Transcript
Page 1: ALLOCATIVE INEFFICIENCY AND SCHOOL COMPETITION

National Tax Association

ALLOCATIVE INEFFICIENCY AND SCHOOL COMPETITIONAuthor(s): Shawna Grosskopf, Kathy Hayes, Lori L. Taylor and William L. WeberSource: Proceedings. Annual Conference on Taxation and Minutes of the Annual Meeting ofthe National Tax Association, Vol. 91 (1998), pp. 282-290Published by: National Tax AssociationStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/41954607 .

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ALLOCATIVE INEFFICIENCY AND SCHOOL COMPETITION

Shawna Grosskopf ' Oregon, State University Kathy Hayes , Southern Methodist University and Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Lori L. Taylor , Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas William L. Weber , Southeast Missouri State University*

A public is

SUBSTANTIAL

inefficient. school

LITERATURE

Surveys system in

of

INDICATES the the

United literature

THAT States

THE

on public school system in the United States is inefficient. Surveys of the literature on

educational production functions conclude over- whelmingly that expenditures are not systemati- cally correlated with student achievement gains (e.g., Hanushek, 1986, andHanusheketal., 1996).1 Cost function studies and data envelopment analy- ses support similar conclusions (see, for example, Ruggiero, 1996; Grosskopf et al., forthcoming; and the discussion in Grosskopf et al., 1997).

Some researchers have posited that this ineffi- ciency arises from a lack of competition in the edu- cation market (for example, see Chubb and Moe, 1990 and 1991; Boaz, 1991; or Gwartney, 1991). Couch, Shughart, and Williams (1993), Dee (1998), and Hoxby (1994a) find evidence that public school quality is lower when there is less competition from private schools.

On the other hand, public schools may face sig- nificant competition in the sense of Tiebout (1956). A number of researchers have found that public education has Tiebout characteristics (e.g., Hamilton et al., 1975; Eberts and Gronberg, 1981; Grämlich and Rubinfeld, 1982; Munley, 1982; Grubb, 1982; Jud, 1983; and Martinez- Vazquez and Seaman, 1985). Zanzig (1997), Hoxby (1994b), and Borland and Howsen (1992, 1993) find evi- dence that Herfindahl indices of competition for student enrollment can explain some of the varia- tion in educational production.

To evaluate directly the connection between school efficiency and competition for students, we use a Shephard (1953) input distance function to model the multiple-output, multiple-input school

*The authors would like to thank Steven Craig, R. Hamilton Lankford, Robert Meyer, Kim Rueben, David Sjoquist, Joe Stone, Judy Temple, Carol Tremblay, Kimberly Zieschang, and the seminar participants at Tulane University for extensive comments on this paper and earlier drafts. Thomas Fomby, Joseph Hirschberg, and Esfandiar Maasoumi offered considerable econometric advice. Of course, all remaining errors are those of the authors. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas or the Federal Reserve System.

production technology. We then use bootstrapping and switching-regimes techniques to test for systematic patterns of inefficiency in educational production. We find evidence that competition for students significantly reduces the allocative ineffi- ciency of Texas school districts.

THE DISTANCE FUNCTION The Shephard input distance function is a con-

venient tool for analyzing potentially inefficient public enterprises for a number of reasons. Because the distance function is dual to the cost function, it lends itself to fully stochastic frontier estimation without sacrificing the ability to evaluate multiple outputs. However, unlike the cost function, the dis- tance function does not presume cost minimizing behavior.2 Furthermore, the input distance function requires data on input quantities rather than input prices, making it preferable to the cost function in cross-section settings where prices do not vary.

Formally, the input distance function is a map- ping from the set of all nonnegative input vectors x = (x j, x2, ..., xN) and nonnegative output vectors y = C y p y ? y m) *nt0 rea^ ̂ne' *e-'

(1) D(y,x)=max{ A:(x/(A)) is an element in L(y)}

where

(2) L(y )= { (x) : x can produce y } .

In addition, D(y,x) satisfies fairly general regular- ity properties. It is homogeneous of degree one in inputs, concave in inputs, convex in outputs, and nondecreasing in inputs (see Färe and Grosskopf, 1990).

The distance function is perhaps most easily understood with the aid of a diagram. Consider Figure 1 . Observation K employs the input bundle (jc .,jc ) to produce output level y. The distance func- tion seeks the largest proportional contraction of that input bundle which allows production of the original output level y (which may be a vector). In

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Figure 1: The Input Distance Function

this example, the value of the distance function for observation K is OK/OiC. This illustrates the fol- lowing characteristic of the distance function, namely

(3) D(y,x) > 1 <=> is an element in L(y).

Furthermore, D(y, x) = 1 if and only if the input bundle is an element of the isoquant of L(y ).3

As discussed in Blackorby and Russell (1989), the first derivatives of the input distance function with respect to input quantities yield (cost-deflated) shadow or support prices of those inputs.4 We use these shadow prices to test for allocative efficiency. Let w = (w ]tw N), where w is positive, be the vector of input prices. If a school district is allocatively efficient then the following holds:

(4) D.(y,x)/D.(y,x) = w./w., for all i,j = 1,2,...N.

D. is the partial derivative of D(y,x) with respect to input i and is interpreted as the virtual or shadow price of the ith input. Alternatively, we can define a measure k.. as the degree to which the shadow price ratio agrees with the observed price ratio,5

D(.)/D(.) (5) K.,= 1 . J • y w./w .

» j

If K.. = 1 for all ij then the observation is said to be allocatively efficient. When x" ̂ 1, we can have the following non-optimal situations: if k.. . >1, fac- tor i is underutilized relative to j at observed rela- tive prices, and if k.. < 1, factor i is overutilized relative to j at observed relative prices. Another way of interpreting the value of k < 1 is that the marginal product per dollar paid the input j ex- ceeds the marginal product per dollar paid for in- put i at the observed input mix and prices.

THE DATA The Texas public school system is particularly

well suited to analyses of the relationship between school efficiency and competition for students. The school finance formula ties state aid directly to enrollment, creating strong incentives for school districts to compete for students.6 The large num- ber of school districts in the state and the wealth of district-level data support credible estimates of school district efficiency. In addition, data on enrollments in all public school districts and ac-

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credited private schools allow us to construct rea- sonable measures of the degree of competition for students.

Data for this analysis come from a variety of sources. The Texas Research League provides data on school characteristics for each of Texas' 1,055 public school districts. The Texas Education Agency (TEA) provides information by school district on average student achievement and other student body characteristics. We construct our com- petition measure from TEA data on total enroll- ments in all public and accredited private schools. Our demographic data come from the 1990 Cen- sus of Housing and Population. The combined sources provide complete information on 265 ur- ban school districts with at least 50 students in both the 5th and 1 1th grades during the 1988-89 school year.7

Output Measures The literature has reached a broad consensus that

the most appropriate measure of school output is the marginal effect of the school on educational outcomes. We use student achievement on the Texas Educational Assessment of Minimum Skills (TEAMS) test to measure educational outcomes and follow Hanushek and Taylor (1990) to extract the marginal effect of schools. Thus, we estimate the per-pupil value added by the school district at the primary (5th grade) and secondary (1 1th grade) levels, according to equation (6),

2 (6) v 7 MATH89 =cc + ̂ Yô ETHNICITY v 7 sg g ^ Jg Sj j=l

+ ô, 3g SES s + 5, 4g XCOHORT 3g s 4g sg

7 + ̂ YôTEAMS877 sj(g-2) + e ^ Jg sj(g-2) sg

j=5

where MATH89sg is the average TEAMS math- ematics score for school district s for grade level g in 1989, TEAMS87 sj{g 2) is the average TEAMS score in subject j (reading, writing, and mathemat- ics) for the same cohort two years previously, ETHNICITY s is the fraction of the student body of school district s that is BLACK or HISPANIC (re- spectively), SESs is the fraction of the student body of school district s that is not receiving free or re- duced-price lunches (the best available proxy for

socio-economic status), XCOHORT sg is the ratio of the grade g cohort size in 1989 divided by the grade g-2 cohort size in 1987 (a control to prevent schools from improving their average score by shedding students), and the estimated residual, £sg, represents the average value added in mathemat- ics per pupil in school district s, plus an error term.8 We base our reported analysis on value added in mathematics because Bishop (1992) suggests that mathematics skills are disproportionately valued in the labor market, but analysis based on value added in language arts yields qualitatively equiva- lent results.

Estimating school outputs as equation residuals generates output measures that represent deviations from the state average. We transform the value- added residuals into tractable per-pupil output measures by adding the mean of the post-test scores to the corresponding value-added residuals. To fur- ther transform the per-pupil output measures into total output measures, we multiply by grade-level enrollment (ENROLL^. Therefore,

(7) v 7 OUTPUT = C v MATH89 + £ ) • ENROLL v 7 Sg v g sg sg

is our proxy for the output of school district s. It represents the total achievement level we would expect school district s to produce if it had the same student-body composition as the sample average.9 Since we are examining value added on achieve- ment test scores in grades 5, and 11, there are two outputs for each school district.

Input Measures We focus on two variable inputs within school

district control - instructional and administrative personnel. We define the quantity of instructional inputs per pupil as the weighted average of the number of teachers and teacher aides per pupil.10 The quantity of administrative inputs per pupil is the weighted average of the number of administra- tors and support personnel per pupil.11 In both cases, we derive weights from the average wages paid for the personnel categories in each metro- politan area.12 To generate measures of total instruc- tional ( INST) and administrative (NINST) inputs, we multiply these per-pupil input measures by the combined enrollment in grades 5 and 1 1 (ENROLL r = ENROLL s5 + ENROLL sn).

Other important school inputs are beyond school district control, at least in the near term. We have

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identified two - non-labor school inputs and family inputs. Unfortunately, there are no direct measures for either of these inputs. Because the quantity of non-labor inputs should be highly correlated with expenditures on library books, fur- niture and equipment, and maintenance and op- erations, we use a principle components index of per-pupil expenditures in these three categories, multiplied by ENROLL ¿ as our proxy for the quan- tity of non-labor inputs ( CAPINPUT ).13 We use the predicted values from equation (6) multiplied by the corresponding grade-level enrollments C ENROLL ) to measure the contribution of home production at each grade level ( STUINPUTsg ). In essence, STUINPUTsg is an index that depends on the ethnic and socioeconomic composition of the school district, the percentage change in enrollment for each grade, and past achievement test scores. For each school district there are two measures of fixed student inputs corresponding to the primary and secondary grade levels.

Competition Measure We use data on enrollments in both public

and accredited private schools (Texas Education Agency 1990, 1989) to construct Herfindahl indices for each of the 27 metropolitan statistical areas (MS As) in Texas.14 The Herfindahl index increases as market concentration increases and is defined here as the sum of the squared enroll- ment shares for the public and private school systems in a given MSA. For ease of exposition, we multiply the values of the Herfindahl index by 100. The Herfindahl indices range from less than 1 1 in the Dallas MSA to nearly 87 in the Victoria MSA.

Area Attributes To control for other factors that the literature

suggests may influence school district inefficiency, we also incorporate a number of metropolitan area characteristics. These variables are school district enrollment (ENROLL), the square of school district enrollment ( ENROLL **2), the per-pupil tax base of the school district ( TAX BASE), the shares of the population that are less than 16 years of age ( UNDER16 ), Catholic ( CATHOLIC) and homeowners ( OWNERS ) and the shares of the population over 25 that attended at least some college ( COLLEGE ) or graduated from high school but did not attend college (HIGH SCHOOL).

ESTIMATION The translog cost function has a long history

of use in estimating cost functions because of its flexibility and ability to nest various hypoth- eses within its structure. In this analysis, we use a translog form for the distance function (D(y, *)). One advantage of the translog specification is that by Shephard's lemma the first derivative of D(y, x) with respect to lnxļ equals the expenditure share for input 1 . Because simultaneously estimat- ing the distance function and the share equation in a system of equations would improve the effi- ciency of the estimated parameters, we use the av- erage prices of teachers (Wj) and administrators (w2) in the metropolitan area and the observed input quantities (jc.) to define instructional expen- diture shares (Sx = w{x J(w ļxļ + w2Jt2)) for each observation.15

Thus, suppressing the observational subscript, we estimate the following system of equations:

(8) In D = a + X ßj lnx. + v,EE ßjk lnx. lnxk j j k

+ EE pjm lnxj lnym j m

+EX ijr lflXj lnzr + ôrlnzr j r r

+ l/2 XX Ôrj lnZr lnZj r j

+ EX Vrm lnZr + E Ki r m

+ X EE lr>ym lny„ + n

s, = P. + ßi,lnx, + ßi2lnx2 + E pJnym

♦EyiM + H

where In D equals zero, x is the quantity for dis- cretionary inputs (INST and NINST), zn is the quan- tity for non-discretionary inputs (STUINPUTy STUINPUTn, and CAPINPUT) and are the out- put quantities (OUTPUT 5 and OUTPUT n). We impose homogeneity in the discretionary inputs

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(Lß. = 1, Zßjk = 0, Lpjm = 0, 2yjr = 0) as required by the definition of the input distance function (Färe and Grosskopf, 1990). 16 We use restricted least squares to accommodate the nonvariance of the left hand side of the first equation (Hayes et al. 1995).

Because expenditure shares by definition sum to one, the predicted values from the instructional share equation (together with the variable input quantities and the ratios of average prices p = w2/Wļ) provide sufficient information to gen- erate a point estimate of Krfor each school district (k).17 If ks > 1 (<1), then the wage-deflated mar- ginal product of instructors is greater than (less than) the wage-deflated marginal product of ad- ministrative staff. The farther ks is from 1, the greater is the difference between the shadow price and the observed price and the more allocatively inefficient is the school district. We use the abso- lute value of (ks - 1) (multiplied by 100 for ease of exposition) as our measure of allocative ineffi- ciency. As 'ks- 1 1*100 increases, allocative inef- ficiency increases.

To isolate the relationship between competition and inefficiency, we regress our measure of allocative inefficiency against the Herfindahl in- dex and various school and metropolitan area attributes. To allow for non-linearities in the rela- tionship between competition and school ineffi- ciency (such as those found by Zanzig, 1997, and Borland and Howsen, 1993) we follow a switch- ing-regimes technique suggested by White (1976) and Alexander (1994). Thus, we create a dummy variable (denoted DSwitch) that takes on the value of one for Herfindahl indices that are greater than or equal to a critical value (z0) and search sequen- tially for the z0 that maximizes the log likelihood function conditional on z0.18

This approach creates three challenges. First, the standards errors for (8) will be incorrect because the regression includes generated regressors. Sec- ond, statistical significance can not be determined for our measures of allocative inefficiency (I K - 1 1 * 100) because they represent transforma- tions of the predicted values from (8). Third, we cannot obtain unconditional standard errors for the coefficients in the switching-regimes regressions because z0 is determined endogenously by a se- quential search.

A nested bootstrap allows us to address each of these challenges. Specifically, we create 250 data sets (of 265 observations each) based on random

draws with replacement from the original data. We then replicate each stage of the analysis 250 times - one replication for each of the 250 data sets. Thus, equation (6) is re-estimated 250 times. In turn, the resulting OUTPUTsg and STUINPUTsg measures are used to re-estimate (8). Each estimate of (8) yields a distribution of x' We use the switch- ing-regimes technique discussed above to estimate the relationship in each of our 250 replicated data sets between our estimates of inefficiency (I ks - 1 1*100) and our measure of competition. Using the replicated data sets in this way allows us to generate distributions not only of the coefficient estimates from the switching-regimes regressions, but also of the endogenous critical values (z0).

RESULTS Table 1 presents our results for four different

models of school district efficiency. Model I ex- cludes any measure of market concentration. Model II adds an intercept dummy ( DSwitch ) to the esti- mation of Model I. DSwitch equals one whenever market concentration equals or exceeds z0 (and zero otherwise). Model III replaces DSwitch with an interaction term ( DSwitch X market concentration). The interaction term takes on the value of the Herfindahl index whenever it equals or exceeds the critical value z0 (and zero otherwise). If z0 = 0, there is no switch, and Model III is a simple linear model including the Herfindahl index. Model IV adds a non-switching Herfindahl index to Model III. In all cases, the table reports median coefficient values from the 250 replications of the analysis, together with the 5th and 95th percentiles of the dis- tribution of coefficients.

As Table 1 illustrates, we find systematic evidence that school district inefficiency reflects competitive pressures. Across the various specifications, the posi- tive coefficient on the Herfindahl index indicates that allocative inefficiency rises with market concentra- tion. Furthermore, our evidence suggests that the relationship is non-linear - the likelihood function is maximized with a switching point at a Herfindahl index of 27.61. By this criterion, nearly half of the metropolitan areas in Texas (containing 20 percent of the urban school districts and enrollments in our sample) are highly concentrated markets.

Model IV also indicates that allocative ineffi- ciency increases with market concentration when- ever the Herfindahl index is above the critical level;

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Table 1 Allocative Inefficiency and the Herfindahl Index

Model I Modelli Model 111 Model IV Intercept 6.21 -0.95 -1.65 0.44

M.79, 16.89) (-13.50,11.05) (-12.17,10.06) (-12.10,14.10)

DSwitch - 2.03 - - (1.09, 2.79)

Herfindahl - _ - -0.05 Index (HI) (-0.11,0.02)

DSwitchX HI - - 0.04 0.08 0.03,0.06 (0.03,0.11)

Tax Base -3.24 -2.29 -2.41 -2.37 (-4.87, -1.96) (-3.77,-1.00) -3.68,-1.15 (-3.57,-1.04)

Owner 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 (0.02,0.20) (0.02,0.20) 0.04,0.20 (0.02,0.19)

Under 16 -0.03 0.03 0.07 0.03 (-0.03,0.18) -0.23,0.30 -0.23,0.37 (-0.34,0.38)

College -0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 (-0.12,0.07) (-0.09,0.11) -0.08,0.09 (-0.08,0.09)

High School -0.24 -0.20 -0.19 -0.20 (-0.38,-0.09) (-0.33,-0.07) -0.31,-0.08 (-0.32,-0.07)

Catholic -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 (-0.06,0.02) (-0.05,0.02) -0.05,0.01 (-0.05,0.02)

Enroll -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 (-0.04,0.02) (-0.05,0.01) -0.05,0.01 (-0.05,0.01)

Enroll**2 3E-5 6E-5 7E-5 7E-5 (-2E-4, 3E-4) (-1E-4, 3E-4) -9E-5,4E-4 (-1E-4.4E-4)

¿Enroll -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 (-0.03,0.01) (-0.04,0.01) -0.04,0.01 (-0.04,0.01)

LogL -539.3 -495.7 -497.0 -495.5 (-564.5,-508.0) (-521.6,^166.4) -522.4, -466.1 (-520.7,^64.6)

z0 - 27.61 27.61 27.61 (12.77, 27.61) (12.77, 27.61) (12.77, 27.61)

|k -1| 2.07 1.41 2.11 / - (1.66,2.55) (1.21,1.80) (1.21,4.37)

z <zo Note: Median coefficient values. The 5th and 95th percentile values are in parentheses.

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below the critical level there is no relationship between allocative inefficiency and market concen- tration. Thus, we find evidence that increased com- petition could enhance the efficiency of school districts in concentrated markets, but would have little systematic effect on school districts in other urban markets.

The switching-regimes regressions also suggest that school districts in highly concentrated mar- kets are substantially more allocatively inefficient than school districts in competitive markets. The bottom row in Table 1 compares the predicted effi- ciency scores for school districts in highly con- centrated markets with the predicted efficiency scores for otherwise equal school districts in com- petitive metropolitan areas. Evaluating the models at the population means of the other regressors, we find that markets with Herfindahl indices at or above the critical value have predicted inefficiency scores at least 40 percent higher than markets with Herfindahl indices below the critical value. In gen- eral, school districts in concentrated markets are more than twice as allocatively inefficient as school districts in competitive metropolitan areas.

CONCLUSIONS Policies that foster competition among school

districts have been proposed as a partial solution to the problem of school inefficiency. However, school districts face competition for enrollments from pri- vate schools and other area public schools. If inef- ficiency in the school system could be reduced by increasing the degree of competition among schools, then we would expect to find evidence that school districts that currently face a lot of competi- tion are more efficient than other school districts.

Using an input distance function to model Texas school districts, we find evidence that increased competition for enrollments could greatly enhance the efficiency of school districts in concentrated markets. As a general rule, school districts in highly concentrated markets are more than twice as allocatively inefficient as school districts in com- petitive markets. However, only 20 percent of the urban school districts in our sample are located in highly concentrated markets. Thus, while our analysis supports the notion that increased school competition - fostered either by vouchers or char- ter schools - would improve school efficiency in some metropolitan areas, it also suggests that in- creased competition is not a panacea.

Notes 1 Although Card and Krueger (1992a, 1992b) find evidence that school inputs have a positive effect on the monetary returns to schooling, their analysis is based on state-level data about school characteristics and may be subject to aggregation bias (see Hanushek, Rivkin, and Taylor, 1996). Using less aggregate data, Betts (1995) finds no evidence of marginal effects.

2 While the cost function assumes cost minimizing behavior, inefficiency can be allowed for in the cost function using techniques outlined by Schmidt and Sickles (1984). 3 The reciprocal of the value of the input distance func- tion is the Farrell (1957) input-saving measure of tech- nical efficiency. 4 This result follows from Shephard's (dual) lemma be- cause the input distance function is dual to the cost function (see Färe and Grosskopf, 1990). 5 This formulation follows the nonminimal cost litera- ture (see for example Toda, 1976, or Atkinson and Halvorsen, 1986). In this literature, firms are assumed to minimize (unobservable) shadow costs given (unobservable) shadow prices. This is achieved by in- troducing additional parameters into the cost function that essentially allow input prices to "pivot." These parameters are used to construct the k.. in equation 5. Unlike the distance function methodology, this tech- nique cannot identify firm-specific relative shadow prices. 6 During the 1988-89 school year, Texas had a compli- cated school finance formula that combined a founda- tion grant per pupil with a guaranteed yield per pupil for enrichment (for details, see Texas Research League, 1989, and Salmon et al., 1988). On average, state aid represented 46.9 percent of school district spending. 7 We restrict our attention to school districts with at least 50 students in each of the relevant grades to avoid sam- pling problems that might be introduced by a small number of students.

8 Because the two value-added equations share common regressors (ETHNICITYs j and SESs) we estimate the output measures simultaneously using the standard SAS package for seemingly unrelated regression (SUR). 9 This technique for measuring educational quality was also employed by Grosskopf et al., 1997 and forth- coming. 10 Ideally, we would like to adjust the quantity numbers for variations in teacher quality. However, Hanushek ( 1 986) has demonstrated that observable teacher char- acteristics like salary, experience, and educational background do not indicate classroom effectiveness. Lacking a reliable indicator of teacher quality, we treat teachers as homogeneous. 1 1 Support personnel include supervisors, counselors, li- brarians, nurses, and physicians.

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12 For example, if teacher aides are paid half the salary of teachers, on average, in the metropolitan area, then each teacher aide is counted as one half of a teacher.

13 CAPINPUT = ENROLL • (0.055771 • BOOKS + 0.004722 • FURNITURE V 0.001517 • M&O) where BOOKS is per-pupil expenditures on books and films, FURNITURE is per-pupil expenditures for the pur- chase of furniture, data processing, vehicles and other equipment, and M&O is per-pupil expenditures on plant maintenance and operation. 14 Analysis using four-firm concentration ratios to mea- sure competition yields similar results. In this context, the four-firm concentration ratio is the sum of enroll- ment shares for the four largest school districts (pub- lic or private) in a given metropolitan area.

15 We use the ratio of average prices to derive expendi- ture shares rather than the observed relative prices because the observed prices may include rents. Im- plicitly, this approach assumes that although wage lev- els may vary among school districts in a metropolitan area, teachers and administrators receive the same com- pensating differential (in percentage terms). 16 In addition to the restrictions needed to satisfy the ho- mogeneity conditions, we also impose symmetry (e.g. p,k=ßj- 17 With some rearrangement, the definition of k12 given in equation 5 becomes

= /9D/9x,' , w, = /3D/9x, ' s = '3D/9x2/' w2

= V rjD/()x?7

where xt in INSTR and x2 is NINST. Because there are only two variable inputs under consideration, we have dropped the subscripts on k indicating input type. 18 The log likelihood function is

ri '

"r" )

(V )••»(•/,.)

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