David Laborde, Tess Lallemant, Kieran McDougal, Carin Smaller, Fousseini Traore
WTO, 27 June 2019
Quantifying Agricultural Transformation
Quantifying Agricultural Transformation
Knowing where you’ve been: 1970
Knowing where you are: 2015
Our approach to policy priorities
Stages of Agricultural
Transformation
Country Contexts
Policy CategoriesPrioritized
Identifying the pathways: non linear
Identifying the pathways: non linear
Identifying the pathways: non linear
Natural endowments are key: 1970
Natural endowments are key: 2015
So that countries can learn from those that succeeded
TransformedCountries
Focus Countries
High Birth Rates and Scarce Land
China, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, Vietnam
Ethiopia, India, Kenya and Rwanda
High Birth Rates and Scarce but Fertile Land
Ghana, Thailand Burkina Faso, Malawi, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, and Zambia
Abundant and Fertile Land Brazil, Colombia Mali, Mozambique and Zimbabwe
Abundant but Infertile LandChile, Costa Rica, Morocco, Peru, South Africa
How to bundle the policy interventions?
Public Investments
Price Interventions
Macroeconomic Policies
Land and Other Institutional Reform
Looking back
Looking forward
• To determine the policy priorities look at how much agricultural land is available, how fertile it is and birth rates
• Price policies play a key role, particularly making sure the agricultural sector is not penalized compared to other sectors
• Public investment in R&D, extension, electricity and irrigation should take priority.
• Land reforms, research institutions and improving access to credit are also critical.
Conclusions
Thank you!
Find out more at:https://iisd.org/agricultural-transformation/