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AEROSPACE INDUSTRY - AMERICA’S FUTURE?
THE FLYING MACHINE THAT CHANGED THE WORLD
© 2011 Shawn Paul Boike, Long Beach, California
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any
form or by any means without written permission from the author.
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If you want someone to be able to copy or distribute portions of the book, place exceptions
here (AIAA, AIA, Boeing)
Table of Contents
AEROSPACE INDUSTRY - AMERICA’S FUTURE? 1
THE FLYING MACHINE THAT CHANGED THE WORLD 1
Table of Contents 2
List of Illustrations 6
Introduction 10
The Flying Machine that Changed the World 10
Chapter 1 13
The Beginning & Buildups 13 THE US AEROSPACE INDUSTRY – The Early Days 17 THE ACORN DAYS 19
From a speech given by Mr. Denham S. Scott to the AIA on March 19, 1968 19
from: http://www.navworld.com/navhistory/acorndays.htm Reprinted from NAAR (North American Aviation Retirees Bulletin) - Summer 2001 26
The Growing Days 1930-1990 26 An International Industry 33 A Post-Cold War World 35
Chapter 1B 38
HELICOPTERS 38
"The Helicopter is the most versatile way of getting in and out anywhere in the world” 38 HISTORY OF HELICOPTERS 38
The Chinese 38 Leonardo Da Vinci 39 Fifteenth through the Twentieth Centuries 39 Early Twentieth Century 40 World War I Advancements 40 Autogyros are invented 41 Sikorsky's Advancements 42 1950 Advancements 42 The Turbine Engine's Impact 43 1960s & 1970s: The Vietnam War and how the helicopter changed 43
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1980s and the Helicopter 44 Early 1990s and the Helicopter 45 Conclusion of Helicopter Evolution 45
Chapter 1C 47
ROCKET SHIPS 47
"The Rocket ship is the way to get into Space because it carries its complete propellant” 47 HISTORY OF ROCKET SHIPS 47
Rocketry Becomes a Science 52
Modern Rocketry Begins 53
Chapter 2 59
Changing Times 59 America's defense companies are turning dual-purpose 59
Jul 18th 2002 | from the print edition 59 Downsizing: Merger & Acquisitions 60
A survey of the defense industry: Getting it together? 60 Two-way traffic 65 The Total Quality Management Farce 68 When Government Gave US Away 70
Sidebar: A License to Steal Jobs 71 Pres. Clinton’s Transferring Technology to China 72
Sanctions and Technology Transfer Policy 72 Change Maybe Coming-but not soon Enough 75
Chapter 3 77
Where We Are Today… 77
We're falling behind. 77
By Norm Augustine (Ret. Chairman & CEO Lockheed Martin)77 America’s Lost Leadership 82
Lockheed Martin 83 General Dynamics-old 87 McDonnell Douglas-now Boeing 90 Boeing Aircraft 91
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Northrop Grumman 92
Chapter 4 94
The Economic Importance 94 Economic Importance 94 World Economy vs. USA 94 Industry Economic Histories 96 America’s Aerospace Economic Case 97
TRADABLE EMPLOYMENT 98 Economic Value – A Comparative Model 104 Aerospace & Defense: Least Understood Industrial Sector 106
By guest author Robert H. Trice 106 Lost: America's Industrial Base 108 Fading Space Industrial Base 112 America’s Lead World Space Program 114
Chapter 5 124
The Future Forecasts 124 The World’s Growing Competition 124 U.S. faces foreign competition — in space 125 Where All the Money Is: 129 Boeing’s Future Forecast 131 The shape of the market 131
The Boeing US Commercial Aerospace Industry and Defense 2012-2031 131
http://www.boeing.com/boeing/commercial/cmo/ 131 Airbus Future Forecast 131 Asia’s Future Forecast 132 Forecast Considerations: 132
Chapter 6 133
Our Future Focus and Plans 133 Where’s our Flying Car? 135 The Super Sonic Cruiser 136 Hypersonic - The Orient Express 138 Space Tourism 140 Space Based Solar Power-Energy 140 Tomorrows new Bomber 145 Tomorrow’s Spy Plane 147 Educating Tomorrow’s People 151 10 Incredible Airplane Designs of the Future 151
In the middle of this century, telecommunications will be so 163
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Boeing’s 797 Concept 164
Conclusion 165
References & Contributors: 169
Chapter 1: Beginnings & Buildups 169
Higham, Charles. Howard Hughes: the Secret Life. New York: Putnam's, 1993 173
On-Line References: 178
“Early Martin Planes.” http://www.martinstateairport.com/ 179
“F-22 Raptor.” http://www.boeing.com/history/boeing/f22.html 179
“McDonnell Douglas History.” http://www.boeing.com/history/boeing/f22.html 180
“Northrop YB-49.” U.S. Air Force Museum. http://www.nationalmuseum.af.mil/ 181
“The Nurflugel Page.” http://www.nurflugel.com/Nurflugel/nurflugel.html 181
“Project Bumblebee.” http://www.xsouth.freeserve.co.uk/project_bumblebee.htm 181
Industries Economic History: 183
Bibliography 183
Biogtraphy 185 SHAWN PAUL BOIKE 185
Additional: 194 The History of the Aerospace Industry 194
Posted Mon, 2010-02-01 18:21 by Anonymous 194 The First Half-Century 195 The Cold War 198
Notes to Add: 202
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List of Illustrations
Figure 1. Spirit of Exploration ........................................................................................................ 8
Figure 2. George Cayley & described a modern airplane ............................................................. 14
Figure 3. Bernoulli’s Principle for Wing Airflow ........................................................................ 16
Figure 4. Courtesy of "History of Helicopters ". .......................................................................... 39
Figure 5. Built for US Army Air Force by Georgrij Bothezat (USSR). Courtesy of "History of
Helicopters". ................................................................................................................................. 41
Figure 6. Modern Autogyro courtesy of "History of Helicopters". .............................................. 41
Figure 7. One of Sikorsky's earlier models. Courtesy of "History of Helicopters". ..................... 42
Figure 8. Hiller's flying platform courtesy of "History of Helicopters". ...................................... 42
Figure 9. Mc Donnell's helicopter courtesy of History of Helicopters. ........................................ 43
Figure 10. Bell 209 Cobra "Snake" courtesy of "History of Helicopters". ................................... 44
Figure 11. Bell/Boeing 609 courtesy of "History of Helicopters". ............................................... 44
Figure 12. Revolution Helicopter Corp. Mini 500 courtesy of "History of Helicopters". ............ 45
Figure 13. Hero Engine ................................................................................................................. 49
Figure 14. Chinese Fire Arrow ..................................................................................................... 49
Figure 15. Chinese Fire Arrow Launch ........................................................................................ 50
Figure 16. Surface Running Torpedo............................................................................................ 50
Figure 17. Wan-Hu Flying Chair .................................................................................................. 51
Figure 18. Tsiolkovsky Rockets ................................................................................................... 53
Figure 19. Goddard’s 1926 Rocket ............................................................................................... 55
Figure 20. German V2 Rocket ...................................................................................................... 57
Figure 21. Aerospace & Defense Sales......................................................................................... 60
Figure 22. Defense Industry Consolidation 1993-2007 ................................................................ 63
Figure 23. Aerospace & Defance Stock Trends............................................................................ 64
Figure 24. A View of Earth from the Shuttle ................................................................................ 70
Figure 25. Norm Augustine .......................................................................................................... 77
Figure 26. F22 (Fwd) & F15 (Aft) ................................................................................................ 84
Figure 27. F35 JSF in Vertical Flight and Forward Flight ........................................................... 86
Figure 28. A12 Avenger Concept ................................................................................................. 88
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Figure 29. A12 Avenger Concept ................................................................................................. 88
Figure 30. Atlas2AS...................................................................................................................... 90
Figure 31. F18 E/F Carrier Landing ............................................................................................. 93
Figure 32. World GDP (past 50 years) ......................................................................................... 95
Figure 33. USA GDP vs. the rest of the World (50 years) ........................................................... 96
Figure 34. Tradable Industry Jobs, 1990–2008 (Majors)9 ........................................................... 99
Figure 35. Cost Comparison ....................................................................................................... 101
Figure 36. Tradable Industry Jobs 1990-2008 ............................................................................ 102
Figure 37. Aerospace and other Transport Industries (Tradable) ............................................... 104
Figure 38. ISS ............................................................................................................................. 115
Figure 39. Hubble Space Telescope............................................................................................ 120
Figure 40. Mars Rover ................................................................................................................ 121
Figure 41. Over Cost F35 Comparison ...................................................................................... 130
Figure 42. SVC’s Vertical Take-off & Landing Aerocraft ......................................................... 136
Figure 43. Boeing Sonic Cruise vs. Better .................................................................................. 137
Figure 44. Boeing Sonic Cruiser ................................................................................................. 138
Figure 45. Hypersonic Aircraft ................................................................................................... 139
Figure 46. SBSP Concepts .......................................................................................................... 141
Figure 47. Next Generation Bomber ........................................................................................... 146
Figure 48. SR-71 Replacement ................................................................................................... 147
Figure 49. Hypersonic Research and Development .................................................................... 149
Figure 50. SR-72 (November 1, 2013) ....................................................................................... 150
Figure 51. 10) Icon-II Supersonic flight ..................................................................................... 152
Figure 52. 9) Green Supersonic Machine ................................................................................... 153
Figure 53. 8) Blended Wing........................................................................................................ 154
Figure 54. 7) X-45A UCAV ....................................................................................................... 155
Figure 55. 6) Solar Eagle ............................................................................................................ 156
Figure 56. 5) SUGAR ................................................................................................................. 157
Figure 57. 4) Lockheed Martin ................................................................................................... 158
Figure 58. 3) Bigger is Better ..................................................................................................... 159
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Figure 59. Northrop Grumman ................................................................................................... 160
Figure 60. The Puffin .................................................................................................................. 161
Figure 61. Airbus Solar Aircraft ................................................................................................. 162
Figure 62. Boeing’s 797 Concept ............................................................................................... 164
Epigraph Page
“Global leadership is not a birthright. Despite what many Americans believe, our nation does
not possess an innate knack for greatness. Greatness must be worked for and won by each new
generation. Right now that is not happening. But we still have time. If we place the emphasis we
should on education, research and innovation we can lead the world in the decades to come. But
the only way to ensure we remain great tomorrow is to increase our investment in science and
engineering today”.
Norm Augustine (retired chairman and CEO of Lockheed Martin)
Figure 1. Spirit of Exploration
“The spirit of exploration is truly part of what it is to be human. Human history has been a
continual struggle from darkness toward light, a search for knowledge and deeper
understanding, a search for truth. Ever since our distant ancestors ventured forth into the world,
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there has been an insatiable curiosity to see what lies beyond the next hill, what lies beyond the
horizon. That is the fire of the human spirit that we all carry”.
Steve Robinson (STS-114 Mission Specialist)
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“The desire to fly is an idea handed down to us by our ancestors who looked enviously on
the birds soaring freely through space on the infinite highway of the air”
Wilbur Wright
Introduction
The Flying Machine that Changed the World
It’s been over a 110 years since powered controlled flight was proven by the Wright
Brothers from Dayton Ohio, in Kitty Hawk in North Carolina. We had conquered space flight
and put a man on the moon and delivered him home safely over half a century ago. We have
commercial aircraft able to travel halfway around the world without refueling. The most
significant industry change of the last two decade’s is in some materials and
Northrop’s flying wing as the Stealth B2 bomber design. America maybe close to losing its
leadership and become second place in the World for producing Aircraft in the near future.
This loss in standing in the Aerospace Industry is, unfortunately too similar to the Automotive
Industry. It’s a shame to see the nation's largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) export base
diminishing and losing its edge.
This book “Aerospace Industry America’s Loss?” is an in depth look at the Aerospace
Industry, a compilation of facts, figures, events, and some personal accounts in the biggest
economic base & technologically influential industry in the world. The economic advantage this
industry brings Nation’s and their work force a better Standard of Living and higher wages.
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Those who lead in this key industry will lead in GDP. This tradable industry which can be
exportable is currently valued at $7 ½ Trillion in 20 years or $4 Trillion in commercial aircraft
only. The nations that have grown the most have pursued this from engineering and building
automobiles then aerospace and selling them outside of their nation, this creates a higher
standard of living. You will see the evolution and buildup of the Aerospace Industry to the
fall/demise of America’s Aerospace Industry the largest U.S. GDP creation and the economic
impact on this exportable product of trade. We conclude with valuable Future Focus with
realistic programs and plans that will generate huge growth and prosperity into the next decades
or century to lead the World both in aviation & space markets along with finding a future energy
solution.
We have recently seen the retirement of the U.S. Space Shuttles after its final mission to the
International Space Station. Now, the U.S. is regressing in technology 50+ years and use rockets
with a capsule. Russian expendable Launch Vehicles (ELV) at a higher price than our Space
Shuttle, just to get the U.S. back to the International Space Station. So we should ask: Where is
the Space Shuttles replacement? Or, what about the C-17 replacement? And the (super) Sonic
Cruiser? What happened to the National Aerospace Plane (NASP) Hypersonic aircraft (mach25)
also known as the Orient Express LA to Tokyo in 2 hours?
Why is it we are still flying slowly commercially? Where is our flying car? What about that
jet pack which looks kind-of unsafe, especially to those grown-ups that ride a bicycle with a
helmet? We technically have overcome the sonic boom with a sonic burp by intelligent design.
So, why does our own NASA have plans only go Mach 5 (like SR-71 5o years ago) as a
prototype out to 2020 because, that’s all we’ve allowed ourselves to progress in the last 20 plus
years? Boeing had great plans to build the Sonic Cruiser until they changed course and put all
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their eggs in the basket to produce the 787 (even slipping delivery date-seven times) almost
twenty five years after they helped build the composite wings of the B2 Bomber. Much of this
may have to do with Economics from the foreign suppliers investing to become a partner in
manufacturing prior to its market existence. With an optimistic belief the next generation can
learn from past mistakes and understand the future doesn’t have to be like the past and
demanding to make the Future better - similar to our Race to Space and the moon. In this
pursuit one’s destiny is limitless.
Shawn Paul Boike
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Chapter 1
The Beginning & Buildups
“It is my belief that flight is possible and, while I am taking up investigation for pleasure rather
than profit, I think there is a slight possibility of achieving fame and fortune from it.”
Wilbur Wright Sept. 3, 1900
What do you think about the beginning of the Aircraft & Aerospace Industry, most people think
about the Wright Brothers at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina? This is where Orville Wright made
the first flight for 12 seconds and 120 feet at Kill Devil Hills near Kitty Hawk, NC at 10:35 a.m.
on December 17, 1903. In fact over 1000 BC the Chinese had sent men aloft tethered to kites to
provide surveillance at war time.
I was at an American Institute of Aeronautics & Astronautics (AIAA) meeting in early 1992
Seattle Washington to Listen to Phil Condit VP of the 777 my new Bosses Boss and accidently
or fortunately sat at a table with him his wife & Alan Mulally. His speech was terrific it was all
about the evolution of flight and even before Wright Brothers. His speech was very similar to
what was written in a book on the Centennial celebration of the Wright Brothers which I heard
the Author speak at the Dearborn Library in Michigan almost a decade after Phil’s speech.
The history of Aircraft (excluding balloons & rockets) starts with of course Leonardo Divinci’s
sketches and flight studies and plans for a glider, this inspired Heserfin Ahmed Salevy to build a
glider to glide down from a 183 foot tower in Istanbul in 1638. English baronet named Sir
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George Cayley whose contribution was the 1799 definition of an airplane as a machine with
fixed wings, a fuselage and a tail which has separate systems to provide lift, propulsion and
control. Cayley had successfully built and flew his successful model glider in 1804.
Figure 2. George Cayley & described a modern airplane
He later made two other gliders with a pilot which made brief glides for his efforts he was often
referred to as the “Father of Aerial Navigation”.
A French electrical engineer named Clement Ader which attempted to fly a light weight steam
powered - bat like craft called the Eole’s. His added value in flight evolution was the need for
propulsion. Ader made a piloted “uncontrolled hop of 165 feet and altitude of only eight inches
with the airplane”. “The Eole was devoid of all the other elements necessary for a practical
flying machine and contributed little to the eventual achievement of human mechanical flight”.
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Another contributor to human controlled flight prior to the Wrights was an American living in
England Sir Hiram Maxim famous for the invention of the machine gun. Following in a similar
path to Ader and noted in 1892 “Without doubt the motor is the chief thing to be considered”.
“Scientists have long said, give us a motor and we will very soon give you a successful flying
machine”. Maxim built a four ton biplane fitted to a test track & guardrails where in July 31,
1894 his rough aircraft travelled 600 feet at 42 miles per hour and rose over the guard rails and
crashed. His contribution much like Ader was that a powerful light weight engine for propulsion
could lift an aircraft.
The most noted contributor prior to the Wright brothers was a German engineer named Otto
Lilienthal with his experimentation with gliders. He began aeronautical research from the 1860’s
to 1896 and produced the most complete, accurate body of Aerodynamics that showed beyond
doubt that a curved wing profile produced optimum lift. Thus incorporating Bernoulli's principle
works on the idea that as a wing passes through the air, its shape make the air travel more over
the top of the wing than beneath it-thus creating lift. This creates a higher pressure are beneath
the wing than above it. The pressure difference cause the wing to push upwards and lift is
created.
Bernoulli's principle works on the idea that as a wing passes through the air the shape make the
air travel more over the top of the wing than beneath it. This creates a higher pressure are
beneath the wing than above it. The pressure difference cause the wing to push upwards and lift
is created.
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Figure 3. Bernoulli’s Principle for Wing Airflow
Otto Lilienthal had produced 16 different glider designs from 1891-1896 with calculated wing
area and controlled them by shifting his body weight right to left (starboard to port) thus altering
his center of gravity. Also moving his body and fore and aft to maintain equilibrium.
Lilienthal’s fame came after he had made the Boston news as “Here was a flying machine, not
constructed by a crank…but by an engineer of ability…A machine not made to look at, but to fly
with. His experiments came to an end in August 9th
1896 where while soaring, a gust of wind
put the glider nose up and into wasteland crashed down 50 feet breaking his spine where he died
the next day in a Berlin hospital.
The Wright Brothers first performed a literature search to find out the state of
aeronautical knowledge at their time. They wrote to the Smithsonian and obtained technical
papers regarding aerodynamics. They read about the works of Cayley, and Langley, and the
hang-gliding flights of Otto Lilienthal.
They corresponded with Octave Chanute (a French-born American railway
engineer and aviation pioneer) concerning some of their ideas. They
studied the problems which had been encountered by previous flyers and they talked about
possible solutions to the problems. They looked for answers to the problems of flight by
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observing large gliding birds. They decided that control of the flying aircraft would be the most
crucial and hardest problem to solve and they had some ideas for solving that problem.
The Wright Brothers were kite enthusiasts and they used the kite flights in the same way that
modern engineers use wind tunnels and flight testing to try out their ideas concerning flight
control. Kitty Hawk, North Carolina was chosen for their early flight experiments because its
consistent high winds off the ocean are perfect for kite flying. The brothers correctly reasoned
that a free flying object had to be controlled about all three primary axes; roll, pitch, and yaw.
Their aircraft were built with movable surfaces on the wing, elevator, and rudder. Control of the
surface shape was in the hands of the pilot. They extensively tested these ideas by glider flights
of the aircraft. (NASA http://wright.nasa.gov/overview.htm)
The Wright Brothers took all they could learn from those before them and added their
inventiveness to create the fully controllable manned machine powered flight. This included
inventing and designing the propeller system for propulsion, a wind tunnel and many plans and
techniques we take for granted today. That time in history was a battle for first powered manned
controlled flight was in competition with Samuel Pierpont Langley and Glenn Curtiss. We all
know the winners were those Dayton men in 1903 where the US Air Force base and museum
now stands.
THE US AEROSPACE INDUSTRY – The Early Days
“Curtiss Aeroplane Company turned out such good planes that the Wright designs could not
compete”
Before there was an aviation industry, there were inventors who built their own airplanes. Wilbur
and Orville Wright, of Dayton, Ohio, made the first successful flights in 1903 and had a well-
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controlled aircraft two years later. They set up the Wright Company in 1909, which started by
building airplanes but soon lost out in a bitter rivalry with another plane builder, Glenn Curtiss of
Hammondsport, New York.
The Wrights claimed that Curtiss was stealing their inventions and sued in federal court. But
Curtiss had shrewd lawyers who kept the suits from causing damage, and went on building
airplanes. His own firm of Curtiss Aeroplane Company turned out such good planes that the
Wright designs could not compete. The company eventually changed its name to Wright
Aeronautical Company and turned to building aircraft engines.
The Wright and Curtiss companies both were in business before the outbreak of World War I, in
1914. A California plane builder, Glenn L. Martin, established a firm called, logically, the Glenn
L. Martin Company. These outfits all did plenty of business during that war. But after it ended,
in 1918, they faced the question of what to do next.
Most of the numerous planes built in the United States during the war were of British design.
Following that conflict, there was little demand for new aircraft, for there was plenty of war
surplus planes and engines. Still, there were opportunities. Curtiss had built the wartime JN-4
trainer, the famous Jenny. It still was beloved by pilots during the 1920s. A flight school might
charge $500 for lessons, and then throw in a Jenny as a graduation present. Martin built some of
the earliest bombers--one sank a captured German battleship in a 1921 exercise. This made it
clear that bombers had a future.
Other plane builders also went into business: Donald Douglas, William Boeing, and Alan
Loughead, who pronounced his name "Lockheed." To avoid mispronunciations such as Loghead
or Loafhead, his company used that spelling as well. All three found good prospects. Donald
Douglas got started by working with a wealthy enthusiast who wanted a plane that could cross
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the country nonstop. By building it, Douglas gained experience that allowed him to develop a
long-range Army plane, the World Cruiser. Two World Cruisers flew around the world in 1924
in a succession of short hops.
Airmail held promise for it earned federal subsidies for mail carriers that made it easy to turn a
profit. A few brave travelers also began buying airplane tickets. Boeing gained an important
success in 1926 with a single-engine plane that was well suited for carrying mail and passengers
over the Rocky Mountains. Lockheed won its own advantage during that same year. The
company's engineers included the talented Jack Northrop, who later founded his own plane-
building firm. He crafted the Vega, which set speed and altitude records and became popular as
an airliner.
THE ACORN DAYS
From a speech given by Mr. Denham S. Scott to the AIA on March 19, 1968
“This technological explosion had some very humble and human beginnings. The Acorns took
root in some strange places: a church, a cannery, a barbershop, but from them mighty Oaks
have indeed come to fruition”.
How many of you know that in 1910 the mighty Martin Marietta Company got its start in an
abandoned church in Santa Ana, CA? That's where the late Glenn L. Martin with his mother
Minta Martin and a mechanic named Roy Beal, built a fragile contraption with which Glenn
taught himself to fly.
It has often been told how the Douglas Company started operations in 1920 by renting the rear of
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a barbershop on Pico Boulevard in Los Angeles. The barbershop is still there. The Lockheed
Company built its first Vega in 1927 in what are now the Victory Cleaners and Dryers at 1040
Sycamore Avenue in Hollywood. Claude Ryan, who at 24 held a reserve commission as a flyer,
had his hair cut in San Diego one day in 1922. The barber told him how the town aviator was in
jail for smuggling Chinese across the border. Claude investigated and stayed on in San Diego to
rent the old airfield from the city at fifty dollars a month and replace the guy in the pokey. He
agreed to fly North instead of South.
In 1928, the Curtiss Aeroplane and Motor Company, Transcontinental Air Transport (now TWA)
and the Douglas Company chipped in enough money to start North American Aviation, a
holding company. The present company bearing the Northrop name came into being in a small
hotel in Hawthorne. The hotel was conveniently vacant and available because the police had
raided it and found that steady residents were a passel of money-minded gals who entertained
transitory male guests.
After Glenn Martin built his airplane in the church, he moved to a vacant apricot cannery in
Santa Ana and built two more. In 1912 he moved to 9th and Los Angeles Streets in downtown
Los Angeles. Glenn Martin was then running a three-ring-circus. Foremost, he was a showman
who traveled the circuit of county fairs and air meets as an exhibitionist aviator; secondly, he
was an airplane manufacturer. He met his payroll and bought his lumber, linen and bailing wire
from the proceeds of his precision exhibition flying. His mother, Minta and two men ran the
factory when Glenn was risking his neck and gadding about the country. One of these was 22-
year old Donald Douglas who was the whole of his engineering department and the other was a
Santa Monica boy named Larry Bell who ran the shop.
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The third circus ring was a flying school. It had a land plane operation in Griffith Park and later
at Bennett’s Farm in Inglewood, and a hydroplane operation at a place that's now part of the
Watts District. A stunt flyer named Floyd Smith ran it. One of his first pupils was Eric Springer,
who later became an instructor and then Martin's test pilot, still later the test pilot for the early
Douglas Company, and then a Division Manager.
Between Eric and Floyd, they taught a rich young man named Bill Boeing to fly. Having
mastered the art; Boeing bought a Martin biplane, hired Ross Stem, Glenn's personal mechanic,
and shipped the airplane to Seattle. Later, when it crashed into the lake and Boeing set about to
repair it, he ordered some spare parts from Martin in Los Angeles.
Martin, remembering the proselytizing incident with Ross Stem, decided to take his sweet time
and let Boeing stew. Bill Boeing said, To Hell with him, and told Ross Stern to get busy and
build one of their own. Boeing had a friend named Westerfelt and they decided to form a
company and build two airplanes. These two BW airplanes bore a remarkable resemblance to the
Martin airplane which, in turn, had been copied from Glenn Curtiss. There seems to be a moral
about customer relations and product support mixed up in this episode.
During WWI, a bunch of sharpies from Wall Street in New York got control of the Wright
Company in Dayton and the Martin Company in Los Angeles. They merged the two companies
into the Wright-Martin Company. They sent a young man named Chance Vought to be their
Chief Engineer. Donald Douglas lost no time in quitting and went to work for the U.S. Signal
Corp.
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The Wright-Martin Company started building obsolete Standard biplanes and Hispano-Suiza
engines, with the latter under a license agreement with the French Government. Martin told them
what they could do with them, and took off for Cleveland, taking Larry Bell and Eric Springer
with him. Having the backing of a baseball mogul to build a new factory, he was soon joined by
Donald Douglas who went to work and came up with the design of the Martin Bomber. It came
out too late to see service in WWI, but showed its superiority when General Billy Mitchell made
everyone mad at him by sinking the captured German battle fleet. The deathblow to the allegedly
Dreadnaught Osfriesland was delivered by the Douglas designed Martin Bomber.
At Cleveland, a young fellow called Dutch Kindelberger joined the Martin Company as an
engineer. Also a veteran Army pilot from WWI named Carl Squier became Sales Manager. His
name was to become one of the most venerable names in Lockheed history. Back in 1920,
Donald Douglas had saved $60,000 and struck out on his own. He returned to Los Angeles,
found a backer, David Davis, rented the rear of a barbershop and some space in the loft of a
carpenter's shop where they built a passenger airplane called The Cloudster.
Claude Ryan bought this a couple years later, and made daily flights between San Diego and Los
Angeles with it. This gives Ryan the distinction of being the owner and operator of the first
Douglas Commercial Transport, and certainly a claim to be among the original airline passenger
operators.
In 1922, Donald Douglas was awarded a contract to build three torpedo planes for the U.S.
Navy; Douglas lived in Santa Monica, but worked in Los Angeles. Way out in the wilderness at
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what is now 25th Street and Wilshire Boulevard in Santa Monica, there was an abandoned barn-
like movie studio. One day Douglas stopped his roadster and prowled around to investigate. The
studio became the first real home of the Douglas Aircraft Company.
With the $120,000 Navy contract, Donald Douglas needed and could afford one or two
engineers. He hired my brother Gordon Scott newly over from serving an apprenticeship to the
Martinside and the Fairey Aviation Companies in England. Gordon was well schooled in the
little known science of Aviation by 1923.
My first association with some of the early pioneers occurred when I visited my brother Gordon
at the barn at 25th Street. I found him outside on a ladder washing windows. They were dirty and
he was the youngest engineer. There were no janitorial services at the Douglas Company in those
days.
Gordon introduced me to Art Mankey, his boss and Chief Draftsman, and four of his fellow
engineers. There was a towhead guy called Jack Northrop, a chap named Jerry Vultee, and a
fellow named Dick Von Hake who was a reserve Army flyer. Jack Northrop came from Santa
Barbara where he had worked during WWI for the Lockheed Aircraft Manufacturing Company.
The fourth member of the Engineering Group was Ed Heinemann*. They were all working on
the design of the Douglas World Cruisers. Shortly afterwards, Jack Northrop left the Douglas
Company in 1926. Working at home, he designed a wonderfully advanced streamlined airplane.
He tied back with Allan Loughead who found a rich man, F.E. Keeler, willing to finance a new
Lockheed Aircraft Company. They rented a small shop in Hollywood and built the Northrop
designed Lockheed Vega. It was sensational with its clean lines and high performance.
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In May 1927, Lindberg flew to Paris and triggered a bedlam where everyone was trying to fly
everywhere. Before the first Vega was built, William Randolph Hearst, publisher of the Hearst
newspaper chain, bought it and entered it in the Dole Race from the Mainland to Honolulu,
which was scheduled for 12 August 1927.
In June 1927, my brother Gordon left the Douglas Company to become Jack Northrop's assistant
at Lockheed. He also managed to get himself hired as the navigator on the Golden Eagle, the
name chosen by Mr. Hearst for the Vega which hopefully would be the first airplane to span the
Pacific. The race was a disaster! Ten lives were lost. The Golden Eagle and its crew, including
my brother, vanished off the face of the earth.
With its only airplane lost under mysterious circumstances, a black cloud hung heavily over the
little shop in Hollywood. However, Captain George H. Wilkins, later to become Sir Hubert
Wilkins, took the Number Two airplane and made a successful polar flight from Nome, Alaska
to Spitsbergen, Norway. After that a string of successful flights were to put the name of
Lockheed very much in the forefront of aviation.
At Lockheed, Jack Northrop replaced the lost Gordon Scott with Jerry Vultee.
In 1928, Jack quit the Lockheed Company to start a new company in Glendale called Avion.
Jerry Vultee then moved up to become Chief Engineer at Lock heed. He hired Dick van Hake
from the Douglas Company to be his assistant. A young man named Cliff Garrett joined the
Lockheed Company as the driver of their pick-up truck.
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I went to work at Lockheed shortly after the Golden Eagle was lost. I became the 26th Lockheed
employee. The Vegas were made almost entirely of wood and I became a half-assed carpenter,
generally known as a wood butcher.
In 1929, Jerry Vultee quit the Lockheed Company to start the Airplane Development Company,
which became the Vultee Aircraft Company, a division of E.L. Cord, the automobile
manufacturer. He later merged with Reuben Fleets Consolidated Aircraft Company to become
Convair. When Vultee left Lockheed, Dick van Hake became the Chief Engineer.
In the meantime, Glenn Martin closed his Cleveland plant and moved to Baltimore. His
production man, Larry Bell, moved to Buffalo to found the Bell Aircraft Company. Carl Squier
left Martin to tie in with the Detroit Aircraft Company which had acquired the Lockheed Aircraft
Company and seven others. They hoped to become the General Motors of the aircraft business!
They appointed Carl Squier as General Manager of the Lockheed plant, which moved to
Burbank in 1928. (A lot of P-38s were made at that Burbank plant - added by L. Cruse Nov.
2007)
At this time, General Motors had acquired North American Aviation, which consisted of several
aircraft companies in the East. Ernie Breech, formerly with Bendix but now with General
Motors, hired Dutch Kindelberger away from Douglas to head up the aircraft manufacturing
units. Dutch took Lee Atwood and Stan Smithson with him. The companies involved were
Fokker Aircraft, Pitcairn Aviation (later Eastern Airlines), Sperry Gyroscope and Berliner-Joyce.
Kindelberger merged Fokker and Berliner-Joyce into a single company and moved the entire
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operation to Inglewood, California.
(Kindelberger and others at the North American Los Angeles plant designed the P-51 Mustang
that helped win WWII - added by L. Cruse Nov. 2007)
Thus, a handful of young men played roles which profoundly affected all of our lives and the
lives of millions of other Americans. They changed Southern California from a wasteland with a
few orange groves, apricot and avocado orchards and the celluloid industry of Hollywood to a
highly sophisticated industrial complex with millions of prosperous inhabitants. This
technological explosion had some very humble and human beginnings. The Acorns took root in
some strange places: a church, a cannery, a barbershop, but from them mighty Oaks have indeed
come to fruition.
(Essentially all of those Aircraft Plants are now GONE from Southern California - added by L.
Cruse Nov. 2007)
from: http://www.navworld.com/navhistory/acorndays.htm
Reprinted from NAAR (North American Aviation Retirees Bulletin) - Summer 2001
The Growing Days 1930-1990
Airliners, indeed, became mainstays of the industry during the 1930s. The Army and Navy
bought few airplanes during that decade, but people were beginning to fly. Boeing brought out
the 247, a fine twin-engine job that carried ten passengers where the Vega had room for only six.
But it wasn't fine enough; it lost out in competition with the Douglas DC-2, which carried
fourteen. An enlarged version, the DC-3, had twenty-one seats. Entering service in 1936, it had
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the range to fly nonstop from New York to Chicago. Within a few years, it swept most of its
rivals from the skies.
There were some military orders, even if they were not large. Martin built a good twin-engine
bomber, the B-10. Boeing, licking its wounds after losing with its 247, found new business by
crafting a much better bomber: the B-17. It had four engines, which gave it greater speed and
allowed it to carry more gasoline for longer range. It first flew during 1935 in tests for the Army.
The first of the B-17s crashed, and the company might have crashed with it. But Army officials
liked it, and ordered a few. This gave Boeing a leg up on building bombers for use in World War
II.
That war brought an enormous surge of business to the aircraft industry. Several companies built
the important warplanes of the era:
Boeing: B-17, B-29 bombers
Convair: B-24 bomber
Lockheed: P-38 fighter
Curtiss: P-40 fighter, C-46 transport
Douglas: C-47, C-54 transports
North American: P-51 fighter
Republic: P-47 fighter
Fleets of B-17s and B-24s, escorted by P-47, and P-51 fighters, destroyed many of Nazi
Germany's factories and railroads. B-29s carried firebombs that burned Japan's cities to the
ground. The C-46 carried supplies to China, helping that nation fight Japan and tying down a
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million Japanese soldiers who were fighting the Chinese. The C-47, a military version of the DC-
3, carried troops as well as cargo. Over ten thousand of them entered service. General Dwight
Eisenhower, the top U.S. commander, counted it as one of the items that did the most to win the
war.
The end of the war brought a swift collapse of the aviation industry. According to Boeing
historian Harold Mansfield, company officials learned of a sudden cancellation of army orders
and rushed to shut down the plant before the next shift of workers came in at four p.m. At North
American, employment dropped from 100,000 to 6,500 in only two months. As had been true
after World War I, following World War II the nation again was awash in used aircraft that were
available cheaply. A C-47 could be had for $25,000, payable at $4,000 per year, and could easily
convert into a DC-3.
For airlines, the DC-3 remained popular. Most air routes were short and carried relatively few
passengers on each flight, and the DC-3 served such connections quite effectively. However,
after the war there also were coast-to-coast routes along with connections that crossed the
Atlantic. For these, only new four-engine aircraft would do. Two became popular: the Lockheed
Constellation and the Douglas DC-6 (along with a later and faster version, the DC-7). Their
builders competed for advantage by offering improvements. The rivalry between Lockheed and
Douglas defined progress in commercial aviation until the coming of the jets.
The first jets were military. Lockheed, Republic, and North American built the first jet fighters:
the P-80, F-84, and F-86. The F-86 was the best of them, shooting down Russian-built fighters
and ruling the skies during the Korean War of 1950-1953.
Missiles and jet bombers also drew attention. North American made a strong and early
commitment to develop a missile of intercontinental range, the Navaho. This project needed
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rocket engines, guidance systems, and advanced designs that called for close understanding of
supersonic flight. At the outset, in 1945, the pertinent fields of engineering simply did not exist.
No matter, North American brought in good scientists and developed the necessary know-how
on its own.
Boeing showed similar leadership with jet bombers. The company used scientific data from the
National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics, supplementing it with data from its own wind
tunnel, a research facility that helped to determine the best shapes for aircraft flying close to the
speed of sound. This allowed the company to develop the earliest important jet bomber, the B-
47. It first flew in 1947, with the Air Force purchasing over two thousand of them as it remained
in production from 1948 to 1956.
The B-47 introduced the shape of things to come, for it had swept wings, jet engines mounted in
pods below the wings, a swept tail, and a slender fuselage. During the 1950s, these design
features also appeared in the first successful jet airliners: the Boeing 707 and Douglas DC-8.
Boeing and Douglas competed vigorously to sell these planes. The way to win an order was by
offering a custom version of a basic design, a modification that would serve an airline's specific
needs. These could include a shorter fuselage, a larger wing for long range, or more powerful
engines. Such modifications were costly, and Boeing proved to have the deeper pockets, for it
was selling planes to the Air Force in large numbers. Boeing paid for and built new airliner
versions that Douglas could not afford, thus winning an important advantage.
The 707 entered service in 1958, the DC-8 in 1959. Both aircraft had four engines and could fly
nonstop across the Atlantic as well as from coast to coast. In addition, there also was great
interest in a jetliner of shorter range, which could serve more routes. Boeing brought out its
727and went on to sell more than 1,800 of them. But Douglas stayed in the game as well, with its
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twinjet DC-9 that served routes that were shorter still. Many of these connections were only a
few hundred miles in length, but they were highly popular because they spared the need to drive
a car over that distance.
The Navy and Air Force had their own requirements. Convair built the B-36, which had six and
later ten engines. Boeing countered with the B-52, which mounted eight jet engines. It became
the main bomber of the Air Force's Strategic Air Command. In addition, the decade of the 1950s
brought a host of fighter aircraft. Almost every company in the industry built some, including
Douglas, Grumman, Lockheed, McDonnell, North American, Northrop, Republic, and Vought.
Missiles and space flight brought new opportunities. In 1954, the Air Force launched a major
push toward rockets of intercontinental range, able to carry a hydrogen bomb to Moscow. These
included the Atlas from Convair and the Titan, built by Martin. Douglas helped as well with the
Thor, based in England, which had less range but was available sooner. These missiles evolved
into launch vehicles for the space program.
Within that program, the civilian National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) came
to the forefront. During the 1960s it sponsored the Apollo program, which landed astronauts on
the moon. Again there were a number of participants, including Douglas, Grumman, McDonnell,
and Boeing. North American did the most, drawing on its experience with the Navaho. This
company built rocket engines, a major rocket stage, as well as the spacecraft that carried Apollo's
astronauts. It went on to build the Space Shuttle, including its main engines.
During the drawdown at the conclusion of the Vietnam war, in the early 1970s, Boeing,
Lockheed, and Douglas (which had merged with McDonnell) all fell into serious economic
trouble.
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For Boeing, the source of difficulty was the enormous new 747 airliner. The company went
deeply into debt to fund its development and initial production. But it couldn't deliver the early
models, because their engines were not ready. Then the nation went into a recession, and orders
dried up. Boeing came close to going bankrupt, but survived by selling improved versions of
earlier jets, including the 707 and 727.
The 747 was too large for most routes, which opened up an opportunity for an airliner of slightly
smaller size. Lockheed came in with its L-1011, while McDonnell Douglas offered its DC-10.
This was a mistake; there was room for one such airliner, but not both. However, neither
company would back down, and both lost a great deal of money because they could not sell
enough planes. Lockheed stopped building airliners altogether and became purely a military
plane builder. McDonnell Douglas stayed in the commercial world. But it now was financially
weak, and lacked the funds to develop anything more than variations of its DC-9 and DC-10.
This raised the prospect that Boeing would reign over the airlines, holding a near monopoly.
Airline executives chaffed at this possibility, for they enjoyed the competition and the lower
prices by multiple plane-building companies bid against each other. But during the late 1970s,
European plane builders came to their rescue. France and Great Britain had a strong aviation
industry; they had built the Concorde, the world's only supersonic airliner. Now these countries
combined with West Germany to create Airbus Industrie. During the 1980s, it competed
vigorously with Boeing, winning a large number of orders.
While airliner sales remained very strong, military demand fell off sharply with the end of the
Cold War, in 1991. During earlier periods of demobilization, the Pentagon had helped keep its
planebuilders in business with a number of small orders spread out over the range of major
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manufacturers. However, fighters and bombers now were quite costly, and the Pentagon could
afford only a limited number of such programs.
Officials of the Defense Department responded by facilitating a series of mergers, to consolidate
the industry within a small number of companies that would have enough business to remain
strong. Boeing, holding great power due to its success in selling airliners, bought out McDonnell
Douglas and Rockwell International. Lockheed merged with Convair and with Martin Marietta,
forming the firm of Lockheed Martin. A similar merger created the firm of Northrop Grumman.
Today, these three U.S. companies dominate the American market for commercial airliners,
military aircraft, and launch vehicles for space flight.
During the 1980s, it competed vigorously with Boeing, winning a large number of orders.
While airliner sales remained very strong, military demand fell off sharply with the end of the
Cold War, in 1991. During earlier periods of demobilization, the Pentagon had helped keep its
planebuilders in business with a number of small orders spread out over the range of major
manufacturers. However, fighters and bombers now were quite costly, and the Pentagon could
afford only a limited number of such programs.
Officials of the Defense Department responded by facilitating a series of mergers, to consolidate
the industry within a small number of companies that would have enough business to remain
strong. Boeing, holding great power due to its success in selling airliners, bought out McDonnell
Douglas and Rockwell International. Lockheed merged with Convair and with Martin Marietta,
forming the firm of Lockheed Martin. A similar merger created the firm of Northrop Grumman.
Today, these three U.S. companies dominate the American market for commercial airliners,
military aircraft, and launch vehicles for space flight.
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An International Industry
International politics has always played a role in aviation. Aircraft in flight easily transcended
national borders, so governments jointly developed navigation systems and airspace protocols.
Spacecraft overflew national borders within seconds so nations set up international bodies to
allocate portions of near-earth space. INTELSAT, an international consortium modeled on
COMSAT (the American consortium that governed operations of commercial satellites)
standardized the operation of geosynchronous satellites to start the commercialization of space.
Those who dreamed of space colonization also dreamed it might be free of earthly politics.
Internationalization more clearly reshaped aerospace by helping firms from other countries find
the economies of scale they needed to forge a place in an industry so clearly dominated by
American firms.
Only the Soviet Union challenged the American aerospace industry. In some areas, like heavy
lifting rockets and space medicine, the Soviets outpaced the Americans. But the Soviets and
Americans fought solely in the realm of perceptions of military might, not on any military or
economic battleground. The Soviets also sold military aircraft and civil transports but, with few
exceptions, an airline bought either Soviet or American aircraft because of alliance politics rather
than efficiencies in the marketplace. Even in civil aircraft, the Soviet Union invested far more
than their returns. In 1991, when the Soviet Union fractured into smaller states and the subsidies
disappeared, the once mighty Soviet aerospace firms were reduced to paupers. European firms
then stood as more serious competitors, largely because they had developed a global
understanding of the industry.
Following World War II, the European aircraft industry was in shards. Germany, Italy, and Japan
were prohibited from making any aircraft of significance. French and British firms remained
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strong and innovative, though these firms sold mostly to their nation's militaries and airlines.
Neither could buy as many aircraft as their American counterparts, and European firms could not
sufficiently amortize their engineering costs. During the 1960s, European governments allowed
aircraft and missile firms to fail or consolidate into clear "national champions:" British Aircraft
Corporation, Hawker Siddely Aviation, and Rolls-Royce in Britain; Aerospatiale, Dassault,
SNECMA and Matra in France; Messerschmit-Bölkow-Blohm and VFW in Germany; and
CASA in Spain. Then governments asked their national champions to join transnational
consortia intent on building specific types of aircraft -- like the PANAVIA Tornado fighter, the
launch vehicles and satellites of the European Space Agency or, most successfully, the Airbus
airliners. The matrix of many national firms participating variously in many transnational
projects meant that the European industry operated neither as monopoly nor monopsony.
Meanwhile international travel grew rapidly, and airlines became some of the world's largest
employers. By the late 1950s, the major airlines had transitioned to Boeing or Douglas-built jet
airliners -- which carried twice as many passengers at twice the speed in greater comfort.
Between 1960 and 1974 passenger volume on international flights grew six fold. The Boeing
747, a jumbo jet with 360 seats, took international air travel to a new level of excitement when
introduced in January 1970. Each nation had at least one airline, and each airline had slightly
different requirements for the aircraft they used. Boeing and McDonnell Douglas pioneered new
methods of mass customization to build aircraft to these specifications. The Airbus A300 first
flew in September 1972, and European governments continued to subsidize the Airbus Industrie
consortium as it struggled for customers. In the 1980s, air travel again enjoyed a growth spurt
that Boeing and Douglas could not immediately satisfy, and Airbus found its market. By the
1990s, the Airbus consortium had built a contractor network with tentacles around the world, had
developed a family of successful airliners, and split the market with American producers.
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Aerospace extends beyond the most industrialized nations. Walt Rostow in his widely read book
on economic development used aviation imagery to suggest a trajectory of industrial growth. The
imagery was not lost on newly industrializing countries like Brazil, Israel, Taiwan, South Korea,
Singapore or Indonesia. They too entered the industry, opportunistically, by setting up depots to
maintain the aircraft they bought abroad. Then, they took subcontracts from American and
European firms to learn how to manage their own projects to high standards. Nations at war -- in
the Middle East, Africa, and Asia -- proved ready customers for these simple and inexpensive
aircraft. Missiles, likewise, if derived from proven designs, were generally easy and cheap to
produce. By 1971, fourteen nations could build short-range and air-defense missiles. By the
1990s more than thirty nations had some capacity to manufacture complete aircraft. Some made
only small, general-purpose aircraft -- which represent a tiny fraction of the total dollar value of
the industry but proved immensely important to a military and communication needs of
developing states. The leaders of almost every nation have seen aircraft as a leading sector -- one
that creates spin offs and sets the pace of technological advance in an entire economy.
A Post-Cold War World
When the Cold War ended, the aerospace industry changed dramatically. After the record run up
in the federal deficit during the 1980s, by 1992 the United States Congress demanded a peace
dividend and slashed funding for defense procurement. By 1994, the demand for civil airliners
also underwent a cyclical downturn. Aerospace-dependent regions -- notably Los Angeles and
Seattle -- suffered recession then rebuilt their economies around different industries. Aerospace
employed 1.3 million Americans in 1989 or 8.8 percent of everyone working in manufacturing;
by 1995 aerospace employed only 796,000 people or 4.3 percent of everyone working in a
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manufacturing industry. As it had for decades, in 1985 aerospace employed about one-fifth of all
American scientists and engineers engaged in research and development; by 1999 it employed
only seven percent.
Rather than diversify or shed capacity haphazardly, aerospace firms focused. They divested or
merged feverishly in 1995 and 1996, hoping to find the best consolidation partners before the
federal government feared that competition would suffer. GE sold its aerospace division to
Martin Marietta, which then sold itself to Lockheed. Boeing bought the aerospace units of
Rockwell International, and then acquired McDonnell Douglas. Northrop bought Grumman.
Lockheed Martin and Boeing both ended up with about ten percent of all government aerospace
contracts, though joint ventures and teaming remained significant. The concentration in the
American industry made it look like European industry, except that in the margins new venture-
backed firms sprang up to develop new hybrid aircraft. Funding for space vehicles held fairly
steady as new firms found new uses for satellites in communications, defense, and remote
sensing of the earth. NASA reconfigured its relations with industry around the mantra of "faster,
better, and cheaper," especially in the creation of reusable launch vehicles.
Throughout the Cold War, total sales by aerospace firms has divided one-half aircraft, with that
amount split fairly evenly between military and civil, one quarter space vehicles, one-tenth
missiles, and the rest ground support equipment. When spending for aerospace recovered in the
late 1990s, there was the first significant shift toward sales of civil aircraft. After a century of
development, there are strong signs that the aircraft and space industries are finally breaking free
of their military vassalage. There are also strong signs that the industry is becoming global --
trans-Atlantic mergers, increasing standardization of parts and operations, aerospace imports and
exports rising in lockstep. More likely, as it has been for a century, aerospace will remain
intimately tied to the nation state.
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Chapter 1B
HELICOPTERS
"The Helicopter is the most versatile way of getting in and out anywhere in the world”
HISTORY OF HELICOPTERS
By: Katie Kimmet and Amanda Nash
“The vertical flight of the helicopter is an advantage to the world” “because, it allows flight and
landings without runways almost anywhere in the world”
Introduction to Helicopters
The development of the helicopter, perhaps one of man's most complex flying machines, is an
example of the effects of technological revolution (Sadler 1). The helicopter began as a basic
principle of rotary-wing aviation and evolved into something much greater as human ingenuity
and technology in America and elsewhere contributed to its development. The precision of parts
due to the Industrial Revolution enabled the helicopter to evolve into the modern machines we
see flying today. The need of accurate machinery and fixtures was evident when the earliest
helicopter models lacked the efficiency and flying capability of modern helicopters.
Early Concepts of the Helicopter
The Chinese
The first concept of rotary-wing aviation came from the Chinese in the Fourth Century A.D. (Fay
125-126). A book called "Pao Phu Tau" tells of the "Master" describing flying cars (fei chhe)
with wood from the inner part of the jujube tree with ox-leather straps fastened to returning
blades as to set the machine in motion (huan chien i yih chhi chi) (Fay 125-126). "Joseph
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Needham, the author of Science and Civilization, also suggests that although this was no more
than a design for a toy, it is indeed the first recorded pattern of what we might understand as a
helicopter" (Sadler 1). The concept of rotary-wing aviation had unquestionably been found, but
the technology needed to create a helicopter had not been produced.
Figure 4.
Courtesy of "History of Helicopters ".
Leonardo Da Vinci
Da Vinci's vaunted spiral design created in 1490, called the Helical Air Screw, has often been
cited as the first serious attempt to produce a working helicopter (Sadler 1). Da Vinci himself
quoted on the device: "...I have discovered that a screw-shaped device such as this, if it is well
made from starched linen, will rise in the air if turned quickly..." (History of Helicopters 1).
However, this was only an experimental design and was never put into practical use. "Da Vinci
was in this instance no more than an experimental engineer, putting onto paper age-old
principles" (Sadler 1). Without adequate technology the ability to create such machines was
virtually impossible during this time.
Fifteenth through the Twentieth Centuries
A wide amount of minor inventions contributed to the advancement of the helicopter. Between
the Fifteenth and Twentieth Centuries, adequate machinery needed to produce helicopters, like
turbine engines and rotors, was not yet made possible by assembly lines, but as the Industrial
Revolution prompted factories and technology accelerated, the helicopter evolved. One of the
first breakthroughs in helicopter advancement was by George Cayley who produced a convert-
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plane in 1843 (Sadler 1). A man named Bourne flew the helicopter-like aircraft a year later. This
model was apparently powered by spring-like contraptions inside (Fay 127). All helicopter
models at this time lacked suitable power to achieve flight and were both bulky and heavy.
Early Twentieth Century
The early Twentieth Century produced many historic moments in rotary-wing aviation. Brothers
Louis and Jacques Breget rose some two inches off the ground in their helicopter model on
August 24, 1907 (Sadler 2). A Frenchman named Paul Cornu also achieved free flight in his
model in 1907 (Fay 132). The flight lasted only twenty seconds and acquired an altitude of thirty
centimeters but was still a landmark development in helicopter evolution. The start of the
Industrial Revolution had created a way for technology to advance.
World War I Advancements
Military Interest in the helicopter during World War I contributed to its advancement also. The
first recorded example of this involved the Germans Von Karman and Petrosczy and the
Hungarian Asboth. These men produced a lifting device intended to replace kite balloons for
observation. "It consisted of two superimposed lifting propellers" (Fay 133). This autogyro
model, called the PKZ-2, failed because of various difficulties. It was not until the late period of
World War I that major helicopter advances were made. The quality and quantity of production
materials increased, and great improvements were made in the field of engine technology in
many parts of the world including Europe and the United States. An aircraft model for military
advancement was needed for more versatile and precise war tactics. With better technology and
more need, the next step in helicopter advancement would soon come.
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Figure 5. Built for US Army Air Force by Georgrij Bothezat (USSR). Courtesy of "History
of Helicopters".
Autogyros are invented
The autogyro evolved from earlier models during this time. A Spaniard named Juana de la
Cierva experimented with autogyros for the allies in Great Britain until his death in 1936 (Sadler
2). Two Cierva C.40 autogyros were used for Air Observation Post during World War I. They
did have some setbacks, however. Autogyros could neither hover nor descend vertically like the
modern helicopter. Relying on forward motion, the autogyros's primitive engine lacked the
power to run as efficiently as the helicopters. The helicopter's superiority was made readily
apparent by the planned replacement of the RAF's No. 529 Squadron's autogyros with the
Sikorsky aircraft in 1944 (Sadler 2).
Figure 6. Modern Autogyro courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
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Sikorsky's Advancements
The success in the field of rotary-wing aviation was due almost entirely to a man living in
America named Igor Sikorsky. Sikorsky was a Russian who had fled from the Bolshevik
Revolution in 1917 to France (Sadler 2). After years of private development, he encouraged the
United States Government to agree to a considerable budget of two million dollars for rotary-
wing research in 1938 (Sadler 2). The government ended up choosing a joint Sikorsky-Vought
effort to be funded, and the project evolved into the VS-300 model helicopter. It formed the most
tangible link between the early design concept of rotary-wing aviation and the practical aircraft
that is capable of military operation (Sadler 2). The machine was indeed quite different from
earlier models. It was an incredible advancement in helicopters, but others soon followed.
Figure 7.
One of Sikorsky's earlier models. Courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
1950 Advancements
During the 1950s many new advancements in helicopters were made. Sikorsky crafted the
world's first certified commercial transport helicopter, the S-55 Chickasaw (H-19). Another man
named Hiller created the flying platform called the Hiller XROE-1 Rotorcycle.
Figure 8.
Hiller's flying platform courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
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The Turbine Engine's Impact
The creation of the turbine engine advanced the helicopter's capabilities even further. With
assembly lines brought about by the Industrial Revolution, these engines could be produced with
high efficiency and increased precision. The world's first turbine gas-powered engine was the
Kaman K-225 (History of Helicopters 3). Mc Donnell made the first successful helicopter with
horizontal winged flight from a vertical rotor powered by the turbine engine (History of
Helicopers 3). He continued to create newer models in the proceeding decades.
Figure 9.
Mc Donnell's helicopter courtesy of History of Helicopters.
1960s & 1970s: The Vietnam War and how the helicopter changed
The 1960s and the 1970s marked a widespread advancement in helicopters because of the
Vietnam War. Beginning in 1964 this war lasted for almost a decade (Garraty 1078). The
military's need for advanced helicopters can be seen in historical pictures of the machines flying
through the jungles of Vietnam to retrieve wounded troops. Helicopters were also used as
weapons during this time. Many new helicopters appeared with missile capabilities. The Bell 209
Cobra "Snake" is one such helicopter. Large missiles protruded from the sides of the machine on
metal bases above. Another example is the Gyrodyne QH-50 (History of Helicopters 4). This
helicopter used infrared cameras to observe at night for better protection (History of Helicopters
4). This helicopter is still being utilized today.
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Figure 10. Bell 209 Cobra "Snake" courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
1980s and the Helicopter
During the 1980s helicopter advancement was evidently seen as the machinery was refined. Mc
Donnell continued to produce helicopters like the Tiltrotor Unmanned Air Vehicle and the
Bell/Boeing 609, the world's first commercial tiltrotor (History of Helicopters 1). Smaller
helicopters were produced to fulfill the public's needs. The Ultrasport Helicopters and the Air
Command International Commander 14/A are appreciable examples. Many helicopters used jet
thrust rather than blades to give the directional stability, which made them extremely quiet
(History of Helicopters 5).
Figure 11. Bell/Boeing 609 courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
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Early 1990s and the Helicopter
During the early 1990s helicopters were produced by large corporations like the Euro copter
Industry (Spartacus 57) and the Civil Helicopter Industry (Proctor 88). The Revolution
Helicopter Corporation created a single-seat helicopter that can be built by a person at home in
forty to sixty hours (History of Helicopters 4). The machines were used in all areas of the public
including the police force and hospitals. Helicopters are still used in this way in the late 1990s.
They are evolving to become more efficient and capable of reaching their goals.
Figure 12. Revolution Helicopter Corp. Mini 500 courtesy of "History of Helicopters".
Conclusion of Helicopter Evolution
The vertical flight of the helicopter is an advantage to the world. Because of advanced machinery
such as turbine engines and pistons contributed by technology, the helicopter can be seen flying
today. Since history the idea of rotary-wing flight has been accounted by curious individuals
recognizing its potential. These ideas have evolved from a dream to a reality because of
technology and will continue to evolve through time with the advancement of it.
Add the Helicopter existence:
o Igor Sikorsky vs. years to develop controlled Vertical Lift.
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o Vertical Lift blade, Counter Rotating as start
o Then Counter separated Main Rotor split to the side which worked and evolved into
the Chinook Heavy Lifting Aircraft.
o Factor of three:
Vertical Lift blade
Engine(s)
Tail Rotor (McDonnell Douglas Notar
o V-22 our Nation bet the 50 year future on this technology, it didn’t succeed as well as
expected because: Noise and transitioning wasn’t always simple.
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Chapter 1C
ROCKET SHIPS
"The Rocket ship is the way to get into Space because it carries its complete propellant”
HISTORY OF ROCKET SHIPS
“This technological explosion had some very humble and human beginnings. The Acorns took
root in some strange places: a church, a cannery, a barbershop, but from them mighty Oaks
have indeed come to fruition”. Whoever wrote it?
Today's rockets are remarkable collections of human ingenuity. NASA's Space Shuttle, for
example, is one of the most complex flying machines ever invented. It stands upright on a launch
pad, lifts off as a rocket, orbits Earth as a spacecraft, and returns to Earth as a gliding airplane.
The Space Shuttle is a true spaceship. In a few years it will be joined by other spaceships. The
European Space Agency is building the Hermes and Japan is building the HOPE. Still later may
become aerospace planes that will take off from runways as airplanes, fly into space, and return
as airplanes.
The rockets and spaceships of today and the spaceships of the future have their roots in the
science and technology of the past. They are natural outgrowths of literally thousands of years of
experimentation and research on rockets and rocket propulsion.
One of the first devices to successfully employ the principles essential to rocket flight was a
wooden bird. In the writings of Aulus Gellius, a Roman, there is a story of a Greek named
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Archytas who lived in the city of Tarentum, now a part of southern Italy. Somewhere around the
year 400 B.C., Archytas mystified and amused the citizens of Tarentum by flying a pigeon made
of wood. It appears that the bird was suspended on wires and propelled along by escaping steam.
The pigeon used the action-reaction principle that was not to be stated as a scientific law until the
17th century.
About three hundred years after the pigeon, another Greek, Hero of Alexandria, invented a
similar rocket-like device called an aeolipile. It, too, used steam as a propulsive gas. Hero
mounted a sphere on top of a water kettle. A fire below the kettle turned the water into steam,
and the gas traveled through pipes to the sphere. Two L-shaped tubes on opposite sides of the
sphere allowed the gas to escape, and in doing so gave a thrust to the sphere that caused it to
rotate.
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Figure 13. Hero Engine
Just when the first true rockets appeared is unclear. Stories of early rocket like devices appear
sporadically through the historical records of various cultures. Perhaps the first true rockets were
accidents. In the first century A.D., the Chinese were reported to have had a simple form of
gunpowder made from saltpeter, sulfur, and charcoal dust. It was used mostly for fireworks in
religious and other festive celebrations. Bamboo tubes were filled with the mixture and tossed
into fires to create explosions during religious festivals. lt is entirely possible that some of those
tubes failed to explode and instead skittered out of the fires, propelled by the gases and sparks
produced by the burning gunpowder.
Figure 14. Chinese Fire Arrow
It is certain that the Chinese began to experiment with the gunpowder-filled tubes. At some
point, bamboo tubes were attached to arrows and launched with bows. Soon it was discovered
that these gunpowder tubes could launch themselves just by the power produced from the
escaping gas. The true rocket was born.
The first date we know true rockets were used was the year 1232. At this time, the Chinese and
the Mongols were at war with each other. During the battle of Kai-Keng, the Chinese repelled
the Mongol invaders by a barrage of "arrows of flying fire." These fire-arrows were a simple
form of a solid-propellant rocket. A tube, capped at one end, was filled with gunpowder. The
other end was left open and the tube was attached to a long stick. When the powder was ignited,
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the rapid burning of the powder produced fire, smoke, and gas that escaped out the open end and
produced a thrust. The stick acted as a simple guidance system that kept the rocket headed in one
general direction as it flew through the air. It is not clear how effective these arrows of flying fire
were as weapons of destruction, but their psychological effects on the Mongols must have been
formidable.
Figure 15. Chinese Fire Arrow Launch
Following the battle of Kai-Keng, the Mongols produced rockets of their own and may have
been responsible for the spread of rockets to Europe. All through the 13th to the 15th centuries
there were reports of many rocket experiments. In England, a monk named Roger Bacon worked
on improved forms of gunpowder that greatly increased the range of rockets. In France, Jean
Froissart found that more accurate flights could be achieved by launching rockets through tubes.
Froissart's idea was the forerunner of the modern bazooka. Joanes de Fontana of Italy designed a
surface-running rocket-powered torpedo for setting enemy ships on fire.
Figure 16. Surface Running Torpedo
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By the 16th century rockets fell into a time of disuse as weapons of war, though they were still
used for fireworks displays, and a German fireworks maker, Johann Schmidlap, invented the
"step rocket," a multi-staged vehicle for lifting fireworks to higher altitudes. A large sky rocket
(first stage) carried a smaller sky rocket (second stage). When the large rocket burned out, the
smaller one continued to a higher altitude before showering the sky with glowing cinders.
Schmidlap's idea is basic to all rockets today that go into outer space.
Nearly all uses of rockets up to this time were for warfare or fireworks, but there is an interesting
old Chinese legend that reported the use of rockets as a means of transportation. With the help of
many assistants, a lesser-known Chinese official named Wan-Hu assembled a rocket- powered
flying chair. Attached to the chair were two large kites, and fixed to the kites were forty- seven
fire-arrow rockets.
On the day of the flight, Wan-Hu sat himself on the chair and gave the command to light the
rockets. Forty-seven rocket assistants, each armed with torches, rushed forward to light the fuses.
In a moment, there was a tremendous roar accompanied by billowing clouds of smoke. When the
smoke cleared, Wan-Hu and his flying chair were gone. No one knows for sure what happened to
Wan-Hu, but it is probable that if the event really did take place, Wan-Hu and his chair were
blown to pieces. Fire-arrows were as apt to explode as to fly.
Figure 17. Wan-Hu Flying Chair
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Rocketry Becomes a Science
During the latter part of the 17th century, the scientific foundations for modern rocketry were
laid by the great English scientist Sir Isaac Newton (1642-1727). Newton organized his
understanding of physical motion into three scientific laws. The laws explain how rockets work
and why they are able to work in the vacuum of outer space.
Newton's laws soon began to have a practical impact on the design of rockets. About 1720, a
Dutch professor, Willem Gravesande, built model cars propelled by jets of steam. Rocket
experimenters in Germany and Russia began working with rockets with a mass of more than 45
kilograms. Some of these rockets were so powerful that their escaping exhaust flames bored deep
holes in the ground even before lift-off.
During the end of the 18th century and early into the 19th, rockets experienced a brief revival as
a weapon of war. The success of Indian rocket barrages against the British in 1792 and again in
1799 caught the interest of an artillery expert, Colonel William Congreve. Congreve set out to
design rockets for use by the British military.
The Congreve rockets were highly successful in battle. Used by British ships to pound Fort
McHenry in the War of 1812, they inspired Francis Scott Key to write "the rockets' red glare,"
words in his poem that later became The Star- Spangled Banner.
Even with Congreve's work, the accuracy of rockets still had not improved much from the early
days. The devastating nature of war rockets was not their accuracy or power, but their numbers.
During a typical siege, thousands of them might be fired at the enemy. All over the world, rocket
researchers experimented with ways to improve accuracy. An Englishman, William Hale,
developed a technique called spin stabilization. In this method, the escaping exhaust gases struck
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small vanes at the bottom of the rocket, causing it to spin much as a bullet does in flight.
Variations of the principle are still used today.
Rockets continued to be used with success in battles all over the European continent. However,
in a war with Prussia, the Austrian rocket brigades met their match against newly designed
artillery pieces. Breech-loading cannon with rifled barrels and exploding warheads were far more
effective weapons of war than the best rockets. Once again, rockets were relegated to peacetime
uses.
Modern Rocketry Begins
In 1898, a Russian schoolteacher, Konstantin Tsiolkovsky (1857-1935), proposed the idea of
space exploration by rocket. In a report he published in 1903, Tsiolkovsky suggested the use of
liquid propellants for rockets in order to achieve greater range. Tsiolkovsky stated that the speed
and range of a rocket were limited only by the exhaust velocity of escaping gases. For his ideas,
careful research, and great vision, Tsiolkovsky has been called the father of modern astronautics.
Figure 18. Tsiolkovsky Rockets
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Early in the 20th century, an American, Robert H. Goddard (1882-1945), conducted practical
experiments in rocketry. He had become interested in a way of achieving higher altitudes than
were possible for lighter-than-air balloons. He published a pamphlet in 1919 entitled A Method
of Reaching Extreme Altitudes. It was a mathematical analysis of what is today called the
meteorological sounding rocket.
In his pamphlet, Goddard reached several conclusions important to rocketry. From his tests, he
stated that a rocket operates with greater efficiency in a vacuum than in air. At the time, most
people mistakenly believed that air was needed for a rocket to push against and a New York
Times newspaper editorial of the day mocked Goddard's lack of the "basic physics ladled out
daily in our high schools." Goddard also stated that multistage or step rockets were the answer to
achieving high altitudes and that the velocity needed to escape Earth's gravity could be achieved
in this way.
Goddard's earliest experiments were with solid-propellant rockets. In 1915, he began to try
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various types of solid fuels and to measure the exhaust velocities of the burning gases.
Figure 19. Goddard’s 1926 Rocket
While working on solid-propellant rockets, Goddard became convinced that a rocket could be
propelled better by liquid fuel. No one had ever built a successful liquid-propellant rocket before.
It was a much more difficult task than building solid- propellant rockets. Fuel and oxygen tanks,
turbines, and combustion chambers would be needed. In spite of the difficulties, Goddard
achieved the first successful flight with a liquid- propellant rocket on March 16, 1926. Fueled by
liquid oxygen and gasoline, the rocket flew for only two and a half seconds, climbed 12.5 meters,
and landed 56 meters away in a cabbage patch. By today's standards, the flight was
unimpressive, but like the first powered airplane flight by the Wright brothers in 1903, Goddard's
gasoline rocket was the forerunner of a whole new era in rocket flight.
Goddard's experiments in liquid-propellant rockets continued for many years. His rockets
became bigger and flew higher. He developed a gyroscope system for flight control and a
payload compartment for scientific instruments. Parachute recovery systems were employed to
return rockets and instruments safely. Goddard, for his achievements, has been called the father
of modern rocketry.
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A third great space pioneer, Hermann Oberth (1894-1989) of Germany, published a book in 1923
about rocket travel into outer space. His writings were important. Because of them, many small
rocket societies sprang up around the world. In Germany, the formation of one such society, the
Verein fur Raumschiffahrt (Society for Space Travel), led to the development of the V-2 rocket,
which was used against London during World War II. In 1937, German engineers and scientists,
including Oberth, assembled in Peenemunde on the shores of the Baltic Sea. There the most
advanced rocket of its time would be built and flown under the directorship of Wernher von
Braun.
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Figure 20. German V2 Rocket
The V-2 rocket (in Germany called the A-4) was small by comparison to today's rockets. It
achieved its great thrust by burning a mixture of liquid oxygen and alcohol at a rate of about one
ton every seven seconds. Once launched, the V-2 was a formidable weapon that could devastate
whole city blocks.
Fortunately for London and the Allied forces, the V-2 came too late in the war to change its
outcome. Nevertheless, by war's end, German rocket scientists and engineers had already laid
plans for advanced missiles capable of spanning the Atlantic Ocean and landing in the United
States. These missiles would have had winged upper stages but very small payload capacities.
With the fall of Germany, many unused V-2 rockets and components were captured by the
Allies. Many German rocket scientists came to the United States. Others went to the Soviet
Union. The German scientists, including Wernher von Braun, were amazed at the progress
Goddard had made.
Both the United States and the Soviet Union realized the potential of rocketry as a military
weapon and began a variety of experimental programs. At first, the United States began a
program with high-altitude atmospheric sounding rockets, one of Goddard's early ideas. Later, a
variety of medium- and long-range intercontinental ballistic missiles were developed. These
became the starting point of the U.S. space program. Missiles such as the Redstone, Atlas, and
Titan would eventually launch astronauts into space.
On October 4, 1957, the world was stunned by the news of an Earth-orbiting artificial satellite
launched by the Soviet Union. Called Sputnik I, the satellite was the first successful entry in a
race for space between the two superpower nations. Less than a month later, the Soviets followed
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with the launch of a satellite carrying a dog named Laika on board. Laika survived in space for
seven days before being put to sleep before the oxygen supply ran out.
A few months after the first Sputnik, the United States followed the Soviet Union with a satellite
of its own. Explorer I was launched by the U.S. Army on January 31, 1958. In October of that
year, the United States formally organized its space program by creating the National
Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). NASA became a civilian agency with the goal
of peaceful exploration of space for the benefit of all humankind.
Soon, many people and machines were being launched into space. Astronauts orbited Earth and
landed on the Moon. Robot spacecraft traveled to the planets. Space was suddenly opened up to
exploration and commercial exploitation. Satellites enabled scientists to investigate our world,
forecast the weather, and to communicate instantaneously around the globe. As the demand for
more and larger payloads increased, a wide array of powerful and versatile rockets had to be
built.
Since the earliest days of discovery and experimentation, rockets have evolved from simple
gunpowder devices into giant vehicles capable of traveling into outer space. Rockets have
opened the universe to direct exploration by humankind.
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Chapter 2
Changing Times
"The defense industry became detached from the rest of the economy"
America's defense companies are turning dual-purpose
Jul 18th 2002 | from the print edition
THE 1990s were an eventful time for America's defense industry. With the cold war at an end,
the number of big American contractors came down from 15 to five (Lockheed Martin, Boeing,
Raytheon, Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics) within a decade. That was a dramatic
consolidation, but as budgets shrank, it was not unexpected.
The other, more surprising development was that the defense industry turned into a kind of
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ghetto, despite considerable efforts to make doing business with the Pentagon easier and less
bureaucratic. Barriers to entry were removed in the hope of turning defense into something more
like a normal business, but instead of an influx of new blood, a mass exodus followed. IBM,
General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, General Electric (except engines) and Texas Instruments all sold
or closed their defense companies. As Merrill Lynch's Byron Callan put it, “The defense industry
became detached from the rest of the economy.”
Figure 21. Aerospace & Defense Sales
The reasons are not hard to find: the federal government is a demanding customer; defense profit
margins are often tighter than in the private sector; and strict rules on procurement have in the
past caused some defense companies to lose money on fixed-price development contracts. Many
companies decided the defense game was not worth the candle.
Downsizing: Merger & Acquisitions
A survey of the defense industry: Getting it together?
With just a handful of big American companies and a trio of European ones, each of which
dominates its home market and competes in places such as the Middle East and Asia, proper
globalization (in the sense of a number of transnational companies competing worldwide) seems
out of the question. But that does not mean that globalization will have no part in the defense
industry at all. Because electronics and computing software play an increasing role in defense
systems, the core defense companies have to ensure they have access to a wider pool of
technology.
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What remains to be seen over the next decade is whether the ghetto model will survive, or
whether defense will eventually move closer to commercial business. The more it does, the more
global it could get at the level of the second- or third-tier suppliers, who make components or
equipment for the prime contractors. Lawrence Freedman of King's College, London, who has
written on the implications of RMA, sees the ghetto walls coming down as the civil sector
develops more technical dynamism. The trend towards increased use of IT and systems
integration in warfare should accelerate this trend:
The old defense sector was based on dedicated programs with only a limited civilian spin-off.
This now exists side by side with a more dynamic industry, which can pass through two
generations of technology while the official defense-procurement machinery is still working its
way laboriously through its bureaucratic mechanisms. Although the electronics and computing
sectors originally took off on the back of military investment, they have now developed their
civilian markets to such an extent that even the military is a minor player.
Underlying this is a worry that the defense industry, having consolidated so much with a loss of
competition on both sides of the Atlantic, might begin to lag in innovation, and might not be up
to supporting the transformation of the armed forces it serves. Even though America's military
might and technology is streets ahead of anyone else's, the country cannot afford to be
complacent. A recent study by RAND's National Defense Research Institute looked at military
revolutions throughout history and found that, by and large, new ways of waging war were
usually developed by a country or a group that was not dominant at the time.
Indeed, it could be argued that the most revolutionary military development to happen in recent
times was the hijacking last September of four kerosene-laden jetliners to use as guided missiles
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in New York and Washington, DC. Modern electronic technology in the form of e-mails and the
Internet played a big part in the planning of this venture.
By contrast, the traditional defense industry grinds away slowly, with mighty systems immutably
determined by defense-department contracts. To take one example, the Joint Strike Fighter could
well go into service with electronics systems that, although state-of-the-art in 2006, will be
getting long in the tooth in 2012, unless something is done to update them.
Jerry Daniels at Boeing, which lost the JSF contract, points to the dangers that engineering teams
will scatter and expertise will be lost when Lockheed Martin eventually becomes the only
company making fighters. “Twenty years ago we had 50-odd defense contractors; today we have
a handful. Then there were many rapid opportunities to bid, there was always a new program
coming along.” By contrast, he explains, the trend now is towards fighters that combine many
functions and can be ordered in bulk. His (perhaps not entirely disinterested) suggestion is that it
might be better to go for upgrades every five years and put the work out to competitive bids. To
some extent, this is already being done. Boeing has recently won a contract to rethink and
upgrade the avionics on the C130 transport plane manufactured by its arch-rival, Lockheed
Martin. Then go onto Lockheed Martin to 2011, they turned out to be finances to be how much
per Aircraft? F-22 or F-35. My Brother In-Law finds humor in games of the things their new
Aircraft can Do. When asked at a certain range and sweep what is the most effective aircraft?
Most USAF Officials’ SAY f-22, answers was F-16.
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Figure 22. Defense Industry Consolidation 1993-2007
One reason why the defense department encouraged the mergers of the early and mid-1990s (see
figure 5) was that it was worried about the financial health of the industry as budgets shrank. But
by 1997, when a weak Northrop Grumman thought its best hope was to become part of the much
larger Lockheed Martin, the government had had enough and blocked the merger on competition
grounds. According to Pierre Chao of CSFB, an investment bank, the defense department then
got into a panic about the collapse of defense shares as consolidation ended.
One concern in the Pentagon was that the defense contractors might have increasing trouble
attracting capital and talent for which other high-tech firms are also competing. Mr Callan points
out that a high-tech company such as Intel has a market capitalisation of over $100 billion,
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whereas the top three defense groups together add up to only half that. The concern is that top
engineers will turn their back on defense companies and work for high-tech firms where they can
make more money through stock options.
The irony is that Silicon Valley itself evolved from defense contracts, and that civilian jet
aircraft, from the Boeing 707 to the jumbo jet, owed a great deal to military programs. The same
was true of computers. The defense industry pioneered the management of complex systems that
have now become routine in civilian applications, such as air-traffic control or
telecommunications. It is no accident that the world's leading (non-American) company in air-
traffic control is Thales, a Paris-based defense-electronics company that specializes in dual-use
technologies which can be applied to the commercial market.
Figure 23. Aerospace & Defance Stock Trends
According to Mr Krepinevich at the Centre for Strategy and Budgetary Assessment, the
American government will have to improve its policy towards the defense industrial base if
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America is not to lose its technical lead. He thinks too much of what goes under the name of
R&D is really devoted to the engineering and manufacturing development of incoming products.
That may provide a nice cash cushion for companies, but it means they do little innovative
research of the sort needed to develop entirely new products. He would like the Defense
Department to take a hard look at future requirements to see which areas of technology could
best meet them. Money for this could be found by chopping expenditure on mature technologies
where extra R&D produces marginal gains.
Two-way traffic
Commercial input into the defense industry is not a one-way process. Leading defense
companies such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman have been changing their
profile too, turning themselves into something more than makers of fighters, missiles and
rockets. It is no longer simply technologies that spread from military to civil applications, as they
did in the 1950s, when only the defense sector had big money to spend on R&D. Instead, the
defense companies themselves are moving into the commercial field, using the expertise they
have developed in the military sector.
An obvious example is Lockheed Martin, a conglomerate that three years ago was losing money
and staggering under a debt burden of $12 billion. Integrating the various businesses from
Lockheed's takeovers of companies such as Martin Marietta was proving difficult. Nothing was
going right. The company's space rockets kept blowing up on the launch pad, the update of its
C130J transport plane was hitting problem after problem, it lost a key satellite surveillance
contract to Boeing, and losses kept piling up. Now it is climbing back into profit and has slashed
more than $4 billion from its debt by selling parts of its business to BAE Systems, the British
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contractor which is becoming more American by the day (of which more in this article).
Lockheed's shares look good largely because it beat Boeing for the JSF (F35) contract, which
will ensure an inflow of billions of dollars even if the order is trimmed from 3,000 to 2,000. Its
main partners in this deal are Northrop Grumman and BAE.
But there is more to Lockheed than big defense deals. About 30% of its sales are now in the civil
sector (although admittedly civil work for the government far outweighs its private work).
Lockheed buys in components and software from the electronics industry, but it is itself a huge
IT company, employing some 20,000 systems and software engineers on top of its 50,000
mainstream scientists and engineers. The same “system of systems” need for digital battlefields
has commercial applications in organizations such as America's postal service, the FBI,
Medicare and the Social Security system.
Boeing offers an even more striking instance of cross-fertilization between the commercial and
military sectors. It became big in defense when it bought McDonnell Douglas in 1996.
McDonnell had put itself up for sale after it was excluded from the JSF competition in an earlier
round, leaving Boeing and Lockheed in the final shoot-out. But Boeing had also acquired North
American Rockwell with its space business, and later gained satellite expertise by buying parts
of Hughes's electronics business.
Once Boeing's boss, Phil Condit, and his then number two, Harry Stonecipher (who had been
McDonnell's last boss), had bedded down the mergers, they realized they were sitting on a
collection of assets that could be used to sprout all sorts of businesses aside from jetliners,
rockets and satellites. Using military technology, Boeing is developing so many new businesses
in the commercial market that the share of its civil jet sales will soon fall from 60% of the
group's turnover to around half. For instance, the same technology that guides missiles can be
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repackaged to provide satellite-based air-traffic management systems. And a military radar
antenna is the key piece of kit in a system to bring broadband communications to passengers in
commercial jets.
The mergers have also made it easier for Boeing to ride out the loss of the JSF contract. Its space
and communications division, based in Seal Beach, California, is the lead contractor working on
America's national missile-defense system, as well as the provider of the future combat system
that is part of the integrated battlespace system for the army. Like Lockheed, Boeing sees itself
as an integrator of “systems of systems”. But these established giants face competition at the
electronics-systems end of defense contracts.
Meanwhile, Northrop Grumman is still remaking itself. Its boss, Mr Kresa, says that Northrop
saw the rundown in bomber production coming in the early 1990s and started to shift its
emphasis to technology and systems. By acquiring Grumman, it got into the big JointStars aerial
surveillance plane contract. With its purchase of Logicon, it got into information warfare.
Brushing off the collapse of its planned merger with Lockheed Martin, Mr Kresa continued to
build up the group. With Westinghouse, it bought electronics and radar; with Ryan, Global
Hawk. Since then it has bought Litton Industries and Newport News to become the world's
largest naval shipbuilder. It has successfully bid for TRW, an aerospace and car-parts group,
against several competitors, including BAE. If the deal is approved, Northrop will sell off the
cars-parts division and hold on to the missile and space business, which brings satellite know-
how with it.
Other defense companies are still trying to clean up their acts. Raytheon, a missiles and radar
group, is plugging on with reducing its huge debts by selling off some businesses, though its
cashflow is still negative and its civil business-jet subsidiary is suffering. General Dynamics,
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which is big in ships, was blocked by the defense department in its bid for Newport News, which
allowed Northrop Grumman to sweep up that firm. Northrop has also dealt General Dynamics a
blow by winning a $2.9 billion contract to design the navy's new DDX destroyer, which is
expected to be the basic platform for a range of ships that might produce contracts worth up to
$60 billion.
The one newcomer that has dared venture into the defense ghetto is known as L-3
Communications, a company founded only five years ago by Frank Lanza, the former president
of Loral, a defense outfit that merged into Lockheed Martin in 1996. Having supervised the
integration, Mr Lanza persuaded Lockheed to sell him ten electronics companies. L-3 puts
together guidance and intelligence devices. It enjoys revenues of $2.3 billion and is forecast to
grow at 30% a year. It has also moved smartly into the newly burgeoning field of homeland
security, with baggage screening devices and systems. Such civil business accounts for a quarter
of its sales.
Despite some travails, Wall Street's glowing verdict on their shares gives a good indication of
American defense companies' financial prospects. European companies, by contrast, face flat
budgets and, except for the Anglo-American BAE, can hope to get little more than crumbs from
the world's biggest defense market.
The Total Quality Management Farce
Total Quality Management (TQM) was started by Edward Deming, sold to the Japanese as
Statistical Process Controls (SPC) and manufacturing techniques to help rebuild their industrial
base after the ruin of World WarII. In 1970’s GM brought Edward Deming in to be part of the
First full CAD/CAM program in the World on the Pontiac Fiero program. GM people disliked
him thought of him as a traitor and boring mathematician not a manufacturing specialist. I was
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fortunate to be part of this program (sometime in Pontiac) for its fully Automated Engine
Assembly & Test production Line by Bendix Automation though my Dad’s BoiCo Engineering
Corporation. GM eas right Deming was boring to listen to but his Statistical Process Controls
(SPC) and involving full team empowerment did make a good difference. The lessons learned
here were data with SPC can pin point areas of error so you can drive up its quality and
predictability in process controls and to a six sigma repeatability. Outlining much of these
principles is a great book by MIT fellows James Womack, Daniel Jones & Daniel Roo’s “The
Machine That Changed The World”.
In the late 1980’s Aerospace tried to accomplish this at McDonnell Douglas with Total
Quality Management System (TQMS) later nicknamed “Time to Quit and Move to Seattle”.
This is where all managers and employees are to be judged by their peers. The executives would
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have to prove their worth to keep their empire going from 32 Vice President to only 13 VP
positions.
Figure 24. A View of Earth from the Shuttle
When Government Gave US Away
George W. Bush signing the technology offsets Law, and Bill Clinton opening up Space secrets
to China.
Exporting military know-how
Industrially advance countries prefer technology transfers to indirect offsets. Arms sales are now
routinely accompanied by arrangements for foreign buyers to produce weapon systems or their
components. If a buyer cannot rope with technology transfer, a service and maintenance depot
for the weapon system might be established.
Currently, U.S. law actually encourages the transfer of production technology to NATO and
"major non-NATO allies." This law treats the transfer of technology no differently than the sale
of armaments, merely requiring that Congress be notified of contracts worth $14 million or more.
Congress is then given 30 days within which to contest the arrangement (15 days for NATO
members).
The result is a different kind of proliferation-proliferation of military-industrial complexes
around the world. In the 1950s, only five developing countries made small arms, ammunition, or
major military equipment (aircraft, armored vehicles, missiles, or naval craft). By the early 1980s
this number had skyrocketed to 54, with 36 countries producing major military equipment. The
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developing countries of Brazil, India, Israel, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Taiwan,
and Turkey all have a significant arms industry today.
But co-production isn't a free ride. There's the cost of building the necessary infrastructure, as
well as licensing, royalty, and technical assistance fees. Licensed production or co-production
costs the buyer more than weapons bought off the shelf-but the ability to manufacture high-tech
weapons is alluring. To recoup their investment costs and to reduce the unit cost, the buyer
frequently seeks to market the weapon, undercutting the U.S. firm from which it was originally
purchased-as well as undermining the interests of the selling government.
Perhaps the most important security implication of co-production deals is the irrevocable transfer
of industrial technology and manufacturing know-how needed not only for conventional
weapons production, but also for the possible development of long-range missiles and weapons
of mass destruction. U.S. sales of production technology to the Shah formed the basis of Iran's
current military industry, and licensed production from the Soviet Union, China, Brazil, and
others provided the foundation of Iraq's weapons industry.
Sidebar: A License to Steal Jobs
When Congress was considering the Korean Fighter Program in August 1991, the GAO was
unable to calculate whether the sale would mean more or fewer U.S. jobs. U.S. production would
be limited, and South Korea would manufacture most of the the airframe for 72 of 120 aircraft.
Of the remaining 48 planes, European partners in the F-16 program were entitled to a 15 percent
work-share from a previous offset. Only 12 planes were to be wholly U.S.-made; the other 36
would be exported in kits to be assembled in Korea.
On June 25, 1992, thousands of F-16 production line workers gathered at the gates of General
Dynamics' Fort Worth, Texas factory (now Lockheed Martin) for a "Fairness Rally" to protest
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the deal. George Kourpias, international president of the Machinists and Aerospace Workers
union, told them, "GD originally wanted to bring 500 Korean workers here.... Our union put a
stop to that scheme. At least for now. But the state of mind of the company hs not changed. They
still see no merit in working with us to convert to become a part of the post-Cold War era.
"Right here in Fort Worth, 3,000 of our brothers and sisters have been laid off in the past two
years.... This week, another 500.... And the company wanted those of you left to teach Koreans
how to do your jobs." The Samsung Aerospace workers were later trained in Turkey, where
General Dynamics has another F-16 co-production facility.
Members of Congress had pushed for South Korea to purchase planes manufactured in the
United States. Cong. Richard Gephardt, a Missouri Democrat, said, "General Dynamics, not
unlike McDonnell Douglas in my district, has had to ... lay off a large number of U.S. workers in
the past year. These workers are capable of manufacturing a majority of the parts to be used in
the F-16 and the KFP, and they should be re-employed for this purpose."
Pres. Clinton’s Transferring Technology to China
President Clinton had put a higher priority on U.S. exports than on national security, and in the
process strengthened the Chinese Army’s ability to target weapons on the U.S. and fostered
missile proliferation around the world. Here is what press accounts tell us:
Sanctions and Technology Transfer Policy
In the wake of the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster in 1986, U.S. companies began
using Chinese rocket launch services to place satellites into orbit.
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However, following the Tiananmen Square massacre and the discovery of Chinese
missile technology transfers to Pakistan, Congress and President Bush levied a myriad of
sanctions against Communist China in 1990 and 1991.
These sanctions prohibited further technology transfers to that country, including satellite
exports. Since 1989, the sanctions imposed for the Tiananmen crackdown have been
waived 13 times in the name of national interest -- 3 times by President Bush and 10
times by President Clinton.
In March 1996, President Clinton announced that he was going to transfer control of
satellite exports from the State Department to the Commerce Department -- over the
opposition of then-Secretary of State Warren Christopher.
By transferring licensing authority from the "security conscious" State Department to the
"use-at-any-time" Commerce Department, the export of U.S. satellites for launch in
China would be exempt from missile proliferation sanctions -- even if the U.S.
government concluded that China had sold missile components to Pakistan or Iran,
something China has been accused of several times.
In October and November of 1996, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Export
Administration and the State Department issued regulations to formally implement the
transfer of commercial satellites from control under the State Department’s "Munitions
List" to the Commerce Control List.
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In February 1998, President Clinton issued another waiver allowing Loral to export a
satellite to China. This new waiver will arguably make it impossible to prosecute any past
wrongdoing by Loral because the waiver effectively sanctions that company’s behavior.
In fact, the Justice Department argued just that point when it learned that the White
House planned to issue the new waiver.
According to a recent article in the Washington Post, newly released documents from the
White House suggest that the February 1998 waiver was not routine. The decision to
approve the satellite transfer was "treated as an urgent matter not because of its
importance to national security, but because the company was facing heavy fines for
delay," possibly losing a $20 million contract if the waiver was not granted by January
20, 1998.
In April the CIA concluded that 13 of China’s 18 long-range strategic missiles are aimed
at the U.S.
President Bill Clinton personally approved the transfer to China of advanced space
technology that can be used for nuclear combat. The documents show that in 1996
Clinton approved the export of radiation hardened chip sets to China.
"Waivers may be granted upon a national interest determination," states a Commerce
Department document titled "U.S. Sanctions on China."
"The President has approved a series of satellite related waivers in recent months, most
recently in November, 1996 for export of radiation hardened chip sets for a Chinese
meteorological satellite," noted the Commerce Department documents.
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These special computer chips are designed to function while being bombarded by intense
radiation. Radiation hardened chips are considered critical for atomic warfare and are
required by advanced nuclear tipped missiles.
Change Maybe Coming-but not soon Enough
In October 2010 President Obama blamed Republicans Saturday for blocking bills that would
take away tax breaks for U.S. corporations that move jobs to subsidiaries in other countries.
Republicans in Congress, he said, "have consistently fought to keep these corporate loopholes
open."
In the last four years, the president charged, "Republicans in the House voted 11 times to
continue rewarding corporations that create jobs and profits overseas -- a policy that costs
taxpayers billions of dollars every year" in revenue lost to the U.S. Treasury.
Obama wants action on a stalled Senate Bill that would end tax credits and tax deferrals for
companies with overseas operations. Instead, he wants to give tax breaks for American firms to
write off the cost of new equipment in 2011, and also make a tax credit for research and
experimentation permanent. "These are common sense ideas," he said in his weekly Internet
address.
But there is resistance to Obama's push against favorable treatment for overseas operations, and
it isn't coming solely from Republicans and business interests. Some Democrats also fear that
ending the tax help could put the United States at a competitive disadvantage. The president
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acknowledged that "a lot of companies that do business internationally make an important
contribution to our economy." But he said "there's no reason why our tax code should actively
reward them for creating jobs overseas."
Republicans, in their weekly remarks, said the House of Representatives should return from
recess immediately to act on the Bush-era tax cuts due to expire in January. "The prosperity of
the American people is more important than the political fortunes of any politician or any
political party," said Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.) Democratic leaders say they will deal with the tax
issue after the Nov. 2 election. As we had seen the Democrats took a shellacking in the
Congress but held the Senate and of course still in the White House.
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Chapter 3
Where We Are Today…
“Global leadership is not a birthright. Despite what many Americans believe - Greatness
must be worked for and won by each new generation”
Announce in 2008 that the US or Boeing is number two in the Aerospace market, second to
Airbus of the European Union. This was two decade in the making ever since Airbus was
created in 1981 by suppliers which produced aircraft sub assemblies for McDonnell Douglas and
Boeing along with some Military Aircraft by the other supplier to Defense like, Northrop,
Grumman, and General Dynamics TX. now Lockheed Martin.
We're falling behind.
By Norm Augustine (Ret. Chairman & CEO Lockheed Martin)
Figure 25. Norm Augustine
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I’ve visited more than 100 countries in the past several years, meeting people from all walks of
life, from impoverished children in India to heads of state. Almost every adult I’ve talked with in
these countries shares a belief that the path to success is paved with science and engineering.
In fact, scientists and engineers are celebrities in most countries. They’re not seen as geeks or
misfits, as they too often are in the U.S., but rather as society’s leaders and innovators. In China,
eight of the top nine political posts are held by engineers. In the U.S., almost no engineers or
scientists are engaged in high-level politics, and there is a virtual absence of engineers in our
public policy debates.
Why does this matter? Because if American students have a negative impression – or no
impression at all – of science and engineering, then they’re hardly likely to choose them as
professions. Already, 70% of engineers with PhD’s who graduate from U.S. universities are
foreign-born. Increasingly, these talented individuals are not staying in the U.S – instead, they’re
returning home, where they find greater opportunities.
Part of the problem is the lack of priority U.S. parents place on core education. But there are also
problems inherent in our public education system. We simply don’t have enough qualified math
and science teachers. Many of those teaching math and science have never taken a university-
level course in those subjects.
I’ve always wanted to be a teacher; in fact, I took early retirement from my job in the aerospace
industry to pursue a career in education. But I was deemed unqualified to teach 8th-grade math
in any school in my state. Ironically, I was welcomed to the faculty at Princeton University,
where the student newspaper ranked my course as one of 10 that every undergraduate should
take.
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In a global, knowledge-driven economy there is a direct correlation between engineering
education and innovation. Our success or failure as a nation will be measured by how well we do
with the innovation agenda, and by how well we can advance medical research, create game-
changing devices and improve the world.
I continue to be active in organizations like the IEEE to help raise the profile of the engineering
community and ensure that our voice is heard in key public policy decisions. That’s also why I
am passionate about the way engineering should be taught as a profession – not as a collection of
technical knowledge, but as a diverse educational experience that produces broad thinkers who
appreciate the critical links between technology and society.
Here we are in a flattening world, where innovation is the key to success, and we are failing to
give our young people the tools they need to compete. Many countries are doing a much better
job. Ireland, despite a devastated economy, just announced it will increase spending on basic
research. Russia is building an “innovation city” outside of Moscow. Saudi Arabia has a new
university for science and engineering with a staggering $10 billion endowment. (It took MIT
142 years to reach that level.) China is creating new technology universities literally by the
dozens.
These nations and many others have rightly concluded that the way to win in the world economy
is by doing a better job of educating and innovating. And America? We’re losing our edge.
Innovation is something we’ve always been good at. Until now, we’ve been the undisputed
leaders when it comes to finding new ideas through basic research, translating those ideas into
products through world-class engineering, and getting to market first through aggressive
entrepreneurship.
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That’s how we rose to prominence. And that’s where we’re falling behind now. The statistics tell
the story.
U.S. consumers spend significantly more on potato chips than the U.S. government
devotes to energy R&D.
In 2009, for the first time, over half of U.S. patents were awarded to non-U.S.
companies.
China has replaced the U.S. as the world’s number one high-technology exporter.
Between 1996 and 1999, 157 new drugs were approved in the U.S. Ten years later,
that number had dropped to 74.
The World Economic Forum ranks the U.S. #48 in quality of math and science
education.
Innovation is the key to survival in an increasingly global economy. Today we’re living off the
investments we made over the past 25 years. We’ve been eating our seed corn. And we’re seeing
an accelerating erosion of our ability to compete. Charles Darwin observed that it is not the
strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most adaptable
to change.
Right now the U.S. is not responding to change as we need to. But there is a way forward. Five
years ago, I was part of a commission that studied U.S. competitiveness. We issued a report
called Rising Above the Gathering Storm, which made some important recommendations and
specific actions to implement them. The recommendations were:
Improve K-12 science and math education.
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Invest in long-term basic research.
Attract and retain the best and brightest students, scientists and engineers in the U.S.
and around the world.
Create and sustain incentives for innovation and research investment.
Our report was received positively and enjoyed tremendous political support. I felt confident that
we were finally getting back on the right track.
In 2007, Congress passed the America COMPETES Act, which authorized official support for
many of the steps urged in the Gathering Storm report. When the stimulus package was passed
early in 2009, most of the COMPETES Act’s measures received funding. There was an increase
in total federal funding for K-12 education, the creation of scholarships for future math and
science teachers, and financial support to create the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy
(ARPA-E), a new agency dedicated to high-risk, high-reward energy research.
Since the completion of our study five years ago, however, 6 million more kids have dropped out
of high school in this country. What kind of future will they have? Likely not a promising one. It
is quite possible that our nation’s adults will, for the first time in U.S. history, leave their
children and grandchildren a lower standard of living than they themselves enjoyed.
Global leadership is not a birthright. Despite what many Americans believe, our nation does not
possess an innate knack for greatness. Greatness must be worked for and won by each new
generation. Right now that is not happening. But we still have time. If we place the emphasis we
should on education, research and innovation we can lead the world in the decades to come. But
the only way to ensure we remain great tomorrow is to increase our investment in science and
engineering today.
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Norm Augustine is an IEEE Life Fellow and retired chairman and ex CEO of Lockheed Martin.
America’s Lost Leadership
In recent times where Companies cannot make Schedule, Cost Targets and Technical Problems
continuously arise, we need understand what went wrong. Almost all of the Defense companies
make a habit of being behind Schedule and Over Budget because it is guaranteed percentage
profit over costs. The DOD tried to improve this starting with McNamara that did not take well
in the military complex industry. Defense is extremely important and has costing the taxpayers a
tremendous amount in taxes going to keep them alive.
Lost Leadership precludes you had leadership at one time then lost it. Companies are a sum of
the leading individuals and head of that Corporation, our Supreme Court allows a Corporation to
vote and politically contribute like an individual. Let’s look at a Corporation by a once head of
Chrysler who turned around a company and made it a Leader-unfortunately turned it over to one
not suitable to the office. Lee Iacocca explains the Nine C’s of leadership being:
1) A Leader shows CURIOSITY and listens to people outside the Yes zone.
2) A Leader has to be CREATIVE and go out on a limb to try something different or
new.
3) A Leader has to COMMUNICATE to face reality and tell the truth, not spout off
at the mouth.
4) A Leader must be a person of CHARACTER, knowing the difference between
right and wrong.
5) A Leader must have COURAGE (“have balls-even female CEO’s”) and take a
position on principle even if it is unpopular.
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6) A Leader must have CONVICTION, a fire in your belly, passion to get something
done.
7) A Leader should have CHARISMA, an influential element that makes people
want to follow or be part of.
8) A Leader must be COMPETENT obviously an important ingredient for ability to
get things done right.
9) A Leader must have COMMON SENSE and be part of the Real World.
There are many Companies that showed tremendous Leadership back in the beginning of this
book and start of the Industry. One that comes to mind is Northrop’s proposing to the USAF
then producing a unsolicited superior and affordable fighter jet the F20, showing many credits of
Leadership. This book is to educate by pointing out the greatness, “lessons learned” and faults in
Aerospace, Defense Industry seeing a potential growing loss in America’s Future. Leadership
Lost refers to Companies and Country losing its leadership edge by failure in technical
requirement s met, schedule and cost goals being met. Otherwise you must ask “What the heck
Went Wrong?” we aren’t talking doom and gloom just seeing our spiraling financial crisis and
ineptitude to achieve known milestones on the backs of the taxpayers.
It is well known that almost all defense companies bid on project below achievable budget, just
to win because the award goes to the lowest cost producer. After award they add Engineering
Change Notices or added Requirements (usually never meeting original) based on the Operations
Requirement Document (ORD) by the DOD and Mission Requirements for Commercial.
Lockheed Martin
Since we just left off with a great statement from a Legend in Industry Norm Augustine we begin
to see where that company in excellence in Leadership is. Just a personal note: The great
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Lockheed I like where the SR-71 and F117 came from was in California not the GD Texas
buyout. According to a great documentation book “Prophets Of War” by, William D Hartung
about Lockheed Martin and Making of the Military Complex. They have made a habit of being
over budget and behind schedule along with some bribery cases called out. We American
Taxpayers pay over $260 per household (2008 dollars) just to keep them alive, agreed we need a
strong functional Military to protect us. The fact of recent Program’s the F22 USAF Fighter jet
to replace the aging and unbeatable F15 was to Cost: $25 Billion for 750 Aircraft. Americans
ended up paying: $62 Billion for 339 Aircraft and delivered late of course.
Figure 26. F22 (Fwd) & F15 (Aft)
Boasting Points: The Aircraft flying along with the FA-22 in the last of these photos is the F-15,
which will be replaced by The FA-22 which is several times better. In Actual In-flight
(simulated) Combat Operations against the F-15, two FA-22s were able to operate Without
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detection while they went Head to head against (8) F-15s. The FA-22s scored Missile Hits
(Kills) Against all the F-15 Aircraft and the FA-22s were never detected by Either the F-15s or
Ground Based Radar. Maj. Gen. Rick Lewis said: 'The Raptor Operated against All Adversaries
with Virtual Impunity; Ground Based Systems Couldn't Engage and NO Adversary
Aircraft Survived'!
In May 2011 the upgrade for the F22 is again behind schedule and over budget: The latest
hardware and software upgrade for the U.S. Air Force's F-22 Raptor stealth fighter jet is over
budget and behind schedule, top Defense Department officials told Congress on May 19. "The
Increment 3.2 that they working on for the F-22 for our war-fighting customer is taking too long
to implement," Air Force procurement chief David Van Buren told members of the Senate
Armed Services Committee. "We are working with the company [Lockheed Martin] to try to
speed that up and make it more affordable". The upgrade will allow the F-22 to carry the AIM-
9X infrared-guided air-to-air missile and the AIM-120D medium-range air-to-air missile, and to
attack eight ground targets with eight 250-pound Small Diameter Bombs. Software development
appears to be the primary cause of the delay. Loren Thompson, an analyst at the Lexington
Institute, said the F-22's software is written largely in Ada, a programming language that was
once a DoD standard but whose use has waned in the past 15 years. "It tends to impede quick
upgrades to the system to which it is the base software," Thompson said. Moreover, he said,
"The affordability of any upgrade becomes debatable when you purchase a relatively small
number of upgrades." Lockheed has built 187 Raptors, of which two have been lost. The
company said it is working with the Air Force to accelerate fielding of the upgrade, which is split
into two components, A and B, while trying to cut costs. Despite Lockheed's confidence, the
Defense Department's leaders are worried about the program. "The F-22 modernization program
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is a concern to us," said Pentagon procurement chief Ashton Carter, who testified alongside Van
Buren at the May 19 2011 hearing. By DAVE MAJUMDAR Published: 19 May 2011 18:47
The F35 Joint Strike Fighter which was mocked up really great in the movie Live Free or Die
Harder is still 4 years behind schedule. It was supposed to be an Affordable alternative to
building more F22’s said Sec. of Defense Gates. Loren Thompson from the Lexington Institute
and who partially consults to Lockheed Martin made a claim about the cost for the F35 would be
no more than a current F16 fighter. The projected cost is a record setting $300 Billion and
counting, making it the costliest weapon in US Defense History. Reading about the history of
this company you would think the public would be told the truth or have a clue of or learn a
lesson of where so much government waste is-I will not single them out of course there are many
other lessons to be learned.
Figure 27. F35 JSF in Vertical Flight and Forward Flight
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Pentagon acquisition chief Ashton Carter told the Senate Armed Services Committee last month
that without significant changes the plan to purchase more than 2,400 F-35 Joint Strike Fighter
jets from Lockheed Martin will cost about twice as much as initially estimated. "Over the
lifetime of this program, the decade or so, the per-aircraft cost of the 2,443 aircraft we want has
doubled in real terms," said Carter, the undersecretary of defense for acquisition, technology and
logistics. "Said differently, that's what it's going to cost if we keep doing what we're doing.
"That's unacceptable. It's unaffordable at that rate." Using words such as "jaw-dropping" to
describe the cost estimates to produce and operate the fighter, several members of the Senate
Armed Services Committee even challenged U.S. Defense Department officials on the once-
unthinkable: looking at alternatives to the F-35, arguably the most technologically ambitious
aircraft ever built. Senators have called on the Department of Defense to come up with
alternatives, Reuters reported. The last cost estimate showed the plane well on its way to costing
more than one trillion dollars (PF, May '11). "People should not conclude that we will be willing
to continue that kind of support without regard to increased costs resulting from a lack of focus
on affordability," said Committee Chairman Carl Levin, D-Mich," Defense News reported May
2011
General Dynamics-old
General Dynamics still has Land Systems and Electric Boat Divisions but before the giant stock
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incentivized selloff of Aircraft & Space System was one of the largest Aerospace powerhouses
from the past. They owned the now Lockheed Martin Fort Worth Texas and the GD Space
Systems in San Diego which built the Atlas Missiles & Rockets. Things started to change for
them after they had mischarged the DOD on the A12 Fighter which was a NAVAIR stealth
flying wing. Then Secretary Of Defense Dick Cheney had cancelled the program over problems.
The DOD sued to regain around $1.3 Billion from them and had been in the Court of Appeals for
decades.
Figure 28. A12 Avenger Concept
“SBJ Staff Report June 6, 2011 – For 20 years, the Federal government has been seeking $1.35
billion from General Dynamics and Boeing, money paid to the two companies for the
development of the A-12 aircraft for the Navy, plus $2.5 billion in interest that has now
accumulated over that period.
Figure 29. A12 Avenger Concept
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It appears that both General Dynamics and Boeing have bought more time in repaying the money
when the Supreme Court ruled on May 23 that they would not rule on an appeal of the two
companies, and sent the case back to the Federal courts to decide.
General Dynamics Space Systems in San Diego build the minute man missile and the USAF
Atlas2, Atlas2AS, had a Company Manufacturing Senior Manager let (or go to jail) for
corruption embezzlement with Murdoch Incorporated which had a contract doing tooling. I
worked on the Atlas2as with some 3 retirees in writing the new Manufacturing Plan. These 3 old
guys which were a joy to work with, one nicknamed Red even told me he was in the US Army
and held Varner Von Braun and his family by gun point to bring him to America. He boasted of
his ability to walkthrough the factory at a fast pace knowing where everything was. On my own
time I had created and proposed a new modern Automated Tank Assembly Cell (ATAC)
manufacturing system which would have been 140 time more efficient & cheaper than existing
methods. I had sent it up the ladder but fell on deaf ears because Management already was in
cahoots with Murdoch. I had also created and proposed recoverable Avionics pods which could
be build separately and installed in-situ or on site saving huge production & testing time and
money. Sent these up the ladder (my upper management and was soon after let go; now I know
why. Afterwards I had also sent this to the USAF Space Command Director and Robert Roe the
Head of the Office of Science & Technology in charge of the Space Command.
Martin Marietta purchased General Dynamics Space Systems division on 2 May 1994 for $208.5
million, consolidating 1 million square feet of office and manufacturing space for Atlas
production from San Diego with Titan facilities in Denver. Approximately 400 jobs were
eliminated in San Diego and Denver. Total savings over 10 years were initially estimated at over
$300 million (subsequently raised to as much as $500 million); due in part to filling excess
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factory space and sharing fixed costs for utilities and other property expenses. This purchase by
Martin Marietta of the Atlas launch vehicle gave Martin the dominant role in the space launch
business.
Figure 30. Atlas2AS
McDonnell Douglas-now Boeing
I had enjoyed working for McDonnell Douglas in the design engineering groups was promoted
and learned Project Management as part of the DOD’s Industrial Modernization Incentive
Program (IMIP) part of the C17. McDonnell Douglas was the largest Aerospace Company once
above $56 Billion per year in the mid 1988 period when James Worsham (originally from GE)
was the President in Long Beach. In one of his speeches he was bragging of our Company being
number one having a One, Two Three & Four holes meaning the jets engines look like a hole
from front view. At the Time Boeing was number 2 at $38 Billion per year and Airbus was a
parasite at less than $11 Billion. Feeling no threat of competition at the time we were on top of
the world. Airbus was explained to be a European formed group which made parts for us at
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McDonnell Douglas and Boeing and didn’t have the rich history in Aviation we did. I remember
meeting Jim once at his home in Palos Verdes, CA. because I was dating his babysitter from
which also was from Michigan. He had just arrived home after a large sales trip and was
discussing his terrific sale of Aircraft to a Middle Eastern Airlines discussing the sales while
sitting in a Jacuzzi with the greatest view. His home was beautiful with a pool running into the
home and a Jacuzzi that flowed down into the pool. While he was running it until the Total
Quality Management System TQMS program which hit the Company in 1989 it was a Great
Company. Once TQMS also nicknamed Time to Quit and Move to Seattle had pretty much
changed the company in ways meant to be Good which turned sour or Bad.
When management changed and noticing the board of Directors many were of Council Foreign
Regulations CFR thus demanding more of a Global image and no more American Flag waiving
only political correctness. The MD-90 was the first to have a facility built in Shanghai to
produce the fuselage.
The A12 was worked on from the military fighter jet group from the St. Louis once known as
McAir and to those in the company were still referred to each other as such.
Boeing Aircraft
I have a personal affection for Boeing because I worked in the design engineering groups starting
with the 777. Back in 1990’s Boeing had received partnership investment of $3 ½ Billion from
the 3 Japanese partners to workshare the 777. Fuji Heavy Industry (FHI), Kawasaki (KHI) and
Mitsubishi (MHI) have all partner on producing the Boeing 777. Boeing helped lay the longest,
largest network line across the pacific as part of this. The program was on schedule, on budget
and met or exceeded its requirements, mlead by Phil Condit and Alan Mulally. It almost fell
behind because the Japanese suppliers could not meet schedule and decision making milestones,
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requiring Boeing to send over 200 good engineers over to Japan to bring the program back on
track.
Recently with the new 787 you see the innovation of using composites on the first commercial
aircraft. Let’s not forget Boeing produced the largest composite wing ever for the B2 Bomber.
Northrop Grumman
I have a personal affection for Northrop because it got me started in the design engineering in the
Aerospace Industry back in 1985 from the B2, the F20, F18 and 747-Air Force One fuselage.
The B2 was over Budget and behind schedule but achieved record achievements and today is
still the most penetrating Bomber in the World. If you’re somewhere hostile against US and
have time to see it fly over, it’s already too late your dead.
Boasting for Northrop they had proposed the F20 fighter which could have ended the F16’s life
and performed exception. The USAF could not break a commitment to the then General
Dynamics Company of Fort Worth but the F16 had to incorporate the modernized cockpit we
had on the F20 into their fighter.
The Navy’s replacement for the cancelled A12 was the F18 E/F where McDonnell Douglas
builds the fuselage and then McDonnell Douglas St. Louis finished it stuffing it and winging it.
This Program lead by Mike Sears had a schedule of 42 Months. This was a totally new assembly
line and many advances made fighter, to the materials and process along with being stealthy was
On Time On Budget and met requirements. Kudos to my Team mates at Northrop Grumman El
Segundo and McDonnell Douglas St. Louis. After much investigation the Northrop group has a
superior record, outside of the political influences.
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Figure 31. F18 E/F Carrier Landing
The F18 E/F has a great future still because of its strength, power and affordable cost as
opposed to the JSF which costs continue to be outside of targeted cost. The Boeing and
Northrop Grumman team has evolved it into a new F18G Growler. The new F18G has improved
electronic warfare capabilities,
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Chapter 4
The Economic Importance
“Every dollar invested in the aerospace industry has a triple effect. It helps keep good jobs in
the United States create the products that bring enormous revenues from other countries”
Economic Importance
The Economic Importance of a Nation’s Aerospace & Technical Industry is the difference
between being a Modern World or a Third World society and average income.
Most importantly a Nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is its power and influence in the
world, unless it is non Tradable and totally consumed internally (like Health Care, Housing,
Services, etc). The reason Japan, Germany and others had grown to a large economic Players in
the 1980’s and 1990’s is because they export more than they consume. Another big reason was
in the Transportation manufacturing Aerospace and Technical industries, requiring skilled
workers and not shoes, clothing or simple merchandise.
World Economy vs. USA
Would a Country save their own existence, knowing 50 years ahead in time compared to the
beginning? Will our US Government’s running over indebtedness hinder our own future? Ever
since the end of World War II when the US Dollar was declared to be the only World tradable &
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tangible currency and “yes” some had to do with having the bomb and could take & rule over the
World. Hitler & Japan’s dream, we only made our currency be the World currency.
Now look at the Gross Domestic Product of the World with science and data:
Figure 32. World GDP (past 50 years)
Most of the Gross Domestic Product is created and consumed in the USA. This doesn’t mean it
will stay that way because as other countries mature, evolve and become a higher technological
creator, then their standards of living catch up in conjunction. Over the last 50 years it has been
the USA’s world domination, as see here in figure 33.
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Figure 33. USA GDP vs. the rest of the World (50 years)
Industry Economic Histories
Commercial aviation is a vital engine for the American economy. The U.S. civil aviation
industry (which includes aircraft, engines and parts manufacturers, airlines, airports, and general
aviation) directly or indirectly generates over 12 million jobs and $1.5 trillion in economic
activity.
Federal Aviation Administration, The Economic Impact of Civil Aviation on the U.S. Economy,
2007.
Every dollar invested in the aerospace industry has a triple effect. It helps keep good jobs in the
United States; creates the products that bring enormous revenues from other countries; and yields
the security and economic benefits that flow uniquely from America’s civil aviation, space, and
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defense leadership. It is a privilege to contribute to our nation’s success, and we must continue
doing what we have shown we do best – keep America strong and working.
2009 Aerospace Industries Association of America, Inc.
America’s Aerospace Economic Case
Aerospace has played a vital and exciting role in the growth of the United States and the nation’s
future is bright with the vast potential these two components, air and space, offer. General data
provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicates that aerospace engineers and related
professions declined between 2002 and 2012. However, the events of September 11, 2001 have
magnified the aerospace industry’s importance to the national and economic security of our
nation, and economic trends show the workforce picture is beginning to turn around. Other
sectors of the economy depend on aerospace businesses and related disciplines for technical
skills and technologies that are critical elements of our security infrastructure and improve
America’s position in the global marketplace. The diverse sectors of aerospace include
commercial, civil and military aviation, space, and defense. They encompass a wide array of
talent and competencies. The industrial base includes researchers, engineers, technicians,
mechanics, skilled machinists, and precision production jobs. According to the Aerospace
Industry Association, the aerospace industry, including its supplier network and the economic
impact of products, totaled nearly $Trillion in sales and accounts for one in seven U.S. jobs.
Even with aerospace employment at its lowest level since the great depression, the industry
accounts for four percent of the U.S. manufacturing workforce. This key industry is facing a
critical human capital crisis.
(Future of the United States Aerospace Industry, Executive Summary)
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TRADABLE EMPLOYMENT
The tradable part of the economy is the most important part of industry because it is a Gross
Domestic Product which can be sold to other nations thus getting paid by others to produce and
sell. This is what makes Japan with very few resources make their Nation financially strong
along with China, Germany, India and South Korea. US Tradable goods and jobs present a
different picture. Figure 32 shows the larger or major tradable sectors across three groups of
manufacturing (see Figure 31).
Figure 31. Description of Manufacturing Industry Splits
Manufacturing I:
Food, beverage, and tobacco production; textile, apparel, footwear, and leather goods
Manufacturing II:
Wood and paper products; petroleum and coal; basic chemical products; synthetic
materials; nonmetallic mineral products; glass; and cement products
Manufacturing III:
Primary and fabricated metal products; heavy machinery; transportation equipment;
computers and electronics; household appliances; semiconductors; and furniture
production
Source: Summary of the North American Industry Classification System descriptors for
manufacturing.
In Manufacturing III, we isolated electronics, autos, and other transportation (aero, rail, and
ships)
to get a closer look at these industries. In Manufacturing II, we isolated pharmaceuticals.
Sticking with the methodology just described, those industries that are not predominantly
tradable have an asterisk to indicate that most of the industry is on the nontradable side.
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(International Trade Administration, “Flight Plan 2010: Analysis of the U.S. Aerospace
Industry,” www.trade.gov/mas/
manufacturing/OAAI/aero_reports.asp.)
Figure 34. Tradable Industry Jobs, 1990–2008 (Majors)9
Source: Authors’ calculations using Bureau of Labor Statistics historical data series
*Industries that are not predominantly or entirely tradable include an asterisk.
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The pattern is mixed but clear. The manufacturing sectors declined substantially in employment
in all three groups. Manufacturing III accounts for the largest drop in jobs between 1990 and
2008 (2.2 million). Major industry job loss was in the electronics industry (650,500), aerospace
(337,400, see figure 32), and the auto industry (172,400). Manufacturing I accounts for the
second-largest drop over the period (1.3 million). In this sector, major industry job loss came
from cut-and-sew apparel manufacturing (597,300), and fabric mill (203,000). Manufacturing II
accounts for the third-largest drop (880,400), driven by the paper (-438,000) and chemical
industries (-165,600). Agriculture also posted losses of 535,000 jobs. Parts of agriculture are
highly capital intensive but others (like fruit and vegetables) remain labor intensive. The most
notable increases in major tradable industries were in finance and in architectural and
engineering services. The tradable portion of information—the telecommunications,
data hosting, broadcasting, motion picture, recording, and publishing subindustries—
rose overall, but experienced a sharp rise and fall during the Internet bubble.
Looking at the Cost of Goods vs. Time:
Cost Comparison over the years
Weight
$
Value 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Jet Fuel 7 Gal
Gasoline
(US) 6.8 Gal
Automobile 3200 Avg, $12,750 $21,500 $28,700 $32,500
Aircraft 525000 747 18M 25M 75M 100M 125M 150M 180M 225M 318M
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Gold x 16 = lb 1 oz. $38.90 $139.29 $594.90 $327.00 $386.20 $387.00 $272.65 $513.00 $1,420.25
Tax
GDP (US) 140T
Avg US
Earnings
Figure 35. Cost Comparison
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Figure 36. Tradable Industry Jobs 1990-2008
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Source: Authors’ calculations using Bureau of Labor Statistics historical data series
*Industries that are not predominantly or entirely tradable include an asterisk.
Non auto transportation equipment production was a major contributor to job losses in the
tradable sector since 1990 (roughly 353,000 jobs). The vast majority of the loss occurred in
aerospace (roughly 340,000 between 1990 and 2008). In total, the nonauto transport equipment
industries saw a decrease in value added of 19 percent as one of only two industries to see a
decrease between 1990 and 2008; the other is mining (59 percent). Still, the drop in employment
was enough to offset the drop in value added, resulting in a positive increase of 20 percent in
value added per job over the same period.
To a large extent, the decline in aerospace value added reflected falling military procurement
after the end of the Cold War. However, since 2003, the industry has been rebounding behind
multifront military activities, and both employment and value added are on the rise. Value added
has grown more than 27 percent since 2003 alone
.
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Figure 37. Aerospace and other Transport Industries (Tradable)
Source: Authors’ calculations using Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of Labor
Statistics historical data series Notably, the United States had a trade surplus in the aerospace
industry in 2009, $47.2 billion, up 6.3 percent from 2008.29 According to the International Trade
Administration, the surplus in aerospace was the largest amongst all U.S. manufacturing
industries. It is the result of the top end of the value chain being in the United States, accurately
reflecting the global configuration of the supply chain. This is the direct analog of China’s
apparent surplus in electronics, which results from the assembly piece of the value-added chain
being performed substantially in China. Whether the positive trends seen in recent years continue
will depend in part on foreign policy decisions.
Economic Value – A Comparative Model
The 747 is a Good example of the value growth an Aircraft program can have on the economy
and it’s Nation.
Airplane
Families
2010 $
in
Millions
Average
Weight-
dry lb.
$ Per
lb.
Avg. $
Per lb.
737 Family
737-600 56.9 95,440 $596.19 $709.43
737-700 67.9 97,750 $694.63
737-800 80.8 103,800 $778.42
737- 85.8 111,650 $768.47
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900ER
747 Family
747-8 317.5 525,900 $603.73 $605.44
747-8
Freighter
319.3 525,900 $607.15
767 Family
767-
200ER
144.1 260,000 $554.23
$550.29
767-
300ER
164.3 295,000 $556.95
767-300
Freighter
167.7 309,000 $542.72
767-
400ER
180.6 330,000 $547.27
777 Family
777-
200ER
232.3 330,000 $703.94
$741.82
777-
200LR
262.4 354,600 $739.99
777-
300ER
284.1 380,600 $764.45
777
Freighter
269.1 354,600 $758.88
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787 Family
787-8 185.2 276,700 $750.71 $742.78
787-9 218.1 296,800 $734.84
Aerospace & Defense: Least Understood Industrial Sector
By guest author Robert H. Trice
Aerospace and defense (A&D) is among the least understood and appreciated of America’s
industrial sectors. Largely because of the politically charged, acronym-laden, arcane and
sometimes classified world of government contracting within which it operates, its
characteristics are much debated but seldom analyzed.
We begin with its modest size. There are about 140 million civilians in today’s U.S. workplace.
The Aerospace Industries Association estimates today there are about 819,000 private-sector
A&D workers, down from 1.2 million in 1990, the end of the Cold War. For context, there are
roughly 2.8 million civilian federal government workers, 1.6 million uniformed military and 1.1
million lawyers in America.
A&D workers are well compensated. Production workers have an average hourly wage higher
than any other industry ($33), and they are twice as likely to be represented by a union (16
percent) than the rest of the private sector. With average annual earnings for all employees at
$79,000 in 2009, A&D workers are second only to those working for high-tech companies
($84,000). The average U.S. salary in 2009 was $38,000.
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This small sector is also, year after year and by far, the leading positive contributor to the U.S.
balance of trade. Including commercial aircraft exports, A&D’s net exports in 2008 were about
$58 billion. The second leading sector was semiconductors at roughly $22 billion.
A&D is a major engine for research and development. While the average U.S. company spends
less than 3 percent of net sales on R&D, aerospace and defense companies average over 13
percent. While the bulk of these funds come from the Department of Defense and other federal
agencies, many of the technologies spawned by these investments find wide commercial
applications. Examples are legion, from the Internet, hydraulic brakes, cordless power tools,
smoke detectors and airbags to GPS, satellite communications and climate monitoring.
Ultimately the industry and the DOD acquisition community exist to develop, produce and field
the most militarily effective systems possible for those who protect this nation and its freedoms,
interests and allies. And when the U.S. government and the A&D sector get it right – which is
most but certainly not all of the time – they have repeatedly delivered capabilities unmatched by
any potential adversary.
Today’s A&D industry emerged from the post-Cold War consolidations of the 1990s. A
relatively small number of global “prime” contractors hold responsibility for delivering major
systems to the government. Just below, at the first tier, are large, well-known sub-primes and
systems partners. What gets less attention are the 30,000+ lower-tier suppliers that produce and
deliver subsystems and materials on up the chain. On average, between 60 and 75 percent of
every dollar that goes to a prime is subcontracted out for work performed by others, including
more than 20,000 small, minority-owned and disadvantaged businesses.
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Some argue that A&D companies make too much money. Using a standard measure of gross
earnings (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA) for various
sectors from 2007-2009, A&D lagged most of its competitors, with an average gross return of
around 13 percent. The 2009 average net income or profit of major U.S. primes was about 7
percent, in line with the average profit margin for the S&P 500.
Like all other elements of the private sector, A&D companies compete for financial capital and
human talent, provide returns for their shareholders and pay taxes. What differentiates them is
that, with few exceptions (e.g., Boeing), most of their revenues—and oversight—come from the
federal government, which uses the goods and solutions they produce to provide security and
services for the nation, its allies and friends.
Despite its middling economic returns, the industry is able to attract sufficient private capital
because of its longer business cycles, strong cash flows and relatively lower downside risks for
investors. A&D companies are consistently able to hire and retain top-tier engineering and
scientific talent, not only because of relatively generous economic benefits, but also the
perceived importance of their work in support of U.S. defense and foreign policy priorities.
Lost: America's Industrial Base
By, J. David Patterson
Like the F-22? Don’t like the F-22? Think we need more F-22s? Think 187 F-22s is about the
right number? Believe we need the capability the F-22 brings to the fight, or think we don’t. The
U.S. Senate’s vote Tuesday of 58 -- 40 to stop F-22 production at 187 aircraft is the next to the
last nail in coffin of the Air Force’s premier fighter program. A House-Senate conference still
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has to agree on the final result, but it seems like a long shot that the program will be continued.
Regardless, of where you come down in the debate, what matters is that by not buying more F-
22s, the U.S. Air Force’s fifth generation fighter has won a very secure spot on the side of “milk
cartons” as the poster child for a “lost” industrial base.
Last week’s publication by the Aerospace Industry Association (AIA) of a report on the U.S.
aerospace industrial base should have given the Department of Defense and Congress pause.
Not because the aerospace industrial base has been reduced to a state that is not recoverable, but
because the decisions being made in the Department have not considered the impact on the
aerospace and defense industry that the Department depends on. Particularly, troubling is that
the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) has not considered in the past and is currently
continuing to ignore the consequences of what it is recommending on the U. S. aerospace and
defense industrial base.
The fact that the QDR was not done before Secretary Gates announced the F-22 termination
leaves a great analytical gap beneath that decision where a solid foundation should be.
The issue is not just about jobs. Though much of the debate in favor of the F-22 centered on
jobs, the real industrial base issue is about the kind of jobs that are on the chopping block as
defense strategy development moves forward without regard to the availability of the skilled and
experienced workforce necessary to build the weapons that make the defense strategy actionable.
When the industrial base is defined -- more accurately -- it is 1) formed and experienced
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developmental engineering design teams, 2) highly skilled and experienced aerospace touch
labor and 3) the financial capability to compete in future weapons programs, it is clearly worse
than anemic.
Since about 1986, there has been a steady decline in the number of aerospace research and
development scientists and engineers the U.S. has had available to ensure the nation’s ability to
build the necessary weapons,. From a high of about 145,000 in 1986, the number of aerospace
research and development scientists and engineers in the U.S. had diminished to around 38,000
in 2007 according to the 56th Edition of Aerospace Facts and Figures.
It’s not that the United States is losing research and development engineers in all industries. In
fact, during the same period the number of research and development scientists and engineers in
all industries has increased from around 670,000 to over one million. But, in the aerospace
sector the number of aerospace research and development scientists and engineers as a
percentage of the total in all industries has plummeted from a high of about 22 percent in 1986 to
just over 3 percent in 2007.
The real challenge in retaining engineering talent is with the part of the definition offered here as
“formed and experienced.” In their report the Aerospace Industries Association noted that once
lost, “Reconstituting lost production, design and engineering capabilities could take many years.”
The picture for highly skilled aerospace touch labor doesn’t look much better. From 1993 to
2007 the number of aerospace production workers declined by nearly 8 percent from 390
thousand to 360 thousand. Often there is a mistaken notion that because in the buildup of
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wartime manufacturing during World War II “Rosy the Riveter,” with little training abandoned
the ironing board to take up the soldering iron. Consequently, the idea that rebuilding lost
aerospace production skills today is very wrong-headed. The training and experience necessary
for an apprentice electrician or machinist to become fully qualified in the aerospace industry
takes between three to five years. Modern fighter aircraft use composites and exotic metals that
take significant training and experience to manipulate.
Politicians are fond of saying that putting a new defense program in their district or state will
create so many thousands of new highly paid, highly skilled jobs. The facts are that new defense
programs won because some other company lost. Since the numbers of production workers and
engineers are declining, winning a contract means that jobs are migrated and not created.
Because the jobs are high paying as well, a certain amount of wealth migrates with the jobs. But,
for the country and the industrial base as a whole, new defense programs are essentially a zero
sum game.
It is a very expensive proposition to compete for major aerospace and defense weapons and
equipment programs. General Dynamics, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Northrop
Grumman and BAE SYSTEMS with its recent U.S. aerospace and defense company
acquisitions, are the six remaining aerospace companies. Down from over 50 aerospace
companies capable of competing for large programs before the spate of mergers. Ok, you say.
It’s survival of the fittest and the “Darwin Factor” has prevailed. The consolidation of
companies helped to reduce overhead and the remaining companies are more efficient. I’m not
sure that’s right, but maybe so. The point here is that because the “Big Six” wield such financial
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power to invest in large defense programs, smaller companies that might have a competitive
product or service face a financial barrier to entry that is daunting. Again, the AIA report put the
issue differently, but the point is the same, “Once a company decides to exit the modern defense
industrial base, the expense of re-entry is so high that the exit will likely be permanent.”
The F-22 fighter debate has highlighted a more immediate problem that could have severe long-
term consequences for America’s ability to attend effectively and responsibly to future threats.
National security strategy crafting like the Quadrennial Defense Review is in no way precise.
Even the most prescient of policy experts can only see up to the current military operations
horizon, not beyond it. Choosing a narrowly focused national strategy with the necessary
weapon systems to execute that strategy without regard for the impact on the industrial base
leaves our nation at risk.
Mr. Patterson is the Executive Director, National Defense Business Institute in the College of
Business
Fading Space Industrial Base
America is the only developed Country which does not have a manned space program after the
retirement of the Space Shuttles.
NASA's future is up for grabs in a Washington power struggle, but that's not what most worries
Marshall Space Flight Center Director Robert Lightfoot.
"What keeps me awake is maintaining the capabilities and minimizing the loss of skills" at the
center he inherited from generations of space pioneers, Lightfoot said here Tuesday.
'"Everybody talks about retiring hardware," Lightfoot told the annual Center Director's Breakfast
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update. "But we're also potentially retiring a lot of knowledge - a whole lot of knowledge. And
that has long-term implications for Marshall, this community and this country." "I worry about
that," Lightfoot said. "I am concerned that the skills needed to take this nation beyond Earth orbit
won't be there when we need them." Any list of reasons why would begin with that fight in
Washington, although Lightfoot says that's far beyond his control.
President Obama wants to cancel the Constellation rocket program, which was to be NASA's
next big mission and which employs 2,200 NASA and contractor employees here. Many in
Congress want to continue it. The administration has proposed privatizing spaceflight instead,
while assigning Marshall to plan for a new deep-space rocket and manage robot explorers aimed
at other planets. Those initiatives "do provide some new opportunities" and "represent good
work for Marshall," Lightfoot said.
But will the experts here now - some of whose jobs are ending with the space shuttle program -
and rising new talent wait to see what comes next? "We knew we were going to have a
transition," Lightfoot said, referring to the shuttle's long-scheduled last flight this year. "We've
been working to minimize the loss of knowledge and skills. We've been planning for several
years on shuttle transition," Lightfoot said. "Of course, the challenge is deepened with the
proposed budget." Other agencies are eyeing NASA's talent pool, too, Lightfoot said, including
the Army, Marshall's Redstone Arsenal landlord.
NASA and the Army have "a great partnership," Lightfoot said, adding that "our thoughts and
prayers are with them" after last week's fatal explosion. BRAC recruiters trying to feed the
Army's growing presence here are coming after NASA engineers, technicians and other
professionals, Lightfoot said.
And the Army isn't the only challenge. Lightfoot illustrated with the history of the suspension
bridge, invented in America and perfected in the world-famous Brooklyn and Golden Gate
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spans. When it was time to build the Tacoma Narrows bridge in 2000, Lightfoot said, the
American steel industry had collapsed and bridge expertise had moved to Asia, where detailed
engineering on the Tacoma bridge was outsourced. The deck was built in South Korea and the
19,000 miles of wire inside the main cables were manufactured in South Korea, China and
England. "It's a fact of life," Lightfoot said. "Expertise goes where the demand is." Marshall's
challenge, Lightfoot said, is to "nurture and encourage" a new generation of rocket scientists, so
"the skills are ready when the call comes" for America's next bridge into space. "It does keep me
awake sometimes," Lightfoot said. Lightfoot and Marshall honored three contractors and an
educational institution Tuesday. They were:
* Jacobs Engineering, Science and Technical Services (ESTS) Group, large business service
category.
* ATK Launch Systems, large business product category.
* Qualis Corp., small business service category.
* The Huntsville Center for Technology - the technical training and education center for the
Huntsville City School System and longtime NASA partner in the Great Moonbuggy Race and
other events. '
America’s Lead World Space Program
The Space Station which was originally called Freedom has evolved to be a Great World of
People working together for our own man kind’s future. My buddy Chaz Willitz Director at
NASA Washington DC Headquarters was a main player in charge of this program. He even kept
the models build in his condo he had in Arlington VA. What a interesting person. He was 72 in
1989 and went to Cal Tech, was an Army Air Core Pilot in WW2 then lived in Huntington
Beach most of his life. He had spent many years working at which was then North American
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Aircraft even on my favorite XB-70, which became Rockwell and the McDonnell Douglas now
Boeing. His son was a guitarist in a famous band (STP). When I visited his condo there he had
a space station models filling up 1 room and a drafting board, books and files and no bed. I
asked where he slept he said it was a chair he designed from the work the observed in space
which held him in some fetal type position, it was very comfortable he said he can get a full eight
hours of sleep in less than 5 hours because the body secretes no acids of position uncomfortable-
feeling. Wow lets mass produce this, he had no interest because he liked mental stimulation
projects more…
Today’s International Space Station
Many of us wish we could go up there to learn & play…
Figure 38. ISS
Click here for all recent ISS Articles: http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/tag/iss/
http://www.space.com/16748-international-space-station.html
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The International Space Station (ISS) is the most complex international scientific and
engineering project in history and the largest structure humans have ever put into space. This
high-flying satellite is a laboratory for new technologies and an observation platform for
astronomical, environmental and geological research. As a permanently occupied outpost in
outer space, it serves as a stepping stone for further space exploration.
The station flies at an average altitude of 248 miles (400 kilometers) above Earth. It circles the
globe every 90 minutes at a speed of about 17,500 miles per hour (28,000 kph). In one day, the
station travels about the distance it would take to go from Earth to the moon and back.
Five different space agencies representing 15 countries built the $100 billion International Space
Station and continue to operate it today. NASA, Russia's Federal Space Agency, the European
Space Agency, the Canadian Space Agency and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency are the
primary space agency partners on the project.
Structure
The International Space Station was taken into space piece-by-piece and gradually built in orbit.
It consists of modules and connecting nodes that contain living quarters and laboratories, as well
as exterior trusses that provide structural support, and solar panels that provide power. The first
module, Russia's Zarya module, launched in 1998. The station has been continuously occupied
since Nov. 2, 2000. The space station is planned to be operated through at least 2020.
[Infographic: The International Space Station: Inside and Out]
During the space station's major construction phase, some Russian modules and docking ports
were launched directly to the orbiting lab, while other NASA and international components
(including Russian hardware) were delivered on U.S. space shuttles. [Rare Photos: Space Shuttle
at Space Station]
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The space station, including its large solar arrays, spans the area of a U.S. football field,
including the end zones, and weighs 861,804 pounds (391,000 kilograms), not including visiting
vehicles. The complex now has more livable room than a conventional five-bedroom house, and
has two bathrooms, a gymnasium and a 360-degree bay window. Astronauts have also compared
the space station's living space to the cabin of a Boeing 747 jumbo jet.
The space station is so large that it can be seen from Earth without the use of a telescope by night
sky observers who know when and where to look. The space station can rival the brilliant planet
Venus in brightness and appears as a bright moving light across the night sky.
Crew size
A six-person expedition crew typically stays four to six months aboard the ISS. The first space
station crews were three-person teams, though after the tragic Columbia shuttle disaster the crew
size temporarily dropped to two-person teams. The space station reached its full six-person crew
size in 2009 as new modules, laboratories and facilities were brought online.
If the crew needs to evacuate the station, they can return to Earth aboard two Russian Soyuz
vehicles docked to the ISS. Additional crewmembers are transported to the ISS by Soyuz. Prior
to the retirement of NASA's space shuttle fleet in 2011, new space station crewmembers were
also ferried to and from the station during shuttle missions.
Crews aboard the ISS are assisted by mission control centers in Houston and Moscow and a
payload control center in Huntsville, Ala. Other international mission control centers support the
space station from Japan, Canada and Europe. The ISS can be controlled from mission control
centers in Houston or Moscow. [Photos: Space Station's Expedition 32 Mission]
Facts about International Space Station
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The ISS solar array surface area could cover the U.S. Senate Chamber three times over.
ISS eventually will be larger than a five-bedroom house.
ISS will have an internal pressurized volume of 33,023 cubic feet, or equal that of a
Boeing 747.
The solar array wingspan (240 feet / 73 meters) is longer than that of a Boeing 777
200/300 model, which is 212 feet (64.6 m).
Fifty-two computers will control the systems on the ISS.
More than 115 space flights will have been conducted on five different types of launch
vehicles over the course of the station’s construction.
More than 100 telephone-booth sized rack facilities can be in the ISS for operating the
spacecraft systems and research experiments
The ISS is almost four times as large as the Russian space station Mir, and about five
times as large as the U.S. Skylab.
The ISS will weigh almost one million pounds (925,627 pounds / 419,857 kilograms).
That’s the equivalent of more than 320 automobiles.
The ISS measures 357 feet (108 meters) end-to-end. That’s nearly the length of a football
field including the end zones.
3.3 million lines of software code on the ground supports 1.8 million lines of flight
software code.
8 miles (12.8 kilometers) of wire connects the electrical power system.
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In the International Space Station’s U.S. segment alone, 1.5 million lines of flight
software code will run on 44 computers communicating via 100 data networks
transferring 400,000 signals (e.g. pressure or temperature measurements, valve positions,
etc.).
The ISS will manage 20 times as many signals as the Space Shuttle.
Main U.S. control computers have 1.5 gigabytes of total main hard drive storage in U.S.
segment compared to modern PCs, which have about 500-gigabyte hard drives.
The entire 55-foot robot arm assembly is capable of lifting 220,000 pounds, which is the
weight of a Space Shuttle orbiter.
The 75 to 90 kilowatts of power for the ISS is supplied by an acre of solar panels.
— Tim Sharp, SPACE.com Reference Editor
Buildup Overview: http://www.space.com/10115-building-international-space-station.html
The ISS communications overhaul performed under the ODAR and HRCS programs will allow
for a vastly increased flow of payload data between the space station and Earth, which is greatly
needed at the present time, as the sheer amount of payloads now operating aboard the ISS at any
given moment were straining the previous communications system to its limits.
The increase in communications capability shows that the ISS is capable of evolving to meet the
ever growing needs of the scientific community, and is direct evidence that despite being
designed some 20 plus years ago, the ISS is fit to perform its duty as a 21st century orbiting
science laboratory, continuing to serve and benefit mankind in its mission of discovery for a long
time to come.
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Figure 39. Hubble Space Telescope
Seeing our beginning and many worlds to come…
Official Link to Hubble: http://asd.gsfc.nasa.gov/archive/hubble/
The Hubble Space Telescope was deployed from the Space shuttle Discovery during STS-
31 on April 25, 1990. Since then, there have been 5servicing missions that continued to
upgrade the telescope's scientific instruments and operational systems. Hubble reached a
major milestone, its 20th anniversary in orbit, on April 24, 2010.
Hubble imagery has both delighted and amazed people around the world and has
rewritten astronomy textbooks with its discoveries.
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This Hubble photo is of a small portion
of one of the largest-seen star-birth
regions in the galaxy, the Carina
Nebula. Towers of cool hydrogen laced
with dust rise from the wall of the
nebula. The pillar is also being pushed
apart from within, as infant stars
buried inside it fire off jets of gas that
can be seen streaming from towering
peaks. Credit: NASA, ESA, and M. Livio and the Hubble 20th Anniversary Team (STScI).
For the latest news on Hubble, visit http://www.nasa.gov/hubble.
Figure 40. Mars Rover
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The Mars rover recent achievements…
Awesome video of what the US is doing on Mars. All the beginning of science prior to our
human arrivals. http://youtu.be/gwinFP8_qIM
During a moratorium on commanding this month while Mars passed nearly behind the
sun - a phase called solar conjunction -- NASA's Mars Exploration Rover Opportunity
entered a type of standby mode.
Mission controllers learned of the changed status on April 27 when they first heard from
Opportunity after the period of minimized communication during the solar conjunction.
They prepared fresh commands today (April 29) for sending to the rover to resume
operations.
Initial indications suggest the rover sensed something amiss while doing a routine
camera check of the clarity of the atmosphere on April 22.
"Our current suspicion is that Opportunity rebooted its flight software, possibly while the
cameras on the mast were imaging the sun," said Mars Exploration Rover Project
Manager John Callas of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. "We found
the rover in a standby state called automode, in which it maintains power balance and
communication schedules, but waits for instructions from the ground. We crafted our
solar conjunction plan to be resilient to this kind of rover reset, if it were to occur."
Opportunity has been working on Mars for more than nine years. NASA's other Mars
rover, Curiosity, which landed last year, is also nearing the end of its solar conjunction
moratorium on commanding. Curiosity has reported coming through the conjunction in
full health. Controllers plan to send Curiosity's first set of post-conjunction commands
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on May 1.
JPL, a division of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, manages both rover
projects for NASA's Science Mission Directorate, Washington. For more information
about Opportunity,
visit http://www.nasa.gov/rovers andhttp://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov . You can follow the
project on Twitter and on Facebook
at: http://twitter.com/MarsRovers andhttp://www.facebook.com/mars.rovers .
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Chapter 5
The Future Forecasts
“Global leadership is not a birthright. Despite what many Americans believe - Greatness
must be worked for and won by each new generation”
In the next 20 years the Aerospace & Defense market is valued at around 7 ½ Trillion over 3 ½
Trillion is in the Commercial Aircraft Market. We have a pretty good pulse in the Market
Analysis for Forecasts; in some detail Boeing has produced a very good 20 Forecast Annually.
The recent Leader Airbus then follows up with their own adjusting or tweaking some details and
inputting the European Union’s point of view.
The World’s Growing Competition
Many countries are becoming growing competition to US Aerospace Industry and currently
when I write this book, US is second in the world to Airbus & EADS the European Community
now the Number 1 Aerospace Company in the World. They do not occupy just a single Country
like the USA but a financial and working consortium of Europe’s producing countries which is
Headquartered in Tolouse France.
China has been trying hard to build up their own industry and India will help them along with
building up their own. The difference with India is they have so much unbalanced wealth;
corruption and their Government and business will not invest in the infrastructures to make them
capable
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U.S. faces foreign competition — in space
By Peter N. Spotts, The Christian Science Monitor 11/7/2005 6:28 PM
The plan for human space exploration has a familiar ring: Launch probes to scope out the moon,
build rockets powerful enough to get people and supplies there, then send the first lunar
expedition — all before 2020.
These goals form the centerpiece of the U.S. manned spaceflight program. They now form the
centerpiece of China's, too.
As lawmakers in Washington fret over how to pay for key elements of President Bush's blueprint
for space exploration, which aims to send astronauts back to the moon in 2018, China is making
a bid to place the first bootprints on the moon this century — perhaps in 2017.
On one level, China's goals — plus those of other space-faring countries — are raising concerns
among some analysts that the US space program may be on the verge of losing its preeminence
in space exploration. The foreign competition also echoes a broader worry: the possibility that
the global center of gravity in science and technology may start to shift toward Asia if the U.S.
fails to adequately support its research enterprise.
NASA became the focus of those concerns as its administrator, Michael Griffin, told Congress
last week that the agency needed to make difficult cuts in basic research and technology
development. Some lawmakers worried about the agency's ability to attract the best and brightest
and help draw more young people to science and technology.
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Many experts worry about what might happen if those young
people do something else. While the U.S. remains the world's
R&D giant, "the Chinese are definitely moving faster than we
are" in key areas, says James Lewis, director of the Technology
and Public Policy Program at the Center for Strategic and
International Studies in Washington. He cites information
technology, aerospace, and biotechnology as examples.
"The rates of change in these areas favor China," he continues.
"Whether it's enough to catch up remains to be seen."
With a gross domestic output of $7.3 trillion, second only to the
United States in economic terms, China is projected to move into
second place in the global R&D sweepstakes this year, overtaking Japan, according to
projections from Battelle Memorial Institute in Columbus, Ohio, and R&D magazine. On a
continental scale, Asia is projected to overtake the Americas this year in total R&D spending and
pull well ahead next year.
To a large degree, these changes are normal adjustments as economies devastated by World War
II recovered and the communist economies gave way to more market-based approaches, analysts
say.
Such a move has its benefits, says Kei Koizumi, director of the R&D budget and policy program
at the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Washington. "It opens the door
for expanded collaborations that didn't exist a decade ago."
Check out how NASA plans
to use elements of the
Apollo and shuttle programs
for the next moon mission.
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Yet the question of who leads remains critical, many say.
"Certainly, a lot of the concern stems from self-interest," Mr. Lewis says. "But it also has to do
with who sets the rules of international behavior. People from other countries train in the U.S.
and take that exposure to innovation and democratic values back with them. I don't know who
we'd feel comfortable handing that off to."
Last month in a major report from The National Academies, panel members expressed concern
over what they saw as the erosion of America's R&D effort at a time when other countries are
ramping up their R&D efforts. The panel recommended a set of remedies — from improving
elementary and secondary science education to offering tax incentives for U.S. innovation and
raising federal spending for R&D. Estimated cost: $9 billion to $20 billion a year.
Yet the competition for federal dollars is fierce, given the war in Iraq, the ballooning federal
deficit, and the rising cost of federal entitlement programs. "We can see the path we would like
to take," Mr. Koizumi says. "But getting there is not easy."
The challenges NASA faces, he continues, are a case in point. Many of the agency's troubles are
self-inflicted, he acknowledges. Still, he adds, the agency can be viewed as a microcosm for the
forces buffeting the U.S. R&D enterprise as a whole.
Budget strictures are forcing the agency to make hard choices. "NASA cannot afford everything
on its plate today," Dr. Griffin told lawmakers last week. At issue: How the agency will make up
what NASA estimates is a $3 billion to $5 billion shortfall in the space-shuttle program, even as
it tries to accelerate development of the shuttle's replacement — the crew exploration vehicle
(CEV) and the rockets to launch it.
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Before the agency presented its plan for returning humans to the moon earlier this fall, NASA
"cast its net very widely on research and technology development," he said. "Now we should be
oriented toward projects we're actually doing. This requires canceling things that don't need to be
done or don't need to be done right now."
The moves, which include layoffs at the agency, could mean fewer young people would sign on
to the space program.
Yet the adjustments are necessary, Griffin argued, if the U.S. is to avoid a period when it has no
homegrown means of putting astronauts in space. Failing to accelerate the program beyond the
pace President Bush initially envisioned "would take the U.S. out of manned spaceflight for four
years, when other nations are rising in ascendancy," Griffin said.
"We're seeing the dawning renaissance of NASA," said Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (R) of New
York and chairman of the committee. "But a renaissance costs money. And I don't see any
Medicis waiting in the wings to underwrite NASA."
Noting NASA's proclivity to over-promise on its projects and timetables, he said, "I don't want to
see us go down that road again."
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Where All the Money Is:
The US Defense is the largest in the world well over everyone else put together.
This shows how the US Strength is the most Ultimate on Earth, but we will lo
ose some with new downsizing. NASA & the NSF should have more contribution than what has
been shelled out to them and with the upcoming changes predicted in the future, we should not
lose our Superpower.
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Figure 41. Over Cost F35 Comparison
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Boeing’s Future Forecast
Boeing expects an increasing trend to continue over the next 20 years, with world passenger
traffic growing 5 percent annually. Air cargo traffic has been moderating after a high period in
2010. Air cargo contracted by 2.4 percent in 2011. Expansion of emerging-market economies
will, however, foster a growing need for fast, efficient transport of goods. We estimate that air
cargo will grow 5.2 percent annually through 2031.
The shape of the market
We forecast a long-term demand for 34,000 new airplanes, valued at $4.5 trillion. These new
airplanes will replace older, less efficient airplanes, benefiting airlines and passengers and
stimulating growth in emerging markets and innovation in airline business models.
Approximately 23,240 airplanes (68 percent of new deliveries) will be single-aisle airplanes,
reflecting growth in emerging markets, such as China, and the continued expansion of low-cost
carriers throughout the world. The twin-aisle segment will also increase, from a 19 percent share
of today's fleet to a 23 percent share in 2031. The 7,950 new twin-aisle airplanes will allow
airlines to continue expansion into more international markets.
The Boeing US Commercial Aerospace Industry and Defense 2012-2031
http://www.boeing.com/boeing/commercial/cmo/
Airbus Future Forecast
Many countries are becoming growing competition to US Aerospace Industry and European
Consortium has better manufacturing more automated techniques with the exception in
composite on the 787 and Airbus is copying with their A350.
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Airbus’ Global Market Forecast for 2012-2031 offers a forward-looking view of the air transport
sector’s evolution – taking into account such drivers and factors as population growth,
urbanization, emerging markets, innovation and environmental impact.
During this period, Airbus foresees the need for some 27,300 passenger airliners with seating
capacities of 100 seats and above, along with nearly 900 new factory-built freighter aircraft. The
Global Market Forecast also anticipates a more than doubling of the world’s overall passenger
aircraft inventory, from 15,500 today to more than 32,500 by 2031.
The Airbus Market Forecast from 2012-2031
http://www.airbus.com/company/market/forecast/
Asia’s Future Forecast
Asia & China’s Future Forecast well they don’t publish one yet but in 1994 while I was in South
Korea consulting ultimately to Samsung Aerospace through Martin Marietta which became
Lockheed Martin at that time.
Forecast Considerations:
Additional considerations to eh Asia & China’s Future Forecast well they don’t publish
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Chapter 6
Our Future Focus and Plans
The Worlds future was at the hands of America when Japan stood on the deck of the Missouri
and signed their surrender to US at the end of World War 2. At that moment in time the world
was the USA’s apple to take because we had the Atomic bomb and nobody else did. The US had
already beaten Germany and Russia was nothing of a threat nor a mighty power in comparison.
From that point forward America has directly rebuilt, industrialized and modernized those
countries which have been devastated by war much to the effect to compete against US. This
One Nation under God, indivisible with Liberty and Justice for All with endowed Rights by our
Creator did not push World Domination because it is not American to do so.
Now, America’s Future depends mostly on all of us citizens to stand up for it’s importance
politically, then win economically. The secret of the value is known worldwide for boosting
society’s standards of living and economic prosperity. China has been trying hard to build up
their own industry and India will help them along with building up their own. The difference
with India is they have so much unbalanced wealth; corruption and their Government and
business will not invest in the infrastructures to make them capable
The future focus will belong to those who can dream, design and build the ultimate way to
transport people and goods the fastest, cheapest and safest ways possible. On land ultra high
speed rail from coast to coast, seems to be a no brainer although Amtrak (traveling at 70MPH)
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cannot stay alive without government aid. Personal aerocraft or the flying car should be our goal
because 3 dimensional travel allowing one to avoid streets with traffic, pollution, potholes
(infrastructure) and personal limits speed and your desire to live near work or school. This is the
next phase for us, just like the automobile brought us out of the train & buggy age in the 20th
century.
At an AIAA conference in Los Angeles early 1990’s a NASA Director had spoke of us getting
into our own flying vehicle, telling it or punching in our destination and it would take you there
safety with Global Positioning System (not known at the time) and the National Advanced Air
Traffic Control System by the year 2012.
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Where’s our Flying Car?
We have all seen articles in Popular Science or movies that have flying cars, well where are
they? Maybe the insurance Companies which almost killed the private Aircraft Companies like,
Moonie, Bonanza, Piper, Cessna and others back in the 1970’s. At an AIAA Conference in Los
Angeles in 1990 was NASA official talking about the year 2012 a day when you get into your
flying craft/car, tell it where you want to go or punch in the destination and we would get you
there. This was to performed using a new Global Positioning Satellite (GPS) system and an
Advanced automated Air Traffic Management (ATM) System for Air Traffic Control and safety.
Thanks to handing the GPS over to the USAF for a successful delivery and what we take for
granted today. Not so lucky with the Air Traffic Management system, which some events have
made headline news. In 2011 Air Traffic Controllers were sleeping on the job and a dangerously
close condition with the first Lady Michelle Obama.
The most important part of flying cars isn’t only the car themselves but, the safety of a crowded
skyway and when a craft fails it cannot pull over to a cloud and wait for AAA to come and help.
If a aircraft fails in the sky it must land on something somewhere and you don’t want it to be
your house or head. This means safety in design and reliability must be incorporated. I happen
to have a thrust vectoring design for this originally proposed to the US Army back in 1990, now
it has many technical improvements put into it. The propulsion would use super conductive
electro-magnetic for thrust and lift.
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Figure 42. SVC’s Vertical Take-off & Landing Aerocraft
There have been many attempts at the flying car since 1917 Curtiss Aircraft made an Autoplane
which was a modified production automobile with wings mounted to the roof but never really
seen true flight just a few hops and skips. In 1929 a German Engineer J.H. Maykemper made a
convertible flying car with folding wings. His car would transfer power from the forward wheels
to a front mounted propeller and was capable at takeoff within 100 yards.
Fortunately I’ve already worked on or engineered or managed the entire development of Electric
Vehicles, so research and capability runs deep into been there, done that.
The Super Sonic Cruiser
Anyone who has flown overseas, understands the lengthy painful experience even in first or
business class and coach, you must be of a small stature to even handle it. Why is it we still fly
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Sub Sonic because it is easier to make micro adaptations than go for the gusto of the new way to
do things. France tried it with the Concord to find it barely broke even. Back in Feb. 26, 2002
Boeing showcased the Sonic Cruiser in Singapore and was proceeding in the preliminary design
and investigation for a Super Sonic blended wing body Aircraft called the Sonic Cruiser.
Figure 43. Boeing Sonic Cruise vs. Better
The airplane has a dramatic new configuration and is designed to fly as fast as Mach 0.98,
shortening travel times with fuel consumption per passenger comparable to today's best
performing widebody twinjets. The program remains targeted for 2008 entry into service.
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Figure 44. Boeing Sonic Cruiser
Hypersonic - The Orient Express
In the late 1980’s and early 1990’s McDonnell Douglas, Rocketdyne, Pratt and Whitney were
investigating and building some techniques for going Hypersonic or flying from Los Angeles to
Tokyo in 2 Hours.
The National Aerospace Space Plane: We made a fuselage section in 1988 for the NASP at
McDonnell Douglas CA. back in 1988-89 creating very high tech material processes. We laser
and plasma sintered powdered called “Rapid Solidification Rate” (RSR) process and matrixed
metals (titanium-aluminide, with reinforced silicon-carbide fibers) then rolled sheets and
superplastic formed (SPF) and diffusion bonded (DB) to create shape and Hot Isostatic
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Processed (Hipped) for molecular stabilization and heat treating. The superplastic formed multi-
sheet assembly created a center core for semi cryogenic hydrogen slurry to flow thru both
carrying the fuel and cooling the hypersonic aircraft to 20 time the speed of sound at mach20 and
over 1,800 degrees Fahrenheit.
Figure 45. Hypersonic Aircraft
The X-51 WaveRider team is focused on developing a free-flying vehicle that will fly longer
hypersonically than all of it predecessors combined. Hypersonic speeds are those in excess of
Mach 5 (five times the speed of sound).
The X-51 program is a consortium between Boeing and Pratt & Whitney Rocketdyne. The
customers are the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory and the Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency, with support from NASA.
The Boeing X-51 team purposely developed the vehicle to package a specific engine type into a
soon-to-be-demonstrated platform. When this jet-fueled, air breathing hypersonic vehicle flies in
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late 2009 and early 2010, it will demonstrate a reliable system capable of operating continuously
on jet fuel and accelerating through multiple Mach numbers
Space Tourism
Today you can buy tickets to travel into space around $200,000 per seat on the Virgin’s Galactic.
This is very Low Earth Orbit to fly around in free space for less than an hour, never having to go
outside of Space where –re-entry is dangerous and not found in SirVigin ….
Space Based Solar Power-Energy
Why Space Energy: Us Humans have found the way to convert solar radiation to electrical
energy, at this moment still DC creation. In space you have un interrupted energy and less the
diffusion of clouds. The ultimate clean energy known to man is the Space Based Solar Power
Stations thought of back in the 1968 by NASA. When I was working at General Dynamics
Space Systems in San Diego in 1990, I remember the proposal department was always working
on and submitting this Space Based Solar Power system to our Government they even included it
in our Annual Christmas book with all the other space technologies being proposed.
(unfortunately NASA-“at times Great” now being a puppet of politics (i.e, Praising Muslims
working on US Projects, what about the Jews, Buddhists, Hindu, Christians? Could this add to
the demise of America the Great Land of Freedom, when a choice looks or prejudice flavor is to
be allowed in America?
http://www.thefutureschannel.com/dockets/realworld/space_based_solar_power/
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In Christmas 2009 I had a Jobs Forum and Christmas party from friends from Vought Aircraft
of LTV (now Triumph), Northrop Aircraft of El Segundo and my personal friends from Boeing.
In this Jobs Forum lead by Valerie Jarrett I mentioned this as a great way to achieve energy
independence. The Energy I know we can do is over 1 Terawatt per year per space system that
equals 114.5 Kw per hour.
Figure 46. SBSP Concepts
The concepts shown are not the high powered techniques proposed to the DoD but are valuable
to understand easy accomplishable goals. We (humans) have sent microwaves down to Earth at
levels to do this and Europe has sent it via Laser Beam, Japan mainly Mitsubishi has dedicated
Billions for this to be Japans source by or before 2040. Unfortunately our White House was
looking through Oil Tainted/Tinted glasses. This would be a reason self resourcefulness which
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would eliminate most suppliers to household energy systems. For Mankind: If you provide the
Material, Energy and Production Capability to any Nation they can create industry to have
“Developmental Self Support and Civilization Improvement”.
I would like to quote a Letter sent to the President Obama from an Organization dedicated to
this:
As developing countries continue to grow and embank on major electrification efforts, energy
shortages will become one of the most serious challenges facing governments this century. China
and India alone will need to raise energy generating capacity by a staggering 4 to 5 times over
the next 20 years in order to meet demand – an equivalent of bringing on-line two large coal-
fired power stations per week, every week.
“The risk of energy shortages could mean more than high prices. In the 20th century, many wars
were motivated in part by the need to secure future energy supplies - and, according to the U.S.
Pentagon, the risk of such conflict remains high in the 21st century. (See the paper "War Without
Oil.")
Safe, reliable, renewable, base-load power that is affordable and widely available has long been
the ‘holy grail’ of researchers and scientists in the energy industry. Aside from averting conflict
associated with resource wars, abundant clean energy has the potential to truly improve life
around the world in many ways. Rural electrification can offer one of the fastest ways out of
poverty for developing areas. It can ensure that food and medicines are preserved and made
available where they are needed the most. It can provide power for water purification and
desalination and light so that children can study and develop their potential.
This is why Space Energy is committed to harnessing existing and new methods for clean energy
generation and transmission, such as from ground-based solar power and space-based solar
power.
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Space Energy seeks to improve the lives of millions of people, provide viable alternatives to
polluting energy sources and help abate some of the challenges caused by increasing demand for
energy and declining natural resources.
It intends to become the leading commercial enterprise in the field of renewable energy by
harnessing the benefits of traditional and new methods for clean, safe, reliable, power generation
and transmission. This includes developing owning and operating ground based solar parks in the
United States and internationally through the mobilization of existing and proprietary
technologies.
Moreover it intends to be the world’s first private enterprise to successfully commercialize
Space-Based Solar Power (SBSP) – a proven technology, now made commercially viable by
changed market conditions and further advancements. SBSP uses arrays of solar panels to
harvest the abundant supply of clean solar energy in Earth’s orbit to transmit a safe,
uninterrupted supply of electricity anywhere on Earth at affordable, fair market prices.
The approach taken from the commercial white-world (unclassified) is to teach and create
actions the following is from a very knowledgeable Charles F. Radley who must have went to
school in my original home state of Michigan:
Meeting the Energy Challenge with Space Solar Power A workshop examining a new energy
path forward
Michigan Technological University, in collaboration with professionals from NASA, the Naval
Research Laboratory, and the Space Solar Power Institute, is planning a Space Solar Power
(SSP) workshop to clarify the challenges facing SSP implementation. Michigan Tech’s Electrical
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and Mechanical Engineering departments have been actively conducting SSP research. Michigan
Tech is prepared to offer a workshop in August 2013 for academics, industry professionals, and
members of professional associations related to renewable energy to focus on SSP’s challenges
and opportunities.
Motivation: Thirty seven states and many countries have initiated Renewable Portfolio Standards
(RPS) and other initiatives to adopt improved energy alternatives, such as ground-based solar,
bio-fuel, and wind. SSP satellites, however, appear to be the most attractive of these; large-scale,
baseload, low CO2 emissions, near zero fuel and water use, among other key advantages.
SSP would be large-scale solar energy collection in space and its wireless transmission to Earth
for use by the customers of existing major power grids. SSP development would take advantage
of many advanced technologies and promote further advances; including wireless power
transmission, microwave circuits, space transportation, new communication paradigms, light and
smart space-based structures, telerobotic construction and operations, photovoltaics and electric
propulsion.
The International Academy of Astronautics’ SSP study advocated for the “coordination among
various countries and between industry and government agencies.” Japan’s large SSP project and
consortium is being emulated in China, Russia and elsewhere. This workshop intends to provide
a forum for all relevant stakeholders, including energy developers and power industry
representatives.
Workshop Highlights: The workshop is planned for two days. Presentations and keynotes will be
selected from researchers, program managers, industry representatives, and academics,
interspersed with topical working group discussions. The workshop aims to compare different
SSP technologies, promoting discussion of these technologies, and to develop prize competition
concepts resulting in significant advances in SSP systems and technologies. Participants will
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discuss how the efforts of existing national and international bodies might be complemented or
enhanced. These working group discussions will be summarized and action items disseminated
at the end of workshop.
Workshop Goals:
1. Provide a forum to identify the current status of SSP, and challenges/solutions to SSP
implementation.
2. Investigate forming national/international committees for standardization and research
coordination;
3. Bridge the gap between the SSP community and growing RPS demands on the electric power
industry;
4. Identify opportunities to create and implement SSP dialog and education for electric power
companies; as well as cognizant state and federal regulatory agencies; and,
5. Develop SSP prize competition concepts for consideration by NASA, X-Prize, DARPA, etc.
Venue: Michigan Technological University, or Michigan Tech, is located in Houghton, on
Michigan’s scenic upper-peninsula. Surrounded on three sides by Lake Superior, ruggedly
beautiful Keweenaw Peninsula is rated one of the top-ten outdoor adventure spots in the country
by National Geographic Adventure Magazine. Learn more at www.mtu.edu/.
Tomorrows new Bomber
Northrop Grumman knows how and competes with Boeing and Lockheed Martin which are
working closely at all levels to capture the best of industry to develop and provide an effective
and affordable solution for the warfighter. (Maybe if our Senate and White House People
where mostly from Lockheed & Boeing States they would get the program much like the last
Decade.)
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Figure 47. Next Generation Bomber
This collaborative effort for a long-range strike program will include work in advanced
sensors and future electronic warfare solutions including advancements in network enabled
battle management, command and control, and virtual warfare simulation and
experimentation. The work performed by the Boeing/Lockheed Martin team is designed to
help the Air Force establish capability-based roadmaps for technology maturation and date
certain timelines for the 2018 Bomber program.
Would this even be needed once we have all the Space based lasers up and running, remember
in 1989 we blew up a Nuclear Missile sight in New Mexico from outer space proving
Reagan’s Star Wars program, it cost the energy of a nuclear explosion in space to do this but
we did it. If you have spin off technologies to add to our commercial sector could be gained
like our new transports always had bigger better engines, the trade off would need evaluation.
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Tomorrow’s Spy Plane
Figure 48. SR-71 Replacement
In 1976, U.S. Air Force SR-71 Blackbird crews flew from New York to London in less than
two hours, reaching speeds exceeding Mach 3 and setting world records that have held up for
nearly four decades.
But those world records may not stay unbroken for long.
That’s because today, at the birthplace of the Blackbird – Lockheed Martin’s Skunk
Works® – engineers are developing a hypersonic aircraft that will go twice the speed of the
SR-71. It’s called the SR-72.
Son of the Blackbird
The SR-71 was developed using 20th
century technology. It was envisioned with slide rules
and paper. It wasn’t managed by millions of lines of software code. And it wasn’t powered by
computer chips. All that changes with the SR-72.
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Envisioned as an unmanned aircraft, the SR-72 would fly at speeds up to Mach 6, or six times
the speed of sound. At this speed, the aircraft would be so fast, an adversary would have no
time to react or hide.
“Hypersonic aircraft, coupled with hypersonic missiles, could penetrate denied airspace and
strike at nearly any location across a continent in less than an hour,” said Brad Leland,
Lockheed Martin program manager, Hypersonics. “Speed is the next aviation advancement to
counter emerging threats in the next several decades. The technology would be a game-
changer in theater, similar to how stealth is changing the battlespace today.”
A hypersonic plane does not have to be an expensive, distant possibility. In fact, an SR-72
could be operational by 2030. For the past several years, Lockheed Martin Skunk Works® has
been working withAerojet Rocketdyne to develop a method to integrate an off-the-shelf
turbine with a supersonic combustion ramjet air breathing jet engine to power the aircraft
from standstill to Mach 6. The result is the SR-72 that Aviation Week has dubbed “son of
Blackbird,” and integrated engine and airframe that is optimized at the system level for high
performance and affordability.
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Figure 49. Hypersonic Research and Development
SR-72 is not the first hypersonic Skunk Works® aircraft. In partnership with the Defense
Advanced Research Projects Agency, engineers developed the rocket-launched Falcon
Hypersonic Technology Vehicle 2 (HTV-2). The HTV-2 research and development project
was designed to collect data on three technical challenges of hypersonic flight: aerodynamics;
aerothermal effects; and guidance, navigation and control.
The SR-72’s design incorporates lessons learned from the HTV-2, which flew to a top speed
of Mach 20, or 13,000 mph, with a surface temperature of 3500°F.
A hypersonic aircraft will be a game changer.
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Figure 50. SR-72 (November 1, 2013)
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Educating Tomorrow’s People
The next generation of students going into Engineering and Aerospace to take up the reigns of
tomorrow has been dwindling in the last couple decades. We have more Lawyers graduating
Universities than we do the creators of tomorrow.
10 Incredible Airplane Designs of the Future
by Michele Collet
NASA awarded three contracts this fall for designs of aircraft that will be flying in 2025 to
Boeing, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin. Each one has to be less noisy, more fuel
efficient and have cleaner exhaust than planes flying now.
Other specifications by NASA are that they should "fly up to 85 percent of the speed of sound;
cover a range of approximately 7,000 miles; and carry between 50,000 and 100,000 pounds of
payload, either passengers or cargo."
Here are the three concept designs as well as some from April and earlier. Not all of them will
make it beyond the design stage and some may have already been scrapped, while others could
be very close to being seen on our runways in the future.
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10. An Iconic Idea
Figure 51. 10) Icon-II Supersonic flight
Photo: NASA/The Boeing Company
The Icon-II is a design for supersonic flight over land that comes from Boeing. Apart from
fulfilling the specifications, it also reduces fuel consumption and airport noise.
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9. Green Supersonic Machine
Figure 52. 9) Green Supersonic Machine
Photo: NASA/Lockheed Martin Corporation
This concept design by Lockheed Martin is one that the company presented to NASA in April of
last year and is designed for overland supersonic flight. It showed that by using the inverted V
engine under the wing configuration, one can really lower the level of supersonic booms.
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Figure 53. 8) Blended Wing
Photo: NASA/The Boeing Company
These blended wing concept aircraft are from Boeing and one of the three that was shown to
NASA when the contract awards were granted in the fall.
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7. X-45A UCAV
Figure 54. 7) X-45A UCAV
Photo: Boeing
The UCAV air vehicle was unveiled at a special exhibition in Missouri, along with two other
elements of the UCAV system, a mission control and air vehicle storage system.
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6. Solar Eagle
Figure 55. 6) Solar Eagle
Photo: Boeing
The Solar Eagle is Boeing's entry into the Vulture program by the defense program to create an
ultra-long endurance aircraft.
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5. SUGAR
Figure 56. 5) SUGAR
Photo: NASA/The Boeing Company
SUGAR is a Boeing concept aircraft presented in April 2010 that stands for Subsonic Ultra
Green Aircraft Research. It combines gas and battery technology.
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4. Lockheed Martin, Fall
Figure 57. 4) Lockheed Martin
Photo: NASA/Lockheed Martin
Lockheed Martin's concept plane this fall doesn't look so different on the outside except for the
wing structure being all one, but it is revolutionary inside, as are all the others.
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3. Bigger is Better
Figure 58. 3) Bigger is Better
Photo: NASA/MIT/Aurora Flight Sciences
This aircraft was presented in April by MIT. Known as the Hybrid Wing Body H series, it is
designed to fly at Mach 0.83, carrying 354 passengers over 7,600 nautical miles.
2. Northrop Grumman, Fall
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Figure 59. Northrop Grumman
Photo: NASA/Northrop Grumman
This is Northrop Grumman's artist concept, which was presented in the fall of 2010.
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Figure 60. The Puffin
Photo: NASA
This amazing design is the Puffin Personal Aircraft. It is designed to go about 150 miles an hour
for about 50 miles. Needless to say, it has been one of NASA's most viral images.
But there is a limit to solar energy. And the question that leaves engineers scratching their heads
now, is how to make that leap from the light aircraft we’ve seen make a major technological
breakthrough today, to fuelling the passenger airliners of tomorrow? If an entire aircraft were to
be covered with 100 percent efficient solar panels, it would still not be enough to sufficiently
propel a large aircraft. Even greatly increasing the output of photovoltaic cells wouldn’t make an
airliner fly. In the more immediate future solar power could provide electricity on board the
aircraft once it has reached altitude. But who knows what the future will bring!
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The motto of tomorrow will be flexibility.
Figure 61. Airbus Solar Aircraft
In the future there will be so many different ways to fly. For your personal travel, not far from
home, you’d choose your own vehicle – perhaps the much-vaunted ‘flying car’. But as soon as
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you want something more economical or faster for longer distances you’d need something else
that allows for mass
transportation. So your ‘car’ of the future could be a capsule you keep in your garage, then drive
or fly to dock onto an enormous ‘mother ship’ that takes you to your final destination.
But what about ground-space? How do we avoid sprawling airports and extending runways?
Vertical take-off would be one way of gaining space in cities.
We could have flying aircraft carriers for our long distance flights, which circle the globe and on
which small aircraft can dock.
In the middle of this century, telecommunications will be so
perfect that we will have to travel far less for our work. On the other hand, it will be easy to
work… as we travel! Communication technology will be as accessible on a plane as it is in an
office. But it still won’t replace the benefits of face-to-face meetings, the sensation of holding a
new grandchild or the excitement of visiting a new country for the first time.
Telecommunications will never replace the sights and sounds of real travel. We will want to
arrive at our destination in ever shorter time frames, whatever the distance: so will anyone bring
back ‘The Supersonic Plane’? Or perhaps we’ll see the ‘Hypersonic Plane’, which would travel
above the atmosphere and reach Australia, for example, in just two to three hours. Unless we
decide to take our time and enjoy a trip with every comfort: swimming pools, spas, tennis courts
etc. The next generation of air tourism will be ‘cruise ships of the sky’ with packages to suit the
individual.
And on these flying palaces, that will make their money from casino takings, restaurants and
other attractions, the ticket may even be for free!
Travel in the future will be about choice. You will be able to choose if you want fast travel,
luxury travel or basic leisure travel. To make this choice you could be assisted by a personal
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cyber assistant that is always around you, knows what you want and what you feel and will make
the travel booking according to your personal preference.
The final frontier will be space. We are already seeing the first serious steps towards space
tourism today,
but an orbital space station could become the ultimate holiday destination. Experience the joys of
weightlessness… and the unrivalled view of our very own Earth, the planet that we have been
able to preserve in all its splendid diversity.
Boeing’s 797 Concept
Figure 62. Boeing’s 797 Concept
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Conclusion
Re-quote the introduction
100 years evolution
Little innovation in 30 years, except material & powerplant
GDP Importance
Society Std of Livings
Need for Far sighted improvements and growth for New Markets & niches (flying cars,
space tourism)
In the past 100 years we have come along way, from the birth of powered flight to supersonic
flight without an afterburner. Over the last 30 years the commercial side of flight has made
very little advancement from the barrel with swept wings developed 60 years ago. The
materials may have improved for strength to weight improvements and most improvement
have been in the Jet propulsion made the greatest improvements in efficiencies, many thanks
to the ultra high bypass system. Many of these achievements could not exist without the
fostering of technology evolution by Defense Systems.
We currently are in program development and GDP market share of less than ½ due to
competition. In the future there will be so many different ways to fly. For your personal
travel, not far
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Biogtraphy:
SHAWN PAUL BOIKE
Long Beach, CA. 90803 562-343-5660 / 562-338-9911 [email protected],
[email protected], www.linkedin/in/shawnpaulboike
Shawn Boike has lead teams for; McDonnel1 Douglas, the USAF IMIP Program, HCL
Aerospace, PPG Aerospace, Honeywell, Boeing, AAR, Northrop Grumman and
consulted to Lockheed Martin.
He has over 28 years experience in Aerospace & Product Development, (16 Aircraft) on
the B2 Bomber, USAF One, F20, F18, C17, MD11, T45, MD90, MRUAV, 777. 787,
747-8, Apache helicopter, 3 Rocket ships; ALS, Atlas II, Atlas IIAS, Manager on EV's;
GM-EV1, Samsungs EV4, Mina's REVA and many other high tech programs.
Founder of: American Industrial Consultants & Solution Vehicles Co. and gained a
o Projects Manager-Leader/: Development, Eng. Design & Build Aerospace-
Aircraft/Land Vehicles (Military & Civil) Proven w/26+ years Experience in
Product Development Specialist Design and Manufacturing for: 16 Aircraft, 2
Rocket Ships, 1 amphibious plus 9+ Land Vehicles & many Automobile
Platforms. In concurrent engineering environment, in producing: “Lean, Value
Added” proposals, concepts, R & D, specification, documentation,
certifications, designs & plans that are structurally sound & w/optimal material
selection & development (composites, ceramics, superconductive & metals).
Working knowledge on various Program’s CAD systems (UG, Catia, ProE &
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Solidworks - see below) along with FAA Airworthiness, regs., certification &
approval, doing FEA, FMEA, CFD, DOE’s & 6 Sigma. DOD experience,
Survivability, Armor, C4ISR & Structures Expert (EVMS, DOORS, docs.
software, Windchill, ACE, DPA, Fly-thru, Epic, IVT, Systems Trades, Project;
IMS & IMP’s, ISO 9,000’s, 14,000’s, ITARS, EME, EMI, RF, Sensors and
DARS & FARS). Many Years of experience in managing teams ($XXXM/yr)
since 1988, USAF PM Cert in IMIP. CAREER EXPERIENCE: Honeywell
Turbo Technologies Torrance CA. 90504 (July 2011 to Dec 2011) Specialist-
Products Eng. (Consultant, Worked in teams on the development and
continuous Improvement of Turbochargers at ultra high speed and high
Temps and harsh environments (170KRPM, +820C). SOLUTION VEHICLE
CO. Long Beach CA. 90803 (Jan 2010 to July 2011) Programs Mgr.:
Invented, proposed (US Army, DARPA, USAF) & Built Team for a new
advanced UAVs. These future flying VTOL’s are composite vehicles, High
Strength Metals frame & landing gear with high tech modern turbojet
propulsion & EM Propulsion (Solidworks). HCL America 11000 Regency
Parkway, Raleigh, NC. (Oct 2010 to Jan 2011) Vice President/Delivery
Manager: Managed a Team of 60 People; Boeing, Bell Helicopter Program
cut short due/ended to poor Planning, Sales & Forecasts by India owned
subsidiary. Triumph AIRCRAFT IND. (was Vought, Northrop Aircraft) 3801
Jack Northrop Ave, Hawthorne, CA 90250 (Mar. 2008 to Jan 2010) Lead
Project Engineer (Contract) Worked in Integration Product Teams (IPT’s) for
developing and production of 747-8F & 8I structural Panels & Door system
assemblies and sub-assemblies (over 220 new part and tools for them) for a
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new large commercial A/C also responsible for floor to wing box mating
design teams along with test and FAA certification & approval. AAR CORP.
(Mar. 2007 to Mar 2008) Aircraft Specialist (Consultant) Worked in Teams for
developing and designed floor system assemblies and sub-assemblies for a
new military Airbus A400M also responsible for floor structural cargo & air
delivery system, Airworthiness Certification & military specs & certification
(Catia V5, FEA, and LEAN BPS & MRB). GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP.
Woodbridge, VA. 22191 (April 2007 to Nov. 2007) *SR Hydrodynamic Design
Engineer (Contract) Worked in IPT; On the Marine Expeditionary Fighting
Vehicle (EFV) Structures & Mechanical Systems Engineering, Performed
Designed product and tools including creating manufacturing plans on,
Structures & Hydrodynamic ProE & Wildfire (electrical, mechanical and
hydraulic) systems. BOEING COMM. AIRCRAFT CORP. (Oct. 2006 to Mar
2007) P.O. Box 3707, Seattle, WA. 98124 Lead Project Engineer Structures
(Contract) Worked & Lead engineers in Vehicle Integration Teams (VIT’s) for
developing and designed structural floor system assemblies and sub-
assemblies for a new large commercial A/C also responsible for floor to wing
box mating design team along with test and FAA certification & approval.
Certified “Lean 6 Sigma” Green Belt Design & Assembly (Catia V4, FEA,
LEAN BPS & MRB). Aero Union & BoiCo Engineering Inc. (Feb 2006 to Aug
2006) Vice President of Engineering: worked and Lead; Engineering Program
Management with father’s Corporation (15Million/yr & 150 Engineers) and
responsible for hiring, building, aligning teams & designs, supplier base, tasks
and objective for GM future programs (Aero Union was a Solidworks ME job).
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GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP. (Nov. 2003 & Feb 2006) Leader - Project
Engineer (Armor & Structures) Sterling Hgts., MI: worked in IPT’s and Lead;
Aerospace-Military Systems Engineering work directives tasks &
requirements + validation, Modeling & Simulation, Performed Formal &
informal Trade Studies, Design Decision Memos (DDM’s) for the Future
Combat System (FCS) various Land 20 ton Vehicles which will improve
survivability 5 times more than the current force. Involved on common and all
9 variant vehicles for, Survivability C4ISR TEMPEST, Armor & Structures,
Adv. Composites, Ceramics (kits) & EME+EMI IPTs. TRIOMATIC SYSTEMS
Inc. (Nov. 2001 to Nov. 2003) Program Manager: Sterling, MI. Worked with
various Teams to Create project Outlines, form supplier bases and helped
lead projects, studies and proposals for OEM’s & proposals to US Gov’t FAA
and Boeing (classified, more details in person). Johnson Controls Inc (JCI, R
& D Tech Ctr). (Jul, 2001 to Oct. 2001) Program Manager: (Consultant)
Holland, Mi. 49423: Worked with R & D Product Team + Mgt. helped lead
studies to compile, concepts and development plans of adv. vehicle systems.
To aid in the “agility” of product to changeover, along with lowered costs to
the OEM, (Projects scheduled for 2008 Launch was down-sized due to
economy). FORD Motor Company (Aug. 2000 to Mar. 2001) Product
Engineer Lead :( Contract) Plant Vehicle Team (PVT) DAP, Dearborn, Mi.
48121 Worked in team Mustang and w/suppliers in the Plans, Tests +
Evaluation, improvement and support for: engineering design and process
along with PDGS, C3P, DVP&R on the Mustang's glass, body “class A”
surface work, inr/otr. Door (skin & surfaces) also mechanisms. Supported and
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involved in many 6 sigma projects including: vibration NVH & windnoise with
improved “Lean 6 Sigma” Green Belt assembly (including SPC, FMEA, DFM,
and DFMEA). GENERAL MOTORS TECH. CENTER (Aug. 1999 to Aug
2000) 12 Mile & Mound, Warren, Mi. 48090 Project Manager: (Consultant)
Vehicle Systems Worked in teams on (Unigraphics) the standards for future
BIW commonization, process driven product design while still allowing styling
freedom with class “ A” & “B” surfacing. Specializing in structures & closures
for all; external & internal Body Frame Integral (BFI) & Body on Frame (BOF)
Vehicles (cars & trucks). In 1996 Contract Specialist to: EDS-Unigraphics for
GM Portfolio +, worked over 3 months in EDS-UG Cypress Cal. For the
Parametric Process Definition called WAVE. Created the plans defining Rules
& guidelines used in Parametric's Definition Created the Parametric Definition
required in designing vehicles (Aircraft). TRIOMATIC SYSTEMS Inc. (Direct)
(Feb. 1997 to Aug.1999) 43600 Utica Rd., Sterling Heights, Mi. 48314
Program(s) Manager (Eng. Design, Feb. & Suppliers) Created, designed,
Managed, Engineering teams. Also testing & marketed Patented “Flexible
Manufacturing & Tooling System for Aircraft Assembly & Auto Body
Systems”, (for Boeing, Lear, GM, & Ford). AMERIGON CORP. (Direct) (Jan.
1995 to Feb. 1997) 404 E. Huntington Dr., Monrovia, Ca. 91016 Program
Manager: (EV Asian Vehicle) Managed teams in the full development of
aluminum /composite (RTM, RIM) 100% Electric Vehicle from a clay to 50 car
production for a large Asian Corp. Built teams & supplier network to
accomplish complete homogenized vehicle. NORTHROP/GRUMMUN
AIRCRAFT CORP. (Aug. 1993 to May 1994) 1 Northrop Ave, Hawthorne, Ca.
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90250 Lead - Engineer (Consultant on F-18 E/F) Worked in IPT’s in creating
designs, plans, processes, Tests + Evaluation and documentation for
NAVAIR & FAA Certification advanced center fuselage & landing gear
assemblies for the F-18 E/F. Worked with lots of composites, RAM, EMI &
EME + Ti. SATURN CORP. (GM) (Feb. 1993 to Aug. 1993) 434 W. 12th St.,
Madison Hgts, Mi. 48007 Lead –Engineer Worked in design & development
teams to create the modern Saturn sedan SL & wagon. Specialized in BIW &
structures, design & manufacturing using tools and techniques to optimized
DFM DFMA w/SPC. BOEING AIRCRAFT CORP was McDonnell Douglas
(Nov. 1991 to Feb. 1993) NEW AIRPLANE GROUP (777) P.O.Box 3707,
Seattle, WA. 98124 Engineer Lead (Contract 777) Worked in Integrated
Product Teams (IPT’s) for developing and designed wing assembly and sub-
assemblies for the777 also responsible for leading LE & TE design team
along with lab testing on 787 Ti. Tail. *On own time & w/Boeing's Tech. Core
Team's; proposed, created, lead process and plans to develop Laser Welding
aircraft's primary structures. Teledyne RYAN Aeronautics San Diego, Ca.
92101 / Producibility Eng. (Contract on MRUAV-Secret Clearance-NAVAIR)
Worked with Product & Manufacturing Engineering in the Producibility plans
for the Medium Range Unmanned Air Vehicle, a DOD Joint Office & Nuclear
Hardening on the Apache Helicopter with gold scrim clothe... Assisted in
creating the Willoughby templates and the Make or Buy Plans this was a
classified UAV program (I had represented the Manufacturing organization).
*Program Delayed due to Desert Storm-War. GENERAL DYNAMICS SPACE
SYSTEMS P.O.Box 85900, San Diego, Ca. 92138 Product/Project
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Leader/Engineer (Contract on ALS, & Atlas IIAS) Worked in team in designing
also creating the plans for creating Atlas IIAS, lead process plans and work
orders for Engineering teams which was to be required producing Atlas II &
IIAS. BOEING/MCDONNELL DOUGLAS AIRCRAFT CO. (DIRECT
MGT)(APRIL 1987 TO. 1989) 3855 Lakewood Blvd. Long Beach, Ca. 90846
Projects Manager/Leader Salaried Mgt. Created designs for the C-17, MD-11
center fuselage with door cargo floor and ramp areas. Then promoted to IMIP
Project Leadership which Proposed and lead projects for the USAF & MDC
Corporate office in implementing many different modern technologies from
IRAD & CRAD programs to reduce production costs w/added quality
improvements. (7-240 Million). Brought in New processes Ultra High Speed
Machine, HIP & SPF Systems NORTHROP AIRCRAFT CORP. (Direct)
(Sept. 1985 to April 1987) 1 Northrop Ave, Hawthorn, Ca. 90250 SR. DESIGN
ENGINEER (FIRST AIRCRAFT JOB) Designed Assembly tools & kits on
CADAM (2D) and NCAD (3D) for the B-2 center fuselage and bomb racks &
doors, F-20 F-18 C/D & the 747 Air Force One fuselage and mating door
assembly with ramps and cargo doors required. BoiCo Engineering Corp. (
1978 to Sept. 1985) 43600 Utica Rd., Sterling Hgts. Mi. 48078 Mechanical
Design Engineer (Robotic Systems) Designed automated assy, machine tools
& Ultra High Speed Machines for Auto Ind. Worked on Pontiac Fiero & GM.
EDUCATION: San Diego State University Michigan State University * MBA-
Business Mgt. *BSME * Minor: Business Law *Minor: CAD Adlai Stevenson
High School Adv. Tech. Train. (UTCE) M: Power Mechanics Welding Tech:
Certified TECHNICAL TRAINING & SKILLS (certified): Projects & Program
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Management CAD/CAM Systems USAF - Wright & Patterson OFC. – 1987-
88 *Unigraphics V16 (3D) 4,000 hrs *Proposal Management-Certified *CATIA
V4 & V5 (3D) 9,000 hrs *Proposal Writing-Certified *Solidworks: (3D) Current
(SHIPLEY AND ASSOCIATES) *NCAD (3D) 1,500 HRS *Pro-E & Wildfire:
(3D) Current Project Management: DOD & Civil exp. *PDGS, ICEM (ARMY,
USAF, NAVAIR) *CADAM. 3,000 hrs Team Formation & Training Skills
INCOSE, ASME, FOSE, Adv. Aerospace Composites Committee SAE
Member & Speaker #6101117029 ASM: Member #157928 ISO certified:
9000s, 14000, 18000, TQ Mgt. (JIT, CE, SPC) SAMPE: Speaker 3 times &
participant Air Force Assoc.: Member AIAA: Member #300701729 Pvt.
Airplane Pilot Project Management S’ware, 18+ year’s exp. (MS Project,
Timeline, and IMS/IMP) Data Management Systems (PDM), IMAN &
Chryslers (CDM) & VPM. Inventor: 3 US Parents & 2 Patent Pending + 2
Proprietary Processes Accomplishments: Contract Specialist to: EDS-
Unigraphics for GM Portfolio +, Worked over 3 months in EDS-UG Cypress
Cal. For the new Product for Parametric Process Definition called WAVE in
conjunction w/IMAN. Created the plans defining Rules & guidelines used in
Parametric's Definition, Created the Parametric Definition required in
designing vehicles. Electric Vehicle Specialist to SAMPE, NAVY-CTC, EPA,
CARB & Edison Electric Company, Wrote a detailed manufacturing study of
producing EV's three different ways, confirming cost trade-off & breakaway
cost differences at many different Scale of Economy. This included full parts
lists and tooling costs (proven costs). Key Speaker: for The Society for the
Advancement of Material & Process Engineering (SAE & SAMPE,) (4) time
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key speaker for their International Congress, Annual, Orange County Chapter
and for Composite Tech Center (Navy Composite Center). Presented
information and technical details on the Utilizing of Advanced Composites in
Automobile and Aerospace Industry including detailed discussion for uses of
types of composites (strength to weight plus economies of scale) for up &
coming future vehicles. Consultant to: Samsung Aerospace worked approx.
3months in so. Korea as an aircraft new product development specialist for
creating the master plan for a 100 passenger commercial jet Consultant to:
General Motors Tech Center for the concepts and master planning for "Vision
2000" which is the ultimate flexible manufacturing assembly system to
produce "all future GM" cars on one common assembly line with intelligent
automated tooling and improved modular space frame design. Listed (18
years) Marquise: International Version Who's Who in Engineering Officially
nominated to: California State advisor to US Senate Advisor then, Maj.
Leader Trent Lot Assisted NASA Headquarters; (Chaz Willitz; Director of
Eng/Tech. @ Wash. DC) with new Large Scale
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Additional:
The History of the Aerospace Industry
Posted Mon, 2010-02-01 18:21 by Anonymous
Glenn E. Bugos, The Prologue Group
The aerospace industry ranks among the world's largest manufacturing industries in terms of
people employed and value of output. Yet even beyond its shear size, the aerospace industry was
one of the defining industries of the twentieth century. As a socio-political phenomenon,
aerospace has inflamed the imaginations of youth around the world, inspired new schools of
industrial design, decisively bolstered both the self-image and power of the nation state, and
shrunk the effective size of the globe. As an economic phenomenon, aerospace has consumed the
major amount of research and development funds across many fields, subsidized innovation in a
vast array of component technologies, evoked new forms of production, spurred construction of
enormous manufacturing complexes, inspired technology-sensitive managerial techniques,
supported dependent regional economies, and justified the deeper incursion of national
governments into their economies. No other industry has so persistently and intimately interacted
with the bureaucratic apparatus of the nation state.
Aerospace technology permeates many other industries -- travel and tourism, logistics,
telecommunications, electronics and computing, advanced materials, civil construction, capital
goods manufacture, and defense supply. Here, the aerospace industry is defined by those firms
that design and build vehicles that fly through our atmosphere and outer space.
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The First Half-Century
Aircraft remained experimental apparatus for five years after the Wright brother's famous first
flight in December 1903. In 1908 the Wrights secured a contract to make a single aircraft from
the U.S. Army, and also licensed their patents to allow the Astra Company to manufacture
aircraft in France. Glenn Curtiss of New York began selling his own aircraft in 1909, prompting
many American aircraft hobbyists to turn entrepreneurial.
Europeans took a clear early lead in aircraft manufacture. By the outbreak of the Great War in
August 1914, French firms had built more than 2,000 aircraft, German firms had built about
1,000, and Britain slightly fewer. American firms had built less than a hundred, most of these
one of a kind. Even then aircraft embodied diverse materials at close tolerances, and those who
mismanaged the American wartime manufacturing effort failed to realize the need for special
facilities and trained workers. American warplanes ultimately arrived too late to have much
military impact or to impart much momentum to an industry. When contracts were cancelled
with the armistice the industry collapsed, leading to the reconfiguration of every significant
aircraft firm. By contrast, seven firms built more than 22,500 of the 400-horsepower Liberty
engines, and their efforts laid the foundation for an efficient and well-concentrated aircraft
engine industry -- led by Wright Aeronautical Company and Curtiss Aeroplane and Motor.
Still, the war induced some infrastructure that moved the industry beyond its fragmented roots.
National governments funded testing laboratories -- like the National Advisory Committee for
Aeronautics established in May 1915 in the United States -- that also disseminated scientific
information of explicit use to industry. Universities began to offer engineering degrees specific
to aircraft. American aircraft designers formed a patent pool in July 1917 -- administered by the
Aircraft Manufacturers Association -- whereby all aircraft firms cross-licensed key patents and
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paid into the pool without fear of infringement suits. The post-war glut of light aircraft, like the
Curtiss Jenny trainers in America, allowed anyone who dreamed of flying to become a pilot.
Most of the companies that survived the war remained entrepreneurial in spirit, led by designers
more interested in advancing the state of the art than in mass production. During the 1920s,
aircraft assumed their modern shape. Monoplanes superceded biplanes, stressed-skin
cantilevered wings replaced externally braced wings, radial air-cooled engines turned variable
pitch propellers, and enclosed fuselages and cowlings gave aircraft their sleek aerodynamic
shape. By the mid-1930s, metal replaced wood as the material of choice in aircraft construction
so new types of component suppliers fed the aircraft manufacturers.
Likewise, the customers of aircraft grew more sophisticated in matching designs to their needs.
Militaries formed air arms specifically to exploit this new technology, which became dedicated
procurers of aircrafts. Air transport companies began flying passengers in the 1920s, though all
those airlines were kept afloat by government airmail contracts. European nations developed
airmail routes around their colonies -- served by flag-carriers like the British Overseas Airways
Corporation, Lufthansa, and Aeropostale. Pan Am's routes to Asia and Latin America, linked by
flying boats built by Sikorsky, Douglas and Lockheed, was the equivalent in the American
empire.
The United States was the only country with a large indigenous airmail system, and it drove the
structure of the industry during the 1920s. The Kelly Air Mail Act of 1925 gave airmail business
to hundreds of small pilot-owned firms that hopped from airport and airport. Gradually, these
operations were consolidated into larger airlines. In 1928 -- in a mix of stock market euphoria
and aviation enthusiasm following Charles Lindbergh's transatlantic flight -- Wall Street
financiers formed holding companies that integrated airlines with the manufacture of aircraft and
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engines. United Aircraft and Transport, for example, combined United Airlines with Boeing,
North American Aviation, and the Aviation Corporation. These holding companies struggled for
profitability following the stock market crash of 1929, and were ultimately undone in 1934
through legislation that split manufacturers and airlines -- a separation that continued thereafter.
The United States was also the only country large enough for air travel to challenge rail travel,
and in the 1930s airlines competed for passengers by forging alliances with aircraft
manufacturers. The Boeing 247 airliner, based on its B-9 bomber design, marked the start of
American dominance in transport aircraft. The Douglas DC-3, introduced in 1935, gave airlines
their first shot at solvency by carrying people rather than mail. Many advances in aircraft design
during the 1930s addressed the comfort, efficiency and safety of air travel -- cabin pressurization,
retractable landing gear, better instrumentation and better navigational devices around airports.
Britain and Germany produced the best large bombers at the start of the 1930s, though by the
start of the World War II American designs were better. American firms, by contrast though,
were producing very few of them.
During the 1930s, the European states had begun ramping up production of military aircraft,
training pilots to fly them, and building airfields to host them. Once the war began, though,
factories were bombed and supply lines cut off. As it became less likely they would overwhelm
their enemies with vast fleets of aircraft, German and British aircraft firms instead invested in
research and engineering to create better aircraft. Under the exigency of war, Europeans
developed the strategic missile, the jet engine, better radar, all-weather navigation aids, and more
nimble fighters. The German Messerschmitt 262 fighter aircraft -- which combined a strong
turbine engine with the innovation of swept wings -- approached the speed of sound. The
Europeans also innovated in tactics and logistics to use fewer aircraft more effectively. The
discipline of operations research grew out of British needs to use patrol aircraft more efficiently.
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Though American designers also proved innovative in the crucible of war, American firms
clearly triumphed in mass production.
In the six-year period 1940 through 1945, American firms built 300,718 military aircraft,
including 95,272 in 1944 alone. In the previous six-year period, American firms built only
19,587 aircraft, most of those civil. In 1943, the aviation industry was America's largest producer
and employer -- with 1,345,600 people bent to the task of making aircraft. A vast array of firms -
- especially automobile makers -- fed this rapid escalation of production. Engineers
disaggregated aircraft into smaller parts to parcel out to subcontractors, managed distributed
manufacturing, and devised the concept of the learning curve to forecast when cost reductions
kicked in. By the end of the war, Americans firmly believed in the doctrine of air power. They
invested in their belief, and for the next half-century Americans would set the agenda for the
aircraft industry around the world. Mass production, though, slipped from that agenda. On VJ
Day the American military cancelled all orders for aircraft, and assembly lines ground to a halt.
Total sales by American aircraft firms were $16 billion in 1944; by 1947 they were only $1.2
billion. Production never again reached World War II levels, despite a minor blip for the wars in
Korea and Vietnam. Instead, research ruled the industry.
The Cold War
The Berlin airlift of 1947 marked the start of the Cold War between the United States and the
Soviet Union, a symbolic conflict in which perceptions of aerial might played a key role. Once
they divested themselves of their surplus plants, American aircraft firms rushed to incorporate
into their designs the technological advances of World War II. The preeminent symbol of these
efforts, and of the nature of the Cold War, was the massive Boeing B-47 long-range strategic
bomber, with six engines and swept wings. Boeing built 2,000 B-47s, following its first flight in
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December 1947, and emerged as the dominant builder of strategic bombers and large airliners --
like the B-52 and the 707. Also symbolizing this conflict was the needle-thin rocket-powered
Bell X-1 which, in December 1947, became the first aircraft to break the sound barrier. The X-1
was the first in the X-series of experimental aircraft - sleek, specially built research aircraft that
jousted with Soviet aircraft to set speed and altitude records. More importantly, the aerospace
industry made new types of vehicles to join the half-century old propeller-driven airplane in the
skies.
New technologies prompted a massive restructuring of the industry. Established airframe firms
shifted from manufacturing to research, while the military channeled funds to technology-
specific startup firms. For example, Sikorsky, Hiller and Bell quickly dominated the market for
new type of airframe known as a helicopter. Electronics specialists like Raytheon, Sperry, and
Hughes became prime contractors for the new guided missiles, while airframe manufacturers
subcontracted to them. Turbojet engines were the most disruptive new technology. Turbojets
shared little in common with piston engines so two firms specializing in steam turbines --
General Electric and Westinghouse -- grabbed the bulk of jet engine orders until Pratt & Whitney
caught up. Aircraft firms also struggled to modify their airframes for the greater speeds and
altitudes possible with jet engines. Those firms that failed were superceded by those that
succeeded -- notably McDonnell Aircraft and Lockheed.
Intercontinental ballistic missile programs, started in 1954, fueled the micro-level restructuring
of the industry. ICBMs were touted as "winning weapons" to replace massive numbers of
aircraft, so missile firms invested in smaller but better factories -- with clean rooms and test
chambers -- rather than in cavernous assembly buildings. Because of the complexity of the
designs, the reliability required of each part, and the hurry in which the missiles had to be
designed and built, new management models emerged from the military and aerospace firms.
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The Aerospace Corporation, Space Technology Laboratories of TRW Inc., and Lockheed
Missiles & Space were three firms that proclaimed proprietary expertise in this new aerospace
management. The ICBM efforts introduced, to all high-tech industries worldwide, the ideal and
techniques of program management and systems engineering. When Europeans fretted over The
American Challenge in the 1960s, they meant not so much American technology as management
methods like these that generated technical innovation so relentlessly. Young men flocked to
aerospace because it was cool and cutting-edge.
Also revolutionary were the spacecraft and the rockets that lifted them into orbit. The neologism
"aerospace" reflected the shape of the money that flowed into the industry following the Soviet
launch of Sputnik in October 1957. The U.S. Aircraft Industries Association changed its name to
the Aerospace Industries Association of America, so the public might think it natural that the
firms that built aircraft should also build vehicles to travel through air-less space. Furthermore,
the laboratories of the National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics formed the kernel of the
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, then bent the efforts of academic aeronautics
toward hypersonics and space travel. In 1961, NASA got the mission to send an American to the
Moon and return him safely to Earth before the decade was out. NASA built enormous space
ports in Florida and Texas, enhanced its arsenal of research laboratories, bolstered its own
network of hardware contractors, opened up new areas of material science, and pioneered new
methods of reliability testing. Following the success of Apollo, in the 1970s NASA invested
ahead of demand to create the space shuttle for regular access to space, then struggled to find
ways to industrialize space.
Program management and systems engineering were applied to military aircraft in the 1960s, as
the Defense Department took a more active role in telling the industry what to make and how to
make it. Because of a uniformity in contracting rules, this was one of the few epochs in which
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the aerospace industry approached monopsony -- dominated by a single customer. This systems
engineering mentality drove greater design costs up-front. Aircraft grew more expensive, so the
fewer produced were expected to have longer lives with more frequent remanufacturing. To get
more diverse types of engineering talent involved in design, the Defense Department insisted that
airframe firms -- former competitors -- team to win aircraft contracts. Key members in these
teams were avionics firms, as airframes became little more than platforms to take electronic
equipment aloft. Fewer contracts meant that Congress, voicing concern over the defense
industrial base, made more procurement decisions than experts in the military or NASA.
Meanwhile, profits among American aerospace firms remained high compared with almost any
other industry.
Amidst all the other shocks to the American economy in the 1970s, in 1975 the United States
would record its last trade surplus of the twentieth century. While other American industries lost
ground to European or Japanese competitors, American aircraft have remained in consistent
demand. Since the mid-1960s, aerospace products have comprised between six and ten percent
of all American merchandise exports. The U.S. Export-Import Bank was nicknamed the "Boeing
Bank" for its willingness to lend other countries money to buy American airliners. Yet
increasingly, the aerospace industry was seen as a cause of American economic failure. So much
federal research and development funding filtering through the aerospace firms distorted
innovation so that American consumer products suffered. Conglomerates formed in the late
1960s around aerospace firms -- like LTV and Litton -- suggested that their core competence was
not aerospace systems but the ability to read government contracting trends. Aerospace firms that
were not consolidated in the mid-1970s, after aircraft lost in Vietnam were replaced, pursued
diversification strong in the belief that the engineering skill that made American aircraft so
dominant could also make world-class busses and microwave ovens. They failed. Waste, fraud
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and abuse dominated discussion of military aerospace. Persistent cost overruns and delays
suggested no one in the industry took efficiency seriously.
Matters got worse in the 1980s. Republican administrations channeled enormous funds into the
aerospace firms dotting the American sunbelt, without a concomitant increase in aircraft actually
built. Efforts to build a space-based missile defense system symbolized the accepted futility of
this spend-up. Likewise, NASA poured money into Space Shuttle operations without an increase
in flights. NASA engineers sketched, then resketched plans for an international space station to
create a permanent base in space. American aerospace firms seemed overly mature, and
European firms took advantage.
Notes to Add:
Jack Northrop not selling out to Don Douglas
Future needs: SbSPower and means to get there
Future: personal 3D travel (ICON, jet ski of the sky)
Infrastructure needs: contain Tribal knowledge, education; Morphing and logic based design
(rules, guidelines) like I did for EDS
New learning techniques, Video & interactive knowledge training systems.
Global Climate Change Control System-mentioned to save us on this planet