what comprises an ‘ideal’ approach.
Broadly, strategic transport planning addresses different futures through a process of scenario
planning. The purpose of the process is to take a ‘big picture view’ and test a range of strategies
that can be structurally different, but plausible, against future city outcomes. This approach to
planning is illustrated in Figure 2.5.
Our approach was underpinned by transparency and diversity of ideas in an attempt to make
sense of future scenarios. We cast a wide net and asked the ‘what-ifs’ from a range of
perspectives.
We have mapped Best
Practice examples and
developed a ‘model’ or
‘ideal’ approach to
transport planning.
City, Population (millions)
Fishermans Bend
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Figure 2.5: Illustrative Model for Scenario Planning
Source: Adapted from Assen et al (2003)
To align the Fishermans Bend’s transport (and road) network planning with local and international
best practice, we adapted three directly relevant examples:
i Infrastructure Victoria’s process to develop a 30-year plan
ii Department of Treasury and Finance’s Investment Planning and Evaluation Guidelines
iii The United Kingdom’s Transport Analysis Guidance.
These three examples all set out an approach to planning that flows from outcomes-focused
strategic planning to a comprehensive technical assessment.
We have mapped these best practice examples and ‘ideal’ approach to transport planning. The
steps in the process and a comparison to best practice is outlined in Table 2.2. This provides the
foundation to identify gaps.
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Table 2.2: A Model Approach to Transport Planning Mapped Against Best Practice
Source: See section 5.2 for sources
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2.6 The Modelling of Transport
Transport modelling is used around the world to forecast the number of users (demand) that will
travel on a transport system at a given point in the future. There are generally three layers of
models: strategic, tactical and operational – these are related as they (should) contain consistent
assumptions.
The traditional approach to transport modelling is undertaken through a 4-step process. These
steps are iterative and there are feedback loops within the process.
The four steps are:
i Trip Generation – how many users are travelling
ii Trip Distribution – where users are travelling to and from
iii Mode Choice – what form of transport users choose to make a trip
iv Route Assignment – what routes users take
The four step model still provides the fundamental basis for insights into future transport patterns.
In areas where development and transport outcomes aspire to be significantly different from a
business as usual approach, the way that modelling is used as an analytical tool is important.
Strategic modelling needs to iteratively test input assumptions and resulting network impacts to
arrive at an 'acceptable' solution for all modes (as defined by the adopted project vision).
This more iterative outcome focused approach to planning could be described as a paradigm
shift in transport planning. An overview of this shift and its considerations are outlined in Table 2.3
as a suitable reference for planning of the Fishermans Bend precinct.
Table 2.3: The Changing Transport Planning Paradigm
Concept Old Paradigm New Paradigm
Definition of transport Movement Accessibility
Modes Cars (and heavy rail) Multimodal – walking, cycling, freight, services,
public transport, driving
Outcomes Congestion (free flow versus speeds),
time cost savings, vehicle Kms
Congestion, reliability, productivity, regeneration,
safety, emissions, urban realm and plan,
supporting land use objectives
Impacts Consider
Speeds, congestion (free flow versus
speeds) vehicle operating costs and
fares, crash and emission based on
vehicle kms
Triple bottom line assessment considering
economic, social and environmental outcomes
Performance indicators Speeds
Level of service (all modes), access (catchments),
user experience, safety, security, and
environmental impacts
Favoured transport
improvements Capacity
Improve all transport options, demand
management, and informing city planning
Planning scope Planning for transport is isolated Integrated planning that is iterative and supports
wider aims and embed consultation in the process.
Table adapted from Litman (2013) The New Transportation Planning Paradigm, Institute Transportation Engineers Journal, June 2013.
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3. Part 3: Gaps and Key Questions
3.1 Overview
Having established a model approach for best-practice transport planning, gaps were identified
between best-practice and the work to date.
The review of work to date covered:
The recommendations of the Fishermans Bend Ministerial Advisory Committee
Consultation with the community
Recent work of the Fishermans Bend taskforce
Technical reports listed in Appendix B.
The gap analysis, provided over in Table 3.1 (over two pages), considers:
Transport planning: the steps in an example approach
What must be done: the requirements of the Transport Integration Act 2010
Fishermans Bend planning: the review of the work to date
Gaps & questions for the recast to address to provide justification for the transport
network.
This gap analysis informed the subsequent development of the recommended assessment
methodology and pathway.
3.2 Key Strategic Gaps
The process also identified key strategic gaps that planning for Fishermans Bend should aim to
address. These gaps are listed below and are covered in more detail in subsequent sections.
Identify agreed and defendable outcomes to drive all technical studies
Incorporate the city of the future into all analysis
Ensure that consideration of the employment precinct and Port is completely
integrated into the process
Full consideration of demand management policy levers.
3
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Table 3.1: Gap Analysis and Key Questions for the Recast to Address
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Table 3.2: Gap Analysis and Key Questions for the Recast to Address (continued)
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3.2.1 Agreed and Defendable Outcomes to Drive Work across
Technical Studies
As discussed earlier, transport mode shares serve as a key outcome-focused planning tool. The
allocation of trips to different transport modes flows down through the modelling process, and
has a critical impact on the assessment of its performance, the range of scenarios and options
tested, and the resulting outcomes.
The mode share targets identified in the Fishermans Bend Integrated Transport Plan (ITP) relate to
residents only, and are ambitious. Currently there is no compelling evidence to demonstrate that
they are achievable.
Future work needs to link the Vision to transport outcomes through target modes shares, covering
issues such as:
i Mode share targets that consider the Employment Precinct, noting that this will be the
major generator of external trips. These targets need to be included in the ITP as it is
likely that the Employment Precinct will rely on a geographically broad employee
catchment of skilled labour as a destination for ‘21st century jobs’
ii Mode shares that are specific, relating to particular development timeframes,
especially relating to the staged timing and delivery of transport infrastructure
iii The evidence base needs to consider all factors influencing mode share targets
including:
the quality of access provided by infrastructure for each transport mode
demographic profile of residents and employees of Fishermans Bend
the availability of local destinations and the number of residents living near their
workplace within Fishermans Bend, which in combination determines the amount
of ‘self-containment’ achieved.
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The role of self-containment or localisation
Fishermans Bend is a peninsula.
Significant effort therefore will be needed to integrate it with surrounding areas, particularly to
support the labour catchment of the Employment Precinct.
Conversely, the connectivity of transport infrastructure to external areas will significantly
influence future travel patterns, self-containment, and the style of urban area ultimately
achieved.
In this sense, supply-side transport capacity provision is a key lever shaping self-containment
and by extension the day-time and night-time population mix of the urban area. Other
influences such as demand management measures and pricing may be used as levers in
planning.
CABE, 2011
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3.2.2 The City of the Future
Melbourne in the future is likely to look far different to that of today. It will be considerably larger,
its residents will be far more connected and people will move around the city differently.
Previous transport planning for Fishermans Bend provided some consideration of emerging
technology and trends. However, given the speed that technology is moving (and the resulting
impact), technology that is commonplace today was not anticipated four years ago.
For example, shared transport networks are now a reality (e.g. Uber operates in 73 countries and
473 cities). These networks are constantly evolving and will be a more important part of the future
of urban transport systems.
Some considerations that were discussed in our review and gap analysis are outlined in Table 3.3.
Table 3.3: GTA’s View of ‘City of the Future’ Trends to be Considered in Planning
Key Transport Related Trends Examples of the Outcomes of Trends to Consider
Changing Demographics of
Melbourne
Melbourne will likely have more people from non-English speaking
backgrounds.
Less access to cars.
Greater movements internationally.
The next generation is likely to
interact with the City in a different
way
The ‘home-work’ trip will become more blurred.
Streets become social spaces (virtually as well as in reality)
Movement vs. Connectivity People are likely to be completely connected and have constant access to
real-time personalised information.
E-commerce
Online shopping is likely to be common place, which will drive increased
deliveries of all goods.
Home-based services are likely to increase.
Changing Work Places Potentially there will be some impact, shared workspaces may become more
common place.
Shared Transport Networks or
Ride sharing
Likely to have a significant impact on transport network.
The industry is likely to grow and new models will develop.
Connected Autonomous
Vehicles
Have the potential to be important but the technology and its application is
still in early days.
Self-driving buses and trucks are all likely to be a reality in the near future.
The need to safeguard mass movement corridors is likely to apply with
autonomous vehicles as individual vehicles will not be able to undertake the
significant carrying capacity of mass transit.
3.2.3 The Employment Precinct
Based on the experience of the team involved in the review, it was unanimously agreed that the
provision of heavy rail and suitable stop locations is an essential part of realising the aspiration for
60,000 jobs in the Employment Precinct.
The process identified a number of strategic gaps relating to planning for the Employment District.
These gaps raised the following key questions:
How does the precinct integrate with the CBD?
Will aspirational jobs in the area be generated by any particular type of land use or transport
connections (and how will this transition over time)?
The area is likely to need to draw in employees from a metropolitan-wide and regional
catchment, but how far is this and what infrastructure is needed?
How does the accessibility of the area increase and link to neighbouring suburbs (including
Intra-Fishermans Bend Connectivity)?
‘Knowledge Arc’ and relationship with Footscray Arden Macaulay the CBD
Southbank and further south to St Kilda.
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3.2.4 Demand Management
The Fishermans Bend ITP should consider a Demand Management Strategy, which Infrastructure
Victoria refers to as ‘changing behaviour, managing demand’.
This strategy should incorporate a range of levers that can contribute to achieving transport
outcomes.
The plan needs to be comprehensive. Todd Litman of the Victoria Transport Policy Institute
conducted research into travel demand management and behaviour change. An extract of his
considerations from his paper How Land Use Factors Affect Travel Behaviour is given in Table 3.4.
This research demonstrates the wide range of factors that can influence travel behaviour.
These considerations could be used to inform demand management in the Fishermans Bend ITP.
Table 3.4: Land Use Factors Affect Travel Behaviour
Source: Litman (2016) Land Use Impacts on Transport: How Land Use Factors Affect Development, http://www.vtpi.org/landtravel.pdf
3.3 Testing Assumptions with Government
Aligned with the Government's commitment to consult on the Fishermans Bend recast, this study
including engagement with stakeholders across State and Local Government and Agencies to
adopt a whole-of-government view.
The primary mechanism for consultation involved a cross-government workshop. This aimed to
test, align and agree relevant principles. Through this workshop, the team gained critical insights
from across Government and was able to explore emerging gaps. Example inputs to the
workshop are provided below in Figure 3.1.
These workshops were used to inform the development of the pathway forward. The outcomes of
can be summarised strategically as:
an agreement that Fishermans Bend is different and needs to be treated with a
non-traditional approach
agreement that a business as usual approach will not deliver outcomes which align
with government and community aspirations
a robust evidence base for transport planning is essential
case studies are likely to be an important source of evidence going forward
identification of specific pieces of research (e.g. research into laneways).
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Figure 3.1: Inputs to Workshop 2
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Figure 3.2: Inputs to Workshop 2 (continued)
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4. Part 4: Combine Input and Design a
Pathway Forward
4.1 Overview
This chapter outlines our recommended pathway, or a course of action to deliver a robust
evidence base that will support the planning of Fishermans Bend.
It incorporates and builds on the work that has already been done (and is currently underway) to
outline a clear and defendable pathway.
The pathway is summarized in Figure 4.1 and Section 4 provides the outline of recommended
future work, with discussion of the different options.
Our recommendation builds on the commentary in the 2015 Ministerial Advisory Committee
Report, which identified the need for a strategic assessment prior to more detailed work.
The pathway provides a three-phased approach to preparing the road network justification,
consistent with this recommendation.
i Vision, Context and Targets: Sets the scene and importantly requires stakeholders to
agree that more of the same is not an option; therefore, target mode shares are
required to drive outcomes and to support the Vision.
ii Strategic Transport Network Justification: Aligns the range of other studies currently
underway in developing the strategic justification for the transport network. This is
achieved through consultation with other transport work streams and the use of new
strategic modelling as an analytical platform. This becomes a key input into the
Integrated Transport Plan for consultation.
iii Road Network Justification: Provides an evidence base through undertaking the
detailed assessment and iterative refinement of options. This step includes more
detailed modelling of all demand, road capacity analysis and delivery planning
(including commentary on staging, phasing, triggers and funding).
4
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Figure 4.1: A Framework for Transport Network Justification
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4.2 Fishermans Bend Agreed and Defendable Targets to
Drive Further Work
Our analysis identified three strategic tasks that are not in the Fishermans Bend work program (but
are potentially a part of the wider Taskforce work). An outline of the process to address these
tasks is provided below.
4.2.1 What Good Looks Like
The ground rules for development of Fishermans Bend can be created through clearly defining
what good looks like.
The Fishermans Bend draft vision sets out good on a precinct basis e.g. ‘exemplar of sustainable
and mixed-use development, and is the lynchpin for Fishermans Bends identity as a world class
urban renewal area’.
Good needs to be translated to transport to show what it means for people travelling to, from
and within Fishermans Bend in 2025, 2035 or 2051.
Defining this should be part of the Integrated Transport Plan (and engagement) and should
consider questions such as:
Is the expectation that 20% of people will be cycling from day 1 or is there a gradual
transition?
Is it an exemplar from day 1, year 1 or year 10?
4.2.2 What BAU Looks Like
Business as usual (BAU) refers to the ongoing state of affairs without any major intervention.
The case for change at Fishermans Bend has been based on the opportunity that it creates as a
large redevelopment precinct. However, the land ownership, the pace of change and the
capacity of the existing infrastructure means that the BAU outcomes are likely to result in a
number of strategic challenges (e.g. unreasonable congestion, air quality and noise).
These challenges need to be carefully reviewed to ensure that they support both state infrastructure
commitments and private sector investment in the area. This may include a day in the life of
Fishermans Bend, or the use of different scenarios to visualise the challenges and the response.
4.2.3 Target Mode Shares
As discussed in detail earlier in the report, mode shares are a critical strategic input to planning
and the basis of the recommend pathway forward. Mode share can be defined through either a
top down or bottom up approach.
A top-down approach is arguably mandated by the Fishermans Bend Vision. Given this,
reference to case studies provide the evidence to justify planning assumptions, including mode
share targets to be reflected in strategic transport modelling.
Mode share assumptions should inform strategic and more detailed modelling and the
subsequent assessment of all transport options.
The end product, which forms part of the ITP, should cover the following:
Background and rationale for using mode share targets
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A long list of case studies to determine applicability to Fishermans Bend. An assessment
of example case studies applicable to Fishermans Bend is provided in Table 4.3
Detailed analysis of the most applicable case studies
Transport modelling process and testing of different assumptions.
Table 4.1: Mode Share Targets: Example Case Studies and a Strategic Assessment of their
Applicability to Fishermans Bend
Example Case Study Applicability
Harbourfront, Toronto, Canada
4 ha on Toronto Harbour and south of Toronto CBD
(Fishermans Bend is circa 250)
Streetcar (tram) line along Queens Quay (boulevard)
Mixture of entertainment, recreational and residential
development
Car: 25%, Transit: 34%, Walk or Cycle: 41%
? -
Limited
employment, small
scale, non-car
mode shares align
Green Square, Sydney, NSW
278 ha site between Sydney CBD and Sydney Airport
30,500 population in 2016; 2030 population forecast for
61,000
High density residential with 22,000 people / sq km
Target mode share for train travel is 63%
? -
The development is
in planning stage.
Early outcomes are
potentially
relevant.
Battersea Power Station, London
59 ha site on former Power Station site on south side of
Thames River. Future extension to the Northern
Underground Line funded partly by the developer
Public transport now accounts for the same number of
trips as by private car
Public transport and private car both account for 37% of
trips and active travel 26%.
-
Phasing, delivery
model and
demand
management
Docklands, Melbourne
200 ha site immediately west of Melbourne CBD
Docklands has been heavily criticised but is reshaping the
city to the west. Home of major company’s head offices
and rents are higher than the city. 15 years into a 25-year
plan
Public transport and active travel account for 54% of trips
-
Provides valuable
lessons learnt and
reference mode
shares
Western Harbour, Malmö
Industrial area developed into carbon neutral
environment
Bicycles and pedestrians focused planning
Area can be reached from the rest of Malmö on biogas
buses
Non-motorized Mode Share: 60%, Public Transport Mode
Share: 17%, Car sharing 3%, Car 20%
-
Cycling and
pedestrian mode
shares too high
Hammarby Sjöstad,Stockholm
Ex-industrial location located 6.2km from central
Stockholm. 11,000 apartments
10,000 jobs. Development targeted towards family
dwellings
Car accounts for 21% of Hammarby trips, compared with
32% for Stockholm as a whole
-
Achieved high
mode shares while
catering for families
Barcelona, Spain (population 1.6m)
The streets of Barcelona have been transformed and now
prioritise walking, cycling and place functions
Barcelona has 20% private car use
-
Mode shares similar
to Fishermans Bend
Vision
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Detailed Case Study: Barangaroo Sydney
Barangaroo near the centre of Sydney is comparable to Fishermans Bend. A comparison of the
two urban renewal areas is detailed in Table 4.2.
Table 4.2: Comparison of Transport and Land Use between Barangaroo and Fishermans Bend
Barangaroo Fishermans Bend
26,000 jobs in 2019 and 3000 residents 60,000 jobs and 80,000 residents
No existing transport services to the site Very limited existing transport services
The site’s waterside location, resulting in limited road
access
Constrained by limited access points, which are already
operating above capacity in peaks
A congested road network in the Northern CBD A congested road network in surrounding area,
including the CBD (main connection with area)
Steep grades between the Northern CBD and the
Barangaroo foreshore, Larger walking distances. Yarra river crossings
The Western Distributor/Harbour Bridge approach
dissecting the city West Gate Freeway bisects the precinct
In the case of Barangaroo planning, early traffic modelling recognised the sites limited road
access, and planning approval for Barangaroo South was based on the principle of achieving
high usage of sustainable transport, i.e. public transport, walking and cycling.
As a result of planning approval, mandated mode share targets
resulted in a top-down approach to transport planning for
Barangaroo. In terms of private vehicle trips to Barangaroo, the
target was 5% from initial occupancy. This was achieved through a
comprehensive Travel Demand Management strategy.
The Barangaroo Transport Plan recommends short term initiatives
and detailed planning for longer term initiatives to achieve the
mode share targets. These activities complement the broader
strategies and action plans as part of the NSW Long Term Transport
Master Plan.
The modelling approach for the Barangaroo Transport Plan was as
follows:
i Target mode shares were used to estimate Barangaroo trips by
mode by year
ii Additional future transport services were modelled
iii Trips were superimposed on the new transport network
iv A gap analysis identified the shortfall and recommendations
were made to resolve these gaps.
Source: Barangaroo Integrated Transport
Plan, 2012 Transport for NSW
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Key Lessons from Case Studies
Defining the policy for transport is essential. The policy should outline the outcomes that
the transport should deliver. Internationally targets that are most commonly used are
mode shares.
Modelling is one part of the process. Modelling identifies the challenges, gaps and tests
the response to provide the evidence base that will deliver on the vision.
The vision for Fishermans Bend is achievable but requires the ongoing commitment of
Government to adopting a non-traditional approach.
4.3 Strategic Transport Network Justification
This phase - the strategic transport network justification - provides the preliminary evidence base
for inclusion in the Integrated Transport Plan (ITP). It allows a number of the Ministerial Advisory
Committee outputs to be addressed, and allows key elements, such as a draft user hierarchy, to
be circulated for consultation.
The three phase transport (and road) network planning process provides the basis for agreement,
approval and implementation of the transport network. The justification of the strategic transport
network requires both consultation and a supporting analytic platform based on modelling.
4.3.1 Integration
The purpose of the consultation is to align the technical inputs and outputs across all transport
related studies. This provides the foundation for designing an integrated transport network.
The proposed process is incorporated into the current project program and is delivered through
two workshops, but could also be part of the Fishermans Bend Transport Working Group Meetings.
The purpose and scope of these workshops is outlined in Table 4.3
Table 4.3: Consultation Milestones
Objective Scope
Integration Workshop #1 aligns all technical
studies.
Technical work streams update on progress
Align assumptions & outcomes
Align and reset
Integration Workshop #2 refines strategic
transport network design, including the road
network.
Technical work streams update on outcomes of study
Explain differences
Agree response
4.3.2 Analytical Platform
The analytical approach builds on the integration workshops to
provide the strategic justification of the transport network. The
analytical work is made up of three parts:
i Bespoke use of VITM (all trips, all periods). We recommend a
bespoke assignment model run that includes more detailed
analysis of the Fishermans Bend mode shares and network
impacts. The process uses the VITM road network. Highway
trips are then loaded on the network to test mode shares and
provide insight into network use and congestion. A range of
scenarios are then tested to measure network performance. This approach to
modelling is similar to the that undertaken to support Barangaroo planning. This iterative
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method provides an understanding of the mode shares that are required to achieve a
reasonable level of service on the road network into the future.
ii Network design. The early definition of a strategic road network allows the Integrated
Transport Plan to form the basis for the next steps in this work.
iii Approach to defining a user hierarchy. Setting the strategic plan sets the approach and
objectives in the consultation documents, which helps to legitimise the subsequent
application of the user hierarchy to streets.
The specifics of the task, the benefits and the actions are provided in Table 4.4. These three parts
inform the Integrated Transport Plan. Critically, it provides a fit-for-purpose evidence base for the
transport (and road) network and allows detailed assessment and iterative refinement.
Relevant Ministerial Advisory Committee recommendations:
Modelling to better understand the future transport task, particularly the interface of Fishermans
Bend with the other Central City Precincts (Docklands, Southbank, Dynon and Webb Dock etc.).
Table 4.4: Analytics to Provide Strategic Justification for Supporting Transport Network
The task The benefits of the task The specific actions
Strategic
transport network
design
Integrate all transport requirements
from the road network
Define connections within and
beyond Fishermans Bend
Hold two workshops with technical work streams,
covering:
i Transport integration and impact on the road network
ii Align outcomes
Refine the road network based on inputs from
integration workshops
Strategic
transport
modelling
Clearly identify the scale of the
challenge for the road network
serving Fishermans Bend
Interface of Fishermans Bend with
the other Central City Precincts
Utilise the VITM reference case as a starting point
Create a model run to determine the impacts/benefits
of the road network as a result of lower car use
Compare or determine the required mode share for the
road network to achieve similar results to the reference
case
Map strategic model outputs and provide insight to road
use and performance across journey purposes (e.g. trips
to employment precinct)
Approach to user
hierarchy
Identifies the approach to balancing
priorities across the road network
Applies a non-traditional approach
to planning for Fishermans Bend
Defines assessment guidelines to be
consulted on and applied in the
following stages of planning
Define an approach to balancing road functions and
achieving the aims of the area
Develop a road user hierarchy framework. Examples of
possible approaches are included in Appendix C
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4.4 Developing a Road Network Plan
4.4.1 Process Overview
Alongside wider public consultation on the ITP, detailed assessment and iterative refinement
provides the evidence base for road network justification. Figure 4.2 provides an overview of the
key tasks recommended in support of an evidence based road network plan.
Figure 4.2: Road Network Justification: Detailed Assessment Tasks
4.4.2 Multimodal Demand Analysis
Understanding the throughput of road users (all modes) provides a critical component of the
evidence base to support the road network justification.
Given this, there are significant benefits in investing in evidence based transport modelling tools
for the area. These tools also enable network demand and supply to be assessed and managed
during the ongoing development of Fishermans Bend.
It is essential that all users (i.e. travel modes) are considered.
The demand analysis has three key tasks:
i Detailed assessment of on-road demands, traffic and public transport
ii Detailed assessment of precinct walking patterns
iii Cycling demand modelling.
These tasks provide evidence to support and test the street designs, but also provide a wider
range of long term planning benefits inclusive of the more detailed precinct plans to follow.
The work would also consider the broader social and environmental context around the use of
the road and street network for a range of activities, including opportunities for public open
space.
An overview of tasks, benefits and specific actions to provide suitable demand analysis to test
and justify the road network at Fishermans Bend is provided in Table 4.5.
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Table 4.5: Fit-for-Purpose Demand Analysis to Assess the Road Network Serving Fishermans Bend
The task The benefits of the task The specific actions
1
Detailed
assessment of on-
road demands:
traffic, freight and
public transport
Provides detailed road network
capacity analysis for all vehicles
including freight to/from Webb Dock Allows road designs to be adapted
to future changes in public transport
investment
Can be a key input to Infrastructure
business cases
Enables the assessment of the
performance of new road links
Supports operational planning and
implementation of transport policy
Forms a critical input to transport
impact assessments of individual
developments
Can inform public transport route
and frequency planning
Develop mesoscopic model capable of
assessing the network performance for on road
vehicles and public transport. This should include:
a broader study area including Fisherman’s
Bend and key connections and nodes
including a 24/7 port operating at Webb Dock
utilising the demands obtained from the
strategic model as an input into more detailed
origin and destination trip patterns (shorter trip
lengths)
establishment of the fine grained Fisherman’s
Bend Road network and land use generators
establishment of public transport operation
characteristics (routes, alignments and stops)
intersection control and other capacity
constraints influencing performance.
2
Detailed
assessment of
precinct walking
patterns
Justifies cross sections
Assists in justifying key walking links
Allows with and without assessments
An input to assessing the quality of
links
Develop an active travel module capable of
estimating future walking and cycling
movements in the Fisherman’s Bend precinct.
This would include:
split the model zones into smaller walking and
cycling zones
calculate more refined mode shares for
walking and cycling
estimate walking and cycling volumes for
each zone
determine origin and destination patterns.
3 Cycling demand
modelling
Justifies cross sections
Justifies key cycling links
Allows demand responsive design of
facilities (to maximise the efficient
use of limited road space)
What is a Mesoscopic Model and Why Would We Use It?
Mesoscopic modelling is a transport analytics tool that enables modelling of the operational
performance of the road network for a nominated land use and/or infrastructure scheme.
It provides a greater level of detail compared with strategic modelling as it includes and
accounts for specific information such as:
Intersection and midblock geometries
Traffic flows (queues, shockwaves)
Lane by lane operation
Vehicles as platoons
Truck volumes (sizes/class)
Different control systems (signals, ramp meters, stop signs)
Public transport (routes, stops)
Travel choice behaviour including route selection.
Mesoscopic modelling sits between traditional strategic transport models (four step) and
microsimulation models (that are used for understanding the detail operations of schemes).
The advantage of mesoscopic modelling is that it can account for specific and more detailed
capacity constraints, such as the build-up and dissipation of queues and their effect on
surrounding intersection congestion. Larger geographical areas can be modelled and assessed
with shorter development and processing times (and less cost) than microsimulation models.
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4.4.3 Developing a Road User Hierarchy
Road user hierarchies provide a framework for the planning and operational management of the
network.
To ensure that the network for Fishermans Bend meets expectations by supporting the objectives
of each precinct, there must be a balance between road functions and liveability of the area.
This needs to be achieved in the context of the Employment Precinct and the nearby 24/7 port at
Webb Dock.
Given the above, the process for the user hierarchy (or road user framework) should be:
Build on the approach to the user hierarchy identified in the Integrated Transport Plan
Develop a matrix of indicators to measure performance including those which consider
urban design
Use transport mesoscopic modelling as an input to define the number of users and, as a
result, the potential role of different streets
Cross-reference with the Fishermans Bend vision.
Three example approaches of good practice are provided in Appendix D, these being:
i Transport for London’s Roads Taskforce Plan
ii Transport for NSW’s application of Movement and Place for the Parramatta Light Rail
project
iii VicRoads’ Smartroads Framework.
Case Study: Barcelona, Spain
Barcelona has adopted a ‘Model Superilles’ – a superblock approach to road network planning
where traffic is limited on interior streets.
Barcelona’s mobility plan ‘Model Superilles’ is the key road network policy and is supported by a
range of Demand Management Measures. The plan aims to achieve a ‘use of car’ level of 21%
of all trips in 2018.
Barcelona has a mature road network and the new ‘Model Superilles’ approach is being led to
deliver enhanced liveability and improve economic prosperity by reducing congestion.
Demand Management Measures
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4.4.4 Applying a Road User Hierarchy
Adopting a road user hierarchy is intended to provide certainty regarding any existing or future
road reserve requirements for public transport, traffic capacity, freight movements, active travel
or any other function occurring within the road reserve as a public space. The tasks involved are
set out in Table 4.6.
The process should be:
Create assessment guidelines that include movement and place indicators
Define how the network should be operating by assessing the level of service by mode
Undertake an assessment of new and existing streets.
Table 4.6: Tasks to Apply a Road User Hierarchy
The Task The Benefits of the Task The Specific Actions
Develop performance criteria road
network (based on movement /
place framework).
Allows the qualitative and
quantitative assessment of streets.
Develop performance outcomes
by street and use.
Assess the proposed new links
against agreed performance
criteria.
Provides a targeted evidence base
for new streets.
Cross-checks the justification and
rationale for all proposed streets.
Enables iterative refinement at a finer
level of detail.
Develop and undertake a
checklist of performance
outcomes for all streets (see Table
4.7 for an example checklist).
To check that there is an evidence base for all new or enhanced streets, a ‘checklist’, or
performance matrix, should be developed. An example checklist for new connecting links (e.g.
smaller pedestrian lanes off existing streets) is provided in Table 4.7.
Table 4.7: Example Checklist of Precinct Assessment of Proposed New Laneways
Item Assessment Tool Example Assessment
Designate function of new streets (movement
versus places) and provide descriptive analysis
of function of the lane.
Examples of laneway designation include:
connecting laneways, commercial lanes and
enhance existing laneways.1
Yes – qualitative assessment on a
precinct basis.
Defined as a ‘connecting
laneway’.
Transport benefits – improved journey time
through increased opportunity to follow an
alternate path.
Quantitative – pedestrian,
supported by VITM/mesoscopic
modelling.
Modelling demonstrates that
pedestrians save 3 mins walk
time with new link.
Residential benefits of greater walkability and
connectivity.
Quantitative – pedestrian,
supported by VITM/mesoscopic
modelling.
The modelling provides the
volume of pedestrians
benefiting from the new
lane.
Commercial benefits of greater walkability and
connectivity.
Quantitative – pedestrian,
supported by VITM/mesoscopic
modelling.
Benefits are dependent on
the nature and extent of
ground level activation.
4.4.5 Phasing and Staging Plan
The movements to and from Fishermans Bend are planned to be primarily by public transport,
however this is not from ‘day 1’, as public transport to Fishermans Bend is currently poor and
upgrades will take time.
1 http://www.portphillip.vic.gov.au/Report_7_-_Attachment_1_-_Activating_Laneways_Strategy_-_July_2011_(Proposed_Final).pdf
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In this context, it is important that the road network responds to the phasing of infrastructure
investment through adopting either flexibility (e.g. links protected through public acquisition
overlays/development agreements/planning conditions) or certainty (e.g. links constructed early).
A key issue for Fishermans Bend is the limited government ability to stage development. Private
landholders have the ability to submit planning permit applications at any time and subsequently
commence construction. This presents a challenge to safeguard in the development efficient
and effective future movement and place networks to support the liveability and economic
prosperity of Fishermans Bend.
The phasing and staging plan should include:
A transport network staging plan (covers all modes) to support transport investment and
transition the area to the vision for 2051
Give certainty for the development industry
Lock in the benefits of adopting a mix of flexibility and certainty.
4.4.6 Funding Options
The road network justification should provide a full assessment of funding options to act as
discipline that the transport network can be delivered and to give clarity to the community and
development sector. The funding plan should cover all relevant statutory considerations,
including:
Infrastructure contributions (infrastructure contributions though a standard levy and/or a
supplementary levy)
Levy on development (e.g. extension of the Melbourne’s Congestion Levy)
Resolve all public acquisition overlay (PAO) requirements
assess the ability for the market to deliver some outcomes (e.g. fine grained pedestrian
network)
Special rates schemes
Other value capture mechanisms.
Any funding discussion needs to consider the mix of Government funds (via taxes) versus user
charges versus beneficiary pays. The solution will likely involve a package of all three funding
sources above.
Relevant Fishermans Bend Ministerial Advisory Committee Recommendations:
Road network needs to be refined to a level of detail which enables design which is robust
enough to be costed and included in the Infrastructure Plan and associated funding strategies.
(page 46)
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5. Summary
Many of our recommendations will require a willingness to be bold and adopt a non-traditional
approach to planning.
An evidence based justification for the design of the transport network, including the road
network, will be the result of a logical plan supported by policy, and a process of robust
modelling.
i The Taskforce should seek to resolve the following strategic gaps as early as possible:
Resolve the transport vision, including evidenced and achievable mode share
outcomes at key development timeframes to drive decision making
Resolve the specific nature of the Employment Precinct, its interface with the CBD
and the transport requirements of a 60,000-person labour force catchment across
Fishermans Bend. Current job density aspirations warrant servicing by rail
connections to the wider network (potentially via two stations) at the earliest
possible time
Incorporate the ‘City of the Future’ into all analysis. The transport needs of
Fishermans Bend in 2051 will be different to today, and as such the plan will require
flexibility and adaptability to meet the challenges of the city of the future
Develop a Demand Management strategy alongside infrastructure investment.
ii Economic and transport policy positioning statements signify the vital importance of
commitment to public and active transport. It is important that investment trigger points
be identified to promote confidence and private investment in the long term vision. A
delivery phasing commitment also presents a key input to scenario-based transport
modelling required to justify the proposed road network through the planning process.
iii A three phase plan is recommended as the basis for implementation of the transport
network as set out in Figure 4.1.
Phase 1: Vision, Context and Targets
Sets the scene and importantly requires stakeholders to agree that more of the
same is not an option and therefore target mode shares are required to drive
outcomes and to support the Vision.
Phase 2: Strategic Transport Network Justification
Align and consolidate concurrent studies as soon as possible to form a sound
‘starting point’ for strategic justification of the transport network (and in that, the
road network). This process will facilitate information flow across the transport work
streams via two Integration Workshops.
Undertake strategic modelling to build on the integration workshops, inclusive of
three parts, allowing the Integrated Transport Plan to proceed:
1. Modelling to test road network with different mode shares
2. Define a road user hierarchy
3. Define a strategic road network.
The subsequent Integrated Transport Plan and Fishermans Bend Framework can then
provide an over-arching transport policy framework for ongoing development. It should
provide the strategic basis and rationale for all transport elements included in the
Precinct Plans.
5
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Phase 3: Develop a Road Network Plan with Detailed Evidence
Undertake mesoscopic modelling to allow detailed assessment of on-road
demands, inclusive of traffic, freight and public transport operating conditions
Undertake a detailed assessment of precinct walking and cycling patterns through
demand modelling.
Develop and apply a road user hierarchy to provide a framework for ongoing
planning and management of the network.
Prepare a delivery plan identifying trigger points for infrastructure delivery as well
as funding mechanisms covering all relevant statutory considerations.
The recommended pathway forward is designed to provide government, community and
the development industry with clarity and certainty for the consultation and planning and
implementation staging timeframes and process to follow. This is expected to include
introduction of other relevant statutory planning mechanisms for funding and/or delivery of
transport infrastructure.
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Appendix A
Workshop Agendas and Notes
Ap
pe
nd
ix A
melbourne
sydney
brisbane
canberra
adelaide
gold coast
townsville
perth
Level 25, 55 Collins Street
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
t// +613 9851 9600
www.gta.com.au
Agenda of Workshop #1
Job No: 16M1997000 Date: 22/6/16
Job Name: Fishermans Bend Recast – Road Network Justification Time: 8:30am: 12:00pm
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce Location: GTA Boardroom
Purpose: Internal Workshop
Attendees: Christian Griffith (CRG), Will Fooks (WF), John Kiriakidis (JK), Rory Rathborne (RR), John
Devney (JD), Reece Humphreys (RH), Paul Mantella (PM), Mark Sheppard (MS), Andrew
Wisdom (AW)
Chair and time keeper: Will
Notes: Rory Rathborne
Part Item Description Time Lead
Part 1:
Why are
we here?
1 Welcome and Introductions (10mins) 8:30-
8:40 WF
2
Fishermans Bend Recast Overview: Then and Now (10mins)
From initial reception to interim planning
What has changed. Spatially. Land use intensity. Transport
8:40-
8:50
WF
RH
3
Our Involvement (10mins)
Why does Government need this work?
What have we been asked to do?
Process outline – Ideas, Gaps, Way Forward
8:50-
9:00 WF/CRG
4
Cities Context (10mins)
Melbourne @ 8 million
Opportunities and Innovation
9:00-
9:10 AW
5
Roundtable discussion
Headline thoughts
2 minutes each (strict cut off)
9:10-
9:30 ALL
Part 2:
Ideas
and
Themes
6
Facilitated discussion forum
Principles
Assumptions
Options
Case studies
9:30-
10:30
WF+CRG
/ ALL
Break 10:30-10:45
Part 2
(cont) 7 Discussion continued
10:45 –
11:30 ALL
Part 3:
Outline
the
Roadmap
8
Towards the next project phases
identify the gaps
establishing an evidence base
11:30-
11:45 ALL
9
Next Steps (15mins)
Follow up actions
Next Workshop Wednesday 5/7
11:45-
12:00 WF
melbourne
sydney
brisbane
canberra
adelaide
gold coast
townsville
perth
Level 25, 55 Collins Street
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
t// +613 9851 9600
www.gta.com.au
Meeting Notes (Workshop #1)
Job No: 16M1997000 Date: 22/6/16
Job Name: Fishermans Bend Recast – Road Network Justification Time: 8:30am: 12:00pm
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce Location: GTA Boardroom
Purpose: Internal Workshop #1
Attendees: Christian Griffith (CRG), Will Fooks (WF), John Kiriakidis (JK), Rory Rathborne (RR), John
Devney (JD), Reece Humphreys (RH), Paul Mantella (PM), Mark Sheppard (MS), Andrew
Wisdom (AW)
Chair and time keeper: Will
Notes: Rory Rathborne
Theme Comment
Transport
demands
47,000 trips/day generated by Fishermans Bend – need to better understand how
this has been calculated
Mode share targets do not appear to be a product of robust analytics
Previous review of census data for nearby area shows most trips are to the CBD and
with a high active + public transport mode share
There are a range of levers that influence mode share outcomes
Transport
Modelling
Methodology
How do we set the parameters within our planning system?
Mode shift targets and their relationship to strategic modelling needs to be clearer
VITM alone is only part of the tools - a range of tools are available
Modelling needs to be fit-for-purpose
Assumptions: Those which are fixed vs. those which are negotiable or influenced
Levels of service for each mode
Modelling objectives and KPI’s need to be well defined – what do we consider
‘acceptable’ for this area?
Consultation
and Planning
Process
The fundamental requirement is to provide an evidence base for strategic decisions
– local decision fit within this context
Extensive community consultation and ‘getting things done’ needs to be balanced
There is pressure to ‘get it right’ but often this is not the same
Timeframes are challenging and should be looked at
New mechanisms – development levy on parking spaces? (notwithstanding
relationship car ownership vs. car use)
Will there be additional value capture opportunities beyond the existing
Development Contributions Plan?
Stakeholder signoff on the strategy at the right levels is key
Transport
Network
How can Metro 2 be brought forward or funded earlier?
Role of Metro vs. role of tram needs to be clearly explained
The service provided by the mode is critical
Not just widths but also alignment of networks – flexibility vs. certainty
Any ‘transport network’ needs to justify road space allocation
Conventional levels of car ownership unlikely to stack up and unlikely to be the
reality in the future
Land Use
The market will respond to certainty
Land use assumptions need to be challenged
Sense of ‘identity’ behind the land use – what does a day in the life of a person
living in Fishermans Bend look like?
Residential development approval without employment cannot keep occurring
2 - 160616mmins_16M1997000-Workshop 1 Minutes Page 2 of 2
Theme Comment
Employment
Precinct
The Employment Precinct scale will influence level of self-containment able to be
achieved
Employment Precinct will need access to a significant labour catchment – Metro
will play a key role
Particularly non-descript – needs economic analysis? Will affect trip catchments.
Need to figure out how it links with the residential and the Port.
Should influence the alignment of Melbourne Metro
Connectivity will be a key influence to private sector demand for non-residential
use
Urban Trends
Projections would result in more density than Manhattan
Not an expansion of Port Melbourne/South Melbourne
Not business as usual
Self-containment is critical – for people to live in a 20-minute city
Density is not a vision
Movement vs. Connection
Flexible street grid
Will road pricing play a role? Ownership, planning structure to enable pricing in
future?
Precinct development iteration – different life cycles + renewal
Staging the transition to low-car or no-car cities
Influence of e-commerce
Game changers – automated vechicles.
Freight
Freight model – how will the development of freight routes link into the transport
planning
Web Dock will protect its accessibility
Changing profile of operations and supply chain
Port capacity project – increase in volumes
Rail reserve along riverfront
No connection over the river
Rail freight could return
Development
Process and
Staging
Natural inclination for an iterative approach
Cap on development prior to servicing by rail? (i.e. Stage 2 of Arden Macaulay
contingent of train system, not a new concept)
A new development authority?
Case Studies
Toronto – linear transit oriented development + defined vision
Docklands – superblock theory. Underprovided in terms of infrastructure. Payment
plan for public transport didn’t work. Capacity issues for servicing employment.
Large street sections.
Southbank – driven by small number of developers. Wouldn’t develop without a
connection to St Kilda Road. Low internal walkability. Capital City Zones changes
came too late. Street space interventions occurring after the fact.
City North/Arden Macaulay – Local trips displace non-local trips. Metro was
uncertain at time of rezoning. Development flowing from a transport solution.
Barangaroo, and Macquarie Park – Mode shift and transport planning
Portland – developer contributions model based on non-car and understanding of
economic impacts
The Bays – role of authority (but single landowner)
Transport facilitating land use outcomes – Gold Coast, Bogota, Copenhagen
extension, Curitiba, Piermont
What is behind their success/failure?
melbourne
sydney
brisbane
canberra
adelaide
gold coast
townsville
perth
Level 25, 55 Collins Street
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
t// +613 9851 9600
www.gta.com.au
Agenda
Job No: 16M1997000 GTA Rep: WF Date: 05/07/2016
Job Name: Fishermans Bend Peer Review of Road Network
Planning (Future road network justification) Time:
9:00am –
11:00am
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce (DELWP) Location: Lvl 14 Rm 02/Melb
1 Spring St - DTPLI
Purpose: Agree key gaps and approach to road network justification with relevant
technical stakeholders
Attendees (as
invited):
Charles Waingold (PTV), Dimitri Lolas (DEDJTR), Jeremy Hanlin (MPA),
Julie Hallyburton (DSE) , Katherine Grech (DEDJTR) ,Katrina Hynes (DEDJTR),
Lawrence Seyers (VicRoads), Paul Noisette (VicRoads), Richard Smithers
(CoM), Rod Burke (Taskforce), Simon Rooney (DEDJTR), Tom Courtice (City of
Port Phillip), Christian Griffith(GTA), John Kiriakidis (GTA), John Devney (GTA),
Sasha Yarwood (DEDJTR)
Apologies: Neil Giles
Distribution: All Attendees
Item Action Mins
1 Welcome and Introductions All 5
2 Meeting purpose and outcomes GTA 5
3 An overview of the Fishermans Bend Taskforce recast
exercise and the wider program of work SY 5
4
The study approach and process to date
As a part of the wider recast exercise, the purpose of this project is to review
previous planning reports and policies to identify the critical pieces of work to
justify the transport network (with a focus on the road network) serving
Fishermans Bend precinct.
GTA 15
5
Roundtable inputs
Each attendee will have 2 minutes to provide any headline thoughts or a
summary of any current work in Fishermans Bend area, specifically relating to
the Road Network or Transport assessment (e.g. VITM modelling)
All 30
6
Group Discussion: Gaps in evidence and areas for further
assessment
Meeting attendees will be asked to provide input to the study by:
a. Helping identify any key gaps in evidence (based on their
organisations guidelines or objectives) b. Given these gaps, start to outline potential pathways to deliver an
acceptable evidence base
All -
led by
GTA
25
7 Next steps SY 5
This views of the attendees were not taken as the considered view of Government therefore
the outcomes of the meeting informed the direction of this report but no notes are published.
GTA
Min
ute
s 2
015
melbourne
sydney
brisbane
canberra
adelaide
gold coast
townsville
perth
Level 25, 55 Collins Street
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
t// +613 9851 9600
www.gta.com.au
Agenda of Workshop #3
Job No: 16M1997000 Date: 14/07/16
Job Name: Fishermans Bend Recast – Road Network Justification Time: 13:00 - 15:00
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce Location: 55 Collins St,
Exhibition
Purpose: Workshop 3
Attendees: Christian Griffith (CRG), Will Fooks (WF), John Kiriakidis (JK), Rory Rathborne (RR), Reece
Humphreys (RH), Mark Sheppard (MS), Andrew Wisdom (AW)
Chair: Will
Notes: Rory Rathborne
Item Description Time Lead
1
Update on progress and workshop with Client
Refer to Summary presentation
15 mins WF/JK/CRG
2
Key outcomes from today
1. Agreement on the key questions and gaps
2. A defined pathway forward
5 mins WF
3
Key questions and gaps
Refer to Summary of Key Questions and Gaps
30mins All
4
Pathway forward
Refer to Summary of Work Program
30 mins All
5 Options – SWOT analysis 30 mins All
6 Close and next steps 10 mins WF
melbourne
sydney
brisbane
canberra
adelaide
gold coast
townsville
perth
Level 25, 55 Collins Street
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
t// +613 9851 9600
www.gta.com.au
Meeting Notes (Workshop #3)
Job No: 16M1997000 Date: 14/07/16
Job Name: Fishermans Bend Recast – Road Network Justification Time: 13:00 - 15:00
Client: Fishermans Bend Taskforce Location: 55 Collins St,
Exhibition
Purpose: Workshop 3
Attendees: Christian Griffith (CRG), Will Fooks (WF), John Kiriakidis (JK), Rory Rathborne (RR), Reece
Humphreys (RH), Mark Sheppard (MS), Andrew Wisdom (AW)
Chair: Will Fooks
Notes: Rory Rathborne
Summary of points raised in the meeting
Description
1 An ‘Inner City Framework’ is being prepared, and FB forms an important part of this regeneration
narrative.
2 City of Melbourne has completed some key pieces of work which may be used to inform and
provide a level of rigour to defendable outcomes
3 Fishermans Bend current projections are out of place in terms of its location on the mode share scale
(Figure presented)
4 Peer review work as defined in the Taskforce transport work programme needs to “frame objectives”
of other studies being prepared
5 A “check-in” point needs to be built into the transport programme or other studies to ensure
consistency with key principles
7 Metro to Fishermans Bend is unlikely to eventuate in the next 20 years. There are limitations to what
can be provided in terms of public transport. The limitations need to be made clear.
8 Transport modelling should work to the ultimate scenario but also assess interim scenarios, clearly
indicating the shortcomings/issues to be addressed.
9 The transport work programme and any modelling should not separate “road network” vs.
“transport network”.
10 The modelling being proposed as an evidence basis supporting the Fishermans Bend recast is
insufficient. Government encounters a risk if adequate modelling is not pursued
11 Can an efficiently operating Port and the Fishermans Bend precinct exist? Work is needed to ensure
that this is achieved.
12
The incremental development and staging of transport infrastructure will require re-allocation of
road space. There is a need to consider how development would trigger this. Re-allocation will be a
major challenge but is an operational level of detail that can be resolved through good strategic
planning.
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
Appendix B
Key Reference Documents
Ap
pe
nd
ix B
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
B.1 Fishermans Bend Background Reports
The review covered the following previous planning reports and policies:
Fishermans Bend Draft Transport Work Plan, Taskforce, May 2016
Fishermans Bend Economics and Transport Positioning Paper, MPA, Oct 2015
Fishermans Bend Integrated Transport Plan, DTPLI, July 2013
Fishermans Bend Ministerial Advisory Committee Report 1, October 2015
Fishermans Bend Potential Critical Transport Sequencing, MPA, Oct 2015
Fishermans Bend Road Network Justification, CoPP, September 2014
Fishermans Bend Road Use Hierarchy Network Plans and Cross-Sections, July 2014
Fishermans Bend: An Extension to the Central City – Intersection and Implementation
Workshop Paper, CoPP, October 2014
Arterial Road Connection Feasibility Study, Parsons Brinckerhoff, June 2013
Cycling Route Evaluation, GTA, July 2013
Light Rail Alignment Study, Aurecon, May 2013
Light Rail Options Assessment, Aurecon, May 2013
Summary of Metro Rail Investigations, DTPLU, May 2013
Traffic Study, GHD, April 2013
Transport Issues and Opportunities Study, AECOM, Nov 2012
Utilities Infrastructure Plan, GHD, June 2013
B.2 Transport Planning Case Studies
A model approach to transport planning mapped against best practice in Figure 5.1 is adapted
from the following sources:
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/42707
3/webtag-tag-overview.pdf
http://www.infrastructurevictoria.com.au/document-library
http://www.dtf.vic.gov.au/Investment-Planning-and-Evaluation/Understanding-
investment-planning-and-review/Guide-to-the-investment-planning-process
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
Appendix C
Review of Relevant Background Documents
Ap
pe
nd
ix C
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
Report Content Status/Relevance
Fishermans Bend
Ministerial Advisory
Committee Report
(MPA, 1 October 2015
Provides the scope of planning matters which
need to be addressed as part of the Recast
exercise.
The Advisory Committee
Recommendations have been a key
point of reference for the conclusions
in this report.
Fishermans Bend Draft
Transport Work Plan,
Taskforce, May 2016
Provides a delivery framework for lead-up to the
Fishermans Bend Framework Plan, including
Precinct Plans and other relevant overlays.
An overview of the activity of the
Taskforce which formed the starting
point for the Framework for
Fishermans Bend Justification.
Fishermans Bend Road
Network Justification,
Established high-level ‘first principles’ guiding the
Fishermans Bend recast.
Relevant context for informing the
Strategic Road network justification
Fishermans Bend
Population &
Demographics -
Summary
Provides demographic projections by precinct
between 2016 to 2051. Includes % car ownership
and mode splits by precinct. Confirms the overall
development intensity of 40,000 dwellings, 80,000
persons, 60,000 jobs.
Highly relevant. Land use
assumptions set the context for the
transport network. The primary
journey to work mode shares require
an evidence basis that links to
objectives and wider modelling task.
Fishermans Bend
Potential Strategic
Transport Sequencing
(MPA, Dec 2015)
This presentation provides a potential transport
infrastructure sequencing, inclusive of all modes. It
is understood that this responds to the Ministerial
Advisory Committee for recommendation that:
‘An early in principle decision on the timing and
route/s of the tram network, and any future
Metro line through the Area is critical and must
precede further decisions about possible
development yield, density outcomes and fine
grain neighbourhood planning’
Relevant, but major need for
evidence basis and feasibility testing
of appropriateness of the staged
infrastructure.
Fishermans Bend
Economics and
Transport Positioning
Paper, MPA, Oct 2015
Key aspects:
Importance of PT/active transport critical to
achieving the vision (p.12)
Potential staging approach:
1) Bus rapid transit
2) Upgrade existing and connect new light rail.
3) Consider heavy rail (p. 13-14)
Need for analysis to identify ‘trigger
points’ for transport infrastructure to
support public announcements (p14)
Development certainty without sacrificing
flexibility “real options approach”.
Provides recommendations for
further work that are supported by
this report, specifically:
the importance of public
transport and active transport to
foster investor confidence
assessment of transport demand
scenarios
detailed assessment of Traffic
flows resulting from Webb Dock.
Fishermans Bend
Ministerial Advisory
Committee Report
(MPA, 1 October 2015
Provides the scope of planning matters which
need to be addressed as part of the Recast
exercise.
The advisory Committee
recommendations have been a key
point of reference for the conclusions
in this report, and as a result they
have been highlighted throughout.
Fishermans Bend
Integrated Transport
Plan, (DTPLI, July 2013)
Provides a sequenced delivery of transport
infrastructure for +10 year, +20 year and +30 year
horizons:
Early works: light rail, walking and cycling
extension from Collins along Plummer St + bus
improvements
Second decade: extend Plummer St light rail
west of Graham St, ped/cycle connections to
Docklands, Port Melbourne, Westgate Park
Third decade: extension of the Mernda-
Southern Cross metro line to Fishermans Bend
(2 stations)
A good context document but given
the omission of the employment
precinct requires rework.
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
Report Content Status/Relevance
Fishermans Bend Road
Use Hierarchy Network
Plans and Cross-
Sections, July 2014
Provides principal networks (by mode) to be
delivered within the four Capital City Zoned
precincts, road reserve widths (but not splays at
intersections) and access control across frontages.
Requires update to include
Employment Precinct and current
facilitating projects.
Make-up of the road (incl. reserve)
needs to be defined to allow
scenario testing in the transport
modelling phase.
Can be used as a starting point to
integrate workstreams.
Arterial Road
Connection Feasibility
Study, Parsons
Brinckerhoff, June 2013
Provides a recommended heavy vehicle route for
further detailed investigation (between Graham
Street and the Prohasky Street/West Gate Freeway
ramps intersection)
Requires further investigation and
decision on alignment, with regard
for future Freight network and access
to the Employment Precinct and any
impacts on developable area. Input
to Integration workshops and Road
Network Justification.
Fishermans Bend
Principal Bicycle Route
Assessment, GTA, July
2013
Identifies corridors for delivery of walking and
cycling infrastructure, including design solutions.
Recast needs emphasis on intra-precinct
connectivity between residents, jobs and services
in Fishermans Bend. Particularly needs to address
connectivity across barrier formed by the
Westgate Freeway.
Partially outdated, requires
consideration for current strategic
cycling links including emphasis on
intra-precinct connectivity and
considering connectivity across the
Westgate Freeway.
Light Rail Options
Assessment, Aurecon,
May 2013
Investigation and design for options of a light rail
connection across the Yarra River and into
Fishermans Bend.
Partially outdated.
Study required to consider relative
merit against the AECOM Collins
Street bridge extension proposal and
decision made. Feasibility of
connection to Employment Precinct
not yet considered/
Summary of Metro Rail
Investigations, DTPLU,
May 2013
High level assessment of rail station locations
based on high level alignments which would
‘appear to be technically feasible’
Outdated. New alignment under
investigation.
Traffic Study, GHD, April
2013 Provides data on existing traffic patterns.
Relevant as provides baseline traffic
flows and (possible) trend analysis if
updated
Transport Issues and
Opportunities Study,
AECOM including
addendum, Nov-Dec
2012
Summary of relevant considerations for transport
planning at Fishermans Bend.
Partially relevant as provides trip
destination analysis
16M1997000 // 01/09/2016
Strategic Transport Peer Review // Issue: A
Fishermans Bend
Appendix D
Approaches to Developing and Applying a Road Use
Hierachy
Ap
pe
nd
ix D
Melbourne
A Level 25, 55 Collins Street
PO Box 24055
MELBOURNE VIC 3000
P +613 9851 9600
Brisbane
A Level 4, 283 Elizabeth Street
BRISBANE QLD 4000
GPO Box 115
BRISBANE QLD 4001
P +617 3113 5000
Adelaide
A Suite 4, Level 1, 136 The Parade
PO Box 3421
NORWOOD SA 5067
P +618 8334 3600
Townsville
A Level 1, 25 Sturt Street
PO Box 1064
TOWNSVILLE QLD 4810
P +617 4722 2765
Sydney
A Level 6, 15 Help Street
CHATSWOOD NSW 2067
PO Box 5254
WEST CHATSWOOD NSW 1515
P +612 8448 1800
Canberra
A Tower A, Level 5,
7 London Circuit
Canberra ACT 2600
P +612 6243 4826
Gold Coast
A Level 9, Corporate Centre 2
Box 37, 1 Corporate Court
BUNDALL QLD 4217
P +617 5510 4800
F +617 5510 4814
Perth
A Level 2, 5 Mill Street
PERTH WA 6000
P +618 6169 1000
www.gta.com.au www.gta.com.au