Fiscal Approaches to driving the change to the circular economy
Stephen HintonThe Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation
TSSEF.se
CongestionMaterials pile up.Good things get to be too many in the wrong place at the wrong time
(A waste of resources)
Economies are like traffic: sometimes they perform poorly and accumulate things in the wrong amounts at the wrong times in the wrong places.Cars are what we want: traffic and pollution are what we don’t want.
The challenge, then, is to design an eco-system of rules and payments to encourage good performance.
This is the essence of the circular economy.
Unemployment
Unemployment is a kind of congestion: people accumulating outside the healthy flow of exchange of goods and services.
Unemployment is also under- utilization of valuable resources.
STRESS
Congestion puts a stress on people, organisations, and nature. The symptoms are clear to see, even if it feels like an impossible task to redress the imbalances
Capital:• Infrastructure.• Used in the provision of
services.• It is not itself consumed.
The kind of capital needed for the circular economy is one of social, human, ecological and built infrastructure.
We need to invest what we have to ensure the capital is in place to drive the circular economy in a stabilized way.
Land that functions as a mature eco-system (i.e. retains nutrients) is useful capital.
Energy to make(emergy)
Energy to operate, emissions
Hi
Hi
Lo
Lo
Build once, use a hundred years(Hydropower, trains, trams)
Use, recycle(Baskets)
THE DRAIN(Cars)
Energy sink! Replace(oil lamps)
The trick is to have society invest in the kind of infrastructure that makes up the circular economy: low energy to operate and zero emissions
We study the elements that are essential components of life and our human bodies to see how they flow through society. At each step there are accumulations and emissions. Each step includes a financial transaction, an owner, a buyer, a seller and an eco system of rules and fees and taxes around that transaction.
At each step we can ask:How are people thinking, what rules apply and what are the alternatives?
1 2
3
56 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
1 2
3
56 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
€2/kg
€20/kg€600/kg
price/kg to import or clean
1 2
3
56 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
€2/kg
€20/kg€600/kg
A fee mechanism that stops import will make circular solutions economically viable
The case
FORPollutant
surcharges
Stimulates investment in circular
technology
Creates jobs in the country with
nutrient recovery
Preparedness for future shortages
Infrastructure change takes time
The case
AGAINSTPollutant
surcharges
– Undermines infrastructure
investment
– Might be inefficient
– Very unpopular : poor people pay
more for food, etc.
– Technology exists, but is
unintegrated
CAN WE GET MODERN?
Jay Wright Forrester
Why General Electric’s factories show inexplicable cycles
NOT TIME AND MOTIONBUT SYSTEMS THEORY
The
VEHICLEIndustry has
been doing this a long time
Making a potentially dirty and unsafe technology fulfil the purpose it is intended for.
Thanks to digital technology and system engineering vehicles are cleaner, safer, and respond better to driver commands.
It’s time for the economy to run clean, perform to requirements and respond to controls
Citizens
State
Enterprises including
banks
Municipality
The monetary system needs stabilizing mechanisms.
A stabilized system includes sufficient:
• Citizens spending freely• Enterprises offering jobs• Enterprises behaving sustainably• Governments and Municipalities providing services
See the money that citizens have to spend each month as water. The money leaves the “bathtub” at the end of the month and comes back in time to circulate again.
The economy is a complex system but there are enough intervention points
Citizens
State
1
4
3
5
2
Enterprises including
banks
Municipality
ATTENUATORS/Surcharges
1. VAT RATE CHANGES2. IMPORT FEE ON POLLUTANTS3. INTEREST RATE FEE ON MORTGAGE4. Dividend to citizens5. Property deed transfer fees6. Municipal charges
6
GOVERNMENT
CITIZENS
Balancing feedback:Raise import fees.Companies pass the increased costs on to citizens.
As long as citizens receive a good proportion of the funds and cover costs, the economy will not be damaged.
On the contrary, more environmental solutions will be comparatively cheaper
target
Too little, RAISE fee
Too fast, LOWER fee
DIVIDEND-BEARING POLLUTANT SURCHARGES• Decide on a phase-out target of a substance or practice.• Levy a fee where it enters the economy• Raise the fee until the market responds• Keep the fee stable or lower it if changes happen too fast to avoid instability• Return the collected fee to taxpayers to avoid creating shortages.
Read more http://tssef.se/making-the-case-for-a-dividend-bearing-climate-surcharge/
Target vs. Performance
BUSINESS GAME SIMULATIONS USING STABILIZING ECONOMIC MECHANISMS
To understand the concepts we have created and run
LILLIPUTDECLARATION
Per capita Ambition Instrument
Carbon dioxide 11 ton 0,25 ton Import surcharge 100
P import in chemicals 1 kg P 0,5kg Import surcharge 100
P Emissions 0,3 kg P
zero Property waste emission surcharge
100
The Government of Lilliput has decided to introduce a circular economy for phosphorus. In 12 turns of the clock the land will halve its dependence on imported phosphorus and reduce emissions from human activity to zero.
The Government is appointing an Emissions Dividend Commission to • Raise or lower pollutant surcharges and decide on distribution of the collected fees to citizens.• Ensure prosperity of citizens whilst reducing dependence on imports of non-renewables and ensuring emissions abate.
Pollutant surcharge simulations
GOVERNMENT
FOOD PRODUCERS
PROPERTY OWNERS
TRANSPORTERS
THE VOTING PUBLIC
SCORE-KEEPING
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 130
100
200
300
400
500
600
Team 1Team 2Team 3Team 4
Those who invested made more profit
Those who kept prices low lost
Start
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120
100200300400500600700800900
PricesSpend power
Confidence in politicians varied – hard to see patterns.Even when money was available to pay for raised prices
Some take-aways
It is an economic and societal systemExplore a modern route with:• Dynamic control• Computer power• Healthy diet• Land function
• The Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation
• TSSEF.se• [email protected]
Extra slides
16/12/12
PC
C
N
N
ConsumptionBiological nutrients
ServicesTechnical nutrients
A short introduction to circular economy
PPN
ECOLOGICAL MATURITY
CLOSED MINERAL CYCLESACCUMULATION OF PHOSPHORUSNITROGEN ACCUMULATION
LARGE BIOMASS•WOOD•LARGER ANIMALS•SOIL PRODUCTION•FUEL•WATER RETENTION
NUTRIENT CONSERVATION
•NUTRIENT-FREE WATER•NO LEAKAGE TO OTHER SYSTEMS
DETRITUS PROCESSING•DECAY•FUNGI
NICHE SPECIALISM•DIVERSITY
LEGAL ENTITYPROPERTY
Extraction
Import
Nutrient transfer
LEGAL ENTITY
Product Sale
1
2
3
4
Points of surcharge1. Import 2. Property nutrient performance 3. Extraction fee 4. Sales tax
National Boundary