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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
The Most Effective Way to Tax Smokeless Tobacco Products in
West Virginia
West Virginia Conference and Smokeless and Spit Tobacco November 29, 2012
Ann Boonn, Associate Director, Research [email protected], (202) 296-5469
1
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
What are we going to talk about?
1. The problem 2. How to best tax smokeless tobacco 3. Industry involvement 4. Resources If we have time: Responses to common industry arguments
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
THE PROBLEM
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
National Youth Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco Use 1997 - 2011
9.3% 6.7% 7.7%
15.8%
11.0% 12.8%
36.4%
21.9%
18.1%
37.7%
21.8% 19.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
All High School Students Smokeless Tobacco UseHigh School Males Smokeless UseAll High School Students Cigarette SmokingHigh School Males Cigarette Smoking
Source: CDC, Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance Survey.
Overall high school smokeless use increased 14.9% from 2003-2011.
High school boys’ smokeless use increased 16.4% from 2003-2011.
Overall high school smoking declined 17.4%
from 2003-2011.
High school boys’ smoking declined 8.7%
from 2003-2011.
4
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Youth Smoking, Smokeless Tobacco Use in West Virginia 1997 - 2011
15.8% 13.6% 14.4%
31.0%
23.3%
25.5%
41.9%
28.5%
19.1%
42.4%
25.6% 21.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
All High School Students Smokeless Tobacco UseHigh School Males Smokeless UseAll High School Students Cigarette SmokingHigh School Males Cigarette Smoking
Source: CDC, Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance Survey.
Overall high school smokeless use increased
5.9% from 2003-2011.
High school boys’ smokeless use increased
9.4% from 2003-2011.
Overall high school smoking declined 33%
from 2003-2011.
High school boys’ smoking declined 14.8%
from 2003-2011.
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What’s behind these trends?
• Products • Marketing • Price
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Most popular snuff brands among 12-17 year olds who have ever used snuff, 1999-2010
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Skoal Copenhagen
Grizzly Kodiak
Source: Analysis of NHSDA, NSDUH data
2010 Top 3 Most Popular Moist Snuff Brands among 12-17 year olds
1. Grizzly (Reynolds American, via American Snuff Company)
2. Copenhagen (Altria, via UST)
3. Skoal (Altria, via UST)
Source: 2010 NSDUH
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
THE BEST WAY TO TAX SMOKELESS TOBACCO
Definitions Rates
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WV’s Current Tobacco Products Definition
(6) "Other tobacco product" or "tobacco products other than cigarettes" means snuff and chewing tobacco and any other tobacco product that is intended by the seller to be consumed by means other than smoking and any cigar, pipe tobacco or other tobacco product other than cigarettes.
WV Code §11-17-2
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WV’s Current Tax on Smokeless Tobacco
• 7% of the wholesale price • Last increased on January 1, 2002 • Revenues to the general fund
WV Code §11-17-3
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Percentage of Price vs. Weight-Based for Moist Snuff Tobacco
Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Adequately and fairly taxes all moist snuff brands Depends Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff Depends Revenue increases with consumption increases Revenue increases with inflation Revenue increases with industry’s price increases
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Adequately and fairly taxes all moist snuff brands?
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From an Altria presentation in KS, 2009:
0.24/2.39 = 10% 0.24/0.86 = 28%
Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Adequately and fairly taxes all moist snuff brands Depends
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff?
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Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff Depends
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff?
Marlboro Snus 1 “foil pack” (6 pouches) = 0.1 oz.
1 tin (15 pouches) = weight unknown
Regular-sized Camel Snus 1 tin (15 pouches) = 0.32 oz.
UST Skoal Pouches 1 tin (20 pouches) = 0.82 oz
Stonewall Hard Snuff 1 box of 20 Pieces = 0.335 oz.
Camel Dissolvables (test market) 1 package of 12 Pieces = 0.10-0.21 oz.
Large Camel Snus 1 tin (15 pouches) = 0.53 oz.
Traditional Moist Snuff Smokeless 1 tin = 1.2 to 1.5 oz.
Marlboro & Skoal Sticks (test market) 1 pack of 10 Sticks = weights unknown
UST Skoal Snus 1 tin (15 pouches) = weight unknown
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Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff?
17
Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Adequate tax paid on a pack of low-weight moist snuff Depends
Traditional Moist Snuff Smokeless 1 tin = 1.2 to 1.5 oz.
Marlboro Snus 1 “foil pack” (6 pouches) = 0.1 oz.
10% wholesale $0.20/ounce Minimum tax equal to a $1.00 per-pack cigarette tax
$0.24 $0.24 $1.00
$0.10 $0.024 $0.30
1/10th the weight = 1/10th the revenue
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Under weight-based, revenues decline as low-weight smokeless products make up more of the market.
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$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Projections assume stable consumption and sales over time, with inflation at 2% per year.
Revenue Losses From Standard Weight-Based Tax on Moist Snuff (in constant dollars)
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Altria/UST’s Proposed Minimum Tax
The Problem: Extremely large packages Small tax per dose
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Their Language: “The tax imposed on a can or package of moist snuff that weighs less than 1.2 ounces shall be equal to the amount of tax imposed on a can or package of moist snuff that weighs 1.2 ounces.”
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Single-Unit/Single-Dose Products
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= = = = =
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Revenue increases with consumption increases?
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Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Revenue increases with consumption increases
$100.0
$110.0
$120.0
$130.0
$140.0
Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Weight-Based Tax Percentage-of-Price Tax Percentage-of-Price w/ Minimum
[Based on actual 2000 to 2005 moist snuff sales price and volume data for from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, and on recent industry data on the moist snuff market share and average prices of premium, value and discount brands.]
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Percentage of Price vs. Weight-Based for Moist Snuff Tobacco
Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Revenue increases with inflation Revenue increases with industry’s price increases
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$100.0
$110.0
$120.0
$130.0
$140.0
Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Weight-Based Tax Percentage-of-Price Tax Percentage-of-Price w/ Minimum
[Based on actual 2000 to 2005 moist snuff sales price and volume data for from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, and on recent industry data on the moist snuff market share and average prices of premium, value and discount brands.]
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
INDUSTRY’S INVOLVEMENT
Weight-Based Taxes Harm Reduction
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24 Source: Common Cause
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Harm Reduction
• What is it? • The problems with harm reduction • Harm reduction and taxes
– Kentucky, Indiana, Kansas, Illinois
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
WHAT YOU CAN DO
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Educate the Public
1. Lower prices = higher prevalence, especially among youth, no matter what type of tobacco product
2. Tax discrepancies encourage people to switch to lower-priced products
3. Problems with a simple weight-based tax system
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Kentucky voters overwhelmingly favor taxing other tobacco products at a rate comparable to cigarettes.
“Currently, other tobacco products such as cigars and smokeless, or spit tobacco, are taxed at a lower rate
than cigarettes. Regardless of whether or not there is an increase in the cigarette tax, do you favor or oppose taxing other tobacco products such as cigars and smokeless, or spit tobacco, at a rate comparable to
cigarettes?”
Strongly Favor 67%
Smwht Favor 14%
Smwht Oppose
4%
Strongly Oppose
13%
DK 1%
70%
85%
29%
13%
Smokers (25%)
Non-Smokers (75%)
Total Favor Total Oppose
By Smokers Overall Total Favor: 82%* Total Oppose: 17%
+41% +72%
* Denotes Rounding
Kentucky Statewide Tax Survey, Conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, December 15th – 16th, 2008
Montana Voters Support an Increase On Taxes on Cigars and Smokeless
78%
3%
19%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Favor Don't know Oppose
“Currently, other tobacco products such as cigars and smokeless, or spit tobacco, are taxed at a lower rate than cigarettes. Regardless of whether or not there is an increase in the cigarette tax,
do you favor or oppose taxing other tobacco products such as cigars and smokeless, or spit tobacco, at a rate comparable to cigarettes?” (Q15)
Montana Statewide Tobacco Survey, January 18-19, 2011
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
TFK Tax Resources
• Factsheets, Reports – general and specific to state/locality
• Polling • Model Legislation and Legislative Drafting
Assistance • Media Resources
– ads, sample LTEs, Ed Board memos • Grassroots Resources
– microsites, educational flyers, action alerts, social networking tools
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Ann Boonn [email protected]
(202) 296-5469
Factsheets: http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/facts_issues
/fact_sheets/policies/tax/other_products/
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RESPONSES TO COMMON INDUSTRY ARGUMENTS
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Industry Claim: Industry price reductions will reduce states’ revenues
Response: • Industry increases its prices more often than it
reduces prices. • Under a percentage-of-price rate, the
revenues will still increase with inflation, whereas under a weight-based rate, revenues will decline.
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Industry Claim: Weight-based taxes create a stable and predictable funding stream of tax
revenue for the state.
Response: • Any tobacco tax creates steady and predictable
revenue for states. • Revenues from weight-based taxes will decline over
time despite price increases and as more people switch to the new generation of low-weight smokeless products.
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Industry Claim: Weight-based taxes are more fair than percentage-of-price taxes.
Response: • Percentage-of-price taxes are flat across all
products. • Under a weight-based system, cheaper
products will be paying a higher percentage of their price in tax, while more expensive products pay a lower percentage of their price in tax.
37
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Adequately and fairly taxes all moist snuff brands?
38
From an Altria presentation in KS, 2009:
0.24/2.39 = 10% 0.24/0.86 = 28%
Simple Percentage-of-
Price
Simple Weight-Based
Percentage-of-Price with Minimum Tax
Adequately and fairly taxes all moist snuff brands Depends
Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Industry Claim: Smokeless tobacco should be taxed based on risk level.
Response: • Smokeless tobacco is still harmful and making
them cheaper makes them more accessible and affordable to youth.
• If FDA finds certain smokeless products to be less harmful to the public at large, then that “modified risk” claim should be enough to encourage people to use smokeless tobacco, not the tax rates.
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Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids www.tobaccofreekids.org
Industry Claim: Weight-based taxes reduce the state’s administrative burden.
Response: • The state is already collecting it this way and
has been doing so for years, so any change would be an administrative burden at this point.
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