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Page 1: Daily gradients of linear fit Model mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990- 31/12/2005) Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits

Daily gradients of linear fitModel mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990-

31/12/2005)

Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits CNRM, because of lower amount of soil moisture in this model

Page 2: Daily gradients of linear fit Model mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990- 31/12/2005) Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SM=bP+a

Page 3: Daily gradients of linear fit Model mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990- 31/12/2005) Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

P=bTs+a

Page 4: Daily gradients of linear fit Model mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990- 31/12/2005) Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SM=bTs+a

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