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Yara International ASA 2020 Second quarter results 17 July 2020

Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

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Page 1: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Yara International ASA2020 Second quarter results

17 July 2020

Page 2: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

TRI1 (12-month rolling)

0

1

2

3

4

5

2Q16 2Q20

1.3

Safety is our first priorityEnsuring a safe workplace for employees and partners with zero as our ambition

21 Total Recordable Injuries per 1 million working hours

Page 3: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Continued growth in earnings and cash flow

1) EBITDA excl. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 342) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 18 of 2Q 20 Report3) Approx 3.2% of shares outstanding to be purchased in the market by the end of first quarter 2021. Including the proportional redemption of shares owned by the Norwegian state, the total buyback and redemption will amount to 5% of shares outstanding.

Earnings improvement continuing Increased 2Q earnings and cash flow

L12M EBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)1

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2Q182Q17 2Q19 2Q20

• EBITDA1 up 8%, mainly reflecting improved margins and lower fixed cost

− Impact of weaker fertilizer prices more than offset by lower energy cost

− 8th consecutive quarter of ROIC improvement

• First-half 2020 deliveries in line with a year earlier− Lower 2Q deliveries reflect early spring phasing of

European fertilizer volumes, and weaker industrialnitrogen demand due to Covid-19

• USD 1 billion free cash flow2 rolling 4 quarters

• Completion of Qafco transaction expected within 2-3 weeks− 5% buyback3 to be initiated upon completion and

receipt of proceeds, utilizing full AGM mandate− Further cash returns will be considered in connection

with 3Q and 4Q results, in line with capital allocation policy

3

Page 4: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Lower urea and natural gas prices; resilient nitrate and NPK prices

1) Source: BOABC, CFMW, Fertilizer publications, Argus. 2) Yara’s realized European nitrate price, CAN 27 CIF Germany equivalent ex. Sulphur3) Yara’s realized global compound NPK price (average grade) 4

4.3

2.5

1.7 1.7

Europe US

-60%

-34%

220

464

194

408

CAN 27 Compound NPK

-12%

-12%

Lower urea prices Resilient nitrate and NPK pricesLower natural gas prices

Urea price development1 (USD/t) Yara realized CAN2 and NPK price3 (USD/t)Spot gas prices1 (USD/Mmbtu)

2Q19 2Q20

273293

226 238

Urea granular FOB Egypt

Urea inland China proxy

-17%-19%

Page 5: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Improved margins and lower fixed cost

1) EBITDA ex. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 342) Quarterly ROIC, annualized. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 35 5

546588

37

70 110

42

Energy costs2Q19 Price/MarginVolume/Mix Currency

3

2Q20Other

EBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)1

9.0%7.1%

ROIC2

Fixed cost: +23Portfolio: -19Other: -7

Page 6: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Improving cash flow trend – USD 1 billion rolling twelve months

1) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 18 of 2Q 20 Report 6

-546-434-548

2Q17 1Q184Q173Q17 3Q18

-859 -916

2Q18

-1,098-1,243

4Q194Q18

-730

1Q19

-230

2Q19

14

3Q19

863 845

1Q20

1,008

2Q20

OperationsInvestmentsFree cash flow

Free cash flow before financing activities1 Comments

• Strategy execution driving improved earnings and lower capital expenditure

• USD 1.2 billion free cash flow1

increase last 4 quarters compared with a year earlier

USD millions, rolling 4 quarters

Page 7: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

New organizational structure reinforces strategy execution

Yara InternationalSvein Tore Holsether

Corporate functionsLars Røsæg, Pablo Barrera Lopez, Kristine

Ryssdal

Africa & AsiaChrystel Monthean

EuropeTove Andersen

AmericasLair Hanzen

Global Plants & Operational Excellence

Pål Hestad

Farming SolutionsTerje Knutsen

Industrial SolutionsJorge Noval

Empowering local operations, strengthening accountability and driving customer centricity

Global mandate to drive the transformation of our core crop nutrition business

Operate our largest production plants and drive operational improvement and competence development

The regional units will have production, supply chain, commercial operations and sales, empowering them to run daily operations in a fully integrated set-up

Develops, produce and sell products for industrial applications, including environmental solutions, water treatment and products for the cement and mining industries Regional units:

7

Page 8: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Performance overview

Change in net operating capital as presented in the cash flow statement, page 18 2Q 20 ReportAlternative performance measures are defined, explained and reconciled to the Financial statements in the APM section of the 2Q 20 Report on pages 33-38 8

546 588

2Q19 2Q20

0.771.06

2Q19 2Q20

680 736

2Q19 2Q20

246139

2Q19 2Q20

5.4%7.3%

2Q19 2Q20

EBITDA ex. Special items(USD millions)

EPS ex. currency and special items(USD per share)

Cash from operations(USD millions)

Investments (net)(USD millions)

ROIC(12-month rolling)

314 219

2Q19 2Q20

Change in net operating capital(USD millions)

Page 9: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Margin improvements in both Production and Sales and Marketing

1) EBITDA ex. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 34 9

EBITDA ex. special items1 (MUSD)

308

196

37

324

244

25

Production Sales and Marketing New Business

2Q192Q20

• Focus on operational continuity• Lower gas prices partly offset by

lower nitrogen and phosphate prices• Underlying production output in line

with a year earlier

• Improved results mainly reflect higher margins

• Higher deliveries and margins in Brazil• Lower volumes in Europe reflect early

spring phasing of deliveries

• Main Covid-19 impact on Maritime• Industrial nitrogen demand also

impacted, but improving towards the end of the quarter

Page 10: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Committed investments unchanged, phasing into 2021 may occur

1) Committed investments as of end 2Q20 10

2017

0.2

0.7 0.6

0.0

0.2

0.50.6

0.7

0.2

0.8

2018

0.8

0.5

0.1

20202019

0.4

0.2

1.1

0.6

2021

1.6

2.2

1.2

1.0

USD Billions

Growth - expansionsGrowth - acquisitions Cost&capacity improvements

Maintenance

Capex plan1

Page 11: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Lower net interest-bearing debt

1) Operating income plus depreciation and amortization, minus tax paid, net gain/(loss) on disposals, net interest expense and bank charges2) Other includes new leases, foreign currency translation gain/loss, and dividends from EAI = Equity Accounted Investees3) For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 report, page 38

11

449

219 139

401

Cash earnings¹

Net debtMar 20

Net operating capital change

Investments (net)

Other²Dividends

193,577

Net debt Jun 20

3,723USD millions

2Q development Comments

• Cash earnings fully funded annual dividend payment

• Operating capital release driven by conversion of receivables in Europe and seasonal prepayments in Brazil

• Net debt/EBITDA3 ratio at 1.6, down from 1.7 in 1Q

Page 12: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Yara’s governance updated to reflect a holistic performance approach, driving sustainable value creation

• Board Audit Committee expanded to Board Audit and Sustainability Committee

• Sustainability Governance reporting directly to the CFO, utilizing existing reporting and control mechanisms to increase quality of non-financial reporting

• Holistic performance management covering financial, environmental, social and operational performance

• Integrated reporting and TCFD1 framework under implementation

1) Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures 12

Page 13: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Improvement program status: production volume KPIs¹Ammonia production volumes, kt annualized

Finished products production volumes, kt annualized

1) As presented at CMD, includes volumes from both improvement and growth projects: expansions (Uusikaupunki, Porsgrunn/Glomfjord, Sluiskil, Rio Grande,Köping) and new builds (Freeport, Pilbara TAN, Salitre)

• Sustaining operations through Covid-19 is the top priority in 2020, to avoid prolonged outages

• Overall, operations have run without material disruption

• Babrala utilization was temporarily reduced due to lockdown

• 2Q Covid-19 effect: ~30kt ammonia and ~75kt finished products

• L12M production change vs 1Q, excluding portfolio (mainly Trinidad closure) and Covid-19 effects:

• Ammonia: stable

• Finished products +35kt

Comments

2Q184Q172Q17

20187,850

4Q18 2Q19

20197,772

4Q19

L12M7,591

2023 target8,900

2Q20 2023

Qtr, annualized12 month rolling

201820,870

20234Q17 4Q182Q17 2Q18 2Q19

201921,067

4Q19

L12M20,912

2Q20

2023 target23,93012 month rolling

Qtr, annualized

13

Page 14: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Production reliability: status and actions

• Production volume growth last 3 years: ~1 mill. tonnes ammonia and ~2.4 mill. tonnes finished products

• Clear and sustained reliability improvement in certain plants, but persistent challenges in others

• Units with highest “YPS1 maturity” deliver the best improvement performance

• Overall performance in line with peers; look outside own industry for further improvement

Current status

People and organization• Operational excellence unit: stronger

prioritization and plant focus • Operational Committee: focus on top losses • Competence building• Move more competence to plants

Programs and tools• Reliability Continuous Improvement Program

(RCIP)• Root Cause Problem Solving (RCPS)• Rotating equipment competence• Engagement and involvement• Reliability governance system

Focus going forward

1) Yara Productivity System 14

Page 15: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Improvement program: non-volume KPIs

Ammonia energy efficiency Fixed costs1 Operating capital2

GJ/ton MUSD Days

34.1 33.9 33.6 32.7

20192018 L12M 2023 target

104115 116

90

2018 L12M2019 2023 target

2018 L12M

2,272

2019 2023 target

2,314 2,3142,291

• Recent efficiency improvement mainly reflects Yara Trinidad closure

• Cost reduction in 2Q• On track to achieve 2023 target

• Operating capital build at strong margins

1) For reconciliation of Fixed costs to Operating costs and expenses, see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 362) Operating capital adjusted for prepayments from customers. For reconciliation of Operating capital days, see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 37 15

Page 16: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Sales & Marketing performance in the quarter

196

244

2Q202Q19

+24%

2Q202Q19

4.6 4.6

3.7 3.6

8.3 8.1

-3%

-2%

2Q20

1.5

1.4

2Q19

1.2

1.3

2.9

2.5

-14%

-14%

Commodity Premium1

Increased EBITDA driven by higher margins and cost savings

Slight decrease in premium deliveries reflects early spring

phasing in Europe

Lower revenues mainly reflect lower commodity fertilizer prices

EBITDA ex. SI (MUSD)Volumes (Mt) Revenues (BUSD)

Premium defined as Differentiated N, NPK, CN, fertigation products and YaraVita. YaraVita only included in revenues.EBITDA ex. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 2Q 20 Report, page 34 16

Page 17: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Lower deliveries in Europe and North America partly offset by increases in Brazil

1) Premium defined as Differentiated N, NPK, CN, fertigation products and YaraVitaOPP = Own Produced Products 17

0.4

2.5

0.9

3.0

0.9

2.7

2.2

1.2 1.0

0.6 0.60.4

-10%

+10%

-4%-10%

+5%

-2%

Total deliveriesMill. tonnes

2Q192Q20

2.8 0.60.70.62.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2Europe North

AmericaBrazil Latin

AmericaAsia Africa

OPP

Premium*

Commodity

Page 18: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Strong full-season performance in Europe

200

150

100

0

50

250

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

2019/20 2018/19 2016/172017/18

Nitrate premium measured as Realized nitrate price in 27% N in CIF Germany terms above Urea Granular FOB Egypt in 27% N CIF Germany terms on a month-to-month basis, weighted for volume sold

Accumulated nitrate premium over the season Comments

• Yara’s full-season nitrate deliveries were up 3%, with a higher realized premium

• Yara kept nitrate prices stable despite negative urea price trend

• Urea price trend impacted deliveries through the first half of season, but volumes picked up in the second half, especially first quarter

MUSD

18

Page 19: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Our long term targets; increased premium product deliveries and higher margins

Increase premium product deliveries by > 3.5 mill tonnes

Increase YaraVita deliveries to > 100 million units Increase EBITDA margin

13.5 13.7 14.3

2018 LTM20202019

38

47 49

2018 2019 LTM2020

+27%

20

2426

2018 2019 LTM2020

Premium products in mill. tonnes YaraVita in mill. units EBITDA margin in USD/tonne1

1) Adjusted EBITDA/tonne in the Sales and Marketing segment. For definition and reconciliation see APMsection of 2Q 20 report, page 31 19

Page 20: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Strong growth in user adoption for digital farming

Farmland under management1)

Million Hectares

2.2

5.6

10.4

13.0

May 2018

May 2019

Dec 2019

May 2020

Growing our reach in the professional segment Strong user adoption in smallholder segment

Farmweather usersMillion Users

0.8

May 2018

May 2019

Dec 2019

May 2020

2.1

AtFarm Farmweather

1) Hectares managed by farmers registered in Yara’s digital farming solutions (mainly Atfarm and YaraIrix) 20

Page 21: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Farming Solutions - four strategic positions to secure leadership

21

Anchor Yara as preferred partner to food chain players

Take a leading position in the digital channel disruption

Take a leading position in farm sustainability

Secure intimate connectivity to farm and field

Strategic positions: What it means:

• Build a farmer & advisor platform aiming to deliver digital connectivity to 100 million hectares in professional markets and 50 million hectares within smallholder farms

• Convene industry players around the farm through platforms and data exchange, to simplify and create value for farmers, strengthen platform attractiveness and unlock cross-company innovation

• Ambition to connect 5-10 million smallholder farmers and 5-10 million ha connected to the food chain

• Take a leading position in farming sustainability (also beyond crop nutrition) by driving a traceable sustainability impact agenda and farm-based certification of activities, including e.g. carbon footprint reduction and increased quality and yield

• Utilize farmer & advisor platform as a new channel for crop nutrition solutions (Europe, Latam, Asia, Africa) and a collaborative platform

Page 22: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

“Shifting” existing Yara business from one channel or way of monetizing to another (e.g.,

shifting distribution business to direct-to-farmer business)

New revenue generated by transformative activities in Yara

(e.g., developing and selling previously non-existing

services, reaching new “white-space” segments)

Profit delivered through Farming Solutions either from (i) margin-uplift on “shifted” revenue, or (ii)

margin on new revenue

“Shifted” revenue

New revenue

New EBITDA

Reach new geographies with new/ refined offering (e.g., combined YaraVita and Yara Connect offering)

Create new EBITDA from new market segments

3

3

Shift distributor business to direct-to-farm online platform

Shift from traditional sales to outcome-based model

Create new revenue generated based on monetizing yield upside

1.Create new digital subscription revenue (e.g., AtFarm to monitor crop performance using satellite images)

2.Create new revenue from carbon marketplace

Create additional EBITDA by shortening the value chain

Create new EBITDA from new yield upside revenue

1.Create new EBITDA from new digital subscription

2.Create new EBITDA from carbon marketplace business

New region/ segmentTransform channelChange business model New offering

1

1

2

3

2 3

2

The transformation can be viewed across 3 key financial dimensionsExamples

22

Page 23: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Attractive Yara prospects

23

Focused long-term strategyAttractive industry fundamentals

Operating cash flow improvement

• Operating cash flow improving with cycle and Yara actions

• Capex almost halved from 2018 to 2019

• Strict capital discipline

• Clear capital allocation policy

• Growing population and dietary improvement drives demand

• Resource and environment challenges require strong agriproductivity improvement

• Slow-down in nitrogen supply growth

• Crop nutrition focus; #1 market presence and #1 premium fertilizer position

• Improving returns through operational Improvement, margin improvement and innovative growth

Page 24: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

The hidden costs of the global food system exceed its market value

Source: Food and Land Use Coalition report 2019 24

10.0

6.6

3.1

Market value of global food system

Health EconomicEnvironment

2.1

Food system value net of hidden cost

USD trillions, at 2018 prices • The hidden costs of the global food system exceed the current market value of world output

• A correctly priced agricultural value chain represents a massive business opportunity for sustainable farming and crop nutrition practices

0-1.9

Page 25: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

7/16/2020 25

Appendix

Page 26: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Delivering on our Strategy, our KPIs and our Ambition

26

Responsibly feed the world and protect the planetDeliver sustainable returns

Delivering improved operations and superior profitsYara Improvement program

Advance operational excellence

Driving equality and diversity through an engaged and respected workforceEngagement index >80% by 2025, and >20% female top managers by 2020 and >25% by 2025

Protecting the planet by aiming for climate neutrality by 2050>10% decline in kg CO2e/kg N produced by 2025

Create scalable solutions

Improving margins and nitrogen use efficiency through premium product growth>3.5 million tons premium product growth and >100 million units of YaraVita sales by 2025, improving overall EBITDA/t in Sales and Marketing

Building profitable global food chain partnerships>2 million tons of crop solutions sales generated through food companies by 2025

Yara’s products help feed >275M people by 2025 ROIC >10% through the cycle Striving towards zero accidents with

no fatalities and TRI <1.2 by 2025

Drive innovative growth

Building closeness to farmers through scaling up digital farming >10 million ha under management in 2020 andpositive EBITDA from digital farming in 2022

Solving global challenges and growing profitable business through innovationShaping the industry by delivering sustainable and profitable innovations within de-carbonization and circular economy

Page 27: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

0

450

2Q18 2Q19 2Q20

Flat nitrogen upgrading margin, global NPK premium lower than last year

0

500

2Q18 2Q19 2Q20

Urea Egypt CFR proxy

Ammonia CFR

CAN CFR

260

1 Upgrading margin from gas to nitrates in 46% N (USD/t):All prices in urea equivalents, with 1 month time lag

Weighted average global premium above blend cost

2 Export NPK plants, average grade 19-10-13, net of transport and handling cost.

DAP, CIF inland Germany

MOP, CIF inland Germany

Urea, CIF inland Germany

Nitrate premium, CIF inland Germany

Yara’s NPK price

134

142

NPK premium over blend2Nitrogen upgrading margins1

USD/tUSD/t (monthly publication prices)

Yara EU gas cost *20

Source: Fertilizer Market publications 27

260

Page 28: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Energy cost

Source: Yara, World Bank, Argus/ICIS Heren*Dotted lines denote forward prices as of 9 July 2020, market prices (HH and TTF) are not lagged**Yara Global restated from 2Q 2018 to include Cubatão gas cost

28

2.9 2.9

3.8

2.92.5 2.3 2.3

1.9 1.71.7 1.82.4

6.1 6.3 6.66.0

4.83.9

4.0 4.23.2

3.0 3.8

7.4

8.4 8.2

6.1

4.33.3 4.1

3.1

1.7 2.0

3.7

8.18.2 9.4

7.8

5.5

4.04.3 4.3

2.8

2.43.7

2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20

US gas price (Henry Hub) Yara Global** TTF day ahead Yara Europe

Quarterly averages for 2018-2020 with forward prices* for 3Q20 and 4Q20

Page 29: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Increased grain stocks excluding China forecasted for the comingseason, stable FAO grain price index

Sources: FAO, USDA 29

Grain stocks ex. China (left axis) and grain prices (right axis)

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20E 21F

IndexMill. tonnes

Page 30: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Yara stocks

30

Finished fertilizerMill. tonnes

0

8

Q2-17Q2-16

Urea

Q2-18 Q2-19 Q2-20

Nitrates

CompoundNPK

Other

Page 31: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

European producers’ nitrate stocks

Source: Fertilizers Europe 31

Index June 2007 = 1

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

19/20 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Page 32: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Nitrogen supply growth is forecast to reduce significantly

20192018

2.5

2014 2015 2016

1.2

2017 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

3.5

4.9

6.7

0.4

4.23.4

1.5

5.0

3.1

IndiaRussiaIran

AlgeriaUSANigeria

OthersProduction

2.7% consumption growth

Global urea capacity additions ex. China (mill. tonnes)

Source: CRU February 2020 32

Page 33: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Lower Chinese prices negatively affecting global urea prices, global market also disconnecting for part of the quarter

1Source: BOABC, CFMW 33

170

350

Jul-16 Jun-20

Urea fob Egypt

Urea inland proxy China

Urea price development1 (USD/t)

Page 34: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

Alternative performance measures

34

Alternative performance measures are defined, explained and reconciled to the Financial statements in the APM section of the Quarterly report on pages 33-38

Page 35: Yara Second Quarter 2020 Presentation2020/07/17  · 449 219 139 401 Cash earnings¹ Net debt Mar 20 Net operating capital change Investments (net) Dividends Other² 19 3,577 Net debt

7/16/2020 35