Ballistic Missile Defense Overview
By: Dr. David Burns Program Executive for Advanced Technology
Missile Defense Agency
November 14, 2013
To: SMD Working Group
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
2
The Increasing Ballistic Missile Threat
Theater Ballistic Missile Force Levels Not including U.S., China, Russia or NATO
Sources: NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2009; DIA, Iran’s Military Power, Statement before the Senate Armed Serv ices Committee, 14 APR 10; Annual Report on Military Power of Iran, April 2012DNI,
Remarks, Worldwide Threat Assessment to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 12 March 2013; Full Update, DIA, Annual Threat Assessment 2008, 2012; MSIC, e-mail, RE: Unclassified Force Level
Numbers, 6 April 2012; DNI, Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, Covering 1 JAN to 31 DEC 2011;
NSA-FCS5, e-mail, KN08 Classification, 20 Jan 2013FARS News Agency, Korea Central News Agency, Yonhap News Agency
5890 6240
6380 7150
7950
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2008 2010 2012 2015 2020
SRBM
MRBM
IRBM
Total
North Korean KN-08 ICBM
Launcher on Parade, 2012
Iranian Safir SLV
on Launch Pad, 2011
NK Taepo Dong-2
SLV Launch, 2012 North Korean Mobile IRBM
on Parade, 2010
• Increasing theater threat capabilities
- Accuracy & Range
- North Korea developing new IRBM
• Developing ICBM threat
- North Korea developing KN-08 ICBM
- Iran may be technically capable of flight-testing an ICBM by 2015
- Space Launch Vehicles (SLV) could serve as a test beds for ICBM technologies
• Challenging Missile Defense
- Maneuver / Salvo firings / Countermeasures
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
3
Today’s Ballistic Missile Defense System
3 ncr-113929 / 12/01/11 Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6524 (17 January 2012)
Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6946 (12 Jul 12)
Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6946 (12 Jul 12)
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
4
Homeland Defense Upgrades
Fort Greely Missile Field 2 2012
Clear Radar Upgrade
2017
Cape Cod Radar Upgrade
2018
Fylingdales Radar Upgrade
2010 √
Thule Radar Upgrade
2011 √
√ Sensor Upgrades
Missile Assembly
Building (MAB) √
Infrastructure Upgrades 2012
Power Plant √
Silo
Fire Control Upgrades
√ 2nd Fort Greely
Fire Control Node 2011
Fort Drum In-Flight Interceptor
Communications System
Data Terminal (IDT) 2015
Refurbish Missile Field 1
Hardened 6 Silos
Add 14 Ground-based
Interceptors at Fort Greely
2nd AN/TPY-2 Radar, Japan
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
5
• Phase I
- Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) ships on station
- AN/TPY-2 radar deployed to Turkey
- Updated Command, Control, Battle Management and
Communications (C2BMC)
- NATO Interim BMD Capability
• Phases II and III
- International Agreements with Romania, Spain and Poland
• Contributions of missile defense assets from Allies
Regional Defense – European Phased Adaptive Approach –
Aegis BMD 3.6.1 with SM-3 Block IA
C2BMC and NATO BMD
AIRCOM
Ramstein
C2BMC
Ramstein
FTM -15
• Aegis Launch on Remote
• Intercept of an IRBM Target
April 2011
U.S.–Romania Ballistic Missile Defense Agreement
December 2011
U.S.–Poland Ballistic Missile Defense Agreement
September 2011
Spain agrees to host U.S. Aegis BMD Ships
October 2011
AN/TPY-2 Radar in Kurecik, Turkey
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
6
Maturity Of Missile Defense Testing – Operationally Configured Interceptors –
Ground-based Midcourse Defense
3 for 6
Test Complexity Increases After Each Success
Patriot
21 for 25
Aegis BMD
18 for 21
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense 11 for 11
October 25, 2012
• 2 for 3 Ballistic Missiles Intercepted
• 2 for 2 Cruise Missiles Intercepted (Army Program)
USS LAKE ERIE
Satellite Engagement (special mission)
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
7
United Arab Emirates: Foreign Military Sales cases for THAAD and PAC-3
Israel: Arrow Deployed, Arrow System Improvement Program; development of David’s Sling Weapon System; Iron Dome
Qatar: Missile defense discussions
Middle East
Kuwait: Missile defense discussions
Italy: BMD Framework Partner
Denmark: BMD Framework Partner; Thule
Upgraded Early Warning Radar; RDT&E
Cooperative Project
Poland: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore
Czech Republic: BMD Framework Partner; R&D Cooperative Project
Netherlands: PAC-3; Maritime
BMD studies
France: University to University
NATO: NATO BMD Interim Capability ALTBMD, IOC & FOC and BMD (Territorial Missile Defense)
International Partners
Europe
Romania: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore Japan: BMD Framework Partner; AN/TPY-2 radar host, 21" Missile Development; 4 Aegis BMD capable ships
Australia: BMD Framework Partner; R&D Cooperative Project
ROK: Missile defense discussions
Asia / Pacific
Engagement /
Outreach
Missile Defense
Analysis
Cooperative Missile
Defense Projects Co-development Deployment
UK: BMD Framework Partner; Fylingdales
Upgraded Early Warning Radar, Joint Project
Arrangements for Cooperative Projects Turkey: AN/TPY-2 radar host, R&D Cooperative Project
Germany: PAC-3; PA on Laser Communications Experiment
Saudi Arabia: Missile defense discussions; PAC-3 purchase
Spain: Hosting BMD-capable ships to support NATO BMD and other missions
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
8
Advanced Technology Contributions To The BMDS
Advanced Research
Advanced Concepts & Performance
Assessment
Weapons Technology
Discrimination Sensor Technology
End-to-End Evaluation of Future Concepts
Notional
Common Kill
Vehicle
Technology High Altitude Characterization
Efficient Laser Technology
Improved
Focal
Plane
Arrays
Higher
Sensitivity
Infrared
Detector
Material
RV
Booster
Improve Multi-Band Tracking
Interceptor Components Advanced Fiber Lasers
Data Fusion
MTS-B
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
9
Discrimination Sensor Technology
• Stay ahead of the evolving threat
• Integrate & test sensors on unmanned
aircraft
• Demonstrate airborne launch-on-remote
precision tracking & multi-color
discrimination
• Demonstrate advanced discrimination
capability
• Develop & demonstrate key component
technology
• Mature sensor technology for multi-
mission applications
MTS-B Form Fit Line
Replaceable
Upgrades
Communications
Satellite
NOTIONAL OPIR
To Ground
Segment &
BMDS
Space
Sensors
To BMDS
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
10
Discrimination Technology Roadmap
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Capability Ready to
Transition to Field
Discrimination
Testbed
Advanced Sensor
Upgrades
Algorithm
Development
Multi Mission Directed Energy
Testbed
Airborne
Precision Track
Airborne
Discrimination
Advanced
Discrimination
Precision Track
Testbed
Characterization/Concepts Testbed Development Integration
Platform Availability
Upgrades I&T Fab
Fab I&T Design Upgrades
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
11
Common Kill Vehicle (CKV) Technology – A Phased Approach –
• Focus on updating kill vehicle concepts for expanded threat set and battle
space in two phases
- Phase I - single kill vehicle per interceptor
- Phase II - evolve to multiple kill vehicles per interceptor
• Near term priority on Phase I concept definition (Feb 2014)
- Focus on mature technology and component reuse (Best of Breed)
- High priority on cost effectiveness, manufacturability, supportability,
testability, and reliability
- Goal to affect next GBI procurement in 2016
• Define concept evolution path for Phase II increased capability
- Prioritize capability improvements while maintaining cost
effectiveness, manufacturability, supportability, testability
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
12
• Multiple kill vehicles per interceptor
• Engagement management algorithms and
KV-to-KV communications
• Improved capability to integrate kill vehicle
and off-board system discrimination data
• EO/IR phenomenology TOM handover
• Improved lethality
• Re-designed unitary GBI kill vehicle – focus
on mature technology and component reuse
• High priority on improved cost effectiveness,
manufacturability, supportability, testability,
and reliability
• On-demand communications for system
discrimination data, directed engagements,
and hit assessment
• TOM correlation reliability improvements
CKV Technology Phases
Phase 1 Next buy of GBI
xx
Phase 2 Inventory replenishment & commonality
(GBI, SM-3)
GBI – Ground Based Interceptor
SM-3 – Standard Missile -3
KV – Kill Vehicle
SM-3 GBI GBI
Exceed Current BMDS Capability Defeat the evolving threat
Kill vehicle depictions are notional Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
13
MDA Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) /
Small Business Technology Transfer Program (STTR) Focus
• Pursue a broad range of high-risk technologies
− To search out revolutionary technologies
− Transform new technologies into actual applications for
insertion into Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS)
− Benefit from commercialization
• Technology Insertion into BMDS is Critical
• 4th Largest Program in Department of Defense
High Energy Laser
Low-Thrust
Plume Signature
Modeling
Lightweight
Composite
Ultra Sensitive Detector
Focal Plane Arrays
Low
Temperature
Battery
Ruggedized
Electronics Seeker Technology
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
14
University Engagement / International
• Foster cutting edge research between US and foreign universities
of allied nations
• Cooperative technology development
- Current technology projects
- Multi-Modality Image Reconstruction
- Polymer Parts with Tailored Microstructure
- Fast Deposition of Diamond Films
- Integrated Framework for Replicability into High Assurance System Simulations
• Current collaborating universities:
- University of Nebraska and Universite’ De Bordeaux, France
- University of Nebraska and Universite’ De Rouen, France
- North Carolina State University and Czech Technical University, Prague
- Auburn University and Middle East Technical University, Ankara
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
15
Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) Outreach Program
• Purpose
- Expose K-12 students to STEM fields, curricula, and activities, to
increase the number of American scientists and engineers in the
United States
• Objectives
- Increase the number of high school graduates declaring a college
major in a STEM field
- Inspire K-12 grade students about career paths and the activities of
scientists and engineers
- Investigate real-life, practical uses for applied math and science in
K-12 grade classrooms
- Present the importance of STEM career opportunities to school
personnel, parents, and supporting institutions
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
16
Summary
• Balance of capabilities, requirements, and risks to deter
aggression, project power, and protect U.S. and allied interests
• Deployment of capabilities ongoing to respond to warfighter
requirements
• Developing, building and using a global C2 and sensor network
• Operationally realistic, integrated testing
• Continued cooperation with allies and partners for interoperable
missile defense
Missile Defense Capability – Globally Deployed
Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)
17 Approved for Public Release
13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)