2.5kg of product* 460kg of CO2e
*landfill
460kg CO2e
2.5kg
Gavin StarksCEO, [email protected] @agentGav @ameeHQhttp://www.amee.com
YOURENERGY IDENTITY(and why you should care)
Climate Change, Globalization and War.Mapping International Policy and Markets.Data. All the data.Emerging ecosystems. Privacy.Collaboration & change.
#todo listGive everything an energy identityBuild “smart-grid” behaviour into everythingMeasure and map all of itLobby for, or create, open standardsSort out data ownership before-the-fact
Peak oilPeak financePeak water
Peak uraniumPeak copper
Peak <resource> => Peak consumption
“the median surface warming in 2091 to 2100 is 5.1°C compared to 2.4°C in the 2003 study”
source: MIT
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONSERVICES NOT PRODUCTSREFRAMING VALUERATIONINGWAR
http://www.forumforthefuture.org/
EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY
Rapid innovation in energy efficiency technologies has created a consumerist, low-carbon world.
Society balances delicately with ever-increasing reliance on new technology to mitigate continuing climate change.
http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/climate-futures
SERVICE TRANSFORMATIONHigh carbon prices mean businesses sell services rather than products.
Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is highly efficient.
A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global carbon emissions decline for the first year in history
REDEFINE PROGRESS
People rethink what a fulfilling life means.
Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger links with local communities are cultivated.
People are attracted to simplicity and focus much more on quality of life than economic prosperity.
ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY
Governments leave it too late and are forced to rationalise whole sectors and take control of citizens' lives.
Environmental refugees must find countries willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin to decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.
PROTECTIONIST WORLD
The world is divided into protectionist blocs. Countries wage war over scarce resources such as water.
Communities are divided and terrorists take advantage of the flux, targeting collapsed states.
“the cull during this century is going to be huge, up to 90%. The number of people remaining at the end of the century will probably be a billion or less.”
source: Lovelock
“If we burn all the coal, we might kick in a runaway greenhouse effect ... if we burn all the tar shale and tar sands we definitely will ... leading to the Venus Syndrome. Caps aren’t going to work – we need a Carbon tax”
source: Hansen, Nasa
Are we finally moving to a post-capitalist society?
Is “triple-bottom-line” actually possible?
“capitalism is not up to the challenge ... it improperly and systemically undervalues the future ... it has become a kind of multi-generational Ponzi scheme ... we need a Carbon tax”
source: McKinsey
THINGS TO DO MORE OF
THINGS TO EXPLORE
THINGS TOREALLY AVOID
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONSERVICES NOT PRODUCTSREFRAMING VALUERATIONINGWAR
“Carbon will be part of the US budget by 2011” Source: The White House
$15bn per annum5m green-collar jobsFederal Cap & Trade
Policy
Science
Business
Technology
policy
legislation
frameworks
exchanges
trade
business
Data. All the data.
EU POLICY STACK
Renewable Obligations
Energy Efficiency
Carbon Reduction Commitment
Climate Change Bill
EU ETS
Kyoto Protocol
EU POLICY STACK
= 30min monitoring= 30min monitoring= mandatory purchases(>6GWh or >£500k/yr)
We are moving to an economic age where we need to start obeying the first law of thermodynamics*
"Energy can be transformed (changed from one form to another), but it can neither be created nor destroyed."
20 largest cities use 75% of world's energy500m+ people will migrate to cities in <5yrFuture = many, smaller cities“Countries as cities”?
There is no time left for closed systems
i/o models of everythingDemocratization of energy
citizens + things
private sector
public sector
cities
countries
Earth
Data. All the data.
purchases
buildings
travel + transport
fuel + water + waste
Energy Identity
Data. All the data.
materials
Energy Identity
The digital embodiment of your physical consumption
Your Energy Identityshould be more valuablethan your Digital IdentitySo how should we protect it?
Everyone else assumes they own your data(e.g. utilities, suppliers, banks, retailers, etc.)
START HERE
ARRIVE HERE
You own your data and you share/licenseit with those who need it.
"collaboration networks are to businesses what social networks are to consumers"
@Padmasree, CTO, Cisco
“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use”
"If Edison would wake up today and look at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left it"
“Data on your personal energy use belongs to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format”
“unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments, rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments”
+ =
EMERGING ECOSYSTEMS
Tim Berners-Lee on “unlock all your raw data” Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”
Carbon/Energy ConsultanciesEQ2
NaturalLogicCarbonVisionGreenmonk.net
Software/SaaS &Systems Integrators
CarbonetworksCarbonmetricsCarbon HubSUN (OpenEco)MakeMeSustainableLivingLifeGreenSpecial Projects
Smart MetersCarbonmetricsISE
MediaThe Guardian Data Store
TradingMisys (OpenCarbonWorld)EarthCPSandbag
Standards-Commercial/RegistriesCO
2code
Specia lProjects
Standards-PublicDECC (UK Government)
AgenciesTorchboxJelerangAvvioClearleftEuroRSCG
Communities2DegreesThe Climate Group
BuildingsSpecial Projects
Travel & TransportationCarbonVoyageDopplr
Supply Chaindcarbon8Julies Bicycle
Policy
Science
Business
Technology
*realtime
Our current horizons do not mitigate risk
We need to bend the space-time of policy and commerce
#todo listGive everything an energy identityBuild “smart-grid” behaviour into everythingMeasure and map all of itLobby for, or create, open standardsSort out data ownership before-the-fact
Gavin StarksCEO, [email protected] @agentGav @ameeHQhttp://www.amee.com