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Zuojia (Zachary) Chen
Vignesh MuraliKuralay Seitalina
Yili (Eric) Xu
Nov. 5th, 2009
Company OverviewAn international mining company in North America
with reserves of copper, gold and molybdenumLargest and lowest cost copper producers in the USprincipal asset is the Grasberg minerals district in
Indonesia, which contains the largest single gold reserve
World presencetwo segments: mining and exploration; smelting
and refining
http://globalbb.onesource.com/Web/Reports/ReportMainIndustry.aspx?SicCodeID=220542&Report=ALLMARKETRESEARCHREPORTS&Process=IP&Type=GetReport&FileFormat=PDF&ReportID=62261&FileName=0199-2106-2007.pdf&VendorName=Datamonitor
Industrial AnalysisThe global metals and mining industry grew
by 20.2% in 2007 to reach a value of $1,594.9 billion.
Sales of iron and steel : 65.1%Asia-Pacific Markets : 62%Trend towards concentration FCX’s Market share in the copper industry
2007: 60%
http://globalbb.onesource.com/Web/Reports/ReportMainIndustry.aspx?SicCodeID=220542&Report=ALLMARKETRESEARCHREPORTS&Process=IP&Type=GetReport&FileFormat=PDF&ReportID=62261&FileName=0199-2106-2007.pdf&VendorName=Datamonitor
CompetitorsArcelor Mittal: located in Luxembourg;
world's largest steel producer; 6 segments covering 5 major industries
BHP Billiton: located in Australia;
two entities: BHP Billiton Limited, BHP Billiton Plc;
operates through nine segments
Rio Tinto: Located in Australia;
engages in exploring, mining and processing the
mineral resources; operates through eight business groups
http://globalbb.onesource.com/web/Reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=748084&Process=CP&Report=RATIOCOMPShttp://globalbb.onesource.com/web/Reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=4520&Process=CP&Report=RATIOCOMPShttp://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=RTP
Comparable Ratio Analysis
SWOTStrengths: Expanding market share Geographical diversification Operational structure
Weaknesses: Poor profitability (Metal prices volatile) Limited liquidity position (1.66)
Opportunities: Increase in Demand for Molybdenum Emerging technologies
Threats: Environmental regulation (Kyoto Protocol) Foreign exchange risk Global economic slowdown
http://globalbb.onesource.com/SharedScripts/Reports/FetchAR.asp?Process=CP&DocID=15363652&file=file.pdf
5-yr CAGR: 65.5%Expertise in both
technology and production methods
Financial Statement AnalysisProfitability
Liquidity
Efficiency
DuPont Analysis
Profitability
Liquidity
Efficiency
Du Pont
Du Pont_ adjusted
Du Pont Pro Forma
DCF Assumptions Revenue
Major drivers Quantity of copper sold and price of copper Infrastructure demand in developing countries Residential and Industrial development in the
US
Operating Expenses Management Strategy to reduce costs
Capital Expenditure
Multiples Valuation
Football Chart
1.00 to 0.60 0.60 to 0.20 0.20 to -0.20 -0.20 to -0.60 -0.60 to -1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 Ameren Corporation
2 American Eagle Outfitters
3 Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc.
4 First Industrial Realty Trust
5 Jack Henry & Associates
6 Kimberly-Clark Corporation
7 MEMC Electronic Materials
8 McDonald's Corporation
9 Stericycle, Inc.
10 Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold B
11
12
13
14
15
-0.08
0.23 0.15
0.56 0.38 0.28
0.40 0.18 -0.02 0.57
0.51 0.27 0.44 0.58 0.29
0.15 0.18 0.54 0.15 0.05 0.11
0.58 0.09 0.14 0.32 0.36 0.30 0.22
0.22 0.21 0.14 0.11 0.07 0.31 0.01 0.40
0.13 0.36 0.60 0.22 0.17 0.20 0.65 0.26 0.08
Date: 11/1/2006 to 10/31/2009
Source: Morningstar Direct
Correlation within present portfolio
RecommendationPrice per share when we started - $ 60 Price per share now - $ 77Price range using Multiples and DCF - $60- $80
Even with very conservative growth, company will be profitable and in a financial sound position
Reduces standard deviation of the portfolio
We recommend we add this company to the watch list and reanalyze company when price is $55