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Jet P.H. ShuAdvisor, Science Technology
DoIT, MOEADec. 12th, 2013
Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy
and
Technology Development Strategy
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ContentsI. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate ChangeII. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for GlobalAuto CO2 Emission ControlIII. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy PolicyIV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto PropulsionSystem DevelopmentV. Conclusion Remarks
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I. Awareness of Human-Induced ClimateChange
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Decade Extreme Weather (1)
Natural Variability? Human-Induced?Or
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Decade Extreme Weather (2)
Natural Variability? Human-Induced?Or
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Decade Extreme Weather (3)
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Decade Extreme Weather (4)
This TRMM 3-D image of Super-Typhoon Usagi on Sept. 19 shows heavy rain (red) at the base of
the eyewall. The lightning flashes (ring of small orange dots) are displayed at 5 km altitude.
That's near the freezing level in tropical cyclones and near the top of the heavy precipitation.
Image Credit :
NASA/Owen Kel ley
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Decadal Global Combined Surface-airTemperature Measurement
Surface-air temperature over land and sea-surface temperature (C) obtained from theaverage over the three independent datasets maintained by the K Met Office HadleyCentre and the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, in the United Kingdom(HadCRU), NOAA-National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and the US NASA-GISS.
The horizontal grey line indicates the long-term average value for 19611990 (14C).
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The Warmest Decade (2001~2010) Since 1850 The first decade of the 21st century was the
warmest decade recorded since modernmeasurements began around 1850.
Above-average precipitation, including year 2010
that broke all previous records.
94% of countries reporting had their warmest
decade ever in this decade and no country
reported cooler than the long-term average.
Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes
such as;
European heat-wave of 2003,
2010 floods in Pakistan,
Hurricane Katrina in the United States of America
(USA), Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar,
Melting arctic ice,
And long-term droughts in the Amazon Basin,
Australia and East Africa,
Sea levels were said to have risen about twice as
fast as the trend in the last 100 years.
Natural Variability ofthe Climate System
Human InducedClimate Change
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Human-Caused Climate Change is Trending in just oneDirection - upward
Unlike these natural back-and-forth oscillations, human-causedclimate change is trending in just one direction. This is becauseatmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrousoxide and other greenhouse gases are increasing steadily, dueto human activities.
2010 Increase since pre-industrial times
1991-2000 2001-2010
Carbon
dioxide
389 ppm 39% 361.5 ppm 380 ppm
Methane 1,808 ppb 158% 1,758 ppb 1,790 ppb
Nitrous
Oxide
323.2 ppb 20% 312.2 ppb 319.7 ppb
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Is 400ppm CO2 Milestone the Trsehold of theHuman-Induce Climate Change? Record 400ppm CO2 milestone 'feels like we're moving into another era Ralph
Keeling, son of renowned climate scientist Charles David Keeling, reflects onthe meaning of carbon emissions reaching record atmospheric levels on11 May 2013.
CO2 is one of GHG, and it caused the global warning, and we have to dosomething to reduce the CO2 emission.
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II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push forGlobal Auto CO2 Emission Control
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Carbon Dioxide Emissions from
World and Taiwan
Why CO2 emission matters to us?
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World Transport Energy Use by Mode
1971-2009
SOURCETechnology Roadmap, Fuel Economy of Road Vehicles, OECD/IEA, 2012.
Transport energy use is the major contributor to global CO2 emission.
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Global ST & Engineering Efforts to
Improve Vehicle Fuel Economy Roadmap
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III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy
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III-1. Vehicle Emission Control Program - Focus on Vehicle Fuel Economy Regulation CO2 Emission Control
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Taiwan Energy Consumption Structure
(by Sector)
12% of Taiwan Total Energy Consumed by Transportation Sector.
Million LOE
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SourceTAIWAN EPA , 2010, Study on low carbon vehicle CO2emissions reduction control strategies,
EPA-99-FA13-03-A001
Taiwan on-road Vehicles Greenhouse Gas
(GHG) Emission in 2009
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Taiwan Motor Vehicle Emission
Controls Before 2000
Why not do it again!
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All vehicle OEMs are improving the powertrain efficiency (>65% of vehicle energyloss) to meet global carbon regulations; 4l/100km or
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IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner AutoPropulsion System Development
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Taiwan Clean Propulsion SystemInitiative
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IV-1. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on Research Institute Technology Development
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Research Institute Efforts to Develop
Clearner Propulsion System
Ref. ITRI
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Taiwan Motorcycle Technology ReadinessMeeting Emission Regulation
SOURCEITRI MSL
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IV-2. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on University Basic Research Advanced Technology Development
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Advanced Engine Research Center
Kao Yuan University (1/2)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (1/3)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (2/3)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (3/3)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (1/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (2/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (3/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (5/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (6/6)
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IV-3. Electric Vehicle Demonstration Program Focus on Policy Vehicle/Infrastructure/Users Behavior Business Model Industry Development Innovation Platform
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Fuel Efficiency Comparison on ICE, HEV, and AEV
Hybrid Electric
(HEV)
All Electric(AEV)
Internal
Combustion Engine
(ICE)
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Source: 2010/03/17
2 2 xEV Volume to 13 Millions
Global EV Market Projection
Annual
kunits
1,000 units/yr
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xEV Development Trend and Technology
Readiness
Key Successful Factors:
Win-Win Business Model
Policy
Infrastructure
Reliable technologies
Reasonable Return on Investment
Clean Environment
Efficient Transportation
Under
Developing
Production
Engine
TechUpgrading
EV Tech Development
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Clean Air Zone
Running
Chassis
EV PlatformFleet & Demonstration
- Shuttle / Delivery / Touring -
Fleet Operation
EPS
BatteryElectricity
Supply
Business
Model
Fleet
Management
IndustryGovernment
Interface&Standards
Incentive&
Infra
structure
Auxiliary
Transmission
Charger
Interface Standard Plot
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Taiwan EV Demonstration Program
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Building EV Re-fueling Infrastructure
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IV. Conclusion Remarks With cooperative efforts from Academia, Research Institute,
Industry, and Government Agencies, we have high
confidence to meet stringent fuel economy in Taiwan;
17km/l for LDV in 2015.
To build xEV innovation platform and industry ecosystem
are our long-term goals to break the most stringent barrier
of 25km/l fuel economy in 2030.
Taiwan is a very beautiful island in the world, and with thesense of responsibility to minimize the human-induced
climate change is golden rule for each engineers.