Upload
ashley-fowler
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
www.uis.unesco.org
Innovation Surveys:Advice from the Oslo Manual
National training workshopAmman, Jordan
18-20 October 2010
www.uis.unesco.org
Ch 8 OM - Innovation Survey Procedures
Guidelines on central elements for the collection and analysis of innovation data;
Following these guidelines will generally lead to comparable results over time and across countries;
Particular circumstances may require other methodology comparability should be in mind.
www.uis.unesco.org
Populations
The target population:The target population:
• Innovation surveys should refer to innovation activities in the business enterprise sector (goods-producing and services industries);
• It should include, at a minimum, all statistical units with at least ten employees.
www.uis.unesco.org
Populations
The frame population:The frame population:
• The units from which a survey sample or census is drawn form the frame population;
• It is based on the last year of the observation period for surveys;
• Ideal frame = up-to-date official business register established for statistical purposes NSOs;
• If the register forms the basis for several surveys (innovation, the R&D, general business), the information collected in the innovation survey can be restricted to issues specific to innovation.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Mandatory Mandatory surveys increase response rates;
Census or sample survey?Census or sample survey?
• Sample surveys should be representative of the basic characteristics of the target population (industry, size, region) a stratified sample is necessary;
• Census, though costly, might be unavoidable in some cases (legal requirement, small frame population, inclusion of all units in the frame with a certain number of employees).
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Domains Domains (sub-populations) are subsets of the sampling strata;
• Potential sub-populations: industry groupings, size classes, regions, units that engage in R&D and innovation-active;
• Guidelines:» Statistical units and classifications should be the same;
» Methods used to calculate results for subsets should be consistent with those used for results from the main sample.
» Deviations in data treatment or differences in the quality of the results from the domains should be documented.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Sampling techniques:Sampling techniques:
• Stratified sample surveys (reliable results): based on the size and principal activity of the units;
• Sampling fractions should not be the same for all strata: the sampling fraction of a stratum should be higher for more heterogeneous strata and for smaller strata.
Cross-sections: Cross-sections: standard approach - a new random sample is drawn from a given population for each innovation survey;
Alternative/supplementary approach: panel datapanel data.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Suitable respondents:Suitable respondents:
• A variety of methods can be used to conduct innovation surveys, including postal surveys and personal interviews;
• Choosing the unit’s most suitable respondent is particularly important in innovation surveys (questions are very specialised and can be answered by only a few people in the unit);
• It is highly recommended to make a special effort to It is highly recommended to make a special effort to identify respondents by name before data collection identify respondents by name before data collection starts.starts.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
The questionnaire:The questionnaire:• Pre-test each questionnaire before fieldwork;
• Keep it as simple and short as possible;
• Pay attention to the order of the questions;
• Questions on a number of qualitative indicators can use either a binary or an ordinal scale;
• In the case of international innovation surveys, special attention should be given to the translation and design of the questionnaire;
• Short-form questionnaires for units with little/no innovation activity previously reported.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Combination of Innovation and R&D surveys:Combination of Innovation and R&D surveys: Reduction in the overall response burden of the reporting
units; Scope for analysing the relations between R&D and
innovation activities at the unit level; Efficient method of increasing the frequency of innovation
surveys; Country experiences indicate that it is possible to obtain
reliable results for R&D expenditures; Longer questionnaire; Units not familiar with the concepts of R&D and innovation
may confuse them; The frames for the two surveys are generally different.
www.uis.unesco.org
Survey methods
Guidelines for conducting combined surveys:Guidelines for conducting combined surveys:
• The questionnaire should have two distinct sections;
• Individual sections for R&D and innovation should be smaller than in separate surveys;
• Comparisons of results from combined surveys with those from separate innovation surveys should be done with care, and surveying methods should be reported;
• Samples to carry out such surveys should be extracted from a common business register.
www.uis.unesco.org
Estimation of results
Weighting methods:Weighting methods:
• The simplest one is weighting by the inverse of the sampling fractions of the sampling units, corrected by the unit non-response;
• If a stratified sampling technique with different sampling fractions is used, weights should be calculated individually for each;
• Commonly based on the number of enterprises in a stratum.
• In international and other comparisons, be sure that the same weighting method is used.
www.uis.unesco.org
Estimation of results
Non-response:Non-response:
• Unit non-response: a reporting unit does not reply at all;
• Item non-response: refers to the response rate to a specific question and is equal to the percentage of blank or missing answers among the reporting units;
» Disregarding missing values and applying simple weighting procedures based only on the responses received implicitly assumes that non-respondents are distributed in the same way as respondents biased resultsbiased results;
» Possibility: imputation methodsimputation methods to estimate missing values on the basis of additional information.
www.uis.unesco.org
Presentation of results
Descriptive analysis:Descriptive analysis:• Description of the
statistical units in terms of their innovative or non-innovative activities without drawing any conclusions about the underlying survey or target population;
• No generalisation of the results;
• Unit non-response rate is of minor importance.
Inferential analysis:Inferential analysis:
• Drawing of conclusions about the target population;
• The results should give a representative estimation of the situation;
• Weighted results;
• Unit non-response rate is very important.
www.uis.unesco.org
Presentation of results
Errors:Errors:
• Random errors due to the random process used to select the units;
• Systematic errors containing all non-random errors (bias);
» To get at least an idea of the variance for the results, it is recommended to calculate both (average) values for innovation indicators and also their coefficients of variation and/or confidence intervals;
» Results presentation should contain: metadata (including information on data collection procedure), sampling methods, procedures for dealing with non-response and quality indicators.
www.uis.unesco.org
Frequency of data collection
Innovation should be conducted every two years;
Where this is not economically feasible, a frequency of three or four years may be chosen;
Surveys must specify an observation period for questions on innovation;
• The length of the observation period for innovation surveys should not exceed three years nor be less than one year.
www.uis.unesco.org
Annex A - 5. Methodological issues for developing country contexts
Information system specificities:
• Relative weakness of statistical systems
• Absence of linkages between surveys and data sets; lack of official business registers information from other surveys cannot be used;
• Involvement of NSOs;
• When lacking, basic variables about firms’ performance can be included in the innovation survey - to enable further analysis.
www.uis.unesco.org
Annex A - 5. Methodological issues for developing country contexts
General methodological considerations:
• Questionnaire design: » Sections can be separated to allow different persons in the
firm to reply them;
» Guidance / definitions;
» Language and the translation of technical terms;
• Survey application:» In-person;
» Trained personnel.
www.uis.unesco.org
Annex A - 5. Methodological issues for developing country contexts
General methodological considerations:
• Frequency:» Every three to four years (e.g., timed to CIS rounds);
» Try to update a minimum set of variables every year;
• The purpose of surveys needs to be clearly stated and the questions clearly formulated;
• An adequate legislative base for the collection of innovation statistics can help ensure the success of such an exercise;
• The results should be published and distributed The results should be published and distributed widely.widely.
www.uis.unesco.org
Thank you!
http://www.uis.unesco.org
CIS: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/37/39/37489901.pdf