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02/08/2015 Al-Qaeda chief Ayman al-Zawahiri The Coordinator 2015
Part 4-1-Saudi Arabia-3 Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) is
the early winner in Yemen. -- Bruce Riedel .Muhammed's Army may
eventually come home to Mecca.". No matter how detractors try to
portray Iran as the aggressor, it is Saudi support of Salafist and
Wahhabi jihadi extremists Al Qaeda, the Nusra Front, and ISIS, to
name a few that has set the Middle East aflame. That is the real
danger that can engulf the world, not Irans nuclear program. Saudi
Defense Minister Mohammad bin Salman threatened to launch war on
Kuwait after differences between the two Persian Gulf Arab states
escalated over Khafji oilfield. An official, speaking on condition
of anonymity, told Yonhap News that 20 scud missiles reportedly
fired into Saudi Arabia over the past few months were acquired from
North Korea. The US State Department gave its approval on Wednesday
for a possible foreign military sale to Saudi Arabia of Patriot
Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missiles and equipment, worth $5.4
billion. The US Defense Department has awarded major weapons maker
Raytheon to provide the Persian Gulf Kingdom of Saudi Arabia with
355 air-to-ground missiles amid its persisting campaign of aerial
strikes against civilian and economic targets in neighboring Yemen.
SANAA, Yemen--From his exile in Saudi Arabia, Yemens president on
Wednesday ordered that militias battling Shiite rebels in Yemen be
merged with his national army units, a move that comes in an
apparent attempt to unify forces fighting on the ground. It was not
immediately clear how the order would translate on the front-lines
in Yemen, where fierce, months-long fighting has pitted Iran-backed
Shiite rebels known as Houthis and troops loyal to the countrys
former president, Ali Abdullah Saleh, against southern separatists,
local and tribal militias, Sunni Islamic militants and loyalists of
President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi. According to Mr. Hadis adviser,
Maj. Gen. Jafaar Mohammed Saad, authorities are working on
implementing the decision in the fastest time possible to integrate
the militias, known as Popular Resistance units--a vague term used
for a wide specter of groups opposed to the Houthis. However,
security and military officials said they fear the order could
provide a path for extremists such as al-Qaida to infiltrate
military ranks. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity
because they are not authorized to speak to journalists. Saudi DM
Threatens to Occupy Kuwait C: When some time ago former Iraq leader
Saddam did it the world spun of. TEHRAN (FNA 2 Aug )- Saudi Defense
Minister Mohammad bin Salman threatened to launch war on Kuwait
after differences between the two Persian Gulf Arab states
escalated over Khafji oilfield. "Mohammad bin Salman threatened
that his country would attack and occupy Kuwait, claiming that not
only Khafji oilfield but also entire Kuwait is part of the Saudi
territories based on historical documents," Middle-East Panorama
quoted intelligence sources of the Persian Gulf Arab littoral
states as saying. Kuwait has complained that the continued shut
down of Khafji oilfield it shares with Saudi Arabia will incur huge
losses Riyadh must compensate for in the future. Kuwaiti Oil
Minister Ali Al Omair in a letter to his Saudi counterpart Ali Al
Naimi urged him "to take adequate measures to ... resume production
at Khafji. By keeping production and exports shut, Kuwait will
incur huge losses which will be borne by the Saudi government for
violation of the (50-year old) agreement and the 2010 operations
agreement". The sources referred to Salman's harsh reaction to
Kuwait's claims, and quoted him as saying that "we saved Kuwait
from Saddam's claws and now who is there to free it from our
claws". "Kuwait has no superiority over us and is a country
stretched over a piece of land one-fourth of Riyadh," he added,
according to the sources. The field has been shut since October
last year for non-
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02/08/2015 compliance with new Saudi environmental standards. It is
operated by Al-Khafji Joint Operations Co (KJO), a joint venture
between AGOC, a subsidiary of state oil firm Saudi Aramco, and
Kuwait Gulf Oil Co (KGOC). Kuwait has reportedly taken the case to
an international court of arbitration, making Saudi Arabia's young
defense minister even more wrathful. Before the closure, the Khafji
field produced around 280,000 bpd to 300,000 bpd. Saudi Arabia and
Kuwait also share the Wafra oilfield, which has been shut since May
due to operating difficulties. US oil major Chevron operates the
field on behalf of the Saudi government. South Korean intelligence
claims that North Korea sold missiles to Yemeni rebels, which were
then used against Saudi Arabia. An official, speaking on condition
of anonymity, told Yonhap News that 20 scud missiles reportedly
fired into Saudi Arabia over the past few months were acquired from
North Korea. No further details were given to back up that
conclusion, but intelligence services in South Korea and the United
States have known about North Korean missile sales for a long time,
writes Jess McHugh for The International Business Times. "North
Korea has sold missiles to Yemen and sent missile engineers to that
country in the 1990s," a former North Korean intelligence official
told South Korea's Yonhap News Agency. An independent expert told
VICE News the South Korean report about the North Korean origins of
the missiles is likely accurate. "Back in 2002, Yemen purchased
around 20 Scuds from the North Koreans," Joseph Bermudez, an arms
expert with All Source Analysis, said. "So it's likely the Scuds
being used in the conflict did come from North Korea originally."
US To Sell Saudis 355 Missiles to be Used in the War on Yemen By
Press TV Global Research, July 26, 2015 Image: A US-made AGM-154
air-to-ground missile being brought to the flight deck of an
aircraft carrier The US Defense Department has awarded major
weapons maker Raytheon to provide the Persian Gulf Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia with 355 air-to-ground missiles amid its persisting campaign
of aerial strikes against civilian and economic targets in
neighboring Yemen. According to a Pentagon announcement cited
Saturday by the Russia-based Sputnik News, in a $180- million
contract assigned to the arms manufacturer, Raytheon is to deliver
the AGM-154 series missiles to the Saudi regime in a move clearly
regarded as a bid to support the aerial strikes against Yemen. The
AGM-154 is described as a Global Positioning System and infrared
guided air-to- ground missile with stand-off capability. The
contract, the report adds, also includes the delivery of 200
AGM-154C-1 missiles to the US Navy. Washington, the report adds,
has justified the missile sales to Riyadh as part of an agreement
by Persian Gulf Arab dictatorships to expand their military
cooperation with Washington amid concerns over the recent nuclear
talks conclusion with Iran as well as the Islamic Republics
persisting influence as a major power and the most stable nation in
the strategic region. Meanwhile, the oil-rich Saudi Arabia, widely
regarded as a US client in the Persian Gulf region, has been among
the worlds largest importers of lethal weaponry over the years and
has significantly expanded its purchase of armaments in recent
months, becoming the worlds top importer in 2015 so far. This is
while Riyadh signed major arms deals worth billions of dollars with
France last month for the purchase of patrol ships, border guard
helicopters and aircraft as it escalated its war effort against
Yemen. The announcement of the deals came during a visit by Saudi
Deputy Crown Prince and Defense Minister Mohammed bin Salman bin
Abdul Aziz Al Saud to Paris. French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius
defended the selling of French patrol boats to
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02/08/2015 Riyadh, claiming that they are meant to enhance the
capability of the Saudi Coast Guard, which is today facing growing
threats. Saudi Arabia has been carrying out airstrikes against
Yemen since March 26 without a UN mandate. The strikes are meant to
undermine the Houthi Ansarullah movement and restore power to
fugitive former President Abd Rabbuh Mansour Hadi, a staunch ally
of the Al Saud regime. Thousands have been killed and at least
11,000 more injured in the airstrikes. US State Dept. OKs PAC-3
Sale to Saudi By Awad Mustafa 1:54 a.m. EDT July 30, 2015 (Photo:
Lockheed Martin) ABU DHABI The US State Department gave its
approval on Wednesday for a possible foreign military sale to Saudi
Arabia of Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missiles and
equipment, worth $5.4 billion. The Defense Security Cooperation
Agency (DSCA) notified Congress of the possible sale and is
awaiting approval to execute. The Saudi government requested 600
PAC-3 cost-reduction initiative missiles with containers, according
to DSCA, along with eight test missiles, telemetry kits, guidance-
enhanced missiles, fire solution computers, launcher modification
kits and other related equipment. Word of the possible sale comes
just days after Defense Secretary Ash Carter was in the kingdom
meeting with his counterpart there. 'The timing of the PAC-3 intent
to sell is notable because of Secretary of Defense Ash Carter's
visit to Saudi Arabia a few days ago. It's a sweetener," said
Theodore Karasik, a geo-political and defense analyst based in the
United Arab Emirates. "The PAC-3 is meant to augment Saudi missile
defense against not only the Houthis [militias in Yemen] but the
Iranian missile threat in the near to medium term." According to
the DSCA's statement, the proposed sale will modernize and
replenish Saudi Arabia's current Patriot missile stockpile, which
is becoming obsolete and difficult to sustain due to age and
limited availability of repair parts. "The purchase of the PAC-3
missiles will support current and future defense missions and
promote stability within the region," the DSCA said. "Saudi Arabia,
which already has Patriot missiles in its inventory, will have no
difficulty absorbing these additional missiles into its armed
forces." Despite some reports that the older Patriot systems may
have failed in action on the Saudi-Yemeni border, Karasik said,
newer PAC-3 systems may make up for the deficit as the Houthi SCUD
threat is likely to fester for years, according to some Gulf
Cooperation Council officials. "It will take some time to bring
this PAC-3 package online because Congress still has to approve the
sale and the systems need to be operationalized in the kingdom
itself," Karasik added. The principal contractors will be
Dallas-based Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control and
Tewksbury, Massachusetts-based Raytheon. The DSCA added that it is
unknown if an offset agreement will be made, as Saudi Arabia
requires them for such a purchase. "It will be determined during
negotiations between Saudi Arabia and the contractor," the DSCA
stated. The delivery will take up to five years, the DSCA added,
for equipment deprocessing, fielding, system checkout, training and
technical logistics support. If approved, the deal will require 30
US government and 40 contractor representatives to travel to Saudi
Arabia. "Lockheed Martin is supporting the US government and the
kingdom of Saudi Arabia as they discuss the potential sale of
additional PAC-3 missiles as part of the upgrade of the Royal Saudi
Air Defense Force," Lockheed said in a statement issued Wednesday.
"We look forward to providing this critical capability to our
allies, consistent with US government policy." Saudi-led coalition
plans ground attacks in Yemen after taking key city
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02/08/2015 BEIRUT After four months of setbacks, fighters backed by
Saudi Arabia have seized the offensive in Yemens war, taking
control of a major city and pressing to expand ground operations
against rebel forces. The shift in momentum after the Saudi-led
coalition failed to make headway appears to be due to the arrival
since mid-July of hundreds of Yemeni fighters who had been secretly
trained in Saudi Arabia. The contingent could help turn the tide in
the war, which pits Shiite Houthi rebels from the north against
largely Sunni forces aligned with exiled President Abed Rabbo
Mansour Hadi. This week, Saudi-backed fighters attacked areas north
of the southern port city of Aden in an apparent effort to enlarge
recent gains there against the Houthis. Residents said the fighters
are preparing to assault the rebel-held al-Anad base, Yemens
biggest military airfield, 30 miles north of Aden. If the
Saudi-backed militiamen can consolidate control beyond Aden, they
could bring the rebels to the negotiating table or at least carve
out a foothold in the south for the Saudi-trained force to gather
strength for future assaults. But it is not clear whether the gains
against the Houthis will help end the war anytime soon. The Houthis
are tough fighters who are poised to put up stiff resistance. The
tribes and militias fighting the Houthis alongside the newly
trained force do not all share Saudi Arabias goals in the conflict.
The escalation also risks further roiling an impoverished country
whose people are already on the brink of famine, according to U.N.
officials and aid agencies. A five-day cease-fire that was supposed
to begin Sunday to allow the delivery of food, fuel and other
desperately needed aid items never took hold, with both sides
continuing to mount attacks. Meanwhile, al-Qaeda-linked extremists
appear to be taking advantage of the chaos to boost their presence.
Residents in Aden say the extremists are participating in the
assaults by the Saudi-led coalition, perhaps seeking to win local
support. Saudi Arabia and Egypt sign 'Cairo Declaration', Regional
powers sign pact to boost economic and military ties, and pledge to
work together to create joint Arab force. 31 Jul 2015 Egypt and
Saudi Arabia have signed a pact in Cairo aimed at boosting military
and economic ties between the two Arab allies. In a statement
released after a meeting between President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and
Saudi Defence Minister and Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
on Thursday, Sisi's office said the two leaders also will work to
create a joint Arab military force. Arab defence and foreign
ministers are to gather in Cairo to discuss the modalities of the
force on August 27. "The two sides stressed the need to exert all
efforts to boost security and stability in the region, and to work
together to protect Arab national security," Egypt's presidential
office said. In what they called a "Cairo Declaration," they
pledged to enhance cooperation and investments in the energy and
transport sectors. Relations between the two countries have warmed
since the 2013 ouster of President Mohamed Morsi, with Saudi Arabia
offering billions in aid to Egypt. In return, Cairo has
participated in a Saudi-led bombing campaign against Houthi rebels
in Yemen. Cairo had previously said it would also be prepared to
commit ground troops if required. Saudi Arabia and the Nuclear
Agreement with Iran REUTERS - Saudi Arabia's Prince Bandar bin
Sultan, a former head of the kingdom's intelligence services and
its veteran ambassador to Washington, has said Iran's nuclear deal
will allow it to get an atomic bomb and "wreak havoc in the
region". U.S. State Department approved a $5.4 billion sale of 600
Lockheed-made PAC-3 missiles to Saudi Arabia, alongside an
additional half billion dollars in ammunition for various smaller
weapons. The sale of so many PAC-3 missilesthe most advanced
missile for the Patriot missile launcher and built by Raytheon RTN
-0.68% is the latest in a string of high-priced, high-profile arms
deals between the U.S., Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf
Cooperation Council allies in the region. It marks the first major
arms deal since the Iran nuclear deal struck earlier this month
raised the prospect of reduced sanctions against the state. The
deal
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02/08/2015 would lift Irans conventional arms embargo within five
years and leave the country free to pursue long-range missile
technologies within eight. Saturday, 1 August 2015, Article: INSS
InsightSaudi Arabia and the Nuclear Agreement with Iran Yoel
Guzansky INSS Insight No. 723, July 22, 2015 The nuclear agreement
reached by the major powers with Iran is not good news for Saudi
Arabia, because the agreement means that Iran, Riyadhs main
ideological and geo-strategic rival, has received international
recognition as a nuclear threshold state. Saudi Arabia regards this
highly significant development as evidence of Irans growing power.
In addition to the technical significance of the agreement, the
kingdom fears that the deal is an opening to an Iranian-American
rapprochement at the expense of its own relations with the United
States. Moreover, in view of the international seal of approval for
uranium enrichment in Iran, the possibility that the kingdom will
take a similar route, even against American opposition, cannot be
ruled out. And even if Saudi Arabias path to nuclear capability is
not guaranteed, its very presence in the arms race is liable to set
in motion various processes with negative consequences for regional
stability in general, and for Israel in particular. The nuclear
agreement reached by the major powers with Iran is not good news
for Saudi Arabia, because the agreement means that Iran, Riyadhs
main ideological and geo-strategic rival, has received
international recognition as a nuclear threshold state. Saudi
Arabia regards this highly significant development as evidence of
the growing power of Iran at the expense of the kingdom. The
official Saudi Arabian news agency issued a positive, albeit
cautious, statement in response to the announcement of the
agreement. The wording was similar to the remarks by King Salman to
President Obama in the telephone call initiated by the President
after the agreement was signed: Saudi Arabia supports any agreement
that guarantees preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. The
Saudi Arabian-owned daily newspaper a-Sharq al-Awsat, however, was
more critical of the agreement, for example, in the article Iran
Nuclear Deal Opens the Gates of Evil in the Middle East," by the
editor, Salman Aldosary. Furthermore, even if the royal house chose
not to criticize the agreement publicly, its actions are likely to
indicate its dissatisfaction concerning the implications of the
agreement. In addition to the technical significance of the
agreement, the kingdom fears that the deal is an opening to an
Iranian-American rapprochement at the expense of its own relations
with the United States. Riyadh is concerned that the deal will
enable Iran to maintain its basic nuclear capabilities, and at the
same time, unless resolute countermeasures are taken, increase its
influence in the Middle East. Furthermore, there is a risk that
criticism of the Iranian regime over its conduct in internal
affairs and especially in the regional theater, where Iran has been
involved in subversion for years, will constitute grounds for Iran
violating the agreement. American sources insist on a separation
between the nuclear question and regional issues, but the internal
conflicts in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen are liable to become hostages
to the agreement with Iran. In other words, headed by the United
States, countries will be deterred from pursuing a policy opposed
to the interests of Iran, out of concern that in response Iran will
disavow its commitments under the agreement and renew forbidden
activity in the nuclear realm. In view of the international
struggle against the Islamic State, Iran has won the status of a
(relatively) responsible player, with whom it is possible to do
business. From the Saudi perspective, the United States is liable
to reward Iran for the concessions it made in the agreement by
granting it more freedom of action, both to realize its political
goals in the Middle East and to thwart processes that do not serve
those goals. At the same time, the removal of sanctions will
provide Iran with resources to
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02/08/2015 enhance its regional influence and render it both less
economically vulnerable and more aggressive in promoting its goals.
Saudi Arabia is concerned that Irans increased self confidence
following the agreement will enable it to intervene more easily in
various theaters and recruit additional players to the regional
axis it leads. In this context, the Iranians have for some time
been trying to drive a wedge between several Gulf states and Saudi
Arabia. After the agreement, a greater Iranian effort in this
direction is likely, mainly involving Qatar and Oman. It appears
that this is also the background to Saudi Arabias increased
activism aimed at strengthening the Sunni front against Iran and
recruiting additional actors, such as Turkey and Hamas. Even though
the agreement with Iran is not expected to prompt Saudi Arabia to
launch a military nuclear program immediately, the agreement
joining the unprecedented conventional military buildup in the
kingdom has already led Riyadh to adopt a strategy that keeps all
of its nuclear options open. The kingdom declared its civilian
nuclear intentions as early as 2006, and since then has considered
the use of nuclear technology for a range of purposes. It announced
a massive nuclear program at an estimated cost of over $100
billion, and has signed a series of nuclear cooperation agreements
with many countries, including Russia, Argentina, China, South
Korea, and France. The development of a civilian nuclear program in
Saudi Arabia is likely to serve several purposes. On the one hand,
the plan is consistent with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT), and is likely to prove that Saudi Arabia can also play the
game. At the same time, such a program, especially Saudi Arabian
rhetoric about its refusal to forego uranium enrichment capability,
constitutes a signal to the international community about the need
to continue pressuring Iran to fulfill its part of the agreement.
In view of the international seal of approval for uranium
enrichment in Iran, the possibility that the kingdom will take a
similar route, even against American opposition, cannot be ruled
out. Indeed, a US Congressional report on this topic points out
that the kingdom will not hesitate to aggressively bypass or risk
alienating the United States in order to protect Saudi interests."
The Saudi Arabian perception of the threat is closely linked to
Irans aspirations to regional hegemony. This perception has not
changed with the signing of the agreement, and may have become
stronger. Given this development, Saudi Arabia will find it
difficult to remain indifferent, including out of considerations of
prestige and influence, and will seek a response, even if partial,
to the Iranian threat. What is this response likely to consist of?
American security guarantees are preferable. However, even if the
United States provides security guarantees to Saudi Arabia which it
has thus far refrained from doing it is doubtful whether the
kingdom will regard that as sufficient. Promotion of a nuclear-
free region is also a possibility under consideration by Riyadh. In
this context, the agreement with Iran is liable to put Israels
nuclear program on the agenda, according to the logic, If Iran, why
not Israel? The kingdoms concern that in certain scenarios it is
liable to find itself on its own facing a stronger Iran may lead it
to a situation in which it will have nuclear options available.
More than any other player in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia has a
strategic motive and the economic capability to do this. Underlying
current Saudi policy is that its right to enrich uranium should be
recognized, just as Tehran has gained this right. Development of a
nuclear program centering on the ability to enrich uranium is a
long term option for Saudi Arabia, due to the absence of a
knowledge infrastructure and suitable facilities in the kingdom.
From Riyadhs point of view, however, the agreement with Iran gives
it ten years of Iranian nuclear restraint, and in this time
framework, the kingdom will be able to choose various possibilities
in the nuclear realm allowed by the NPT. In order to develop a
civilian nuclear program in the long term, the kingdom will likely
seek to develop a network with a number of countries, including
Pakistan, with which the kingdom has close defense relations.
Differences have emerged recently between Riyadh and Islamabad
regarding the war in Yemen, but if Pakistan becomes convinced that
its ally which not only financed a large part of its nuclear
program but provides the country with significant economic aid is
in need of its long term assistance for an enrichment facility on
the kingdoms territory, it will be willing to furnish this
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02/08/2015 assistance, even if unofficially. Because the process of
building an independent nuclear capability is prolonged and
demanding, the kingdom must find a medium term response to cope
with the challenge posed by Irans nuclear status. Another possible
scenario is that at Saudi Arabias request, Pakistan will station
nuclear warheads under its control on Saudi Arabian territory as a
form of extended deterrence, if Iran openly breaks out to a bomb.
And even if Saudi Arabias path to nuclear capability is not
guaranteed, its very presence in the arms race is liable to set in
motion various processes with negative consequences for regional
stability in general, and for Israel in particular. Events in the
Arabian Peninsula are not covered sufficiently by Israel, which
naturally devotes most of its efforts to the Iranian threat. Israel
should thus improve its intelligence gathering and assessment
capability in the Gulf theater, in order among other interests to
spot attempts by additional countries to create a "nuclear balance"
with Iran. July 22, 2015 Special Dispatch No.6112 Saudi Press: We
Must Have A Military Nuclear Program Within A Decade Following the
July 14, 2015 announcement in Vienna of the Iran-P5+1 Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action, the Saudi press featured numerous
articles openly calling for Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states to use
the coming decade the time frame of the JCPOA to develop their own
military nuclear program, against the nuclear threat that they say
Iran will constitute after the agreement expires. There have
already been calls for a clandestine Saudi nuclear program to
parallel Iran's, which were backed up by official Saudi sources.
For example, the month before the announcement of the JCPOA, Saudi
Ambassador to the U.K. Emir Muhammad bin Nawwaf bin 'Abd Al-'Aziz
Al-Saud told the Daily Telegraph that if the upcoming nuclear
agreement with Iran did not include a serious Iranian commitment to
refrain from developing nuclear weapons, then as far as Saudi
Arabia is concerned, "all options are on the table." He emphasized
that over the years, his country had opposed the development of
nuclear weapons, but that Iran's policy on the issue "has changed
the whole outlook in the region."[1] Emir Turki Al-Faisal, former
Saudi intelligence chief and Saudi Ambassador to the U.S., made
similar statements, on a number of occasions. In April 2014, at a
security conference in Bahrain, Al-Faisal called on the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC) states to acquire nuclear knowledge to
deal with the Iranian danger.[2] The previous year, at the 2013
Arab-U.S. Policymakers Conference, he threatened that if Iran
developed nuclear weapons, the GCC would consider acquiring its own
"nuclear deterrent."[3] Alongside these statements by Saudi
officials, there have been various reports in media worldwide on
Saudi intentions to establish a military nuclear program,[4] or to
acquire nuclear weapons from a third party, meaning Pakistan.[5] In
addition, Saudi Arabia has recently taken practical steps to
develop a civilian nuclear program. In recent months it has signed
nuclear agreements with France,[6] Russia,[7]and South Korea,[8]
which include the establishment of civilian nuclear reactors in the
kingdom.[9] Following are excerpts from articles in the Saudi press
calling for the establishment of a Saudi nuclear program: No
Alternative To Nuclear Arms Race Dr. Hashem 'Abdu Hashem, columnist
for the official Saudi daily Al-Riyadh, called on the Gulf states
and Arab countries to work on two fronts the military front, that
is, immediately launching a nuclear arms race, and the diplomatic
front, that is, beginning a dialogue with the superpowers and
taking advantage of the prevailing atmosphere of economic interests
overriding security interests. In his column, titled "There Is No
Alternative To The Option Of A Nuclear Arms Race," he wrote: "...
The situation is dangerous very dangerous and the need to operate
on all levels is increasing. There is a need for direct and
transparent dialogue with the P5+1 and for working to bolster our
self [defense] capabilities as a country, as a single Gulf entity,
and as a homogenous Arab group that senses the
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02/08/2015 same threat, thinks alike, and seeks the best guarantees
for stability in its lands and for dealing jointly with this new
reality. "Just as Iran has opened the [nuclear] door wide, we must
not delay in breaking [the nuclear door] down, with all necessary
speed. We must benefit from the [current] international willingness
to prioritize economic interests above existing security issues.
"We are facing a new reality, with no room for tiptoeing around the
arms race issue. The countries of the region must confer on how
best to cooperate and coordinate on this vital issue, now that it
has become the preferred option. "I do not know if such a move will
benefit our countries and peoples, but I do know that hesitating or
delaying will do us no good. Additionally, such an agreement
requires the countries of the region to act to achieve a balance in
our relations with all countries of the world, in accordance with
the scope of our interests with each country..."[10] Saudi flag
superimposed over image of nuclear reactor (Source: Annabaa.org,
July 6, 2015) We Must Establish Arab Nuclear Reactors To Create A
Balance Of Power With Iran And Israel In a similar vein, in his
column in the official Saudi daily Al-Jazirah, Jasser 'Abd Al-'Aziz
Al-Jasser wrote, under the headline "So We Don't Fall Victim To The
Nuclear Deception": "... A decade from now, Iran will be able to
manufacture nuclear weapons... It has the knowhow, which will
surely develop in the coming decade, in addition to amassing
thousands of tons of enriched uranium which will facilitate Iran's
production of nuclear weapons. Therefore, the countries of the
region, especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE, must prepare for that
day, and work to create a scientific base and a nuclear [facility]
infrastructure by establishing research reactors for producing
energy, that can serve the region's countries [in their efforts] to
attain a nuclear balance [of power] with Iran or with Israel.
Otherwise, only Arab countries will be targets for extortion, by
both Iran and Israel."[11] Saudi academic 'Abd Al-'Aziz Al-Tuwaijri
wrote in the London-based Saudi daily Al-Hayat: "... Today we are
on the threshold of a new crisis that requires the Arab countries,
and the other members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation
[OIC], to take the necessary actions to deal with this dangerous
challenge, and strengthen and expand the [Saudi-led] Arab coalition
[operating in Yemen] to meet this challenge with strength and
determination... We have entered a new phase of dangerous
challenges... There is no escape from taking the initiative and
establishing nuclear programs that are similar to the one agreed
upon between the superpowers (the P5+1) and Iran, and under the
same conditions, and [there is also no escape] from bearing all
expected and unexpected consequences [of establishing these
programs], in order to preserve [the Arab] lands and to defend
their existence and security."[12] Saudi Arabia Must Develop A
Secret Nuclear Program So That It Can Produce Nuclear Weapons In 10
Years Al-Jazirah columnist Khaled Ibrahim Al-Hajji set out the
steps that he says Saudi Arabia must take to develop a nuclear
program in the coming decade: "... Training Saudi personnel in the
field of nuclear energy that will produce results, as part of a
known timetable [concurrent with] the term of the Iranian nuclear
agreement; recruiting outstanding Saudi students for this program,
along with a special staff and financial benefits in line with
their scientific capabilities; establishing nuclear energy Research
and Development [R&D] centers within the timeframe of the
Iranian nuclear agreement; conducting clandestine scientific
research in absolute secrecy to preserve national security; and
recruiting nuclear physicists and scientists from around the world
to work in Saudi Arabia in return for special benefits, and
granting Saudi citizenship to those who desire it. The Saudi
nuclear program will be ready to develop and produce nuclear
weapons that will deter Iran's nuclear program once its agreement
with
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9The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely
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02/08/2015 the superpowers expires..." Al-Hajji concluded his piece
by stating: "The timeframe of the Iranian nuclear agreement should
be long enough for us to build a Saudi nuclear program that will
serve as a deterrent to the Iranian nuclear program."[13] Endnotes:
[1] Daily Telegraph (UK), June 8, 2015. [2] Newnews.com.pk, April
24, 2014. [3] See MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 5502, Former Saudi
Ambassador To Washington Turki Al- Faisal: If Iran Acquires Nuclear
Weapons, The GCC Should Consider Acquiring A 'Nuclear Deterrent' Of
Its Own; 'The Shameful Way That The World Community Accepts The
Impunity Of The Butcher Of Syria Is A Blot On The Conscience Of The
World', October 28, 2013. [4] The pro-resistance axis Lebanese
daily Al-Safir reported that the Gulf states had made a strategic
decision to use the coming decade for a nuclear and ballistic
missile arms race, which received American approval at the May 2015
Camp David summit. According to the report, Saudi Arabia has
devoted $60 billion to the program, which would make it a nuclear
power by 2025. Al-Safir (Lebanon), July 7, 2015. [5] An American
official told the British Sunday Times that Saudi Arabia has
decided to acquire readymade nukes from Pakistan.
Sundaytimes.co.uk, May 17, 2015. The BBC reported that Saudi Arabia
provided financial support for the Pakistani nuclear program with
the aim of purchasing nuclear weapons in the future. BBC.com,
November 6, 2013. The World Tribune reported that Saudi Arabia sent
money to Pakistan for the purchase of nuclear missiles, which would
be delivered once Iran possesses the same capability.
Worldtribune.com, November 13, 2013. [6] Al-Sharq Al-Awsat
(London), June 24, 2015. [7] Al-Watan (Saudi Arabia), June 19,
2015. [8] Al-Hayat (London), March 4, 2015. [9] Al-Sharq Al-Awsat
(London), June 24, 2015. [10] Al-Riyadh (Saudi Arabia), July 18,
2015. [11] Al-Jazirah (Saudi Arabia), July 20, 2015. [12] Al-Hayat
(London), July 20, 2015. [13] Al-Jazirah (Saudi Arabia), July 20,
2015. July 31, 2015 Special Dispatch No.6121 Pakistani Urdu Daily
Warns Against Nuclear Arms Race In South Asia: 'The Danger Of A
Nuclear War In The Most Populated Region Of The World Should Be
Worrying For The World Powers' The following report is a
complimentary offering from MEMRI's Jihad and Terrorism Threat
Monitor (JTTM). For JTTM subscription information, click here.
Pakistan's widely circulated Urdu-language newspaper Roznama Islam,
known for its support of militant organizations in Pakistan and
Afghanistan, has raised concerns over the nuclear arms race in
South Asia. In a column titled "Indian War Obsession And Regional
Peace," Rana Zahid Iqbal warns of the risk of a nuclear war between
Pakistan and India. Iqbal argues that India, by importing large
quantities of weapons, wants to establish its hegemony in the South
Asian region, which he says can trigger nuclear war between
Pakistan and India. In this context, Iqbal recalls the horrors of
the use of nuclear weapons by the U.S. during World War II. Roznama
Islam, which was launched in the early 1990s, is now published in
seven Pakistani cities: Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar,
Multan, Quetta and Muzaffarabad (Pakistani Kashmir).
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10The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely
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14 02/08/2015 A screen grab of the translated article Following are
excerpts from Rana Zahid Iqbal's article: "Increased Tension On The
Line of Control Can Create A Situation Of War Between Two Nuclear
Powers" "The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute has
said that from 2010 to 2014, India bought 140% more weapons than in
the past. In this way, India has become the biggest [global]
importer of weapons. According to the Stockholm report, India's
share in global weapons imports is 15%, whereas during the same
period, China's weapon imports declined by 42%. India's imports of
weapons, fighter jets, naval ships and missiles are at the top of
the list. "With such an increase in its defense budget, India has
hinted at promoting its crazy game of expansionism, which will not
only endanger other countries in the region but will also endanger
its own integrity and the lives of people, animals, and birds in
the region. Because of India's defense spending and accumulation of
modern and conventional weapons, and its plan to set up weapons-
manufacturing facilities in the country [as part of its new 'Make
in India' policy] with American support, regional peace and
security are facing grave dangers. "[India's Narendra] Modi
government, in line with its electoral manifesto and agenda, has
adopted the policy of not allowing Pakistan to live in peace, by
initiating unprovoked firing and shelling on the Line of Control
[or LoC, dividing Kashmir between India and Pakistan], which has
taken the tension between Pakistan and India to extreme levels and
exposed India's designs against Pakistan's integrity. Increased
tension on the Line of Control can create a situation of war
between the two nuclear powers. "The world powers should be
worried, because by entering into agreements with [India] for
modern weapons and nuclear technology, they are becoming a reason
for its increased frenzy. Surely this is a question of the planet
earth's survival; because of India's obsession, regional and
international security has been endangered. The American Congress
has been told that India, in the event of a self-inflicted
terrorist attack [implicating Pakistan], can mount a large-scale
attack on Pakistan, and in response to an Indian army operation,
Pakistan can use atomic weapons, which will destabilize South Asian
peace. The danger of a nuclear war in the most populated region of
the world should be worrying for the world powers." "Now, Pakistan
And Hindustan [India] Have Bombs That Are 100 Times More Powerful
Than The Ones Dropped By America" "The world saw a glimpse of the
destruction that nuclear weapons can cause in Japan's two cities of
Hiroshima and Nagasaki, during World War II. On the 6th and 9th of
August, 1947 [sic], bombs dropped by America caused severe
earthquake jolts and vibrations of 16,000 kilometers per hour...
After the atomic explosions, buildings, trees, animals, birds,
vehicles, machines, railway lines all were burned to ashes. After
the explosions, extreme radiation emission travelled across a
radius of many kilometers, and every type of food and water became
poisonous... "Those were old atomic bombs. Now, Pakistan and
Hindustan [India] have bombs that are 100 times more powerful than
the ones dropped by America, and have missiles capable of carrying
atomic warheads which will bring such destruction at the press of a
button that 150 million people will die in 15 minutes. The ozone
layer will be badly affected, and a majority of those surviving a
nuclear war will suffer from cancer and other fatal diseases. "Not
only will the [Indian] Subcontinent be affected, but the whole
world will have to face atomic radiation. Therefore, Pakistan and
India's prosperity, development, peace and stability depend on a
peaceful solution of bilateral disputes through negotiation, not
through an arms race. But India, by
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14 02/08/2015 increasing its budget for war preparations, has
heightened the apprehensions of its neighbors, especially Pakistan.
Its Jammu and Kashmir dispute with Pakistan is still unresolved,
and has resulted in four large-scale wars. And even this time,
frenzied Indian ministers are busy talking nonsense against
Pakistan. "The interest of some two billion people in the
Subcontinent is not served by increasing the craze for war; rather
it is served by taking measures for progress and development. Since
India is the world's third-largest military power, it needs to
desist from the arms race and spend its resources on eliminating
poverty. "From the beginning, India has desired to become an atomic
superpower in the region that can wave its flag of might over
China, Pakistan, and all other small countries in the region, as
well as over the Gulf states. Obviously, this objective cannot be
achieved until India's rulers equip their army with latest and most
lethal weapons." Source: Roznama Islam (Pakistan), May 29, 2015.
July 31, 2015 Special Dispatch No.6120 Urdu Weekly Celebrates
Pakistan's 1998 Nuclear Tests: 'Pakistan Conducted Atomic
Explosions, Grinding The Indian Military Arrogance Into Dust; A New
History Of Islamic Jihad Was Recorded' The following report is a
complimentary offering from MEMRI's Jihad and Terrorism Threat
Monitor (JTTM). For JTTM subscription information, click here. In
an article celebrating the anniversary of the May 28, 1998
Pakistani nuclear tests, Pakistan's leading jihadi weekly Haftroza
Zarb-e-Momin ("Strike of the Faithful Muslim") argued that Pakistan
had marked a new moment in the history of Islamic jihad by
detonating five atom bombs in the Chaghi mountains of Pakistan's
Baluchistan province. Haftroza Zarb-e-Momin, which is published in
Karachi, claimed that after Israeli jets had successfully destroyed
the Iraqi nuclear plant in 1981, India, with the cooperation of
Israel, planned to destroy the nuclear plant at Kahuta, Pakistan.
The article, "The Message of May 28," by Maulana Mohammad Ismail
Rehan, pays glowing tributes to Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan, the
architect of Pakistan's nuclear program, for making Pakistan's
defense impregnable. The jihadi magazine, which was first published
in the early 1990s, by the Al-Qaeda-linked charity Al- Rasheed
Trust, and openly supports jihadi organizations in the
Afghanistan-Pakistan region. Initially, the magazine was only sold
outside mosques after weekly Friday prayers, but now it is freely
available in towns across Pakistan. Page from Haftroza Zarb-e-Momin
Following is the text of the article, as translated from Urdu: "The
Designs Of The Enemies Of Islam Against Pakistan Turned Into Dust
[After The Nuclear Tests]"; "Pakistan Is A Gift From Allah, And
Readiness For Jihad Is The Way To Protect It" "On May 28 [1998],
Pakistan conducted atomic explosions, grinding the Indian military
arrogance into dust. A new history of Islamic jihad was recorded in
the Chaghi Mountains [of Baluchistan province]. The designs of the
enemies of Islam against God's state of Pakistan turned into dust.
"Readers! Pakistan is a gift from Allah, and readiness for jihad is
the way to protect it. We received this country... when the
Christian powers were leaving South Asia. Idol-worshiping
politicians wanted to bring back the rule and title of Ashoka [who
ruled from 269-232 BCE]. They wanted to bring back their [ancient]
idolatrous culture, from Taxila statues to Bamiyan idols [Buddhas]
which were
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14 02/08/2015 annihilated by Islam. "The Englishman was forced to
divide India, in the awe of the movement of freedom for the Muslims
of the [Indian] Subcontinent, but he did his best [to ensure] that
the Muslims got an imperfect, weak, and powerless state. Injustice
was done to us with regard to borders; [we] were deprived of
Eastern Punjab under a conspiracy. The highway to Kashmir was
handed over to Bharat [India]. Then, in collusion with the [Hindu]
Maharaja of Kashmir, [the Indian] army infiltrated into Kashmir. By
rejecting [the Muslim-ruled princely states] Hyderabad Deccan's and
Junagarh's joining with Pakistan, those [states] were usurped [into
India]. "The border with Lahore was narrowed, so that Pakistan's
second biggest city remains in danger of sudden Indian army attack.
Pakistan was given a very small army, defective ammunition, and
very little equipment. With regard to funds, it was given a meager
sum. Hindu businessmen in Karachi moved to India and withdrew their
wealth. [India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal] Nehru, said, in
a very angry tone: 'Give Jinnah his Pakistan. Tomorrow he will
say...: Take this Pakistan from me.' "So Pakistan [started] from
bankruptcy. Offices lacked basic stationery items like paper and
pens, let alone typewriters. But the Muslims of the Subcontinent
are a lively nation. Mumbai's Muslim traders opened their money
boxes. By donating tens of millions of rupees, they filled in the
foundations of a newly created state. Pakistan was established. The
issue of settling five million refugees was also solved by the
nation, through extraordinary sacrifices. "But Pakistan's freedom
and sovereignty was not acceptable to Indian leaders. In 1965, they
attacked the Pakistani border from many fronts. Together, our
valiant army and honorable people fought the war and secured an
historic victory." "After The Israeli Jets' 1981 Destruction Of The
Iraqi Nuclear Plant, India, In Collaboration With Israel, Set Its
Mind To Destroying [Pakistan's] Kahuta Plant" "In 1971, by raising
the issue of nationality, Muslims were divided. As a result, India
separated East Pakistan [now Bangladesh] from Pakistan. One arm was
broken, but the nation learned a new lesson from this injury. "One
young Pakistani scientist, Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan, vowed to make
Pakistan's borders safe forever from Indian aggression. [He] left
the convenient and attractive life of Europe, kicked away benefits
and a big salary, came to Pakistan, and persuaded Prime Minister
Zulfikar Ali Bhutto to make an atomic bomb. "At first, Bhutto did
not believe that he would be able to do this job, but Dr. Abdul
Qadeer Khan had a different scheme in mind, according to which the
goal [of securing an atom bomb] could be achieved by spending less.
At last, the Kahuta atomic research plant was built. Dr. Abdul
Qadeer Khan, with full courage and dedication, began work. He
looked after the scientists and technicians working under him as if
they were his own children. As a result of the team's daily hard
work, Pakistan succeeded in making an atom bomb in the 1980s, when
General Ziaul Haq was in government [as military dictator of
Pakistan]. Work continued to develop and secure this technology.
"India got a sense of it. After the Israeli jets' 1981 destruction
of the Iraqi nuclear plant, India, in collaboration with Israel,
set its mind to destroying the Kahuta plant. But the enemy's plans
could not succeed, because of our top military leadership and
scientists' good planning. The atom bomb was ready, but to
demonstrate its capability, there were certain practicalities in
the way. The Western world had already started making noise, by
naming it an Islamic bomb. "In 1998, India, in order to overawe
Pakistan, showed its power by carrying out atomic explosions. At
that time, it was the second tenure of the Mian Mohammad Nawaz
Sharif government. Ignoring foreign pressure, he [Prime Minister
Nawaz Sharif] gave the go-ahead for the [Pakistani] atomic
explosions. Then, on May 28, the first atomic explosion in Islamic
history took place, in the Chaghi Mountains. Dew fell on the
Western world's wishes." "When Paradise Is Promised For Making One
Spear, [Imagine] What Will Be The Status Of Those Who Were Part Of
Making The [Pakistani] Atom Bomb "
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13The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely
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14 02/08/2015 "On that day [May 28, 1998], the command of Allah
regarding jihad was fulfilled. In Chapter Al-Anfal, Verse 60, the
Koran says clearly: 'Remain prepared to fight them with as much as
power you have, through supply of power and through well-fed
horses... you frighten your enemies and the enemies of Allah.' On
that day, this Hadith [from the book of Hadiths called] Muslim
Sharif was acted upon; in it, it is said: 'You make yourself as
powerful as you can.' [The Hadith says:] 'Listen! Power means
spear-throwing; listen, power means spear-throwing; listen, power
means spear- throwing.' "In [a Hadith from the book of Hadiths
called] Abu Dawood, the Prophet [Muhammad] said: 'Sure, Allah will
allow three persons in Paradise for one spear one for making it...;
the second who throws it; and the third who takes it from quiver
and hands it to the thrower.' When Paradise is promised for making
one spear, [imagine] what will be the status of those who were part
of making the [Pakistani] atom bomb. "What will be the status of
its inventor Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan? May 28 reminds us to be ready
to defend this country, rising above personal desires and interests
and remaining ready to defend our homeland, and to keep frustrating
the enemy's plans, as desired by Allah and required by the time."
Source: Haftroza Zarb-e-Momin, (Pakistan), May 29-June 4, 2015. Aug
02, 2015 Iranian Military Facing Increasing Public Demands for
Ballistic Missile Drill TEHRAN (FNA)- An increasing number of
Iranians are demanding the country's armed forces to stage a
ballistic missile drill after the Iranian and American negotiators
presented different interpretations on a paragraph of an annex to
the UNSC Resolution 2231. Students of 9 universities in Tehran in a
letter to Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General
Hassan Firouzabadi on Sunday demanded him to arrange a set of
exercises to fire home-made mid and long-range ballistic missiles.
Also in a separate statement on Saturday, students at the Islamic
seminary in the holy city of Qom, referred to the paragraph in the
UNSC resolution annex which calls for curbing Iran's ballistic
missile capability, and underlined the necessity for protecting the
country's defense capabilities and ensuring continued development
of Iran's ballistic missile capability. The students told
Firouzabadi that firing ballistic missiles in military drills would
discourage the US Congress, the Israeli Knesset and their regional
Takfiri mercenaries from future strikes against the Islamic
Republic. The UNSC unanimously endorsed a draft resolution turning
into international law the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
(JCPOA) reached between Iran and the Group 5+1 (the US, Russia,
China Britain and France plus Germany) over the Islamic Republics
nuclear program in July. The paragraph in the annex of the UN
Security Council Resolution 2231 says, "Iran is called upon not to
undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be
capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using
such ballistic missile technology, until the date eight years after
the JCPOA Adoption Day or until the date on which the IAEA submits
a report confirming the Broader Conclusion, whichever is earlier."
Iran says it has not accepted or endorsed the annex, adding that
none of its ballistic missiles has been designed to carry nuclear
payloads, and thus, its ballistic missile program is no way related
to the paragraph. The US State Secretary and his team argue to the
opposite. Yet, both accept that the paragraph is non-binding as it
demands and does not order. Minutes the approval of the UN Security
Council resolution, the Iranian Foreign Ministry in a
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14 02/08/2015 statement ensured that the country's ballistic
missile program and capability is untouched and unrestricted by
Resolution 2231. The Iranian foreign ministry issued a rather
lengthy statement, where it stressed Tehran's resolve to contribute
an active role in war on terrorism and promotion of peace and
stability in the region. The statement ensured that "Iran will
continue its pioneering role in campaign against terrorism and
violent extremism", including its cooperation with the neighboring
states. "In addition, the Islamic Republic of Iran will continue
making the necessary arrangements and plans to reinvigorate its
defensive capabilities to protect its sovereignty, independence and
territorial integrity against any kind of aggression as well as its
confrontation with the threat of terrorism in the region," it
added. "Within this framework, Iran's military capabilities,
including its ballistic missiles, are exclusively for legitimate
defense; these equipment have not been designed for the capability
to carry nuclear payloads and thus, fall outside the scope and the
jurisdiction of the UNSC resolution and its annexes," the Iranian
foreign ministry statement stressed. All 15 members of the UNSC
voted for the draft UN resolution in New York on July 20, setting
the stage for the lifting of Security Council sanctions against
Iran. The text of the draft UN resolution calls for the full
implementation of the Vienna agreement on the timetable
established, and urges UN member countries to facilitate the
process.