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1
WWF Workshop on Solar Heat in
Agri-Processing
Dr Stefan Hess
17 November 2016, STIAS, Stellenbosch
Large-scale Solar Thermal Systems
in South Africa and SOLTRAIN III
2
1. Large-scale Systems Database
2. Analysis of CBC Tender
3. SOLTRAIN III Project
4. Barriers and Recommendations
3
Xtrata Elands Platinum Mine: DHW and SPH for change house
• 500 m2 evacuated tubes,
60 m3 storage
• Installed 2011
• Caters 1500 workers daily
• 90 % of demand for
heating of 100 m3 shower
water up to 60 ºC
• 10 % of produced heat
used for laundrySource: Blackdotenergy.co.za
4
Solar process heating and cooling
BMW Manufacturing, Pretoria, SA:
Heating of paint with 200 m2 evacuated
tubes and 24.2 m2 of storageSource: Blackdotenergy.co.za
MTN, Johannesburg, SA: Solar cooling
with 484 m2 Fresnel coll., 180 °C, 16 bar
© Dinter
5
Database:
• Stationary systems > 10 m2
• Whole SA, installed between 2007 and 2015
• Sources: Blackdot Energy, Soltrain 1&2, installers, etc.
Currently:
• 89 systems > 10 m2
• Total gross area 13 894 m2
• Confidence level: high > 50 m2, low < 50 m2
6
Large-scale SWH systems in SA per type of application (gross collector area > 10 m2).
Domestic hot water 66 systems, staff ablutions 14 systems, process heat 7 systems,
solar cooling 2 systems. Legend units are m2.
69%
20%
7% 4%0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
Co
llect
or
gro
ss a
rea
[m2]
Application
> 500
250 - 500
125 -250
50 - 125
10 - 50
7
Large-scale systems in SA per beneficiary industry. Legend units are m2.
8
Large-scale SWH systems in SA per province (gross collector area > 10 m2).
Number of systems and percentage contribution above bars. Legend in m2.
52.3%
17.8%13.2%
8.4%4.5%
2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
42
303
46
1 2 1 1
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
Co
llect
or
gro
ss a
rea
[m2]
Province
> 500
250 - 500
125 -250
50 - 125
10 - 50
9
y = -0.41x + 770.34
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Spec
ific
sys
tem
co
st [
EUR
/m2]
Collector gross area [m2]
Costs relative to collector area (data from Blackdot Energy, AEE Intec and personal
communication with installers during 2014 - 2015). Exchange rate at date of
installation was used (9.66 < ZAR/EUR < 15.3 from 2007 to 2015).
Average = 603 EUR/m2
10
1. Large-scale Systems Database
2. Analysis of CBC Tender
3. SOLTRAIN III Project
4. Barriers and Recommendations
11
www.soltrain.co.za/
120 m2 flat-plates, 10 m3 storage tank, SF = 60 %
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXANpox482k
Pre-heating storage unit
with stratified charging
12
Tender evaluation
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Co
st [
EUR
/m2]
Proposal
Storage
Roof strengthening
Maintenance
Installation
Piping material
HE, pump andcontrol
Proposal comparisons and component breakdown from the CBC tender (using
September 2015 exchange rate of ZAR/EUR = 15.3)
13
Average costs and variance per cost category between all ten proposals of the CBC
tender. Not all offers included costs for future maintenance and storage.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Co
st [
EUR
/m2]
Component
Average Proposals Best price
Theoretical best price = 503 EUR/m2
14
1. Large-scale Systems Database
2. Analysis of CBC Tender
3. SOLTRAIN III Project
4. Barriers and Recommendations
15
Soltrain I and II (2008 – 2016)
Partners: Botswana, Lesotho, Mozambique,
Namibia, South Africa, Zimbabwe
Soltrain III targets:
• 500 persons trained in 22 courses on ST systems
• 12 policy workshops with 250 participants carried out
• 6 national ST Roadmaps implemented
• 6 ST market statistics available
• 70 ST demonstration systems installed, operating and checked
16
Results:
www.soltrain.co.za
Support for demonstraion systems:
• System must be in „flagship district“, beneficiary SME
• Budget spent ca. 33 % on „roll-out“ and 66 % on „new applications“
• Installing company applies, up to 50 % of invest is funded
• Soltrain contact person Western Cape: [email protected]
17
1. Large-scale Systems Database
2. Analysis of CBC Tender
3. SOLTRAIN III Project
4. Barriers and Recommendations
18
Required specific ST system costs to break even after 5 years in SA
SA: 603 EUR/m2
19
Solve long payback problem:
• Reduce investment: Standardized planning
• Contracting: Dedicated support?
Increase competence and and build trust:
• Training seminars: Soltrain
• Publish best practice: Independent monitoring
Push market diffusion:
• Identify low-hanging fruits
• Sector specific research projects (STEP-Bio for SA sugar industry)
20
Thank you!
Acknowledgements:
Eugéne JoubertBlackdotenergy
Dr Stefan Hess
Stellenbosch University
+27 (0)21 808 4016
21
5 % Hydro + RE
6 % Fuel + others
4 % Nuclear
85 % Coal
Blackdot Energy n.d., Documenting Commercial Solar Thermal in South Africa. Available
from: http://www.blackdotenergy.co.za/. [15 August 2015].
Joubert, EC, Hess, S & van Niekerk, JL 2016. Large-scale solar water heating in South
Africa: Status, barriers and recommendations. Renewable Energy 97: 809-822.
22
48 6
8
25
1413
65
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
Co
llect
or
gro
ss a
rea
[m2]
Year
> 500
250 - 500
125 -250
50 - 125
10 - 50
ST collector gross area (> 10 m2) newly installed in SA in recent years. Total number
of installations per year indicated above bars. Legend units are m2.
23
System Hydraulics
Demand: 7 m3/d @ 85 °C
24
Average component shares
25
CBC
Current and future heat generation costs from conventional fuels in SA. LCOH values over
20 years with and price increase 0%, 6 % and 12 % respectively. Values in EUR/kWh.